the tarrance group, inc./ lake research partners ...€¦ · battleground 65 #16440: weighted...

532
82% 15% 3% 1011 82% 15% 3% 192 82% 15% 3% 161 79% 19% 3% 260 87% 10% 3% 77 93% 5% 3% 80 82% 14% 4% 84 80% 17% 3% 158 81% 15% 4% 113 81% 18% 2% 76 85% 12% 3% 56 79% 21% 52 82% 15% 3% 715 82% 13% 5% 189 82% 16% 2% 544 81% 15% 3% 278 76% 19% 5% 65 83% 15% 3% 946 81% 16% 2% 431 80% 18% 2% 235 85% 11% 3% 316 74% 18% 8% 29 87% 10% 3% 132 86% 11% 2% 108 75% 25% 9 76% 20% 4% 30 80% 18% 2% 235 81% 16% 2% 431 88% 7% 4% 108 81% 16% 3% 903 84% 14% 2% 475 80% 16% 3% 536 85% 12% 3% 334 82% 17% 1% 141 83% 15% 2% 290 77% 18% 4% 246 TOTAL Northeast Midwest South South Central Central Plains Mountain States West RG1 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS ONE California Florida Texas New York Rest of country RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO 55%+ Trump states Other states 55%+ Clinton states PREZ16 STATE BY PRESIDENTIAL WINNER Competitive U.S. Senate race Other states SEN20 STATES WITH COMPETITIVE U.S. SENATE RACES Rural / small town Urban Suburb Unsure / refused RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C White suburban men White suburban women Black suburban men Black suburban women Urban voters Rural voters USRACE COMMUNITY / RACE Yes No COMPCD COMPETITIVE CD Male Female GENDER GENDER Male / employed Male / not employed Female / employed Female / not employed RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C UPELECT Extremely likely Very likely Somewhat likely UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING IN UPCOMING ELECTION TOTAL (cont.) THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables October 6-10, 2019 Page 1

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Page 1: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

82% 15% 3% 1011

82% 15% 3% 192

82% 15% 3% 161

79% 19% 3% 260

87% 10% 3% 77

93% 5% 3% 80

82% 14% 4% 84

80% 17% 3% 158

81% 15% 4% 113

81% 18% 2% 76

85% 12% 3% 56

79% 21% 52

82% 15% 3% 715

82% 13% 5% 189

82% 16% 2% 544

81% 15% 3% 278

76% 19% 5% 65

83% 15% 3% 946

81% 16% 2% 431

80% 18% 2% 235

85% 11% 3% 316

74% 18% 8% 29

87% 10% 3% 132

86% 11% 2% 108

75% 25% 9

76% 20% 4% 30

80% 18% 2% 235

81% 16% 2% 431

88% 7% 4% 108

81% 16% 3% 903

84% 14% 2% 475

80% 16% 3% 536

85% 12% 3% 334

82% 17% 1% 141

83% 15% 2% 290

77% 18% 4% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 1

Page 2: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

74% 18% 8% 98

84% 13% 3% 624

81% 19% 1% 262

81% 11% 8% 28

79% 18% 4% 202

87% 10% 3% 283

82% 14% 3% 313

78% 20% 2% 212

84% 13% 3% 485

82% 14% 3% 313

78% 20% 2% 212

85% 13% 2% 255

83% 14% 2% 220

82% 14% 4% 230

79% 18% 3% 306

85% 13% 2% 758

73% 23% 4% 121

73% 24% 3% 91

73% 15% 12% 40

88% 12% 130

85% 13% 3% 629

69% 24% 8% 31

74% 23% 3% 91

57% 36% 7% 32

82% 17% 1% 59

70% 5% 25% 10

74% 18% 8% 30

88% 11% 1% 370

83% 15% 3% 388

67% 24% 9% 39

75% 22% 2% 82

74% 26% 47

73% 21% 7% 44

83% 15% 2% 282

82% 15% 3% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 2

Page 3: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

84% 14% 3% 384

79% 16% 4% 202

82% 16% 2% 425

88% 10% 3% 207

79% 19% 2% 177

84% 15% 1% 175

81% 16% 3% 249

77% 19% 4% 92

82% 14% 4% 110

84% 12% 4% 154

83% 15% 2% 230

83% 15% 2% 210

80% 17% 3% 215

83% 13% 4% 122

74% 21% 5% 81

85% 13% 2% 444

71% 23% 7% 62

81% 16% 4% 505

88% 11% 1% 289

70% 24% 6% 79

79% 16% 5% 223

87% 9% 4% 76

81% 17% 2% 344

83% 14% 2% 421

83% 14% 3% 429

82% 16% 1% 98

50% 50% 4

80% 9% 11% 32

60% 33% 7% 27

82% 14% 3% 491

76% 16% 8% 86

83% 16% 1% 433

87% 11% 2% 185

80% 16% 4% 307

82% 16% 2% 520

84% 14% 3% 384

79% 16% 4% 202

72% 20% 8% 69

84% 15% 1% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 3

Page 4: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

85% 14% 1% 380

68% 20% 12% 126

71% 23% 7% 62

74% 26% 1% 52

87% 12% 2% 392

46% 34% 20% 22

72% 25% 3% 149

85% 13% 2% 240

85% 13% 2% 601

87% 10% 3% 282

79% 19% 2% 193

83% 15% 2% 319

76% 19% 5% 217

86% 12% 2% 466

81% 15% 4% 135

84% 14% 2% 293

64% 30% 7% 117

84% 14% 2% 293

64% 30% 7% 117

85% 13% 2% 601

81% 18% 1% 197

82% 14% 3% 814

74% 20% 6% 219

86% 12% 1% 617

77% 18% 5% 175

87% 11% 2% 320

81% 13% 6% 55

75% 22% 2% 100

86% 14% 0% 296

74% 20% 5% 120

73% 18% 9% 119

87% 12% 1% 513

83% 17% 0% 104

81% 15% 4% 246

66% 25% 9% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 4

Page 5: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

87% 13% 64

74% 14% 12% 57

88% 10% 2% 265

86% 13% 0% 248

87% 13% 41

77% 19% 3% 83

73% 22% 5% 253

84% 13% 3% 354

81% 16% 3% 657

86% 12% 3% 179

83% 15% 3% 175

87% 12% 1% 272

86% 13% 1% 345

79% 14% 7% 34

86% 10% 4% 57

72% 21% 7% 30

74% 20% 6% 189

69% 25% 6% 84

82% 16% 2% 330

84% 12% 4% 152

81% 15% 4% 239

82% 15% 3% 290

83% 16% 2% 363

82% 15% 3% 599

82% 13% 5% 49

83% 16% 1% 163

85% 12% 3% 312

83% 15% 2% 200

79% 17% 4% 336

87% 11% 2% 250

74% 25% 1% 113

87% 11% 2% 201

78% 20% 2% 54

85% 13% 2% 49

70% 30% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 5

Page 6: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

90% 10% 66

85% 13% 2% 583

79% 18% 3% 220

75% 19% 6% 114

80% 20% 4

59% 26% 16% 24

87% 11% 2% 472

64% 36% 45

82% 14% 4% 53

84% 14% 2% 14

78% 18% 4% 428

81% 18% 2% 188

80% 17% 3% 168

75% 25% 78

81% 16% 3% 126

87% 9% 4% 288

73% 20% 7% 65

86% 12% 2% 98

83% 14% 3% 350

70% 25% 5% 77

83% 14% 2% 584

85% 13% 3% 423

68% 25% 7% 79

82% 16% 2% 509

83% 14% 2% 424

78% 14% 8% 102

82% 16% 2% 485

82% 15% 3% 438

80% 13% 7% 35

83% 15% 2% 539

83% 15% 2% 955

68% 22% 10% 56

85% 14% 0% 295

84% 13% 3% 252

82% 15% 3% 313

77% 18% 5% 95

100% 1

83% 16% 1% 488

87% 9% 4% 24

83% 14% 4% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 6

Page 7: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

83% 15% 1% 214

78% 18% 5% 374

88% 11% 1% 227

83% 14% 3% 187

59% 29% 13% 9

92% 7% 0% 409

94% 6% 0% 511

92% 8% 0% 607

90% 10% 0% 708

82% 15% 3% 1011

82% 15% 3% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

UPELECT

Extremelylikely

Very likely Somewhatlikely

UPELECT LIKELIHOOD OF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 7

Page 8: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

48% 31% 21% 1011

42% 30% 28% 192

52% 27% 21% 161

46% 35% 19% 260

29% 44% 27% 77

64% 24% 12% 80

50% 33% 17% 84

54% 27% 19% 158

60% 22% 18% 113

53% 25% 22% 76

26% 44% 30% 56

44% 34% 22% 52

48% 32% 21% 715

53% 30% 18% 189

46% 34% 21% 544

49% 27% 24% 278

45% 37% 19% 65

48% 31% 21% 946

39% 37% 24% 431

57% 26% 16% 235

53% 28% 18% 316

47% 7% 46% 29

57% 26% 17% 132

49% 28% 24% 108

25% 47% 28% 9

50% 36% 14% 30

57% 26% 16% 235

39% 37% 24% 431

46% 32% 22% 108

48% 31% 21% 903

54% 29% 17% 475

43% 32% 25% 536

68% 26% 6% 334

21% 36% 43% 141

62% 33% 5% 290

20% 32% 48% 246

59% 36% 5% 98

65% 29% 5% 624

3% 34% 63% 262

48% 24% 28% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 8

Page 9: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

100% 202

100% 283

100% 313

100% 212

100% 255

63% 37% 220

100% 230

57% 43% 306

46% 32% 23% 758

48% 35% 17% 121

67% 23% 11% 91

51% 28% 21% 40

100% 130

34% 38% 28% 629

100% 31

31% 47% 22% 91

100% 32

48% 35% 17% 59

100% 10

35% 37% 28% 30

53% 29% 18% 370

39% 34% 27% 388

29% 47% 23% 39

57% 29% 13% 82

79% 19% 3% 47

54% 27% 20% 44

1% 37% 62% 282

66% 28% 5% 729

40% 37% 23% 384

60% 20% 20% 202

49% 31% 19% 425

48% 35% 17% 207

31% 38% 31% 177

57% 28% 16% 175

44% 34% 22% 249

61% 20% 19% 92

59% 20% 21% 110

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 9

Page 10: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

100% 154

61% 39% 230

100% 210

62% 38% 215

100% 122

51% 49% 81

43% 34% 23% 444

57% 14% 29% 62

51% 30% 19% 505

40% 36% 24% 289

43% 33% 24% 79

58% 23% 19% 223

52% 34% 14% 76

49% 31% 21% 344

42% 35% 23% 421

49% 30% 21% 429

68% 19% 13% 98

100% 4

57% 36% 7% 32

43% 21% 36% 27

39% 36% 25% 491

64% 25% 11% 86

55% 27% 18% 433

31% 42% 28% 185

44% 32% 24% 307

57% 26% 17% 520

40% 37% 23% 384

60% 20% 20% 202

32% 39% 29% 69

53% 30% 18% 355

56% 26% 18% 380

37% 43% 20% 126

57% 14% 29% 62

54% 34% 11% 52

42% 34% 24% 392

17% 36% 47% 22

38% 33% 29% 149

47% 32% 21% 240

52% 30% 18% 601

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 10

Page 11: THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERS ...€¦ · Battleground 65 #16440: Weighted Tables. 161 260 77 80 84 158 113 76 56 52 65 Competitive U.S. Senate USRACE COMMUNITY

57% 25% 17% 282

48% 35% 16% 193

47% 34% 19% 319

37% 30% 33% 217

49% 31% 20% 466

63% 27% 10% 135

41% 33% 27% 293

47% 32% 21% 117

41% 33% 27% 293

47% 32% 21% 117

52% 30% 18% 601

53% 31% 16% 197

47% 31% 22% 814

76% 16% 8% 219

43% 36% 22% 617

32% 33% 35% 175

44% 35% 21% 320

48% 34% 17% 55

87% 8% 5% 100

41% 36% 23% 296

24% 32% 43% 120

67% 23% 10% 119

42% 35% 22% 513

43% 38% 19% 104

52% 24% 24% 246

64% 24% 13% 149

85% 7% 8% 64

58% 28% 14% 57

45% 34% 21% 265

39% 37% 23% 248

49% 35% 16% 41

24% 27% 48% 83

55% 29% 15% 253

81% 17% 2% 354

30% 38% 31% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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79% 19% 3% 179

83% 16% 1% 175

81% 17% 2% 272

12% 50% 37% 345

79% 21% 34

20% 43% 37% 57

94% 6% 30

73% 18% 9% 189

21% 31% 48% 84

43% 32% 25% 330

49% 30% 21% 152

49% 34% 17% 239

53% 27% 20% 290

45% 34% 20% 363

50% 29% 21% 599

48% 26% 26% 49

49% 35% 16% 163

56% 26% 18% 312

42% 34% 24% 200

43% 32% 25% 336

42% 35% 23% 250

53% 32% 15% 113

39% 35% 25% 201

34% 48% 17% 54

53% 35% 12% 49

70% 17% 13% 59

29% 47% 25% 66

47% 31% 22% 583

60% 28% 12% 220

46% 25% 29% 114

64% 36% 4

36% 30% 33% 24

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 32% 23% 472

38% 44% 18% 45

69% 19% 11% 53

47% 29% 24% 14

50% 31% 20% 428

25% 40% 35% 188

26% 37% 37% 168

34% 42% 24% 78

61% 29% 10% 126

78% 16% 6% 288

45% 33% 22% 65

38% 39% 22% 98

42% 34% 24% 350

53% 26% 21% 77

51% 30% 19% 584

43% 35% 23% 423

58% 22% 20% 79

51% 29% 20% 509

42% 34% 24% 424

55% 29% 16% 102

52% 29% 19% 485

40% 36% 24% 438

68% 13% 20% 35

53% 28% 19% 539

48% 31% 21% 955

44% 33% 24% 56

32% 38% 30% 295

48% 33% 19% 252

60% 25% 16% 313

63% 23% 14% 95

100% 1

51% 29% 19% 488

53% 25% 22% 24

45% 33% 22% 442

52% 33% 15% 214

49% 31% 20% 374

46% 32% 22% 227

44% 29% 27% 187

59% 41% 9

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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49% 31% 20% 830

43% 29% 28% 152

51% 36% 13% 29

31% 40% 28% 409

39% 36% 25% 511

42% 35% 24% 607

43% 34% 23% 708

48% 31% 21% 1011

48% 31% 21% 1011

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RAGEFL18-44 45-64 65 or overRAGEFL RESPONDENT'S AGE/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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35% 8% 58% 1011

27% 8% 65% 192

37% 8% 54% 161

34% 8% 58% 260

43% 12% 45% 77

47% 8% 45% 80

39% 7% 54% 84

30% 4% 66% 158

28% 2% 70% 113

30% 7% 63% 76

40% 12% 48% 56

32% 5% 63% 52

36% 8% 56% 715

42% 13% 45% 189

35% 7% 57% 544

28% 4% 67% 278

41% 5% 54% 65

34% 8% 58% 946

41% 9% 50% 431

20% 9% 71% 235

37% 4% 59% 316

40% 12% 48% 29

43% 6% 51% 132

36% 4% 60% 108

25% 75% 9

16% 5% 79% 30

20% 9% 71% 235

41% 9% 50% 431

41% 7% 52% 108

34% 8% 58% 903

41% 9% 51% 475

29% 7% 64% 536

41% 8% 50% 334

39% 9% 52% 141

25% 7% 68% 290

35% 6% 59% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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32% 6% 61% 98

34% 8% 58% 624

37% 6% 57% 262

45% 16% 39% 28

31% 5% 65% 202

30% 11% 59% 283

38% 6% 56% 313

39% 8% 53% 212

30% 8% 61% 485

38% 6% 56% 313

39% 8% 53% 212

36% 11% 53% 255

46% 6% 48% 220

24% 6% 70% 230

33% 7% 59% 306

39% 8% 53% 758

12% 4% 84% 121

25% 10% 65% 91

41% 9% 50% 40

38% 4% 57% 130

39% 8% 52% 629

8% 8% 85% 31

13% 3% 84% 91

20% 80% 32

27% 16% 57% 59

35% 17% 48% 10

43% 6% 51% 30

43% 10% 47% 370

35% 6% 59% 388

16% 8% 76% 39

9% 2% 88% 82

39% 61% 47

9% 21% 70% 44

42% 5% 53% 282

32% 8% 60% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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72% 8% 20% 384

26% 14% 60% 202

5% 4% 91% 425

75% 7% 18% 207

69% 9% 22% 177

4% 6% 90% 175

5% 3% 92% 249

33% 17% 50% 92

21% 11% 69% 110

73% 5% 22% 154

72% 10% 18% 230

4% 6% 90% 210

5% 2% 93% 215

22% 16% 62% 122

32% 10% 57% 81

64% 8% 28% 444

33% 26% 41% 62

9% 5% 86% 505

77% 7% 16% 289

58% 11% 31% 79

28% 13% 59% 223

12% 8% 80% 76

3% 3% 94% 344

74% 8% 19% 421

2% 4% 94% 429

15% 17% 68% 98

50% 50% 4

24% 7% 69% 32

35% 23% 43% 27

60% 9% 31% 491

24% 18% 58% 86

8% 4% 88% 433

69% 11% 19% 185

55% 7% 38% 307

10% 6% 83% 520

72% 8% 20% 384

26% 14% 60% 202

9% 7% 84% 69

4% 4% 92% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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5% 4% 92% 380

21% 9% 69% 126

33% 26% 41% 62

40% 1% 58% 52

67% 9% 24% 392

42% 8% 49% 22

48% 4% 48% 149

38% 7% 55% 240

30% 8% 62% 601

36% 10% 54% 282

48% 7% 46% 193

25% 7% 68% 319

36% 6% 57% 217

33% 8% 59% 466

19% 9% 73% 135

49% 7% 44% 293

23% 5% 71% 117

49% 7% 44% 293

23% 5% 71% 117

30% 8% 62% 601

30% 4% 66% 197

36% 8% 56% 814

25% 7% 68% 219

37% 8% 55% 617

38% 7% 54% 175

42% 7% 51% 320

45% 9% 46% 55

34% 13% 53% 100

31% 9% 60% 296

35% 7% 58% 120

18% 2% 80% 119

40% 7% 53% 513

23% 10% 67% 104

38% 8% 53% 246

19% 5% 75% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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39% 17% 45% 64

31% 2% 67% 57

44% 8% 48% 265

35% 7% 58% 248

43% 9% 47% 41

41% 6% 53% 83

21% 7% 72% 253

34% 9% 57% 354

35% 7% 58% 657

41% 12% 47% 179

27% 6% 67% 175

34% 8% 57% 272

39% 7% 54% 345

44% 56% 34

30% 4% 66% 57

13% 19% 68% 30

27% 5% 68% 189

42% 13% 46% 84

43% 9% 48% 330

35% 6% 58% 152

34% 7% 59% 239

25% 7% 68% 290

48% 7% 45% 363

27% 8% 65% 599

25% 12% 63% 49

55% 6% 39% 163

33% 10% 57% 312

43% 7% 50% 200

21% 7% 72% 336

62% 5% 33% 250

18% 9% 73% 113

73% 5% 22% 201

33% 12% 55% 54

17% 8% 76% 49

4% 7% 89% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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25% 4% 71% 66

38% 8% 54% 583

32% 5% 64% 220

27% 11% 63% 114

17% 20% 64% 4

40% 17% 43% 24

42% 8% 50% 472

17% 7% 76% 45

24% 13% 63% 53

34% 6% 60% 14

30% 7% 63% 428

30% 6% 64% 188

43% 4% 53% 168

24% 4% 71% 78

42% 7% 51% 126

35% 9% 56% 288

27% 14% 59% 65

33% 10% 57% 98

76% 9% 15% 423

18% 25% 57% 79

3% 4% 93% 509

71% 8% 21% 424

34% 21% 45% 102

3% 4% 93% 485

75% 10% 15% 438

21% 48% 31% 35

3% 3% 94% 539

34% 7% 59% 955

43% 13% 44% 56

30% 6% 64% 295

32% 4% 64% 252

39% 8% 53% 313

38% 17% 45% 95

100% 1

3% 2% 94% 488

29% 34% 38% 24

69% 11% 20% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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9% 2% 89% 214

22% 6% 73% 374

50% 9% 41% 227

71% 15% 14% 187

52% 14% 34% 9

35% 6% 59% 830

33% 13% 55% 152

36% 14% 50% 29

32% 6% 61% 409

32% 5% 62% 511

34% 5% 61% 607

35% 5% 60% 708

35% 8% 58% 1011

35% 8% 58% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDIRECT

Rightdirection

Unsure Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTION THINGS INCOUNTRY ARE GOING/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 21

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42% 8% 50% 1011

35% 5% 60% 192

42% 7% 51% 161

41% 10% 50% 260

61% 8% 31% 77

53% 3% 44% 80

41% 12% 47% 84

38% 9% 53% 158

38% 9% 53% 113

36% 12% 52% 76

57% 10% 34% 56

40% 6% 54% 52

42% 7% 51% 715

51% 10% 39% 189

43% 7% 50% 544

33% 7% 59% 278

39% 15% 46% 65

42% 7% 51% 946

52% 7% 41% 431

27% 10% 63% 235

39% 7% 54% 316

44% 8% 48% 29

47% 6% 47% 132

38% 6% 56% 108

25% 75% 9

9% 5% 87% 30

27% 10% 63% 235

52% 7% 41% 431

42% 8% 49% 108

42% 8% 50% 903

50% 8% 43% 475

35% 8% 57% 536

50% 6% 43% 334

48% 11% 41% 141

31% 9% 60% 290

40% 7% 54% 246

43% 10% 47% 98

41% 8% 51% 624

40% 8% 52% 262

63% 5% 32% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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33% 6% 61% 202

40% 12% 48% 283

47% 6% 47% 313

45% 7% 48% 212

37% 9% 53% 485

47% 6% 47% 313

45% 7% 48% 212

46% 9% 45% 255

54% 6% 40% 220

28% 10% 63% 230

40% 7% 53% 306

48% 7% 45% 758

10% 6% 84% 121

33% 13% 54% 91

48% 14% 38% 40

43% 1% 56% 130

49% 8% 43% 629

8% 92% 31

11% 8% 81% 91

20% 24% 56% 32

40% 7% 54% 59

30% 22% 48% 10

53% 12% 35% 30

53% 8% 39% 370

42% 7% 51% 388

26% 3% 71% 39

3% 7% 90% 82

39% 8% 53% 47

26% 18% 56% 44

50% 7% 43% 282

39% 8% 53% 729

89% 5% 6% 384

34% 22% 44% 202

3% 4% 93% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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91% 3% 5% 207

86% 7% 7% 177

4% 4% 92% 175

2% 4% 94% 249

44% 23% 33% 92

26% 20% 54% 110

86% 6% 8% 154

91% 4% 5% 230

3% 5% 92% 210

3% 2% 95% 215

33% 21% 45% 122

35% 23% 43% 81

82% 7% 11% 444

32% 36% 32% 62

8% 5% 87% 505

93% 4% 3% 289

75% 8% 17% 79

37% 21% 42% 223

8% 11% 80% 76

1% 2% 97% 344

90% 5% 5% 421

1% 3% 95% 429

26% 23% 51% 98

100% 4

29% 26% 45% 32

18% 42% 39% 27

76% 5% 19% 491

21% 31% 48% 86

7% 6% 87% 433

90% 2% 8% 185

68% 7% 25% 307

9% 11% 80% 520

89% 5% 6% 384

34% 22% 44% 202

8% 92% 69

2% 5% 93% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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3% 5% 92% 380

22% 7% 71% 126

32% 36% 32% 62

37% 25% 38% 52

88% 4% 8% 392

42% 5% 52% 22

50% 5% 44% 149

47% 5% 48% 240

38% 10% 53% 601

46% 10% 44% 282

55% 4% 41% 193

30% 10% 61% 319

42% 6% 52% 217

42% 9% 49% 466

23% 12% 65% 135

57% 4% 39% 293

26% 7% 67% 117

57% 4% 39% 293

26% 7% 67% 117

38% 10% 53% 601

33% 7% 60% 197

44% 8% 48% 814

30% 7% 63% 219

47% 8% 45% 617

39% 9% 52% 175

52% 9% 39% 320

50% 10% 41% 55

43% 2% 54% 100

42% 6% 52% 296

34% 9% 58% 120

18% 12% 70% 119

50% 8% 42% 513

32% 6% 61% 104

43% 6% 52% 246

19% 12% 69% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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47% 53% 64

31% 8% 61% 57

55% 9% 36% 265

44% 6% 49% 248

53% 9% 39% 41

42% 7% 51% 83

24% 10% 66% 253

42% 8% 50% 354

42% 8% 50% 657

51% 9% 40% 179

32% 7% 61% 175

45% 8% 47% 272

49% 7% 44% 345

38% 8% 54% 34

31% 7% 61% 57

12% 9% 79% 30

32% 7% 60% 189

44% 11% 45% 84

54% 8% 38% 330

43% 4% 52% 152

38% 8% 53% 239

30% 9% 61% 290

60% 6% 34% 363

31% 9% 59% 599

34% 5% 61% 49

67% 5% 28% 163

41% 9% 50% 312

54% 6% 40% 200

23% 9% 68% 336

75% 3% 22% 250

27% 12% 61% 113

88% 1% 11% 201

53% 1% 46% 54

21% 10% 69% 49

3% 22% 75% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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27% 1% 72% 66

47% 8% 45% 583

37% 8% 55% 220

36% 8% 56% 114

20% 80% 4

37% 24% 39% 24

51% 7% 42% 472

12% 8% 80% 45

37% 16% 47% 53

50% 11% 39% 14

35% 8% 57% 428

37% 5% 58% 188

48% 7% 45% 168

28% 12% 60% 78

58% 4% 39% 126

42% 7% 51% 288

30% 25% 45% 65

39% 7% 54% 98

92% 4% 4% 350

47% 26% 27% 77

11% 8% 81% 584

90% 5% 5% 424

30% 36% 34% 102

2% 4% 94% 485

90% 6% 4% 438

41% 48% 11% 35

2% 7% 91% 539

42% 7% 50% 955

31% 19% 50% 56

37% 3% 60% 295

41% 6% 53% 252

45% 7% 48% 313

55% 23% 23% 95

100% 1

3% 6% 91% 488

30% 35% 35% 24

87% 7% 7% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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13% 6% 81% 214

25% 7% 67% 374

64% 8% 28% 227

82% 7% 11% 187

26% 58% 15% 9

43% 7% 50% 830

35% 13% 52% 152

42% 19% 39% 29

41% 2% 57% 409

40% 2% 58% 511

42% 2% 57% 607

43% 2% 56% 708

42% 8% 50% 1011

42% 8% 50% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RPGDBALTrump Undecided DEM

candidate

RPGDBAL PRESIDENTIAL BALLOT/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

Page 28

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42% 10% 48% 1011

33% 10% 57% 192

43% 9% 48% 161

40% 12% 47% 260

63% 11% 25% 77

48% 12% 40% 80

46% 9% 45% 84

39% 6% 55% 158

39% 1% 59% 113

40% 9% 50% 76

60% 12% 28% 56

36% 12% 52% 52

42% 11% 47% 715

48% 16% 36% 189

44% 10% 46% 544

34% 7% 60% 278

43% 12% 45% 65

42% 10% 48% 946

51% 10% 39% 431

26% 12% 62% 235

41% 9% 50% 316

47% 10% 43% 29

46% 10% 44% 132

43% 7% 49% 108

49% 51% 9

9% 8% 83% 30

26% 12% 62% 235

51% 10% 39% 431

41% 16% 43% 108

42% 9% 49% 903

47% 12% 41% 475

37% 9% 54% 536

47% 11% 42% 334

46% 14% 40% 141

32% 9% 59% 290

44% 8% 48% 246

42% 8% 50% 98

40% 10% 50% 624

44% 10% 45% 262

54% 19% 27% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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28% 8% 64% 202

42% 14% 44% 283

47% 9% 44% 313

48% 8% 44% 212

36% 12% 52% 485

47% 9% 44% 313

48% 8% 44% 212

42% 14% 44% 255

53% 9% 38% 220

30% 9% 61% 230

43% 8% 49% 306

48% 11% 41% 758

10% 6% 84% 121

34% 5% 61% 91

45% 15% 40% 40

36% 11% 52% 130

50% 11% 39% 629

8% 92% 31

10% 8% 82% 91

13% 87% 32

46% 7% 47% 59

35% 17% 47% 10

49% 14% 37% 30

50% 14% 36% 370

46% 9% 46% 388

23% 77% 39

3% 9% 88% 82

40% 5% 55% 47

27% 5% 68% 44

51% 8% 40% 282

38% 11% 51% 729

91% 6% 3% 384

32% 27% 42% 202

2% 6% 92% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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90% 6% 4% 207

94% 5% 2% 177

3% 5% 92% 175

1% 7% 92% 249

35% 36% 29% 92

28% 19% 52% 110

88% 9% 3% 154

94% 3% 3% 230

2% 7% 91% 210

2% 5% 92% 215

31% 23% 46% 122

33% 33% 35% 81

86% 6% 8% 444

18% 53% 29% 62

6% 8% 86% 505

97% 2% 1% 289

77% 16% 7% 79

34% 26% 40% 223

4% 21% 75% 76

1% 3% 96% 344

86% 8% 5% 421

3% 6% 90% 429

28% 26% 46% 98

100% 4

32% 15% 53% 32

30% 35% 35% 27

78% 6% 16% 491

13% 47% 40% 86

7% 7% 86% 433

90% 3% 8% 185

71% 8% 21% 307

8% 14% 78% 520

91% 6% 3% 384

32% 27% 42% 202

8% 7% 86% 69

1% 6% 93% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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2% 6% 92% 380

18% 15% 67% 126

18% 53% 29% 62

48% 19% 33% 52

91% 4% 5% 392

38% 10% 52% 22

49% 6% 45% 149

48% 7% 45% 240

38% 13% 50% 601

44% 15% 40% 282

51% 7% 43% 193

32% 10% 58% 319

46% 6% 48% 217

42% 14% 44% 466

23% 9% 68% 135

57% 7% 36% 293

25% 5% 70% 117

57% 7% 36% 293

25% 5% 70% 117

38% 13% 50% 601

33% 8% 59% 197

44% 11% 45% 814

26% 9% 65% 219

48% 11% 42% 617

42% 9% 49% 175

51% 13% 36% 320

47% 10% 42% 55

33% 8% 59% 100

43% 9% 48% 296

40% 8% 52% 120

20% 9% 71% 119

50% 12% 38% 513

36% 8% 57% 104

44% 10% 46% 246

16% 7% 77% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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37% 12% 51% 64

37% 16% 48% 57

54% 15% 32% 265

46% 8% 46% 248

50% 9% 41% 41

51% 5% 45% 83

24% 7% 69% 253

42% 12% 46% 354

42% 9% 49% 657

49% 15% 36% 179

35% 9% 57% 175

44% 13% 43% 272

51% 9% 40% 345

46% 3% 51% 34

31% 10% 59% 57

17% 9% 74% 30

27% 9% 64% 189

49% 10% 41% 84

56% 9% 35% 330

46% 5% 49% 152

37% 12% 52% 239

28% 13% 59% 290

60% 7% 33% 363

32% 12% 56% 599

33% 9% 57% 49

64% 8% 28% 163

38% 14% 48% 312

56% 7% 37% 200

26% 10% 64% 336

75% 8% 17% 250

26% 5% 69% 113

89% 4% 6% 201

45% 4% 51% 54

17% 23% 59% 49

9% 6% 85% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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33% 12% 54% 66

46% 10% 44% 583

37% 8% 55% 220

37% 10% 54% 114

20% 80% 4

36% 27% 37% 24

50% 11% 39% 472

12% 6% 82% 45

40% 6% 54% 53

56% 11% 33% 14

36% 10% 54% 428

41% 4% 55% 188

43% 13% 44% 168

29% 13% 58% 78

53% 10% 36% 126

42% 11% 47% 288

36% 12% 52% 65

43% 10% 47% 98

86% 10% 4% 350

46% 28% 26% 77

15% 8% 77% 584

90% 7% 3% 423

28% 46% 25% 79

4% 7% 89% 509

87% 9% 4% 438

29% 63% 8% 35

6% 7% 87% 539

43% 10% 48% 955

32% 19% 49% 56

40% 3% 57% 295

39% 10% 51% 252

47% 10% 43% 313

47% 25% 28% 95

100% 1

6% 7% 87% 488

35% 44% 21% 24

83% 10% 6% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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13% 9% 78% 214

28% 8% 63% 374

64% 10% 27% 227

77% 13% 10% 187

26% 58% 15% 9

43% 10% 48% 830

39% 10% 51% 152

35% 28% 37% 29

41% 7% 52% 409

41% 7% 53% 511

42% 7% 51% 607

42% 8% 51% 708

42% 10% 48% 1011

42% 10% 48% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RGENERIC

Republican Undecided Democrat

RGENERIC GENERIC CONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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42% 56% 2% 0% 1011

34% 65% 0% 0% 192

40% 54% 5% 1% 161

41% 56% 3% 260

63% 37% 77

52% 48% 80

47% 50% 3% 84

37% 63% 158

37% 63% 113

34% 63% 2% 76

62% 38% 56

39% 60% 1% 52

42% 55% 2% 0% 715

48% 48% 3% 189

44% 53% 2% 0% 544

33% 66% 0% 0% 278

47% 46% 8% 65

42% 57% 1% 0% 946

52% 46% 2% 431

28% 70% 1% 235

39% 59% 2% 316

41% 51% 1% 6% 29

44% 53% 3% 132

40% 59% 1% 108

100% 9

26% 69% 5% 30

28% 70% 1% 235

52% 46% 2% 431

47% 50% 1% 2% 108

41% 57% 2% 903

46% 52% 1% 0% 475

39% 59% 2% 536

45% 53% 1% 0% 334

48% 50% 2% 0% 141

36% 63% 1% 290

42% 55% 3% 246

41% 57% 2% 98

41% 58% 1% 0% 624

44% 53% 3% 262

60% 36% 1% 2% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 70% 1% 1% 202

40% 57% 3% 0% 283

49% 50% 1% 313

48% 50% 2% 212

35% 62% 2% 0% 485

49% 50% 1% 313

48% 50% 2% 212

39% 58% 2% 1% 255

54% 45% 0% 220

31% 67% 2% 230

44% 53% 3% 306

48% 51% 2% 758

12% 84% 4% 121

33% 67% 91

48% 46% 2% 5% 40

37% 61% 2% 130

50% 48% 2% 629

100% 31

16% 79% 5% 91

20% 80% 32

40% 60% 59

35% 53% 12% 10

52% 44% 2% 2% 30

50% 48% 2% 370

45% 53% 2% 388

11% 89% 39

13% 82% 5% 82

39% 61% 47

26% 74% 44

53% 46% 1% 282

38% 60% 2% 0% 729

87% 11% 1% 384

37% 58% 4% 1% 202

4% 95% 1% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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84% 14% 2% 207

91% 8% 0% 177

4% 96% 175

3% 95% 2% 249

41% 54% 3% 2% 92

33% 61% 6% 110

83% 15% 2% 154

90% 9% 1% 230

3% 97% 1% 210

4% 94% 2% 215

31% 63% 4% 2% 122

45% 50% 4% 81

80% 18% 1% 444

35% 48% 14% 3% 62

9% 90% 1% 505

92% 7% 1% 289

71% 25% 3% 79

39% 56% 4% 1% 223

7% 90% 3% 76

2% 97% 1% 344

89% 9% 1% 421

4% 96% 1% 429

19% 79% 2% 98

100% 4

23% 73% 4% 32

27% 42% 29% 2% 27

75% 24% 1% 491

23% 63% 12% 2% 86

8% 91% 1% 433

88% 12% 185

67% 31% 1% 307

11% 86% 3% 0% 520

87% 11% 1% 384

37% 58% 4% 1% 202

12% 87% 1% 69

2% 97% 1% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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4% 95% 1% 380

24% 75% 1% 126

35% 48% 14% 3% 62

42% 49% 9% 52

85% 14% 0% 392

44% 49% 5% 3% 22

49% 47% 4% 149

47% 51% 2% 240

38% 60% 1% 0% 601

43% 56% 1% 0% 282

51% 47% 2% 0% 193

34% 64% 2% 319

45% 52% 3% 217

41% 58% 1% 466

28% 70% 1% 1% 135

58% 39% 3% 293

22% 75% 3% 1% 117

58% 39% 3% 293

22% 75% 3% 1% 117

38% 60% 1% 0% 601

36% 64% 0% 197

43% 54% 2% 0% 814

27% 72% 2% 219

47% 50% 2% 617

42% 56% 1% 1% 175

50% 49% 2% 320

48% 47% 2% 3% 55

33% 67% 100

45% 52% 3% 296

39% 60% 1% 120

22% 75% 3% 119

50% 48% 2% 513

37% 61% 2% 104

43% 56% 1% 246

17% 80% 2% 1% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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41% 59% 64

39% 60% 2% 57

53% 45% 2% 265

47% 51% 2% 248

50% 47% 3% 41

44% 55% 1% 83

25% 72% 2% 1% 253

42% 55% 3% 0% 354

42% 56% 1% 0% 657

47% 49% 3% 1% 179

36% 61% 2% 175

45% 52% 3% 272

50% 49% 1% 345

38% 62% 34

34% 65% 1% 57

13% 83% 3% 30

29% 70% 1% 189

48% 48% 2% 2% 84

55% 43% 2% 330

41% 58% 1% 152

39% 60% 1% 239

30% 67% 3% 1% 290

59% 39% 1% 363

32% 66% 2% 0% 599

41% 57% 1% 1% 49

62% 37% 1% 163

38% 60% 2% 1% 312

57% 41% 2% 200

27% 70% 2% 336

74% 25% 1% 250

26% 71% 3% 113

87% 12% 1% 201

47% 52% 0% 54

21% 79% 49

7% 88% 5% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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24% 76% 0% 66

48% 51% 1% 583

34% 62% 4% 220

35% 62% 3% 114

36% 64% 4

42% 35% 14% 8% 24

52% 47% 1% 472

26% 74% 45

37% 63% 53

44% 56% 14

33% 63% 4% 0% 428

38% 60% 1% 188

49% 48% 2% 168

32% 68% 78

56% 43% 1% 126

38% 59% 3% 288

35% 64% 1% 1% 65

42% 54% 3% 1% 98

92% 6% 2% 0% 350

52% 39% 7% 2% 77

11% 88% 1% 584

93% 6% 1% 423

19% 62% 16% 2% 79

3% 96% 1% 509

87% 12% 1% 424

33% 53% 12% 2% 102

4% 95% 1% 485

92% 6% 1% 438

23% 45% 27% 5% 35

2% 97% 1% 539

41% 57% 2% 0% 955

50% 41% 6% 2% 56

38% 62% 0% 295

40% 59% 1% 252

45% 53% 1% 313

45% 46% 8% 1% 95

100% 1

3% 97% 0% 488

29% 58% 11% 3% 24

85% 13% 3% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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12% 87% 1% 214

25% 74% 1% 374

65% 32% 3% 227

82% 15% 2% 0% 187

26% 15% 45% 13% 9

43% 56% 1% 0% 830

39% 55% 6% 152

37% 52% 7% 4% 29

42% 56% 1% 409

42% 57% 1% 511

43% 56% 1% 607

44% 55% 1% 708

42% 56% 2% 0% 1011

42% 56% 2% 0% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDTIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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31% 11% 5% 51% 2% 0% 1011

24% 10% 4% 61% 0% 0% 192

29% 11% 6% 48% 5% 1% 161

32% 9% 7% 49% 3% 260

46% 18% 7% 30% 77

39% 13% 4% 44% 80

29% 18% 3% 47% 3% 84

28% 9% 4% 59% 158

29% 9% 3% 60% 113

24% 11% 10% 53% 2% 76

46% 16% 6% 32% 56

28% 11% 5% 55% 1% 52

31% 11% 5% 50% 2% 0% 715

36% 12% 9% 40% 3% 189

32% 12% 5% 49% 2% 0% 544

25% 9% 4% 62% 0% 0% 278

25% 21% 2% 44% 8% 65

31% 10% 6% 51% 1% 0% 946

41% 11% 4% 42% 2% 431

20% 8% 5% 65% 1% 235

25% 14% 6% 53% 2% 316

33% 8% 13% 38% 1% 6% 29

34% 10% 7% 45% 3% 132

18% 22% 4% 55% 1% 108

25% 75% 9

20% 6% 6% 63% 5% 30

20% 8% 5% 65% 1% 235

41% 11% 4% 42% 2% 431

30% 17% 2% 49% 1% 2% 108

31% 10% 6% 51% 2% 903

35% 11% 8% 45% 1% 0% 475

28% 11% 3% 56% 2% 536

34% 11% 9% 45% 1% 0% 334

35% 13% 6% 44% 2% 0% 141

24% 11% 2% 61% 1% 290

31% 10% 5% 50% 3% 246

26% 15% 9% 48% 2% 98

30% 11% 5% 52% 1% 0% 624

35% 9% 4% 50% 3% 262

40% 20% 9% 27% 1% 2% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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20% 9% 9% 61% 1% 1% 202

25% 15% 8% 49% 3% 0% 283

37% 12% 3% 47% 1% 313

41% 7% 2% 48% 2% 212

23% 13% 8% 54% 2% 0% 485

37% 12% 3% 47% 1% 313

41% 7% 2% 48% 2% 212

28% 10% 12% 46% 2% 1% 255

42% 12% 3% 43% 0% 220

16% 15% 4% 63% 2% 230

36% 8% 3% 51% 3% 306

35% 13% 5% 45% 2% 758

9% 3% 8% 77% 4% 121

25% 7% 3% 64% 91

31% 16% 8% 38% 2% 5% 40

26% 11% 10% 51% 2% 130

37% 13% 4% 44% 2% 629

8% 92% 31

12% 4% 7% 72% 5% 91

13% 6% 80% 32

32% 8% 5% 55% 59

17% 18% 22% 31% 12% 10

36% 16% 4% 40% 2% 2% 30

38% 13% 7% 41% 2% 370

32% 13% 3% 50% 2% 388

6% 4% 15% 74% 39

11% 2% 4% 78% 5% 82

33% 7% 2% 59% 47

18% 8% 4% 70% 44

44% 9% 1% 45% 1% 282

26% 12% 7% 53% 2% 0% 729

66% 21% 6% 6% 1% 384

26% 11% 8% 51% 4% 1% 202

1% 2% 4% 91% 1% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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64% 20% 8% 6% 2% 207

