1 long-term sustainability and business issues for volcanoes, landslides, subsidence, and forest...
TRANSCRIPT
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Long-term sustainability and business issues for volcanoes, landslides, subsidence, and forest fires.
Hints from the downstream projects DORIS, EVOSS, LAMPRE and PREFER
Brussels - June 11, 2013
Supersites Coordination WorkshopFabrizio Ferrucci, Fausto Guzzetti &the DORIS, EVOSS, LAMPRE and PREFER teams
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OUTLINE
• The FP7 collaborative projects stimulate development of downstream GMES services• “Downstream” : exploit “Core” services,
be self-sustainable, address specific user segments
• Projects• EVOSS 2010-13: volcanoes• DORIS 2010-13: landslides• PREFER 2012-15: wildfires/forest
fires• LAMPRE 2013-15: landslides
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EVOSS
EVOSS – European Volcano Observatory Space Services• Total cost is € 4.2 M, EC contribution is
€ 2.8 M
• Lifetime is from 1 Jan 2010 to 30 Jun 2013where are the costs
• Development• Research• Data• Service (high-temporal resolution)
Service (high-spatial resolution)
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DORIS DORIS – Ground Deformations Risk Scenarios: an Advanced Assessment Service• Total cost is € 4.6M, EC contribution is €
3.4M.
• Lifetime is from 1 Oct 2010 to 30 Sep 2013.
where are the costs• Development• Research• Data (high-spatial resolution)• Service (with a minimum number of
sites within an assigned frame); otherwise
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DETAILS
LAMPRE – Landslide modelling and tools for vulnerability assessment preparedness and recovery management
• Total cost is € 2.5M, EC contribution is € 2.0M
• Lifetime is from 1 Mar 2013 to 28 Feb 2015
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DETAILSPREFER – space-based information support for prevention and recovery of forest fires emergency in the mediterranean area.• Total cost is € 2.8M, EC contribution is € 1.9M
• Lifetime is from 1 Dec 2012 to 30 Nov 2015where are the costs• Development• Research• Data• Service (high-spatial resolution)
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WHO IS THE COSTUMER?EVOSS• Countries, civil protection authorities,
Communities who don’t have an observatory but feel/are exposed to volcanic risk.
• Mandated Institutions, Observatories wanting to improve the extent of monitored parametres , all Institutions “in case of”
• Airline companies, planning and managing routing, and deciding whether or not to fly across an area where a SIGMET is released by the VAAC
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WHO IS THE COSTUMER?DORIS• Civil Protection Authorities responsible for
landslide and subsidence risk.
• Environmental agencies dealing with slope processes & ground subsidence phenomena.
LAMPRE• CPA responsible for landslide risk.
• EA dealing with slope processes & risk.
• Transportation agencies & service providers.
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WHO IS THE COSTUMER?
PREFER• Institutions and Entities responsible for the
strategic management of land vs. forest fires, and forest fire preparedness
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WHERE IS THE COSTUMER?
DORISLAMPRE
EVOSS
PREFER
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WHAT IS UNIQUE?• EVOSS – satellite real time synoptical
monitoring of volcanoes at global scale
• DORIS – Long term deformation maps and time series & multi-sensors analysis
• LAMPRE – Accurate event inventory maps & vulnerability assessments
• PREFER – spaceborne high-resolution mapping of fire hazard / damage
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WHAT IS NOT UNIQUE?
• EVOSS – SO2 emissions monitoring
• DORIS – DInSAR maps for ground surface monitoring
• LAMPRE – Landslide inventory maps & image processing techniques
• PREFER – a part of image processing techniques, and indexing
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THE COMPETITIVE ADVANTAGE
• Global reach is the undisputed advantage of space borne Remote Sensing.
• Excluding military demand, the meteorological system is the sole example of need-driven remote-sensing.
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KEY MARKET DRIVERS
• Observation: Everywhere, Anytime
• Information: Robust, Accessible, Accurate
• Price: Attractive, Sustainable
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LESSON LEARNT BY EVOSS & DORIS
• Extensive market survey and analysis was carried out to address their sustainability.
• All user communities were involved, in the private and the institutional sectors.
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LESSON LEARNT BY EVOSS & DORIS
• Main need is in the institutional sector, but usually where is the need there resources are not available.
• Sustainability of operational and validated services such as EVOSS and DORIS should be supported further by the EU.
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ROADMAP
As the “market” is basically Institutional,
what is missing & needed:
• Institutional support following extensive validation of the results of successful projects
18Grant Agreement n. 242212 – www.DORIS-PROJECT.eu
DORIS USERS
Main Users Secondary Users
Civil ProtectionCapacity
Extraction Industry
Structural Engineering
Risk Assessment
Government Agencies
Public Authorities
Regulators
Mineral
Oil & Gas
Builders & Constructors
Engineering consultants
Utility Operators
Transport Provides
Industrial Infrastructures
Developers & home owners
Information providers
Insurers
Environment & Heritage
Media
Water
19Grant Agreement n. 242212 – www.DORIS-PROJECT.eu
EARTH OBSERVATION MARKET
Main EO markets concerned with landslide risk assessment & hazard mapping:
• Disaster management (9%)
• Environmental monitoring (9%)
• Engineering (22%)
• Others (60%)
9%9%
22%62
%World Share
EO Segments, 2012
20Grant Agreement n. 242212 – www.DORIS-PROJECT.eu
EARTH OBSERVATION MARKET
Main EO markets concerned with landslide risk assessment & hazard mapping:
• Disaster management (6 M€)
• Environmental monitoring (6 M€)
• Engineering (17 M€) 6 M€
6 M€
17 M€European Market
Relevant EO Segments, 2012
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EVOSS USERS
MainUsers
Secondary Users
KeyStakeholders
VAACs
Volcano Observatories
Other Users
AviationStakeholders
CivilProtection
ICAO
EC
Local AuthoritiesIndustry / Institutions
Main User communities are:• Aviation Industry to support Ash Advisory• Volcano Observatories to provide complementary
means
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EVOSS BENEFITS
SWOT ANALYIS | WEAKNESSES
• Lack of certification in EO industry hampers increase market share [Promotion & dissemination].
• Lack of benchmark on EO value adding processing & lack of metrics to judge the quality of products [Demonstration & Standards].
CONCLUSIONS
• Operational costs are man power related rather than EO data costs. The availability of Sentinel free access policy will lower costs.
• Need to confirm whether Sentinel data can replace commercially available data (i.e., CSK, TSX).
• A rigorous quality / achievement assessment of projects to be carried out
• The EC support and ethical guidance to exploit worldwide the top achievements of best Space projects is welcome
25Grant Agreement n. 242212 – www.DORIS-PROJECT.eu
CONCLUSIONS
• Consolidation of service requests is a benefit of DORIS, allowing to divide the costs among users.
• To be relevant, service shall expand in and outside of Europe.
• Need to educate users and ensure adoption of services in existing and new processes.
