argo floats and modelling the north pacific ocean michael w. stacey department of physics royal...

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Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 [email protected] 15 June 2006

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Page 1: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean

Michael W. StaceyDepartment of PhysicsRoyal Military College of CanadaKingston, Ontario, K7K [email protected]

15 June 2006

Page 2: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Major Collaborators:

Jennifer Shore (RMC)Dan Wright (BIO)Keith Thompson (Dalhousie)Howard Freeland (IOS)Bill Crawford (IOS)

Page 3: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

MotivationMeteorologists have provided regular weather forecasts for years, using atmospheric observations and numerical models.

Observations of the sub-surface ocean are much harder to make, but oceanographers are now at the stage where they can begin to make comprehensive observations in almost real-time.

These observations are obviously useful in providing better information about the state of the ocean. Also, they provide useful information to scientists studying climate change, since the oceans influence the climate.

Page 4: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Basic Requirements

1. Observations

- Argo Floats

- Satellite observations

- etc

2. Computational Resources

- HPCVL

Page 5: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Outline• Argo float program• Numerical Model• Spectral Nudging• Model simulations of the North Pacific Ocean• Zoom in on the Northeast Pacific Ocean• Eddy formation and propagation in the NE Pacific• Summary

Page 6: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Argo Floats (images from http://www.argo.ucsd.edu/)

Page 7: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Argo floats recordsalinity, temperatureand pressure

Approx $15K/Float,plus another $15K forhandling and running

Page 8: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

- Each floats lasts for about 140 cycles, or 4 years.- Observations can be downloaded from the Argo website free of charge.

Page 9: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

- Each floats lasts for about 140 cycles, or 4 years.- Observations can be downloaded from the Argo website free of charge.

Page 10: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca
Page 11: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Approximately 100,000 profiles/yr once 3000 deployed

Page 12: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Isopycnals are deepening in the NE Pacific

200

100

0

Pre

ssur

e (d

bar)

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Last update 28th M ar. 2006

Page 13: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

The ModelThe ModelParallel Ocean Program (POP)

-Finite difference, numerical model, parallelized at Los Alamos, modified at the Bedford Institute of Oceanography (Halifax) for the Atlantic Ocean, modified at RMC for the North Pacific Ocean.

-Uses ‘Spectral Nudging’ to prevent drift of the ‘mean’ model fields.

-Run at HPCVL. A single, twenty year simulation takes about 10 days of CPU time, using 20 processors.

Page 14: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

- Horizontal Resolution: approx. 30 km -Vertical Resolution (23 layers): Layer Depths (m)Top 200 m Bottom 4000 m1. 10 9. 260 16. 22002. 20 10. 360 17. 27003. 35 11. 510 18. 3200 4. 55 12. 710 19. 37005. 75 13. 985 20. 42006. 100 14. 1335 21. 47007. 135 15. 1750 22. 52008. 185 23. 5700

-

Page 15: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Spectral Nudging

- Available observations of temperature and salinity are temporally averaged to obtain the observed ‘climatological mean’. - Want the model to have the same ‘mean’ as the observations. Energy for the eddies comes from the energy in the ‘mean’ flow, so need reasonable ‘mean’ in order to get the eddy field right. - Models can be constrained to have the same ‘mean’ as the observations by ‘nudging’ them towards the climatology as the simulation proceeds through time, but because the observed ‘mean’ is ‘smooth’, standard nudging suppresses the formation of eddies in models. - Spectral nudging constrains only the ‘mean’ component of the model to remain close to the climatology, so eddies can form in the model.

Page 16: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Standard Nudging vs. Spectral Nudging

Standard nudging prevents model T and S from drifting away from climatology but suppresses eddy variability.

Spectral nudging constrains the mean T and S fields while keeping higher frequency variations.

Elevation (cm

)

Elevation (cm

)

Page 17: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Sea Surface Height

Page 18: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Temperature at 100 m

Page 19: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Northeast Pacific (Gulf of Alaska)

Page 20: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Sea Surface Height

Page 21: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Temperature at 100 m

Page 22: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

‘Snapshot’ of the Sea-Surface Temperature off the Coast of B.C.

Observation (Thomson & Gower, 1998) Model

- Eddy trains form during the winter.

- The eddies are about 200 km across and at least 500 m deep.

- They propagate towards the west at about 3 km/day.

Thomson and Gower (1998)

Page 23: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Yelland and Crawford, 2005

Size(Diameter)

Speed Reference

160-200 km 3.0 ± 0.5 km/d Thomson and Gower, 1998

160 km 2.5 km/d Crawford et al., 2000

150-370 km 1 km/d Yelland and Crawford, 2005

200-300 km 4.4 ± 0.6 km/d Our results

Eddy Sizes and Speeds

Page 24: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Standard Deviation of the sea surface height variability.

Stacey et al (2006)

Page 25: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Crawford et al., (2000)

Page 26: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Summary - The Argo program has significantly improved our ability to make observations of the sub- surface ocean. It is a multi-national program for which Canada is a significant contributor.

- HPCVL has provided the computational resources for simulations of the North Pacific Ocean to take place at RMC.

Page 27: Argo Floats and Modelling the North Pacific Ocean Michael W. Stacey Department of Physics Royal Military College of Canada Kingston, Ontario, K7K 7B4 Stacey-m@rmc.ca

Thank YouReferencesCrawford, W. R., J. Y. Cherniawsky, and M. G. G. Foreman (2000), Multi-year meanders and eddies in the Alaskan Stream as observed by TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter, Geophys. Res. Letters, 27, 1025-1028.

Stacey, M. W., J. Shore, D. G. Wright, and K. R. Thompson (2006), Modeling events of sea-surface variability using spectral nudging in an eddy permitting model of the northeast Pacific Ocean, J Geophys. Res., 111, C06037, doi:10.1029/2005JC003278.

Thomson, R. E., and J. F. R. Gower (1998), A basin-scale oceanic instability event in the Gulf of Alaska,. J. Geophys. Res., 103, 3033-3040.

Yelland, D., and W. R. Crawford (2005), Currents in Haida Eddies, Deep-Sea Res. II, 52, 875-892.