69% 22% 3% 5% 0% 177

1% 3% 6% 90% 175

2% 2% 2% 92% 2% 249

34% 8% 10% 44% 3% 2% 92

19% 14% 5% 56% 6% 110

53% 30% 9% 5% 2% 154

75% 15% 3% 6% 1% 230

1% 2% 5% 92% 1% 210

1% 3% 3% 91% 2% 215

21% 10% 12% 51% 4% 2% 122

33% 12% 0% 50% 4% 81

59% 21% 6% 12% 1% 444

31% 4% 15% 33% 14% 3% 62

6% 3% 4% 86% 1% 505

70% 23% 3% 4% 1% 289

54% 17% 12% 14% 3% 79

28% 11% 8% 48% 4% 1% 223

2% 5% 11% 79% 3% 76

1% 2% 3% 94% 1% 344

69% 20% 5% 5% 1% 421

1% 2% 2% 94% 1% 429

5% 14% 17% 63% 2% 98

100% 4

17% 7% 23% 50% 4% 32

19% 7% 12% 30% 29% 2% 27

56% 19% 6% 18% 1% 491

13% 10% 11% 52% 12% 2% 86

6% 2% 4% 87% 1% 433

81% 7% 4% 8% 185

41% 27% 7% 24% 1% 307

7% 3% 5% 81% 3% 0% 520

66% 21% 6% 6% 1% 384

26% 11% 8% 51% 4% 1% 202

5% 7% 7% 80% 1% 69

0% 2% 4% 93% 1% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

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3% 1% 2% 93% 1% 380

13% 10% 9% 67% 1% 126

31% 4% 15% 33% 14% 3% 62

30% 12% 8% 41% 9% 52

63% 22% 6% 9% 0% 392

29% 15% 2% 47% 5% 3% 22

38% 12% 5% 42% 4% 149

34% 13% 5% 46% 2% 240

28% 10% 6% 55% 1% 0% 601

32% 11% 9% 47% 1% 0% 282

39% 12% 6% 40% 2% 0% 193

24% 10% 3% 61% 2% 319

32% 13% 4% 49% 3% 217

30% 11% 6% 51% 1% 466

21% 7% 4% 66% 1% 1% 135

43% 15% 3% 36% 3% 293

16% 6% 8% 66% 3% 1% 117

43% 15% 3% 36% 3% 293

16% 6% 8% 66% 3% 1% 117

28% 10% 6% 55% 1% 0% 601

27% 9% 4% 59% 0% 197

32% 12% 6% 48% 2% 0% 814

18% 8% 10% 62% 2% 219

36% 12% 4% 46% 2% 617

29% 13% 4% 52% 1% 1% 175

38% 12% 6% 43% 2% 320

29% 19% 5% 42% 2% 3% 55

28% 5% 16% 51% 100

34% 11% 3% 50% 3% 296

29% 10% 4% 57% 1% 120

10% 12% 4% 71% 3% 119

37% 12% 4% 44% 2% 513

29% 8% 4% 58% 2% 104

30% 13% 7% 49% 1% 246

12% 6% 8% 72% 2% 1% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

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37% 4% 12% 47% 64

18% 21% 6% 54% 2% 57

39% 13% 7% 39% 2% 265

35% 12% 2% 49% 2% 248

28% 22% 6% 41% 3% 41

34% 10% 4% 51% 1% 83

19% 7% 6% 66% 2% 1% 253

28% 14% 5% 50% 3% 0% 354

33% 9% 6% 51% 1% 0% 657

33% 14% 6% 43% 3% 1% 179

22% 14% 4% 57% 2% 175

30% 15% 4% 48% 3% 272

40% 9% 4% 45% 1% 345

25% 13% 8% 54% 34

24% 9% 4% 61% 1% 57

8% 5% 7% 76% 3% 30

20% 9% 10% 60% 1% 189

34% 15% 2% 45% 2% 2% 84

41% 14% 4% 39% 2% 330

30% 11% 9% 49% 1% 152

29% 10% 7% 53% 1% 239

21% 9% 4% 63% 3% 1% 290

47% 12% 5% 34% 1% 363

22% 10% 6% 60% 2% 0% 599

22% 19% 2% 54% 1% 1% 49

50% 12% 7% 31% 1% 163

27% 11% 8% 52% 2% 1% 312

45% 12% 4% 37% 2% 200

17% 10% 3% 67% 2% 336

59% 15% 5% 20% 1% 250

21% 5% 7% 64% 3% 113

70% 18% 4% 8% 1% 201

36% 11% 9% 43% 0% 54

15% 6% 7% 72% 49

7% 5% 83% 5% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 4% 7% 68% 0% 66

36% 13% 5% 46% 1% 583

25% 9% 7% 55% 4% 220

24% 11% 6% 56% 3% 114

4% 32% 64% 4

31% 11% 4% 32% 14% 8% 24

38% 14% 5% 42% 1% 472

23% 3% 3% 71% 45

29% 7% 63% 53

26% 18% 11% 45% 14

24% 9% 6% 56% 4% 0% 428

29% 9% 2% 58% 1% 188

38% 12% 2% 47% 2% 168

19% 13% 5% 62% 78

38% 18% 4% 39% 1% 126

30% 8% 12% 47% 3% 288

26% 9% 7% 57% 1% 1% 65

29% 14% 54% 3% 1% 98

71% 21% 3% 3% 2% 0% 350

32% 20% 13% 27% 7% 2% 77

7% 4% 6% 82% 1% 584

71% 22% 5% 1% 1% 423

7% 12% 18% 44% 16% 2% 79

1% 2% 3% 93% 1% 509

65% 22% 6% 5% 1% 424

25% 8% 13% 40% 12% 2% 102

2% 2% 3% 92% 1% 485

70% 22% 3% 3% 1% 438

3% 20% 41% 4% 27% 5% 35

1% 1% 5% 92% 1% 539

31% 11% 6% 51% 2% 0% 955

32% 19% 3% 38% 6% 2% 56

33% 5% 2% 60% 0% 295

28% 12% 3% 56% 1% 252

30% 15% 7% 46% 1% 313

34% 10% 19% 28% 8% 1% 95

100% 1

2% 1% 4% 93% 0% 488

14% 15% 21% 37% 11% 3% 24

64% 21% 6% 6% 3% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 2% 7% 80% 1% 214

15% 10% 6% 68% 1% 374

45% 20% 6% 27% 3% 227

68% 14% 3% 13% 2% 0% 187

26% 15% 45% 13% 9

32% 11% 5% 51% 1% 0% 830

30% 9% 6% 49% 6% 152

8% 29% 18% 34% 7% 4% 29

33% 9% 2% 55% 1% 409

33% 9% 2% 55% 1% 511

34% 9% 2% 55% 1% 607

35% 8% 2% 54% 1% 708

31% 11% 5% 51% 2% 0% 1011

31% 11% 5% 51% 2% 0% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

DTIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

DTID DONALD TRUMP NAME ID TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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45% 50% 4% 1% 1011

59% 37% 2% 1% 192

44% 50% 4% 1% 161

45% 50% 4% 1% 260

34% 64% 2% 77

37% 59% 3% 1% 80

42% 52% 6% 84

41% 53% 4% 1% 158

38% 54% 6% 1% 113

48% 48% 3% 76

36% 63% 1% 56

60% 35% 4% 2% 52

46% 50% 4% 1% 715

36% 57% 5% 2% 189

46% 51% 3% 1% 544

51% 44% 4% 2% 278

42% 47% 10% 1% 65

46% 50% 3% 1% 946

37% 58% 5% 1% 431

54% 41% 5% 0% 235

51% 46% 2% 1% 316

44% 47% 9% 29

46% 50% 4% 1% 132

57% 41% 1% 1% 108

63% 37% 9

59% 41% 30

54% 41% 5% 0% 235

37% 58% 5% 1% 431

49% 49% 3% 108

45% 50% 4% 1% 903

38% 59% 3% 1% 475

52% 42% 5% 1% 536

36% 61% 2% 0% 334

43% 52% 4% 2% 141

50% 45% 4% 1% 290

54% 40% 5% 2% 246

42% 46% 7% 4% 98

43% 54% 3% 1% 624

53% 43% 4% 0% 262

48% 47% 5% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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42% 54% 4% 1% 202

44% 49% 5% 2% 283

44% 51% 3% 1% 313

52% 45% 3% 212

43% 51% 4% 1% 485

44% 51% 3% 1% 313

52% 45% 3% 212

36% 61% 3% 1% 255

41% 56% 3% 1% 220

52% 41% 6% 2% 230

52% 44% 3% 1% 306

42% 54% 4% 1% 758

69% 25% 7% 121

51% 47% 1% 1% 91

33% 60% 7% 40

41% 58% 1% 130

42% 53% 4% 1% 629

45% 35% 20% 31

77% 21% 2% 91

47% 53% 32

54% 43% 1% 2% 59

23% 65% 12% 10

36% 58% 5% 30

35% 61% 4% 0% 370

48% 47% 4% 1% 388

70% 30% 39

68% 22% 10% 82

40% 60% 47

64% 32% 1% 3% 44

45% 51% 3% 0% 282

45% 49% 4% 1% 729

12% 85% 2% 1% 384

34% 54% 11% 1% 202

80% 17% 2% 1% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 88% 2% 1% 207

16% 81% 2% 1% 177

77% 21% 2% 175

83% 14% 2% 2% 249

28% 64% 5% 2% 92

39% 44% 16% 1% 110

15% 82% 2% 1% 154

10% 87% 2% 1% 230

72% 24% 2% 1% 210

88% 9% 2% 1% 215

28% 59% 12% 2% 122

44% 46% 10% 1% 81

16% 82% 2% 1% 444

29% 55% 12% 4% 62

73% 22% 4% 1% 505

8% 90% 2% 1% 289

30% 67% 3% 79

33% 55% 10% 1% 223

78% 20% 2% 0% 76

81% 16% 2% 1% 344

13% 84% 2% 1% 421

80% 15% 4% 1% 429

39% 57% 3% 98

100% 4

30% 66% 4% 32

45% 26% 24% 5% 27

22% 74% 3% 1% 491

28% 53% 15% 4% 86

75% 22% 3% 0% 433

9% 89% 2% 1% 185

31% 65% 3% 1% 307

67% 27% 5% 1% 520

12% 85% 2% 1% 384

34% 54% 11% 1% 202

85% 9% 2% 5% 69

80% 18% 2% 0% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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78% 19% 3% 0% 380

59% 29% 8% 3% 126

29% 55% 12% 4% 62

39% 55% 5% 2% 52

13% 85% 1% 1% 392

40% 40% 20% 22

42% 53% 3% 2% 149

36% 60% 4% 1% 240

50% 46% 4% 0% 601

43% 54% 3% 0% 282

31% 66% 2% 1% 193

57% 38% 5% 0% 319

45% 48% 4% 3% 217

48% 48% 4% 466

58% 36% 5% 1% 135

32% 63% 3% 2% 293

55% 41% 2% 2% 117

32% 63% 3% 2% 293

55% 41% 2% 2% 117

50% 46% 4% 0% 601

48% 46% 5% 1% 197

45% 51% 3% 1% 814

46% 45% 7% 1% 219

43% 53% 3% 1% 617

51% 45% 1% 2% 175

39% 58% 3% 0% 320

44% 48% 3% 5% 55

31% 66% 3% 100

48% 47% 3% 1% 296

55% 44% 1% 1% 120

59% 28% 11% 2% 119

40% 56% 3% 1% 513

60% 38% 2% 1% 104

45% 49% 5% 1% 246

55% 39% 5% 2% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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31% 65% 5% 64

48% 36% 13% 3% 57

35% 61% 3% 0% 265

45% 50% 3% 1% 248

41% 53% 4% 2% 41

55% 45% 83

57% 38% 3% 2% 253

44% 51% 3% 2% 354

46% 49% 4% 1% 657

35% 61% 3% 1% 179

53% 41% 3% 3% 175

45% 50% 4% 1% 272

42% 55% 2% 0% 345

33% 67% 34

63% 34% 1% 2% 57

38% 55% 4% 3% 30

48% 44% 8% 1% 189

51% 45% 2% 3% 84

34% 60% 5% 1% 330

54% 41% 5% 152

48% 48% 2% 2% 239

52% 45% 2% 1% 290

32% 64% 3% 1% 363

54% 42% 3% 1% 599

36% 48% 14% 3% 49

25% 73% 1% 1% 163

44% 51% 4% 1% 312

38% 56% 4% 2% 200

60% 34% 5% 1% 336

21% 74% 3% 1% 250

57% 40% 2% 1% 113

11% 86% 2% 1% 201

51% 47% 2% 54

61% 28% 10% 2% 49

62% 35% 3% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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67% 33% 66

45% 51% 3% 1% 583

37% 58% 6% 220

50% 42% 6% 3% 114

80% 20% 4

43% 38% 7% 12% 24

42% 54% 3% 1% 472

74% 26% 45

49% 48% 1% 2% 53

38% 62% 14

46% 48% 5% 1% 428

55% 41% 4% 188

47% 49% 3% 1% 168

63% 37% 78

35% 65% 1% 126

38% 56% 5% 1% 288

38% 55% 5% 2% 65

49% 41% 6% 3% 98

12% 84% 3% 1% 350

28% 61% 7% 3% 77

68% 28% 4% 0% 584

10% 87% 2% 1% 423

32% 49% 17% 2% 79

77% 19% 3% 1% 509

13% 85% 2% 1% 424

36% 45% 15% 4% 102

76% 20% 3% 1% 485

12% 84% 3% 1% 438

30% 42% 23% 5% 35

73% 23% 3% 1% 539

45% 51% 4% 0% 955

45% 38% 4% 13% 56

53% 46% 1% 295

43% 51% 5% 1% 252

45% 51% 3% 313

28% 61% 11% 1% 95

100% 1

74% 22% 4% 0% 488

43% 52% 2% 3% 24

14% 82% 4% 0% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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61% 32% 7% 1% 214

59% 39% 2% 0% 374

36% 60% 2% 2% 227

14% 82% 4% 1% 187

22% 8% 57% 13% 9

46% 50% 3% 1% 830

46% 48% 5% 1% 152

32% 48% 8% 12% 29

47% 51% 2% 0% 409

48% 48% 4% 0% 511

47% 49% 4% 0% 607

47% 49% 4% 0% 708

45% 50% 4% 1% 1011

45% 50% 4% 1% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RJBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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20% 26% 16% 34% 4% 1% 1011

22% 38% 13% 24% 2% 1% 192

23% 21% 14% 36% 4% 1% 161

24% 22% 19% 31% 4% 1% 260

14% 20% 15% 49% 2% 77

14% 23% 19% 40% 3% 1% 80

15% 27% 16% 36% 6% 84

15% 26% 12% 41% 4% 1% 158

15% 23% 15% 39% 6% 1% 113

23% 26% 27% 21% 3% 76

14% 22% 13% 50% 1% 56

25% 34% 7% 28% 4% 2% 52

20% 26% 15% 34% 4% 1% 715

19% 18% 16% 41% 5% 2% 189

21% 25% 16% 35% 3% 1% 544

18% 33% 14% 29% 4% 2% 278

13% 28% 18% 29% 10% 1% 65

20% 26% 15% 35% 3% 1% 946

19% 18% 14% 44% 5% 1% 431

22% 32% 16% 25% 5% 0% 235

19% 33% 18% 28% 2% 1% 316

28% 16% 6% 41% 9% 29

12% 34% 21% 29% 4% 1% 132

26% 31% 12% 30% 1% 1% 108

26% 37% 12% 25% 9

33% 26% 33% 9% 30

22% 32% 16% 25% 5% 0% 235

19% 18% 14% 44% 5% 1% 431

21% 28% 10% 39% 3% 108

19% 26% 16% 34% 4% 1% 903

15% 23% 21% 37% 3% 1% 475

24% 28% 10% 32% 5% 1% 536

13% 23% 23% 38% 2% 0% 334

21% 22% 16% 35% 4% 2% 141

22% 29% 12% 33% 4% 1% 290

26% 28% 9% 31% 5% 2% 246

20% 22% 16% 30% 7% 4% 98

17% 26% 18% 36% 3% 1% 624

26% 26% 10% 33% 4% 0% 262

16% 32% 5% 43% 5% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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19% 23% 25% 29% 4% 1% 202

15% 30% 17% 32% 5% 2% 283

19% 25% 13% 38% 3% 1% 313

28% 24% 8% 37% 3% 212

16% 27% 20% 31% 4% 1% 485

19% 25% 13% 38% 3% 1% 313

28% 24% 8% 37% 3% 212

11% 25% 25% 35% 3% 1% 255

20% 21% 17% 40% 3% 1% 220

22% 29% 15% 26% 6% 2% 230

24% 28% 7% 36% 3% 1% 306

17% 25% 16% 38% 4% 1% 758

42% 27% 14% 11% 7% 121

17% 34% 9% 37% 1% 1% 91

18% 15% 19% 41% 7% 40

18% 23% 29% 29% 1% 130

16% 25% 14% 39% 4% 1% 629

28% 16% 20% 15% 20% 31

46% 31% 12% 9% 2% 91

14% 33% 6% 46% 32

18% 35% 11% 32% 1% 2% 59

17% 5% 50% 15% 12% 10

18% 18% 8% 50% 5% 30

14% 21% 24% 37% 4% 0% 370

19% 29% 9% 38% 4% 1% 388

37% 34% 11% 19% 39

44% 24% 16% 7% 10% 82

8% 32% 12% 48% 47

26% 38% 6% 26% 1% 3% 44

21% 24% 11% 41% 3% 0% 282

19% 26% 17% 32% 4% 1% 729

2% 10% 19% 66% 2% 1% 384

17% 17% 18% 35% 11% 1% 202

36% 44% 11% 6% 2% 1% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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2% 7% 25% 62% 2% 1% 207

2% 14% 12% 70% 2% 1% 177

32% 45% 15% 6% 2% 175

40% 43% 8% 6% 2% 2% 249

13% 15% 23% 41% 5% 2% 92

21% 18% 14% 30% 16% 1% 110

2% 13% 25% 57% 2% 1% 154

2% 8% 15% 72% 2% 1% 230

28% 45% 15% 9% 2% 1% 210

45% 43% 7% 2% 2% 1% 215

15% 13% 23% 36% 12% 2% 122

21% 22% 11% 34% 10% 1% 81

4% 12% 19% 62% 2% 1% 444

13% 15% 24% 31% 12% 4% 62

35% 39% 11% 10% 4% 1% 505

1% 6% 19% 71% 2% 1% 289

6% 24% 21% 46% 3% 79

16% 18% 18% 37% 10% 1% 223

30% 48% 17% 3% 2% 0% 76

38% 43% 10% 6% 2% 1% 344

2% 10% 16% 68% 2% 1% 421

38% 42% 10% 4% 4% 1% 429

18% 22% 29% 28% 3% 98

100% 4

7% 23% 27% 39% 4% 32

23% 22% 13% 13% 24% 5% 27

9% 14% 17% 57% 3% 1% 491

17% 11% 32% 21% 15% 4% 86

33% 42% 11% 11% 3% 0% 433

7% 1% 11% 78% 2% 1% 185

9% 21% 20% 45% 3% 1% 307

30% 37% 14% 13% 5% 1% 520

2% 10% 19% 66% 2% 1% 384

17% 17% 18% 35% 11% 1% 202

47% 38% 4% 5% 2% 5% 69

34% 45% 12% 6% 2% 0% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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35% 43% 10% 9% 3% 0% 380

34% 25% 14% 15% 8% 3% 126

13% 15% 24% 31% 12% 4% 62

12% 27% 16% 39% 5% 2% 52

2% 10% 20% 66% 1% 1% 392

35% 5% 10% 30% 20% 22

24% 18% 12% 41% 3% 2% 149

17% 19% 18% 42% 4% 1% 240

19% 31% 16% 30% 4% 0% 601

15% 28% 22% 32% 3% 0% 282

15% 16% 21% 45% 2% 1% 193

22% 34% 10% 28% 5% 0% 319

26% 20% 11% 37% 4% 3% 217

17% 31% 17% 32% 4% 466

25% 33% 12% 24% 5% 1% 135

16% 16% 16% 47% 3% 2% 293

33% 21% 14% 27% 2% 2% 117

16% 16% 16% 47% 3% 2% 293

33% 21% 14% 27% 2% 2% 117

19% 31% 16% 30% 4% 0% 601

22% 26% 16% 30% 5% 1% 197

19% 26% 16% 36% 3% 1% 814

23% 24% 19% 26% 7% 1% 219

17% 27% 15% 38% 3% 1% 617

26% 25% 12% 33% 1% 2% 175

14% 25% 20% 38% 3% 0% 320

22% 23% 16% 32% 3% 5% 55

14% 17% 27% 39% 3% 100

19% 29% 10% 38% 3% 1% 296

28% 27% 11% 34% 1% 1% 120

30% 29% 12% 15% 11% 2% 119

15% 25% 16% 40% 3% 1% 513

26% 34% 9% 28% 2% 1% 104

20% 25% 16% 33% 5% 1% 246

31% 24% 16% 23% 5% 2% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

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17% 14% 28% 36% 5% 64

17% 31% 16% 20% 13% 3% 57

12% 23% 23% 39% 3% 0% 265

18% 28% 9% 41% 3% 1% 248

17% 24% 21% 32% 4% 2% 41

25% 30% 5% 40% 83

29% 28% 13% 25% 3% 2% 253

15% 29% 18% 33% 3% 2% 354

22% 24% 14% 35% 4% 1% 657

10% 25% 24% 37% 3% 1% 179

19% 34% 12% 29% 3% 3% 175

13% 32% 17% 33% 4% 1% 272

20% 22% 14% 41% 2% 0% 345

20% 13% 27% 39% 34

28% 35% 9% 25% 1% 2% 57

23% 15% 30% 25% 4% 3% 30

22% 25% 17% 26% 8% 1% 189

27% 24% 8% 36% 2% 3% 84

17% 17% 11% 49% 5% 1% 330

18% 35% 13% 28% 5% 152

24% 24% 18% 30% 2% 2% 239

20% 32% 20% 25% 2% 1% 290

18% 14% 13% 51% 3% 1% 363

21% 33% 18% 24% 3% 1% 599

16% 20% 10% 37% 14% 3% 49

14% 12% 18% 55% 1% 1% 163

16% 29% 23% 28% 4% 1% 312

22% 16% 8% 48% 4% 2% 200

25% 36% 12% 22% 5% 1% 336

9% 12% 15% 59% 3% 1% 250

38% 19% 6% 34% 2% 1% 113

4% 7% 16% 69% 2% 1% 201

33% 18% 8% 38% 2% 54

29% 31% 11% 16% 10% 2% 49

42% 20% 4% 30% 3% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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25% 42% 11% 21% 66

19% 26% 14% 37% 3% 1% 583

14% 23% 25% 32% 6% 220

30% 21% 10% 32% 6% 3% 114

80% 20% 4

22% 21% 5% 33% 7% 12% 24

16% 26% 15% 39% 3% 1% 472

41% 33% 3% 23% 45

21% 27% 10% 38% 1% 2% 53

18% 20% 23% 39% 14

21% 25% 18% 31% 5% 1% 428

28% 27% 9% 32% 4% 188

21% 26% 13% 35% 3% 1% 168

24% 40% 19% 18% 78

14% 21% 21% 44% 1% 126

14% 24% 23% 32% 5% 1% 288

20% 18% 7% 48% 5% 2% 65

22% 28% 5% 36% 6% 3% 98

3% 8% 18% 66% 3% 1% 350

7% 22% 21% 40% 7% 3% 77

31% 37% 13% 15% 4% 0% 584

2% 8% 18% 69% 2% 1% 423

5% 27% 21% 28% 17% 2% 79

37% 40% 12% 7% 3% 1% 509

3% 10% 18% 67% 2% 1% 424

11% 26% 19% 26% 15% 4% 102

36% 40% 12% 8% 3% 1% 485

3% 10% 16% 68% 3% 1% 438

30% 37% 5% 23% 5% 35

35% 39% 14% 9% 3% 1% 539

19% 26% 16% 35% 4% 0% 955

22% 23% 10% 28% 4% 13% 56

31% 22% 9% 37% 1% 295

16% 27% 15% 35% 5% 1% 252

15% 30% 19% 32% 3% 313

9% 19% 26% 35% 11% 1% 95

100% 1

35% 39% 13% 9% 4% 0% 488

17% 27% 30% 22% 2% 3% 24

3% 11% 18% 64% 4% 0% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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37% 24% 19% 13% 7% 1% 214

22% 37% 17% 22% 2% 0% 374

13% 23% 14% 46% 2% 2% 227

5% 9% 11% 71% 4% 1% 187

6% 15% 8% 57% 13% 9

19% 26% 15% 35% 3% 1% 830

21% 25% 14% 34% 5% 1% 152

20% 12% 26% 21% 8% 12% 29

22% 25% 13% 38% 2% 0% 409

21% 27% 12% 36% 4% 0% 511

20% 27% 12% 37% 4% 0% 607

21% 27% 12% 37% 4% 0% 708

20% 26% 16% 34% 4% 1% 1011

20% 26% 16% 34% 4% 1% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

JBIDFavorable /

stronglyFavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /somewhat

Unfavorable /strongly

No opinion Never heardof

JBID JOE BIDEN NAME ID TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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33% 29% 9% 30% 1011

43% 22% 9% 26% 192

26% 28% 9% 37% 161

27% 29% 9% 35% 260

20% 42% 7% 31% 77

37% 40% 4% 19% 80

37% 28% 8% 28% 84

38% 26% 12% 24% 158

36% 26% 12% 26% 113

25% 26% 11% 38% 76

23% 38% 7% 32% 56

37% 20% 12% 30% 52

33% 30% 8% 29% 715

28% 33% 8% 31% 189

31% 31% 7% 30% 544

38% 23% 12% 28% 278

30% 28% 6% 36% 65

33% 29% 9% 29% 946

29% 30% 10% 31% 431

37% 25% 7% 30% 235

36% 32% 8% 24% 316

16% 16% 2% 65% 29

37% 37% 9% 17% 132

39% 28% 8% 25% 108

28% 48% 24% 9

37% 21% 11% 32% 30

37% 25% 7% 30% 235

29% 30% 10% 31% 431

38% 24% 6% 32% 108

32% 30% 9% 29% 903

33% 36% 9% 22% 475

32% 23% 8% 36% 536

32% 35% 9% 24% 334

34% 39% 8% 19% 141

30% 19% 9% 42% 290

35% 28% 7% 30% 246

27% 33% 9% 30% 98

31% 27% 9% 32% 624

38% 33% 7% 22% 262

30% 14% 2% 55% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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27% 17% 11% 46% 202

33% 27% 9% 31% 283

32% 37% 7% 24% 313

37% 31% 9% 22% 212

31% 23% 9% 37% 485

32% 37% 7% 24% 313

37% 31% 9% 22% 212

33% 30% 11% 26% 255

33% 42% 7% 18% 220

28% 15% 8% 49% 230

35% 29% 9% 27% 306

34% 30% 8% 27% 758

30% 24% 16% 30% 121

28% 21% 2% 49% 91

20% 35% 7% 37% 40

31% 21% 6% 42% 130

35% 32% 9% 24% 629

8% 8% 36% 48% 31

38% 30% 9% 23% 91

29% 6% 6% 58% 32

27% 29% 44% 59

22% 35% 5% 37% 10

20% 35% 8% 37% 30

33% 36% 9% 22% 370

35% 25% 8% 32% 388

32% 42% 12% 15% 39

29% 16% 17% 37% 82

40% 26% 4% 29% 47

14% 16% 70% 44

35% 34% 9% 22% 282

31% 27% 9% 33% 729

6% 54% 7% 34% 384

26% 26% 12% 35% 202

60% 8% 9% 23% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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5% 58% 8% 30% 207

6% 49% 5% 39% 177

68% 8% 9% 14% 175

54% 8% 9% 30% 249

29% 40% 12% 20% 92

24% 15% 12% 48% 110

8% 45% 8% 39% 154

4% 60% 6% 30% 230

56% 6% 8% 30% 210

63% 10% 10% 17% 215

15% 25% 14% 46% 122

43% 28% 10% 18% 81

10% 50% 7% 33% 444

13% 21% 13% 53% 62

55% 11% 10% 24% 505

5% 56% 6% 33% 289

10% 44% 8% 38% 79

25% 29% 11% 35% 223

46% 8% 12% 34% 76

63% 8% 8% 21% 344

6% 51% 6% 37% 421

59% 7% 10% 24% 429

39% 30% 14% 17% 98

50% 50% 4

15% 39% 46% 32

28% 16% 15% 40% 27

12% 48% 6% 33% 491

27% 13% 17% 44% 86

57% 10% 10% 23% 433

1% 66% 4% 29% 185

18% 38% 8% 36% 307

52% 11% 11% 26% 520

6% 54% 7% 34% 384

26% 26% 12% 35% 202

35% 17% 4% 45% 69

65% 6% 10% 19% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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61% 8% 10% 20% 380

36% 19% 9% 35% 126

13% 21% 13% 53% 62

23% 29% 6% 42% 52

8% 53% 7% 32% 392

9% 48% 3% 39% 22

30% 28% 6% 37% 149

24% 31% 9% 36% 240

38% 28% 9% 25% 601

37% 35% 9% 18% 282

27% 37% 9% 28% 193

38% 21% 9% 31% 319

23% 25% 7% 45% 217

40% 29% 9% 22% 466

28% 24% 11% 36% 135

24% 33% 8% 35% 293

28% 25% 7% 39% 117

24% 33% 8% 35% 293

28% 25% 7% 39% 117

38% 28% 9% 25% 601

39% 21% 14% 25% 197

31% 31% 7% 31% 814

33% 22% 10% 34% 219

32% 34% 8% 26% 617

33% 20% 8% 38% 175

31% 40% 9% 19% 320

33% 21% 7% 38% 55

38% 31% 10% 22% 100

33% 28% 7% 32% 296

34% 19% 9% 38% 120

30% 14% 11% 45% 119

31% 35% 9% 25% 513

35% 31% 6% 27% 104

40% 21% 8% 31% 246

22% 21% 12% 45% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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41% 30% 7% 22% 64

47% 15% 3% 35% 57

31% 41% 10% 19% 265

32% 28% 7% 33% 248

35% 17% 8% 39% 41

37% 21% 11% 30% 83

28% 25% 10% 38% 253

32% 27% 8% 33% 354

33% 30% 9% 28% 657

30% 36% 11% 22% 179

33% 18% 5% 44% 175

32% 30% 7% 31% 272

32% 37% 9% 22% 345

21% 19% 17% 42% 34

39% 16% 5% 40% 57

34% 17% 11% 38% 30

33% 23% 10% 34% 189

34% 23% 7% 35% 84

23% 38% 8% 31% 330

31% 30% 12% 27% 152

38% 22% 11% 29% 239

40% 23% 6% 30% 290

16% 39% 9% 36% 363

43% 23% 8% 26% 599

25% 28% 17% 30% 49

17% 49% 10% 24% 163

41% 29% 9% 21% 312

16% 30% 8% 46% 200

42% 18% 9% 31% 336

12% 42% 8% 38% 250

26% 32% 9% 32% 113

5% 48% 8% 39% 201

17% 49% 2% 32% 54

40% 18% 9% 33% 49

35% 17% 15% 33% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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52% 30% 7% 12% 66

32% 32% 8% 27% 583

27% 25% 11% 36% 220

35% 21% 8% 36% 114

17% 33% 50% 4

20% 26% 7% 47% 24

33% 34% 8% 26% 472

47% 22% 19% 12% 45

22% 22% 57% 53

24% 47% 10% 19% 14

33% 25% 9% 33% 428

46% 28% 7% 19% 188

34% 26% 8% 32% 168

32% 29% 8% 31% 78

25% 36% 8% 31% 126

24% 30% 12% 34% 288

37% 24% 6% 33% 65

35% 27% 8% 30% 98

7% 52% 7% 34% 350

20% 29% 16% 35% 77

50% 15% 9% 26% 584

5% 55% 5% 35% 423

13% 17% 25% 44% 79

58% 10% 9% 23% 509

7% 53% 6% 33% 424

21% 17% 22% 40% 102

57% 10% 8% 24% 485

7% 52% 7% 34% 438

14% 24% 18% 44% 35

55% 10% 10% 25% 539

33% 30% 9% 28% 955

23% 16% 9% 52% 56

50% 38% 4% 8% 295

42% 29% 9% 20% 252

19% 24% 12% 45% 313

6% 27% 9% 58% 95

100% 1

56% 11% 10% 23% 488

30% 21% 18% 31% 24

8% 51% 6% 35% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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48% 19% 14% 19% 214

43% 19% 6% 32% 374

24% 39% 7% 31% 227

6% 51% 9% 34% 187

15% 6% 18% 60% 9

34% 29% 8% 29% 830

30% 26% 12% 32% 152

12% 34% 9% 45% 29

35% 29% 8% 28% 409

38% 27% 9% 26% 511

39% 29% 9% 24% 607

36% 29% 9% 26% 708

33% 29% 9% 30% 1011

33% 29% 9% 30% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RPBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RPBID PETE BUTTIGIEG NAME ID/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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21% 33% 14% 32% 1011

25% 31% 13% 31% 192

17% 33% 17% 33% 161

18% 33% 15% 34% 260

20% 45% 7% 28% 77

19% 36% 16% 29% 80

20% 32% 15% 32% 84

25% 32% 14% 29% 158

27% 25% 12% 35% 113

13% 29% 23% 36% 76

22% 50% 3% 26% 56

27% 32% 13% 28% 52

20% 34% 15% 31% 715

14% 37% 14% 35% 189

20% 36% 15% 30% 544

27% 27% 13% 33% 278

13% 35% 19% 33% 65

21% 33% 14% 32% 946

17% 36% 15% 33% 431

24% 32% 14% 30% 235

24% 32% 14% 29% 316

13% 24% 7% 56% 29

20% 35% 17% 27% 132

25% 29% 13% 33% 108

40% 37% 24% 9

43% 19% 10% 28% 30

24% 32% 14% 30% 235

17% 36% 15% 33% 431

24% 33% 13% 30% 108

20% 33% 14% 32% 903

19% 39% 14% 29% 475

22% 29% 15% 34% 536

19% 36% 14% 31% 334

20% 45% 13% 23% 141

24% 27% 16% 34% 290

20% 31% 14% 35% 246

7% 26% 19% 48% 98

21% 32% 15% 32% 624

25% 41% 12% 22% 262

10% 28% 14% 48% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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15% 23% 15% 47% 202

19% 30% 19% 33% 283

23% 39% 11% 27% 313

24% 41% 13% 22% 212

17% 27% 17% 39% 485

23% 39% 11% 27% 313

24% 41% 13% 22% 212

18% 32% 16% 34% 255

20% 47% 11% 22% 220

17% 22% 18% 43% 230

26% 34% 12% 28% 306

20% 35% 14% 31% 758

22% 28% 20% 31% 121

26% 25% 11% 37% 91

12% 35% 17% 37% 40

17% 25% 11% 47% 130

21% 37% 14% 27% 629

28% 36% 36% 31

29% 28% 14% 29% 91

24% 6% 13% 57% 32

27% 35% 11% 27% 59

5% 44% 11% 40% 10

14% 32% 19% 36% 30

19% 40% 13% 29% 370

22% 31% 14% 33% 388

24% 38% 18% 20% 39

21% 23% 20% 36% 82

19% 32% 16% 33% 47

34% 18% 7% 42% 44

23% 44% 13% 21% 282

20% 29% 15% 36% 729

3% 53% 10% 34% 384

13% 32% 20% 35% 202

41% 17% 15% 27% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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2% 55% 9% 34% 207

3% 49% 12% 35% 177

44% 17% 19% 20% 175

38% 17% 13% 32% 249

9% 44% 15% 33% 92

16% 22% 24% 37% 110

3% 43% 16% 39% 154

3% 59% 7% 32% 230

32% 18% 16% 34% 210

49% 16% 14% 21% 215

10% 23% 21% 46% 122

18% 45% 18% 19% 81

5% 51% 9% 35% 444

5% 28% 18% 49% 62

37% 19% 18% 26% 505

2% 54% 9% 35% 289

7% 47% 13% 33% 79

12% 34% 19% 35% 223

33% 19% 19% 29% 76

43% 16% 14% 27% 344

1% 49% 10% 39% 421

41% 15% 18% 26% 429

18% 44% 14% 23% 98

50% 50% 4

22% 42% 7% 29% 32

14% 33% 15% 38% 27

7% 48% 12% 34% 491

16% 18% 25% 41% 86

38% 20% 15% 27% 433

1% 61% 10% 28% 185

10% 40% 12% 38% 307

34% 20% 17% 29% 520

3% 53% 10% 34% 384

13% 32% 20% 35% 202

24% 18% 12% 45% 69

44% 17% 16% 24% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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41% 18% 16% 24% 380

23% 21% 24% 32% 126

5% 28% 18% 49% 62

9% 39% 5% 47% 52

4% 52% 10% 34% 392

11% 42% 8% 40% 22

13% 38% 8% 40% 149

14% 32% 15% 39% 240

26% 32% 16% 26% 601

23% 38% 14% 24% 282

13% 40% 12% 35% 193

28% 27% 17% 28% 319

14% 31% 12% 43% 217

25% 34% 15% 27% 466

29% 28% 19% 25% 135

13% 38% 12% 37% 293

14% 28% 13% 45% 117

13% 38% 12% 37% 293

14% 28% 13% 45% 117

26% 32% 16% 26% 601

29% 27% 17% 27% 197

19% 35% 14% 33% 814

19% 29% 18% 35% 219

22% 37% 13% 27% 617

17% 26% 14% 43% 175

20% 44% 14% 23% 320

11% 27% 9% 53% 55

21% 30% 15% 33% 100

25% 30% 12% 32% 296

21% 25% 16% 38% 120

17% 28% 20% 36% 119

21% 39% 13% 28% 513

30% 30% 16% 24% 104

20% 28% 16% 36% 246

16% 26% 17% 41% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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26% 26% 13% 35% 64

13% 37% 20% 30% 57

18% 45% 13% 23% 265

23% 32% 12% 33% 248

10% 26% 11% 53% 41

24% 26% 17% 33% 83

22% 28% 16% 34% 253

19% 28% 16% 37% 354

22% 36% 13% 29% 657

17% 36% 18% 28% 179

20% 20% 14% 46% 175

22% 28% 15% 35% 272

23% 44% 12% 21% 345

9% 25% 23% 43% 34

27% 12% 7% 54% 57

7% 31% 21% 41% 30

21% 28% 17% 34% 189

15% 36% 15% 35% 84

15% 37% 12% 36% 330

27% 32% 14% 27% 152

21% 38% 17% 24% 239

23% 27% 14% 36% 290

12% 40% 13% 35% 363

26% 29% 15% 30% 599

15% 35% 21% 29% 49

9% 46% 14% 32% 163

24% 35% 14% 27% 312

15% 35% 12% 38% 200

27% 25% 17% 32% 336

7% 43% 12% 39% 250

25% 33% 15% 27% 113

3% 48% 11% 38% 201

19% 41% 10% 30% 54

22% 23% 12% 44% 49

30% 25% 19% 25% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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40% 37% 10% 13% 66

21% 35% 14% 30% 583

15% 33% 15% 37% 220

19% 25% 18% 39% 114

50% 16% 35% 4

13% 33% 15% 39% 24

19% 36% 14% 30% 472

33% 32% 16% 19% 45

29% 25% 8% 39% 53

18% 45% 17% 20% 14

20% 31% 15% 34% 428

27% 43% 10% 20% 188

20% 34% 11% 35% 168

23% 23% 17% 38% 78

16% 41% 13% 30% 126

16% 31% 17% 37% 288

28% 31% 19% 22% 65

24% 25% 16% 35% 98

3% 50% 9% 38% 350

6% 39% 25% 30% 77

33% 23% 16% 28% 584

2% 52% 10% 37% 423

13% 28% 28% 30% 79

38% 19% 16% 27% 509

3% 51% 10% 36% 424

7% 28% 24% 40% 102

39% 19% 16% 26% 485

2% 51% 11% 36% 438

3% 20% 28% 48% 35

37% 20% 16% 27% 539

21% 34% 14% 30% 955

10% 20% 11% 59% 56

32% 46% 9% 13% 295

21% 38% 17% 24% 252

14% 24% 18% 45% 313

12% 21% 16% 51% 95

100% 1

38% 21% 17% 25% 488

17% 18% 31% 34% 24

3% 50% 11% 36% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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33% 26% 15% 26% 214

27% 26% 16% 30% 374

13% 40% 13% 34% 227

3% 49% 11% 37% 187

14% 6% 20% 60% 9

23% 33% 14% 31% 830

14% 36% 15% 35% 152

29% 25% 46% 29

25% 32% 14% 29% 409

25% 31% 14% 29% 511

26% 33% 14% 27% 607

25% 33% 13% 30% 708

21% 33% 14% 32% 1011

21% 33% 14% 32% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RJCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RJCID JULIAN CASTRO NAME ID/C TOTAL

