torcetrapib’s failure: find more stories in the illuminate trial. … · 2008-07-04 · l l--c (...
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Torcetrapib’s failure: Find more stories in the ILLUMINATE trial. (Dr. Eriksson MD, PhD)
April 2008
Libby P. J Intern Med. 2000;247:349-358.
PHASE I: Initiation PHASE II: Progression PHASE III: Complication
Atherosclerosis Is a Chronic Inflammatory Disease With LDL-C at the Core
p<0.05
p=0.05
p<0.05Statins
+
-
-
-
- - +
Only 2 Surrogate Endpoints For Cardiovascular Disease DrugsOnly 2 Surrogate Endpoints For Cardiovascular Disease Drugs
“The only surrogate endpoints currently used as a basis for approval of cardiovascular drugs are
blood pressure and serum cholesterol level”
“The only surrogate endpoints currently used as a basis for approval of cardiovascular drugs are
blood pressure and serum cholesterol level”
* Temple R: Are surrogate markers adequate to assesscardiovascular disease drugs? JAMA 1999;282:790-95.
LDL-C (apo B) Lowering As a Surrogate Endpoint for Reduced CVD risk LDL-C (apo B) Lowering As a Surrogate Endpoint for Reduced CVD risk
• Epidemiology/pathology/clinical observation
• Experiment of nature: heFH, PCsk9
• The LRC-CPPT and NHLBI trials demonstrated that resins reduced CV events and slowed progression, associated with lowering LDL-C
• Lovastatin was then approved on the basis of LDL-C reduction in 700 patients
• Ezetimibe was also approved on the basis of LDL-C reduction
• Epidemiology/pathology/clinical observation
• Experiment of nature: heFH, PCsk9
• The LRC-CPPT and NHLBI trials demonstrated that resins reduced CV events and slowed progression, associated with lowering LDL-C
• Lovastatin was then approved on the basis of LDL-C reduction in 700 patients
• Ezetimibe was also approved on the basis of LDL-C reduction
00
11
22
33
CH
D R
ISK
C
HD
RIS
K
100 100 160 160 220 220
LDLLDL-- cholesterolcholesterol(mg/(mg/dLdL))
* Men aged 50* Men aged 50--7070
85 85 65 65
45 45 25 25
HDLHDL--C C (mg/(mg/dLdL))
FRAMINGHAM: CHD RISKFRAMINGHAM: CHD RISK
0.64 0.86
Apolipoprotein B/Apolipoprotein A-I
Ris
k ra
tio
00
2
3
1
4
1.39
0
2
3
1
1.210.52 0.70 0.87
Men Women
4
1.04
p<0.0001
p<0.0001
p<0.0001
p<0.05p<0.001
AMORIS, fatal myocardial infarction
© G.Walldius, I. Jungner
Walldius G, Jungner I, Holme I, Aastveit A, Kolar W, Steiner E. Lancet 2001; 358: 2026-33
Torcetrapib – Final Results of the ILLUMINATE Trial
Philip J Barter1 for the ILLUMINATE Steering Committee and Investigators
1Heart Research Institute, Sydney, Australia
Philip J BarterPhilip J Barter11 for the ILLUMINATE Steering for the ILLUMINATE Steering Committee and InvestigatorsCommittee and Investigators
11Heart Research Institute, Sydney, AustraliaHeart Research Institute, Sydney, Australia
Steering Committee: P. Barter, Chair (Australia), M. Caulfield (UK),M. Eriksson (Sweden),S. Grundy (US), J. Kastelein (The
Netherlands),M. Komajda (France), J.-L. Lopez-Sendon (Spain), L. Mosca (US),J.-C. Tardif (Canada), D. Waters (US)
Steering CommitteeSteering Committee: P. Barter, Chair (Australia), M. Caulfield : P. Barter, Chair (Australia), M. Caulfield (UK),M. Eriksson (Sweden),S. Grundy (US), J. (UK),M. Eriksson (Sweden),S. Grundy (US), J. KasteleinKastelein (The (The
Netherlands),M. Netherlands),M. KomajdaKomajda (France), J.(France), J.--L. LopezL. Lopez--SendonSendon (Spain), L. (Spain), L. MoscaMosca (US),J.(US),J.--C. Tardif (Canada), D. Waters (US)C. Tardif (Canada), D. Waters (US)
Sponsor: Pfizer, IncSponsor: Pfizer, Inc
Statistical analysis:Statistical analysis:The Department of Biostatistics and Medical The Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics at the University of WisconsinInformatics at the University of Wisconsin--MadisonMadison
Published online today in the New England Journal of MedicinePublished online today in the New England Journal of Medicine
HDL protects against cardiovascular disease
A novel mechanism for raising HDL levels is to inhibit CETP. This protein transfers cholesterol from HDL to LDL fraction and thus retains cholesterol in the protective HDL.
