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    WORLD BANK

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    ROBERT-ZOELLICKPrsident since July 2007

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    Introduction

    The World Bank is one of the worlds largest sources of funding and knowledge for

    developing countries. India is one of our oldest members, having joined the

    institution at its inception in 1944.

    In India, the World Bank works in close partnership with the Central and State

    Governments.

    It also works with other development partners: bilateral and multilateral donor

    organizations, nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), the private sector, and the

    general publicincluding academics, scientists, economists, journalists, teachers,

    and local people involved in development projects

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    THE WORLD BANKS PLAN OF ACTION IN INDIA

    The World Bank's work plan in India is spelt out in its Country Strategy

    (CAS). The Country Strategy for India is closely aligned with India's own

    development priorities and describes what kind of supportand how much

    can be provided to the country over a period of around four years.

    The Country Strategy for India for 2009-2012 is aligned with the

    government's Eleventh Five Year Plan. It focuses on helping the country to

    fast-track the development of much-needed infrastructure, support theseven poorest states, and respond to the financial crisis

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    The strategy foresee total proposed lending of US$14

    billion for 2009 - 2012. As private financing dries up

    in the wake of the global financial crisis, the Bank has

    agreed to provide an additional US$ 3 billion as partof the total financing envelope of US$ 14 billion

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    LENDING TO INDIA

    At the end of June 30, 2010, the World Bank group had

    75 active projects in the country. The net commitment

    for these projects was about $21.4 billion. New lending

    in FY10 (1 July 2009- 30 June 2010) amounted to $9.3 billion

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    Commitments as on June 30, 2010 (FY10):

    $21.4 billion

    Commitments FY05 FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10

    New Lending 2.9 1.4 3.7 2.7 2.3 9.3

    Total Commitments

    (Active Projects)12.8 11.3 14.3 13.8 14.9 21.4

    Total No. of Active

    Projects64 56 67 60 61 75

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    World Bank to Support Bihar Governments Initiative to

    Rebuild Flood-Affected Areas with $220 million

    The 2008 floods in the Kosi basin affected about 3.3 million people

    in five districts of Bihar. About one million people were withdraw

    from and about 460,000 people were given temporary shelter in

    relief camps.

    Thousands of families dependant on farming lost land due to

    siltation, with massive damage to housing and infrastructure.

    An already helpless rural population lost whatever little they

    owned, falling even deeper into poverty.

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    The new project aims to help Bihars flood-affected people by

    supporting the reconstruction of about 100,000 houses, and the

    rebuilding of 90 bridges and 290 kilometers of rural roads.

    Of the total cost of $259 million, Government of Bihar would

    contribute $39 million for the project.

    The cost per house will be Rs. 55000 ($1200) with an additional

    cost of Rs. 2300 ($50) for a toilet and Rs. 5000 ($110) for solar

    powered lighting.

    In cases where beneficiaries do not own land, the Government ofBihar will provide additional assistance of Rs. 5000 ($110) for the

    people to buy the land.

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    Project Details:

    The project has five key components:

    Owner Driven Housing Reconstruction - To reconstruct thedamaged houses of about 100,000 households using an

    owner driven reconstruction model.

    Reconstruction of Roads and Bridges To restore

    connectivity by reconstructing damaged roads and bridges.About 2.2 million people are expected to benefit from the

    construction of about 90 bridges and culverts on the state

    highway and major district roads, as well as from the

    reconstruction of about 290 km of rural roads.

    Strengthening Flood Management Capacity To

    strengthen Bihars capacity for overall flood forecasting and

    the management of flood-erosion.

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    Livelihood Restoration and Enhancement - To help

    build social and financial capital, and restore and

    expand the livelihood opportunities of the affected

    people.

    Improving Emergency Response Capacity To

    provide contingency funding for works, goods and

    services required to respond in case of future

    calamities.

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    India's transfer of funds data until

    third quarter of 2009

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    India's Prime Minister's Economic Advisory Council

    which suggest that remittance flows to India willgrow strongly in the 2009/10 fiscal year (which runs

    from April through March).

    Inward private transfers reached $27.5 billion in the

    first half of the current fiscal year, a 4.3 percentincrease on a year on year basis .

    The PMEAC predicts that India will receive $30

    billion in the second half of the fiscal year, which will

    take the annual figure to over $57 billion, a nearly 30

    percent increase over the previous fiscal year.

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    Global Finance and the role

    of the World Bank

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    International Financial Institutions

    The role of the World Bank as provider ofeconomic and development data and

    intelligence, provider of infrastructure project

    financing and structural adjustment lending,and of investment risk cover.

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    IMF & WORLD BANK: the two sister institutions

    IMF

    2715 employees cooperative credit union with

    185 member countriesproviding quotas whose totalreach > US$300 billion.