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35% 43% 7% 15% 1011

42% 36% 7% 15% 192

33% 34% 10% 24% 161

36% 42% 6% 16% 260

20% 56% 5% 19% 77

34% 50% 7% 9% 80

28% 40% 8% 24% 84

38% 52% 6% 4% 158

43% 48% 6% 2% 113

36% 42% 5% 17% 76

25% 50% 6% 19% 56

41% 33% 6% 21% 52

34% 42% 7% 17% 715

27% 49% 5% 19% 189

33% 43% 8% 16% 544

44% 38% 7% 12% 278

28% 41% 7% 24% 65

35% 43% 7% 15% 946

29% 47% 8% 16% 431

38% 36% 9% 17% 235

43% 43% 4% 10% 316

13% 33% 2% 52% 29

41% 49% 2% 8% 132

42% 35% 9% 14% 108

52% 37% 12% 9

64% 33% 2% 30

38% 36% 9% 17% 235

29% 47% 8% 16% 431

42% 36% 6% 16% 108

34% 43% 7% 15% 903

34% 50% 5% 11% 475

36% 36% 9% 19% 536

34% 49% 5% 12% 334

34% 51% 6% 9% 141

38% 33% 9% 20% 290

33% 40% 9% 18% 246

26% 44% 9% 21% 98

36% 42% 7% 16% 624

38% 45% 7% 11% 262

20% 39% 12% 29% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 40% 5% 25% 202

38% 37% 9% 16% 283

35% 48% 6% 11% 313

36% 44% 7% 13% 212

34% 38% 8% 20% 485

35% 48% 6% 11% 313

36% 44% 7% 13% 212

35% 47% 4% 13% 255

33% 52% 6% 9% 220

33% 28% 12% 27% 230

37% 42% 7% 14% 306

33% 45% 7% 15% 758

48% 25% 9% 17% 121

39% 39% 4% 18% 91

21% 48% 8% 22% 40

33% 43% 1% 23% 130

33% 46% 8% 13% 629

28% 28% 44% 31

64% 25% 3% 8% 91

43% 37% 21% 32

37% 40% 7% 16% 59

26% 57% 5% 12% 10

20% 46% 9% 25% 30

32% 51% 6% 11% 370

34% 40% 8% 18% 388

52% 35% 3% 10% 39

46% 21% 13% 20% 82

43% 48% 9% 47

34% 30% 9% 27% 44

34% 50% 6% 10% 282

35% 40% 7% 18% 729

7% 71% 5% 17% 384

26% 44% 13% 17% 202

65% 16% 6% 13% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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7% 75% 4% 15% 207

7% 67% 7% 19% 177

69% 18% 5% 8% 175

61% 15% 7% 17% 249

29% 53% 9% 9% 92

23% 36% 17% 24% 110

8% 65% 4% 23% 154

6% 75% 5% 13% 230

59% 18% 5% 19% 210

70% 15% 6% 8% 215

25% 41% 16% 17% 122

26% 47% 9% 17% 81

10% 67% 6% 18% 444

20% 45% 9% 26% 62

59% 21% 8% 12% 505

4% 75% 5% 16% 289

20% 54% 4% 22% 79

24% 46% 13% 16% 223

56% 24% 7% 13% 76

66% 14% 6% 14% 344

6% 69% 6% 19% 421

64% 15% 7% 14% 429

44% 42% 9% 6% 98

50% 50% 4

15% 71% 3% 11% 32

24% 32% 16% 29% 27

14% 64% 7% 15% 491

30% 40% 8% 22% 86

59% 19% 7% 15% 433

6% 77% 6% 11% 185

19% 55% 8% 18% 307

54% 23% 7% 16% 520

7% 71% 5% 17% 384

26% 44% 13% 17% 202

52% 20% 6% 23% 69

67% 16% 6% 12% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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64% 17% 8% 12% 380

44% 34% 8% 14% 126

20% 45% 9% 26% 62

15% 43% 42% 52

9% 70% 6% 14% 392

29% 34% 3% 34% 22

26% 43% 5% 25% 149

28% 47% 8% 17% 240

40% 41% 7% 12% 601

38% 50% 5% 6% 282

28% 49% 5% 18% 193

42% 33% 9% 16% 319

27% 41% 8% 24% 217

39% 44% 6% 11% 466

45% 31% 10% 14% 135

24% 48% 8% 20% 293

35% 37% 5% 23% 117

24% 48% 8% 20% 293

35% 37% 5% 23% 117

40% 41% 7% 12% 601

46% 30% 11% 13% 197

32% 46% 6% 16% 814

40% 35% 8% 17% 219

34% 45% 7% 14% 617

33% 42% 6% 19% 175

34% 49% 6% 11% 320

29% 48% 3% 20% 55

37% 53% 3% 8% 100

33% 41% 8% 17% 296

35% 39% 7% 19% 120

42% 21% 13% 24% 119

31% 47% 7% 15% 513

47% 39% 7% 7% 104

37% 43% 7% 13% 246

36% 30% 8% 26% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 57% 4% 4% 64

48% 29% 8% 16% 57

32% 50% 7% 12% 265

30% 43% 7% 19% 248

29% 48% 4% 19% 41

36% 40% 9% 15% 83

40% 34% 7% 18% 253

32% 40% 8% 20% 354

37% 44% 7% 13% 657

32% 47% 6% 15% 179

31% 34% 9% 26% 175

33% 40% 7% 20% 272

34% 50% 7% 9% 345

24% 61% 6% 9% 34

41% 33% 3% 23% 57

31% 24% 5% 40% 30

41% 37% 9% 13% 189

31% 41% 7% 21% 84

28% 47% 8% 17% 330

38% 42% 9% 12% 152

37% 39% 6% 18% 239

40% 41% 6% 13% 290

24% 51% 7% 19% 363

43% 38% 6% 13% 599

22% 37% 20% 21% 49

25% 56% 2% 17% 163

39% 46% 7% 8% 312

24% 46% 10% 20% 200

43% 31% 8% 19% 336

16% 57% 7% 20% 250

43% 36% 5% 16% 113

8% 67% 6% 19% 201

33% 51% 7% 9% 54

45% 17% 12% 26% 49

52% 23% 3% 22% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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59% 35% 2% 3% 66

35% 44% 7% 14% 583

30% 45% 8% 18% 220

30% 37% 7% 26% 114

80% 20% 4

27% 39% 12% 22% 24

33% 47% 7% 13% 472

60% 20% 5% 15% 45

34% 39% 6% 21% 53

23% 57% 10% 10% 14

35% 41% 7% 18% 428

41% 44% 4% 12% 188

37% 36% 10% 17% 168

39% 33% 6% 22% 78

28% 59% 4% 9% 126

31% 44% 8% 17% 288

34% 44% 1% 21% 65

38% 34% 13% 15% 98

7% 69% 6% 17% 350

18% 41% 15% 26% 77

54% 27% 7% 13% 584

5% 72% 6% 16% 423

19% 43% 15% 23% 79

62% 18% 6% 14% 509

7% 71% 6% 16% 424

27% 33% 15% 25% 102

61% 20% 6% 13% 485

7% 69% 7% 17% 438

16% 38% 21% 25% 35

59% 21% 7% 13% 539

36% 44% 7% 14% 955

17% 24% 11% 47% 56

51% 44% 2% 3% 295

34% 52% 8% 6% 252

31% 38% 9% 22% 313

12% 41% 8% 40% 95

100% 1

61% 21% 7% 11% 488

43% 24% 17% 16% 24

8% 69% 6% 16% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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54% 32% 7% 8% 214

45% 32% 6% 18% 374

23% 52% 9% 17% 227

9% 68% 6% 17% 187

22% 6% 18% 53% 9

35% 44% 7% 13% 830

37% 33% 7% 23% 152

9% 56% 35% 29

38% 43% 6% 13% 409

39% 41% 8% 12% 511

39% 43% 7% 11% 607

39% 42% 7% 11% 708

35% 43% 7% 15% 1011

35% 43% 7% 15% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RKHIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RKHID KAMALA HARRIS NAME ID/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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44% 50% 4% 2% 1011

52% 45% 1% 2% 192

48% 45% 5% 2% 161

45% 47% 7% 2% 260

27% 70% 1% 1% 77

36% 60% 1% 3% 80

43% 52% 3% 2% 84

44% 51% 6% 158

45% 49% 7% 113

57% 37% 6% 76

29% 70% 1% 56

53% 47% 1% 52

43% 50% 4% 2% 715

33% 61% 5% 1% 189

45% 49% 4% 2% 544

52% 43% 4% 1% 278

39% 54% 2% 4% 65

45% 50% 4% 1% 946

34% 60% 4% 1% 431

57% 37% 6% 1% 235

51% 45% 2% 2% 316

29% 53% 6% 11% 29

46% 50% 3% 132

42% 50% 3% 5% 108

51% 49% 9

85% 15% 30

57% 37% 6% 1% 235

34% 60% 4% 1% 431

44% 53% 1% 2% 108

44% 50% 4% 2% 903

42% 55% 2% 1% 475

47% 46% 6% 2% 536

44% 54% 2% 0% 334

36% 59% 3% 2% 141

51% 42% 6% 2% 290

42% 50% 5% 3% 246

45% 49% 3% 3% 98

47% 48% 4% 1% 624

39% 54% 5% 2% 262

28% 59% 6% 6% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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55% 39% 5% 1% 202

45% 50% 3% 2% 283

41% 54% 4% 2% 313

38% 55% 4% 2% 212

49% 45% 4% 1% 485

41% 54% 4% 2% 313

38% 55% 4% 2% 212

48% 50% 1% 1% 255

34% 61% 4% 1% 220

51% 40% 8% 2% 230

44% 50% 4% 2% 306

39% 56% 3% 1% 758

69% 18% 12% 1% 121

52% 46% 1% 1% 91

42% 48% 2% 8% 40

52% 47% 1% 130

37% 58% 4% 2% 629

64% 8% 28% 31

71% 21% 7% 2% 91

60% 40% 32

48% 49% 1% 2% 59

53% 35% 12% 10

39% 52% 2% 7% 30

38% 60% 2% 0% 370

41% 52% 4% 2% 388

65% 26% 7% 2% 39

71% 13% 14% 1% 82

55% 45% 47

49% 47% 1% 3% 44

35% 60% 4% 1% 282

48% 46% 4% 2% 729

11% 86% 2% 1% 384

35% 56% 7% 2% 202

78% 15% 5% 2% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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13% 85% 1% 1% 207

9% 86% 3% 2% 177

82% 13% 5% 1% 175

76% 16% 5% 3% 249

29% 67% 2% 2% 92

41% 47% 11% 1% 110

15% 83% 1% 1% 154

9% 87% 2% 2% 230

84% 10% 4% 2% 210

73% 20% 5% 2% 215

33% 58% 7% 2% 122

40% 52% 7% 2% 81

14% 84% 1% 1% 444

36% 46% 14% 5% 62

72% 20% 6% 2% 505

6% 92% 1% 1% 289

28% 67% 3% 1% 79

34% 57% 7% 2% 223

70% 20% 10% 76

81% 13% 4% 2% 344

10% 87% 2% 1% 421

78% 14% 6% 2% 429

47% 51% 2% 98

50% 50% 4

40% 54% 7% 32

44% 26% 22% 8% 27

19% 77% 3% 1% 491

39% 44% 11% 6% 86

74% 20% 4% 1% 433

7% 90% 1% 1% 185

26% 69% 4% 1% 307

68% 24% 5% 2% 520

11% 86% 2% 1% 384

35% 56% 7% 2% 202

58% 30% 10% 3% 69

82% 12% 4% 2% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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77% 16% 4% 2% 380

55% 33% 10% 3% 126

36% 46% 14% 5% 62

31% 67% 2% 52

12% 86% 1% 1% 392

34% 40% 5% 22% 22

36% 59% 3% 2% 149

43% 53% 3% 1% 240

47% 47% 5% 1% 601

43% 53% 3% 0% 282

39% 58% 1% 2% 193

51% 41% 6% 1% 319

40% 52% 4% 4% 217

44% 52% 4% 1% 466

59% 31% 9% 1% 135

32% 63% 3% 2% 293

58% 35% 3% 4% 117

32% 63% 3% 2% 293

58% 35% 3% 4% 117

47% 47% 5% 1% 601

52% 42% 5% 1% 197

42% 52% 4% 2% 814

59% 34% 6% 1% 219

38% 58% 4% 1% 617

48% 44% 3% 5% 175

36% 60% 3% 0% 320

45% 45% 2% 8% 55

57% 43% 100

39% 55% 5% 2% 296

50% 44% 3% 3% 120

62% 25% 11% 2% 119

35% 61% 4% 1% 513

54% 41% 5% 1% 104

50% 45% 3% 2% 246

62% 27% 7% 4% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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49% 51% 64

59% 32% 5% 4% 57

33% 64% 3% 265

36% 58% 4% 2% 248

50% 46% 4% 41

45% 49% 4% 3% 83

59% 33% 6% 2% 253

44% 50% 4% 2% 354

44% 50% 4% 2% 657

40% 56% 3% 1% 179

48% 44% 5% 3% 175

40% 54% 4% 1% 272

36% 60% 4% 1% 345

54% 43% 3% 34

54% 37% 4% 5% 57

70% 20% 7% 4% 30

58% 36% 6% 1% 189

42% 49% 1% 7% 84

32% 63% 4% 2% 330

41% 50% 8% 0% 152

51% 44% 3% 2% 239

55% 40% 3% 2% 290

30% 66% 2% 2% 363

53% 41% 4% 1% 599

45% 39% 13% 3% 49

27% 71% 1% 1% 163

49% 47% 3% 1% 312

33% 61% 3% 3% 200

55% 36% 7% 2% 336

20% 77% 1% 2% 250

53% 40% 5% 2% 113

10% 88% 2% 1% 201

41% 50% 6% 3% 54

62% 32% 6% 49

64% 31% 3% 2% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 45% 2% 1% 66

39% 57% 3% 1% 583

50% 44% 5% 1% 220

60% 31% 6% 4% 114

50% 16% 31% 4% 4

32% 45% 11% 12% 24

36% 60% 3% 1% 472

59% 33% 5% 3% 45

45% 54% 1% 53

43% 53% 1% 3% 14

52% 40% 5% 3% 428

48% 48% 2% 1% 188

39% 51% 5% 4% 168

48% 48% 2% 2% 78

40% 57% 2% 126

43% 50% 7% 0% 288

50% 45% 2% 4% 65

49% 48% 3% 1% 98

11% 86% 2% 1% 350

31% 61% 4% 4% 77

66% 27% 5% 1% 584

9% 88% 1% 2% 423

27% 56% 14% 2% 79

76% 18% 5% 2% 509

11% 87% 1% 1% 424

25% 57% 12% 6% 102

77% 16% 5% 1% 485

11% 85% 2% 2% 438

24% 61% 9% 5% 35

73% 21% 5% 1% 539

44% 51% 4% 1% 955

46% 37% 6% 12% 56

52% 46% 1% 0% 295

45% 49% 5% 0% 252

41% 54% 4% 2% 313

28% 61% 8% 3% 95

100% 1

74% 20% 5% 1% 488

33% 54% 8% 5% 24

12% 85% 2% 1% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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72% 22% 6% 0% 214

53% 41% 4% 2% 374

32% 63% 3% 3% 227

12% 85% 2% 1% 187

15% 41% 30% 13% 9

44% 51% 4% 1% 830

45% 47% 6% 3% 152

42% 45% 4% 9% 29

49% 48% 2% 1% 409

47% 48% 4% 1% 511

47% 48% 4% 1% 607

46% 49% 4% 1% 708

44% 50% 4% 2% 1011

44% 50% 4% 2% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RBSIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RBSID BERNIE SANDERS NAME ID/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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43% 44% 6% 8% 1011

53% 38% 2% 7% 192

38% 41% 8% 13% 161

40% 43% 8% 8% 260

29% 66% 1% 3% 77

38% 55% 3% 4% 80

48% 38% 7% 7% 84

45% 42% 6% 7% 158

47% 39% 6% 8% 113

44% 38% 10% 7% 76

33% 64% 1% 2% 56

59% 30% 2% 9% 52

41% 45% 6% 8% 715

33% 53% 6% 8% 189

41% 45% 6% 8% 544

53% 35% 4% 8% 278

43% 41% 10% 6% 65

43% 44% 5% 8% 946

34% 53% 6% 8% 431

49% 36% 5% 10% 235

51% 40% 6% 4% 316

31% 32% 8% 29% 29

46% 48% 4% 2% 132

51% 36% 4% 8% 108

40% 49% 12% 9

64% 15% 21% 30

49% 36% 5% 10% 235

34% 53% 6% 8% 431

44% 45% 1% 9% 108

42% 44% 6% 8% 903

40% 52% 4% 4% 475

45% 37% 7% 11% 536

42% 51% 3% 4% 334

37% 53% 6% 4% 141

44% 32% 9% 15% 290

45% 42% 6% 7% 246

39% 49% 5% 7% 98

43% 43% 6% 9% 624

45% 45% 6% 4% 262

28% 46% 11% 15% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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43% 31% 9% 17% 202

43% 46% 5% 6% 283

42% 49% 4% 5% 313

43% 46% 6% 5% 212

43% 40% 7% 11% 485

42% 49% 4% 5% 313

43% 46% 6% 5% 212

45% 48% 3% 4% 255

35% 56% 5% 4% 220

40% 30% 11% 19% 230

48% 42% 4% 5% 306

40% 50% 4% 6% 758

54% 18% 17% 10% 121

50% 29% 2% 19% 91

33% 48% 7% 12% 40

48% 42% 9% 130

39% 51% 5% 5% 629

8% 8% 56% 28% 31

70% 22% 4% 4% 91

55% 7% 38% 32

46% 41% 3% 9% 59

43% 40% 5% 12% 10

30% 51% 8% 11% 30

37% 57% 3% 3% 370

44% 43% 5% 8% 388

57% 30% 11% 2% 39

53% 13% 20% 14% 82

59% 32% 2% 7% 47

39% 26% 2% 32% 44

40% 53% 4% 3% 282

44% 41% 6% 10% 729

8% 82% 3% 7% 384

28% 45% 16% 11% 202

81% 9% 3% 7% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 85% 2% 6% 207

10% 79% 3% 8% 177

86% 10% 4% 1% 175

77% 9% 3% 11% 249

28% 59% 8% 5% 92

28% 33% 23% 17% 110

8% 78% 3% 10% 154

9% 84% 2% 5% 230

79% 8% 3% 10% 210

82% 11% 3% 4% 215

24% 46% 17% 13% 122

34% 43% 15% 8% 81

11% 80% 2% 7% 444

22% 37% 27% 15% 62

73% 13% 6% 8% 505

5% 87% 2% 6% 289

20% 66% 2% 12% 79

27% 47% 15% 11% 223

67% 20% 4% 9% 76

84% 6% 3% 6% 344

6% 82% 4% 9% 421

79% 8% 7% 7% 429

47% 47% 5% 98

100% 4

21% 45% 3% 31% 32

39% 22% 27% 12% 27

15% 73% 4% 8% 491

35% 33% 27% 5% 86

75% 13% 4% 8% 433

4% 90% 2% 4% 185

22% 63% 4% 10% 307

68% 16% 8% 8% 520

8% 82% 3% 7% 384

28% 45% 16% 11% 202

59% 18% 8% 15% 69

85% 8% 3% 5% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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79% 9% 4% 7% 380

54% 23% 12% 10% 126

22% 37% 27% 15% 62

29% 56% 6% 9% 52

8% 84% 2% 6% 392

36% 33% 5% 25% 22

37% 49% 5% 9% 149

35% 47% 9% 9% 240

47% 42% 5% 6% 601

41% 54% 2% 3% 282

39% 49% 6% 6% 193

53% 31% 7% 9% 319

33% 45% 8% 14% 217

46% 45% 4% 4% 466

51% 29% 7% 13% 135

31% 56% 4% 8% 293

47% 25% 14% 15% 117

31% 56% 4% 8% 293

47% 25% 14% 15% 117

47% 42% 5% 6% 601

53% 35% 6% 6% 197

40% 46% 5% 8% 814

51% 28% 8% 13% 219

40% 51% 4% 6% 617

42% 41% 9% 9% 175

37% 57% 3% 3% 320

37% 44% 7% 12% 55

53% 40% 4% 2% 100

43% 44% 5% 8% 296

44% 39% 10% 7% 120

49% 17% 11% 23% 119

37% 53% 4% 6% 513

54% 37% 5% 4% 104

48% 42% 5% 6% 246

46% 20% 14% 20% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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50% 49% 1% 64

57% 28% 5% 9% 57

34% 60% 3% 3% 265

40% 46% 5% 9% 248

34% 47% 9% 10% 41

45% 43% 6% 6% 83

49% 27% 10% 14% 253

38% 46% 6% 10% 354

45% 43% 5% 7% 657

35% 55% 5% 4% 179

41% 36% 7% 16% 175

39% 50% 3% 8% 272

41% 52% 4% 3% 345

33% 39% 21% 7% 34

56% 36% 3% 5% 57

51% 13% 12% 23% 30

51% 30% 7% 12% 189

35% 44% 9% 12% 84

32% 53% 5% 9% 330

42% 45% 7% 6% 152

45% 42% 3% 10% 239

53% 34% 7% 6% 290

26% 57% 4% 12% 363

52% 37% 6% 5% 599

49% 26% 16% 9% 49

26% 66% 4% 5% 163

48% 45% 4% 3% 312

26% 51% 5% 19% 200

56% 29% 9% 7% 336

16% 69% 4% 10% 250

47% 31% 5% 17% 113

6% 81% 4% 9% 201

31% 57% 2% 10% 54

58% 22% 6% 15% 49

61% 8% 7% 24% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 43% 4% 66

40% 49% 4% 7% 583

47% 36% 9% 7% 220

42% 34% 8% 16% 114

80% 20% 4

40% 38% 12% 9% 24

38% 53% 4% 5% 472

64% 22% 11% 3% 45

32% 39% 29% 53

33% 55% 3% 9% 14

47% 37% 8% 9% 428

50% 41% 4% 4% 188

42% 42% 5% 11% 168

55% 38% 4% 3% 78

34% 55% 7% 4% 126

37% 46% 7% 10% 288

42% 38% 7% 13% 65

47% 41% 4% 8% 98

8% 81% 4% 8% 350

24% 54% 12% 10% 77

66% 21% 6% 7% 584

4% 85% 3% 8% 423

30% 41% 16% 13% 79

76% 11% 6% 7% 509

8% 82% 2% 8% 424

22% 49% 21% 9% 102

77% 10% 5% 7% 485

8% 81% 3% 8% 438

20% 46% 26% 8% 35

72% 14% 6% 7% 539

43% 45% 5% 7% 955

38% 26% 14% 22% 56

58% 41% 1% 0% 295

44% 46% 7% 3% 252

37% 47% 7% 9% 313

16% 46% 9% 29% 95

100% 1

74% 14% 6% 6% 488

49% 43% 2% 6% 24

8% 79% 4% 8% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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69% 18% 8% 5% 214

55% 32% 4% 9% 374

27% 61% 4% 8% 227

9% 79% 6% 6% 187

15% 8% 45% 31% 9

43% 46% 5% 6% 830

46% 30% 12% 12% 152

28% 47% 1% 24% 29

45% 43% 6% 6% 409

46% 41% 7% 6% 511

45% 43% 6% 5% 607

45% 44% 5% 6% 708

43% 44% 6% 8% 1011

43% 44% 6% 8% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

REWIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

REWID ELIZABETH WARREN NAME ID/C TOTAL

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30% 39% 9% 22% 1011

40% 39% 6% 15% 192

29% 30% 7% 33% 161

27% 40% 9% 23% 260

20% 56% 7% 17% 77

30% 42% 11% 17% 80

29% 34% 8% 28% 84

30% 38% 11% 21% 158

31% 35% 11% 23% 113

21% 38% 12% 29% 76

20% 51% 10% 18% 56

41% 32% 11% 16% 52

31% 39% 7% 22% 715

24% 47% 6% 23% 189

29% 38% 9% 24% 544

36% 35% 9% 20% 278

30% 32% 10% 28% 65

30% 39% 8% 22% 946

23% 44% 10% 24% 431

37% 30% 10% 23% 235

36% 40% 6% 18% 316

25% 26% 2% 46% 29

32% 50% 6% 12% 132

38% 33% 8% 21% 108

40% 60% 9

54% 14% 4% 28% 30

37% 30% 10% 23% 235

23% 44% 10% 24% 431

39% 31% 8% 22% 108

29% 40% 9% 22% 903

30% 49% 6% 15% 475

31% 30% 11% 29% 536

30% 48% 5% 16% 334

29% 52% 7% 13% 141

32% 24% 12% 32% 290

29% 36% 9% 25% 246

20% 36% 13% 31% 98

31% 37% 9% 23% 624

33% 45% 7% 15% 262

20% 37% 2% 42% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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22% 29% 10% 39% 202

33% 36% 9% 23% 283

31% 45% 7% 17% 313

33% 43% 8% 15% 212

28% 33% 10% 29% 485

31% 45% 7% 17% 313

33% 43% 8% 15% 212

29% 45% 6% 20% 255

30% 54% 6% 10% 220

27% 19% 14% 40% 230

33% 38% 9% 20% 306

30% 42% 8% 20% 758

40% 26% 14% 20% 121

20% 29% 9% 41% 91

24% 47% 5% 23% 40

28% 34% 6% 32% 130

30% 43% 8% 18% 629

8% 16% 36% 40% 31

51% 30% 6% 13% 91

13% 13% 6% 67% 32

24% 38% 10% 27% 59

21% 52% 27% 10

25% 46% 7% 22% 30

29% 52% 5% 14% 370

31% 32% 10% 27% 388

45% 36% 13% 6% 39

38% 22% 14% 26% 82

23% 39% 7% 31% 47

17% 19% 11% 53% 44

31% 48% 8% 13% 282

30% 35% 9% 26% 729

6% 67% 4% 23% 384

19% 38% 14% 30% 202

58% 14% 10% 18% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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5% 73% 3% 19% 207

6% 59% 6% 28% 177

66% 15% 10% 10% 175

52% 14% 10% 24% 249

17% 62% 5% 16% 92

20% 17% 21% 42% 110

9% 58% 3% 30% 154

3% 73% 6% 19% 230

53% 12% 12% 23% 210

63% 16% 8% 13% 215

10% 36% 14% 40% 122

32% 40% 13% 15% 81

10% 62% 5% 24% 444

13% 40% 7% 39% 62

50% 19% 12% 19% 505

5% 69% 5% 21% 289

7% 59% 1% 33% 79

18% 41% 13% 28% 223

54% 12% 15% 20% 76

59% 14% 9% 18% 344

4% 64% 5% 26% 421

57% 15% 11% 17% 429

30% 37% 10% 24% 98

50% 50% 4

13% 48% 4% 36% 32

27% 25% 14% 34% 27

11% 59% 6% 23% 491

24% 33% 15% 28% 86

53% 17% 10% 20% 433

6% 76% 3% 15% 185

15% 50% 7% 28% 307

48% 20% 11% 22% 520

6% 67% 4% 23% 384

19% 38% 14% 30% 202

38% 23% 7% 32% 69

62% 12% 10% 16% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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57% 15% 11% 17% 380

31% 30% 15% 24% 126

13% 40% 7% 39% 62

18% 35% 5% 42% 52

8% 65% 5% 22% 392

34% 32% 5% 30% 22

21% 44% 7% 29% 149

21% 43% 6% 29% 240

36% 36% 10% 18% 601

34% 50% 6% 10% 282

23% 48% 6% 23% 193

37% 24% 14% 25% 319

21% 38% 7% 34% 217

35% 40% 9% 16% 466

37% 24% 13% 25% 135

22% 44% 6% 28% 293

22% 38% 8% 31% 117

22% 44% 6% 28% 293

22% 38% 8% 31% 117

36% 36% 10% 18% 601

38% 27% 11% 24% 197

28% 42% 8% 22% 814

30% 30% 13% 27% 219

32% 43% 7% 18% 617

24% 35% 9% 33% 175

32% 51% 5% 12% 320

18% 52% 5% 25% 55

30% 42% 8% 20% 100

32% 35% 9% 24% 296

26% 27% 11% 36% 120

31% 19% 17% 32% 119

30% 45% 6% 19% 513

41% 36% 10% 14% 104

30% 35% 11% 24% 246

23% 27% 11% 38% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 46% 5% 14% 64

39% 17% 21% 23% 57

30% 53% 5% 12% 265

30% 37% 7% 26% 248

18% 54% 4% 24% 41

26% 29% 12% 33% 83

30% 31% 11% 28% 253

29% 35% 10% 27% 354

31% 41% 8% 20% 657

30% 46% 8% 16% 179

28% 23% 11% 38% 175

31% 37% 9% 24% 272

32% 49% 5% 13% 345

12% 22% 21% 45% 34

35% 30% 7% 28% 57

38% 30% 11% 21% 30

29% 30% 13% 28% 189

20% 42% 6% 31% 84

23% 48% 6% 23% 330

31% 37% 12% 19% 152

33% 33% 9% 24% 239

35% 35% 8% 21% 290

16% 48% 8% 28% 363

38% 35% 8% 19% 599

34% 25% 19% 22% 49

17% 57% 5% 21% 163

36% 45% 6% 12% 312

16% 40% 10% 34% 200

39% 23% 12% 26% 336

12% 52% 7% 29% 250

25% 38% 10% 27% 113

6% 62% 4% 28% 201

20% 55% 9% 16% 54

38% 13% 16% 32% 49

29% 22% 11% 38% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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55% 41% 2% 3% 66

30% 42% 8% 20% 583

26% 32% 10% 33% 220

28% 34% 10% 28% 114

17% 49% 31% 4% 4

28% 41% 10% 20% 24

29% 45% 8% 18% 472

46% 28% 11% 15% 45

20% 30% 9% 41% 53

27% 53% 5% 15% 14

31% 35% 9% 26% 428

38% 43% 5% 14% 188

29% 37% 7% 27% 168

28% 30% 10% 31% 78

25% 48% 7% 20% 126

29% 38% 10% 23% 288

25% 38% 11% 26% 65

34% 34% 11% 22% 98

5% 66% 5% 24% 350

16% 45% 15% 25% 77

47% 22% 10% 21% 584

3% 69% 5% 23% 423

19% 21% 23% 36% 79

54% 17% 9% 20% 509

5% 66% 5% 23% 424

19% 38% 15% 28% 102

54% 15% 10% 20% 485

5% 65% 6% 25% 438

15% 40% 19% 27% 35

52% 18% 10% 20% 539

31% 40% 8% 21% 955

20% 21% 10% 49% 56

44% 46% 2% 8% 295

31% 44% 13% 12% 252

22% 33% 11% 33% 313

14% 33% 9% 44% 95

100% 1

52% 18% 11% 18% 488

42% 19% 8% 31% 24

6% 65% 6% 23% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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50% 24% 11% 15% 214

36% 28% 8% 28% 374

19% 51% 8% 21% 227

11% 65% 6% 18% 187

8% 15% 18% 58% 9

32% 41% 8% 20% 830

26% 28% 11% 35% 152

9% 40% 16% 34% 29

34% 39% 6% 21% 409

35% 37% 8% 20% 511

36% 38% 8% 18% 607

34% 40% 8% 19% 708

30% 39% 9% 22% 1011

30% 39% 9% 22% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RCBIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RCBID COREY BOOKER NAME ID/C TOTAL

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41% 52% 4% 3% 1011

53% 44% 1% 2% 192

44% 47% 4% 5% 161

44% 48% 5% 3% 260

26% 69% 3% 2% 77

26% 67% 5% 1% 80

33% 58% 4% 4% 84

37% 52% 7% 5% 158

38% 50% 5% 7% 113

42% 37% 15% 6% 76

25% 70% 5% 1% 56

53% 45% 2% 52

42% 52% 3% 3% 715

34% 60% 3% 3% 189

40% 52% 5% 3% 544

48% 46% 3% 3% 278

37% 56% 5% 1% 65

41% 51% 4% 3% 946

30% 62% 5% 3% 431

51% 43% 3% 4% 235

49% 44% 5% 1% 316

31% 55% 2% 12% 29

42% 53% 5% 132

54% 41% 1% 4% 108

100% 9

60% 19% 21% 30

51% 43% 3% 4% 235

30% 62% 5% 3% 431

44% 52% 3% 108

41% 51% 5% 3% 903

36% 59% 3% 3% 475

46% 45% 6% 4% 536

35% 59% 3% 3% 334

38% 58% 3% 1% 141

46% 43% 7% 4% 290

45% 48% 4% 4% 246

42% 54% 5% 98

40% 52% 5% 3% 624

44% 50% 4% 1% 262

26% 56% 10% 8% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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39% 41% 11% 9% 202

40% 56% 3% 2% 283

41% 54% 3% 2% 313

45% 52% 2% 1% 212

39% 50% 6% 5% 485

41% 54% 3% 2% 313

45% 52% 2% 1% 212

33% 59% 4% 4% 255

38% 59% 2% 1% 220

46% 40% 9% 5% 230

46% 49% 3% 2% 306

38% 57% 3% 2% 758

65% 18% 13% 4% 121

37% 47% 3% 12% 91

35% 59% 2% 5% 40

42% 50% 5% 3% 130

37% 59% 3% 2% 629

36% 8% 48% 8% 31

75% 21% 2% 2% 91

27% 37% 6% 30% 32

43% 53% 1% 3% 59

50% 38% 12% 10

29% 66% 3% 2% 30

33% 64% 3% 1% 370

43% 51% 4% 3% 388

74% 18% 6% 2% 39

61% 17% 17% 4% 82

30% 51% 4% 15% 47

46% 44% 1% 9% 44

41% 56% 3% 1% 282

41% 50% 5% 4% 729

6% 90% 1% 3% 384

27% 57% 12% 3% 202

79% 14% 3% 4% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 90% 1% 2% 207

5% 90% 1% 3% 177

78% 16% 5% 1% 175

80% 12% 3% 5% 249

19% 70% 5% 7% 92

34% 47% 19% 110

9% 86% 1% 3% 154

4% 93% 1% 2% 230

72% 17% 6% 5% 210

86% 11% 1% 2% 215

20% 62% 12% 5% 122

37% 51% 13% 81

9% 88% 1% 2% 444

29% 47% 20% 4% 62

71% 20% 5% 4% 505

3% 94% 2% 1% 289

15% 79% 6% 79

26% 59% 12% 3% 223

77% 16% 7% 0% 76

80% 13% 2% 4% 344

4% 92% 2% 2% 421

80% 11% 6% 3% 429

37% 55% 2% 5% 98

100% 4

18% 64% 8% 11% 32

31% 44% 25% 27

16% 80% 2% 3% 491

28% 50% 19% 3% 86

72% 20% 5% 3% 433

6% 90% 1% 3% 185

22% 74% 2% 3% 307

65% 25% 7% 3% 520

6% 90% 1% 3% 384

27% 57% 12% 3% 202

72% 18% 2% 7% 69

81% 13% 4% 3% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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75% 16% 5% 4% 380

57% 32% 6% 5% 126

29% 47% 20% 4% 62

25% 72% 2% 1% 52

6% 90% 1% 2% 392

35% 47% 17% 22

35% 55% 2% 8% 149

35% 56% 6% 2% 240

45% 49% 4% 2% 601

37% 58% 4% 1% 282

33% 60% 2% 4% 193

52% 41% 5% 2% 319

37% 51% 6% 6% 217

42% 52% 4% 1% 466

53% 38% 6% 3% 135

30% 65% 2% 3% 293

47% 32% 10% 12% 117

30% 65% 2% 3% 293

47% 32% 10% 12% 117

45% 49% 4% 2% 601

45% 46% 6% 3% 197

40% 53% 4% 3% 814

49% 37% 6% 9% 219

39% 58% 3% 1% 617

39% 49% 7% 5% 175

35% 63% 2% 320

35% 49% 8% 9% 55

39% 50% 4% 7% 100

43% 51% 4% 1% 296

42% 49% 7% 3% 120

57% 26% 7% 10% 119

35% 61% 3% 1% 513

58% 39% 2% 1% 104

44% 48% 3% 4% 246

45% 32% 12% 11% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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44% 56% 64

59% 28% 4% 9% 57

30% 68% 2% 265

40% 55% 4% 1% 248

32% 50% 10% 7% 41

40% 56% 1% 3% 83

50% 35% 8% 7% 253

37% 53% 6% 3% 354

43% 51% 3% 3% 657

30% 64% 5% 1% 179

45% 42% 7% 6% 175

39% 57% 3% 1% 272

38% 58% 3% 0% 345

25% 49% 27% 34

55% 41% 5% 57

43% 30% 8% 19% 30

50% 38% 5% 7% 189

35% 54% 4% 6% 84

30% 63% 3% 4% 330

44% 50% 4% 2% 152

49% 46% 3% 3% 239

45% 44% 8% 3% 290

27% 66% 2% 5% 363

51% 43% 4% 2% 599

20% 53% 21% 5% 49

21% 71% 3% 5% 163

43% 52% 3% 1% 312

32% 61% 2% 5% 200

54% 36% 7% 3% 336

16% 78% 2% 4% 250

51% 37% 4% 8% 113

7% 89% 1% 3% 201

39% 55% 1% 6% 54

53% 35% 4% 7% 49

62% 21% 7% 10% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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61% 35% 4% 66

40% 55% 3% 2% 583

37% 52% 9% 2% 220

41% 44% 1% 13% 114

80% 20% 4

34% 50% 9% 6% 24

38% 59% 3% 1% 472

68% 25% 5% 1% 45

34% 51% 5% 10% 53

42% 56% 2% 14

42% 47% 6% 5% 428

53% 41% 1% 5% 188

37% 54% 6% 3% 168

54% 39% 4% 3% 78

27% 65% 6% 2% 126

35% 57% 4% 3% 288

39% 55% 4% 2% 65

50% 42% 6% 2% 98

6% 90% 2% 3% 350

18% 66% 10% 5% 77

65% 27% 5% 3% 584

4% 92% 2% 2% 423

25% 58% 14% 3% 79

74% 17% 5% 4% 509

6% 91% 1% 2% 424

27% 50% 19% 4% 102

74% 18% 5% 4% 485

6% 89% 2% 2% 438

17% 62% 17% 4% 35

71% 20% 5% 4% 539

41% 52% 4% 2% 955

33% 39% 8% 21% 56

52% 45% 1% 3% 295

45% 49% 5% 1% 252

37% 56% 5% 1% 313

14% 70% 9% 7% 95

100% 1

73% 19% 5% 3% 488

41% 48% 10% 24

7% 89% 3% 1% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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65% 24% 8% 3% 214

54% 39% 3% 4% 374

25% 70% 3% 3% 227

9% 85% 5% 1% 187

8% 48% 18% 25% 9

41% 52% 5% 2% 830

41% 50% 4% 5% 152

36% 49% 14% 29

46% 48% 4% 1% 409

46% 47% 5% 2% 511

45% 49% 5% 2% 607

44% 50% 4% 2% 708

41% 52% 4% 3% 1011

41% 52% 4% 3% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RNPIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RNPID NANCY PELOSI NAME ID/C TOTAL

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27% 52% 10% 11% 1011

23% 58% 8% 11% 192

28% 54% 6% 12% 161

23% 55% 10% 13% 260

44% 36% 18% 3% 77

37% 52% 7% 5% 80

30% 38% 13% 19% 84

22% 54% 14% 10% 158

20% 53% 14% 13% 113

17% 45% 16% 21% 76

45% 33% 21% 2% 56

27% 53% 6% 14% 52

28% 54% 8% 10% 715

30% 52% 8% 11% 189

29% 49% 11% 11% 544

22% 58% 9% 11% 278

29% 35% 16% 20% 65

27% 53% 10% 10% 946

33% 46% 11% 9% 431

19% 57% 9% 14% 235

26% 58% 9% 8% 316

19% 31% 6% 43% 29

32% 57% 7% 4% 132

23% 55% 13% 10% 108

100% 9

17% 54% 6% 23% 30

19% 57% 9% 14% 235

33% 46% 11% 9% 431

28% 50% 8% 14% 108

27% 52% 10% 11% 903

31% 56% 7% 6% 475

23% 49% 12% 16% 536

28% 59% 8% 4% 334

38% 49% 5% 8% 141

20% 50% 11% 19% 290

27% 47% 14% 12% 246

19% 45% 16% 20% 98

25% 55% 10% 11% 624

35% 51% 9% 5% 262

29% 31% 15% 26% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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14% 48% 11% 27% 202

24% 56% 10% 10% 283

33% 54% 9% 4% 313

35% 48% 10% 6% 212

20% 52% 11% 17% 485

33% 54% 9% 4% 313

35% 48% 10% 6% 212

23% 61% 9% 7% 255

41% 50% 6% 4% 220

16% 43% 13% 28% 230

29% 53% 12% 6% 306

31% 51% 9% 9% 758

14% 56% 15% 14% 121

17% 54% 10% 19% 91

23% 48% 11% 18% 40

19% 57% 5% 20% 130

33% 50% 10% 7% 629

8% 44% 48% 31

19% 73% 5% 3% 91

6% 49% 6% 38% 32

22% 57% 11% 9% 59

5% 50% 18% 27% 10

28% 48% 9% 15% 30

35% 52% 7% 6% 370

27% 51% 11% 12% 388

10% 82% 8% 39

16% 44% 19% 21% 82

21% 68% 7% 4% 47

11% 40% 13% 35% 44

38% 48% 10% 4% 282

23% 54% 10% 13% 729

52% 27% 11% 10% 384

22% 44% 16% 18% 202

7% 79% 6% 8% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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56% 28% 9% 7% 207

