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Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of ecosystem status and trends indicators of ecosystem status and trends Jackie Grebmeier on behalf of the DBO Biology teams DBO Workshop Seoul, Korea 27 March 2011

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Page 1: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of ecosystem status and trendsindicators of ecosystem status and trends

Jackie Grebmeier on behalf of the DBO Biology teamsgyDBO Workshop

Seoul, Korea27 March 2011

Page 2: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Core standardized ship-based sampling:

Distributed Biological Observatory-Lower Trophics

Core standardized ship-based sampling: CTD, ADCP Chlorophyll NutrientsNutrients Ice algae/Phytoplankton (size, biomass and composition) Zooplankton (size, biomass and composition) Benthos (size, biomass and composition)( ) Seabird (standard protocols, no additional ship time) Marine mammal observations (no additional ship time)

“Change detection array” – same measurements every year, process information in near real time <6 mos; detect regime shifts in rapid changes

Second tier ship based sampling:Second tier ship-based sampling: Fishery acoustics (less effort than bottom trawling) Mid-water & bottom trawling (every 3-5 years)

Additional leveraged programs both domestic and international

Page 3: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO 2010 “Pilot” Season: International cruises to Pacific Arctic: Lower Trophic Data p

Vessel Country PI

Moana Wave USA Grebmeier

Alaskan Enterprise

USA Napp*

Xue Long China HeBarrow Canyon Xue Long China He

Mirai Japan Itoh

Laurier Canada Nelson,

Barrow Canyon “hotspot” 

GrebmeierHealy USA Arrigo

Healy USA PickartSCS “hotspot” 

Annika Marie USA Ashjian

Khromov Russia & USA

HopcroftandUSA and Kosobokova

http://pag.arcticportal.org *winch issues 2010

Page 4: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO 2010

Biology subgroup leads Jackie Grebmeier Carin Ashjian RussBiology subgroup leads–Jackie Grebmeier, Carin Ashjian, Russ Hopcroft, Motoyo Itoh, Ksenia Kosobokova, Sue Moore, Jeff Napp, John Nelson, and Jiafeng He

Biology data collected at Barrow Canyon DBO Line: 5 cruises by 4 nations in 2010: Canada, China, Japan, USA, SE Chukchi DBO Line: 4 cruises by 4 nations: Canada, China, Russia and USA Type:

Ph t l kt ID J ki G b i (li it d BC COMIDA) Phytoplankton IDs: Jackie Grebmeier (limited-BC; COMIDA) Zooplankton IDs: John Nelson (SECS and BC, Canada; C30), CarinAshjian (BC, USA; AON), Russ Hopcroft and Ksenia Kosobokova (SECS, USA and Russia; RUSALCA) Jeff Napp (BC USA; CHAOZ)USA and Russia; RUSALCA), Jeff Napp (BC, USA; CHAOZ) Benthic: Jackie Grebmeier (SECS and B, also NBS), USA; C30, COMIDA, BEST), Jianfeng He (SECS and BC, China; CHINARE)

Page 5: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

2010 DBO International Pilot Project

Page 6: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Rebecca Woodgate: RUSALCA 2010 Cruise report:…All stations were sampled for nutrients and chlorophyll BS line fornutrients and chlorophyll, BS line for dissolved inorganic carbon (for Nick Bates), organic nitrogen (for Terry Whitledge) and phytoplankton (for g ) p y p (the Shirshov Institute). Eighteen zooplankton net tows were taken (for Russ Hopcroft). Marine mammal and bird observations (by Kateand bird observations (by Kate Stafford and Carter Esch), with the focus on whales…

• RUSALCA CS line=SECS DBO lineline SECS DBO line• zooplankton DBO-SECS processed

Page 7: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Chukchi Acoustics, Oceanography, and Zooplankton Study (CHAOZ)Principle Investigators:Catherine Berchok and Jeffrey Napp, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NOAA, Seattle, WACatherine Berchok and Jeffrey Napp, Alaska Fisheries Science Center, NOAA, Seattle, WAPhyllis Stabeno and James Overland,  Pacific Marine Environmental Lab., NOAA, Seattle, WA Sue Moore, Science & Technology (ST7), NOAA, Seattle, WA 

Research Goals:Research Goals:

• Determine general presence and detailed movements of bowhead, fin, gray, and humpback whales in oil and 

l i l t

DBO-BC?DBO-

gas lease areas using long‐termpassive acoustic recorder arrays, 

sonobuoys,  shipboard visual observations, and opportunistic satellite t ki

ONECS

tracking.  • Monitor ecosystem change through the use of  long‐term biophysical moorings, shipboard observations and li t i l d lclimate numerical models

• Assess the response of the whales to environmental changes (including climate and anthropogenic use of the 

) b i t ti th bi h i larea) by integrating the biophysical,passive acoustic, and large whale biology data sets. 

