umno elections perceptions survey - malay respondents

8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Malay Respondents

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Main FindingsFebruary 2009

MALAY VOTERS'OPINION SURVEYPENINSULAR

PERCEPTIONS OF UMNOPARTY ELECTIONS 2009

MEDIA RELEASE


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MERDEKA CENTER 2

National Voter Opinion Poll: Perceptions of UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, Malay voters only n = 592

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Findings cover responses from 592 Malay respondents in the survey

Estimated margin of error is 4.20%

Study Method


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AgeSetting

49%

51%

Male Female

19%

29% 30%

22%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Northem Central Eastem Southem

44%

56%

Urban Rural

17%

28%

55%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

21-30 31-45 46 Above

Gender Region

Respondent Profile Malay [ n = 592 ]


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MERDEKA CENTER 5


Occupation

Level of Education

16% 13%2%

20%

3% 2%

32%

12%

0%

10%20%30%40%50%60%

Employed

Private

Employed

Govt

Own business

operates a

business that

hires other

people

Self

employed/small

business or

trader

Unemployed,

looking for work

Student Homemaker Retired

90%

6%

4%

Every election Every other election

Never voted before

3%

26%

48%

13% 10%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Noformal

education

Prim

aryschool

Second

aryschool

Diploma

/Polytechni

cs/Te

achers

College/Vocational

Ins

titutes

Degree

73%

27%

Yes No

Voting Status

Dependents

Respondent Profile Malay [ n = 592 ]


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6

Perceptions on UMNO/BN


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7

In the last general election in March 2008, non-Malays voters were more likely tovote for Opposition parties. How should UMNO work with other component partiesin Barisan Nasional?

Perception on UMNO/BN, Malay [ n = 592 ]

28%36%

30%23%

55%52%

53%

17% 16% 17% 17% 16% 18% 17% 16% 14%13%

21%

2% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% 4%

27%30% 30% 29% 24%29%27%

52% 51% 53% 58%56%

54% 56%45%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Total (n=592) Male(n=291) Female

(n=301)

Urban (n=263) Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)

Gender Setting Age Accupation

No responseDont knowStrengthen UMNO by giving in / compromise the demands of non-Malay component parties.Strengthen BN by featuring non-Malay component parties.


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MERDEKA CENTER 8


8

34% 32% 32% 29%

34% 38%41%

32% 38%

20% 18%14%

21% 18%14%

10% 10% 7% 12% 10% 8%

2% 4% 3% 3% 5% 4%

31%34%

42%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Taking care of

Malay rights

Taking care of

the interest of

all races

Bringing

economic

development

Protecting the

position of

Islam

Ensuring

political

stability

Ensuring racial

unity

Very confident Somewhat confident

Somewhat not confident Not confident at allDont know

How strongly are you confident or not confident in Barisan Nasional in fulfilling thefollowing aspects :

Perception on Current Situation, Malay [ n = 592 ]


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Expectations on UMNO


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10

4%7%2%No response

1%1%2%Dont know

1%0%1%No problem

1%1%Favoritism

4%6%2%Racist

11%16%5%Arrogance

12%22%3%Weak manager of the economy

15%22%8%Weak leaders

16%19%13%Out of touch

35%7%64%Corruption

AverageSecond

Problem

First

ProblemWithin UMNO Problem


Among the problems mentioned by people about UMNO, please choose TWO thatyou feel are most serious. You may include any other problems .


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11

4%

1%

1%

1%

4%

35%

16%

15%

12%

11%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40%

Corruption

Out of touch

Weak leaders

Weak manager of the economy

Arrogance

Racist

Important oneself / Favouritism

No problem

Dont know

No response


Among the problems mentioned by people about UMNO, please choose TWO thatyou feel are most serious. You may include any other problems .


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12

Now, I am going to read to you two statements. After you hear each one, please tellme which one is closer to your opinion:

48%

2% 2%

48%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

UMNOs internal problemsare jeopardising the future

of the Malays/ people.

Although UMNO facesinternal problems, UMNO

is still able to fight for the

interest of the

Malays/people.

Dont know No response



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13

13%5% 7%

13%

33%

34%27%

32% 31%33%

34%30%

35%

35%

30%37%

36% 30%

18% 22% 15% 19% 18%

14%

26% 16%21%

23% 27%

5% 4% 6% 5% 6% 2% 4% 7%2% 5% 4%

13%13% 13%7%

19%11%13%

30% 29% 42%28%

25%31% 33%

31%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat not effective

Not effective at all Dont know


How strongly do you think that establishing the Malaysian Anti-CorruptionCommission (MACC) is effective or not effective in improving the image of UMNOand BN?


