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Future work of the Commission including the establishment of

Expert Teams

Dr Jim SalingerPresident of CAgM

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Challenges facing food production

• The world population is projected to grow from 6.8 billion today to 8.3 billion in 2030 and nearly 9.2 billion in 2050;

• Growth will be concentrated in developing countries;

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Challenges facing food production

• Global food production will therefore need to increase by more than 50% by 2030, and nearly double by 2050;

• 450 million smallholder farms in the world and several issues in the recent years are threatening their very livelihoods and those of fishers;

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The Future – what we plan to do

• CAgM – XV (Belo Horizonte, Brazil; 15-21 July 2010)

- Updating CAgM Terms of Reference in line with results based management

- Evolution of the work programme

                              

CAgM XV - 2010

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EC LXII - 2010

OPAG 1 - ICT and ETs

• ICT 1.1 Agrometeorological Services:- Consider requirements for farm-level strategies- Ensure accurate, reliable and systematic regionalized services to agriculture

• ET 1.2 Strengthening Operational Agrometeorological Services- Prepare guidelines to interface NHMSs and farmers

- Better utilize media capabilities to enhance agromet service delivery • ET 1.3 Developing Agrometeorological Products & Services for

Sustainable Agricultural Development:- Review products and services for response farming principles- Develop products and services to combat unfavourable conditions

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OPAG 2 – ICT and ETs

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• ICT 2.1 Agrometeorological Support Systems:- Recommend regional based capability for operational applications- Review operational data applications, tools and delivery systems

• ET 2.2 Developing Agrometeorological Decision Support Systems for Agrometeorological Services

- Review weather forecasts and climate predictions for applications

- Develop a framework of support systems for services at different scales

• ET 1.3 Software Resources for Operational Applications in Agrometeorology:

- Review information that farmers need for strategic planning- Develop guidance material for applications and information

delivery

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OPAG 3 – ICT and ETs

• ICT 3.1 Climate Change Variability and Natural

Disasters in Agriculture:- Review regional climate scenarios for agricultural adaptation strategies- Identify deficiencies in long-range predictions for agriculture

• ET 3.2 Weather and Climate Extremes and Impacts and Preparedness Strategies

- Determine critical areas where agriculture is vulnerable to extremes- Analyse and summerise strategies to cope with climate risks

• ET 3.3 Adaptation to Climate Change at the Regional Level- Assess response of agricultural communities to cope with change- Recommend ways to improve communication of information

CAgM XV - 2010

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Fisheries

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• ET 4.1 Joint with JCOMM on Weather, Climate

and Fisheries – a new initiative:- Review effects of climate from seasons to decades on fisheries- Review current climate change impacts on fisheries

• Fisheries play a crucial role for food supply,

food security and income generation;• Fish is a major source of protein diets, about 20%

protein in the diets of over 2.8 billion people –

reaching 50% in the world’s poorest and 90% in SIDs;• Climate change and variability is likely to modify

oceanic fisheries, with unpredictable consequences.

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Experts to other TCs

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• ET 5 CAgM Experts Serving on Teams of other

Technical Commissions - Commission for Climatology;- Commission for Hydrology;

- ………..

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Concluding Remarks

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• Challenges are many for CAgM in contributing to the enhancement food supply and security because of weather and climate incoming seasons, decades and over the 21st century to assist food production to adapt to climate variability and change;

• The CAgM programme has a critical role to play in developing countries especially in the Americas, Africa, south and east Asia;

World Meteorological OrganizationWorking together in weather, climate and water

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Thank You

CAgM XV - 2010