The 6th Meeting of the INTOSAI Working Group

The role of KNIs in formation of the integrated management system of social and economic

progress

Dr. Alexander A. Piskunov, Accounts Chamber of the Russian Federation

Krakow, April 22-24, 2013

Socio-economic development area

USA

Short-term

planning

Medium-term

planning

Long-term

planning

China

The system of SED management Target state of Target state of AuthoritiesAuthorities

Technologies

The syste

m of SED audit

Competence of

Government

Management architecture effectiveness

Management techniques competitiv

eness

Arch

itect

ure

Targ

eting

The dimension of

the RF Development

The processes (objects) of Management

TT

AA

TTechech

AA

TT

TTechech

The processes (objects) of Audit

Financial auditFinancial audit

Performance auditPerformance audit

Strategic auditStrategic audit

BB

GovernmentGovernment

GovernmentGovernment

GG

GG

SocietySociety

SocietySociety

SSSS

BB

BusinessBusiness

BusinessBusiness

BusinessBusiness

Target Target state of state of

BusinessBusiness

Target Target state of state of SocietySociety

Target Target state of the state of the

CountryCountry

Finance

Economy

Social Sphere

Environment

WorldBank

IMF OECD INTOSAI

WTO

UN

The coordination of the global development by supranational structures

Global risks 2013, WEF

WEF, “Global Risks Report 2013”

A comparison of the level of income and level of happiness

Leyrad, R. Happiness: Lessons from a New Science. M.:. Gaidar Institute, 2012.- p.146

10 20 35

60

80

100

90

70

50

40

03025155

UkraineMoldova

Zimbabwe RomaniaBulgaria

Russia

BelarusLatviaGeorgia Albany

PakistanTanzania

BangladeshAzerbaijan

Macedonia

TurkeyLithuania

EstoniaSlovakiaIndia

Uganda

JordanIranPeruMorocco

PolandAlgeriaEgypt SAChina Republic of Dominicans

Philippines

Vietnam

Croatia

Brazil UruguayVenezuela

Nigeria ChiliSalvador

Indonesia Columbia Mexico

Hungary

Argentine

Czech Republic

Greece

South Korea

Slovenia

Portugal

Israel

Spain

New Zeeland

Italy Japan

GermanyFrance

СингапурGreat Britain

Sweden Finland

AustriaAustralia

Belgium

IrelandNetherlands

Denmarkя

Canada

Norway

Switzerland

USA

Per capita income

«Very happy»or «happy enough», %

U.S. $ thousands per yeat

NDP Russia

The problem of the sustainable growth of national wealth insurance

Safety ViabilitySocial cohesion Quality of life Quality of controlCompetitiveness

2013 2020

Development potentials imbalance

Development potentialsharmonizationQuality of life

satisfaction

Health care spendingGRP

Russia 2020

Russia 2012

The target vector of

development

Discrepancy of vectors of

development

The actual gradient of the

development vector

Социальные сферы

Social spheres

Social development

Regulatingfactors

Indicators

Indicators, factors and spheres of social developmentIndicators, factors and spheres of social development

7

Problems in selecting of development scenariosProblems in selecting of development scenarios

Targeting Architecture

Technologies

Time

The selection of the

development vector

StabilizationGrowth

Mod

erni

zatio

n

Degradation

SEI – Social and economic indicators SEI

SEISEI

SEI

SEI

The problem of balancing the interests of The problem of balancing the interests of government, business and societygovernment, business and society

Sphere of Government

interests

Sphere of Business interests

Sphere of Social

interests

Channels of influence

TNKTNK

Development

pathway

BB

GG

SS

The balance The balance of KNIsof KNIs

World resources

World resources

External market

External market

Domestic market

Domestic market

Architecture

Architecture

Resources

Resources

Centers of force

Centers of forceProducts and Services

Products and Services

Products and Services

Products and ServicesPowerPower

PowerPower E

xtern

al market

Extern

al market

Do

me

stic market

Do

me

stic market

Arch

itecture

Arch

itecture

Reso

urces

Reso

urces

Tech

no

log

ies of d

evelo

pm

ent

Tech

no

log

ies of d

evelo

pm

ent

Products and Services

Products and Services

Products and Services

Products and Services

Society

Society

Society

SocietyResources

Resources

Architecture

Architecture

Domestic m

arket

Domestic m

arket

External m

arket

External m

arket

Bu

sin

ess

Bu

sin

ess

Bu

sin

ess

Bu

sin

ess

Pro

du

cts

and

Ser

vice

sP

rod

uct

s an

d S

ervi

ces

Pro

du

cts

and

Ser

vice

sP

rod

uct

s an

d S

ervi

ces

The problem of synchronization of SED processesThe problem of synchronization of SED processes

ISMSED

KNI

Эффект

China

EURussiaW

orld USA

% GDP in previous year

Consumer confidence index

Demographic cycles

Political cycles

B

S

G

Busi

ness

Soci

ety

Gov

ernm

ent

ISM SED

WORLD

ISM SED – Institute for Systems Management

of Social-economic development

G

B

S

1 ms

6 ye

ars

100

year

s

How is life, RussiaHow is life, Russia??

