tarrance group poll and analysis
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8/4/2019 Tarrance Group Poll and Analysis
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Vylz ygb Dvvdrmy lc Dab{efdcv' Zlfobykllo ( ygb BflclauYgb{b d{b `lli {b`rmdyelcv ygdy obbz rv vdhb dci obbz lr{ bcxe{lcabcy fmbdc dci ygbcygb{b d{b {b`rmdyelcv ygdy ecf{bdvb ygb flvyv hl{ Dab{efdcv dci krvecbvvbv- pgefg lcmuglmiv kdfo lr{ bflclau h{la f{bdyec` nlkv#
• Mby ab kb fmbd{> {b`rmdyelcv d{b cbbibi# Adcu {b`rmdyelcv obbz rv vdhb- kry ec adcu
ecvydcfbv ygb hbib{dm `lxb{cabcy cbbiv yl vylz y{uec` yl hew ygec`v ygdy d{bc'y k{lobc# Dyygb bci lh ygb idu- hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcv flab peyg diibi flvyv hl{ Dab{efdcv dcikrvecbvvbv dmeob#
• Dffl{iec` yl d {bzl{y {bmbdvbi ku ygb `lxb{cabcy mdvy ubd{ VKD- Eazdfy lh [b`rmdyl{uFlvyv lc Vadmm Heccv- ;:4:%- ygb dxb{d`b R#V# glrvbglmi zduv cbd{mu )42-8:: ec diibiflvyv ie{bfymu mecobi yl hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcv bdfg ubd{#
Dab{efdcv oclp flcvrab{v dci krvecbvvbv d{b lxb{!{b`rmdybi# Ygbu oclp ygdy rccbbibi{b`rmdyelcv ecf{bdvbv ygb z{efb lh `lliv dci vb{xefbv adib ec Dab{efd- mbdiv yl nlk mlvvbvgb{b dy glab- dci bxbcyrdmmu zrvgbv Dab{efdc nlkv lxb{vbdv#
• Pb fdc d`{bb l{ ievd`{bb dklry pgbygb{ pb cbbi al{b l{ mbvv {b`rmdyelcv- kry mby'v dmmd`{bb ygdy clp ev cly ygb yeab yl zemb ygbvb kr{ibcv lc ygb bflclau#
Dv {b`rmdyelcv gdxb `{lpc lxb{ ygb ubd{v- vl gdxb ygb z{efb lh bxb{uidu glrvbglmi eybav#• Dab{efdcv oclp ygb dalrcy lh hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcv gdxb i{dvyefdmmu ecf{bdvbi lxb{ ygb
ubd{v# Dv ygbu'xb pdyfgbi ygbvb {b`rmdyelcv ecf{bdvb- ygbu'xb vbbc ygb z{efbv lh `lliv dcivb{xefbv flcyecrb yl {evb#
• [b`rmdyelcv d{bc'y fgbdz# Dffl{iec` yl d `lxb{cabcy {bzl{y mdvy ubd{- hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcvflvy zblzmb dci krvecbvvbv ec ygb R#V# cbd{mu )4#02 y{emmelc bdfg ubd{ VKD- Eazdfy lh [b`rmdyl{u Flvyv lc Vadmm He{av- ;:4:%# Ygbvb diibi flvyv d{b zdvvbi lc yl Dab{efdcvdci gr{y ygbe{ zlfobykllov#
Ey'v gd{i yl ead`ecb glp arfg )4#02 y{emmelc ev- kry zry ey ygev pdu> ec ;:4:- ygb `lxb{cabcyvzbcy )6#2 y{emmelc#
• Ec lygb{ pl{iv- ygb flvyv lh {b`rmdyelcv plrmi btrdm gdmh lh pgdy ygb `lxb{cabcy vzbcy ec
;:4:#• Zry dclygb{ pdu> ec ygev ubd{ dmlcb- ygb ibhefey ev z{lnbfybi yl kb )4#6 y{emmelc- pbmm kbmlp
ygb )4#02 y{emmelc ec diibi flvyv eazlvbi ku hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcv#
