York Consulting LLP Smithfield House, 92 North Street, Leeds LS2 7PN

Tel: 0113 2223545, Web: www.yorkconsulting.co.uk

John Rodger, Managing Partner

York Consulting LLP

Tel: 0113 222 3545Mobile: 07787 577 299Email: john.rodger@yorkconsulting.co.uk

Social

Fiscal

Costs - Revenue- Capital- Kind

Efficiency Savings

Benefits- Fiscal- Economic- Social

Return on Investment Ratio

Inputs Outputs Outcomes

Family Pathfinders Direct ExpenditureArea A £1,592,998Area B £2,525,282Area C £1,233,343Area D £1,720,000Area E £779,647Area F £708,240Area G £2,550,000Total £11,109,510Young Carer PathfindersArea H £223,000Area I £155,350Area J £399,000Area K £119,500Total £896,850

Agency/ProfessionalTotal Hours Provided Optimistic Scenario

Total Hours Provided Base and Pessimistic

ScenarioOptimistic Cost Base Cost Pessimistic Cost

Adult Social Worker 0 0 £0 £0 £0ASB (Anti-Social Behaviour) 0 128 £0 £3,840 £3,840CAB (Citizens Advice Bureau) 0 0 £0 £0 £0CAMHS (Child and Adolescent Mental HealthServices)

164 204 £5,236 £11,016 £13,668

Children’s Social Worker 1066 2366 £31,992 £92,276 £338,346

Clinical Psychologist 80 93 £2,720 £7,187 £7,187

Connexions 56 93 £1,736 £2,877 £2,877

Councillor 18 21 £693 £809 £809

Debt Councillor 30 36 £930 £1,116 £1,116

Domestic Violence 122 209 £3,655 £6,277 £6,277

EWS (Education Welfare Service) 236 237 £7,082 £7,097 £7,097

Family Worker 48 136 £1,104 £5,304 £5,304

Family Group Conferencing Service 36 156 £828 £6,084 £6,084

Health Visitor 8 27 £252 £2,288 £2,766

Housing 4 4 £112 £124 £124

Job Centre 140 131 £4,352 £4,074 £4,074

Mental Health (other) 45 58 £1,716 £2,228 £2,228

Police 333 720 £9,990 £21,600 £21,600

Probation/YOT (Youth Offending Team) 0 24 £0 £720 £720

Substance Misuse/DAAT (Drug and Alcohol Action Team)

9 12 £293 £372 £372

Voluntary Sector Engagement 0 0 £0 £0 £0

YISP (Youth Inclusion Support Panel) 0 0 £0 £0 £0

Youth Service 0 0 £0 £0 £0

TOTAL 2,395 4,655 £72,691 £175,288 £424,488

Family PathfindersTotal ‘Equivalent’

FamiliesPessimistic Base Optimistic

Area A 36 £53,053 £51,358 £46,954

Area B 208 £14,029 £13,773 £12,874

Area C 63 £26,274 £22,195 £19,992

Area D 59 £33,309 £31,304 £29,907

Area E 90 £13,379 £10,610 £9,470

Area F 45 £17,787 £17,026 £16,109

Area G 140 £20,810 £18,916 £18,754

Total 641 £20,852 £19,233 £18,089

Young Carer Pathfinders

Area H 54 £4,130

Area I 46 £3,107

Area J 100 £4,530

Area K 45 £7,231 £5,381 £3,721

Total 245 £4,671 £4,331 £4,026

Adverse OutcomeNumber with high or

medium concern at entry

Numbers with change to low or no longer a

concern at exit

Associated Cost Savings per

Individual (£)

Associated cost savings assuming all concerns

removed result in outcomes averted (£)

Primary Beneficiary

Lifetime SavingsTruancy (<18) 138 94 44,468 4,179,992 -NEET (14-20) 23 11 104,000 1,144,000 -Total lifetime savings - - - 5,323,992 -

One Year Public Purse SavingsTeenage pregnancy (<18) 27 12 7,939 95,268 NHS/Benefits agency

Youth offending (<21) 48 34 100,000 3,400,000 Prison service, criminal justice system

Adult offending (>20) 34 12 25,500 306,000 Prison service

Entry into care system (<18) 119 54 40,248 2,173,392 Children’s services

Mental health (all ages) 110 58 6,562 380,596 NHSUnemployment (>17) 349 29 5,934 172,086 DWP/Benefits Agency

Alcohol misuse(all ages)

55 34 2,196 74,664 NHS/Police

Drugs misuse (all ages) 55 26 13,626 354,276 NHS/Local authority/Police

Anti-social behaviour (allages)

63 42 5,350 224,700 Local authority/Police

Domestic violence (families) 174 117 10,801 1,263,717 Criminal justice system/Police/NHS

Total one year public pursesavings

8,444,699

Lifetime plus one year public purse savings 13,768,691

Area Optimistic ScenarioBase

ScenarioPessimistic

Scenario

Family Pathfinders

Area A £69,323 £51,992 £34,662

Area B £29,044 £21,783 £14,522

Area C £13,390 £10,043 £6,695

Area D £89,156 £66,867 £44,578

Area E £41,628 £31,221 £20,814

Area F £104,737 £78,553 £52,369

Area G £50,307 £37,730 £25,153

Young Carer Pathfinders

Area H £4,772 £3,579 £2,386

Area I £20,641 £15,481 £10,320

Area J £10,240 £7,680 £5,120

Area K £4,843 £3,633 £2,422

Area

SROI ratios

Optimistic Scenario

Base Scenario

Pessimistic Scenario

Family Pathfinders

Area A 1.48 1.01 0.65

Area B 2.26 1.58 1.04

Area C 0.67 0.45 0.25

Area D 2.98 2.14 1.34

Area E 4.40 2.94 1.56

Area F 6.50 4.61 2.94

Area G 2.68 1.99 1.21

Total 2.69 1.90 1.17

Young Carer Pathfinders

Area H 1.16 0.87 0.58

Area I 6.11 4.58 3.06

Area J 2.26 1.70 1.13

Area K 1.30 0.68 0.33

Total 2.71 1.89 1.17

• Finance from Foundations, or Commercial investors

Raising a sum for investment

• Implemented by a range of providers, coordinated by a lead organisation, intermediary or an SPV

A programme of actions

• Commitment to pay on achieving outcomes

• Benchmarked against control group, and separated from "environmental" risk factors

A commitment to repay

Special Purchase Vehicle

Opportunity not

Threat

OutcomesInputs

Outputs

Information not Contracting Issue

Opportunities Focus VFM

Acceptable Evidence

Limitation not Silver Bullet

Scaling Pilots

Funding and Risk

Unintended Consequences

Commissioning and

Contracting

Politics Administration

GovernanceMeasurement

Facilitate Delivery Model Development

Establish Evaluation Framework

Estimate Efficiency Savings

Deliver Evaluation/

Support Self-Evaluation

Advise on Payment by

Results

Conduct FROI