Индекс качества жизни Индекс конкурентоспособности

Management of targeted effects of developmentManagement of targeted effects of development««Where are you goingWhere are you going, , RussiaRussia?»?»

The concept of long-term development 2020

Vector of the Authorities’Public obligations

Russia 2013

SafetyQuality of life

φ

The actual gradient of the development vector

Discrepancy of the development vectors

Com

petit

iven

ess ω

θVector of the

public expectations

The problem of the balance of the key development potentialsThe problem of the balance of the key development potentials

Sovereignty

Safety

Competitiveness

Identity

Viability

Quality of life

Balance ofCpb

DependenceDegradation

Disorientation

Depopulation

Inequality

Threats and Risks

Sphere of regress

Sphere of progress

Reference model of management and audit of socio-Reference model of management and audit of socio-economic developmenteconomic development

Liabilitiesof Business

Liabilitiesof Authority

Liabilitiesof non-governmental

organizations

Coordination of goals, resources and measures of the Authority, Society and Business

14

Public-private partnership

Strategic planning

Programming

Budgeting and management of

realization

Standards of social

responsibility

Reports on corporate

social responsibility

Synchronization of goals,

architecture and technology transformation

Reports of governors

Reports on the results and main

areas of activity of the Government

Results of public

hearings

DoctrinesConcepts

ProgramsProjects

BudgetsPlans

The problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progressThe problem of imbalances in costs and benefits of the progress

Increase in costs

GDP growth

GDP

Costs

Level of happiness

Time

Income level

tk tmtj

Knowledge Base on KNI Knowledge Base on KNI ((http://nfbr.prognoz.ru/knihttp://nfbr.prognoz.ru/kni))

16

Visualization and comparison of the positions of Visualization and comparison of the positions of countries and of the development targetscountries and of the development targets

17

Comparison of the strategic levels of SEDComparison of the strategic levels of SED

NWF

Time

Goals

Activities

Resources

?∆ CPB

?

?

∆ KNI

∆ KPI

∆ $

СЭР

Decomposition of levels of SED managementDecomposition of levels of SED management

СЭЭ

∆ CPB

ЭПП

БЭО

∆ KNI

∆ KPI

∆ KCI

Stra

tegy

dev

elop

men

tSubjects

ToolsObjects{С,И, О}

Prog

ram

min

g

TargetingArchitectureTechnology

{T, Arch, Т}

Con

trac

ting

{P, C, As}

Bud

getin

g

SanctionsOperations

Transactions{S, Op, Tr}

Subj

ects

ToolsObjects

Government

Business

Society

International lawState law

ТНА ГА ЧА

Proj

ects

Contracts

Private law

Budgeting

Targ

ets

Technology ArchitectureLong-term (strategic)

Medium-term(operational)

Short-term(tactical)

StrategingContracting

ГИ ОИ

Products and services

Assets

Trance national

Industrial

Regional

Targets effectsLife cycles

ЧК ФА МА

StatePrivate

Sanc

tions

Transactions

Bans

Directions

Standards

Trance national

Operations

СТР ОПР ТКТ

НМА

Agreements

ProjectsContracts

Assets

Assets Projects Contracts

H2

Targets

Architecture

Technologies

Sanctions

Operations

Transactions

H4

H3

Targets Architecture Technologies

H1

Subjects

Objects

Tools

Assets

Contracts

Projects

H3

H2

X1 R12 X2

X2 R23 X3

X3 R34 X4

МИ

Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized Equilibrium of capabilities as a condition of harmonized developmentdevelopment

Competitiveness

Sovereignty

Safety

Identity

Quality of life

Viability Harmonious development index

Cpb

National wealth

The problem of the balance of the key development potentialsThe problem of the balance of the key development potentials

Sovereignty

Safety

Competitiveness

Identity

Viability

Quality of life

Balance ofCpb

DependenceDegradation

Disorientation

Depopulation

Inequality

Threats and Risks

Sphere of regress

Sphere of progress

The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was The new Federal Law on the Accounts Chamber was adopted in Russia in April 2013adopted in Russia in April 2013

• Article 14«…7. Strategic Audit is used to assess the feasibility, risks and consequences of the results of the strategic goals in the field of security and socio-economic development of the Russian Federation realization. Assessment should cover final (target) and achieved (current) values of key national indicators, which reflect the degree and quality of the implementation of socio-economic effects and cumulative effects of the socio-economic development of the Russian Federation …»

Thank you for attentionThank you for attention!!