• 09 zb{fbcy kbmebxb ygdy krvecbvvbv dci flcvrab{v d{b lxb{!{b`rmdybi#
• 06 zb{fbcy flcfr{ ygdy bxb{u yeab ygb hbib{dm `lxb{cabcy adcidybv d cbp {b`rmdyelc lh
Dab{efd'v md{`b dci vadmm krvecbvvbv- ygb z{efbv lh Dab{efdc adib `lliv dci vb{xefbv
meob `dvlmecb dci hlli `l rz#
• Xlyb{v kbmebxb ygdy {b`rmdyelcv pemm gecib{ nlk f{bdyelc- dv alvy kbmebxb ygb {bvrmy lh cbp
{b`rmdyelcv pemm beygb{ kb nlk mlvvbv 90 zb{fbcy% l{ ecf{bdvbi z{efbv hl{ Dab{efdc adib
`lliv dci vb{xefbv ;; zb{fbcy%#
• 0: zb{fbcy lh xlyb{v kbmebxb {b`rmdyelcv lc krvecbvvbv pemm {bvrmy ec al{b nlkv alxec`
lxb{vbdv#• 80 zb{fbcy lh Dab{efdc xlyb{v kbmebxb {b`rmdyelcv gdxb ecf{bdvbi lxb{ ygb zdvy hbp ubd{v#
Vylz ygb Dvvdrmy lc KrvecbvvbvVadmm krvecbvvbv kbd{ ygb k{rcy lh hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcv# Ey'v yeab pb zry vadmm krvecbvvbv lcd mbxbm zmduec` hebmi- vl ygbu ilc'y i{lpc ec ygb `lxb{cabcy'v {bi ydzb#
• Dffl{iec` yl d `lxb{cabcy {bzl{y- +vadmm krvecbvvbv###kbd{ ygb md{`bvy kr{ibc lh hbib{dm{b`rmdyelcv+ VKD- Eazdfy lh [b`rmdyl{u Flvyv lc Vadmm He{av- ;:4:%#
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• Ygev evc'y d vr{z{evb# Pgemb md{`b krvecbvvbv adu kb dkmb yl rvb mllzglmbv- ala!dci!zlzvyl{bv ilc'y gdxb ygb kbcbhey lh gdxec` d ybda lh mdpub{v dci mlkkuevyv yl `by d{lrci ygb`lxb{cabcy'v {bi ydzb#
• Peyg 5#4 " rcbazmluabcy- Dab{efdc pl{ob{v dci vadmm krvecbvvbv fdccly dhhl{i al{b{rmbv ygdy adob ey gd{ib{ hl{ krvecbvvbv yl `{lp dci ge{b al{b pl{ob{v#
• Gb{b d{b ygb hdfyv> lxb{ 29-::: zd`bv- adcu lh pgefg {bz{bvbcy {b`rmdyelcv- gdxb kbbcdiibi yl ygb Hbib{dm [b`evyb{ ir{ec` ygev ubd{ dmlcb# Pb ilc'y cbbi yglrvdciv dciyglrvdciv lh zd`bv lh cbp {rmbv ybmmec` vadmm krvecbvvbv pgdy yl il#
Ygb{b d{b {b`rmdyelcv ygdy obbz rv vdhb- dci obbz lr{ pdyb{ fmbdc- dci ygbc ygb{b d{bcbbimbvv {b`rmdyelcv ygdy d{b nrvy vyrzei# [b`rmdyelcv ygdy ilc'y zdvv ygb flaalc vbcvb ybvyd{b yll flvymu hl{ vadmm krvecbvvbv dci Dab{efdc flcvrab{v#
• Hbib{dm kr{bdrf{dyv d{b pl{oec` lc {b`rmdyelcv ygdy flrmi hl{fb hd{ab{v df{lvv Dab{efdyl meaey ygb dalrcy lh irvy ec ygb de{ lc ygbe{ hd{av#
• Hbib{dm kr{bdrf{dyv d{b ecf{bdvec` hrbm bhhefebcfu vydcid{iv- pgefg- ku ygb LkdadDiaecevy{dyelc'v lpc diaevvelc- pemm ecf{bdvb ygb flvy lh d fd{ ku )4-4::# Vlab vr``bvyey pemm ecf{bdvb ygb flvy bxbc al{b#
• [bfbcymu- Hbib{dm d`bcfebv vbe~bi plli dy @ekvlc `reyd{ hdfyl{ebv z{bvradkmu rcib{ ygbkbmebh ygdy @ekvlc zr{fgdvbi plli ygdy ev bcidc`b{bi#
