aes gener q1 2017 earnings call · 2020-02-03 · aes gener q1 2017 earnings call may 8, 2017. 2...
TRANSCRIPT
AES GENERQ1 2017 EARNINGS CALL
May 8, 2017
2
Agenda
First Quarter 2017 Earnings Call
Key Highlights
Financial Review
Construction Projects
Key Takeaways
Q&A
3
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
4
Key Highlights
First Quarter of 2017
EBITDA reached US$189 mn, 20% higher than Q1-2016. Highest LTM EBITDA of all time of US$810 mn
Alto Maipo restructuring successfully completed and construction continues to advance with 52% progress
Moody’s reaffirmed the credit rating of AES Gener at Baa3 with stable outlook
Green taxes resulting from the 2014 tax reform began to be accrued with the first payment due in April 2018
Company continued exporting energy to Argentina through its international transmission line
Tariffs for Energia Base in Argentina were dollarized and increased in February 2017
For second year in a row, AES Gener was selected as part of the Dow Jones Chile Sustainability Index
5
Key Highlights (cont’d)
Executing on our strategy
Advanced in its second phase of expansion, all projects other than Alto Maipo fully operational
New 743 MW generating earnings and cash flows
Company declared dividends for 100% of 2016 Net Income
US$261 mn to be paid during 2017
Continued enhancing Investment Grade Credit Profile by prepaying Corporate Debt
US$127 mn prepaid since January 2016
Began providing distributed energy solutions based on Solar Panels
Signed contracts with four industrial customers
6
Key Highlights (cont’d)
Largest Energy Producer in Chile
AES Gener23%
AES Gener47%
SIC
SING
~13.9 TWh
~4.3 TWh
AES Gener29%
SIC + SING
~18.2 TWh
AES Gener continues to be the largest energy producer in Chile contributing 29% of gross generation
7
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028
GW
H p
er
Ye
ar
Regulated Non-Regulated Guacolda
Discos
27%Mining
64%
Industrial
9%
Contractavg. life: 11 years
Key Highlights (cont’d)
AES Gener Contracted Portfolio
Efficient generation fully contracted with no relevant maturities until 2021/2022
Guacolda re-contracted ~1,200 GWh with industrial customers
PPAs with tenors ranging between 3 and 7 years
8
FINANCIAL REVIEW
9
Consolidated Financials
Key Financials (US$ mn.) Q1-2017 Q1-2016 Var. (%)
Operating Revenues $557 $556 -
Gross Profit $146 $121 20 %
EBITDA $189 $158 20 %
EBITDA Margin 34% 28% 6 %
Net Income $47 $41 14 %
SIC38%
SING38%
SIN22%
SADI2%
$189 mn
Q1-2017
SIC53%SING
35%
SIN9%
SADI3%
$158 mn
Q1-2016EBITDA BY MARKET
10
EBITDA Bridge
EBITDA Increased by $31 mn (+20%)
17
27
12
Q1-2016
158
189
Q1-2017SADI SIN
1
SINGSIC
11
SIC Market
EBITDA Decreased by $12 mn (-14%)
Lower efficient generation and accrual of green taxes
Lower margins mainly in distribution companies PPA’s
Higher margin in Nueva Renca
72
84
Q1-2016
-14%
Q1-2017
EBITDA VARIATION ELECTRICITY REVENUE BREAKDOWN
Regulated Customers
67%Unregulated Customers
32%
Spot Sales1%
$214 mn
12
SING Market
EBITDA Increased by $17 mn (+31%)
Cochrane and Andes Solar started operations
Higher physical sales to spot at better prices
Accrual of green taxes and lower margins on PPAs maturing in 2017
EBITDA VARIATION
72
55
+31%
Unregulated Customers
77%