Page 8: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

2010 Integrated C3O and DBO Zooplankton AnalysisJohn Nelson IOS/DFO, Canada

DBO2

DBO4

DBO1

Page 9: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

2010 Integrated C3O and DBO Zooplankton Analysis-John Nelson IOS/DFO, Canada

– 4th root transformed Bray-Curtis similarity based on abundance

DBO

20

4th root transformed Bray Curtis similarity based on abundance

Ques. “How well is the taxonomic analysis reflected in the DBO domain? Some nice correspondence but also some hybrid clusters which is to be expected given the highly advective regime through the Chukch Sea”

40

be expected given the highly advective regime through the Chukch Sea =Grebmeier benthic sampling

60 DBO1DBO2

DBO4DBO2/4

Sim

ilarit

y

80

S

BC

L-D

EE

P

SLI

P4

BC

L5

SLI

P1

BC

L3

BC

L4

BC

L1

BC

L2

BR

S0

UTB

S5

BR

S3

UTN

1

UTN

5

UTB

S1

BR

S5

BC

L7

UTN

7

PA

G2

PA

G4

PA

G6

BC

2

PA

G5

100

Latitude (° S to °N in Pacific Sector)

NOTE: DBO sites called PAG in BC area

JG1

Page 10: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Slide 9

JG1 Jackie Grebmeier, 3/26/2011

Page 11: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO1 (NBS-S) site: Decline in dominant nuculanid bivalve biomass 1990-2000, with increase nuculid bivalves since 2000

• time series essential• species composition necessary understand prey food value, nuculidbivalves less caloric content, thicker shells for threatened seabirds• changing hydrography impacts sediment grain size (fining recently)

St. Lawrence Is. Polynya Biomass by Station (gC/m2)

50.00

60.00

C/m

2 )

30.00

40.00 SLIP1

SLIP2

SLIP3

al b

iom

ass

(gC

0 00

10.00

20.00SLIP4

SLIP5

Change dominance N. radiata to E tenuis

Infa

una

0.00

1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

radiata to E. tenuis

Year

Page 12: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO 2(NBS-N): Chirikov Basin• decline ampeliscid amphipods to 2000, with some

b d lth h “f t i t” d li irebound, although “footprint” declining• note that one site changed from ampelisid amphipods to ampharetid polychaetes

Chirikov Basin Biomass by Station (gC/m2)

60.00

70.00

/m2 )

30 00

40.00

50.00

UT‐BS1

UT‐BS2 bio

mas

s (g

C/

10.00

20.00

30.00

UT‐BS4

UT‐BS5Infa

unal

0.00

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Change dominance ampeliscid amphipods to ampharetid polychaetes (UT-BS5)

Year

Page 13: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO2-SE Chukchi Sea

• changes and some decline in benthic infaunal biomassg• except UTN5 (DBO “hotspot” station at head of Herald

Valley• also UTN1 shift bivalves to sand dollars

90.00

S. Chukchi Biomass (gC/m2)

DBO-SE

60.00

70.00

80.00

UTN1

UTN2Bivalves

Dominated by M. calcarea

Dominated by M. calcarea

30 00

40.00

50.00

UTN2

UTN3

UTN4

10.00

20.00

30.00 UTN5

UTN6

UTN7Sand dollars

0.00

1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

Sand dollars

Page 14: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Benefits:

Lower trophic taxa data (phytoplankton, zooplankton and benthos) shared amongst DBO cruises can be analyzed first-benthos) shared amongst DBO cruises can be analyzed first-order via simple cluster analysis can be used to look at temporal variation, latitudinal

i ti (ti d l )variation (time and space scales) variation between labs

Challenge:

• post-cruise analysis sorting time• post-cruise analysis sorting time• standardization of gear and analytical capability• collection of standard parameters sites on a regular basis

ti l f di t• national funding support

Page 15: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Integration of visual and acoustic surveys, satellite tagging and tissue sampling viasatellite tagging and tissue sampling via

Research Partnerships

Sue MooreDBO Workshop

Seoul, Korea27 March 2011

Page 16: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Core standardized ship-based sampling:

“Vision” for Distributed Biological Observatory-High Trophics

Core standardized ship-based sampling: CTD Chlorophyll NutrientsNutrients Ice algae/Phytoplankton (size, biomass and composition) Zooplankton (size, biomass and composition) Benthos (size, biomass and composition)( ) Seabird (standard protocols, no additional ship time) = Kuletz Marine mammal observations (no additional ship time) = NMML?