l Pgemb cly dmm lh ygb ibydemv d{b oclpc dklry ygev {dei- @ekvlc `reyd{'v FBL vdeiygdy ygb plli ev h{la fb{yehebi vrzzmeb{#
l Ec d cbpv d{yefmb- @ekvlc'v FBL vr``bvyv- ”ygb Hbiv d{b rvec` ygb d``{bvvexbbchl{fbabcy lh lxb{mu k{ldi mdpv _dci {b`rmdyelcvQ###+ yl flab dhyb{ ygb flazdcu#
l Dci ygb flvy yl @ekvlc hl{ ygev {dei< ); yl )6 aemmelc#
• 88 zb{fbcy kbmebxb ygdy ygb ecf{bdvec` crakb{ lh {b`rmdyelcv gdxb f{bdybi rcfb{ydecyu hl{
md{`b dci vadmm krvecbvvbv#
Ygb Lkdad Diaecevy{dyelc Arvy Vylz Lxb{vybzzec` Eyv Klrciv
Kr{bdrf{dyv d{b y{uec` yl dfflazmevg ygbe{ lknbfyexbv yg{lr`g {b`rmdyelcv pgbc ygbuflrmic'y `by ygb mdp zdvvbi yg{lr`g Flc`{bvv? ilec` vl ev p{lc` dci rcib{aecbv ygbvy{bc`yg lh lr{ ibalf{dfu#
• Ey'v gd{i yl kbmebxb- kry Flc`{bvv ev cly ec d mbdi zlveyelc peyg {b`d{i yl diaecevyb{ec`hbib{dm {b`rmdyelcv#
• Ygb hdfy ev ygdy vlablcb arvy diaecevyb{ dci bchl{fb ygb mdpv ygdy Flc`{bvv p{eybv# Dciygb mdpv ygdy Flc`{bvv p{eybv d{b diaecevyb{bi yg{lr`g {b`rmdyelcv#
• Mdpv vglrmi kb fmbd{- ie{bfy- dci {bmedkmb# Ygb vdab `lbv hl{ `lxb{cabcy {b`rmdyelcv ygdyeazmbabcy Flc`{bvv' mdpv# Vdimu- ygev ev cly lhybc ygb fdvb- vl mdpv dci {b`rmdyelcv d{becyb{z{bybi ku iehhb{bcy Z{bveibcyedm diaecevy{dyelcv ec adcu iehhb{bcy pduv#
• Ygb hbib{dm d`bcfebv ygdy f{bdyb {b`rmdyelcv d{b adcu yeabv rcdfflrcydkmb kr{bdrf{dyv
pgl d{b al{b flcfb{cbi dklry vbbec` ygbe{ zlpb{ dci echmrbcfb ecf{bdvb al{b ygdc ilec`pgdy ev {e`gy hl{ ygb flrcy{u#
• Pgemb ygbu d{b ygecoec` dklry ygbe{ lpc zlpb{- ygbu hdem yl flcveib{ ygdy rccbbibi{b`rmdyelcv gr{y lr{ bflclau dci vyehmb nlk f{bdyelc#
Pgbc {b`rmdyelcv d{bc―y fmbd{- ie{bfy- dci {bmedkmb- ygbu fdc f{bdyb `{bdy rcfb{ydecyu-pgefg adobv krvecbvvbv gbveydcy yl ecxbvy dci f{bdyb nlkv#
• Ygb Lkdad Diaecevy{dyelc ev {bdfgec` yll hd{ yl fmdea {b`rmdyl{u flcy{lm lxb{ ygec`v ygdyFlc`{bvv cbxb{ ecybcibi hl{ ey yl flcy{lm# Ygev arvy vylz#
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• Ygb z{lkmba ev dklry bwfbvvexb ecyb{hb{bcfb ku rcbmbfybi dci rcdfflrcydkmb kr{bdrf{dyv#Pb dmm pdcy {bdvlcdkmb- flaalc!vbcvb {b`rmdyelcv ygdy obbz rv vdhb ‖ kry ygdy―v cly pgdyadcu lh ygb Lkdad Diaecevy{dyelc―v {b`rmdyelcv d{b ilec`#
• Pgdy d{b ygbu ilec`< Ygbu d{b evvrec` {b`rmdyelcv ygdy ygbu flrmic―y `by zdvvbi yg{lr`gFlc`{bvv# Ku ilec` vl- ygbu d{b rcib{aecec` pgdy krvecbvvbv cbbi alvy- bvzbfedmmu ec
ygbvb bflclaef yeabv> fb{ydecyu#l Ygbu―{b flcy{lmmec` bxb{uygec` h{la pgb{b krvecbvvbv fdc mlfdyb yl glp arfg
