the u.s. federal budget in science and technology kei koizumi april 14, 2008 for the international...

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The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd See the “What’s New” section for the latest updates; see the “Seminars and Presentations” section for copies of this presentation.

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Page 1: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology

Kei KoizumiApril 14, 2008for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

http://www.aaas.org/spp/rd

See the “What’s New” section for the latest updates; see the “Seminars and Presentations” section for copies of this presentation.

Page 2: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

SCIENCE, TECHNOLOGY, AND INNOVATION

Science and technology–based innovation is a key strength of the U.S. economy, but U.S. policymakers worry that U.S. strengths are eroding. The government wants to encourage more government R&D funding, better science and math education, and more students pursuing science and engineering careers.

Several recent policies try to improve U.S. innovation. The American Competitiveness Initiative (ACI) in 2006, and the America COMPETES Act in 2007 authorize new programs in science and technology.

But the money to implement the new laws are far short of the targets. And the U.S. does not have a comprehensive S&T policy, nor any long-term S&T plan.

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Page 3: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

THE 2009 BUDGET The U.S. government spends more than $140 billion a year on R&D. More

than half goes to the military, and the remainder goes to R&D for other national missions (health, energy, etc.)

There is no Department of Science and Technology, no central budget for R&D, and very little coordination among 24 departments and agencies involved in science and technology.

Spending on non-military programs has been flat since 2004.

In 2009, there would be large increases for NSF, DOE Science, and the NIST labs to fulfill the ACI and America COMPETES Act to double basic research in the physical sciences between 2006-2016.

There would be large increases for DOD weapons and NASA spacecraft development.

But funding for health, environmental, and agricultural research would decline.

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Page 4: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

DOD, $80.7

HHS (NIH), $30.0

NASA, $12.8

DOE, $10.5

All Other, $5.2NSF, $5.2

USDA, $2.0DHS, $1.0

Total R&D by Agency: FY 2009 ProposedBudget Authority in billions of dollars

Source: AAAS, based on OMB R&D Budget Data and agency estimates for FY 2009. MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Total R&D = $147.4 billion

(revised)

Page 5: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

Defense, $84.5

Health, $30.8

General Science, $10.2

All Other, $3.3

Agriculture, $1.6Environment*, $2.1

Energy, $2.5

Space, $12.3

* - includes natural resources R&DSource: AAAS, based on OMB and agency budget data. MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Major Functional Categories of R&D FY 2009 President's Budget

TOTAL R&D=$147.4 Billion (Revised)

Page 6: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

-15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15%

USDA

DOD "S&T"

USGS

EPA

NOAA

VA

NIH

DOE energy

DOE defense

DHS

NIST

NASA

DOD weapons

DOT

NSF +16%

DOE Science +21%

FY 2009 R&D Request Percent Change from FY 2008

Source: AAAS, based on OMB R&D data and agency estimates for FY 2009. DOD "S&T" = DOD R&D in "6.1" through "6.3" categories plus medical research.DOD weapons = DOD R&D in "6.4" and higher categories.MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Page 7: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1976

1980

1984

1988

1992

1996

2000

2004

2008

TOTAL R&D

development

research

facilities

Trends in Federal R&D, FY 1976-2009 * in billions of constant FY 2008 dollars

Source: AAAS analyses of R&D in annual AAAS R&D reports. * FY 2009 figures are latest AAAS estimates of FY 2009 request. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. Data to 1984 are obligations from the NSF Federal Funds survey. GDP figures are from OMB, Budget of the U.S. Government FY 2009. MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Page 8: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

19

76

19

78

19

80

19

82

19

84

19

86

19

88

19

90

19

92

19

94

19

96

19

98

20

00

20

02

20

04

20

06

20

08

NIH

NSF

DOD

DOE

NASA

USDA

All Other

Trends in Research by Agency, FY 1976-2009 * in billions of constant FY 2008 dollars

Source: AAAS analyses of R&D in annual AAAS R&D reports. * FY 2009 figures are latest AAAS estimates of FY 2009 request. Research includes basic research and applied research. 1976-1994 figures are NSF data on obligations in the Federal Funds survey. MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Page 9: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

INNOVATION AND FEDERAL R&D

The majority of RESEARCH funding goes to U.S. universities. U.S. public universities are supported by states. There are also private universities. The federal government supports very little higher education, EXCEPT university research (65% of all university research).

Universities compete for government research grants through peer reviewed competitions, usually on topics decided by scientists; the grants fund research, but also graduate education and infrastructure.

Universities and professors are entrepreneurs because they have incentives to commercialize technologies (the Bayh-Dole Act, allowing universities to keep intellectual property from federal research) and start companies.

There are also small government programs to encourage companies to commercialize promising technologies (MEP, TIP).

Although “innovation” or “economic development” are not government missions, federal R&D investments in many areas (energy, homeland security, biomedical research) try to develop new private-sector technologies to meet national needs.

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Page 10: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1963 1968 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 2003

HHS

Other

DOE

NASA

DOD

NSF

Federal R&D Funding to Colleges and Universities FY 1963-2005Obligations by agency in billions of constant FY 2008 $

Source: AAAS, based on NSF, Federal Science and Engineering Support to Universities, Colleges, and Nonprofit Insitutions, FY 2005, 2007. R&D includes research, development, and R&D facilities support. Constant-dollar conversions based on OMB's GDP deflators.FEB. '08 © 2008 AAAS

Page 11: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

U.S. GOVERNMENT RESEARCH CHALLENGES

The government has very little central control or coordination, or even information for R&D. Because we have a mission-oriented system, the impacts of budget decisions on U.S. science and engineering are often ignored.

