philanthropy's next ten years
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Philanthropy’s Next Ten YearsMarch 2010
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Our Vantage Point
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The greatest danger in times of turbulence is
not the turbulence;
it is to act with yesterday’s logic.
Peter Drucker
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The World
The Field
Philanthropy’s Shifting Ecology
A Global Network Society Emerges
YouYou
New Challenges
New Possibilities
New Scale
New Tools
New Players
New Demands
New Competition
New Attention
Philanthropy and Non-Profits at a Crossroads
Mission
Strategy
Vision
Resources
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Industrial Age: Invention of Modern
U.S. Organized Philanthropy
Knowledge Age: Reorganization
of Philanthropy
Reinvention of U.S. Organized Philanthropy
The Next Chapter in Philanthropy’s Story
1950
a few hundred
2010
about60,000
1890
number of foundations
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Philanthropy today takes place in a context that is radically different from the environment in which many of its current practices and behaviors were developed—and indeed, which is quite different from 10 years ago
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What Time is It?
March 2010
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One Big Shift:A Sober Moment Full of Challenges
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Tomorrow’s Logic:The sectors’ shifting roles
Public Sector
Governmental organizations
providing public services
Private SectorCommercial
organizations providing goods and services for
profit
Nonprofit SectorOrganizations with the primary
goal of creating social benefit
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Tomorrow’s Logic: A Larger and More Diverse Social Change Landscape
Scientists
Politicians
CelebritiesSocial entrepreneurs
Movement leaders
Software engineers
Business-people
…and amateurs of all stripes…
Ministers
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Tomorrow’s Logic:The Evolution of Work and Decision Making
Independent,
Decentralized
Decision Makers
Centralized
Decision Makers
Connected,
Decentralized
Decision Makers
Source: Thomas W. Malone, MIT
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Ushahidi Would Have Been Unimaginable
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A Summary of Tomorrow’s Logic:The Emerging Context for Philanthropy
• Wicked problems and social complexity
• New pressures for transparency, responsiveness, and public participation
• Impact expected, not just innovation
• The HOW is shifting: New tools and opportunities for engagement , information sharing, and access to diverse perspectives and input
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Urgency AND
Stamina for the long term
Top Down ControlAND
Bottom Up Letting Go
Evidence MattersAND
Taking risks is essential
Autonomy/competition AND
Cooperation/Relationships
Analysis AND Creativity
Tomorrow’s Logic Requires…Leaders who Balance Creative Tensions
Best practice AND
Next practice
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What Time is It?
March 2010
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Tomorrow’s Logic:Next Practices for the Next Decade
ACTINGBIGGER
ADAPTINGBETTER
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Next Practices for the Next Decade
• Understanding the ecosystem
• Working with networks
• Aligning independent action
• Leveraging additional resources
• Knowing what works
• Opening up to new inputs
• Shifting and adapting
• Taking risks and learning from failure
• Sharing by default
ACTING BIGGER ADAPTING BETTER
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Acting BiggerUnderstanding Your Ecosystem
Inside one foundation, imagine being able to help others see inside the program officers’ heads, to give them access so they can see how each grant made by a funder fits into a program’s overall strategy.
And beyond any single institution, imagine knowing at a glance who else is working on the issues you care about, what strategies they are using, and how they are allocating their resources across those approaches.
Strategy Landscape
A map of the relative scale of investment in climate change work by participatingfunders.
A map showing the relative distribution of a single foundation’s grantmaking acrossthe key “change levers” within its climate change strategy.
A map showing the grants made as part of a single change lever by one of the participating funders.
Detail on a particular grant made by one of the participating funders.
A map showing the proportion of each strategic approach being supported by a selected foundation.
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Prototyping Innovations
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“The Smart Money Award”
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Four Kinds of Solutions
ACTING BIGGER ADAPTING BETTER
DATA TOOLS
BEHAVIOR CULTURE
Northern California Grantmakers
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Tomorrow’s Logic:The Enduring Lesson
“Never mistake a clear view for a short distance.”
Paul Saffo, futurist
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For the next 15 minutes:
At your tables, please discuss:
What are your reflections on how philanthropy will or should operate
in the future?
What questions did the presentation provoke for you?
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Philanthropy’s Next Ten YearsMarch 2010
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