Spot Sales23%
ELECTRICITY REVENUE BREAKDOWN
$180 mn
Q1-2016 Q1-2017
13
Contract Sales77%
Spot sales23%
SIN Market
EBITDA Increased by $27 mn (+206%)
Higher reservoir levels at the beginning of the period, resulting in higher Generation
Lower energy purchases (price and volume)
Appreciation of the Colombian Peso
EBITDA VARIATION
41
14
+206%
ELECTRICITY REVENUE BREAKDOWN
$70 mn
Q1-2016 Q1-2017
14
Contract Sales55%
Spot sales45%
SADI Market
EBITDA Decreased by $1 mn (-19%)
Lower generation due to maintenance activities
Higher fuel and transmission costs
Higher energy prices and higher volume of contract sales
EBITDA VARIATION
4
5
-19%
ELECTRICITY REVENUE BREAKDOWN
$31 mn
Q1-2016 Q1-2017
15
Net Income
Attributable to AES Gener (US$ mn)
69
11
13
4 3
31
Q1-2016
41
Q1-2017
47
EBITDAVariation
Depreciation (*)Interest
Expense (*)Non-controlling
InterestOthers
(*) Variances explained by New Power Plants in Operations
16
Cash Flow and Liquidity
11
116
141
470
Mar-17
507
FX Variation
1
Financing CFInvestment CFOperating CFDec-16
Cash and Cash
Equivalents
68%
Undrawn
Committed
Facilities32% $746 mn
LIQUIDITY Q1-2017 EOP(US$ mn)
17
Recourse Debt
42%
Non-Recourse
Debt
58%
Financial Debt Profile
Total debt outstanding as of March 31, 2017 - US$3,802 mn
Average Life: 14 years
Average Cost: 5.5%
Net Debt/EBITDA: 4.1x (2.1x excluding non recourse debt)
98% denominated in USD
91% at fixed interest rate
$3,802 mn
118 147 174 153
558
161 173 186
567
1,565
2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026/2073
AMORTIZATION SCHEDULE (US$ mn)
Recourse Debt Non Recourse Debt
18
CONSTRUCTION PROJECTS
19
Update on Construction
Second Phase of Expansion
+25%
Guacolda V152 MW
Angamos Desalination
Tunjita20 MW
Andes Solar
21 MW
Cochrane
550 MW
Alto Maipo531 MW
152
591
531
2019
6,344
5,813
2016
5,813
5,222
2015
5,222
5,070
PROJECT PROGRESS
Guacolda Unit 5 Operational
Angamos Desal Plant Operational
Andes Solar Operational
Tunjita Operational
Cochrane Operational
Alto Maipo ~52% as of April 2017
AES GENER TOTAL INSTALLED CAPACITY (MW) PROJECT PROGRESS
20
Update on Construction (cont’d)
Alto Maipo Project
Restructuring successfully completed. Secured financing for up to 22% to cover cost overruns (US$460 mn)
Ownership structure: AES Gener 93% and Strabag 7%
Removal of all early termination options and ~15% all-in price reduction
US$225 mn were drawn from the project finance facility in April
REMAINING CAPEX (US$ mn) FUNDING OF COST OVERRUNS (US$ mn)
417362
140
61
51
5
16
16
72
$550
$429
$161
2017 2018 2019
Debt AES Gener Strabag Financing Equity Pre Restructuring
AES Gener25%
MLP3%
Strabag37%
Lenders & Others35%
$460 mn
21
KEY TAKEAWAYS
22
Key Takeaways
Highest Last Twelve Month EBITDA of all time
Reached a LTM EBITDA of $810 mn
Leader in power generation in Chile
29% of the total energy generated in Chile
Argentina economic upturn and key reforms
Release of currency controls, normalization of CAMMESA payment and dollarization of tariffs
Diversified and contracted asset portfolio
Diversified by geography, technology, customers and fuel sources
Long term dollarized PPAs with creditworthy off-takers
Enhanced Capital Structure
Investment grade rating
Strong liquidity
Extended debt maturity profile