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14

12%5% 8%

9%

32%

32% 30%

26% 25% 28% 29%24%

23%

31%

25%34% 25%

26%

16%20%

13%20%

13%

15%

22% 14%17% 25%

24%

12% 9% 16%9%

15%8%

11% 14%10% 7% 10%

1% 1% 2%

12%12% 11% 11%16%

9%12%

34%30%

42% 31%

33%33% 35%

31%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Very effective Somewhat effective Somewhat not effective

Not effective at all Dont know No response


How strongly do you think that establishing the Judiciary AppointmentCommission (JAC) is effective or not effective in improving the image of UMNOand BN?


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15

3% 2% 1% 3%

14%14%

16%

23% 21%25%

22%24% 23%

22%

24%26% 25%

21%

52% 57% 48% 57% 48%54%

65%

46% 57% 57% 56%

6% 4% 8%4% 8%

1% 2%9%

2% 3% 4%

5%2% 2% 3% 4% 1%4%

16% 14%18% 17%

13%15% 16%

8%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Very sufficient Somewhat sufficient Somewhat insufficient

Not sufficient at all Dont know

In your view, how strongly do you think the efforts to curb money politics in UMNOnow is sufficient or insufficient?



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As a Malaysian, what is your hope for UMNO?


3%5%4%Hopeless

1%1%1%Reform UMNO

1%1%1%Pull back people confident

1%2%1%Distrust UMNO

1%2%1%Political stability

2%1%2%Unite malay people

2%3%3%Develop the country/ establish country

4%2%3%Economic raise and stabilization

3%4%3%Reassure UMNO glorious

3%4%4%Perform well and keep the promises

2%6%4%Islamic governance3%5%4%Fight for corruption

4%5%5%Fight for the malay right

6%6%6%Treat all races equally

10%2%6%Concern of country peaceful

11%7%9%Takes care of peoples welfare

10%19%15%Improve administration system to better way

21%16%19%Continue lead the country

FemaleMaleTotalHope for UMNO


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17

In your view, what are the criteria of an UMNO leader that can fulfill your hope?


1%0%No criteria and hopeless from UMNO leader

1%1%Tolerance

1%2%2%Able to fulfill promise

1%2%2%Disciplined and unselfish

1%2%2%Open minded and look forward

2%2%2%Dedicated and dexterity

3%1%2%Smart/Capable

1%3%2%Educated

3%2%2%High leadership

2%4%3%Transparent and sincere

6%3%4%Kind

6%5%6%Strict

7%5%6%Be fair to all

6%7%6%Free from corruption

8%5%7%Responsible

15%11%13%Concern about the people

12%17%14%Religion knowledge15%15%15%Honest and trusted

FemaleMaleTotalCriteria


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18

How strongly are you confident or not confident that the following UMNO leaderscan fulfill your hopes for UMNO?


17%9%

41%

26%21%

19%

26%

23%

9%

19% 32%

3%5%

1% 1% 1%

8%

11%12% 16%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Muhyiddin Yassin Mohd. Ali Rustam Muhammad Muhd Taib

Very confident Somewhat confidentSomewhat not confident Not confident at all

Dont know the person Unable to accessNo response


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Perceptions towards UMNOParty Elections


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20

61% 59% 57% 58%

14% 17% 14%

8%8%

8%7% 9%

7%

9% 8%11% 4% 8%

15%12%

18% 16%15%

11%17% 16% 14%

16% 18%

2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2%

57%65%

60% 56%64% 64%62%

14%15% 24% 11% 12%14% 13% 14%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Muhyiddin Yassin Mohd. Ali Rustam

Muhammad Muhd Taib Dont knowNo response

Of the candidates vying for UMNO deputy presidency, who do you think is bestsuited for the post?

Perceptions towards UMNO Party Elections, Malay [ n = 592 ]


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21

Of the candidates vying for UMNO vice presidency, who do you think is best suitedfor the post [choose 3 names]?

31%47%40%6%No response

5%0%0%16%Dont know

2%0%0%7%None of the above

1%3%0%0%RahimTambyChik1%3%1%0%MohdIsaSamad

3%3%5%2%Mohd. KhaledNordin

4%8%2%1%JamaluddinJarjis

7%11%5%4%RaisYatim7%11%8%3%Shafie Apdal

8%8%12%3%Syed Hamid Albar

13%4%21%13%Ahmad Zahid Hamidi

17%2%6%43%Hishamuddin HusseinAverageChoice 3Choice 2Choice 1Candidate



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22

15% 11% 14%19%

55% 60%55%

13% 13% 13% 14% 12%

10%

7%17%

12% 8% 11%

12% 10% 14% 11% 12%7%

14% 12% 12% 16% 13%

2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 2%

16%14% 14% 15% 17%

8%16%

61% 59%

67%

51% 67%58% 57% 67%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Khairy Jamaluddin Mukhriz Mahathir Mohd. Khir Toyo


Of the candidates vying for UMNO youth chief, who do you think is best suited tolead UMNO Youth?