47% 27% 13% 13% 177

7% 87% 4% 2% 175

7% 73% 7% 13% 249

23% 61% 8% 8% 92

21% 29% 23% 27% 110

40% 33% 9% 17% 154

59% 23% 12% 5% 230

7% 72% 8% 13% 210

7% 85% 4% 4% 215

16% 42% 17% 25% 122

32% 45% 15% 8% 81

49% 29% 11% 11% 444

14% 49% 12% 26% 62

9% 72% 9% 9% 505

55% 24% 11% 10% 289

41% 41% 6% 12% 79

23% 43% 17% 17% 223

11% 75% 5% 9% 76

6% 79% 6% 8% 344

52% 24% 11% 13% 421

5% 78% 8% 10% 429

20% 67% 10% 3% 98

50% 50% 4

17% 48% 7% 28% 32

25% 36% 29% 10% 27

46% 32% 11% 11% 491

6% 63% 16% 15% 86

9% 73% 8% 10% 433

57% 24% 13% 7% 185

40% 37% 10% 13% 307

9% 71% 9% 11% 520

52% 27% 11% 10% 384

22% 44% 16% 18% 202

14% 61% 5% 20% 69

6% 82% 6% 6% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 76% 8% 8% 380

15% 61% 13% 12% 126

14% 49% 12% 26% 62

22% 44% 9% 24% 52

52% 27% 11% 9% 392

25% 40% 7% 28% 22

28% 42% 12% 18% 149

29% 47% 8% 15% 240

26% 57% 10% 7% 601

31% 59% 8% 2% 282

31% 51% 7% 11% 193

21% 55% 13% 11% 319

27% 39% 12% 22% 217

29% 57% 9% 5% 466

16% 55% 14% 14% 135

34% 41% 9% 16% 293

16% 53% 10% 20% 117

34% 41% 9% 16% 293

16% 53% 10% 20% 117

26% 57% 10% 7% 601

25% 56% 12% 7% 197

28% 51% 9% 12% 814

22% 50% 12% 16% 219

29% 55% 9% 8% 617

28% 44% 13% 15% 175

35% 54% 7% 4% 320

28% 50% 7% 15% 55

21% 65% 8% 7% 100

22% 56% 10% 12% 296

28% 42% 16% 15% 120

22% 38% 15% 25% 119

30% 52% 9% 8% 513

21% 68% 6% 6% 104

31% 49% 9% 10% 246

13% 45% 17% 24% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 66% 3% 6% 64

36% 43% 9% 12% 57

38% 50% 8% 4% 265

22% 56% 10% 13% 248

30% 47% 8% 15% 41

34% 41% 15% 10% 83

16% 54% 13% 17% 253

23% 50% 12% 16% 354

29% 53% 9% 8% 657

30% 53% 11% 6% 179

15% 46% 13% 25% 175

22% 55% 9% 13% 272

34% 55% 8% 4% 345

27% 25% 24% 24% 34

22% 58% 8% 12% 57

18% 36% 20% 27% 30

22% 53% 10% 15% 189

33% 42% 13% 13% 84

34% 44% 11% 11% 330

28% 50% 13% 9% 152

26% 54% 10% 10% 239

18% 61% 8% 13% 290

37% 40% 10% 13% 363

22% 60% 9% 10% 599

16% 42% 31% 11% 49

43% 43% 9% 5% 163

25% 63% 6% 6% 312

32% 38% 10% 20% 200

18% 55% 14% 13% 336

46% 33% 10% 11% 250

17% 56% 10% 17% 113

55% 24% 11% 11% 201

28% 52% 10% 10% 54

11% 71% 4% 14% 49

6% 60% 9% 24% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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22% 78% 0% 66

31% 50% 10% 9% 583

20% 54% 10% 16% 220

25% 45% 14% 17% 114

16% 80% 4% 4

25% 46% 16% 12% 24

34% 49% 10% 8% 472

18% 66% 14% 2% 45

16% 41% 13% 30% 53

24% 63% 2% 11% 14

22% 55% 10% 13% 428

31% 59% 7% 4% 188

29% 48% 10% 12% 168

23% 60% 4% 13% 78

36% 47% 8% 9% 126

24% 50% 12% 14% 288

20% 47% 13% 19% 65

19% 57% 16% 9% 98

55% 24% 9% 11% 350

28% 33% 25% 14% 77

10% 71% 8% 10% 584

52% 25% 11% 11% 423

15% 42% 27% 15% 79

8% 76% 6% 10% 509

54% 24% 11% 10% 424

8% 57% 20% 15% 102

7% 75% 7% 11% 485

53% 24% 13% 11% 438

13% 44% 30% 13% 35

7% 76% 7% 11% 539

27% 53% 10% 10% 955

24% 29% 14% 32% 56

30% 65% 3% 1% 295

26% 61% 10% 4% 252

28% 43% 14% 16% 313

19% 34% 17% 31% 95

100% 1

7% 77% 6% 9% 488

12% 59% 26% 3% 24

51% 27% 13% 10% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 74% 8% 11% 214

19% 60% 10% 12% 374

43% 41% 7% 9% 227

47% 27% 16% 10% 187

6% 17% 18% 58% 9

27% 54% 9% 10% 830

27% 47% 13% 12% 152

13% 29% 29% 30% 29

27% 57% 7% 9% 409

26% 57% 8% 9% 511

28% 56% 8% 8% 607

29% 55% 8% 8% 708

27% 52% 10% 11% 1011

27% 52% 10% 11% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RMMIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RMMID MITCH MCCONNELL NAME ID/C TOTAL

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39% 51% 9% 2% 1011

30% 58% 9% 3% 192

40% 47% 13% 1% 161

36% 53% 8% 3% 260

51% 38% 11% 77

50% 48% 3% 80

48% 44% 7% 1% 84

37% 54% 9% 0% 158

39% 56% 5% 0% 113

34% 55% 6% 4% 76

53% 38% 9% 56

29% 56% 8% 7% 52

39% 50% 10% 1% 715

44% 44% 11% 1% 189

41% 49% 8% 1% 544

31% 59% 9% 2% 278

49% 36% 15% 65

38% 52% 8% 2% 946

47% 41% 10% 2% 431

32% 58% 10% 0% 235

33% 61% 6% 1% 316

40% 37% 13% 10% 29

36% 55% 8% 1% 132

37% 55% 8% 1% 108

25% 75% 9

13% 87% 30

32% 58% 10% 0% 235

47% 41% 10% 2% 431

39% 48% 8% 4% 108

39% 51% 9% 1% 903

41% 49% 9% 1% 475

37% 52% 9% 2% 536

40% 52% 8% 0% 334

44% 44% 11% 1% 141

33% 56% 8% 3% 290

42% 47% 10% 2% 246

45% 43% 9% 3% 98

37% 54% 8% 2% 624

42% 48% 9% 1% 262

43% 37% 18% 2% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 60% 3% 2% 202

33% 53% 12% 2% 283

43% 46% 9% 1% 313

46% 45% 9% 0% 212

33% 56% 8% 2% 485

43% 46% 9% 1% 313

46% 45% 9% 0% 212

36% 54% 10% 0% 255

47% 44% 8% 1% 220

31% 58% 7% 4% 230

42% 47% 10% 1% 306

43% 46% 9% 1% 758

14% 75% 11% 1% 121

34% 57% 3% 6% 91

40% 46% 11% 3% 40

41% 58% 1% 130

44% 44% 11% 1% 629

16% 77% 8% 31

13% 74% 12% 1% 91

31% 55% 14% 32

36% 58% 4% 2% 59

23% 59% 17% 10

45% 42% 9% 4% 30

45% 45% 9% 1% 370

42% 47% 9% 1% 388

19% 63% 18% 39

12% 80% 7% 1% 82

30% 70% 47

38% 44% 5% 13% 44

48% 42% 8% 1% 282

35% 54% 9% 2% 729

80% 13% 6% 1% 384

32% 46% 20% 2% 202

5% 87% 6% 2% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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77% 17% 5% 1% 207

84% 8% 7% 1% 177

3% 90% 6% 1% 175

6% 85% 6% 3% 249

32% 45% 23% 92

32% 47% 18% 3% 110

76% 16% 8% 1% 154

84% 11% 5% 1% 230

3% 90% 4% 3% 210

6% 85% 8% 1% 215

32% 49% 17% 2% 122

32% 42% 25% 1% 81

73% 19% 7% 2% 444

31% 37% 28% 5% 62

10% 81% 8% 1% 505

84% 10% 4% 1% 289

70% 21% 8% 1% 79

34% 44% 20% 2% 223

8% 78% 8% 6% 76

4% 90% 5% 1% 344

79% 10% 9% 2% 421

4% 88% 7% 1% 429

24% 65% 11% 98

100% 4

35% 44% 14% 7% 32

26% 42% 30% 2% 27

70% 21% 8% 1% 491

12% 57% 30% 1% 86

9% 83% 5% 2% 433

83% 11% 5% 1% 185

62% 27% 10% 1% 307

10% 79% 10% 2% 520

80% 13% 6% 1% 384

32% 46% 20% 2% 202

15% 69% 12% 4% 69

3% 91% 5% 2% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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5% 89% 5% 1% 380

23% 57% 18% 1% 126

31% 37% 28% 5% 62

33% 45% 15% 7% 52

79% 15% 6% 1% 392

25% 42% 24% 9% 22

46% 41% 9% 4% 149

44% 45% 9% 2% 240

35% 56% 8% 1% 601

40% 52% 8% 282

42% 45% 11% 2% 193

31% 59% 9% 1% 319

46% 42% 8% 4% 217

37% 52% 10% 1% 466

29% 67% 4% 0% 135

53% 37% 8% 2% 293

21% 60% 12% 6% 117

53% 37% 8% 2% 293

21% 60% 12% 6% 117

35% 56% 8% 1% 601

28% 62% 8% 2% 197

42% 48% 9% 1% 814

30% 59% 7% 4% 219

42% 48% 9% 1% 617

38% 49% 12% 0% 175

43% 46% 10% 1% 320

44% 51% 6% 55

33% 60% 7% 100

41% 50% 7% 1% 296

36% 49% 15% 1% 120

28% 59% 6% 7% 119

45% 45% 10% 1% 513

30% 66% 4% 0% 104

41% 50% 8% 1% 246

22% 63% 11% 5% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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41% 56% 3% 64

32% 52% 12% 4% 57

46% 42% 12% 1% 265

43% 48% 8% 1% 248

45% 54% 1% 41

46% 42% 13% 83

25% 64% 8% 3% 253

36% 51% 12% 1% 354

40% 51% 7% 2% 657

39% 47% 13% 0% 179

33% 55% 10% 2% 175

39% 51% 9% 1% 272

45% 46% 8% 1% 345

39% 52% 9% 34

34% 54% 12% 57

18% 55% 23% 4% 30

32% 60% 4% 4% 189

41% 45% 13% 1% 84

52% 37% 9% 1% 330

45% 53% 1% 1% 152

35% 53% 10% 1% 239

23% 63% 11% 2% 290

56% 35% 9% 0% 363

29% 60% 9% 2% 599

32% 55% 12% 1% 49

57% 33% 10% 0% 163

33% 58% 8% 1% 312

55% 37% 8% 0% 200

27% 61% 9% 3% 336

68% 23% 9% 250

29% 62% 8% 1% 113

81% 11% 8% 201

48% 42% 8% 2% 54

12% 75% 13% 49

12% 80% 8% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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27% 67% 5% 66

42% 47% 9% 2% 583

33% 59% 7% 1% 220

37% 49% 12% 2% 114

46% 54% 4

47% 31% 18% 4% 24

45% 44% 10% 1% 472

10% 75% 13% 2% 45

44% 46% 1% 8% 53

41% 54% 5% 14

34% 56% 9% 1% 428

41% 55% 4% 1% 188

44% 43% 11% 3% 168

26% 64% 7% 3% 78

51% 42% 7% 126

35% 52% 11% 2% 288

35% 52% 12% 1% 65

37% 52% 11% 98

79% 11% 8% 2% 350

49% 26% 25% 77

13% 78% 7% 1% 584

80% 12% 7% 2% 423

26% 35% 39% 79

7% 86% 6% 1% 509

81% 13% 5% 1% 424

21% 35% 41% 4% 102

6% 87% 6% 2% 485

79% 10% 9% 2% 438

23% 38% 39% 35

7% 85% 7% 1% 539

40% 52% 8% 1% 955

26% 31% 30% 13% 56

34% 64% 2% 295

37% 55% 8% 0% 252

46% 44% 8% 1% 313

43% 33% 20% 4% 95

100% 1

7% 87% 5% 0% 488

44% 21% 35% 24

75% 15% 9% 1% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 83% 6% 214

28% 62% 8% 2% 374

56% 34% 9% 1% 227

74% 13% 11% 2% 187

13% 15% 72% 9

39% 53% 8% 1% 830

40% 47% 9% 4% 152

28% 19% 41% 13% 29

38% 53% 8% 1% 409

37% 55% 7% 1% 511

38% 54% 7% 1% 607

39% 53% 7% 1% 708

39% 51% 9% 2% 1011

39% 51% 9% 2% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RGOPCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RGOPCID GOP IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

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42% 48% 8% 1% 1011

53% 38% 6% 2% 192

39% 48% 12% 1% 161

43% 45% 10% 2% 260

25% 69% 5% 1% 77

29% 70% 1% 80

40% 49% 11% 1% 84

47% 46% 7% 158

50% 50% 113

47% 41% 9% 3% 76

26% 67% 6% 56

49% 40% 3% 7% 52

41% 48% 10% 1% 715

30% 58% 10% 2% 189

42% 48% 9% 1% 544

52% 42% 4% 2% 278

41% 44% 15% 65

42% 49% 7% 1% 946

34% 56% 8% 2% 431

50% 41% 8% 0% 235

48% 44% 7% 1% 316

32% 50% 7% 10% 29

40% 48% 12% 1% 132

51% 44% 4% 1% 108

75% 25% 9

77% 17% 6% 30

50% 41% 8% 0% 235

34% 56% 8% 2% 431

47% 44% 6% 3% 108

42% 49% 8% 1% 903

36% 55% 8% 0% 475

48% 42% 8% 2% 536

37% 56% 7% 0% 334

35% 54% 11% 0% 141

49% 42% 6% 3% 290

47% 43% 10% 1% 246

43% 48% 9% 98

42% 50% 6% 2% 624

43% 46% 10% 1% 262

31% 45% 21% 2% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 42% 5% 2% 202

40% 50% 8% 2% 283

38% 52% 10% 1% 313

44% 49% 7% 0% 212

45% 46% 7% 2% 485

38% 52% 10% 1% 313

44% 49% 7% 0% 212

38% 54% 8% 0% 255

35% 57% 8% 0% 220

53% 38% 5% 4% 230

44% 46% 10% 1% 306

38% 53% 8% 1% 758

71% 20% 9% 121

47% 45% 2% 6% 91

31% 58% 9% 2% 40

49% 46% 4% 130

35% 54% 9% 1% 629

65% 28% 8% 31

73% 18% 9% 91

49% 37% 14% 32

46% 49% 3% 2% 59

42% 40% 17% 10

27% 64% 6% 3% 30

32% 59% 9% 0% 370

43% 47% 8% 1% 388

63% 27% 10% 39

75% 17% 8% 82

52% 48% 47

42% 41% 4% 13% 44

38% 54% 8% 1% 282

44% 46% 8% 2% 729

7% 88% 4% 1% 384

29% 49% 20% 2% 202

80% 12% 6% 2% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 88% 3% 1% 207

6% 89% 4% 1% 177

79% 13% 8% 175

81% 11% 5% 3% 249

18% 62% 20% 1% 92

39% 39% 20% 3% 110

10% 85% 4% 1% 154

5% 91% 3% 1% 230

79% 14% 4% 3% 210

82% 10% 8% 0% 215

31% 53% 14% 3% 122

27% 44% 29% 81

10% 84% 5% 1% 444

27% 40% 26% 7% 62

73% 18% 8% 1% 505

4% 94% 2% 0% 289

19% 70% 8% 3% 79

28% 51% 19% 2% 223

56% 26% 15% 3% 76

86% 8% 4% 1% 344

7% 84% 8% 1% 421

79% 14% 6% 1% 429

39% 51% 10% 98

50% 50% 4

22% 56% 15% 7% 32

35% 35% 27% 2% 27

17% 77% 5% 0% 491

31% 38% 30% 1% 86

74% 18% 6% 2% 433

6% 93% 1% 1% 185

23% 68% 8% 0% 307

67% 21% 10% 2% 520

7% 88% 4% 1% 384

29% 49% 20% 2% 202

76% 15% 9% 69

81% 11% 6% 2% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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79% 14% 6% 1% 380

54% 30% 16% 126

27% 40% 26% 7% 62

24% 54% 15% 6% 52

8% 88% 4% 0% 392

50% 33% 13% 4% 22

39% 52% 6% 3% 149

40% 50% 8% 2% 240

44% 47% 8% 1% 601

36% 56% 8% 282

37% 54% 8% 1% 193

51% 40% 8% 1% 319

43% 46% 7% 3% 217

40% 50% 9% 1% 466

55% 40% 5% 135

34% 58% 7% 1% 293

57% 30% 8% 6% 117

34% 58% 7% 1% 293

57% 30% 8% 6% 117

44% 47% 8% 1% 601

51% 39% 8% 2% 197

40% 51% 8% 1% 814

50% 43% 5% 3% 219

38% 53% 8% 1% 617

47% 41% 11% 1% 175

33% 58% 9% 0% 320

41% 50% 9% 1% 55

44% 51% 5% 100

44% 47% 8% 1% 296

50% 37% 12% 1% 120

54% 36% 4% 6% 119

35% 55% 9% 1% 513

56% 40% 4% 0% 104

44% 48% 7% 1% 246

56% 32% 8% 4% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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40% 56% 4% 64

49% 41% 6% 4% 57

29% 61% 10% 0% 265

41% 49% 8% 1% 248

40% 53% 7% 41

45% 45% 10% 83

56% 35% 6% 3% 253

43% 46% 9% 2% 354

42% 50% 7% 1% 657

32% 55% 13% 0% 179

54% 37% 5% 3% 175

41% 50% 8% 1% 272

36% 55% 9% 0% 345

50% 44% 6% 34

55% 34% 11% 57

55% 25% 12% 7% 30

49% 45% 3% 2% 189

40% 45% 12% 2% 84

29% 62% 7% 2% 330

53% 46% 1% 152

43% 47% 10% 0% 239

51% 36% 10% 2% 290

28% 65% 7% 1% 363

51% 39% 8% 2% 599

48% 37% 13% 1% 49

25% 67% 8% 0% 163

42% 49% 8% 1% 312

30% 63% 6% 1% 200

58% 30% 9% 3% 336

18% 74% 7% 1% 250

50% 44% 5% 0% 113

10% 84% 5% 1% 201

42% 57% 1% 0% 54

48% 35% 15% 1% 49

58% 33% 9% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 38% 9% 66

40% 50% 9% 2% 583

43% 50% 7% 0% 220

50% 43% 4% 3% 114

47% 53% 4

37% 42% 19% 3% 24

36% 54% 9% 1% 472

75% 11% 15% 45

40% 51% 1% 8% 53

32% 66% 2% 14

46% 46% 7% 1% 428

53% 43% 4% 1% 188

41% 47% 9% 3% 168

50% 37% 11% 1% 78

34% 64% 2% 126

39% 49% 10% 2% 288

29% 59% 10% 1% 65

46% 43% 11% 98

7% 83% 8% 2% 350

21% 55% 24% 77

66% 27% 6% 1% 584

4% 89% 5% 1% 423

18% 44% 37% 1% 79

77% 15% 6% 1% 509

7% 89% 3% 0% 424

11% 42% 43% 4% 102

80% 14% 5% 1% 485

7% 84% 8% 1% 438

13% 48% 37% 2% 35

73% 20% 6% 1% 539

42% 50% 7% 1% 955

45% 20% 29% 6% 56

52% 45% 2% 0% 295

45% 49% 6% 252

37% 53% 9% 1% 313

23% 58% 14% 5% 95

100% 1

75% 19% 5% 0% 488

25% 39% 33% 3% 24

7% 85% 7% 2% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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71% 24% 5% 1% 214

55% 36% 8% 1% 374

24% 68% 7% 0% 227

9% 80% 10% 2% 187

8% 21% 58% 12% 9

42% 51% 7% 1% 830

49% 37% 11% 2% 152

20% 44% 28% 8% 29

47% 45% 6% 1% 409

48% 45% 6% 1% 511

47% 47% 6% 1% 607

46% 47% 6% 1% 708

42% 48% 8% 1% 1011

42% 48% 8% 1% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDEMCIDFavorable Unfavorable No opinion Never heard

of

RDEMCID DEM IN CONGRESS NAME ID/C TOTAL

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43% 3% 53% 1011

37% 2% 61% 192

42% 4% 54% 161

43% 6% 51% 260

64% 5% 31% 77

51% 1% 48% 80

48% 2% 51% 84

35% 2% 63% 158

36% 0% 63% 113

42% 5% 53% 76

63% 7% 30% 56

41% 5% 54% 52

43% 3% 54% 715

53% 5% 42% 189

45% 4% 52% 544

34% 2% 64% 278

49% 6% 45% 65

43% 3% 54% 946

55% 3% 43% 431

28% 3% 69% 235

40% 4% 56% 316

37% 8% 55% 29

44% 6% 50% 132

42% 4% 53% 108

25% 75% 9

13% 5% 83% 30

28% 3% 69% 235

55% 3% 43% 431

44% 6% 49% 108

43% 3% 54% 903

48% 4% 48% 475

39% 3% 58% 536

49% 4% 47% 334

45% 5% 50% 141

35% 2% 62% 290

43% 4% 53% 246

40% 3% 57% 98

43% 3% 54% 624

45% 4% 51% 262

48% 13% 39% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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31% 3% 67% 202

40% 6% 53% 283

50% 1% 49% 313

49% 3% 48% 212

36% 5% 59% 485

50% 1% 49% 313

49% 3% 48% 212

42% 6% 52% 255

55% 2% 43% 220

29% 4% 67% 230

46% 2% 52% 306

49% 3% 48% 758

12% 4% 84% 121

32% 3% 65% 91

50% 9% 41% 40

38% 3% 59% 130

51% 3% 45% 629

8% 92% 31

14% 5% 81% 91

20% 80% 32

39% 5% 56% 59

35% 17% 48% 10

55% 6% 39% 30

52% 5% 44% 370

47% 2% 52% 388

21% 79% 39

8% 5% 87% 82

39% 61% 47

24% 7% 69% 44

54% 2% 44% 282

39% 4% 57% 729

90% 2% 9% 384

36% 11% 53% 202

5% 2% 94% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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86% 2% 12% 207

94% 1% 5% 177

5% 2% 93% 175

4% 1% 94% 249

44% 13% 43% 92

29% 9% 62% 110

85% 3% 12% 154

93% 1% 6% 230

4% 2% 95% 210

6% 1% 93% 215

31% 13% 57% 122

44% 8% 48% 81

81% 3% 16% 444

41% 23% 36% 62

10% 1% 88% 505

93% 1% 5% 289

78% 2% 20% 79

39% 10% 50% 223

13% 5% 82% 76

2% 1% 97% 344

90% 3% 8% 421

4% 1% 95% 429

27% 10% 63% 98

100% 4

24% 13% 64% 32

32% 24% 43% 27

76% 2% 22% 491

28% 20% 53% 86

9% 1% 89% 433

90% 1% 10% 185

68% 3% 29% 307

12% 4% 83% 520

90% 2% 9% 384

36% 11% 53% 202

10% 3% 88% 69

4% 1% 95% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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5% 1% 94% 380

26% 3% 71% 126

41% 23% 36% 62

46% 9% 45% 52

86% 2% 12% 392

42% 5% 53% 22

49% 5% 46% 149

47% 2% 50% 240

40% 4% 56% 601

46% 5% 49% 282

51% 3% 46% 193

35% 2% 63% 319

45% 4% 51% 217

44% 3% 53% 466

27% 5% 69% 135

57% 3% 40% 293

24% 4% 72% 117

57% 3% 40% 293

24% 4% 72% 117

40% 4% 56% 601

36% 0% 63% 197

45% 4% 51% 814

28% 3% 69% 219

49% 4% 47% 617

41% 3% 56% 175

52% 4% 44% 320

45% 8% 47% 55

37% 2% 62% 100

46% 4% 50% 296

39% 0% 60% 120

22% 3% 75% 119

52% 4% 44% 513

33% 6% 61% 104

43% 2% 55% 246

20% 3% 77% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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40% 3% 57% 64

39% 2% 59% 57

56% 5% 40% 265

49% 2% 49% 248

45% 7% 48% 41

46% 54% 83

25% 4% 70% 253

43% 5% 52% 354

44% 2% 54% 657

51% 6% 43% 179

34% 4% 61% 175

46% 5% 48% 272

52% 3% 46% 345

38% 62% 34

37% 1% 62% 57

13% 4% 83% 30

31% 2% 67% 189

45% 5% 49% 84

56% 2% 42% 330

40% 6% 54% 152

43% 1% 56% 239

31% 6% 64% 290

59% 4% 37% 363

34% 3% 63% 599

38% 4% 58% 49

64% 2% 33% 163

40% 5% 55% 312

54% 5% 40% 200

30% 1% 69% 336

75% 3% 22% 250

22% 7% 71% 113

88% 2% 10% 201

44% 8% 48% 54

23% 5% 72% 49

3% 6% 91% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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30% 0% 70% 66

49% 3% 48% 583

38% 4% 58% 220

35% 1% 63% 114

20% 80% 4

37% 24% 39% 24

53% 3% 44% 472

18% 82% 45

34% 6% 61% 53

56% 3% 41% 14

36% 4% 60% 428

42% 2% 56% 188

50% 3% 47% 168

30% 4% 66% 78

57% 2% 40% 126

41% 5% 53% 288

33% 2% 65% 65

41% 4% 55% 98

94% 2% 4% 350

55% 22% 23% 77

11% 2% 87% 584

94% 3% 3% 423

33% 21% 45% 79

3% 1% 96% 509

90% 2% 8% 424

40% 22% 38% 102

3% 1% 96% 485

43% 3% 53% 955

44% 5% 51% 56

39% 0% 61% 295

42% 2% 56% 252

45% 4% 51% 313

53% 13% 34% 95

100% 1

4% 0% 96% 488

40% 23% 37% 24

87% 5% 7% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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13% 1% 86% 214

28% 2% 70% 374

63% 6% 31% 227

86% 3% 11% 187

26% 58% 15% 9

43% 3% 54% 830

44% 3% 53% 152

47% 8% 45% 29

42% 1% 57% 409

41% 1% 58% 511

42% 1% 57% 607

43% 1% 56% 708

43% 3% 53% 1011

43% 3% 53% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTJA

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALD TRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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56% 3% 41% 1011

53% 2% 45% 192

54% 3% 43% 161

53% 5% 42% 260

78% 3% 20% 77

61% 3% 36% 80

68% 2% 31% 84

50% 1% 49% 158

51% 1% 49% 113

45% 3% 52% 76

76% 4% 20% 56

58% 1% 41% 52

57% 3% 40% 715

70% 3% 27% 189

56% 3% 41% 544

48% 1% 51% 278

72% 2% 26% 65

55% 3% 42% 946

63% 3% 33% 431

47% 3% 50% 235

54% 1% 45% 316

51% 8% 41% 29

60% 1% 39% 132

54% 1% 46% 108

60% 40% 9

25% 75% 30

47% 3% 50% 235

63% 3% 33% 431

60% 3% 37% 108

56% 3% 41% 903

63% 2% 35% 475

51% 3% 46% 536

63% 2% 36% 334

64% 3% 33% 141

47% 1% 51% 290

54% 5% 40% 246

56% 3% 41% 98

56% 1% 43% 624

57% 5% 38% 262

75% 3% 22% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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49% 2% 49% 202

57% 1% 41% 283

60% 3% 37% 313

57% 5% 38% 212

54% 1% 45% 485

60% 3% 37% 313

57% 5% 38% 212

60% 2% 38% 255

67% 2% 31% 220

47% 1% 52% 230

53% 5% 42% 306

61% 2% 37% 758

28% 4% 68% 121

52% 1% 47% 91

65% 7% 27% 40

56% 44% 130

62% 3% 35% 629

15% 8% 77% 31

32% 3% 65% 91

44% 56% 32

57% 1% 42% 59

78% 12% 10% 10

61% 6% 33% 30

65% 2% 33% 370

57% 3% 40% 388

53% 3% 44% 39

16% 5% 79% 82

51% 49% 47

54% 1% 45% 44

61% 3% 36% 282

55% 2% 43% 729

95% 1% 4% 384

53% 6% 41% 202

23% 2% 75% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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95% 0% 5% 207

96% 2% 2% 177

25% 3% 72% 175

21% 2% 77% 249

63% 4% 32% 92

44% 7% 48% 110

97% 3% 154

94% 2% 4% 230

21% 3% 76% 210

25% 2% 73% 215

56% 1% 43% 122

48% 13% 38% 81

90% 1% 9% 444

58% 9% 32% 62

27% 3% 70% 505

97% 1% 2% 289

88% 3% 10% 79

57% 5% 38% 223

42% 2% 56% 76

18% 3% 79% 344

96% 1% 3% 421

22% 3% 75% 429

43% 5% 51% 98

100% 4

60% 4% 36% 32

45% 18% 37% 27

85% 2% 13% 491

48% 11% 41% 86

26% 1% 73% 433

90% 0% 9% 185

82% 3% 15% 307

29% 3% 68% 520

95% 1% 4% 384

53% 6% 41% 202

36% 4% 60% 69

20% 2% 78% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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21% 2% 77% 380

44% 8% 48% 126

58% 9% 32% 62

73% 27% 52

93% 1% 7% 392

62% 5% 34% 22

62% 1% 37% 149

57% 4% 39% 240

55% 2% 43% 601

63% 3% 34% 282

64% 1% 36% 193

47% 2% 51% 319

55% 5% 40% 217

57% 2% 41% 466

45% 4% 51% 135

67% 3% 30% 293

39% 3% 58% 117

67% 3% 30% 293

39% 3% 58% 117

55% 2% 43% 601

48% 1% 51% 197

59% 3% 39% 814

42% 2% 56% 219

63% 3% 34% 617

51% 3% 45% 175

68% 2% 30% 320

61% 4% 35% 55

47% 1% 51% 100

58% 3% 39% 296

46% 3% 50% 120

38% 2% 60% 119

65% 3% 33% 513

55% 2% 42% 104

54% 1% 45% 246

34% 4% 62% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 1% 46% 64

51% 49% 57

70% 2% 28% 265

60% 3% 37% 248

58% 42% 41

54% 3% 43% 83

43% 4% 54% 253

59% 1% 39% 354

55% 3% 42% 657

68% 2% 29% 179

50% 50% 175

64% 1% 35% 272

62% 4% 34% 345

44% 56% 34

47% 2% 51% 57

30% 3% 67% 30

44% 2% 54% 189

57% 6% 37% 84

70% 3% 28% 330

62% 3% 36% 152

50% 2% 48% 239

44% 3% 53% 290

72% 3% 26% 363

48% 3% 49% 599

46% 4% 50% 49

77% 1% 22% 163

56% 3% 42% 312

67% 4% 29% 200

41% 3% 56% 336

84% 2% 14% 250

44% 3% 53% 113

96% 2% 3% 201

62% 2% 36% 54

36% 5% 59% 49

28% 4% 68% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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46% 54% 66

64% 2% 33% 583

47% 1% 52% 220

43% 4% 53% 114

20% 31% 50% 4

53% 20% 28% 24

66% 2% 31% 472

43% 5% 52% 45

61% 39% 53

68% 7% 25% 14

46% 3% 51% 428

54% 2% 44% 188

61% 5% 34% 168

47% 1% 52% 78

64% 1% 35% 126

57% 1% 42% 288

59% 2% 39% 65

48% 8% 44% 98

97% 0% 3% 350

76% 5% 19% 77

30% 4% 67% 584

98% 1% 2% 423

68% 11% 22% 79

21% 3% 76% 509

97% 1% 3% 424

61% 9% 30% 102

20% 3% 77% 485

98% 1% 2% 438

78% 14% 7% 35

22% 3% 75% 539

56% 2% 41% 955

59% 9% 33% 56

48% 1% 51% 295

55% 3% 42% 252

60% 2% 38% 313

75% 3% 22% 95

100% 1

19% 3% 77% 488

88% 2% 9% 24

96% 1% 4% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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22% 2% 76% 214

45% 3% 51% 374

78% 2% 20% 227

92% 1% 7% 187

52% 33% 15% 9

57% 2% 41% 830

52% 4% 44% 152

68% 4% 27% 29

51% 2% 47% 409

50% 2% 47% 511

53% 2% 45% 607

53% 2% 44% 708

56% 3% 41% 1011

56% 3% 41% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTIS1

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS1 APPROVE TRUMP ONECONOMY/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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42% 2% 56% 1011

34% 1% 65% 192

42% 3% 55% 161

41% 2% 57% 260

63% 6% 31% 77

48% 52% 80

43% 5% 52% 84

37% 63% 158

38% 62% 113

33% 4% 64% 76

57% 8% 34% 56

35% 1% 65% 52

42% 2% 56% 715

52% 4% 44% 189

41% 3% 56% 544

34% 0% 66% 278

46% 2% 52% 65

41% 2% 57% 946

52% 2% 46% 431

25% 4% 72% 235

41% 0% 59% 316

36% 8% 56% 29

46% 54% 132

41% 1% 58% 108

25% 75% 9

17% 83% 30

25% 4% 72% 235

52% 2% 46% 431

43% 5% 52% 108

41% 2% 57% 903

47% 1% 52% 475

36% 3% 60% 536

46% 1% 52% 334

50% 50% 141

32% 4% 65% 290

42% 3% 55% 246

42% 58% 98

40% 2% 58% 624

45% 2% 53% 262

55% 2% 42% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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28% 2% 70% 202

40% 4% 56% 283

48% 1% 52% 313

48% 2% 50% 212

35% 3% 62% 485

48% 1% 52% 313

48% 2% 50% 212

42% 2% 56% 255

54% 46% 220

27% 5% 69% 230

44% 2% 54% 306

47% 1% 52% 758

13% 5% 82% 121

36% 5% 60% 91

46% 5% 49% 40

36% 64% 130

49% 1% 50% 629

8% 8% 84% 31

14% 5% 81% 91

20% 80% 32

44% 7% 49% 59

18% 12% 70% 10

55% 3% 41% 30

50% 1% 49% 370

43% 2% 55% 388

20% 3% 77% 39

10% 7% 84% 82

47% 53% 47

23% 9% 67% 44

51% 1% 48% 282

38% 3% 59% 729

85% 1% 14% 384

37% 7% 57% 202

4% 1% 94% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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84% 16% 207

87% 1% 11% 177

5% 1% 95% 175

4% 2% 94% 249

47% 4% 49% 92

28% 9% 63% 110

80% 1% 19% 154

89% 1% 11% 230

3% 2% 95% 210

6% 1% 94% 215

32% 8% 60% 122

43% 5% 52% 81

78% 2% 21% 444

40% 12% 48% 62

10% 2% 89% 505

88% 0% 12% 289

78% 22% 79

40% 7% 54% 223

9% 91% 76

3% 2% 95% 344

88% 2% 11% 421

3% 1% 96% 429

18% 4% 78% 98

100% 4

39% 4% 57% 32

33% 16% 52% 27

73% 2% 25% 491

33% 9% 57% 86

8% 1% 91% 433

86% 2% 12% 185

65% 2% 34% 307

12% 2% 85% 520

85% 1% 14% 384

37% 7% 57% 202

12% 3% 85% 69

3% 1% 96% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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5% 1% 94% 380

27% 2% 71% 126

40% 12% 48% 62

48% 52% 52

82% 2% 17% 392

49% 5% 47% 22

48% 2% 50% 149

46% 4% 51% 240

38% 1% 60% 601

44% 2% 54% 282

52% 48% 193

33% 1% 66% 319

42% 7% 52% 217

42% 1% 57% 466

25% 4% 71% 135

54% 2% 44% 293

28% 6% 65% 117

54% 2% 44% 293

28% 6% 65% 117

38% 1% 60% 601

35% 0% 65% 197

43% 3% 54% 814

26% 3% 70% 219

47% 2% 51% 617

42% 1% 57% 175

51% 1% 48% 320

47% 2% 50% 55

36% 64% 100

43% 3% 54% 296

39% 1% 60% 120

18% 6% 75% 119

49% 1% 50% 513

37% 7% 57% 104

41% 2% 57% 246

19% 4% 77% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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40% 60% 64

31% 7% 62% 57

53% 1% 46% 265

45% 1% 54% 248

48% 52% 41

46% 54% 83

26% 5% 69% 253

41% 3% 56% 354

42% 2% 56% 657

49% 1% 49% 179

32% 4% 64% 175

43% 2% 55% 272

51% 2% 47% 345

38% 62% 34

35% 65% 57

18% 12% 70% 30

27% 2% 70% 189

47% 3% 50% 84

54% 2% 44% 330

40% 2% 59% 152

40% 2% 58% 239

30% 2% 67% 290

59% 3% 38% 363

32% 1% 67% 599

31% 6% 63% 49

64% 2% 35% 163

39% 1% 60% 312

56% 4% 40% 200

25% 3% 72% 336

73% 1% 25% 250

28% 6% 66% 113

86% 1% 14% 201

48% 10% 42% 54

23% 5% 72% 49

9% 3% 88% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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26% 74% 66

46% 2% 52% 583

39% 1% 61% 220

34% 7% 59% 114

20% 80% 4

37% 15% 48% 24

49% 1% 50% 472

21% 3% 76% 45

39% 8% 53% 53

46% 3% 51% 14

35% 3% 62% 428

40% 2% 58% 188

46% 4% 49% 168

31% 69% 78

50% 1% 50% 126

41% 2% 57% 288

33% 2% 65% 65

42% 5% 53% 98

91% 1% 8% 350

49% 11% 40% 77

11% 2% 87% 584

90% 2% 8% 423

33% 10% 57% 79

3% 1% 96% 509

85% 2% 13% 424

42% 9% 49% 102

3% 1% 96% 485

90% 1% 9% 438

34% 32% 34% 35

3% 1% 96% 539

41% 2% 57% 955

44% 7% 50% 56

38% 62% 295

40% 2% 58% 252

41% 2% 57% 313

57% 8% 35% 95

100% 1

3% 1% 96% 488

26% 16% 58% 24

85% 2% 13% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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12% 1% 87% 214

24% 1% 75% 374

63% 3% 34% 227

83% 3% 13% 187

53% 31% 15% 9

41% 2% 57% 830

44% 0% 56% 152

48% 8% 44% 29

40% 2% 58% 409

40% 2% 58% 511

42% 1% 57% 607

43% 1% 56% 708

42% 2% 56% 1011

42% 2% 56% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTIS2

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS2 APPROVE TRUMP ONFOREIGN AFFAIRS/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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47% 4% 49% 1011

38% 4% 58% 192

45% 5% 50% 161

45% 4% 50% 260

76% 7% 17% 77

57% 4% 39% 80

54% 4% 41% 84

38% 2% 60% 158

38% 0% 62% 113

42% 6% 52% 76

78% 9% 13% 56

43% 2% 55% 52

47% 4% 49% 715

56% 4% 39% 189

50% 5% 45% 544

34% 2% 63% 278

56% 9% 36% 65

46% 4% 50% 946

55% 4% 41% 431

38% 3% 59% 235

42% 5% 53% 316

45% 8% 47% 29

48% 4% 49% 132

45% 7% 49% 108

12% 88% 9

23% 5% 73% 30

38% 3% 59% 235

55% 4% 41% 431

51% 5% 45% 108

46% 4% 50% 903

51% 4% 46% 475

43% 5% 52% 536

50% 3% 47% 334

52% 4% 44% 141

39% 2% 59% 290

49% 8% 43% 246

52% 3% 46% 98

45% 3% 52% 624

49% 7% 44% 262

51% 13% 36% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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39% 2% 59% 202

43% 6% 51% 283

53% 2% 45% 313

50% 7% 43% 212

41% 4% 55% 485

53% 2% 45% 313

50% 7% 43% 212

43% 5% 52% 255

59% 2% 39% 220

39% 3% 58% 230

47% 6% 47% 306

53% 4% 43% 758

19% 4% 77% 121

32% 3% 65% 91

49% 9% 42% 40

50% 50% 130

53% 5% 42% 629

16% 84% 31

20% 5% 74% 91

13% 6% 80% 32

42% 2% 56% 59

40% 17% 42% 10

52% 7% 42% 30

56% 4% 41% 370

50% 4% 46% 388

21% 79% 39

19% 6% 75% 82

35% 4% 61% 47

29% 2% 69% 44

56% 5% 40% 282

43% 4% 53% 729

91% 2% 7% 384

40% 9% 51% 202

10% 4% 87% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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91% 1% 8% 207

92% 3% 5% 177

8% 2% 90% 175

11% 5% 85% 249

41% 12% 47% 92

40% 6% 54% 110

89% 2% 9% 154

93% 2% 5% 230

9% 4% 88% 210

11% 4% 86% 215

37% 7% 55% 122

45% 12% 44% 81

86% 2% 12% 444

43% 16% 41% 62

13% 4% 83% 505

96% 1% 3% 289

78% 4% 18% 79

43% 8% 49% 223

17% 4% 78% 76

8% 4% 89% 344

90% 3% 8% 421

9% 3% 87% 429

33% 8% 58% 98

100% 4

39% 4% 57% 32

37% 26% 38% 27

79% 3% 18% 491

27% 15% 58% 86

15% 3% 83% 433

88% 2% 10% 185

73% 4% 23% 307

17% 5% 78% 520

91% 2% 7% 384

40% 9% 51% 202

18% 10% 72% 69

8% 3% 89% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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9% 3% 88% 380

25% 9% 67% 126

43% 16% 41% 62

62% 5% 33% 52

89% 2% 9% 392

46% 13% 41% 22

53% 4% 43% 149

50% 4% 46% 240

44% 4% 52% 601

49% 5% 46% 282

53% 2% 45% 193

40% 3% 57% 319

49% 7% 44% 217

48% 4% 49% 466

32% 4% 64% 135

61% 4% 35% 293

25% 5% 70% 117

61% 4% 35% 293

25% 5% 70% 117

44% 4% 52% 601

36% 3% 61% 197

49% 4% 46% 814

34% 4% 62% 219

53% 4% 44% 617

41% 6% 52% 175

56% 3% 41% 320

45% 9% 45% 55

37% 2% 61% 100

50% 4% 46% 296

40% 5% 56% 120

32% 5% 63% 119

55% 4% 41% 513

39% 2% 58% 104

48% 4% 49% 246

21% 7% 72% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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49% 51% 64