    Crisis prevention and short-term financing of temporarybalance of payments problemswith macro-economicstabilization programs

    Technical assistance Loans outstanding: $45 billion

    IBRD + IDA + IFC +MIGA

    10,000 employees 185 shareholder countries

    The Bank leverages its AAA ratingto issue long-term global bonds inthe capital markets

    Eligible countries:$1065>GDP

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    World Bank Group

    M H BOUCHET/CERAM (c)

    IBRD: set up in 1945; 184 member countries; cumulative lending:US$394 billion; US$11 in 2004 in 40 countries; lending (12-20/3-5);

    Capital: US$189 billion. Loans to low and middle-income countries

    IDA: 1960; 164 members; GNP per capita

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    The IBRD in the World Bank Group

    World Bank (1944)

    makes LT loans to countries to enhance sustainable

    economic development

    alleviates external debt burden

    maintains profit-oriented objectives

    loans are not subsidized

    engages in co-financing agreements to extend

    economic impact (catalytic role)

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    The IBRD Organization

    The World Bank is a truly global institution

    184 countries, all members of the IMF (precondition) Established in 1945, as part of a new framework for

    international cooperation (Bretton Woods Conference, New

    Hampshire, July 1944)

    The 24-member Board represents the 184 member countriesand is made up of 5 appointed and 19 elected Executive

    Directors

    Cumulative lending as of 2004= $394 billion Lending in 2004: $11 billion in 37 countries

    Capital to Assets ratio= 1

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    Cooperative institution owned by its memberswho subscribe to its capital. The amount of shares

    each member is allocated reflects its quota in theIMF.

    Members pay in a small portion of the value oftheir shares, the remainder is callable capital

    (only be paid should the IBRD be unable to meetits obligations)

    Subscribed capital= US$189 billion

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    The World Bank Group and the IBRD

    Capital Share and Country Voting Power

    USA= 13,91%

    Japan= 10,92%

    Germany= 7,02

    UK= 5%

    France= 4,34%

    Belgium-Turkey (12 countries) = 4,45%

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    M H BOUCHET/CERAM (c)

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    Regional IBRD-IDA Lending distribution 2004

    27%

    20%

    5%

    17%

    13%

    18%

    LAC

    Africa

    Meast

    South Asia

    East Asia

    Eurasia

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    Annual lending program (IBRD/IDA)in US$ million

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    1 99 2 1 99 3 1 99 4 1 99 5 1 99 6 1 99 7 1 99 8 1 999 2 00 0 2 00 1 2 00 2 2 003 2 00 4

    Loans

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    4 types of guarantees

    Transfer restriction coverage protects against losses arising from aninvestor's inability to convert local currency (capital, interest,principal, profits, royalties, or other monetary benefits) into foreignexchange for transfer outside the host country.

    Expropriation coverage offers protection against loss of the insuredinvestment as a result of acts by the host government that may reduceor eliminate ownership of, control over, or rights to the insured

    investment. War and civil disturbance coverage protects against loss due to the

    destruction, disappearance, or physical damage to tangible assetscaused by politically motivated acts of war or civil disturbance,including revolution, insurrection, and coups d'etat. Terrorism and

    sabotage are also covered. Breach of contract coverage protects against losses arising from the

    host government's breach or repudiation of a contractual agreementwith the investor.

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    Toward a mutually-fruitfulpartnership between the World Bank

    Group and the Private Sector

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    1. Products and Services

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    a. ProcurementInformation

    World Bank lending generates about 40,000 contractsworth approximately $25 billion annually to firms

    worldwide.

    Loans are made to governments and government agencies,

    which are responsible for procurement. The World Bank

    issues standard bidding documents, supports borrowers in

    developing procurement capacity, disseminates information

    on procurement matters, and maintains liaison with thebusiness community through periodic conferences and

    monthly business seminars.

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    Fi i f S ll dM di i

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    c. Financing for Small- andMedium- size

    Enterprises

    Both the World Bank and IFC have developed specialfacilities to enhance access to international credit byentrepreneurs for micro-, small-, and medium-sizeenterprises.

    The "Extending IFC's Reach" initiative promotes privateinvestment in selected regions and countries where difficultconditions have constrained IFC activity.

    A Small Enterprise Fund is used to invest in projects with

    total costs between US$250,000 to US$5 million andprimarily provides debt financing but will also have theflexibility to make equity and quasi-equity investments andto provide local currency guarantees.

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    IFC has established several programs to assist entrepreneurs

    develop business proposals and raise financing for projects.

    To meet the financing needs of the enterprises, the programscatalyse funds from local and foreign banks, private

    investors, and investment funds.

    The Consultative Group to Assist the Poorest (CGAP) is a

    multidonor effort to systematically increase resources formicro enterprises. It provides governments, donors, and

    practitioners with a vehicle for structured learning on how to

    reach the poor with sustainable financial services. CGAP

    also funds sound micro finance institutions, with the

    objective of helping them achieve commercial viability.

