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An Economic Analysis Development Framework for Distributed Resources
Aaron F. Snyder
Utility Business Solutions
March 13, 2002
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Presentation Outline
Introduction
Software Framework
Application
Conclusions
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Introduction
Problem Statement Is DR an attractive financial alternative to my current grid
connection?
Traditional Analysis Tools Lack Solution Capability at High Level Too much data required for technical calculation
No limited data set common in packages to perform financial calculation
Package focused on single DR solution or solution approach
Can COTS solution run on my computer platform?
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Presentation Outline
Introduction
Software Framework
Application
Conclusions
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Software Framework
Standard Office Application (Excel) leads to Ease-of-Use
Development Language (VBA) leads to stand-alone migration path Flexibility in time-series data manipulation (15-min to 1 year)
Cookie-cutter solution for other time-series intervals
User interface based on commonly accepted graphic components (push-buttons, dialog boxes, check boxes, etc.)
Ease of deployment across business network
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Software Framework
Graphs
Output Screen
Input Screen
DG DataNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceLoad Profile
DG DataLoad Profile
Virtual Utility
FinanceSolutions
ReportsDiesel Generator
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
Start
EXIT
Data Sheets
Rate UpdateW izard
Graphs
Output Screen
Input Screen
DG DataNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceLoad Profile
DG DataLoad Profile
Virtual Utility
FinanceSolutions
ReportsDiesel Generator
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
Start
EXIT
Data Sheets
Rate UpdateW izard
Dual-Path Data Approach Load Profile
No Load Profile
Data Sets Existing Service
Dist. Res.
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Software Framework
Graphs
Output Screen
Input Screen
DG DataNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceLoad Profile
DG DataLoad Profile
Virtual Utility
FinanceSolutions
ReportsDiesel Generator
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
Start
EXIT
Data Sheets
Rate UpdateW izard
Common Data Path Virtual Utility
Finance Solutions
Output Screen Solution with Existing Service
Solution with Dist. Res.
Rate Update Wizard Rate-Tier Input
Average Rate Input
Graphs
Output Screen
Input Screen
DG DataNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceLoad Profile
DG DataLoad Profile
Virtual Utility
FinanceSolutions
ReportsDiesel Generator
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
Start
EXIT
Data Sheets
Rate UpdateW izard
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Software Framework
Graphs
Output Screen
Input Screen
DG DataNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceLoad Profile
DG DataLoad Profile
Virtual Utility
FinanceSolutions
ReportsDiesel Generator
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
Start
EXIT
Data Sheets
Rate UpdateW izard
Detailed Reports Summary Report of Key
Financial Factors
Detailed Financials by Time Period
Detailed Graphs Electrical Energy
Heat Energy
Database Provisions DR Rate Sheets
Common Data Structure
Graphs
Output Screen
Input Screen
DG DataNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceNo Load Profile
Existing ServiceLoad Profile
DG DataLoad Profile
Virtual Utility
FinanceSolutions
ReportsDiesel Generator
MicroTurbine
Fuel Cell
Start
EXIT
Data Sheets
Rate UpdateW izard
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Presentation Outline
Introduction
Software Framework
Application
Conclusions
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-Application
Key parameters 1900kW Load
1700kW Utility Connection
23kW CHP DR
Yearly Load Profile Available (15-minute intervals) Cost