50% 3% 47% 57

59% 4% 37% 265

52% 4% 44% 248

46% 9% 45% 41

46% 5% 49% 83

29% 5% 67% 253

48% 4% 48% 354

46% 4% 50% 657

51% 5% 44% 179

45% 3% 52% 175

51% 3% 46% 272

54% 4% 42% 345

38% 3% 59% 34

39% 1% 60% 57

35% 2% 63% 30

34% 4% 62% 189

44% 11% 45% 84

59% 5% 37% 330

50% 3% 47% 152

44% 3% 54% 239

34% 5% 60% 290

64% 3% 33% 363

37% 4% 59% 599

42% 10% 48% 49

68% 2% 31% 163

42% 5% 54% 312

61% 5% 35% 200

33% 4% 62% 336

79% 3% 18% 250

30% 4% 66% 113

90% 3% 7% 201

57% 2% 41% 54

34% 5% 61% 49

6% 5% 89% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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38% 2% 60% 66

53% 3% 44% 583

39% 3% 58% 220

39% 8% 53% 114

49% 4% 47% 4

38% 22% 40% 24

57% 3% 40% 472

29% 2% 69% 45

38% 4% 58% 53

54% 4% 43% 14

39% 5% 56% 428

44% 4% 52% 188

54% 4% 41% 168

36% 6% 58% 78

58% 2% 41% 126

46% 4% 50% 288

38% 2% 60% 65

43% 8% 49% 98

92% 2% 6% 350

56% 18% 26% 77

19% 3% 78% 584

94% 2% 4% 423

31% 22% 47% 79

10% 3% 87% 509

92% 2% 6% 424

44% 19% 37% 102

8% 3% 89% 485

93% 3% 4% 438

42% 39% 18% 35

10% 3% 87% 539

47% 3% 50% 955

44% 16% 40% 56

40% 0% 59% 295

44% 4% 51% 252

53% 4% 43% 313

56% 8% 36% 95

100% 1

10% 2% 88% 488

35% 27% 38% 24

88% 3% 8% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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13% 1% 86% 214

34% 4% 62% 374

68% 4% 28% 227

87% 4% 9% 187

25% 60% 15% 9

47% 4% 49% 830

45% 5% 50% 152

46% 5% 48% 29

45% 3% 53% 409

44% 3% 53% 511

45% 3% 52% 607

46% 3% 51% 708

47% 4% 49% 1011

47% 4% 49% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTIS3

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS3 APPROVE TRUMP ONTAXES/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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57% 4% 40% 1011

55% 2% 43% 192

53% 1% 46% 161

52% 6% 42% 260

78% 6% 16% 77

67% 1% 32% 80

61% 4% 35% 84

52% 3% 45% 158

53% 1% 46% 113

46% 2% 52% 76

79% 8% 13% 56

65% 35% 52

56% 4% 40% 715

67% 2% 32% 189

56% 6% 39% 544

52% 2% 47% 278

63% 4% 33% 65

56% 4% 40% 946

65% 3% 33% 431

46% 4% 50% 235

54% 4% 42% 316

54% 10% 37% 29

63% 2% 35% 132

52% 7% 41% 108

24% 76% 9

25% 2% 73% 30

46% 4% 50% 235

65% 3% 33% 431

61% 4% 35% 108

56% 4% 40% 903

63% 3% 34% 475

51% 4% 45% 536

61% 2% 36% 334

67% 4% 28% 141

49% 2% 48% 290

53% 7% 41% 246

50% 7% 42% 98

56% 2% 42% 624

60% 5% 35% 262

65% 14% 22% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 3% 52% 202

58% 4% 38% 283

59% 4% 37% 313

62% 4% 34% 212

53% 3% 44% 485

59% 4% 37% 313

62% 4% 34% 212

58% 3% 40% 255

69% 3% 27% 220

47% 4% 49% 230

54% 5% 42% 306

60% 4% 36% 758

31% 5% 64% 121

53% 2% 45% 91

67% 7% 26% 40

51% 49% 130

62% 4% 33% 629

16% 8% 76% 31

37% 4% 60% 91

44% 6% 49% 32

57% 43% 59

66% 12% 22% 10

68% 5% 27% 30

66% 2% 32% 370

55% 5% 40% 388

51% 3% 46% 39

22% 6% 72% 82

49% 4% 47% 47

57% 43% 44

64% 4% 33% 282

54% 4% 42% 729

95% 1% 3% 384

51% 8% 41% 202

24% 4% 72% 425

94% 1% 5% 207

97% 2% 2% 177

26% 3% 70% 175

22% 5% 73% 249

62% 7% 31% 92

41% 8% 51% 110

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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94% 1% 5% 154

96% 2% 2% 230

24% 5% 71% 210

24% 3% 73% 215

49% 4% 47% 122

54% 13% 33% 81

90% 2% 8% 444

55% 10% 35% 62

27% 5% 68% 505

98% 1% 1% 289

88% 2% 10% 79

54% 7% 39% 223

41% 1% 58% 76

20% 5% 75% 344

94% 1% 5% 421

23% 5% 72% 429

45% 3% 52% 98

100% 4

53% 12% 35% 32

57% 17% 26% 27

87% 2% 11% 491

45% 14% 40% 86

25% 3% 72% 433

94% 1% 5% 185

82% 3% 15% 307

28% 5% 67% 520

95% 1% 3% 384

51% 8% 41% 202

40% 3% 57% 69

21% 4% 75% 355

21% 4% 75% 380

46% 9% 46% 126

55% 10% 35% 62

65% 35% 52

94% 2% 5% 392

62% 6% 32% 22

65% 1% 34% 149

57% 3% 40% 240

54% 5% 41% 601

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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61% 5% 34% 282

66% 0% 34% 193

48% 4% 48% 319

55% 5% 40% 217

56% 4% 39% 466

46% 5% 49% 135

67% 2% 31% 293

43% 3% 54% 117

67% 2% 31% 293

43% 3% 54% 117

54% 5% 41% 601

51% 1% 49% 197

58% 4% 38% 814

44% 2% 53% 219

63% 4% 34% 617

50% 6% 43% 175

69% 2% 29% 320

51% 12% 37% 55

49% 2% 49% 100

55% 6% 39% 296

50% 4% 46% 120

41% 2% 57% 119

64% 4% 32% 513

55% 2% 44% 104

53% 3% 45% 246

38% 6% 56% 149

53% 47% 64

49% 51% 57

71% 2% 27% 265

57% 6% 37% 248

53% 8% 39% 41

55% 3% 42% 83

45% 4% 51% 253

56% 4% 40% 354

57% 4% 39% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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65% 3% 32% 179

47% 4% 48% 175

61% 3% 37% 272

64% 4% 32% 345

38% 6% 56% 34

47% 5% 48% 57

35% 65% 30

46% 2% 52% 189

58% 7% 36% 84

71% 4% 25% 330

52% 6% 41% 152

52% 1% 46% 239

46% 5% 50% 290

73% 3% 24% 363

47% 4% 49% 599

50% 7% 43% 49

79% 1% 20% 163

55% 4% 41% 312

68% 5% 27% 200

41% 4% 56% 336

83% 4% 13% 250

50% 3% 48% 113

95% 3% 3% 201

73% 2% 25% 54

36% 8% 55% 49

29% 3% 68% 59

54% 2% 43% 66

62% 4% 33% 583

46% 1% 53% 220

51% 2% 47% 114

20% 31% 50% 4

53% 23% 24% 24

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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63% 5% 32% 472

45% 5% 50% 45

66% 4% 30% 53

76% 24% 14

49% 3% 49% 428

55% 2% 43% 188

62% 5% 33% 168

48% 4% 48% 78

68% 2% 30% 126

54% 3% 43% 288

58% 2% 40% 65

50% 9% 42% 98

96% 1% 3% 350

74% 5% 21% 77

31% 5% 64% 584

96% 2% 2% 423

64% 12% 24% 79

23% 4% 73% 509

95% 2% 3% 424

61% 13% 26% 102

22% 4% 74% 485

97% 1% 2% 438

55% 31% 14% 35

23% 4% 72% 539

56% 4% 40% 955

58% 7% 35% 56

50% 1% 49% 295

54% 5% 41% 252

58% 4% 38% 313

76% 8% 16% 95

100% 1

21% 4% 74% 488

88% 6% 6% 24

94% 2% 4% 442

22% 2% 76% 214

45% 5% 50% 374

78% 4% 17% 227

92% 1% 7% 187

60% 31% 8% 9

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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57% 4% 39% 830

52% 4% 44% 152

60% 4% 36% 29

52% 3% 45% 409

52% 3% 45% 511

54% 3% 43% 607

54% 3% 42% 708

57% 4% 40% 1011

57% 4% 40% 1011

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTIS4Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS4 APPROVE TRUMP ON JOBS/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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43% 2% 55% 1011

35% 1% 64% 192

43% 3% 54% 161

41% 2% 57% 260

65% 1% 33% 77

51% 49% 80

44% 5% 51% 84

38% 2% 60% 158

38% 2% 60% 113

37% 3% 60% 76

67% 33% 56

39% 61% 52

42% 2% 55% 715

47% 5% 48% 189

46% 1% 54% 544

34% 2% 64% 278

43% 6% 51% 65

43% 2% 56% 946

52% 3% 45% 431

28% 0% 72% 235

40% 2% 58% 316

44% 9% 48% 29

47% 3% 50% 132

39% 2% 59% 108

25% 75% 9

17% 83% 30

28% 0% 72% 235

52% 3% 45% 431

47% 2% 51% 108

42% 2% 56% 903

49% 1% 50% 475

37% 3% 60% 536

49% 1% 50% 334

49% 2% 48% 141

32% 3% 65% 290

43% 3% 55% 246

44% 56% 98

41% 2% 57% 624

43% 3% 53% 262

63% 3% 33% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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31% 1% 69% 202

42% 3% 55% 283

49% 1% 50% 313

46% 3% 51% 212

37% 2% 61% 485

49% 1% 50% 313

46% 3% 51% 212

45% 2% 53% 255

54% 1% 46% 220

28% 2% 69% 230

44% 3% 54% 306

48% 2% 50% 758

13% 1% 86% 121

36% 2% 62% 91

49% 6% 45% 40

38% 62% 130

50% 2% 48% 629

8% 92% 31

14% 2% 84% 91

20% 80% 32

45% 3% 52% 59

35% 12% 53% 10

53% 4% 42% 30

52% 1% 46% 370

44% 3% 54% 388

20% 80% 39

10% 2% 88% 82

45% 55% 47

27% 4% 69% 44

52% 1% 46% 282

39% 2% 59% 729

88% 2% 11% 384

38% 6% 56% 202

4% 0% 96% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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87% 1% 12% 207

88% 2% 9% 177

4% 96% 175

4% 0% 96% 249

48% 5% 47% 92

30% 8% 63% 110

85% 1% 14% 154

90% 2% 8% 230

3% 1% 96% 210

5% 95% 215

35% 6% 59% 122

42% 7% 51% 81

81% 2% 17% 444

36% 14% 51% 62

10% 0% 90% 505

91% 2% 7% 289

77% 1% 22% 79

41% 6% 53% 223

9% 91% 76

3% 0% 97% 344

89% 3% 8% 421

3% 0% 97% 429

27% 73% 98

100% 4

33% 4% 64% 32

26% 26% 48% 27

76% 2% 23% 491

31% 12% 57% 86

8% 0% 92% 433

87% 1% 11% 185

69% 2% 29% 307

11% 2% 86% 520

88% 2% 11% 384

38% 6% 56% 202

13% 2% 85% 69

2% 98% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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4% 96% 380

27% 1% 72% 126

36% 14% 51% 62

47% 7% 46% 52

85% 2% 13% 392

42% 3% 55% 22

48% 3% 49% 149

47% 4% 50% 240

40% 1% 59% 601

46% 1% 53% 282

54% 2% 44% 193

35% 1% 64% 319

41% 5% 55% 217

43% 1% 56% 466

29% 1% 70% 135

56% 3% 41% 293

25% 4% 71% 117

56% 3% 41% 293

25% 4% 71% 117

40% 1% 59% 601

36% 1% 63% 197

44% 2% 54% 814

29% 0% 71% 219

48% 3% 49% 617

41% 2% 57% 175

53% 1% 46% 320

43% 6% 51% 55

40% 60% 100

43% 4% 52% 296

39% 1% 60% 120

19% 1% 81% 119

50% 2% 47% 513

38% 3% 59% 104

43% 1% 57% 246

19% 2% 79% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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46% 54% 64

33% 1% 66% 57

56% 1% 43% 265

45% 4% 51% 248

43% 2% 54% 41

47% 53% 83

27% 2% 71% 253

43% 3% 55% 354

43% 2% 56% 657

52% 2% 46% 179

34% 3% 63% 175

46% 3% 51% 272

50% 2% 48% 345

37% 1% 62% 34

34% 66% 57

13% 87% 30

31% 0% 69% 189

47% 4% 49% 84

53% 4% 43% 330

45% 55% 152

39% 0% 60% 239

32% 3% 65% 290

59% 1% 39% 363

33% 2% 65% 599

40% 1% 59% 49

64% 0% 36% 163

41% 2% 57% 312

56% 2% 42% 200

26% 3% 71% 336

74% 1% 25% 250

27% 3% 71% 113

87% 1% 13% 201

48% 3% 50% 54

25% 75% 49

7% 3% 90% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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30% 70% 66

48% 1% 51% 583

37% 3% 60% 220

35% 2% 63% 114

16% 4% 80% 4

40% 16% 44% 24

51% 1% 48% 472

21% 79% 45

41% 3% 56% 53

51% 2% 47% 14

35% 3% 62% 428

39% 2% 60% 188

46% 2% 52% 168

34% 1% 66% 78

53% 3% 44% 126

41% 2% 57% 288

42% 1% 56% 65

42% 3% 54% 98

92% 2% 6% 350

51% 11% 38% 77

12% 1% 87% 584

94% 2% 5% 423

29% 15% 56% 79

2% 0% 97% 509

89% 2% 9% 424

40% 10% 50% 102

3% 0% 97% 485

92% 2% 5% 438

32% 24% 44% 35

3% 0% 97% 539

43% 2% 55% 955

41% 6% 53% 56

38% 0% 62% 295

43% 1% 56% 252

45% 1% 54% 313

49% 12% 39% 95

100% 1

3% 0% 97% 488

32% 3% 65% 24

87% 3% 9% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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12% 1% 87% 214

26% 0% 73% 374

65% 2% 32% 227

83% 4% 13% 187

33% 58% 8% 9

44% 1% 55% 830

36% 7% 57% 152

47% 4% 48% 29

41% 2% 57% 409

41% 2% 58% 511

42% 2% 57% 607

43% 1% 56% 708

43% 2% 55% 1011

43% 2% 55% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTIS5

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS5 APPROVE TRUMP ONIMMIGRATION/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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39% 4% 57% 1011

31% 3% 65% 192

39% 4% 57% 161

38% 5% 57% 260

65% 4% 31% 77

54% 6% 40% 80

38% 7% 56% 84

30% 4% 66% 158

32% 5% 64% 113

36% 7% 57% 76

61% 5% 34% 56

35% 2% 63% 52

39% 4% 57% 715

51% 5% 44% 189

40% 5% 56% 544

29% 4% 67% 278

40% 7% 53% 65

39% 4% 57% 946

49% 5% 46% 431

26% 4% 69% 235

34% 3% 62% 316

43% 11% 47% 29

42% 5% 54% 132

38% 3% 59% 108

100% 9

9% 4% 87% 30

26% 4% 69% 235

49% 5% 46% 431

44% 4% 52% 108

38% 4% 57% 903

42% 5% 53% 475

36% 4% 60% 536

41% 6% 53% 334

45% 3% 52% 141

33% 2% 64% 290

39% 6% 55% 246

37% 4% 59% 98

37% 4% 58% 624

42% 5% 53% 262

52% 3% 45% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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29% 4% 67% 202

38% 5% 57% 283

43% 2% 54% 313

43% 7% 50% 212

34% 5% 61% 485

43% 2% 54% 313

43% 7% 50% 212

37% 7% 56% 255

48% 3% 49% 220

31% 2% 67% 230

40% 5% 55% 306

44% 5% 51% 758

11% 3% 86% 121

32% 1% 67% 91

40% 9% 52% 40

38% 5% 57% 130

45% 5% 50% 629

8% 92% 31

12% 4% 84% 91

13% 87% 32

41% 2% 56% 59

23% 12% 65% 10

45% 8% 47% 30

46% 6% 48% 370

42% 4% 54% 388

14% 3% 84% 39

10% 4% 87% 82

35% 65% 47

28% 3% 69% 44

48% 4% 48% 282

35% 4% 60% 729

79% 8% 13% 384

34% 5% 61% 202

5% 2% 94% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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74% 9% 17% 207

85% 6% 9% 177

5% 1% 94% 175

5% 2% 94% 249

39% 5% 56% 92

29% 5% 66% 110

76% 10% 14% 154

82% 6% 12% 230

5% 1% 94% 210

5% 2% 93% 215

32% 4% 64% 122

36% 6% 57% 81

74% 6% 19% 444

39% 15% 45% 62

8% 2% 91% 505

84% 8% 8% 289

66% 6% 28% 79

36% 5% 60% 223

11% 5% 85% 76

3% 1% 96% 344

81% 6% 13% 421

4% 1% 95% 429

21% 8% 70% 98

100% 4

20% 7% 73% 32

37% 19% 44% 27

68% 7% 25% 491

26% 11% 63% 86

8% 1% 91% 433

84% 5% 11% 185

59% 8% 34% 307

11% 2% 86% 520

79% 8% 13% 384

34% 5% 61% 202

10% 5% 85% 69

4% 1% 95% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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5% 1% 95% 380

17% 4% 79% 126

39% 15% 45% 62

48% 52% 52

78% 7% 15% 392

39% 5% 56% 22

45% 5% 49% 149

43% 5% 52% 240

36% 4% 60% 601

39% 5% 56% 282

47% 5% 48% 193

33% 3% 64% 319

41% 5% 54% 217

39% 4% 57% 466

25% 3% 72% 135

53% 6% 41% 293

21% 4% 75% 117

53% 6% 41% 293

21% 4% 75% 117

36% 4% 60% 601

28% 4% 67% 197

42% 4% 54% 814

27% 2% 71% 219

44% 5% 52% 617

37% 6% 57% 175

45% 5% 49% 320

39% 10% 51% 55

33% 3% 64% 100

42% 4% 54% 296

37% 3% 60% 120

22% 2% 76% 119

46% 5% 49% 513

33% 4% 63% 104

41% 4% 55% 246

16% 3% 81% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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45% 4% 51% 64

33% 5% 62% 57

48% 6% 46% 265

44% 3% 53% 248

39% 6% 55% 41

45% 4% 52% 83

23% 4% 74% 253

38% 4% 58% 354

40% 4% 56% 657

41% 7% 52% 179

35% 1% 64% 175

40% 5% 55% 272

46% 5% 49% 345

31% 6% 63% 34

34% 2% 64% 57

22% 78% 30

28% 3% 69% 189

42% 8% 50% 84

51% 6% 44% 330

38% 3% 59% 152

38% 3% 60% 239

27% 5% 68% 290

54% 6% 40% 363

30% 3% 66% 599

30% 10% 61% 49

55% 7% 38% 163

35% 4% 60% 312

53% 5% 41% 200

26% 3% 71% 336

68% 7% 25% 250

24% 3% 73% 113

79% 7% 14% 201

48% 3% 49% 54

22% 9% 68% 49

3% 3% 94% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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28% 72% 66

42% 5% 53% 583

36% 3% 61% 220

35% 5% 60% 114

16% 84% 4

36% 17% 46% 24

45% 6% 49% 472

21% 3% 77% 45

38% 1% 61% 53

36% 5% 59% 14

34% 4% 62% 428

41% 1% 57% 188

44% 6% 50% 168

28% 3% 69% 78

46% 6% 48% 126

38% 4% 58% 288

29% 2% 69% 65

34% 9% 57% 98

83% 6% 10% 350

45% 11% 43% 77

11% 3% 86% 584

84% 6% 10% 423

20% 18% 62% 79

5% 1% 94% 509

81% 7% 12% 424

31% 13% 56% 102

4% 0% 96% 485

82% 7% 11% 438

32% 24% 44% 35

4% 1% 94% 539

39% 4% 57% 955

40% 10% 51% 56

35% 1% 64% 295

35% 4% 61% 252

41% 6% 53% 313

55% 6% 39% 95

100% 1

4% 1% 95% 488

26% 19% 54% 24

78% 7% 15% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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11% 1% 88% 214

24% 4% 72% 374

60% 3% 37% 227

74% 10% 16% 187

60% 31% 8% 9

39% 4% 56% 830

39% 4% 57% 152

23% 13% 64% 29

38% 3% 58% 409

38% 4% 58% 511

39% 3% 58% 607

40% 3% 57% 708

39% 4% 57% 1011

39% 4% 57% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDJTIS6

Approve Unsure Disapprove

RDJTIS6 APPROVE TRUMP ON HEALTHCARE/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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32% 8% 17% 6% 37% 1011

25% 6% 19% 10% 39% 192

31% 9% 14% 6% 39% 161

31% 6% 17% 4% 41% 260

53% 13% 14% 2% 18% 77

43% 7% 12% 8% 30% 80

25% 17% 25% 5% 27% 84

28% 5% 17% 6% 43% 158

29% 4% 17% 7% 43% 113

27% 3% 22% 3% 45% 76

50% 16% 13% 2% 19% 56

28% 8% 22% 7% 35% 52

31% 8% 17% 7% 37% 715

39% 10% 19% 7% 26% 189

33% 9% 16% 5% 37% 544

26% 4% 18% 8% 45% 278

29% 8% 36% 4% 23% 65

32% 8% 16% 6% 38% 946

41% 9% 14% 5% 31% 431

19% 6% 23% 7% 44% 235

29% 7% 18% 8% 39% 316

28% 11% 14% 9% 37% 29

35% 8% 17% 10% 30% 132

30% 8% 15% 5% 42% 108

49% 12% 40% 9

9% 4% 12% 10% 65% 30

19% 6% 23% 7% 44% 235

41% 9% 14% 5% 31% 431

38% 7% 15% 6% 34% 108

31% 8% 18% 6% 37% 903

35% 9% 19% 7% 30% 475

29% 7% 16% 6% 43% 536

34% 10% 17% 6% 32% 334

37% 8% 22% 8% 26% 141

25% 8% 14% 5% 47% 290

33% 5% 18% 6% 37% 246

25% 11% 25% 7% 32% 98

30% 9% 16% 6% 39% 624

37% 4% 17% 7% 35% 262

41% 9% 24% 9% 18% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 9% 21% 5% 44% 202

28% 10% 19% 7% 36% 283

38% 8% 14% 5% 35% 313

39% 4% 15% 8% 34% 212

24% 9% 20% 6% 40% 485

38% 8% 14% 5% 35% 313

39% 4% 15% 8% 34% 212

28% 11% 19% 8% 34% 255

43% 7% 18% 6% 26% 220

21% 8% 21% 5% 46% 230

35% 6% 12% 7% 41% 306

36% 9% 15% 5% 33% 758

7% 2% 22% 10% 59% 121

24% 6% 22% 6% 42% 91

35% 4% 27% 8% 25% 40

26% 14% 15% 8% 38% 130

38% 8% 15% 5% 33% 629

31% 69% 31

10% 2% 19% 14% 56% 91

13% 31% 56% 32

30% 10% 17% 10% 34% 59

18% 48% 12% 22% 10

41% 5% 20% 7% 26% 30

38% 11% 16% 6% 28% 370

35% 7% 14% 5% 38% 388

9% 2% 40% 15% 35% 39

7% 1% 14% 8% 70% 82

35% 14% 5% 47% 47

12% 13% 30% 8% 36% 44

44% 5% 14% 5% 33% 282

27% 9% 18% 7% 39% 729

69% 16% 12% 2% 1% 384

25% 7% 22% 5% 42% 202

1% 1% 20% 11% 67% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

(cont.)

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65% 18% 14% 3% 1% 207

74% 13% 10% 1% 2% 177

1% 1% 22% 11% 65% 175

1% 1% 18% 11% 68% 249

33% 4% 23% 9% 30% 92

18% 10% 20% 1% 51% 110

60% 23% 14% 3% 1% 154

75% 11% 10% 1% 2% 230

1% 22% 9% 68% 210

2% 2% 17% 12% 66% 215

20% 9% 24% 6% 41% 122

32% 5% 17% 3% 43% 81

63% 14% 14% 2% 6% 444

27% 7% 25% 8% 33% 62

4% 2% 19% 9% 65% 505

74% 16% 9% 1% 1% 289

54% 15% 23% 4% 4% 79

27% 9% 21% 5% 38% 223

3% 1% 37% 10% 48% 76

1% 1% 16% 11% 72% 344

71% 13% 13% 1% 2% 421

1% 1% 18% 11% 69% 429

7% 16% 21% 6% 50% 98

100% 4

17% 3% 42% 13% 26% 32

17% 11% 27% 12% 33% 27

58% 13% 16% 4% 9% 491

15% 10% 20% 10% 44% 86

5% 1% 18% 8% 67% 433

78% 8% 7% 4% 4% 185

46% 16% 21% 4% 12% 307

7% 3% 19% 8% 63% 520

69% 16% 12% 2% 1% 384

25% 7% 22% 5% 42% 202

4% 2% 33% 14% 47% 69

1% 1% 17% 10% 71% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

(cont.)

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2% 0% 17% 8% 72% 380

11% 8% 26% 13% 42% 126

27% 7% 25% 8% 33% 62

32% 12% 29% 4% 23% 52

68% 15% 12% 2% 4% 392

39% 22% 10% 28% 22

34% 12% 19% 6% 29% 149

34% 10% 15% 5% 36% 240

30% 6% 17% 7% 40% 601

33% 8% 21% 7% 32% 282

38% 11% 16% 7% 28% 193

27% 5% 14% 7% 47% 319

31% 9% 18% 5% 37% 217

33% 7% 16% 7% 37% 466

20% 5% 20% 6% 49% 135

42% 13% 14% 4% 28% 293

15% 2% 26% 11% 46% 117

42% 13% 14% 4% 28% 293

15% 2% 26% 11% 46% 117

30% 6% 17% 7% 40% 601

25% 6% 17% 6% 46% 197

33% 8% 17% 6% 35% 814

20% 5% 20% 8% 47% 219

36% 10% 17% 5% 32% 617

32% 3% 15% 9% 41% 175

38% 12% 18% 6% 26% 320

29% 4% 26% 7% 34% 55

28% 4% 16% 9% 42% 100

33% 9% 16% 3% 39% 296

33% 2% 10% 10% 44% 120

13% 6% 23% 7% 51% 119

38% 11% 16% 5% 31% 513

26% 7% 22% 5% 40% 104

34% 6% 14% 7% 39% 246

12% 1% 23% 11% 53% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

(cont.)

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37% 6% 11% 8% 38% 64

23% 10% 18% 7% 42% 57

39% 14% 16% 6% 24% 265

36% 8% 15% 3% 37% 248

29% 4% 25% 4% 38% 41

40% 3% 9% 8% 40% 83

18% 4% 23% 9% 47% 253

29% 11% 19% 4% 36% 354

33% 6% 16% 7% 37% 657

33% 14% 18% 5% 29% 179

24% 8% 21% 4% 43% 175

30% 14% 19% 5% 33% 272

40% 8% 15% 5% 32% 345

31% 3% 7% 3% 56% 34

27% 5% 11% 10% 46% 57

12% 35% 4% 50% 30

21% 6% 18% 8% 47% 189

36% 1% 20% 11% 32% 84

41% 11% 18% 5% 25% 330

31% 7% 22% 4% 35% 152

31% 7% 14% 8% 40% 239

22% 5% 16% 8% 49% 290

47% 10% 16% 5% 22% 363

23% 6% 18% 7% 46% 599

21% 11% 20% 6% 42% 49

49% 13% 17% 5% 17% 163

28% 7% 20% 8% 37% 312

45% 8% 16% 6% 25% 200

19% 6% 16% 6% 53% 336

59% 12% 14% 2% 12% 250

19% 5% 20% 12% 43% 113

70% 14% 13% 1% 2% 201

39% 9% 16% 18% 18% 54

17% 5% 19% 7% 52% 49

2% 1% 24% 7% 66% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

(cont.)

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23% 5% 23% 6% 43% 66

36% 9% 18% 7% 31% 583

26% 8% 15% 4% 48% 220

25% 7% 17% 8% 43% 114

16% 4% 33% 47% 4

32% 2% 19% 11% 36% 24

39% 10% 16% 6% 30% 472

18% 3% 20% 15% 45% 45

30% 6% 28% 5% 32% 53

34% 4% 35% 6% 21% 14

25% 7% 17% 6% 45% 428

33% 6% 14% 10% 37% 188

38% 7% 14% 10% 31% 168

19% 5% 27% 4% 45% 78

39% 13% 12% 5% 31% 126

30% 8% 20% 3% 38% 288

25% 6% 27% 6% 36% 65

30% 9% 12% 6% 44% 98

74% 15% 7% 1% 2% 350

23% 22% 35% 5% 16% 77

7% 2% 21% 9% 61% 584

73% 17% 9% 1% 423

9% 6% 49% 10% 25% 79

1% 1% 19% 10% 69% 509

69% 16% 13% 1% 1% 424

23% 9% 32% 9% 27% 102

1% 1% 18% 10% 70% 485

73% 16% 10% 1% 1% 438

0% 16% 61% 9% 14% 35

0% 1% 20% 11% 68% 539

32% 8% 17% 6% 37% 955

33% 4% 19% 12% 32% 56

33% 3% 9% 8% 46% 295

30% 7% 18% 5% 40% 252

32% 11% 18% 4% 35% 313

29% 16% 35% 8% 11% 95

100% 1

1% 1% 17% 10% 71% 488

7% 25% 56% 2% 9% 24

66% 15% 15% 2% 2% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 1% 11% 8% 72% 214

16% 7% 24% 8% 45% 374

51% 11% 14% 6% 17% 227

67% 15% 13% 1% 4% 187

25% 35% 40% 9

33% 7% 17% 6% 37% 830

25% 15% 13% 5% 42% 152

18% 9% 41% 11% 21% 29

34% 6% 12% 7% 42% 409

33% 6% 12% 6% 43% 511

35% 6% 13% 5% 41% 607

36% 6% 12% 6% 41% 708

32% 8% 17% 6% 37% 1011

32% 8% 17% 6% 37% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

JACNTApprove onall 6 issues

Approve on 5issues

Approve on2-4 issues

Approve on 1issue

Approve on 0issues

JACNT TRUMP JOB APPROVAL BY ISSUE TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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52% 17% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1011

56% 19% 22% 0% 2% 1% 192

53% 14% 30% 1% 2% 161

51% 17% 29% 1% 0% 2% 260

32% 25% 42% 0% 1% 77

46% 21% 33% 80

50% 14% 31% 5% 84

60% 14% 25% 0% 0% 158

59% 13% 27% 113

53% 20% 24% 3% 76

36% 22% 41% 1% 56

51% 19% 27% 3% 52

52% 17% 28% 0% 0% 1% 1% 715

44% 21% 32% 1% 1% 1% 189

50% 18% 30% 0% 0% 1% 1% 544

60% 14% 24% 1% 1% 278

44% 21% 32% 1% 2% 65

52% 17% 28% 0% 0% 1% 1% 946

43% 19% 35% 1% 0% 1% 2% 431

65% 14% 20% 0% 0% 235

55% 18% 26% 1% 0% 316

44% 15% 31% 2% 8% 29

45% 20% 33% 1% 0% 132

56% 18% 25% 1% 1% 108

75% 25% 9

89% 4% 7% 30

65% 14% 20% 0% 0% 235

43% 19% 35% 1% 0% 1% 2% 431

52% 17% 29% 1% 1% 1% 108

52% 17% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 903

46% 20% 33% 1% 0% 1% 1% 475

57% 15% 25% 0% 1% 1% 536

48% 19% 31% 1% 0% 334

40% 21% 35% 1% 2% 1% 141

64% 15% 20% 1% 290

49% 15% 31% 0% 1% 3% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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43% 24% 31% 1% 0% 98

56% 17% 26% 0% 0% 0% 624

48% 14% 33% 2% 3% 262

34% 23% 35% 2% 6% 28

63% 23% 14% 1% 202

52% 20% 25% 1% 0% 1% 0% 283

48% 15% 36% 0% 1% 313

46% 12% 36% 0% 2% 3% 212

57% 21% 20% 1% 0% 1% 0% 485

48% 15% 36% 0% 1% 313

46% 12% 36% 0% 2% 3% 212

49% 23% 26% 1% 0% 0% 1% 255

42% 15% 41% 0% 1% 1% 220

66% 18% 14% 0% 1% 230

51% 13% 33% 1% 3% 306

47% 19% 32% 0% 0% 1% 1% 758

79% 11% 8% 2% 121

59% 14% 26% 1% 91

46% 14% 30% 1% 2% 7% 40

55% 29% 16% 130

45% 17% 35% 0% 0% 1% 1% 629

76% 24% 31

80% 7% 11% 3% 91

80% 20% 32

48% 21% 30% 1% 59

73% 11% 5% 12% 10

37% 15% 39% 1% 3% 5% 30

42% 22% 34% 1% 0% 1% 0% 370

52% 16% 30% 1% 1% 388

72% 17% 12% 39

82% 9% 6% 3% 82

55% 8% 37% 47

64% 20% 15% 1% 44

43% 13% 40% 0% 2% 2% 282

55% 19% 24% 0% 0% 1% 1% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 32% 58% 0% 0% 1% 384

53% 15% 25% 1% 3% 2% 202

90% 5% 4% 0% 0% 0% 1% 425

10% 31% 58% 1% 1% 207

8% 33% 58% 0% 1% 177

90% 4% 5% 0% 1% 0% 175

90% 6% 3% 0% 0% 1% 249

41% 24% 28% 3% 2% 1% 92

63% 8% 23% 4% 2% 110

11% 42% 45% 1% 0% 0% 154

8% 25% 66% 2% 230

91% 6% 3% 0% 210

89% 4% 4% 0% 1% 2% 215

56% 20% 18% 2% 3% 1% 122

49% 8% 37% 3% 3% 81

15% 30% 53% 1% 1% 444

43% 17% 26% 4% 3% 6% 62

85% 6% 7% 0% 0% 1% 1% 505

5% 33% 61% 0% 1% 289

21% 34% 42% 1% 1% 79

51% 14% 29% 1% 3% 2% 223

84% 6% 9% 1% 0% 76

91% 5% 2% 0% 1% 1% 344

8% 29% 62% 1% 1% 421

92% 4% 2% 0% 0% 1% 1% 429

67% 25% 6% 3% 0% 98

50% 50% 4

61% 18% 17% 4% 32

41% 8% 33% 8% 10% 27

19% 27% 51% 0% 0% 1% 1% 491

57% 20% 13% 3% 2% 4% 86

87% 5% 7% 0% 0% 0% 433

10% 18% 71% 1% 185

25% 33% 39% 0% 0% 2% 1% 307

82% 8% 8% 0% 0% 1% 1% 520

9% 32% 58% 0% 0% 1% 384

53% 15% 25% 1% 3% 2% 202

80% 7% 9% 1% 1% 3% 69

92% 5% 3% 0% 0% 0% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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91% 5% 3% 0% 0% 0% 380

68% 9% 18% 0% 1% 2% 2% 126

43% 17% 26% 4% 3% 6% 62

48% 19% 33% 52

11% 32% 56% 1% 1% 392

48% 15% 33% 3% 2% 22

41% 17% 38% 1% 1% 149

45% 19% 31% 0% 1% 2% 3% 240

57% 17% 25% 0% 0% 0% 601

49% 20% 29% 1% 0% 1% 282

41% 20% 37% 0% 1% 1% 1% 193

64% 14% 22% 0% 0% 319

47% 17% 30% 0% 2% 3% 217

53% 19% 28% 1% 0% 0% 466

73% 9% 17% 1% 135

38% 19% 39% 0% 0% 2% 2% 293

59% 16% 20% 0% 1% 4% 117

38% 19% 39% 0% 0% 2% 2% 293

59% 16% 20% 0% 1% 4% 117

57% 17% 25% 0% 0% 0% 601

65% 10% 25% 0% 197

49% 19% 30% 0% 0% 1% 1% 814

64% 15% 19% 0% 1% 219

47% 19% 31% 1% 0% 1% 1% 617

52% 13% 31% 1% 3% 175

43% 20% 34% 1% 0% 1% 0% 320

42% 17% 36% 1% 4% 55

56% 19% 25% 100

52% 18% 28% 0% 1% 296

56% 11% 29% 1% 3% 120

71% 12% 14% 0% 2% 119

45% 20% 33% 1% 0% 1% 1% 513

59% 16% 23% 2% 104

51% 16% 31% 2% 1% 246

72% 10% 15% 0% 1% 3% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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50% 21% 29% 64

56% 14% 25% 5% 57

40% 22% 35% 1% 0% 1% 0% 265

50% 18% 30% 1% 1% 248

41% 21% 36% 1% 41

53% 12% 32% 1% 1% 83

66% 13% 18% 0% 0% 2% 253

52% 22% 24% 1% 0% 0% 354

52% 15% 31% 0% 0% 1% 2% 657

44% 23% 30% 1% 1% 1% 179

60% 22% 18% 175

50% 24% 25% 1% 0% 272

45% 16% 36% 0% 1% 2% 345

62% 4% 34% 34

58% 12% 30% 57

70% 22% 8% 30

63% 14% 21% 0% 1% 189

43% 16% 31% 3% 7% 84

40% 22% 35% 0% 2% 330

53% 22% 24% 0% 0% 152

52% 14% 31% 0% 1% 2% 239

63% 12% 21% 1% 1% 1% 290

35% 23% 40% 0% 0% 2% 363

62% 14% 22% 1% 1% 1% 599

53% 14% 27% 1% 4% 49

30% 21% 48% 1% 0% 163

54% 19% 25% 1% 1% 1% 312

39% 24% 34% 0% 0% 3% 200

68% 10% 20% 2% 1% 336

22% 26% 50% 0% 1% 250

64% 15% 18% 0% 0% 3% 113

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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11% 31% 57% 1% 1% 201

39% 22% 36% 1% 2% 54

69% 7% 22% 2% 49

87% 8% 2% 0% 3% 59

65% 14% 19% 1% 1% 66

49% 17% 33% 1% 0% 0% 583

56% 18% 24% 0% 1% 1% 220

53% 19% 23% 0% 4% 1% 114

80% 16% 4% 4

45% 8% 24% 3% 20% 24

45% 19% 35% 1% 0% 0% 472

82% 2% 16% 45

54% 16% 29% 53

48% 14% 33% 2% 3% 14

56% 17% 23% 0% 2% 2% 428

54% 16% 28% 0% 2% 188

45% 14% 35% 1% 4% 1% 168

66% 14% 18% 1% 1% 78

45% 22% 33% 1% 126

51% 20% 27% 1% 0% 288

59% 13% 24% 1% 3% 65

54% 16% 29% 2% 98

5% 28% 65% 0% 1% 0% 350

26% 35% 30% 3% 6% 77

83% 8% 7% 0% 0% 1% 1% 584

3% 31% 64% 0% 1% 1% 423

53% 19% 18% 3% 3% 4% 79

92% 5% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 509

8% 31% 60% 0% 1% 1% 424

48% 20% 24% 2% 2% 4% 102

91% 5% 3% 0% 0% 1% 1% 485

5% 28% 64% 0% 1% 1% 438

23% 42% 12% 7% 6% 10% 35

91% 7% 1% 0% 0% 1% 1% 539

52% 18% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 955

53% 9% 30% 3% 5% 56

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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60% 6% 34% 0% 0% 1% 295

55% 17% 25% 0% 2% 0% 252

51% 24% 25% 0% 0% 313

22% 37% 32% 3% 1% 1% 4% 95

100% 1

92% 5% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 488

57% 21% 14% 4% 3% 2% 24

7% 31% 59% 1% 1% 1% 442

84% 8% 7% 0% 0% 0% 214

69% 13% 16% 0% 0% 1% 1% 374

27% 30% 39% 1% 2% 1% 227

12% 21% 65% 0% 1% 187

15% 27% 25% 33% 9

52% 17% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 830

54% 19% 26% 1% 152

44% 16% 28% 12% 29

54% 14% 28% 0% 0% 1% 2% 409

55% 14% 28% 0% 0% 1% 1% 511

53% 14% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 607

53% 14% 30% 0% 0% 1% 1% 708

52% 17% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1011

52% 17% 29% 0% 0% 1% 1% 1011

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

DT3WInsulting and

wrongBothers mebut raisingimportant

issues

Tells it like itis and has

rightapproach

Combination/ all

Other None UnsureDT3W VIEW OF TRUMP TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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16% 78% 1% 2% 2% 1011

25% 69% 2% 1% 3% 192

12% 81% 0% 5% 1% 161

15% 79% 3% 3% 260

14% 80% 4% 1% 1% 77

10% 85% 1% 3% 80

13% 79% 3% 6% 84

14% 81% 3% 0% 2% 158

14% 80% 3% 3% 113

15% 78% 4% 3% 76

14% 79% 6% 1% 0% 56

20% 72% 4% 4% 52

16% 78% 1% 3% 2% 715

12% 82% 3% 3% 189

15% 79% 1% 3% 2% 544

20% 73% 3% 1% 3% 278

12% 82% 1% 4% 65

16% 78% 1% 2% 2% 946

13% 81% 1% 2% 2% 431

16% 76% 2% 3% 3% 235

19% 76% 2% 2% 1% 316

6% 74% 9% 12% 29

19% 78% 1% 2% 0% 132

19% 73% 3% 2% 3% 108

19% 56% 25% 9

30% 70% 30

16% 76% 2% 3% 3% 235

13% 81% 1% 2% 2% 431

15% 81% 1% 2% 1% 108

16% 78% 1% 3% 3% 903

14% 81% 1% 3% 2% 475

17% 76% 2% 2% 3% 536

14% 81% 1% 3% 1% 334

13% 80% 1% 2% 4% 141

19% 77% 1% 1% 2% 290

16% 75% 2% 4% 4% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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12% 79% 2% 4% 2% 98