Torcetrapib inhibits CETP and had been shown in humans to raise the level of HDL-C and lower that of LDL-C.
Inhibiting CETP with torcetrapib protects against atherosclerosis in rabbits.
The ILLUMINATE trial was designed to test the hypothesis that inhibiting CETP with torcetrapib would also protect against cardiovascular disease in humans.
HDL protects against cardiovascular disease
A novel mechanism for raising HDL levels is to inhibit CETP. This protein transfers cholesterol from HDL to LDL fraction and thus retains cholesterol in the protective HDL.
Torcetrapib inhibits CETP and had been shown in humans to raise the level of HDL-C and lower that of LDL-C.
Inhibiting CETP with torcetrapib protects against atherosclerosis in rabbits.
The ILLUMINATE trial was designed to test the hypothesis that inhibiting CETP with torcetrapib would also protect against cardiovascular disease in humans.
Rationale
Torcetrapib + titrated atorvastatin dose
Titrated atorvastatin dose
Planned 4.5 years of treatment Planned 4.5 years of treatment
Investigation of Lipid Level Management to Understand Investigation of Lipid Level Management to Understand its Impact in Atherosclerotic Eventsits Impact in Atherosclerotic Events
♦15,067 ♦7 countries
Subjects♦Major cardiovascular
events ♦Power=0.9 for 21%
reduction
♦Men or postmenopausal women
♦Statin eligible♦Any HDL-C level♦CHD or risk equivalent
(type 2 DM)
Primary End PointPatient Population
Atorvastatin run-in to LDL <100
mg/dL(2.6 mmol/L)4-10 weeks
ILLUMINATE: Long-term Outcomes in Patients With CHD or CHD Risk Equivalence
On Dec 2, 2006, after a median follow-up on-treatment of 550 days, the sponsor was informed by the Steering Committee, acting on advice from the independent Data Safety Monitoring Board, to terminate the trial based on a statistically significant excess of deaths and cardiovascular events in the group treated with torcetrapibThe sponsor immediately terminated the trialAll data were censored for the primary analyses on December 2, 2006
On Dec 2, 2006, after a median follow-up on-treatment of 550 days, the sponsor was informed by the Steering Committee, acting on advice from the independent Data Safety Monitoring Board, to terminate the trial based on a statistically significant excess of deaths and cardiovascular events in the group treated with torcetrapibThe sponsor immediately terminated the trialAll data were censored for the primary analyses on December 2, 2006
Premature Trial Termination:December 2nd, 2006
Primary Endpoint: Time to First MCVE*: Kaplan-Meier Plot
Primary Endpoint: Time to First MCVE*: Kaplan-Meier Plot
**Major cardiovascular event: CHD death, nonMajor cardiovascular event: CHD death, non--fatal MI, stroke or hospitalization for unstable fatal MI, stroke or hospitalization for unstable anginaangina
00 9090 180180 270270 360360 450450 540540 630630 720720 810810
Days from RandomizationDays from Randomization
Eve
nt F
ree
(%)
Eve
nt F
ree
(%)
9090
9292
9494
9696
9898
100100
Atorvastatin (A) events = 373
Torcetrapib/Atorvastatin (T/A) events = 464
P=0.001
Hazard Ratio 1.25
0.1430.130.2BMI, kg/m2, mean0.8261.361.3Age, yrs, mean0.8293.293.3White, n (%)0.9077.777.8Male (%)
P-value
Torcetrapib/ Atorvastatin
(n=7,533)
Atorvastatin(n=7,534)
Baseline Demographics
48.548.5 48.248.2 48.948.9 49.249.2 48.948.9
79.379.3 80.580.5 80.580.5 80.780.7
128128 127127 128128 130130 129129
79.979.9
00
2020
4040
6060
8080
100100
120120
140140
BaselineBaseline 11 33 66 1212
Study MonthStudy Month
Lipi
ds (m
g/Li
pids
(mg/
dLdL))
On Trial Lipid Levels By Study MonthAtorvastatinAtorvastatin Group (Post RunGroup (Post Run--In)In)
HDLHDL--CCLDLLDL--CCTGTG
48.648.6
71.871.8 77.577.5 80.980.9 82.982.979.779.7
127127115115 112112 112112 112112
58.358.358.258.259.359.359.759.7
00