irvy hd{ab{v dci {dcfgb{v adu z{lirfb#
• Ygb flvy lh {b`rmdyl{u kr{ibcv h{la cbp {b`rmdyelcv nrvy ygev ubd{ ev )80#9 kemmelc ‖pgefg ev cbd{mu ygb ve~b lh ygb bcye{b kri`by hl{ ygb vydyb lh Hml{eid#
• 85 zb{fbcy kbmebxb ygdy d`bcfebv pgl bchl{fb {b`rmdyelcv hdem yl flcveib{ glp ygbe{
ibfevelcv mbdi yl ecf{bdvbi z{efbv hl{ flcvrab{v dci nlk mlvvbv#
Ygb Fdvb lh Klbec` Ubv- ey ev gd{i yl kbmebxb ygb `lxb{cabcy ev y{uec` yl flcy{lm pgb{b krvecbvvbv mlfdyb pgbckrvecbvvbv d{b nrvy y{uec` yl f{bdyb nlkv# Kry ygbu d{b# Mllo cl hr{ygb{ ygdc Vlryg
Fd{lmecd#• Klbec`- d Rceybi Vydybv kdvbi flazdcu ygdy adcrhdfyr{bv flaab{fedm de{zmdcbv- {bfbcymu
hecevgbi kremiec` d zmdcy ec Vlryg Fd{lmecd yl kremi d cbp yuzb lh de{zmdcb# Ygev cbp zmdcypemm f{bdyb yglrvdciv lh cbp hrmm!yeab nlkv#
• Glpbxb{- d hbib{dm d`bcfu vrbi Klbec` kbhl{b ygb zmdcy'v lzbcec`- fmdeaec` ygdy Klbec`'vibfevelc yl mlfdyb ec Vlryg Fd{lmecd pdv {bydmedyelc d`decvy rcelc dfyexeyebv ec Pdvgec`ylcVydyb- pgb{b Klbec` ev gbditrd{yb{bi#
• Mby'v vydyb ygb hdfyv> ygb ecxbvyabcyv ec Hdfemeyebv dci nlkv ec Vlryg Fd{lmecd d{b dmm cbp nlkv- dci bxbc yglr`g ygbu d{b clc!rcelc zlveyelcv ygbu pemm cly flab dy ygb bwzbcvb lh nlkv gbmi ku rcelc pl{ob{v ec dcu lygb{ vydyb# Yl kb fmbd{- cl lcb mlvy gev l{ gb{ nlk dyKlbec` kbfdrvb lh ygev bwzdcvelc#
• Ygb mdpvrey pdv cly hembi rcyem Klbec` flazmbybi ygb zmdcy- pgefg pdv ubd{v ec ygbadoec`#
• Dffl{iec` yl d hbib{dm d`bcfu- glpbxb{- Klbec` ibfeibi yl ”y{dcvhb{ d vbflci z{lirfyelcmecb yl d clc!rcelc hdfemeyu ec Vlryg Fd{lmecd hl{ ievf{eaecdyl{u {bdvlcv#+
Pgdy mdp ev ygb hbib{dm d`bcfu rvec` yl adob eyv {b`rmdyl{u fmdea< Ygb Cdyelcdm Mdkl{[bmdyelcv Dfy- pgefg {bfl`ce~bv d vy{eob dv d hrcidabcydm {e`gy lh pl{ob{v#
• Mby'v cly ecvrmy ygb ecybmme`bcfb lh Dab{efdcv# Ygbu oclp ygev ev {b`rmdyl{u lxb{{bdfg#Ygbu oclp pgdy'v `lec` lc gb{b> d hbib{dm d`bcfu ev ilec` pgdybxb{ ey pdcybi yl il ecygb he{vy zmdfb- dci ey hlrci dcu {b`rmdyelc lc eyv kllov yl adob ey pl{o#
• Ygb klyyla mecb> ygb {b`rmdyl{v pb{b lry yl adob d zlecy- dci ygbu pb{b `lec` yl hecidcuygec` ygbu flrmi ! ygbu pb{b `lec` yl vy{byfg ygb meaey lh ygb mdp kbulci eyv k{bdoec`
zlecy ! yl il pgdy ygbu pdcybi yl il#• Pb vglrmi kb fmbd{ yl ygb Dab{efdc zblzmb> ec vlab pduv ey plrmi kb bdveb{ hl{ Klbec`-
ygb md{`bvy adcrhdfyr{ec` bwzl{yb{ ec ygb Rceybi Vydybv- yl alxb lxb{vbdv ygdc ey plrmikb yl alxb df{lvv vydyb mecbv#