16% 79% 1% 2% 1% 624

17% 74% 2% 3% 4% 262

3% 89% 8% 28

13% 84% 3% 1% 202

14% 81% 1% 3% 1% 283

18% 75% 2% 2% 3% 313

17% 73% 3% 2% 4% 212

13% 82% 1% 3% 1% 485

18% 75% 2% 2% 3% 313

17% 73% 3% 2% 4% 212

14% 81% 1% 3% 1% 255

13% 80% 2% 2% 3% 220

12% 83% 0% 2% 2% 230

21% 70% 3% 2% 4% 306

15% 79% 2% 3% 2% 758

19% 74% 2% 6% 121

17% 80% 1% 1% 1% 91

6% 81% 1% 5% 7% 40

18% 81% 1% 130

15% 78% 2% 3% 2% 629

84% 8% 8% 31

25% 70% 5% 91

6% 94% 32

23% 72% 2% 2% 1% 59

5% 83% 12% 10

6% 80% 2% 2% 9% 30

14% 81% 1% 2% 1% 370

17% 76% 2% 3% 2% 388

17% 72% 6% 6% 39

20% 74% 6% 82

11% 87% 2% 47

24% 72% 2% 1% 44

16% 74% 3% 3% 3% 282

15% 80% 1% 2% 2% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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6% 89% 1% 2% 2% 384

11% 83% 1% 3% 2% 202

26% 66% 2% 3% 3% 425

6% 89% 1% 3% 1% 207

7% 89% 1% 1% 2% 177

25% 68% 2% 3% 3% 175

26% 65% 2% 3% 3% 249

8% 87% 3% 1% 92

14% 80% 2% 3% 2% 110

7% 90% 3% 0% 154

6% 88% 2% 1% 3% 230

21% 74% 2% 2% 2% 210

31% 59% 3% 3% 4% 215

9% 87% 3% 1% 122

15% 78% 2% 2% 3% 81

8% 89% 1% 1% 1% 444

7% 80% 2% 4% 7% 62

24% 68% 2% 4% 3% 505

7% 90% 1% 0% 2% 289

7% 86% 1% 6% 1% 79

11% 83% 1% 4% 2% 223

16% 77% 5% 2% 76

28% 64% 3% 2% 3% 344

6% 89% 1% 3% 2% 421

26% 67% 2% 2% 2% 429

12% 83% 1% 3% 1% 98

100% 4

11% 79% 7% 3% 32

10% 69% 2% 18% 27

7% 88% 1% 2% 2% 491

8% 75% 2% 10% 6% 86

27% 67% 2% 2% 2% 433

7% 88% 2% 1% 2% 185

7% 89% 0% 2% 2% 307

24% 69% 2% 3% 3% 520

6% 89% 1% 2% 2% 384

11% 83% 1% 3% 2% 202

14% 78% 2% 6% 69

28% 64% 3% 3% 3% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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28% 65% 2% 2% 2% 380

9% 77% 0% 8% 5% 126

7% 80% 2% 4% 7% 62

17% 81% 2% 52

6% 90% 1% 1% 1% 392

9% 74% 5% 12% 22

10% 85% 2% 3% 149

12% 81% 2% 3% 2% 240

19% 76% 2% 2% 2% 601

14% 80% 1% 3% 1% 282

13% 81% 2% 2% 3% 193

22% 71% 2% 2% 2% 319

10% 83% 1% 3% 4% 217

18% 76% 2% 3% 1% 466

20% 75% 0% 1% 3% 135

11% 83% 1% 2% 2% 293

12% 79% 1% 3% 5% 117

11% 83% 1% 2% 2% 293

12% 79% 1% 3% 5% 117

19% 76% 2% 2% 2% 601

17% 80% 0% 1% 1% 197

15% 78% 2% 3% 3% 814

12% 81% 2% 4% 2% 219

16% 79% 1% 2% 2% 617

19% 73% 2% 2% 4% 175

13% 82% 1% 2% 1% 320

19% 68% 5% 8% 55

13% 82% 1% 4% 100

19% 74% 1% 3% 2% 296

19% 76% 2% 3% 120

11% 80% 2% 3% 3% 119

14% 80% 1% 3% 2% 513

23% 72% 2% 3% 104

18% 76% 3% 2% 2% 246

11% 80% 4% 5% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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17% 80% 1% 2% 64

14% 74% 5% 5% 3% 57

12% 83% 1% 2% 1% 265

17% 76% 1% 3% 2% 248

25% 67% 4% 4% 41

17% 78% 3% 1% 83

16% 77% 1% 2% 4% 253

14% 82% 1% 3% 1% 354

17% 76% 2% 2% 3% 657

11% 83% 1% 4% 1% 179

16% 81% 0% 2% 1% 175

15% 80% 1% 3% 1% 272

17% 78% 2% 2% 3% 345

14% 86% 34

32% 60% 3% 1% 4% 57

3% 97% 30

14% 78% 2% 4% 2% 189

12% 78% 1% 3% 6% 84

10% 83% 2% 3% 2% 330

19% 75% 3% 2% 152

14% 80% 1% 3% 1% 239

21% 72% 2% 2% 3% 290

7% 87% 1% 3% 1% 363

21% 72% 2% 2% 3% 599

5% 89% 6% 49

5% 90% 1% 4% 163

18% 76% 1% 2% 3% 312

9% 85% 0% 3% 3% 200

22% 71% 3% 2% 3% 336

3% 91% 1% 5% 1% 250

17% 79% 1% 1% 3% 113

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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2% 94% 1% 2% 1% 201

14% 82% 2% 2% 54

7% 75% 16% 2% 49

20% 76% 1% 3% 59

35% 57% 5% 2% 1% 66

17% 78% 1% 2% 2% 583

9% 87% 1% 2% 1% 220

11% 78% 3% 5% 4% 114

100% 4

7% 66% 12% 16% 24

16% 78% 1% 2% 2% 472

29% 65% 5% 45

14% 86% 53

12% 77% 4% 4% 3% 14

13% 79% 2% 3% 3% 428

23% 70% 3% 1% 3% 188

18% 75% 1% 4% 3% 168

21% 76% 2% 1% 1% 78

12% 81% 2% 4% 2% 126

13% 83% 0% 1% 2% 288

7% 88% 1% 5% 65

12% 77% 3% 7% 2% 98

7% 88% 1% 3% 2% 350

4% 88% 2% 2% 4% 77

22% 71% 2% 2% 3% 584

6% 89% 1% 2% 2% 423

7% 80% 7% 6% 79

25% 69% 2% 2% 2% 509

6% 89% 1% 2% 2% 424

8% 77% 3% 7% 4% 102

25% 69% 2% 2% 2% 485

8% 87% 1% 3% 2% 438

4% 83% 5% 8% 35

23% 71% 2% 2% 2% 539

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

(cont.)

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16% 78% 2% 2% 2% 955

12% 79% 4% 6% 56

24% 71% 2% 1% 2% 295

17% 77% 3% 3% 1% 252

11% 82% 1% 3% 3% 313

5% 90% 1% 4% 95

100% 1

24% 69% 2% 2% 2% 488

14% 63% 5% 12% 5% 24

6% 89% 1% 2% 2% 442

24% 70% 2% 4% 1% 214

17% 77% 1% 2% 3% 374

13% 82% 2% 1% 2% 227

8% 86% 1% 3% 3% 187

62% 13% 25% 9

17% 78% 1% 2% 2% 830

11% 81% 2% 3% 4% 152

76% 12% 12% 29

22% 71% 2% 2% 2% 409

20% 73% 2% 2% 2% 511

19% 75% 2% 2% 2% 607

19% 76% 2% 2% 2% 708

16% 78% 1% 2% 2% 1011

16% 78% 1% 2% 2% 1011

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

ELVIEW

Candidatewho beatsthe other

side

Candidatewhose viewsmatch your

own

Both Neither Unsure /refused

ELVIEW MOST IMPORTANT IN CHOOSING CANDIDATE FORPRESIDENT

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 1011

66% 24% 4% 6% 192

83% 13% 1% 3% 161

67% 25% 2% 0% 5% 260

70% 25% 1% 3% 77

69% 21% 8% 3% 80

71% 17% 4% 1% 7% 84

74% 20% 3% 4% 158

72% 23% 2% 3% 113

59% 33% 1% 7% 76

67% 26% 2% 4% 56

72% 25% 2% 1% 52

72% 19% 3% 0% 5% 715

71% 21% 4% 5% 189

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 544

73% 21% 2% 4% 278

69% 20% 4% 6% 65

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 946

73% 19% 4% 0% 5% 431

68% 26% 2% 3% 235

71% 21% 3% 5% 316

74% 10% 2% 14% 29

73% 16% 6% 5% 132

66% 24% 9% 108

74% 19% 7% 9

60% 40% 30

68% 26% 2% 3% 235

73% 19% 4% 0% 5% 431

71% 23% 2% 4% 108

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 903

72% 21% 3% 4% 475

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 536

71% 22% 3% 4% 334

72% 18% 3% 6% 141

67% 26% 2% 5% 290

75% 15% 3% 1% 5% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

(cont.)

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72% 20% 4% 1% 2% 98

69% 24% 3% 4% 624

75% 15% 3% 0% 6% 262

75% 12% 6% 8% 28

74% 21% 2% 3% 202

70% 23% 2% 5% 283

68% 23% 4% 1% 4% 313

74% 14% 3% 8% 212

72% 22% 2% 4% 485

68% 23% 4% 1% 4% 313

74% 14% 3% 8% 212

72% 23% 2% 3% 255

71% 19% 4% 6% 220

71% 22% 2% 5% 230

70% 20% 3% 1% 5% 306

71% 20% 4% 0% 5% 758

70% 26% 4% 121

71% 24% 2% 1% 2% 91

72% 17% 1% 10% 40

75% 20% 3% 2% 130

71% 20% 4% 0% 6% 629

72% 20% 8% 31

69% 29% 3% 91

76% 24% 32

68% 25% 3% 2% 3% 59

54% 34% 12% 10

78% 11% 2% 10% 30

71% 21% 4% 5% 370

72% 19% 3% 0% 5% 388

65% 33% 2% 39

72% 23% 5% 82

84% 14% 2% 47

57% 36% 4% 2% 1% 44

76% 14% 4% 0% 6% 282

69% 24% 3% 0% 4% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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84% 12% 2% 3% 384

70% 21% 2% 7% 202

60% 30% 4% 0% 6% 425

80% 15% 2% 2% 207

88% 7% 2% 3% 177

57% 33% 4% 6% 175

62% 27% 4% 1% 6% 249

79% 11% 3% 7% 92

63% 29% 1% 6% 110

79% 18% 1% 3% 154

87% 7% 3% 2% 230

64% 27% 3% 6% 210

56% 32% 5% 1% 6% 215

76% 21% 2% 2% 122

62% 21% 2% 15% 81

80% 15% 2% 3% 444

63% 20% 2% 15% 62

65% 27% 4% 0% 5% 505

85% 11% 2% 2% 289

80% 13% 4% 3% 79

71% 20% 2% 7% 223

65% 25% 2% 1% 5% 76

58% 31% 5% 0% 6% 344

87% 9% 2% 0% 2% 421

62% 29% 4% 0% 5% 429

56% 31% 13% 98

50% 50% 4

50% 44% 3% 4% 32

62% 14% 6% 18% 27

80% 15% 2% 0% 3% 491

65% 23% 2% 10% 86

63% 28% 4% 0% 5% 433

84% 8% 5% 4% 185

77% 19% 0% 0% 3% 307

63% 27% 4% 0% 6% 520

84% 12% 2% 3% 384

70% 21% 2% 7% 202

71% 23% 2% 2% 3% 69

58% 31% 5% 0% 6% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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61% 29% 4% 0% 5% 380

74% 21% 2% 1% 2% 126

63% 20% 2% 15% 62

72% 20% 5% 3% 52

81% 14% 2% 3% 392

57% 35% 8% 22

75% 19% 1% 1% 4% 149

77% 15% 4% 0% 4% 240

68% 23% 3% 5% 601

69% 21% 3% 6% 282

75% 20% 3% 2% 193

67% 25% 3% 4% 319

76% 15% 2% 1% 6% 217

68% 23% 4% 6% 466

71% 26% 1% 2% 135

77% 16% 4% 0% 3% 293

70% 22% 0% 1% 7% 117

77% 16% 4% 0% 3% 293

70% 22% 0% 1% 7% 117

68% 23% 3% 5% 601

72% 21% 2% 5% 197

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 814

80% 13% 3% 0% 4% 219

69% 22% 4% 0% 5% 617

69% 26% 1% 4% 175

69% 22% 4% 5% 320

68% 24% 1% 6% 55

81% 15% 2% 2% 100

68% 23% 3% 0% 5% 296

69% 27% 0% 3% 120

79% 11% 4% 1% 6% 119

69% 21% 4% 0% 6% 513

67% 28% 2% 3% 104

76% 17% 3% 3% 246

73% 21% 0% 1% 5% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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77% 19% 3% 1% 64

75% 9% 7% 8% 57

69% 21% 5% 6% 265

69% 22% 3% 0% 5% 248

74% 21% 1% 4% 41

77% 20% 1% 2% 83

70% 24% 1% 0% 4% 253

67% 26% 3% 4% 354

73% 19% 3% 0% 5% 657

68% 23% 5% 4% 179

66% 28% 1% 5% 175

67% 25% 4% 3% 272

70% 20% 3% 0% 6% 345

60% 40% 34

71% 25% 1% 3% 57

71% 13% 16% 30

81% 13% 3% 1% 2% 189

71% 22% 1% 7% 84

76% 18% 3% 3% 330

69% 26% 1% 1% 4% 152

73% 20% 3% 4% 239

65% 23% 4% 0% 8% 290

79% 16% 2% 0% 2% 363

67% 24% 3% 0% 6% 599

62% 25% 1% 12% 49

74% 20% 4% 2% 163

70% 21% 3% 6% 312

83% 13% 1% 0% 3% 200

64% 26% 4% 0% 6% 336

81% 13% 4% 0% 2% 250

75% 23% 2% 113

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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84% 12% 3% 2% 201

81% 18% 1% 54

67% 19% 7% 2% 4% 49

70% 27% 3% 59

50% 36% 2% 1% 10% 66

73% 20% 3% 4% 583

75% 21% 2% 2% 220

70% 18% 4% 1% 7% 114

84% 16% 4

57% 9% 8% 25% 24

74% 18% 3% 5% 472

66% 34% 45

73% 24% 3% 53

69% 25% 3% 3% 14

69% 22% 3% 0% 6% 428

69% 23% 3% 5% 188

75% 18% 3% 1% 3% 168

70% 23% 3% 5% 78

63% 31% 3% 2% 126

76% 18% 2% 4% 288

56% 26% 4% 15% 65

76% 14% 4% 6% 98

88% 9% 1% 0% 2% 350

71% 16% 8% 5% 77

61% 29% 4% 0% 6% 584

84% 11% 3% 0% 2% 423

59% 19% 1% 21% 79

62% 29% 4% 0% 5% 509

82% 13% 3% 3% 424

71% 13% 2% 14% 102

62% 30% 3% 0% 5% 485

84% 11% 3% 0% 2% 438

58% 21% 22% 35

61% 29% 3% 0% 6% 539

71% 21% 3% 0% 4% 955

69% 17% 2% 2% 10% 56

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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66% 26% 3% 6% 295

73% 19% 5% 3% 252

76% 18% 2% 0% 3% 313

67% 23% 3% 7% 95

100% 1

60% 31% 3% 0% 6% 488

73% 16% 4% 7% 24

83% 11% 2% 3% 442

64% 28% 2% 6% 214

67% 24% 3% 0% 4% 374

74% 20% 3% 4% 227

84% 8% 3% 1% 4% 187

60% 40% 9

71% 22% 3% 0% 5% 830

75% 18% 4% 1% 3% 152

65% 20% 3% 11% 29

73% 19% 4% 0% 4% 409

72% 20% 3% 0% 4% 511

73% 20% 4% 0% 4% 607

74% 19% 3% 0% 4% 708

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 1011

71% 21% 3% 0% 5% 1011

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

FORAGN

For yourpreferredcandidate

Against theother

candidate

Both Neither Unsure /refused

FORAGN VOTE FOR PRESIDENT WILL BE FOR PREFERRED CANDOR AGAINST OTHER CAND

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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94% 6% 1011

96% 4% 192

90% 10% 161

94% 6% 260

93% 7% 77

96% 4% 80

94% 6% 84

98% 2% 158

98% 2% 113

90% 10% 76

91% 9% 56

95% 5% 52

95% 5% 715

95% 5% 189

93% 7% 544

97% 3% 278

93% 7% 65

95% 5% 946

95% 5% 431

93% 7% 235

96% 4% 316

77% 23% 29

99% 1% 132

93% 7% 108

100% 9

92% 8% 30

93% 7% 235

95% 5% 431

90% 10% 108

95% 5% 903

97% 3% 475

92% 8% 536

97% 3% 334

96% 4% 141

94% 6% 290

90% 10% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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92% 8% 98

96% 4% 624

94% 6% 262

75% 25% 28

95% 5% 202

95% 5% 283

94% 6% 313

94% 6% 212

95% 5% 485

94% 6% 313

94% 6% 212

97% 3% 255

97% 3% 220

93% 7% 230

92% 8% 306

96% 4% 758

89% 11% 121

93% 7% 91

87% 13% 40

98% 2% 130

95% 5% 629

92% 8% 31

87% 13% 91

93% 7% 32

93% 7% 59

66% 34% 10

95% 5% 30

98% 2% 370

94% 6% 388

90% 10% 39

88% 12% 82

100% 47

85% 15% 44

96% 4% 282

94% 6% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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96% 4% 384

93% 7% 202

93% 7% 425

98% 2% 207

94% 6% 177

97% 3% 175

91% 9% 249

96% 4% 92

91% 9% 110

96% 4% 154

96% 4% 230

94% 6% 210

93% 7% 215

96% 4% 122

90% 10% 81

95% 5% 444

90% 10% 62

95% 5% 505

96% 4% 289

96% 4% 79

94% 6% 223

94% 6% 76

93% 7% 344

95% 5% 421

95% 5% 429

99% 1% 98

100% 4

86% 14% 32

82% 18% 27

95% 5% 491

89% 11% 86

95% 5% 433

97% 3% 185

94% 6% 307

94% 6% 520

96% 4% 384

93% 7% 202

87% 13% 69

95% 5% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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96% 4% 380

92% 8% 126

90% 10% 62

89% 11% 52

96% 4% 392

73% 27% 22

93% 7% 149

95% 5% 240

95% 5% 601

98% 2% 282

96% 4% 193

93% 7% 319

91% 9% 217

97% 3% 466

92% 8% 135

95% 5% 293

88% 12% 117

95% 5% 293

88% 12% 117

95% 5% 601

94% 6% 197

95% 5% 814

92% 8% 219

97% 3% 617

90% 10% 175

98% 2% 320

93% 7% 55

97% 3% 100

95% 5% 296

89% 11% 120

88% 12% 119

97% 3% 513

96% 4% 104

94% 6% 246

86% 14% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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100% 64

89% 11% 57

98% 2% 265

95% 5% 248

98% 2% 41

92% 8% 83

90% 10% 253

95% 5% 354

94% 6% 657

97% 3% 179

93% 7% 175

98% 2% 272

96% 4% 345

100% 34

92% 8% 57

84% 16% 30

93% 7% 189

85% 15% 84

95% 5% 330

95% 5% 152

92% 8% 239

95% 5% 290

94% 6% 363

95% 5% 599

92% 8% 49

96% 4% 163

97% 3% 312

92% 8% 200

92% 8% 336

94% 6% 250

93% 7% 113

94% 6% 201

93% 7% 54

96% 4% 49

93% 7% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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98% 2% 66

95% 5% 583

96% 4% 220

89% 11% 114

63% 37% 4

85% 15% 24

96% 4% 472

84% 16% 45

92% 8% 53

97% 3% 14

94% 6% 428

96% 4% 188

92% 8% 168

90% 10% 78

99% 1% 126

95% 5% 288

89% 11% 65

95% 5% 98

93% 7% 350

90% 10% 77

96% 4% 584

96% 4% 423

86% 14% 79

95% 5% 509

96% 4% 424

89% 11% 102

94% 6% 485

94% 6% 438

92% 8% 35

95% 5% 539

100% 295

100% 252

100% 313

100% 95

100% 1

100% 488

100% 24

100% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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96% 4% 214

95% 5% 374

91% 9% 227

97% 3% 187

87% 13% 9

95% 5% 830

92% 8% 152

81% 19% 29

96% 4% 409

95% 5% 511

96% 4% 607

96% 4% 708

94% 6% 1011

94% 6% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

R26

Yes No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

INVESTIGATION/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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31% 26% 33% 10% 0% 955

34% 23% 32% 11% 0% 185

32% 27% 36% 5% 144

31% 22% 35% 13% 243

26% 33% 32% 9% 72

23% 23% 41% 13% 77

34% 23% 35% 8% 79

31% 37% 23% 9% 155

33% 33% 22% 12% 110

31% 19% 37% 13% 69

26% 33% 36% 5% 51

35% 15% 36% 15% 49

31% 26% 34% 9% 0% 676

29% 25% 31% 14% 179

30% 26% 36% 8% 507

34% 28% 28% 11% 0% 269

34% 21% 35% 10% 61

31% 27% 33% 10% 0% 894

31% 28% 28% 12% 412

28% 28% 35% 9% 218

33% 24% 37% 6% 302

26% 15% 37% 19% 3% 22

38% 22% 32% 9% 130

29% 24% 41% 6% 100

21% 48% 31% 9

28% 16% 56% 27

28% 28% 35% 9% 218

31% 28% 28% 12% 412

35% 20% 35% 10% 97

30% 27% 32% 10% 0% 857

36% 27% 27% 10% 461

26% 26% 38% 10% 0% 494

33% 27% 30% 10% 325

43% 27% 21% 9% 136

22% 25% 43% 10% 273

32% 27% 31% 10% 0% 221

21% 33% 31% 15% 90

28% 26% 36% 10% 598

43% 26% 25% 6% 247

21% 17% 39% 20% 3% 21

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

(cont.)

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14% 26% 51% 9% 192

25% 26% 33% 16% 269

38% 28% 26% 7% 295

44% 24% 25% 7% 0% 199

20% 26% 40% 13% 461

38% 28% 26% 7% 295

44% 24% 25% 7% 0% 199

28% 27% 32% 13% 248

46% 27% 22% 5% 213

12% 26% 50% 12% 213

37% 26% 28% 8% 0% 281

30% 28% 33% 9% 0% 727

35% 23% 33% 9% 108

36% 22% 28% 15% 85

32% 18% 36% 14% 35

13% 26% 56% 6% 127

33% 28% 28% 10% 0% 600

30% 61% 9% 28

47% 20% 23% 9% 79

31% 29% 22% 19% 30

38% 18% 32% 12% 55

26% 8% 51% 15% 7

33% 20% 32% 14% 29

34% 27% 29% 9% 363

25% 28% 37% 9% 0% 364

40% 26% 21% 12% 35

32% 21% 39% 8% 73

45% 28% 18% 9% 47

24% 14% 41% 21% 38

40% 30% 23% 7% 0% 269

27% 25% 37% 11% 686

28% 25% 36% 11% 0% 369

27% 22% 33% 18% 189

36% 30% 30% 5% 397

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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32% 24% 32% 12% 203

22% 26% 41% 11% 0% 166

41% 34% 22% 3% 170

32% 26% 36% 6% 227

35% 19% 29% 17% 89

20% 24% 36% 20% 100

18% 26% 43% 12% 148

34% 24% 31% 10% 0% 221

23% 31% 38% 8% 197

47% 29% 23% 1% 200

18% 19% 41% 22% 116

42% 27% 19% 13% 72

29% 23% 35% 12% 0% 422

12% 27% 35% 25% 56

35% 29% 30% 6% 478

30% 24% 37% 9% 0% 277

15% 30% 37% 18% 76

30% 22% 31% 17% 209

29% 27% 39% 5% 72

37% 30% 28% 5% 321

26% 25% 36% 13% 0% 398

36% 29% 30% 4% 406

33% 26% 35% 6% 97

50% 50% 4

22% 21% 26% 32% 28

28% 8% 22% 42% 22

29% 24% 34% 12% 0% 466

22% 29% 31% 17% 77

34% 28% 31% 6% 412

38% 22% 30% 11% 178

24% 26% 37% 13% 0% 287

32% 28% 31% 8% 489

28% 25% 36% 11% 0% 369

27% 22% 33% 18% 189

38% 20% 31% 11% 60

35% 31% 30% 4% 337

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

(cont.)

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34% 29% 31% 5% 363

36% 28% 28% 8% 115

12% 27% 35% 25% 56

32% 21% 32% 16% 47

29% 23% 36% 12% 0% 375

45% 22% 13% 19% 16

39% 22% 28% 10% 138

26% 25% 36% 13% 0% 228

30% 28% 33% 9% 574

35% 30% 28% 8% 276

38% 23% 27% 13% 185

26% 26% 39% 9% 297

27% 25% 37% 11% 0% 197

29% 30% 33% 8% 449

33% 22% 35% 10% 124

30% 25% 34% 11% 0% 278

36% 22% 28% 14% 103

30% 25% 34% 11% 0% 278

36% 22% 28% 14% 103

30% 28% 33% 9% 574

35% 28% 28% 9% 185

30% 26% 34% 10% 0% 770

24% 30% 37% 9% 202

33% 26% 31% 11% 0% 595

33% 25% 34% 8% 158

38% 27% 24% 12% 312

35% 25% 32% 7% 51

31% 28% 35% 5% 97

27% 24% 38% 10% 0% 283

32% 25% 35% 8% 107

18% 31% 40% 12% 104

31% 26% 31% 11% 0% 496

38% 21% 29% 12% 100

26% 31% 37% 6% 232

32% 22% 34% 12% 128

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

(cont.)

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24% 30% 45% 2% 64

15% 38% 40% 6% 51

37% 27% 25% 12% 259

26% 26% 38% 10% 0% 237

35% 25% 33% 7% 40

31% 30% 31% 9% 77

35% 22% 32% 12% 228

25% 25% 36% 14% 337

34% 27% 31% 8% 0% 618

31% 28% 25% 15% 175

19% 22% 47% 12% 162

24% 26% 35% 15% 266

40% 25% 27% 8% 0% 329

37% 15% 42% 6% 34

32% 20% 38% 10% 53

29% 20% 36% 15% 25

24% 31% 38% 8% 176

32% 34% 27% 7% 71

31% 25% 29% 14% 0% 314

25% 30% 36% 8% 145

32% 21% 39% 8% 221

32% 30% 30% 8% 276

32% 23% 32% 14% 0% 340

31% 28% 34% 7% 570

18% 38% 27% 17% 45

41% 24% 21% 14% 157

33% 29% 31% 8% 304

23% 22% 41% 14% 0% 184

28% 28% 36% 8% 310

28% 24% 35% 13% 0% 235

41% 19% 25% 15% 105

27% 25% 35% 14% 0% 188

44% 17% 23% 16% 50

31% 23% 36% 10% 47

38% 20% 27% 14% 55

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

(cont.)

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39% 30% 29% 2% 65

33% 27% 31% 9% 0% 554

25% 24% 40% 11% 212

28% 28% 29% 15% 102

26% 49% 25% 2

18% 21% 31% 30% 20

31% 29% 32% 8% 0% 454

56% 19% 22% 3% 38

32% 17% 28% 23% 49

42% 29% 26% 3% 13

28% 26% 35% 11% 401

48% 24% 22% 7% 180

29% 27% 35% 9% 155

31% 37% 28% 4% 70

25% 27% 37% 11% 124

21% 25% 41% 13% 273

36% 27% 15% 21% 1% 58

35% 25% 36% 4% 94

27% 25% 37% 11% 0% 326

24% 15% 38% 24% 69

34% 29% 30% 8% 559

27% 26% 35% 13% 0% 405

11% 23% 34% 32% 68

37% 27% 31% 4% 481

29% 24% 36% 11% 0% 406

11% 28% 35% 26% 91

37% 28% 29% 6% 458

28% 26% 34% 12% 0% 413

4% 18% 39% 39% 32

35% 28% 31% 6% 510

31% 26% 33% 10% 0% 955

38% 28% 29% 5% 488

13% 12% 53% 22% 24

24% 26% 36% 14% 0% 442

42% 30% 23% 4% 205

28% 25% 37% 10% 353

26% 27% 37% 10% 207

31% 26% 30% 13% 0% 182

10% 9% 15% 66% 8

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

YesR26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

(cont.)

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32% 27% 32% 9% 0% 791

30% 24% 33% 12% 140

5% 30% 44% 21% 24

35% 25% 32% 8% 0% 393

34% 27% 31% 7% 0% 487

35% 28% 30% 7% 0% 581

33% 28% 31% 7% 0% 677

31% 26% 33% 10% 0% 955

31% 26% 33% 10% 0% 955

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

Q27Extremely

closelyVery closely Somewhat

closelyNot at allclosely

UnsureQ27 HOW CLOSELY FOLLOWING IMPEACHMENT NEWS TOTAL

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51% 3% 46% 955

58% 3% 39% 185

51% 4% 46% 144

51% 3% 46% 243

33% 1% 65% 72

41% 2% 57% 77

45% 4% 51% 79

59% 1% 40% 155

59% 0% 40% 110

58% 3% 40% 69

34% 1% 65% 51

55% 2% 43% 49

50% 3% 47% 676

38% 3% 59% 179

51% 3% 46% 507

60% 1% 39% 269

39% 7% 54% 61

52% 2% 46% 894

42% 2% 55% 412

65% 4% 31% 218

54% 1% 45% 302

38% 5% 57% 22

47% 1% 52% 130

52% 1% 47% 100

75% 25% 9

81% 5% 14% 27

65% 4% 31% 218

42% 2% 55% 412

53% 3% 44% 97

51% 2% 47% 857

45% 3% 52% 461

57% 2% 41% 494

45% 3% 52% 325

45% 3% 53% 136

59% 2% 39% 273

55% 1% 44% 221

55% 1% 44% 90

51% 3% 46% 598

51% 2% 47% 247

29% 5% 66% 21

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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63% 1% 36% 192

48% 4% 47% 269

48% 2% 50% 295

48% 3% 50% 199

54% 3% 43% 461

48% 2% 50% 295

48% 3% 50% 199

46% 4% 49% 248

43% 2% 55% 213

64% 1% 35% 213

52% 3% 45% 281

45% 3% 52% 727

86% 2% 12% 108

61% 1% 38% 85

38% 7% 55% 35

55% 2% 44% 127

43% 3% 54% 600

92% 8% 28

84% 3% 13% 79

71% 29% 30

55% 1% 44% 55

58% 42% 7

34% 8% 58% 29

41% 4% 56% 363

50% 2% 48% 364

77% 4% 20% 35

91% 2% 8% 73

57% 43% 47

65% 2% 33% 38

44% 3% 53% 269

54% 2% 44% 686

8% 2% 90% 369

53% 4% 43% 189

91% 2% 7% 397

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 2% 89% 203

6% 2% 92% 166

90% 2% 7% 170

91% 2% 7% 227

39% 8% 53% 89

65% 1% 34% 100

7% 2% 91% 148

8% 2% 90% 221

88% 2% 9% 197

93% 2% 5% 200

57% 5% 38% 116

47% 3% 50% 72

14% 2% 84% 422

35% 9% 57% 56

86% 2% 12% 478

4% 1% 95% 277

20% 5% 76% 76

51% 4% 45% 209

79% 5% 16% 72

93% 2% 5% 321

8% 2% 91% 398

93% 2% 5% 406

52% 6% 42% 97

100% 4

61% 39% 28

37% 14% 49% 22

19% 3% 78% 466

53% 7% 40% 77

87% 1% 12% 412

11% 3% 86% 178

24% 3% 73% 287

82% 2% 16% 489

8% 2% 90% 369

53% 4% 43% 189

88% 3% 10% 60

91% 2% 7% 337

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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91% 1% 8% 363

69% 5% 26% 115

35% 9% 57% 56

48% 52% 47

10% 2% 87% 375

50% 4% 46% 16

48% 0% 52% 138

46% 2% 52% 228

54% 3% 43% 574

46% 5% 50% 276

43% 1% 56% 185

61% 2% 36% 297

51% 1% 48% 197

49% 3% 47% 449

70% 3% 27% 124

39% 1% 60% 278

68% 2% 30% 103

39% 1% 60% 278

68% 2% 30% 103

54% 3% 43% 574

62% 1% 37% 185

49% 3% 48% 770

65% 1% 34% 202

45% 3% 52% 595

57% 3% 40% 158

41% 5% 54% 312

44% 1% 55% 51

57% 43% 97

49% 1% 50% 283

64% 4% 33% 107

73% 2% 25% 104

43% 3% 54% 496

56% 2% 42% 100

52% 2% 47% 232

79% 3% 18% 128

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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48% 52% 64

55% 2% 43% 51

38% 5% 57% 259

47% 1% 52% 237

44% 56% 40

57% 3% 40% 77

69% 2% 28% 228

50% 3% 47% 337

52% 2% 46% 618

41% 5% 54% 175

61% 1% 39% 162

46% 3% 51% 266

44% 3% 53% 329

68% 1% 31% 34

64% 3% 33% 53

73% 27% 25

64% 1% 35% 176

47% 4% 49% 71

37% 4% 59% 314

54% 2% 44% 145

54% 3% 44% 221

64% 1% 35% 276

35% 3% 61% 340

60% 2% 38% 570

58% 9% 32% 45

28% 4% 67% 157

53% 3% 44% 304

41% 2% 56% 184

67% 2% 32% 310

20% 4% 76% 235

69% 2% 29% 105

8% 3% 89% 188

49% 2% 49% 50

71% 5% 24% 47

87% 2% 11% 55

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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69% 1% 30% 65

46% 3% 51% 554

55% 1% 44% 212

63% 1% 36% 102

75% 25% 2

31% 12% 58% 20

42% 3% 54% 454

83% 3% 14% 38

51% 49% 49

47% 6% 47% 13

58% 2% 40% 401

57% 1% 42% 180

47% 4% 49% 155

66% 2% 31% 70

39% 2% 59% 124

49% 3% 47% 273

52% 4% 44% 58

56% 44% 94

5% 2% 93% 326

18% 12% 71% 69

82% 2% 16% 559

4% 2% 94% 405

43% 12% 44% 68

92% 2% 6% 481

7% 2% 91% 406

38% 12% 51% 91

93% 1% 6% 458

4% 2% 93% 413

7% 17% 76% 32

92% 2% 6% 510

51% 3% 46% 955

63% 1% 36% 295

53% 1% 45% 252

45% 4% 51% 313

28% 5% 67% 95

100% 1

86% 1% 13% 205

68% 3% 29% 353

26% 2% 71% 207

9% 4% 87% 182

18% 82% 8

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

YesR26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 3% 46% 791

55% 2% 43% 140

30% 4% 66% 24

54% 2% 44% 393

55% 2% 43% 487

54% 2% 44% 581

53% 2% 45% 677

51% 3% 46% 955

51% 3% 46% 955

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

R28

Yes Unsure No

R28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

TOTAL

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46% 5% 3% 7% 39% 955

51% 7% 3% 5% 34% 185

49% 1% 4% 5% 41% 144

49% 3% 3% 10% 36% 243

30% 3% 1% 9% 57% 72

36% 5% 2% 7% 50% 77

36% 9% 4% 13% 37% 79

52% 7% 1% 4% 36% 155

56% 4% 0% 4% 37% 110

54% 3% 3% 7% 32% 69

29% 5% 1% 10% 55% 51

49% 6% 2% 6% 38% 49

45% 5% 3% 8% 39% 676

34% 4% 3% 10% 49% 179

46% 5% 3% 7% 39% 507

55% 5% 1% 6% 33% 269

28% 11% 7% 18% 36% 61

47% 5% 2% 6% 39% 894

39% 3% 2% 7% 49% 412

57% 9% 4% 7% 24% 218

49% 5% 1% 8% 36% 302

38% 5% 5% 52% 22

40% 7% 1% 8% 44% 130

49% 3% 1% 9% 38% 100

75% 25% 9

75% 7% 5% 4% 9% 27

57% 9% 4% 7% 24% 218

39% 3% 2% 7% 49% 412

45% 8% 3% 3% 41% 97

46% 5% 2% 8% 39% 857

40% 4% 3% 7% 45% 461

52% 6% 2% 7% 34% 494

41% 4% 3% 7% 45% 325

39% 6% 3% 8% 44% 136

54% 5% 2% 8% 31% 273

49% 6% 1% 6% 38% 221

42% 13% 1% 9% 35% 90

47% 4% 3% 7% 39% 598

47% 4% 2% 5% 42% 247

29% 5% 22% 44% 21

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

(cont.)

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57% 6% 1% 10% 26% 192

41% 7% 4% 7% 40% 269

45% 3% 2% 7% 43% 295

44% 4% 3% 4% 45% 199

48% 7% 3% 9% 34% 461

45% 3% 2% 7% 43% 295

44% 4% 3% 4% 45% 199

41% 5% 4% 9% 40% 248

39% 3% 2% 5% 51% 213

55% 9% 1% 8% 27% 213

49% 3% 3% 7% 39% 281

40% 5% 3% 7% 45% 727

80% 6% 2% 4% 8% 108

58% 3% 1% 12% 27% 85

37% 2% 7% 5% 50% 35

46% 9% 2% 11% 33% 127

39% 5% 3% 6% 47% 600

92% 8% 28

76% 8% 3% 2% 10% 79

71% 8% 21% 30

51% 4% 1% 14% 30% 55

50% 8% 20% 23% 7

34% 8% 2% 56% 29

36% 4% 4% 7% 49% 363

44% 7% 2% 7% 41% 364

64% 12% 4% 9% 11% 35

88% 3% 2% 2% 6% 73

55% 2% 8% 35% 47

62% 3% 2% 17% 16% 38

41% 3% 3% 5% 49% 269

48% 6% 2% 8% 35% 686

6% 1% 2% 9% 82% 369

45% 9% 4% 11% 31% 189

84% 7% 2% 4% 3% 397

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 2% 2% 10% 80% 203

6% 2% 8% 84% 166

85% 5% 2% 3% 4% 170

83% 8% 2% 4% 3% 227

32% 8% 8% 9% 44% 89

56% 9% 1% 13% 21% 100

6% 1% 2% 11% 81% 148

7% 1% 2% 8% 82% 221

81% 8% 2% 6% 3% 197

87% 6% 2% 2% 3% 200

45% 12% 5% 11% 27% 116

43% 4% 3% 12% 38% 72

11% 4% 2% 10% 73% 422

33% 2% 9% 8% 49% 56

79% 6% 2% 4% 8% 478

3% 0% 1% 9% 87% 277

18% 2% 5% 10% 66% 76

42% 9% 4% 10% 34% 209

70% 10% 5% 9% 7% 72

87% 6% 2% 3% 2% 321

5% 3% 2% 10% 81% 398

88% 6% 2% 3% 2% 406

43% 9% 6% 13% 29% 97

100% 4

49% 11% 14% 25% 28

37% 14% 6% 42% 22

17% 2% 3% 9% 68% 466

49% 5% 7% 11% 28% 77

78% 8% 1% 4% 8% 412

8% 3% 3% 6% 80% 178

23% 1% 3% 11% 62% 287

74% 8% 2% 5% 11% 489

6% 1% 2% 9% 82% 369

45% 9% 4% 11% 31% 189

84% 4% 3% 3% 7% 60

84% 7% 2% 4% 3% 337

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

(cont.)

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84% 6% 1% 3% 5% 363

62% 7% 5% 9% 17% 115

33% 2% 9% 8% 49% 56

27% 21% 15% 38% 47

9% 1% 2% 10% 78% 375

50% 4% 14% 33% 16

44% 4% 0% 6% 46% 138

41% 6% 2% 7% 45% 228

49% 5% 3% 7% 35% 574

41% 5% 5% 6% 43% 276

39% 4% 1% 8% 48% 185

56% 6% 2% 8% 28% 297

45% 6% 1% 6% 42% 197

44% 6% 3% 8% 40% 449

67% 3% 3% 6% 21% 124

35% 5% 1% 7% 53% 278

63% 5% 2% 8% 22% 103

35% 5% 1% 7% 53% 278

63% 5% 2% 8% 22% 103

49% 5% 3% 7% 35% 574

56% 6% 1% 4% 33% 185

44% 5% 3% 8% 41% 770

60% 5% 1% 10% 24% 202

40% 5% 3% 7% 46% 595

51% 6% 3% 5% 35% 158

37% 4% 5% 6% 49% 312

44% 1% 10% 45% 51

48% 9% 10% 33% 97

43% 6% 1% 8% 42% 283

55% 8% 4% 3% 30% 107

71% 2% 2% 10% 16% 104

38% 5% 3% 6% 48% 496

52% 4% 2% 9% 32% 100

45% 6% 2% 9% 37% 232

76% 4% 3% 5% 12% 128

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

(cont.)

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41% 7% 12% 40% 64

50% 4% 2% 13% 30% 51

34% 4% 5% 5% 52% 259

42% 6% 1% 7% 45% 237

44% 10% 46% 40

46% 11% 3% 4% 35% 77

65% 4% 2% 7% 21% 228

44% 7% 3% 7% 40% 337

47% 4% 2% 7% 39% 618

36% 4% 5% 6% 48% 175

52% 9% 1% 8% 31% 162

40% 6% 3% 7% 43% 266

40% 4% 3% 6% 47% 329

53% 15% 1% 31% 34

61% 3% 3% 5% 28% 53

65% 8% 8% 18% 25

59% 5% 1% 10% 25% 176

44% 3% 4% 8% 41% 71

34% 3% 4% 7% 52% 314

48% 6% 2% 14% 30% 145

48% 5% 3% 6% 38% 221

58% 6% 1% 5% 30% 276

33% 3% 3% 7% 54% 340

54% 6% 2% 7% 31% 570

56% 3% 9% 1% 31% 45

26% 3% 4% 8% 59% 157

48% 5% 3% 6% 38% 304

38% 3% 2% 7% 50% 184

59% 7% 2% 8% 24% 310

18% 2% 4% 8% 68% 235

64% 5% 2% 7% 22% 105

7% 1% 3% 10% 79% 188

41% 7% 2% 8% 41% 50

64% 7% 5% 24% 47

85% 2% 2% 6% 5% 55

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

(cont.)