2020
4040
6060
8080
100100
120120
140140
BaselineBaseline 11 33 66 1212
HDLHDL--CC
LDLLDL--CC
TGTG
On Trial Lipid Levels By Study MonthTorcetrapibTorcetrapib/ / AtorvastatinAtorvastatin Group (Post RunGroup (Post Run--In)In)
Study MonthStudy Month
Lipi
ds (m
g/Li
pids
(mg/
dLdL))
--9% (9% (--27,+13)27,+13)**
+72.1% (34.7) +72.1% (34.7) ††
--24.9% (28.5) 24.9% (28.5) ††
**median % change (IQR) for TG at month 12; p<0.001 median % change (IQR) for TG at month 12; p<0.001 vsvs atorvastatinatorvastatin†† mean % change (SD) for LDLmean % change (SD) for LDL--C, HDLC, HDL--C at month 12; p<0.001 C at month 12; p<0.001 vsvs atorvastatinatorvastatin
Secondary EndpointsSecondary Endpoints
0.0061.58 (1.14, 2.19)93 (1.2)59 (0.8)All-cause mortality
0.0011.35 (1.13, 1.62)270 (3.6)201 (2.7)Hospitalization for unstable angina
0.741.08 (0.70, 1.66)43 (0.6)40 (0.5)Stroke
0.131.21 (0.95, 1.54)142 (1.9)118 (1.6)Non-fatal MI (excluding procedure related)
0.411.21 (0.77, 1.92)40 (0.5)33 (0.4)CHD death
P- valueHazard Ratio (95% CI)
Torcetrapib/ Atorvastatin
n (%)
Atorvastatinn (%)
Estimated hazard ratio for pre-specified cardiovascular outcomes
Causes Of DeathCauses Of Death
Fatal stroke
44Reason unknown34Trauma/suicide/homicide
42Other non-cardiovascular90Infection2414Cancer
4020Any non-cardiovascular32Other vascular death/procedure related MI
21Fatal heart failure
41Other cardiac death60
86Fatal MI - not procedure related
2625Sudden cardiac death
4935Any cardiovascular death
Torcetrapib/ Atorvastatin (n=93)
Atorvastatin(n=59 )
Investigator-reported SAEs of neoplasmsInvestigator-reported SAEs of neoplasms
AtorvastatinAtorvastatin GroupGroup 136136
Torcetrapib/atorvastatinTorcetrapib/atorvastatin GroupGroup 128128
Investigator-reported SAEs of infections/infestations
AtorvastatinAtorvastatin GroupGroup 177177
Torcetrapib/atorvastatinTorcetrapib/atorvastatin GroupGroup 182182
On-Trial Blood Pressure By Study MonthOn-Trial Blood Pressure By Study Month
AtorvastatinAtorvastatin GroupGroup
122.9122.9 128.2*128.2*
73.773.7 75.7*75.7*
00 11 33 66 99 1212
Study MonthStudy Month
4040
6060
8080
100100
120120
140140
Blo
od P
ress
ure
(mm
Hg)
Blo
od P
ress
ure
(mm
Hg)
123.0123.0 123.9123.9
73.973.9 73.773.7
00 11 33 66 99 1212
TorcetrapibTorcetrapibAtorvastatinAtorvastatin GroupGroup
** p<0.001 p<0.001 vsvs atorvastatinatorvastatin at month 12at month 12
Patients receiving torcetrapib/atorvastatin had changes in serum electrolytes that differed significantly from those in patients taking atorvastatin alone.
♦ Serum potassium was reduced (p<0.001)♦ Serum bicarbonate was increased (p<0.001)♦ Serum sodium was increased (p<0.001)
Patients receiving torcetrapib/atorvastatin had changes in serum electrolytes that differed significantly from those in patients taking atorvastatin alone.
♦ Serum potassium was reduced (p<0.001)♦ Serum bicarbonate was increased (p<0.001)♦ Serum sodium was increased (p<0.001)
Changes in Serum Electrolytes
Serum Aldosterone
Percentage of patients with aldosterone > 8 ng/dl
21.6%17.8%Month 316.3%17.1%Baseline
A GroupA Group T/A GroupT/A Group P value*P value*
0.2< 0.001
Performed after study termination on the 87% of patients with stPerformed after study termination on the 87% of patients with stored ored baseline and month 3 samplesbaseline and month 3 samples55% of the analyzed samples had 55% of the analyzed samples had aldosteronealdosterone levels below the lower levels below the lower limit of quantification by the techniquelimit of quantification by the techniqueIt was, however, possible to determine unambiguously whether orIt was, however, possible to determine unambiguously whether or not not an analyzed sample had an an analyzed sample had an aldosteronealdosterone level of 8 level of 8 ng/dLng/dL or more. or more.