Many important government R&D priorities are funded by multiple government agencies, for example nanotechnology, or homeland security. Each agency’s budget is determined separately.

The federal government funds less than 10% of U.S. education. Other than research grants, how can the federal government encourage students to study science and engineering?

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Page 12: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

1970 1976 1982 1988 1994 2000 2006

NIH biomedicalresearchEngineering

Physical Scis.

All other lifesciencesEnv. Scis.

Math / Comp.Scis.Social Sciences

Psychology

Other *

Trends in Federal Research by Discipline, FY 1970-2007obligations in billions of constant FY 2008 dollars

* - Other includes research not classified(includes basic research and applied research; excludes development and R&D facilities)

Life sciences - split into NIH support for biomedical research and all other agencies' support for life sciences. Source: National Science Foundation, Federal Funds for Research and Development FY 2005, 2006 , 2007, 2008. FY 2006 and 2007 data are preliminary. Constant-dollar conversions based on OMB's GDP deflators. FEB. '08 © 2008 AAAS

Page 13: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

All Other

Nat'l. Science Foundation

NASA

Health & Human Services

EPA

Homeland Security

Defense

Agriculture

Federal Homeland Security R&D, by Agency (budget authority in millions of constant FY 2008 dollars, FY 2002-2009)

Source: AAAS, based on Office of Management and Budget data. Includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. Note: DOD expanded its reporting of HS spending beginning in 2005.MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Page 14: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

0.0%

0.2%

0.4%

0.6%

0.8%

1.0%

1.2%

1.4%

19

76

19

80

19

84

19

88

19

92

19

96

20

00

20

04

20

08

TOTAL R&D

development

research

facilities

Trends in Federal R&D as % of GDP, FY 1976-2009 *

Source: AAAS analyses of R&D in annual AAAS R&D reports. * FY 2009 figures are latest AAAS estimates of FY 2009 request. R&D includes conduct of R&D and R&D facilities. Data to 1984 are obligations from the NSF Federal Funds survey. GDP figures are from OMB, Budget of the U.S. Government FY 2009. MARCH '08 REVISED © 2008 AAAS

Page 15: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

FEDERAL R&D IN CONTEXT: INDUSTRY AND THE WORLD

2/3 of all U.S. R&D is funded by industry, but industry focuses heavily on development; the majority of U.S. research is funded by the federal government.

The U.S. government has very little power over private sector R&D decisions: there are few incentives, little direct R&D support except in special sectors (defense, aerospace).

The largest power the U.S. government is to supply a steady stream of new scientific knowledge and new technologies to the private sector through R&D investments.

The U.S. compares favorably with other nations in R&D spending, but many Asian nations are dramatically increasing their R&D. Policymakers are worried.

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Page 16: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

19

53

19

57

19

61

19

65

19

69

19

73

19

77

19

81

19

85

19

89

19

93

19

97

20

01

20

05

Other

Private Industry

Federal Government

U.S. R&D Funding by Source, 1953-2006expenditures in billions of constant 2006 dollars

Source: NSF, Division of Science Resources Statistics. (Data for 2005 and 2006 are preliminary.) APRIL '07 © 2007 AAAS

Page 17: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

Shares of Total World R&D, 2007

US, $353

Germany, $65

France, $44

U.K., $40

Other EU, $101

Japan, $144

S Korea, $38

China, $175

India, $42

All Other, $123

Total World R&D = U.S. $1,124 billion**

Source: Battelle, Global R&D Report, 2007, from Battelle, OECD, and R&D Magazine data. Projections for 2007, by performer nation. * *- calculated using purchasing power parities, in millions of dollars.DECEMBER '07 © 2007 AAAS

Page 18: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

1.0

1.4

1.8

2.2

2.6

3.0

3.4

19

91

19

94

19

97

20

00

20

03

Japan

U.S.

Korea

Germany

EU-27

China

Total National R&D as % of GDP, 1991-2006

Source: National Science Foundation, National Patterns of R&D Resources and OECD, Main Science and Technology Indicators. Data not available for all nations for all years. DECEMBER '07 © 2007 AAAS

Page 19: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

WHAT DOES AAAS DO? The federal budget can take 10-11 months from proposal to

laws. AAAS analyzes the federal budget for R&D at every stage of the process.

We bring together the fragments of the U.S. R&D system, and identify trends, priorities, and challenges. We try to analyze the potential impacts of political decisions on U.S. science and engineering, gathering data from our own work and also data from other sources.

We do not lobby, but we do talk to government policymakers about the importance of a strong, balanced U.S. federal R&D portfolio for all the sciences and engineering.

We have other public policy programs (fellowships), science and mathematics education programs, and scientific cooperation programs.

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program

Page 20: The U.S. Federal Budget in Science and Technology Kei Koizumi April 14, 2008 for the International Seminar on Policies of Science, Technology and Innovation

A COMMUNICATION PORTAL FOR THE MACARTHUR INITIATIVE

GRACIAS

FOR MORE INFORMATION…

The AAAS R&D web site is

www.aaas.org/spp/rd

AAAS R&D Budget and Policy Program