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23

Of the candidates vying for UMNO Wanita chief, who do you think is best suited tolead Wanita UMNO?

27%23% 24% 23%

57%

60% 61%

10% 11% 10% 12% 9%9%

11% 10% 13%12% 13%

3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 3%

30%24% 22%

27% 30%20%

31%

63% 63%64% 56%

67%60%

57%64%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Rafidah Aziz Shahrizat Jalil Dont know No response



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24

Of the candidates vying for Puteri UMNO chief, who do you think is best suited tolead Puteri UMNO?

21%17%

22% 18%

33%37%

27%

44% 43% 45% 44% 44%

30%

44%48%

38% 40%53%

2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 3% 3% 3% 2%

22%21% 20%26% 22% 20%22%

33% 35%

43%

27%37%33% 32% 38%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural (n=329) 21-30 (n=98) 31-45 (n=167) 46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private (n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=131)


Rosnah Abdul Rashid Sirlin Shahniza Shamsuddin




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MERDEKA CENTER 25


25

Between these two following statements about Umno party elections in 2009 whichone is closest to your view?

60%

2%3%

34%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

A compromise among the

Deputy President

candidates is the best way

to elect the most suitable

leader without a split in the

party.

The Deputy President

candidates should not

compromise because the

contest will not split the

party.




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26

60%53%

62%

48%

11%

15%

19%

7%8%

4%

3%

10%

12%

3% 8%

15%

13%

4%

11%8%

18%

11% 12%

6%

18%8%

15%

8% 5%14% 5%

10%6% 6%

10%8%

15%

1% 2% 3% 3%

58%

75%67%

59%63%63%

54%

21%12%13%

13%

5%

18%

16%15%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Total (n=90) Male(n=62) Female (n=28) Urban (n=38) Rural (n=52) 21-30 (n=17) 31-45 (n=34) 46 Above

(n=39)

Employed -

Private (n=13)

Employed -

Govt (n=8)

Own business/

Self employed

(n=28)


Muhyiddin Yassin Mohd. Ali RustamMuhammad Muhd Taib Nobody suitable


If the candidates for the Deputy President post decide to compromise, who do youthink is most suitable to hold the post of Deputy President?



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MERDEKA CENTER 27


27

Now, I am going to read to you two statements concerning UMNO party election.After you hear each one, please tell me which one is closer to your opinion:

78%

2% 2%

19%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Party delegates should

determine UMNO leadership

line-up without being influenced

by anyone at all because it is

an internal affair of the party.

Party delegates should listen to

the views of people like you in

determining UMNO leadership

line-up because it will determine

the leadership of the country




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28

23%

30%

22% 23% 23% 22% 23%

32%24%

20%

20%

20%

22% 18%28%

15%22%

17%

18%

6%

5%

6%

7%4%

6%

8%

4%

9%4%

6%

10%9%

12%

9%12%

14%

11%

9%

11% 15%13%

26%23%

30%

28%25%

27%22%

29%

29% 23%24%

14% 11% 16%10%

17%8% 8%

18%

7% 9%11%

2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 4%

15% 22%

22%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural

(n=329)

21-30 (n=98) 31-45

(n=167)

46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private

(n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own

business/ Self

employed

(n=131)

Abolishing the nomination quota systemin UMNO party election

(a candidate has to receive a certain amount of nomination before he is eligible to contest)

Strongly agree Somewhat agree MaybeSomewhat disagree Strongly disagree Dont know

No response

How strongly do you agree or disagree to.....?



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MERDEKA CENTER 29


29

How strongly do you agree or disagree to.....?

27%30%

25% 29% 28% 28%

32% 31%29%

26%25%

26% 27%24% 26% 27%

26% 25%23%

10% 8% 11% 10% 9%

10%

11% 9% 9% 4% 14%

14% 14% 14% 16% 12%

16%

16%13%

14%

15%13%

17% 16% 18% 16% 18% 24%16%

16%16%

21% 14%

5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 6%3% 4%

5%1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2%

24%25%

20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%


(n=301)

Urban

(n=263)

Rural

(n=329)

21-30 (n=98) 31-45

(n=167)

46 Above

(n=327)

Employed -

Private

(n=92)

Employed -

Govt (n=75)

Own

business/ Self

employed

(n=131)

Ordinary members to be given the right to vote for UMNO top posts

Strongly agree Somewhat agree MaybeSomewhat disagree Strongly disagree Dont know

No response


umno elections perceptions survey - malay respondents

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