** WilcoxonWilcoxon comparisons after truncating the data below 8 comparisons after truncating the data below 8 ngng/dl/dl
Reported events occurring after Dec 2, 2006Reported events occurring after Dec 2, 2006
The following events were reported up to July 15th 2007:
DeathsAtorvastatin: 20 (n=7,475)Torcetrapib/atorvastatin: 14 (n=7,440)
MCVEs
Torcetrapib/atorvastatin: 38 (n=7,475)Atorvastatin: 38 (n=7,440)
Cox proportional hazard model adjusted for age, gender and baselCox proportional hazard model adjusted for age, gender and baseline HDLine HDL--C. Excludes 265 patients with C. Excludes 265 patients with missing month 3 HDLmissing month 3 HDL--C. Preliminary analysis initiated and authorised by P Barter anC. Preliminary analysis initiated and authorised by P Barter and conducted by Pfizerd conducted by Pfizer
Hazard ratios for CHD Death or NonHazard ratios for CHD Death or Non--Fatal MI Fatal MI by quintile of onby quintile of on--trialtrial HDLHDL--C C
(referent group is HDL(referent group is HDL--C < 60 mg/C < 60 mg/dLdL stratum)stratum)
1.001.00
0.670.67
0.470.470.570.57
0.430.43
00
0.20.2
0.40.4
0.60.6
0.80.8
1.01.0
CH
D D
eath
or N
onC
HD
Dea
th o
r Non
-- Fat
al M
IFa
tal M
I(H
azar
d R
atio
)(H
azar
d R
atio
)
<60<60 6060--7070 7171--8080 8181--9393 >93>93Quintiles of HDLQuintiles of HDL--C (mg/C (mg/dLdL) at Month 3) at Month 3
**P<0.05P<0.05**
****
Post-hoc Exploratory Analyses in the Torcetrapib/Atorvastatin Group
Effect of nicotinic acid, cholestyramine, clofibrate and combination on biliary lipids
and lithogenic index
Effect of nicotinic acid, cholestyramine, clofibrate and combination on biliary lipids
and lithogenic index
0.92 +/- 0.10 p<0.059.0 +/- 1.0 p<0.01Combination with cholstyramine
1.30 +/- 0.13 p<0.0112.1 +/- 0.9 p<0.001during
0.85 +/- 0.3 8.5 +/-0.3Clofibrate n=11before
0.71 +/- 0.05 p<0.0017.0 +/- 0.4during
0.87 +/- 0.058.7 +/- 0.5Cholestyramine n=19 before
1.00 +/- 0.09 p<0.0110.0 +/- 0.9 p<0.01during0.85 +/- 0.078.5+/-0.7Nicotinic acid n=13 before
Lithogenic indexBile cholesterol (molar %)
Angelin et al 1979
HDL and atherosclerosis
Does the way HDL is increasedinfluence clinical outcome?
ApoA-I infusion
HDL
Fecal BA
Fecal NS
Regression of atherosclerosis!
CETP inhibition
Torcetrapib
Brousseau et al. NEJM 2004
HDL 106%
Torcetrapib
HDL 2XC4LathoFecal BAFecal NS
Torcetrapib
Negative outcome in illuminate-patient end-point study
LDL-cholesterol cardiovascular disease(CVD) – secondary preventive studies
LDL-cholesterol
Pati
ient
s w
ith
CVD
eve
nts
(%)
25
20
15
10
5
0
1,3 1,8 2,3 2,9 3,4 3,9 4,4 4,9 5,5
LIPID-SCARE-S
4S-S
CARE-P
LIPID-P
4S-P
30
mmol/l
HPS-P
HPS-SLIPS-P
LIPS-S
AtoZ 80TNT 80
PROVE-IT AAtoZ 20
PROVE-IT P
TNT 10
Ballantyne CM. Am J Cardiol. 1998, O’Keefe JH et al, JACC 2004
Summary and ConclusionsSummary and ConclusionsUse of the CETP inhibitor, torcetrapib, in the ILLUMINATE trial was associated
with:♦ a predicted substantial increase in HDL-C and decrease in LDL-C ♦ an off-target pharmacology consistent with activation of the renin-
angiotensin-aldosterone system♦ an increased risk of all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity that triggered a
premature termination of the trial
The adverse clinical outcome associated with use of torcetrapib may have been the consequence of an off-target pharmacology but the possibility of an adverse effect of CETP inhibition cannot be excluded by the results of this randomized trial.
Possibilities: 1. Blood pressure2. No effect on the excretion of sterols from the human body3. Enrichment of cholesterol in HDL4. 40 % of the population had diabetes-is increasing HDL among
a good thing per se.
Use of the CETP inhibitor, torcetrapib, in the ILLUMINATE trial was associated with:♦ a predicted substantial increase in HDL-C and decrease in LDL-C ♦ an off-target pharmacology consistent with activation of the renin-
angiotensin-aldosterone system♦ an increased risk of all-cause mortality and CVD morbidity that triggered a
premature termination of the trial
The adverse clinical outcome associated with use of torcetrapib may have been the consequence of an off-target pharmacology but the possibility of an adverse effect of CETP inhibition cannot be excluded by the results of this randomized trial.
Possibilities: 1. Blood pressure2. No effect on the excretion of sterols from the human body3. Enrichment of cholesterol in HDL4. 40 % of the population had diabetes-is increasing HDL among
a good thing per se.