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62% 6% 1% 8% 23% 65

42% 4% 3% 7% 43% 554

51% 4% 1% 8% 36% 212

53% 10% 1% 5% 30% 102

75% 25% 2

31% 12% 6% 52% 20

38% 5% 3% 7% 47% 454

78% 5% 3% 2% 12% 38

49% 2% 18% 31% 49

47% 6% 47% 13

52% 6% 2% 7% 33% 401

54% 3% 1% 4% 38% 180

43% 4% 4% 3% 46% 155

61% 6% 2% 9% 22% 70

34% 5% 2% 9% 49% 124

41% 8% 3% 10% 37% 273

50% 2% 4% 11% 33% 58

53% 3% 5% 38% 94

5% 0% 2% 9% 84% 326

15% 3% 12% 18% 53% 69

74% 8% 2% 5% 11% 559

3% 1% 2% 11% 84% 405

29% 14% 12% 14% 30% 68

85% 7% 2% 3% 3% 481

6% 2% 2% 11% 80% 406

27% 11% 12% 9% 41% 91

86% 7% 1% 3% 3% 458

4% 0% 2% 8% 85% 413

7% 17% 44% 32% 32

83% 9% 2% 4% 2% 510

46% 5% 3% 7% 39% 955

60% 3% 1% 1% 36% 295

51% 2% 1% 8% 38% 252

36% 9% 4% 10% 40% 313

24% 4% 5% 17% 50% 95

100% 1

90% 10% 488

100% 24

15% 85% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

YesR26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENT

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

(cont.)

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81% 5% 1% 2% 10% 205

60% 7% 3% 7% 23% 353

21% 6% 2% 12% 59% 207

9% 4% 7% 80% 182

18% 31% 51% 8

46% 5% 3% 6% 40% 791

51% 4% 2% 6% 37% 140

15% 16% 4% 42% 24% 24

50% 4% 2% 5% 39% 393

50% 5% 2% 4% 39% 487

50% 5% 2% 4% 40% 581

49% 4% 2% 4% 41% 677

46% 5% 3% 7% 39% 955

46% 5% 3% 7% 39% 955

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

Q28Yes /

stronglyYes Unsure No No / strongly

Q28 SHOULD TRUMP BE IMPEACHED / WHAT YOU SRH TOTAL

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52% 41% 5% 3% 491

47% 48% 3% 2% 92

49% 44% 5% 2% 75

48% 39% 6% 7% 130

82% 18% 36

67% 31% 3% 41

58% 31% 11% 38

42% 52% 5% 79

39% 56% 5% 67

46% 44% 4% 6% 43

80% 20% 23

62% 38% 20

53% 39% 5% 3% 338

70% 21% 4% 5% 90

52% 40% 5% 3% 259

39% 54% 4% 2% 142

55% 29% 14% 2% 25

52% 41% 4% 3% 466

59% 35% 3% 2% 206

37% 51% 9% 3% 122

52% 41% 3% 4% 149

61% 33% 6% 14

55% 38% 4% 3% 61

51% 42% 2% 5% 53

24% 76% 5

30% 59% 11% 10

37% 51% 9% 3% 122

59% 35% 3% 2% 206

39% 56% 2% 3% 42

53% 39% 5% 3% 449

61% 31% 7% 2% 236

44% 50% 3% 4% 255

62% 31% 7% 1% 160

59% 32% 7% 3% 76

40% 56% 1% 4% 126

47% 44% 4% 5% 130

48% 34% 12% 6% 45

52% 42% 4% 2% 286

53% 42% 2% 3% 145

47% 30% 18% 5% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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48% 48% 5% 97

50% 35% 13% 2% 120

55% 38% 4% 3% 160

53% 44% 1% 3% 114

49% 41% 7% 3% 217

55% 38% 4% 3% 160

53% 44% 1% 3% 114

59% 28% 10% 2% 122

62% 34% 3% 1% 114

36% 57% 3% 4% 95

48% 45% 2% 4% 161

56% 37% 5% 2% 368

23% 62% 7% 8% 65

53% 44% 3% 38

66% 32% 1% 1% 20

57% 40% 3% 59

56% 36% 6% 2% 309

12% 76% 13% 20

27% 57% 9% 6% 45

47% 53% 13

56% 40% 5% 24

88% 12% 5

60% 38% 2% 1% 15

63% 29% 6% 2% 176

50% 44% 4% 3% 193

33% 47% 20% 21

18% 70% 12% 44

61% 35% 4% 30

21% 79% 8

55% 40% 4% 1% 151

50% 41% 5% 4% 340

95% 2% 1% 2% 194

48% 34% 16% 2% 96

12% 81% 3% 5% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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95% 2% 2% 1% 104

95% 3% 3% 90

17% 75% 4% 4% 81

9% 84% 1% 5% 120

60% 20% 20% 52

33% 51% 12% 4% 45

95% 2% 1% 1% 74

94% 3% 1% 2% 119

11% 78% 4% 7% 85

13% 83% 2% 3% 116

45% 36% 19% 57

52% 31% 12% 5% 39

91% 4% 4% 1% 219

65% 16% 11% 8% 24

16% 76% 5% 4% 248

97% 1% 1% 1% 148

87% 7% 6% 40

51% 32% 15% 2% 103

23% 61% 16% 32

10% 85% 3% 2% 168

95% 2% 3% 1% 212

11% 82% 4% 3% 209

43% 38% 17% 2% 47

50% 50% 4

75% 12% 13% 9

45% 33% 21% 9

80% 13% 5% 2% 255

63% 15% 14% 8% 36

13% 80% 3% 4% 200

88% 8% 4% 94

76% 16% 5% 3% 161

21% 70% 4% 4% 236

95% 2% 1% 2% 194

48% 34% 16% 2% 96

21% 76% 3% 34

10% 82% 3% 5% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 84% 3% 4% 185

36% 50% 11% 3% 63

65% 16% 11% 8% 24

88% 12% 21

91% 3% 4% 2% 198

44% 54% 2% 8

56% 41% 1% 2% 72

61% 29% 5% 5% 106

48% 44% 6% 2% 305

60% 32% 7% 1% 146

61% 30% 6% 3% 90

37% 56% 4% 4% 159

55% 40% 1% 4% 96

51% 41% 7% 2% 233

38% 55% 2% 5% 72

65% 30% 1% 4% 135

40% 48% 8% 4% 51

65% 30% 1% 4% 135

40% 48% 8% 4% 51

48% 44% 6% 2% 305

41% 52% 4% 3% 94

54% 38% 5% 3% 397

34% 55% 6% 5% 108

58% 36% 4% 2% 304

54% 39% 4% 3% 78

63% 28% 8% 1% 162

69% 31% 21

50% 41% 6% 4% 53

51% 45% 0% 3% 142

49% 42% 5% 4% 58

18% 69% 6% 6% 55

59% 35% 4% 1% 255

48% 41% 5% 6% 49

48% 41% 5% 5% 113

33% 59% 4% 4% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 40% 6% 30

22% 61% 13% 4% 25

64% 27% 8% 1% 131

55% 44% 0% 1% 124

77% 23% 15

51% 37% 6% 5% 43

39% 52% 5% 5% 123

53% 36% 8% 2% 163

51% 43% 3% 3% 327

60% 25% 13% 2% 85

46% 48% 3% 3% 79

56% 34% 8% 2% 131

59% 37% 2% 2% 173

56% 34% 10% 11

49% 49% 2% 26

35% 65% 13

34% 54% 7% 6% 95

57% 35% 7% 2% 41

67% 27% 3% 3% 167

49% 46% 5% 80

43% 49% 6% 3% 124

42% 47% 9% 2% 120

72% 23% 4% 2% 185

39% 51% 6% 4% 280

45% 55% 1% 25

80% 16% 4% 1% 85

50% 40% 9% 2% 151

65% 29% 4% 2% 100

30% 63% 2% 5% 155

83% 12% 3% 1% 129

44% 47% 5% 3% 56

90% 6% 2% 1% 110

56% 34% 10% 31

44% 48% 5% 3% 19

29% 64% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 62% 3% 35

56% 35% 7% 3% 295

50% 48% 0% 2% 94

45% 48% 6% 2% 55

39% 61% 2

35% 39% 27% 9

58% 33% 7% 2% 240

36% 49% 5% 10% 24

58% 37% 5% 24

63% 37% 7

45% 50% 2% 3% 195

44% 51% 2% 3% 107

63% 32% 4% 1% 89

45% 49% 6% 33

61% 31% 7% 2% 60

52% 39% 7% 3% 140

50% 38% 10% 2% 25

39% 51% 5% 5% 36

96% 1% 2% 1% 176

69% 17% 7% 7% 37

22% 69% 6% 3% 278

96% 0% 3% 0% 220

54% 12% 27% 7% 34

10% 82% 3% 5% 237

95% 2% 2% 1% 219

55% 13% 22% 11% 45

10% 83% 4% 3% 227

94% 2% 2% 2% 227

64% 4% 19% 13% 14

13% 78% 6% 4% 250

52% 41% 4% 3% 462

54% 37% 9% 29

45% 53% 1% 1% 145

49% 47% 3% 1% 138

56% 31% 5% 8% 132

67% 14% 15% 4% 46

100% 1

10% 80% 6% 4% 230

92% 8% 15

93% 2% 3% 2% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 71% 0% 4% 93

34% 54% 8% 4% 188

70% 23% 7% 110

93% 5% 1% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

53% 41% 4% 2% 406

51% 39% 10% 72

30% 30% 40% 12

52% 43% 3% 2% 197

49% 46% 3% 2% 256

50% 44% 3% 2% 301

50% 44% 3% 3% 357

52% 41% 5% 3% 491

52% 41% 5% 3% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC1Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

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50% 41% 3% 5% 520

37% 53% 0% 9% 100

49% 42% 2% 7% 85

47% 44% 7% 2% 130

68% 24% 4% 4% 42

61% 36% 3% 39

60% 28% 6% 6% 45

51% 41% 8% 78

49% 51% 45

29% 61% 4% 6% 34

66% 24% 5% 5% 33

43% 41% 16% 32

51% 40% 3% 5% 376

62% 31% 4% 3% 99

50% 40% 4% 6% 285

42% 51% 0% 6% 136

66% 24% 6% 4% 40

49% 43% 3% 6% 480

59% 31% 3% 7% 225

38% 56% 0% 6% 112

46% 47% 4% 3% 167

51% 33% 10% 7% 15

55% 38% 7% 71

44% 44% 4% 8% 55

50% 50% 5

14% 86% 19

38% 56% 0% 6% 112

59% 31% 3% 7% 225

59% 23% 11% 7% 66

49% 44% 2% 5% 454

58% 36% 4% 1% 239

43% 46% 2% 9% 281

56% 39% 3% 1% 174

63% 28% 7% 1% 66

42% 47% 3% 8% 165

44% 44% 2% 10% 116

59% 34% 7% 53

50% 43% 3% 5% 338

45% 43% 5% 7% 117

76% 8% 11% 5% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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48% 50% 1% 1% 105

47% 41% 5% 7% 164

53% 38% 3% 5% 154

53% 39% 1% 8% 98

47% 44% 4% 5% 269

53% 38% 3% 5% 154

53% 39% 1% 8% 98

53% 40% 5% 2% 133

65% 32% 3% 1% 106

41% 49% 3% 7% 136

44% 43% 2% 10% 145

57% 34% 3% 6% 390

16% 84% 56

37% 57% 2% 4% 53

54% 22% 12% 12% 21

62% 38% 70

55% 33% 4% 7% 320

21% 79% 11

15% 85% 45

12% 88% 18

50% 40% 3% 6% 35

50% 18% 22% 10% 6

56% 23% 8% 12% 15

63% 32% 4% 1% 194

50% 37% 2% 11% 196

35% 65% 18

7% 93% 38

30% 70% 17

40% 50% 3% 6% 36

57% 35% 1% 7% 131

48% 44% 4% 5% 389

96% 2% 2% 1% 190

38% 36% 9% 18% 106

17% 78% 2% 3% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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98% 2% 0% 104

93% 1% 3% 3% 87

20% 77% 3% 95

15% 79% 3% 3% 129

47% 29% 22% 2% 41

31% 41% 28% 65

95% 2% 1% 1% 79

96% 1% 2% 2% 111

22% 73% 2% 3% 125

10% 84% 1% 4% 99

36% 40% 10% 14% 64

39% 30% 7% 24% 42

89% 4% 4% 3% 225

34% 42% 5% 18% 38

18% 74% 2% 5% 258

98% 1% 0% 0% 141

94% 3% 3% 39

41% 34% 9% 16% 120

39% 56% 3% 2% 44

11% 84% 1% 4% 176

92% 1% 2% 4% 209

15% 77% 3% 5% 220

41% 49% 7% 3% 51

22% 62% 5% 10% 23

45% 25% 1% 29% 18

86% 10% 3% 2% 236

22% 47% 9% 22% 50

20% 72% 2% 6% 233

93% 2% 4% 1% 91

81% 14% 2% 2% 146

20% 68% 3% 9% 284

96% 2% 2% 1% 190

38% 36% 9% 18% 106

33% 64% 3% 35

14% 81% 2% 3% 189

13% 80% 2% 4% 195

34% 58% 8% 63

34% 42% 5% 18% 38

55% 20% 8% 17% 31

94% 1% 3% 1% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 44% 10% 14

59% 34% 5% 2% 77

55% 39% 2% 4% 134

46% 44% 3% 7% 296

54% 40% 5% 2% 136

65% 32% 2% 1% 103

39% 48% 2% 11% 160

49% 43% 3% 6% 121

51% 39% 3% 8% 232

26% 65% 6% 3% 64

65% 28% 4% 4% 158

35% 61% 4% 67

65% 28% 4% 4% 158

35% 61% 4% 67

46% 44% 3% 7% 296

39% 53% 3% 5% 103

53% 39% 3% 6% 418

42% 52% 2% 5% 111

55% 35% 4% 7% 313

44% 51% 3% 3% 97

64% 30% 5% 1% 158

48% 46% 4% 2% 34

48% 50% 1% 1% 47

46% 40% 3% 12% 154

41% 54% 2% 3% 63

38% 53% 2% 7% 64

58% 30% 4% 8% 257

40% 56% 3% 1% 55

54% 42% 2% 3% 133

24% 68% 3% 5% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 45% 2% 34

61% 27% 4% 9% 32

68% 25% 5% 2% 134

47% 37% 2% 15% 124

48% 52% 26

52% 44% 2% 1% 40

31% 63% 3% 3% 130

49% 41% 5% 4% 191

51% 42% 2% 6% 330

60% 32% 7% 1% 95

38% 51% 4% 7% 96

53% 36% 5% 6% 141

56% 34% 2% 7% 171

49% 50% 1% 23

31% 60% 3% 5% 32

16% 74% 7% 3% 17

47% 47% 1% 5% 94

50% 44% 3% 2% 42

61% 30% 4% 5% 163

59% 36% 6% 72

55% 40% 3% 3% 115

33% 56% 4% 7% 170

64% 31% 3% 3% 177

44% 47% 3% 6% 319

33% 47% 2% 19% 24

72% 27% 1% 0% 78

52% 41% 5% 2% 162

58% 34% 4% 5% 100

35% 52% 1% 11% 181

80% 14% 2% 4% 120

30% 66% 4% 0% 57

95% 2% 2% 1% 91

57% 42% 1% 23

33% 52% 4% 11% 30

12% 82% 5% 1% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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56% 30% 14% 31

54% 39% 3% 4% 288

46% 48% 4% 3% 126

39% 48% 14% 59

100% 2

53% 18% 18% 11% 14

59% 34% 3% 4% 231

20% 80% 21

39% 57% 4% 29

56% 17% 12% 15% 7

45% 44% 3% 8% 232

52% 43% 1% 4% 81

49% 43% 8% 79

43% 54% 3% 45

62% 31% 7% 65

52% 41% 3% 5% 148

46% 44% 6% 4% 40

39% 40% 5% 16% 62

91% 4% 2% 4% 175

59% 25% 6% 10% 40

26% 65% 4% 6% 306

95% 2% 1% 2% 203

34% 34% 12% 20% 45

19% 72% 3% 6% 272

96% 1% 2% 1% 205

40% 15% 13% 31% 57

16% 79% 1% 3% 258

92% 2% 1% 5% 210

47% 18% 23% 12% 21

19% 72% 3% 6% 289

51% 41% 3% 5% 493

32% 45% 5% 18% 27

43% 52% 5% 1% 150

49% 39% 2% 10% 114

60% 36% 1% 2% 181

45% 32% 7% 16% 48

18% 72% 3% 6% 259

58% 35% 7% 9

88% 6% 3% 3% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 70% 3% 7% 121

41% 50% 3% 6% 186

71% 24% 2% 3% 117

83% 10% 1% 6% 91

21% 11% 68% 6

50% 43% 2% 5% 424

47% 38% 3% 11% 80

60% 20% 20% 17

47% 45% 2% 5% 211

49% 44% 3% 5% 255

50% 43% 3% 5% 306

50% 43% 3% 5% 351

50% 41% 3% 5% 520

50% 41% 3% 5% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC1GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC1 BETTER JOB / JOBS TOTAL

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52% 40% 5% 3% 491

46% 50% 4% 92

51% 45% 2% 2% 75

47% 38% 8% 7% 130

85% 15% 36

66% 29% 2% 4% 41

60% 28% 11% 38

44% 49% 5% 1% 79

43% 52% 5% 67

44% 39% 11% 6% 43

84% 16% 23

53% 47% 20

53% 39% 5% 3% 338

67% 23% 4% 5% 90

53% 39% 5% 3% 259

41% 53% 5% 0% 142

59% 25% 14% 2% 25

52% 41% 5% 3% 466

61% 34% 3% 2% 206

38% 50% 9% 4% 122

52% 40% 5% 3% 149

67% 28% 5% 14

57% 33% 7% 3% 61

51% 44% 5% 53

24% 76% 5

12% 70% 18% 10

38% 50% 9% 4% 122

61% 34% 3% 2% 206

45% 52% 3% 42

53% 39% 6% 3% 449

61% 30% 8% 1% 236

45% 49% 3% 4% 255

62% 29% 8% 1% 160

57% 32% 8% 3% 76

40% 54% 2% 4% 126

49% 43% 3% 4% 130

48% 34% 12% 6% 45

53% 40% 5% 2% 286

52% 43% 3% 3% 145

70% 25% 4% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 49% 2% 5% 97

56% 29% 13% 1% 120

55% 39% 4% 2% 160

51% 44% 1% 4% 114

51% 38% 8% 3% 217

55% 39% 4% 2% 160

51% 44% 1% 4% 114

60% 26% 12% 2% 122

62% 34% 3% 1% 114

40% 53% 3% 4% 95

47% 46% 3% 4% 161

58% 35% 5% 2% 368

14% 71% 9% 7% 65

56% 42% 3% 38

66% 29% 4% 20

57% 37% 3% 3% 59

58% 34% 5% 2% 309

87% 13% 20

19% 63% 14% 4% 45

47% 53% 13

60% 35% 5% 24

78% 22% 5

63% 32% 6% 15

65% 26% 7% 2% 176

52% 42% 3% 3% 193

17% 63% 20% 21

12% 74% 4% 10% 44

65% 31% 4% 30

21% 79% 8

56% 39% 3% 2% 151

51% 40% 6% 3% 340

96% 2% 1% 1% 194

49% 31% 17% 3% 96

12% 80% 4% 4% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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96% 2% 2% 104

95% 3% 2% 90

16% 74% 7% 4% 81

10% 85% 2% 4% 120

60% 18% 21% 52

36% 45% 12% 7% 45

97% 2% 1% 74

95% 3% 1% 1% 119

12% 75% 6% 7% 85

12% 84% 2% 2% 116

50% 30% 20% 57

48% 31% 12% 8% 39

94% 3% 2% 1% 219

66% 14% 13% 7% 24

15% 75% 7% 4% 248

97% 1% 1% 148

89% 7% 4% 40

52% 29% 16% 3% 103

24% 57% 10% 9% 32

9% 85% 3% 3% 168

96% 1% 2% 0% 212

9% 83% 4% 3% 209

46% 28% 23% 3% 47

50% 50% 4

82% 5% 13% 9

47% 26% 7% 20% 9

82% 13% 4% 1% 255

53% 18% 21% 8% 36

14% 79% 4% 4% 200

88% 8% 4% 94

79% 15% 4% 2% 161

20% 69% 7% 4% 236

96% 2% 1% 1% 194

49% 31% 17% 3% 96

28% 72% 34

9% 82% 4% 5% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 82% 4% 4% 185

29% 52% 15% 4% 63

66% 14% 13% 7% 24

88% 12% 21

94% 2% 3% 1% 198

37% 63% 8

59% 40% 1% 72

59% 31% 5% 5% 106

49% 42% 7% 2% 305

61% 29% 9% 1% 146

60% 33% 6% 2% 90

37% 55% 4% 4% 159

57% 39% 4% 96

53% 38% 7% 2% 233

36% 55% 6% 3% 72

67% 29% 1% 3% 135

33% 55% 8% 3% 51

67% 29% 1% 3% 135

33% 55% 8% 3% 51

49% 42% 7% 2% 305

45% 53% 2% 1% 94

54% 37% 6% 3% 397

33% 57% 5% 5% 108

58% 35% 5% 1% 304

56% 35% 5% 4% 78

64% 26% 9% 1% 162

69% 28% 3% 21

48% 42% 6% 4% 53

52% 45% 1% 2% 142

52% 37% 6% 5% 58

18% 71% 4% 6% 55

60% 34% 5% 1% 255

48% 41% 8% 4% 49

53% 37% 5% 5% 113

26% 64% 6% 3% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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60% 34% 6% 30

26% 61% 10% 4% 25

65% 25% 9% 1% 131

55% 43% 1% 124

77% 23% 15

57% 29% 6% 7% 43

35% 55% 7% 3% 123

55% 34% 9% 1% 163

51% 43% 3% 3% 327

60% 25% 15% 85

51% 43% 3% 3% 79

57% 32% 10% 1% 131

59% 37% 2% 2% 173

66% 24% 10% 11

46% 52% 2% 26

18% 82% 13

35% 54% 6% 6% 95

60% 33% 3% 3% 41

66% 27% 5% 2% 167

53% 42% 4% 80

41% 50% 7% 2% 124

45% 45% 7% 3% 120

72% 24% 2% 2% 185

40% 49% 8% 3% 280

45% 52% 3% 25

78% 18% 4% 85

51% 37% 10% 2% 151

67% 28% 1% 4% 100

30% 62% 4% 4% 155

88% 10% 2% 129

35% 55% 7% 3% 56

95% 3% 1% 110

51% 40% 10% 31

49% 48% 3% 19

16% 75% 3% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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32% 62% 3% 3% 35

58% 33% 7% 2% 295

49% 49% 0% 2% 94

41% 49% 6% 4% 55

39% 61% 2

43% 32% 7% 19% 9

61% 30% 7% 2% 240

21% 60% 8% 10% 24

63% 33% 5% 24

67% 33% 7

43% 51% 3% 3% 195

42% 52% 2% 4% 107

62% 33% 4% 1% 89

48% 49% 4% 33

60% 26% 11% 2% 60

55% 35% 6% 4% 140

43% 45% 12% 25

44% 51% 3% 2% 36

97% 1% 2% 176

63% 24% 7% 7% 37

22% 67% 7% 4% 278

99% 1% 220

48% 13% 32% 7% 34

10% 81% 5% 4% 237

97% 2% 1% 0% 219

52% 13% 26% 8% 45

9% 82% 5% 4% 227

95% 1% 2% 1% 227

64% 4% 19% 13% 14

12% 77% 7% 4% 250

52% 40% 6% 3% 462

57% 43% 29

44% 52% 4% 1% 145

49% 45% 3% 2% 138

58% 30% 7% 5% 132

67% 15% 15% 4% 46

100% 1

10% 79% 7% 4% 230

73% 21% 6% 15

95% 1% 3% 1% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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21% 73% 4% 3% 93

35% 53% 7% 4% 188

74% 18% 7% 1% 110

92% 8% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

54% 40% 5% 1% 406

47% 42% 1% 10% 72

30% 30% 40% 12

50% 43% 4% 3% 197

49% 46% 3% 3% 256

50% 44% 3% 3% 301

50% 44% 3% 3% 357

52% 40% 5% 3% 491

52% 40% 5% 3% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC2Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

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51% 41% 3% 5% 520

43% 45% 4% 8% 100

44% 46% 6% 5% 85

48% 43% 5% 4% 130

74% 19% 6% 42

61% 39% 39

57% 33% 5% 5% 45

55% 41% 0% 3% 78

64% 35% 1% 45

39% 59% 2% 34

74% 18% 8% 33

41% 43% 16% 32

50% 41% 5% 4% 376

60% 30% 3% 7% 99

52% 42% 2% 4% 285

44% 45% 6% 5% 136

55% 27% 12% 6% 40

51% 42% 3% 5% 480

56% 34% 3% 7% 225

43% 52% 3% 2% 112

50% 43% 4% 3% 167

51% 33% 10% 7% 15

65% 32% 4% 71

45% 44% 6% 5% 55

50% 50% 5

21% 79% 19

43% 52% 3% 2% 112

56% 34% 3% 7% 225

66% 24% 4% 6% 66

49% 43% 3% 5% 454

58% 36% 4% 2% 239

45% 44% 3% 7% 281

58% 38% 3% 2% 174

59% 31% 7% 2% 66

44% 44% 5% 7% 165

47% 44% 0% 8% 116

57% 38% 6% 53

51% 41% 4% 4% 338

47% 43% 4% 6% 117

75% 16% 3% 5% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 43% 3% 2% 105

48% 42% 5% 5% 164

55% 37% 3% 5% 154

51% 41% 2% 6% 98

49% 42% 4% 4% 269

55% 37% 3% 5% 154

51% 41% 2% 6% 98

55% 37% 5% 3% 133

62% 35% 3% 1% 106

43% 48% 4% 5% 136

47% 41% 2% 9% 145

56% 36% 3% 5% 390

23% 71% 6% 56

47% 49% 4% 53

49% 27% 13% 11% 21

56% 41% 3% 70

56% 34% 3% 6% 320

44% 56% 11

18% 75% 7% 45

42% 47% 11% 18

50% 50% 35

40% 28% 22% 10% 6

52% 27% 10% 11% 15

63% 32% 4% 1% 194

49% 39% 2% 10% 196

35% 65% 18

17% 74% 9% 38

30% 58% 12% 17

55% 45% 36

58% 35% 1% 6% 131

49% 42% 4% 4% 389

97% 0% 1% 2% 190

43% 32% 13% 12% 106

17% 79% 1% 4% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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100% 0% 104

93% 1% 2% 4% 87

19% 77% 4% 95

15% 80% 1% 3% 129

44% 32% 22% 2% 41

42% 31% 7% 19% 65

96% 1% 3% 1% 79

97% 0% 3% 111

22% 75% 0% 3% 125

10% 84% 1% 4% 99

45% 30% 15% 10% 64

40% 33% 10% 17% 42

90% 5% 3% 2% 225

40% 34% 9% 17% 38

19% 73% 3% 6% 258

98% 2% 0% 141

92% 1% 1% 6% 39

48% 29% 12% 11% 120

40% 59% 1% 44

10% 85% 1% 4% 176

92% 3% 3% 3% 209

17% 76% 2% 5% 220

39% 49% 12% 51

50% 34% 5% 10% 23

40% 26% 1% 33% 18

86% 11% 2% 1% 236

18% 44% 18% 20% 50

24% 70% 2% 5% 233

95% 2% 2% 1% 91

80% 17% 2% 1% 146

23% 65% 5% 8% 284

97% 0% 1% 2% 190

43% 32% 13% 12% 106

23% 74% 3% 35

15% 80% 1% 4% 189

16% 77% 2% 5% 195

28% 59% 5% 8% 63

40% 34% 9% 17% 38

59% 25% 8% 9% 31

95% 2% 2% 1% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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54% 36% 10% 14

60% 34% 5% 2% 77

50% 44% 2% 4% 134

49% 41% 4% 6% 296

57% 35% 5% 2% 136

59% 37% 2% 1% 103

43% 46% 3% 8% 160

49% 43% 3% 6% 121

53% 39% 3% 6% 232

38% 49% 9% 5% 64

61% 31% 4% 4% 158

36% 62% 2% 67

61% 31% 4% 4% 158

36% 62% 2% 67

49% 41% 4% 6% 296

42% 46% 6% 6% 103

54% 39% 3% 4% 418

48% 44% 5% 3% 111

55% 35% 3% 6% 313

42% 53% 3% 2% 97

63% 31% 5% 1% 158

48% 46% 4% 2% 34

49% 45% 1% 4% 47

47% 40% 1% 12% 154

39% 57% 2% 2% 63

47% 43% 8% 1% 64

58% 31% 3% 8% 257

41% 57% 1% 1% 55

52% 45% 2% 0% 133

34% 54% 7% 5% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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59% 41% 34

51% 42% 7% 32

67% 27% 5% 1% 134

49% 35% 1% 15% 124

48% 52% 26

49% 47% 2% 1% 40

37% 55% 5% 3% 130

50% 42% 3% 4% 191

52% 40% 3% 5% 330

60% 32% 7% 1% 95

40% 52% 7% 96

54% 37% 4% 5% 141

56% 34% 2% 7% 171

40% 59% 1% 23

34% 61% 3% 2% 32

28% 69% 3% 17

52% 40% 6% 2% 94

50% 44% 3% 2% 42

66% 27% 2% 5% 163

58% 40% 2% 72

52% 38% 9% 1% 115

33% 56% 3% 8% 170

64% 32% 2% 2% 177

45% 46% 5% 5% 319

49% 35% 2% 14% 24

67% 32% 1% 78

54% 38% 5% 3% 162

61% 33% 2% 4% 100

37% 51% 4% 9% 181

75% 20% 2% 4% 120

40% 58% 1% 57

92% 4% 2% 1% 91

57% 42% 1% 23

21% 69% 10% 30

29% 70% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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52% 33% 5% 10% 31

58% 36% 2% 5% 288

39% 51% 7% 3% 126

43% 53% 4% 59

100% 2

65% 9% 11% 15% 14

61% 33% 2% 5% 231

20% 80% 21

65% 27% 7% 29

40% 29% 16% 15% 7

43% 47% 5% 5% 232

51% 45% 2% 2% 81

49% 44% 7% 79

43% 56% 1% 45

68% 31% 1% 65

50% 39% 8% 3% 148

55% 34% 6% 5% 40

46% 36% 2% 16% 62

89% 6% 3% 2% 175

64% 14% 9% 12% 40

28% 64% 3% 5% 306

97% 2% 0% 2% 203

45% 19% 15% 21% 45

19% 73% 4% 4% 272

96% 2% 1% 0% 205

42% 13% 18% 27% 57

18% 77% 2% 3% 258

91% 2% 3% 4% 210

65% 3% 18% 15% 21

21% 71% 3% 5% 289

52% 40% 3% 4% 493

38% 43% 5% 15% 27

44% 50% 4% 2% 150

52% 43% 1% 4% 114

56% 38% 3% 3% 181

60% 13% 11% 16% 48

20% 72% 3% 5% 259

69% 15% 3% 13% 9

88% 5% 3% 3% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

(cont.)

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18% 73% 6% 3% 121

42% 49% 2% 7% 186

74% 23% 1% 2% 117

87% 4% 3% 6% 91

21% 11% 68% 6

53% 40% 2% 4% 424

35% 48% 8% 9% 80

73% 20% 7% 17

43% 51% 2% 4% 211

45% 50% 2% 3% 255

48% 47% 2% 3% 306

49% 45% 1% 4% 351

51% 41% 3% 5% 520

51% 41% 3% 5% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC2GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC2 BETTER JOB / ECONOMY TOTAL

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41% 51% 6% 2% 491

37% 56% 6% 1% 92

33% 61% 5% 1% 75

39% 51% 7% 3% 130

65% 28% 6% 2% 36

52% 38% 3% 8% 41

43% 40% 16% 38

38% 58% 4% 79

35% 60% 5% 67

33% 52% 9% 6% 43

70% 23% 5% 2% 23

39% 56% 5% 20

41% 51% 6% 2% 338

52% 36% 10% 3% 90

42% 51% 5% 2% 259

32% 62% 5% 0% 142

47% 37% 14% 2% 25

40% 52% 6% 2% 466

50% 42% 5% 3% 206

26% 65% 8% 122

40% 52% 7% 1% 149

48% 47% 4% 14

40% 53% 7% 61

42% 49% 6% 3% 53

100% 5

12% 77% 11% 10

26% 65% 8% 122

50% 42% 5% 3% 206

25% 67% 7% 42

42% 50% 6% 2% 449

45% 46% 8% 1% 236

37% 57% 4% 3% 255

47% 44% 9% 1% 160

43% 48% 8% 1% 76

34% 62% 3% 1% 126

39% 51% 5% 5% 130

40% 43% 17% 45

41% 52% 6% 1% 286

40% 52% 3% 5% 145

48% 48% 4% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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31% 69% 97

43% 41% 15% 1% 120

47% 46% 7% 1% 160

38% 54% 2% 6% 114

37% 54% 8% 0% 217

47% 46% 7% 1% 160

38% 54% 2% 6% 114

43% 44% 11% 1% 122

48% 47% 5% 0% 114

30% 66% 4% 95

41% 51% 4% 4% 161

45% 46% 7% 2% 368

9% 82% 6% 3% 65

47% 50% 3% 38

52% 46% 2% 20

40% 60% 59

46% 44% 8% 2% 309

100% 20

13% 74% 9% 4% 45

31% 69% 13

56% 40% 5% 24

40% 60% 5

55% 42% 3% 15

48% 42% 9% 1% 176

43% 50% 5% 3% 193

8% 77% 14% 21

9% 84% 3% 4% 44

54% 42% 4% 30

21% 79% 8

44% 49% 4% 3% 151

40% 52% 7% 1% 340

79% 13% 5% 3% 194

41% 38% 18% 3% 96

3% 95% 2% 0% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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78% 14% 7% 2% 104

81% 12% 3% 4% 90

4% 95% 1% 81

3% 94% 2% 0% 120

45% 32% 23% 52

36% 45% 12% 7% 45

71% 23% 4% 1% 74

85% 7% 6% 3% 119

4% 95% 1% 85

3% 95% 2% 1% 116

43% 34% 23% 57

38% 44% 10% 8% 39

76% 15% 6% 2% 219

48% 18% 27% 7% 24

9% 86% 4% 1% 248

83% 9% 6% 2% 148

61% 31% 4% 4% 40

44% 36% 17% 3% 103

7% 89% 4% 32

3% 96% 1% 0% 168

83% 12% 3% 2% 212

3% 93% 3% 1% 209

18% 45% 32% 4% 47

100% 4

69% 18% 13% 9

34% 47% 20% 9

66% 26% 6% 3% 255

44% 28% 24% 5% 36

8% 88% 4% 0% 200

83% 10% 5% 2% 94

56% 35% 6% 3% 161

14% 79% 7% 1% 236

79% 13% 5% 3% 194

41% 38% 18% 3% 96

4% 96% 34

3% 94% 2% 0% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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5% 91% 3% 0% 185

19% 71% 8% 2% 63

48% 18% 27% 7% 24

70% 21% 9% 21

77% 15% 6% 3% 198

37% 63% 8

48% 49% 2% 72

49% 41% 8% 2% 106

36% 55% 7% 2% 305

42% 48% 10% 1% 146

51% 42% 7% 90

31% 62% 5% 2% 159

45% 48% 2% 4% 96

40% 50% 9% 2% 233

25% 73% 2% 72

55% 40% 3% 2% 135

31% 57% 8% 3% 51

55% 40% 3% 2% 135

31% 57% 8% 3% 51

36% 55% 7% 2% 305

35% 62% 1% 2% 94

42% 49% 7% 2% 397

24% 70% 6% 108

46% 46% 6% 2% 304

43% 47% 7% 3% 78

47% 42% 9% 1% 162

48% 43% 9% 21

38% 56% 6% 53

45% 49% 3% 3% 142

42% 48% 6% 5% 58

10% 84% 6% 55

47% 45% 6% 2% 255

40% 51% 6% 4% 49

41% 49% 8% 2% 113

19% 77% 4% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 47% 30

13% 73% 13% 25

47% 42% 11% 1% 131

48% 48% 2% 2% 124

48% 40% 12% 15

45% 41% 8% 6% 43

28% 66% 5% 1% 123

41% 49% 9% 1% 163

41% 52% 5% 2% 327

44% 44% 11% 1% 85

37% 55% 6% 1% 79

43% 47% 9% 2% 131

48% 45% 4% 2% 173

38% 37% 24% 11

35% 56% 7% 2% 26

18% 82% 13

25% 68% 7% 95

50% 43% 1% 5% 41

53% 37% 8% 3% 167

37% 59% 3% 1% 80

34% 62% 4% 124

33% 56% 9% 3% 120

57% 34% 5% 4% 185

30% 62% 7% 1% 280

41% 57% 2% 25

60% 28% 10% 1% 85

37% 55% 8% 0% 151

54% 39% 1% 6% 100

25% 68% 6% 1% 155

69% 22% 5% 4% 129

29% 62% 6% 3% 56

77% 17% 2% 4% 110

42% 47% 11% 31

23% 51% 23% 3% 19

13% 80% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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26% 71% 4% 35

46% 46% 8% 1% 295

38% 58% 3% 2% 94

31% 59% 6% 5% 55

8% 61% 31% 2

31% 45% 6% 19% 9

48% 42% 9% 1% 240

21% 79% 24

49% 46% 5% 24

35% 61% 4% 7

33% 60% 4% 3% 195

33% 62% 1% 4% 107

43% 50% 4% 3% 89

34% 59% 7% 33

56% 32% 11% 60

42% 50% 8% 140

34% 54% 12% 25

37% 51% 8% 5% 36

86% 9% 4% 1% 176

45% 38% 14% 3% 37

12% 79% 7% 2% 278

85% 9% 4% 1% 220

22% 35% 34% 9% 34

2% 93% 4% 1% 237

83% 11% 4% 2% 219

30% 35% 31% 4% 45

2% 93% 4% 1% 227

84% 9% 5% 2% 227

21% 28% 37% 13% 14

3% 91% 6% 1% 250

41% 51% 7% 2% 462

44% 56% 29

39% 57% 4% 145

40% 53% 5% 2% 138

41% 48% 8% 3% 132

46% 36% 14% 4% 46

100% 1

4% 89% 5% 2% 230

28% 55% 17% 15

81% 10% 7% 2% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 85% 3% 2% 93

24% 66% 8% 1% 188

62% 31% 6% 1% 110

78% 15% 5% 2% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

42% 50% 6% 2% 406

34% 61% 3% 3% 72

30% 30% 40% 12

42% 51% 6% 1% 197

41% 53% 5% 1% 256

41% 53% 5% 2% 301

41% 53% 4% 2% 357

41% 51% 6% 2% 491

41% 51% 6% 2% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC3Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

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36% 55% 3% 6% 520

25% 65% 2% 8% 100

36% 46% 7% 11% 85

39% 54% 4% 3% 130

57% 41% 1% 1% 42

44% 56% 39

30% 59% 11% 45

36% 58% 7% 78

44% 56% 45

27% 64% 3% 6% 34

52% 44% 2% 2% 33

35% 53% 1% 11% 32

35% 55% 3% 7% 376

41% 47% 5% 6% 99

37% 56% 2% 6% 285

32% 59% 3% 6% 136

39% 44% 9% 8% 40

36% 56% 2% 6% 480

42% 46% 3% 9% 225

25% 67% 3% 4% 112

34% 60% 2% 3% 167

50% 34% 10% 7% 15

43% 53% 4% 71

33% 57% 10% 55

50% 50% 5

7% 93% 19

25% 67% 3% 4% 112

42% 46% 3% 9% 225

46% 43% 3% 9% 66

35% 57% 3% 6% 454

43% 53% 3% 1% 239

31% 56% 2% 10% 281

42% 54% 2% 1% 174

44% 50% 5% 1% 66

28% 58% 3% 11% 165

35% 54% 2% 10% 116

33% 61% 1% 5% 53

35% 56% 3% 6% 338

37% 52% 4% 7% 117

65% 27% 2% 5% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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22% 77% 1% 105

33% 53% 5% 9% 164

44% 48% 2% 6% 154

45% 45% 3% 8% 98

29% 62% 3% 6% 269

44% 48% 2% 6% 154

45% 45% 3% 8% 98

36% 61% 3% 0% 133

51% 44% 3% 2% 106

22% 64% 3% 11% 136

39% 49% 2% 10% 145

41% 50% 2% 8% 390

14% 81% 6% 56

27% 70% 3% 53

34% 45% 14% 8% 21

29% 71% 70

44% 45% 2% 9% 320

21% 79% 11

12% 81% 7% 45

100% 18

42% 53% 5% 35

10% 68% 22% 6

43% 36% 11% 11% 15

45% 51% 3% 1% 194

37% 48% 1% 14% 196

35% 65% 18

4% 88% 9% 38

30% 70% 17

26% 69% 4% 36

51% 41% 1% 7% 131

32% 59% 3% 6% 389

82% 13% 3% 3% 190

19% 52% 9% 20% 106

6% 92% 0% 2% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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78% 17% 3% 2% 104