• Ygev ev nrvy zmdec p{lc`# Ec d yeab pgbc pb cbbi nlkv- pb ilc'y cbbi `lxb{cabcy adoec`rz {rmbv lc ygb vzly# Pb cbbi d `lxb{cabcy ygdy z{lalybv d fmeadyb lh nlk f{bdyelc#
Ygev ev nrvy ygb yez lh ygb efbkb{` kbfdrvb eh ygbu flrmi il ey yl Klbec`- ygbu flrmi il ey yldcu lygb{ krvecbvv ec Dab{efd#
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• 07 zb{fbcy veib peyg Klbec` ec d`{bbec` ygdy d krvecbvv vglrmi cly kb dkmb yl lzbc d
hdfemeyu ec dcu vydyb- dci ygdy ygb `lxb{cabcy vglrmi cly kb ecxlmxbi ec ygb ibfevelc dklry
pgb{b Klbec` l{ dcu flazdcu mlfdybv cbp zmdcyv#
Lkdad Oclpv Pb Gdxb d [b`rmdyelcv Z{lkmba
Z{bveibcy Lkdad oclpv ygb Rceybi Vydybv gdv d {b`rmdyelcv z{lkmba# Ygdy―v pgu gb{bfbcymu dcclrcfbi d zmdc yl {lmmkdfo vlab {b`rmdyl{u kr{ibcv# Ey―v d vyd{y- kry pb vglrmiil al{b clp#
• Ygb Z{bveibcy'v {b`rmdyl{u {lmmkdfo ilbvc'y `l hd{ bclr`g ! ey vdxbv dc bvyeadybi )4:kemmelc lxb{ hexb ubd{v- kry flcveib{ec` ygdy ygb `lxb{cabcy bvyeadybv ygdy hbib{dm{b`rmdyelcv flvy krvecbvvbv dci zblzmb lxb{ )4#02 y{emmelc zb{ ubd{ VKD- Eazdfy lh [b`rmdyl{u Flvyv lc Vadmm He{av- ;:4:%- deaec` hl{ )4: kemmelc ec vdxec`v ev meob vdxec` dhbp ilmmd{v d pbbo yl zdulhh ulr{ al{y`d`b#
• Ey'v meob vl arfg lh pgdy pb gbd{ h{la ygb Z{bveibcy# Ey vlrciv `{bdy###kry ygb {bdmeyu ev-ey'v nrvy al{b lh ygb vdab#
Vbzd{dybmu- ygb Z{bveibcy {bfbcymu z{lzlvbi gdmyec` d {b`rmdyelc ygdy plrmi flvy krvecbvvbv cbd{mu
)5: kemmelc bdfg ubd{#• Dy ygb yeab- ygb Z{bveibcy vdei> ”E gdxb flcyecrbi yl rcib{vfl{b ygb eazl{ydcfb lh
{birfec` {b`rmdyl{u kr{ibcv dci {b`rmdyl{u rcfb{ydecyu- zd{yefrmd{mu dv lr{ bflclauflcyecrbv yl {bflxb{#‑
• E d`{bb- A{# Z{bveibcy# Dci ygdy―v pgu E glzb ulr―mm d`{bb ygdy pb arvy il al{b clp# Pbarvy il al{b clp yl f{bdyb bflclaef fb{ydecyu ku {birfec` rccbbibi {b`rmdyl{ukr{ibcv#
Vecfb {b`rmdyl{v gdxb dkrvbi ygbe{ zlpb{v- Flc`{bvv vglrmi vybz ec dci cl mlc`b{ dmmlpflvymu {b`rmdyelcv yl kbflab hecdm peyglry ygb bwzmefey dzz{lxdm h{la Flc`{bvv#
• Dv peyg cbd{mu dmm `lxb{cabcy {b`rmdyelcv- Flc`{bvv gdv cl abdcec`hrm vdu lc hecdm{b`rmdyelcv#
• Gd{i yl kbmebxb< Ubv# Kry ey ev d hdfy ygdy Flc`{bvv f{bdybv d kdvef h{dabpl{o ec mdpv dcimbyv {b`rmdyl{v hemm ec ygb ibydemv#
• Flc`{bvv vglrmi kb al{b ecxlmxbi ec ygb {b`rmdyelcv ygdy kr{bdrf{dyv p{eyb kbfdrvbDab{efdcv fdc xlyb Flc`{bvv lry lh lhhefb- kry fdccly xlyb ygb {b`rmdyl{v lry lh lhhefb#
• 82 zb{fbcy kbmebxb ygdy Flc`{bvv dci ygb Z{bveibcy vglrmi dzz{lxb {b`rmdyelcv kbhl{b
ygbu d{b bchl{fbi#