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    e. Other Products and Services

    In addition to providing products, services and business

    opportunities to the private sector, the World Bank enters

    into various types of partnerships with private sectororganizations.

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    f. Investment Marketing Services

    MIGA's Investment Marketing Services Departmentprovides technical assistance to public and private sectorinvestment intermediaries in developing membercountries and transition economies.

    This assistance is designed to help client countries attractand retain foreign direct investment (FDI).

    More than ninety developing and transitional countrieshave benefited from capacity building, investment

    facilitation and information dissemination assistance fromIMS.

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    Focal Point for Business Inquiries: The BPC acts as a

    referral service and hot line, directing incoming

    inquiries (via phone, fax, and e-mail) to appropriate

    staff within the Bank Group for action. It also

    disseminates general information on Bank Group

    products, services and special initiatives of interest to

    businesses. Partnerships with Business Organizations: The BPC is

    establishing partnerships with leading business

    organizations around the world (such as chambers of

    commerce and federation of industries) to disseminateinformation about the Bank Group's private sector

    activities.

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    INTERNATIONAL TRADE

    AFTER THE CRISIS

    Sebastian Saez

    Senior Economist

    International Trade Department

    World Bank

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    CONTENTS

    CRISIS CHARACTERISTICS

    WHAT WE LEARNT FROM THE CRISIS

    FUTURE TRENDS AND THEIR

    IMPORTANCE FOR THE REGION

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    Sudden, severe andsynchronized collapse

    (Richard Baldwin, 2009)

    CRISIS CHARACTERISTICS

    S dd d h i d

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    Sudden, severe and synchronized

    collapse

    Exports Growth by RegionImports Growth by Region

    Source: World Bank, Global Monitoring Report, 2010.

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    Commercial transmissionchannels

    COMMERCIALCHARACTERISTICS OF THE

    CRISIS

    EVOLUTION OF RAW MATERIAL

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    EVOLUTION OF RAW MATERIAL

    PRICES

    Source: World Bank based on WTO data, Global

    Monitoring Report, 2010.

    Source: World Bank, Global Economic

    Prospects, Summer, 2010

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    They were quite generalized.

    Source: World Bank based on WTO data, Global Monitoring Report, 2010.

    Number of restrictive andliberalizing measures

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    DEVELOPING COUNTRIES HAVE STARTED MOST OF

    THE PROTECTIONIST ACTIONS

    Source : Bown, Chad P. (2010) Temporary Trade Barriers Database,May, available at http://econ.worldbank.org/ttbd

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    45

    50

    1Q-2007

    2Q-2007

    3Q-2007

    4Q-2007

    1Q-2008

    2Q-2008

    3Q-2008

    4Q-2008

    1Q-2009

    2Q-2009

    3Q-2009

    4Q-2009

    1Q-2010

    Investigaciones Iniciadas1Q 2007 - 1Q 2010(a nivel de productos)

    Initiated by

    developingeconomies

    Initiated bydevelopedeconomies

    Investigations initiated 1Q 2007

    1Q 2010(at product level)

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    DEVELOPING COUNTRIES HAVE ADOPTED

    MOST OF THE PROTECTION ACTIONS

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    1Q-2007

    2Q-2007

    3Q-2007

    4Q-2007

    1Q-2008

    2Q-2008

    3Q-2008

    4Q-2008

    1Q-2009

    2Q-2009

    3Q-2009

    4Q-2009

    1Q-2010

    Nuevas Medidas Adoptadas 1Q 2007 - 1Q 2010

    Imposed bydeveloping

    economies

    Imposed bydevelopedeconomies

    Source : Bown, Chad P. (2010) Temporary Trade Barriers Database,May, available at http://econ.worldbank.org/ttbd

    New measures adopted 1Q 2007 1Q 2010

    EVALUATING THE COMMERCIAL

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    EVALUATING THE COMMERCIAL

    RESPONSES

    Some countries have adopted liberalizing actions: Mexico,Malaysia and other.

    Trade facilitation actions.

    Reduction in taxes affecting trade and exports.

    Many of the protection actions adopted are found in industries

    that traditionally make use of contingent protection.

    (Messerlin, 2009)

    But we should see how the situation evolves and maintain

    monitoring as was done during this period.

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    Higher growth is expected in the Asian region.

    TRENDS

    Latin American-Asian trade has grown strongly over the last few years, but it

    represents less than 15% of total exports.

    Strategy to increase exports to this region

    Higher and growing trade fragmentation: port nodes are organized

    around main trade flows that do not go through Latin America

    The crisis may strengthen the integration of regional blocks:In 2010, 9 new regional agreements were notified to the WTO;

    In 2009, 20 agreements were notified to the WTO.

    In recent years, agreements have increasingly included services trade.

    In the region this is a little developed topic

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