Energy
DR InformationLoad (Demand) to turn DR On(peak shaving)
kW 1700
Rate to turn DR On (peakshaving)
$/kWh 0.065
Expected Number of Years ofReturn of Investment
years 20
DR Fixed Costs (lump sum)DR Initial Cost (Price +Shipping + Installation)
$ 180,000.00
Fuel Storage Cost $ 10,000.00Land Fee Cost $ 1,500.00Metering Cost $ 500.00Other Fixed Costs $ 1,000.00DR Fixed CreditsTax Credit per year $/year 1,500.00Power Quality Credits (perkWh)
$/kWh 0.005
Environmental Credits $/kWh 0.005DR Operational / AnnualCostsDR Size kW 230DR Fuel Price $/kWh 0.015Operating & MaintenanceCosts
$/year 5,000.00
DR Power Factor at RatedLoad
"-1" to "1" 0
Heat Rate Btu/kWh 10000
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-Application
Load kW 1900Load Factor from "0" to "1" 1Monthly Charge $/month 80,000.00Monthly Demand Charge $/month 5,000.00Monthly Curtailment Credits $/month 2,000.00Monthly CurtailmentPenalties
$/month 2,500.00
Reactive Power Penalties $/kVAR 0.015Reactive Power Credits $/kVAR 0.015Power Factor Set-Point(Penalty/Credit)
"-1" to "1" 0.85
VU CostsVU Access Fee $ 1,500.00VU Applications Packages $ 8,000.00VU Hardware (servers,communications)
$ 20,000.00
VU other costs $ 5,000.00Benefits:Number of outages per year outage/year 4Cost of outage $/outage 25,000.00Energy Available for Tradingper month
kWh 21,600
Expected Selling Price $/kWh 0.05
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-Application
Total Cost of VU $ 34,500.00Initial Cost of DR $ 193,000.00Down payment $ 25,000.00Loan $ 202,500.00Interest (per year) % 7.00No. of years year 20Discount/Inflation Rate % 2.00
kWh Limit On-Peak Cost($/kWh)
Off-Peak Cost($/kWh)
250 0.08 0.075300 0.07 0.065400 0.06 0.055550 0.05 0.045650 0.04 0.035
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-Application
Without Virtual UtilityTotal use kWh/year 22,665,060Average use kWh/period 646.83Total cost $/year $714,789.31Average cost $/period $20.40With Virtual UtilityTotal use kWh/year 10,617,476.00Average use kWh/period 303.01Total cost $/year $570,335.56Average cost $/period $16.28SavingsTotal use kWh/year 12,047,584.00Average use kWh/period 343.82Total cost $/year $144,453.75Average cost $/period $4.12Annual Electricity Bill Utility only $1,740,789.31
Utility and DR $643,723.48Annual Savings onElectricity Bill
$1,097,065.83
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-Application
Average 15/30/60-min Load Profile (without VU)
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100.0000
200.0000
300.0000
400.0000
500.0000
600.0000
0:15
2:00
3:45
5:30
7:15
9:00
10:45
12:30
14:15
16:00
17:45
19:30
21:15
23:00
Time (Hours:Minutes)
Lo
ad
(kW
h)
Figure 1: 15-Minute Load Profile without VU/DR
Average 15/30/60-min Load Profile (with VU)
250.0000
260.0000
270.0000
280.0000
290.0000300.0000
310.0000
320.0000
330.0000
340.0000
Time (Hours:Minutes)
Figure 1: 15-Minute Load Profile with VU/DR
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15/30/60-min Peak KWhr (without VU)
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200.0000
400.0000
600.0000
800.0000
1,000.0000
1,200.0000
Time (Hours:Minutes)
Figure 1: 15-Minute Peak Energy Values without VU/DR
15/30/60-min Peak kWhr(with VU)
510.0000
520.0000
530.0000
540.0000
550.0000
560.0000
570.0000
580.0000
590.0000
600.0000
Time (Hours:Minutes)
Figure 1: 15-Minute Peak Energy Values with VU/DR
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-Presentation Outline
Introduction
Software Framework
Application
Conclusions
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-Conclusions
Development Achievements Minimal data set for each type of distributed resource required
Visual Basic for Applications code allows for future portability to complied stand-alone application
Intuitive user interface requires minimal training
Solution details minimal yet optimal
Software architecture allows for scalable solution
Financial Analysis Tool Complimentary to Technical Analysis Tool
Solution Deployable on Common Computing Platform with Minimal Hardware Requirements