“Change detection array” – same measurements every year, process information in near real time <6 mos; detect regime shifts in rapid changes

Second tier ship based sampling:Second tier ship-based sampling: Fishery acoustics (less effort than bottom trawling) = AFSC & UAF Mid-water & bottom trawling (every 3-5 years) = AFSC & UAF/

RUSALCARUSALCA

Additional leveraged programs both domestic and international

Page 17: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO- Repeated Oceanographic Sampling with Linksto Community-based Research Partnerships

● Stations from prior & existing research

SBIprograms: SBI, RUSALCA, SNACS, BOWFEST * IPY mooring

Framework for integrationof IPY * and many otherresearch programs

Links to prior & existing

research programs

Community-based Research @ SLI/DiomedeKotzebue, Pt. Lay, Barrow

* M8 mooring

Page 18: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

DBO 2010 “Pilot” Season: International cruises to Pacific Arctic (dedicated seabird/marine mammal observations)( )

Vessel Country PI

Moana Wave USA GrebmeierMoana Wave USA Grebmeier

Alaskan Enterprise

USA Napp

Xue Long China ZhaoBarrow Canyon Xue Long China Zhao

Mirai Japan Itoh

Laurier* Canada Vagle

Barrow Canyon “hotspot” 

g

Healy USA Arrigo

Healy USA PickartSCS “hotspot” 

Annika Marie USA Ashjian

Khromov Russia & USA

StaffordUSA

http://pag.arcticportal.org[*seabirds only]

Page 19: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Other Examples:Bowhead – SNACS/BOWFEST/BarrowIce Seal Tagging – NOAA/ADF&GWalrus – SIWO/ Gambell & SavoongaLinks to Co-Management Committees

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Page 21: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Seabirds and marine mammals on COMIDA/Shell RV Moana Wave 2010 cruises

Seabirds: Observations were made d i t t l f 49 b tiduring a total of 49 observation periods during transits between sampling stations. Observation periods ranged from 0.5 to 7.5 hrs

ith t t l f 114 3 h f t h tiwith a total of 114.3 hr of watch time over ~2100 km of vessel trackline. In total, 25 bird species were recorded during transit periods. Th t b d t iThe most abundant species were murres, least auklets, northern fulmars, crested auklets and black-legged kittiwakes.[ t B b R d i 2010]

[courtesy Paula von Weller, LGL]

[courtesy Bob Rodriquez, 2010]

20-marine mammals dominated by gray whales and walrus, both benthic feeders

Page 22: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

RUSALCA 2010: Baleen WhalesRUSALCA 2010: Baleen Whales

Gray whalesGray whalesfeeding @ benthichotspot

21Data courtesy Kate Stafford

Page 23: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Walrus location and benthic infaunal prey biomass

• walrus feeding in areas of ice and rich

d l i b thiunderlying benthic infauna

• issue of higher ssue o g eenergy expenditureby walrus if have to haul-out on land as occurring since 2007occurring since 2007

[courtesy Chad Jay and Tony Fischbach.]

Page 24: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

From Pacific Arctic –to- Pan ArcticCircumpolar Biodiversity Monitoring Program (CBMP)CAFF/A ti C il i t ti l ff t (d ft 2010)CAFF/Arctic Council international effort (draft 2010)

Plus data sharing planning within SAON (Sustaining Arctic Observing Networks)

Page 25: Tracking predator-prey interactions as long-term indicators of … · 2015-03-06 · DBO 2010 Biology subgroup leadsBiology subgroup leads–Jackie GrebmeierJackie Grebmeier, Carin

Financial support from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the National Science Foundation; internationalAdministration and the National Science Foundation; international science partners in the Pacific Arctic Group (PAG). DBO 2010 data courtesy of Carin Ashjian, Russ Hopcroft, (USA), Motoyo Itoh (Japan), Robert Pickart (USA), John Nelson and Svein Vagle (Canada)