86% 8% 2% 4% 87

9% 91% 95

3% 93% 0% 3% 129

30% 58% 11% 2% 41

13% 48% 7% 32% 65

78% 20% 2% 79

84% 8% 3% 5% 111

6% 91% 3% 125

6% 93% 0% 1% 99

13% 58% 11% 18% 64

29% 42% 5% 24% 42

72% 18% 4% 6% 225

15% 59% 6% 19% 38

8% 86% 1% 4% 258

91% 6% 2% 2% 141

55% 32% 6% 8% 39

23% 51% 8% 18% 120

14% 86% 44

3% 94% 0% 2% 176

77% 11% 4% 8% 209

4% 92% 2% 3% 220

21% 75% 1% 3% 51

18% 66% 5% 10% 23

25% 34% 9% 33% 18

72% 21% 2% 5% 236

13% 50% 16% 21% 50

5% 91% 0% 4% 233

87% 8% 2% 3% 91

63% 28% 3% 6% 146

7% 83% 3% 7% 284

82% 13% 3% 3% 190

19% 52% 9% 20% 106

18% 74% 8% 35

4% 95% 0% 1% 189

4% 94% 0% 2% 195

23% 62% 6% 9% 63

15% 59% 6% 19% 38

19% 56% 8% 17% 31

81% 12% 3% 5% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 36% 18% 14

49% 46% 3% 2% 77

37% 56% 1% 6% 134

33% 58% 3% 6% 296

36% 59% 4% 1% 136

51% 45% 2% 2% 103

29% 56% 3% 11% 160

33% 56% 1% 9% 121

36% 55% 1% 8% 232

19% 69% 12% 0% 64

48% 42% 3% 7% 158

26% 72% 2% 67

48% 42% 3% 7% 158

26% 72% 2% 67

33% 58% 3% 6% 296

26% 64% 4% 6% 103

39% 53% 3% 6% 418

29% 62% 3% 5% 111

40% 49% 3% 8% 313

32% 64% 2% 2% 97

46% 50% 3% 1% 158

35% 58% 5% 2% 34

37% 61% 1% 47

35% 49% 2% 14% 154

30% 67% 1% 2% 63

23% 63% 5% 9% 64

42% 46% 2% 9% 257

33% 63% 4% 1% 55

39% 56% 0% 5% 133

15% 76% 7% 2% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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40% 60% 34

43% 40% 17% 32

48% 47% 4% 1% 134

36% 46% 1% 18% 124

37% 63% 26

36% 61% 1% 1% 40

22% 70% 6% 1% 130

33% 60% 3% 5% 191

39% 52% 3% 7% 330

43% 51% 5% 95

22% 69% 9% 96

35% 56% 3% 6% 141

45% 44% 3% 9% 171

27% 72% 1% 23

31% 68% 2% 32

16% 84% 17

31% 59% 4% 6% 94

36% 57% 4% 4% 42

49% 42% 2% 7% 163

46% 52% 2% 72

34% 56% 3% 7% 115

22% 67% 4% 6% 170

54% 40% 2% 4% 177

27% 64% 3% 6% 319

27% 50% 1% 22% 24

58% 38% 2% 1% 78

35% 60% 4% 1% 162

51% 40% 2% 7% 100

20% 65% 3% 12% 181

67% 24% 2% 6% 120

27% 72% 1% 57

83% 10% 2% 5% 91

54% 44% 1% 23

20% 69% 2% 9% 30

8% 90% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 55% 2% 14% 31

42% 51% 2% 5% 288

31% 61% 6% 2% 126

25% 61% 14% 59

100% 2

39% 46% 10% 5% 14

45% 47% 1% 6% 231

20% 80% 21

29% 65% 5% 29

45% 25% 16% 15% 7

29% 60% 4% 7% 232

41% 52% 0% 6% 81

33% 55% 1% 11% 79

32% 66% 1% 45

48% 50% 2% 65

32% 57% 6% 5% 148

33% 59% 1% 7% 40

37% 49% 3% 12% 62

79% 12% 3% 6% 175

40% 36% 8% 16% 40

12% 82% 2% 5% 306

83% 10% 3% 4% 203

12% 57% 11% 20% 45

6% 88% 2% 5% 272

83% 10% 2% 4% 205

17% 44% 9% 30% 57

4% 93% 2% 2% 258

78% 12% 3% 7% 210

44% 23% 18% 15% 21

6% 88% 1% 5% 289

37% 55% 3% 5% 493

23% 52% 5% 20% 27

35% 61% 3% 1% 150

34% 55% 1% 10% 114

40% 55% 2% 3% 181

39% 35% 10% 16% 48

5% 89% 2% 4% 259

31% 46% 10% 13% 9

75% 16% 3% 6% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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6% 84% 4% 6% 121

28% 67% 1% 4% 186

56% 32% 2% 10% 117

70% 23% 1% 6% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

37% 56% 2% 5% 424

31% 54% 4% 12% 80

47% 40% 13% 17

33% 58% 2% 7% 211

34% 59% 1% 6% 255

36% 57% 2% 5% 306

36% 57% 1% 5% 351

36% 55% 3% 6% 520

36% 55% 3% 6% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC3GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC3 BETTER JOB / EDUCATION TOTAL

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42% 51% 4% 3% 491

35% 56% 4% 4% 92

38% 56% 5% 1% 75

39% 50% 5% 6% 130

72% 24% 0% 3% 36

59% 39% 3% 41

50% 38% 11% 38

32% 64% 4% 79

30% 66% 5% 67

36% 53% 5% 6% 43

70% 25% 1% 4% 23

42% 50% 5% 3% 20

43% 49% 5% 3% 338

60% 30% 6% 4% 90

43% 51% 4% 2% 259

29% 63% 5% 3% 142

47% 37% 14% 2% 25

42% 51% 4% 3% 466

52% 41% 3% 3% 206

25% 68% 7% 122

40% 51% 4% 5% 149

61% 33% 6% 14

41% 47% 7% 5% 61

46% 47% 2% 5% 53

100% 5

12% 77% 11% 10

25% 68% 7% 122

52% 41% 3% 3% 206

32% 62% 6% 42

43% 50% 5% 3% 449

47% 44% 7% 2% 236

38% 57% 2% 4% 255

49% 42% 8% 1% 160

43% 48% 6% 4% 76

35% 63% 2% 126

41% 51% 3% 5% 130

35% 45% 14% 6% 45

42% 51% 4% 2% 286

41% 53% 2% 4% 145

61% 34% 5% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 61% 2% 2% 97

43% 44% 11% 2% 120

46% 48% 3% 3% 160

41% 52% 1% 5% 114

39% 52% 7% 2% 217

46% 48% 3% 3% 160

41% 52% 1% 5% 114

43% 42% 12% 2% 122

50% 46% 2% 2% 114

34% 64% 1% 95

40% 52% 3% 5% 161

48% 44% 5% 3% 368

9% 82% 5% 4% 65

34% 63% 3% 38

51% 46% 1% 2% 20

47% 47% 3% 3% 59

48% 44% 5% 3% 309

100% 20

13% 74% 7% 6% 45

31% 69% 13

35% 60% 5% 24

40% 60% 5

54% 42% 1% 3% 15

52% 38% 7% 3% 176

45% 50% 2% 3% 193

8% 77% 14% 21

9% 84% 7% 44

41% 55% 4% 30

8% 92% 8

46% 48% 3% 3% 151

40% 52% 5% 3% 340

85% 10% 2% 4% 194

37% 46% 15% 2% 96

3% 92% 2% 3% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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85% 11% 2% 2% 104

85% 8% 2% 6% 90

4% 89% 4% 4% 81

3% 95% 2% 120

37% 39% 23% 52

36% 54% 5% 4% 45

85% 12% 1% 1% 74

84% 8% 3% 5% 119

3% 90% 4% 4% 85

4% 94% 2% 116

34% 48% 19% 57

41% 44% 10% 5% 39

79% 14% 3% 3% 219

48% 18% 27% 8% 24

8% 86% 3% 2% 248

87% 7% 3% 3% 148

75% 19% 6% 40

40% 44% 14% 2% 103

7% 74% 6% 13% 32

2% 96% 1% 1% 168

86% 8% 3% 2% 212

2% 94% 2% 2% 209

23% 55% 20% 2% 47

50% 50% 4

69% 18% 13% 9

21% 57% 21% 9

69% 24% 4% 3% 255

39% 30% 26% 5% 36

8% 88% 1% 2% 200

79% 13% 5% 3% 94

63% 30% 3% 3% 161

13% 79% 5% 3% 236

85% 10% 2% 4% 194

37% 46% 15% 2% 96

6% 91% 3% 34

3% 93% 2% 3% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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5% 92% 1% 3% 185

20% 68% 11% 1% 63

48% 18% 27% 8% 24

64% 31% 5% 21

81% 12% 3% 3% 198

35% 63% 2% 8

50% 47% 3% 72

48% 41% 5% 5% 106

38% 55% 5% 2% 305

45% 46% 9% 1% 146

50% 42% 5% 4% 90

32% 63% 2% 3% 159

47% 47% 1% 5% 96

43% 48% 7% 2% 233

22% 76% 0% 2% 72

57% 37% 1% 5% 135

25% 63% 8% 4% 51

57% 37% 1% 5% 135

25% 63% 8% 4% 51

38% 55% 5% 2% 305

35% 61% 1% 3% 94

44% 48% 5% 3% 397

25% 69% 5% 2% 108

48% 45% 5% 3% 304

45% 49% 1% 5% 78

49% 41% 9% 1% 162

48% 47% 4% 21

38% 52% 6% 4% 53

46% 49% 1% 5% 142

43% 50% 2% 5% 58

11% 84% 4% 55

51% 42% 5% 2% 255

30% 61% 3% 7% 49

42% 50% 3% 5% 113

19% 77% 4% 0% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 40% 6% 30

15% 75% 10% 25

52% 37% 10% 1% 131

50% 47% 1% 3% 124

48% 46% 6% 15

48% 43% 2% 7% 43

23% 70% 4% 3% 123

45% 46% 7% 2% 163

41% 53% 3% 3% 327

46% 40% 12% 2% 85

43% 53% 1% 3% 79

46% 43% 8% 2% 131

49% 46% 2% 3% 173

38% 52% 10% 11

38% 56% 6% 26

18% 82% 13

25% 67% 6% 2% 95

50% 44% 2% 3% 41

53% 39% 5% 3% 167

42% 55% 1% 2% 80

36% 57% 4% 3% 124

33% 58% 6% 3% 120

59% 34% 4% 3% 185

32% 60% 5% 3% 280

35% 65% 1% 25

61% 30% 7% 2% 85

39% 52% 8% 2% 151

57% 38% 1% 4% 100

25% 69% 2% 3% 155

75% 19% 3% 3% 129

22% 69% 6% 4% 56

82% 14% 1% 3% 110

38% 51% 10% 1% 31

31% 53% 13% 3% 19

3% 91% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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23% 74% 0% 3% 35

47% 45% 6% 2% 295

39% 56% 1% 4% 94

34% 59% 6% 1% 55

39% 61% 2

29% 45% 27% 9

51% 40% 7% 3% 240

21% 79% 24

38% 58% 5% 24

39% 61% 7

34% 59% 2% 4% 195

33% 64% 0% 3% 107

45% 49% 4% 3% 89

43% 50% 6% 33

55% 36% 7% 2% 60

46% 45% 8% 1% 140

30% 58% 10% 2% 25

34% 57% 3% 7% 36

88% 6% 3% 3% 176

43% 37% 14% 7% 37

13% 81% 4% 2% 278

89% 6% 2% 2% 220

19% 36% 37% 7% 34

1% 94% 2% 3% 237

85% 11% 2% 2% 219

37% 25% 27% 11% 45

2% 94% 2% 2% 227

85% 8% 3% 3% 227

29% 21% 37% 13% 14

3% 91% 3% 2% 250

41% 51% 5% 3% 462

53% 47% 29

38% 60% 1% 1% 145

41% 54% 3% 2% 138

42% 45% 7% 7% 132

52% 29% 14% 4% 46

100% 1

4% 90% 3% 3% 230

18% 52% 30% 15

82% 9% 4% 4% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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14% 79% 4% 3% 93

26% 66% 4% 3% 188

63% 31% 5% 1% 110

76% 17% 4% 3% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

44% 50% 4% 3% 406

32% 60% 2% 6% 72

30% 30% 40% 12

41% 53% 3% 3% 197

41% 54% 2% 2% 256

42% 53% 2% 3% 301

43% 52% 2% 3% 357

42% 51% 4% 3% 491

42% 51% 4% 3% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC4Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

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36% 57% 2% 4% 520

28% 65% 2% 5% 100

37% 55% 3% 5% 85

38% 56% 5% 1% 130

54% 39% 3% 4% 42

43% 55% 3% 39

30% 65% 5% 45

32% 58% 2% 8% 78

39% 58% 3% 45

28% 65% 6% 2% 34

52% 43% 3% 2% 33

32% 57% 11% 32

35% 58% 2% 5% 376

37% 54% 5% 5% 99

38% 55% 2% 5% 285

32% 64% 1% 3% 136

31% 55% 9% 6% 40

36% 57% 2% 4% 480

46% 45% 2% 7% 225

21% 77% 2% 112

33% 61% 2% 4% 167

34% 50% 10% 7% 15

45% 48% 4% 3% 71

33% 58% 2% 7% 55

100% 5

7% 93% 19

21% 77% 2% 112

46% 45% 2% 7% 225

47% 44% 4% 6% 66

34% 59% 2% 4% 454

41% 54% 3% 2% 239

32% 60% 2% 6% 281

40% 56% 3% 1% 174

41% 49% 4% 6% 66

30% 60% 2% 7% 165

34% 59% 2% 5% 116

34% 66% 53

36% 58% 2% 4% 338

38% 53% 4% 6% 117

40% 32% 4% 23% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 79% 1% 105

34% 57% 3% 6% 164

43% 49% 3% 5% 154

46% 47% 2% 5% 98

28% 66% 2% 4% 269

43% 49% 3% 5% 154

46% 47% 2% 5% 98

34% 63% 3% 0% 133

49% 44% 4% 4% 106

22% 69% 2% 7% 136

41% 51% 2% 6% 145

43% 50% 2% 5% 390

6% 93% 2% 56

21% 74% 5% 53

31% 50% 12% 7% 21

29% 71% 70

46% 46% 2% 7% 320

100% 11

7% 91% 2% 45

100% 18

32% 60% 8% 35

10% 68% 22% 6

39% 43% 9% 9% 15

45% 50% 2% 2% 194

40% 50% 1% 9% 196

10% 84% 6% 18

4% 96% 38

24% 76% 17

20% 73% 7% 36

53% 42% 5% 131

30% 62% 3% 4% 389

82% 12% 3% 3% 190

22% 60% 6% 12% 106

4% 94% 1% 1% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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79% 18% 2% 1% 104

85% 5% 4% 6% 87

4% 93% 1% 1% 95

3% 95% 0% 2% 129

28% 55% 11% 7% 41

19% 63% 2% 16% 65

73% 21% 3% 3% 79

87% 6% 3% 3% 111

5% 94% 1% 125

2% 95% 1% 2% 99

17% 67% 6% 10% 64

30% 49% 5% 16% 42

73% 19% 4% 4% 225

20% 60% 5% 15% 38

6% 90% 1% 3% 258

91% 5% 2% 2% 141

50% 41% 3% 6% 39

27% 56% 6% 12% 120

7% 90% 3% 44

2% 96% 1% 1% 176

79% 11% 4% 6% 209

2% 97% 0% 1% 220

22% 76% 2% 51

17% 68% 10% 4% 23

20% 37% 10% 33% 18

72% 23% 3% 2% 236

8% 67% 9% 16% 50

6% 90% 1% 4% 233

88% 8% 3% 2% 91

62% 32% 3% 3% 146

6% 86% 2% 6% 284

82% 12% 3% 3% 190

22% 60% 6% 12% 106

6% 85% 3% 6% 35

3% 96% 0% 1% 189

3% 94% 1% 2% 195

14% 78% 2% 6% 63

20% 60% 5% 15% 38

20% 55% 8% 17% 31

82% 13% 3% 2% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 44% 10% 14

46% 48% 3% 2% 77

37% 59% 2% 2% 134

32% 59% 3% 5% 296

35% 59% 4% 2% 136

48% 48% 2% 2% 103

30% 60% 2% 8% 160

35% 59% 2% 4% 121

38% 55% 1% 7% 232

14% 77% 9% 64

50% 44% 3% 3% 158

18% 80% 0% 2% 67

50% 44% 3% 3% 158

18% 80% 0% 2% 67

32% 59% 3% 5% 296

25% 68% 1% 6% 103

39% 55% 3% 4% 418

30% 68% 2% 111

40% 52% 2% 6% 313

31% 61% 4% 5% 97

43% 53% 3% 1% 158

35% 49% 7% 8% 34

35% 64% 1% 47

36% 52% 2% 10% 154

28% 67% 2% 2% 63

27% 71% 2% 64

42% 49% 2% 7% 257

27% 68% 4% 1% 55

44% 53% 1% 3% 133

7% 86% 6% 1% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 55% 34

51% 45% 4% 32

47% 49% 3% 1% 134

38% 49% 1% 13% 124

40% 52% 9% 26

39% 58% 3% 40

16% 78% 5% 1% 130

30% 61% 3% 6% 191

39% 55% 2% 3% 330

39% 53% 5% 2% 95

21% 68% 1% 9% 96

33% 58% 3% 6% 141

45% 47% 2% 5% 171

27% 72% 1% 23

27% 66% 3% 4% 32

16% 77% 7% 17

33% 66% 1% 94

35% 52% 5% 8% 42

51% 42% 2% 5% 163

36% 60% 2% 2% 72

39% 61% 0% 0% 115

19% 69% 5% 7% 170

54% 41% 2% 3% 177

26% 67% 3% 4% 319

31% 52% 1% 16% 24

60% 38% 2% 78

31% 62% 4% 3% 162

49% 44% 2% 5% 100

23% 68% 2% 7% 181

69% 25% 2% 4% 120

22% 75% 3% 57

86% 10% 2% 2% 91

45% 49% 6% 23

19% 72% 9% 30

6% 92% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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22% 73% 5% 31

43% 51% 2% 5% 288

26% 65% 5% 4% 126

32% 65% 3% 59

100% 2

41% 42% 12% 5% 14

48% 46% 1% 5% 231

15% 85% 21

20% 71% 9% 29

45% 32% 12% 11% 7

28% 65% 3% 4% 232

42% 54% 4% 81

34% 56% 1% 9% 79

26% 67% 7% 45

48% 46% 6% 65

30% 62% 4% 4% 148

32% 64% 1% 3% 40

43% 54% 2% 2% 62

81% 12% 3% 3% 175

32% 37% 10% 21% 40

11% 85% 1% 3% 306

83% 9% 3% 4% 203

16% 53% 13% 18% 45

4% 94% 0% 2% 272

85% 10% 3% 2% 205

10% 56% 12% 23% 57

3% 95% 0% 2% 258

79% 12% 4% 5% 210

26% 24% 25% 25% 21

5% 93% 0% 2% 289

36% 57% 2% 4% 493

28% 61% 5% 7% 27

34% 64% 1% 1% 150

35% 58% 1% 5% 114

39% 56% 2% 3% 181

37% 36% 9% 18% 48

3% 94% 0% 2% 259

26% 50% 10% 13% 9

75% 14% 5% 6% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 89% 1% 2% 121

23% 70% 2% 5% 186

63% 33% 1% 3% 117

67% 24% 2% 7% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

37% 58% 1% 4% 424

34% 55% 3% 7% 80

25% 49% 26% 17

35% 60% 2% 3% 211

35% 60% 2% 3% 255

36% 59% 2% 3% 306

37% 58% 2% 3% 351

36% 57% 2% 4% 520

36% 57% 2% 4% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC4GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC4 BETTER JOB / HEALTH CARE TOTAL

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46% 48% 3% 3% 491

43% 55% 1% 2% 92

45% 53% 1% 75

44% 47% 6% 4% 130

73% 27% 36

54% 37% 4% 4% 41

42% 42% 8% 8% 38

39% 55% 4% 2% 79

38% 55% 5% 2% 67

42% 41% 11% 6% 43

70% 30% 23

53% 47% 20

46% 49% 3% 3% 338

55% 36% 4% 5% 90

48% 47% 4% 2% 259

37% 58% 3% 2% 142

49% 45% 4% 2% 25

46% 48% 3% 3% 466

55% 38% 3% 4% 206

30% 66% 3% 1% 122

45% 50% 3% 2% 149

62% 28% 5% 4% 14

44% 50% 5% 1% 61

48% 48% 2% 2% 53

100% 5

18% 70% 11% 10

30% 66% 3% 1% 122

55% 38% 3% 4% 206

33% 65% 3% 42

47% 47% 3% 3% 449

52% 41% 5% 1% 236

40% 54% 2% 4% 255

54% 41% 5% 160

49% 42% 7% 3% 76

35% 59% 2% 4% 126

45% 50% 1% 5% 130

41% 47% 9% 3% 45

46% 49% 4% 2% 286

46% 49% 1% 4% 145

66% 25% 4% 4% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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40% 58% 2% 97

47% 42% 10% 1% 120

47% 47% 1% 4% 160

47% 48% 0% 5% 114

44% 49% 7% 1% 217

47% 47% 1% 4% 160

47% 48% 0% 5% 114

50% 41% 8% 122

55% 41% 2% 2% 114

36% 59% 4% 1% 95

42% 52% 6% 161

51% 43% 3% 3% 368

13% 78% 5% 4% 65

48% 49% 3% 38

61% 35% 3% 20

50% 47% 3% 59

51% 43% 3% 3% 309

100% 20

19% 68% 7% 6% 45

47% 53% 13

49% 46% 5% 24

66% 34% 5

60% 36% 4% 15

55% 39% 5% 1% 176

46% 47% 2% 4% 193

11% 74% 14% 21

14% 79% 7% 44

59% 37% 4% 30

8% 92% 8

51% 46% 0% 3% 151

44% 49% 5% 2% 340

89% 6% 2% 2% 194

44% 42% 9% 4% 96

5% 91% 2% 2% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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87% 8% 3% 1% 104

91% 4% 1% 4% 90

6% 90% 4% 1% 81

5% 92% 3% 120

55% 33% 12% 52

31% 54% 6% 9% 45

87% 9% 3% 2% 74

90% 5% 2% 3% 119

6% 91% 4% 85

5% 91% 3% 116

45% 39% 16% 57

42% 47% 11% 39

86% 7% 3% 3% 219

55% 24% 13% 7% 24

9% 87% 2% 2% 248

91% 5% 2% 2% 148

80% 12% 4% 4% 40

48% 40% 9% 4% 103

11% 80% 6% 4% 32

4% 94% 1% 2% 168

93% 3% 3% 2% 212

3% 95% 2% 209

26% 48% 22% 4% 47

100% 4

69% 18% 13% 9

35% 28% 7% 30% 9

75% 19% 3% 3% 255

46% 35% 14% 5% 36

9% 88% 2% 1% 200

85% 10% 4% 1% 94

68% 24% 2% 5% 161

15% 80% 4% 2% 236

89% 6% 2% 2% 194

44% 42% 9% 4% 96

15% 80% 5% 34

3% 93% 2% 1% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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5% 92% 2% 1% 185

23% 72% 3% 2% 63

55% 24% 13% 7% 24

88% 12% 21

86% 6% 4% 4% 198

37% 63% 8

55% 44% 2% 72

51% 39% 5% 6% 106

42% 52% 4% 2% 305

52% 41% 6% 1% 146

53% 41% 5% 1% 90

34% 62% 2% 3% 159

51% 42% 1% 7% 96

46% 48% 5% 2% 233

31% 66% 1% 2% 72

59% 36% 1% 4% 135

32% 56% 8% 3% 51

59% 36% 1% 4% 135

32% 56% 8% 3% 51

42% 52% 4% 2% 305

39% 58% 2% 2% 94

48% 46% 4% 3% 397

29% 67% 3% 1% 108

51% 43% 3% 3% 304

49% 43% 4% 4% 78

55% 39% 6% 1% 162

53% 40% 3% 4% 21

45% 50% 6% 53

47% 47% 1% 5% 142

47% 44% 5% 4% 58

15% 83% 2% 55

53% 41% 4% 2% 255

39% 53% 2% 6% 49

44% 49% 2% 4% 113

27% 68% 5% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 47% 30

18% 78% 4% 25

56% 37% 6% 1% 131

51% 45% 1% 4% 124

54% 40% 6% 15

50% 38% 6% 6% 43

32% 62% 4% 2% 123

46% 45% 7% 1% 163

46% 49% 2% 3% 327

48% 43% 9% 85

44% 48% 5% 3% 79

48% 43% 7% 2% 131

53% 42% 1% 4% 173

38% 37% 24% 11

43% 55% 2% 26

18% 82% 13

31% 65% 3% 1% 95

55% 37% 2% 7% 41

57% 34% 5% 4% 167

46% 51% 3% 80

37% 60% 2% 1% 124

39% 54% 4% 3% 120

65% 31% 2% 2% 185

33% 59% 5% 3% 280

45% 52% 3% 25

67% 29% 4% 85

44% 48% 6% 1% 151

63% 33% 4% 100

25% 68% 3% 4% 155

79% 19% 2% 129

31% 60% 5% 3% 56

88% 11% 1% 110

45% 45% 10% 31

31% 66% 3% 19

13% 80% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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24% 72% 3% 35

50% 44% 4% 1% 295

46% 52% 1% 2% 94

38% 52% 6% 5% 55

39% 61% 2

39% 17% 7% 37% 9

52% 41% 5% 2% 240

21% 79% 24

56% 40% 5% 24

61% 39% 7

39% 54% 2% 4% 195

38% 59% 1% 3% 107

50% 45% 1% 3% 89

42% 47% 3% 7% 33

58% 25% 11% 5% 60

48% 48% 4% 0% 140

37% 58% 3% 2% 25

42% 55% 3% 36

94% 3% 2% 1% 176

42% 43% 7% 8% 37

16% 77% 4% 3% 278

94% 2% 2% 1% 220

31% 35% 21% 13% 34

3% 92% 2% 2% 237

91% 5% 2% 3% 219

38% 40% 13% 9% 45

4% 91% 3% 1% 227

91% 5% 1% 2% 227

33% 35% 19% 13% 14

5% 88% 4% 2% 250

45% 48% 4% 3% 462

57% 43% 29

42% 55% 3% 1% 145

43% 54% 2% 2% 138

48% 44% 4% 4% 132

54% 25% 12% 9% 46

100% 1

6% 88% 4% 2% 230

28% 53% 13% 7% 15

88% 7% 2% 4% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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24% 71% 2% 3% 93

26% 68% 4% 3% 188

64% 27% 7% 2% 110

86% 13% 1% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

47% 47% 4% 2% 406

45% 49% 6% 72

30% 65% 5% 12

43% 49% 4% 3% 197

43% 51% 3% 3% 256

44% 51% 3% 3% 301

45% 50% 3% 3% 357

46% 48% 3% 3% 491

46% 48% 3% 3% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC5Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

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41% 53% 3% 4% 520

30% 64% 6% 100

47% 47% 2% 4% 85

38% 54% 6% 2% 130

54% 31% 3% 11% 42

43% 57% 39

36% 53% 6% 5% 45

45% 54% 1% 78

40% 60% 45

29% 65% 3% 4% 34

53% 33% 4% 11% 33

32% 57% 11% 32

41% 53% 3% 3% 376

47% 45% 3% 5% 99

41% 52% 3% 3% 285

34% 62% 0% 4% 136

34% 53% 6% 6% 40

41% 53% 2% 4% 480

52% 42% 2% 5% 225

24% 72% 1% 3% 112

38% 56% 4% 3% 167

28% 56% 10% 7% 15

46% 45% 9% 71

35% 56% 9% 55

50% 50% 5

19% 81% 19

24% 72% 1% 3% 112

52% 42% 2% 5% 225

46% 36% 8% 10% 66

40% 56% 2% 3% 454

46% 48% 5% 1% 239

36% 57% 0% 6% 281

43% 53% 3% 174

54% 33% 9% 3% 66

31% 61% 1% 7% 165

43% 52% 0% 5% 116

51% 49% 53

37% 57% 2% 4% 338

44% 45% 5% 6% 117

63% 30% 2% 5% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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24% 75% 1% 105

36% 53% 4% 7% 164

50% 45% 3% 2% 154

50% 42% 1% 6% 98

32% 62% 3% 4% 269

50% 45% 3% 2% 154

50% 42% 1% 6% 98

38% 56% 6% 0% 133

57% 38% 4% 1% 106

25% 67% 8% 136

45% 49% 1% 5% 145

47% 47% 2% 4% 390

19% 81% 56

18% 73% 2% 7% 53

37% 45% 11% 7% 21

31% 69% 70

50% 42% 3% 5% 320

21% 79% 11

18% 82% 45

100% 18

28% 59% 3% 10% 35

19% 59% 22% 6

44% 40% 7% 9% 15

50% 44% 5% 1% 194

43% 50% 7% 196

39% 61% 18

10% 90% 38

17% 83% 17

19% 68% 3% 10% 36

55% 39% 1% 5% 131

36% 58% 3% 4% 389

87% 9% 1% 3% 190

28% 52% 10% 11% 106

7% 91% 0% 1% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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84% 13% 1% 1% 104

89% 4% 1% 5% 87

7% 93% 95

7% 90% 0% 2% 129

40% 33% 26% 2% 41

21% 63% 16% 65

80% 17% 1% 1% 79

91% 4% 1% 4% 111

6% 93% 1% 125

9% 89% 0% 2% 99

21% 55% 10% 14% 64

39% 46% 10% 5% 42

76% 14% 5% 5% 225

20% 61% 5% 15% 38

13% 86% 0% 1% 258

90% 5% 2% 3% 141

80% 16% 1% 3% 39

31% 50% 9% 9% 120

12% 88% 44

6% 93% 0% 2% 176

84% 8% 3% 6% 209

5% 93% 1% 1% 220

30% 63% 7% 51

18% 77% 5% 23

36% 32% 33% 18

77% 17% 3% 3% 236

16% 64% 9% 12% 50

9% 88% 1% 3% 233

91% 3% 5% 1% 91

68% 25% 2% 5% 146

10% 84% 2% 4% 284

87% 9% 1% 3% 190

28% 52% 10% 11% 106

28% 70% 2% 35

4% 95% 0% 1% 189

6% 93% 0% 1% 195

35% 63% 2% 63

20% 61% 5% 15% 38

31% 44% 12% 12% 31

83% 10% 4% 4% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 39% 10% 14

49% 43% 5% 3% 77

41% 57% 2% 134

38% 55% 3% 4% 296

41% 52% 6% 1% 136

53% 43% 3% 1% 103

35% 57% 1% 8% 160

37% 59% 5% 121

43% 50% 3% 4% 232

18% 72% 5% 5% 64

52% 42% 2% 3% 158

25% 72% 3% 67

52% 42% 2% 3% 158

25% 72% 3% 67

38% 55% 3% 4% 296

36% 55% 3% 6% 103

42% 53% 2% 3% 418

29% 70% 1% 111

45% 46% 3% 5% 313

38% 56% 3% 3% 97

52% 41% 6% 1% 158

38% 56% 4% 2% 34

34% 65% 1% 47

39% 51% 0% 10% 154

38% 56% 2% 4% 63

26% 74% 64

49% 42% 4% 5% 257

29% 64% 0% 6% 55

43% 56% 1% 133

16% 78% 4% 2% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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39% 61% 34

41% 59% 32

56% 36% 7% 1% 134

41% 49% 10% 124

37% 63% 26

52% 44% 4% 40

22% 72% 3% 4% 130

37% 54% 4% 6% 191

43% 53% 2% 3% 330

48% 44% 8% 95

26% 63% 11% 96

37% 51% 4% 8% 141

52% 42% 2% 4% 171

49% 50% 1% 23

27% 68% 5% 32

13% 87% 17

32% 67% 1% 94

40% 51% 5% 4% 42

52% 41% 3% 4% 163

41% 50% 2% 6% 72

48% 49% 2% 1% 115

24% 69% 2% 4% 170

54% 42% 2% 3% 177

34% 59% 3% 4% 319

30% 62% 1% 8% 24

60% 38% 2% 78

40% 53% 6% 1% 162

49% 45% 1% 5% 100

28% 64% 0% 7% 181

69% 28% 1% 1% 120

22% 70% 3% 5% 57

85% 12% 1% 1% 91

47% 34% 6% 13% 23

21% 77% 2% 30

5% 94% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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27% 68% 5% 31

43% 49% 3% 5% 288

38% 58% 2% 2% 126

39% 59% 2% 59

67% 33% 2

45% 41% 10% 5% 14

49% 44% 3% 4% 231

26% 74% 21

13% 71% 4% 13% 29

45% 32% 12% 11% 7

37% 58% 2% 3% 232

45% 50% 2% 3% 81

44% 48% 8% 79

34% 65% 1% 45

57% 39% 5% 65

34% 60% 3% 2% 148

37% 52% 6% 5% 40

36% 54% 2% 8% 62

87% 8% 2% 3% 175

44% 26% 6% 24% 40

14% 82% 2% 2% 306

89% 5% 1% 5% 203

32% 37% 13% 18% 45

6% 92% 2% 1% 272

87% 6% 3% 4% 205

31% 40% 11% 17% 57

6% 93% 0% 1% 258

88% 5% 2% 5% 210

27% 27% 18% 29% 21

7% 90% 2% 1% 289

40% 54% 2% 3% 493

42% 43% 5% 11% 27

37% 57% 5% 1% 150

42% 56% 1% 1% 114

43% 54% 0% 3% 181

39% 36% 7% 18% 48

5% 92% 3% 1% 259

39% 37% 24% 9

81% 11% 2% 6% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 88% 2% 0% 121

27% 67% 2% 3% 186

70% 25% 5% 117

72% 17% 2% 9% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

40% 55% 2% 3% 424

41% 47% 3% 8% 80

48% 45% 7% 17

37% 60% 2% 2% 211

37% 61% 1% 1% 255

39% 58% 2% 1% 306

40% 56% 2% 2% 351

41% 53% 3% 4% 520

41% 53% 3% 4% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC5GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC5 BETTER JOB / IMMIGRATION TOTAL

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50% 44% 3% 2% 491

43% 53% 3% 1% 92

49% 48% 1% 2% 75

47% 44% 5% 5% 130

76% 24% 36

59% 39% 2% 41

55% 37% 8% 38

47% 47% 4% 1% 79

47% 48% 5% 1% 67

44% 41% 11% 4% 43

70% 30% 23

53% 47% 20

50% 45% 2% 2% 338

68% 29% 1% 2% 90

49% 45% 3% 3% 259

42% 53% 4% 1% 142

55% 39% 4% 2% 25

50% 45% 3% 2% 466

61% 35% 2% 2% 206

31% 62% 4% 3% 122

50% 44% 5% 2% 149

67% 33% 14

47% 44% 9% 61

53% 42% 5% 53

24% 76% 5

30% 70% 10

31% 62% 4% 3% 122

61% 35% 2% 2% 206

39% 59% 3% 42

51% 43% 4% 2% 449

59% 35% 6% 236

42% 53% 1% 4% 255

63% 32% 6% 160

53% 42% 5% 76

38% 55% 2% 5% 126

46% 51% 3% 130

48% 46% 7% 45

52% 42% 4% 2% 286

47% 50% 1% 3% 145

71% 29% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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49% 47% 2% 3% 97

53% 35% 10% 2% 120

51% 47% 1% 1% 160

47% 49% 4% 114

51% 40% 6% 2% 217

51% 47% 1% 1% 160

47% 49% 4% 114

62% 29% 9% 122

57% 41% 2% 114

38% 55% 3% 5% 95

45% 52% 3% 161

54% 41% 3% 2% 368

15% 72% 7% 7% 65

63% 34% 3% 38

68% 29% 1% 1% 20

53% 43% 3% 59

55% 41% 3% 2% 309

87% 13% 20

21% 66% 9% 4% 45

85% 15% 13

51% 44% 5% 24

88% 12% 5

62% 34% 2% 2% 15

60% 36% 4% 176

49% 47% 1% 3% 193

17% 63% 20% 21

14% 77% 10% 44

78% 18% 4% 30

8% 92% 8

51% 47% 2% 151

50% 43% 5% 2% 340

91% 6% 1% 1% 194

56% 33% 9% 2% 96

8% 87% 2% 3% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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93% 5% 3% 104

90% 7% 3% 90

8% 87% 6% 81

8% 87% 5% 120

74% 15% 11% 52

36% 54% 6% 4% 45

92% 6% 1% 74

91% 6% 2% 2% 119

6% 83% 5% 6% 85

9% 90% 0% 1% 116

64% 21% 15% 57

45% 51% 5% 39

89% 7% 3% 1% 219

79% 14% 7% 24

13% 80% 4% 2% 248

94% 4% 1% 1% 148

82% 13% 2% 2% 40

59% 31% 8% 2% 103

18% 76% 6% 32

6% 89% 2% 4% 168

95% 2% 2% 1% 212

5% 90% 2% 3% 209

47% 38% 15% 47

100% 4

88% 12% 9

53% 28% 20% 9

77% 20% 2% 1% 255

63% 19% 12% 5% 36

14% 80% 3% 3% 200

86% 9% 4% 1% 94

71% 26% 1% 1% 161

22% 71% 4% 3% 236

91% 6% 1% 1% 194

56% 33% 9% 2% 96

14% 86% 34

6% 87% 3% 4% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 84% 3% 3% 185

23% 70% 7% 63

79% 14% 7% 24

88% 12% 21

89% 7% 3% 1% 198

37% 63% 8

61% 36% 3% 72

58% 36% 4% 2% 106

46% 49% 4% 2% 305

57% 37% 6% 146

64% 32% 5% 90

35% 60% 2% 3% 159

53% 42% 5% 96

49% 46% 4% 1% 233

35% 59% 2% 4% 72

64% 34% 2% 135

43% 46% 8% 3% 51

64% 34% 2% 135

43% 46% 8% 3% 51

46% 49% 4% 2% 305

46% 52% 1% 1% 94

51% 43% 4% 2% 397

34% 60% 3% 3% 108

55% 40% 3% 1% 304

55% 39% 4% 3% 78

60% 34% 6% 162

70% 30% 21

55% 39% 6% 53

50% 47% 3% 142

50% 41% 5% 4% 58

14% 79% 7% 55

57% 40% 3% 1% 255

45% 45% 5% 4% 49

49% 45% 2% 3% 113

34% 59% 4% 3% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 47% 30

22% 74% 4% 25

60% 34% 6% 131

53% 45% 2% 124

73% 27% 15

54% 34% 6% 5% 43

38% 53% 5% 4% 123

53% 39% 7% 1% 163

49% 47% 1% 2% 327

57% 32% 11% 85

48% 46% 3% 3% 79

55% 39% 7% 131

55% 42% 1% 2% 173

56% 10% 24% 10% 11

47% 51% 2% 26

18% 73% 8% 13

37% 58% 3% 3% 95

60% 39% 1% 41

65% 28% 5% 2% 167

41% 54% 5% 80

42% 55% 3% 124

44% 50% 4% 2% 120

71% 25% 2% 2% 185

37% 57% 5% 2% 280

48% 52% 25

81% 15% 4% 85

47% 46% 7% 151

63% 33% 4% 100

28% 66% 2% 4% 155

84% 15% 2% 129

43% 48% 5% 3% 56

90% 9% 1% 110

49% 41% 10% 31

49% 48% 3% 19

36% 57% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 69% 2% 35

55% 39% 4% 2% 295

52% 46% 1% 1% 94

38% 53% 6% 3% 55

39% 61% 2

37% 44% 19% 9

58% 37% 4% 1% 240

21% 63% 5% 10% 24

58% 37% 5% 24

61% 39% 7

43% 52% 2% 2% 195

44% 52% 3% 107

55% 41% 2% 1% 89

45% 53% 2% 33

61% 26% 11% 2% 60

51% 42% 4% 2% 140

43% 57% 25

45% 51% 3% 2% 36

97% 1% 1% 1% 176

66% 32% 2% 37

19% 73% 5% 3% 278

97% 1% 1% 1% 220

49% 30% 14% 7% 34

7% 87% 3% 2% 237

94% 4% 1% 1% 219

56% 22% 13% 9% 45

7% 88% 3% 2% 227

94% 4% 1% 1% 227

75% 13% 13% 14

10% 83% 6% 2% 250

50% 44% 3% 2% 462

53% 43% 4% 29

47% 51% 2% 145

44% 54% 2% 0% 138

53% 37% 5% 5% 132

70% 17% 9% 4% 46

100% 1

10% 83% 5% 2% 230

52% 27% 21% 15

92% 5% 0% 2% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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22% 75% 2% 1% 93

31% 60% 6% 3% 188

70% 26% 3% 2% 110

92% 8% 0% 96

53% 47% 4

51% 44% 3% 1% 406

50% 44% 6% 72

30% 50% 21% 12

48% 46% 4% 2% 197

47% 49% 3% 1% 256

48% 48% 2% 1% 301

48% 47% 2% 2% 357

50% 44% 3% 2% 491

50% 44% 3% 2% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC6Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

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51% 41% 3% 6% 520

40% 50% 1% 8% 100

48% 44% 3% 5% 85

46% 45% 4% 5% 130

71% 22% 7% 42

66% 31% 3% 39

51% 34% 8% 8% 45

57% 35% 8% 78

67% 32% 1% 45

27% 61% 4% 8% 34

74% 17% 9% 33

30% 53% 17% 32

51% 41% 3% 5% 376

58% 32% 4% 6% 99

51% 40% 3% 6% 285

45% 48% 1% 6% 136

55% 35% 6% 4% 40

50% 41% 2% 6% 480

59% 32% 1% 7% 225

36% 56% 2% 6% 112

50% 42% 4% 4% 167

43% 38% 10% 9% 15

59% 30% 7% 3% 71

48% 46% 6% 55

50% 50% 5

20% 74% 6% 19

36% 56% 2% 6% 112

59% 32% 1% 7% 225

55% 25% 9% 11% 66

50% 43% 2% 5% 454

58% 36% 4% 2% 239

45% 45% 2% 9% 281

58% 39% 3% 1% 174

58% 30% 5% 7% 66

46% 44% 3% 7% 165

43% 45% 0% 12% 116

50% 41% 1% 8% 53

52% 41% 3% 4% 338

47% 41% 2% 10% 117

54% 17% 2% 26% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 53% 1% 105

52% 37% 4% 8% 164

54% 36% 3% 7% 154

50% 40% 1% 9% 98

49% 43% 3% 5% 269

54% 36% 3% 7% 154

50% 40% 1% 9% 98

56% 38% 5% 1% 133

59% 34% 2% 4% 106

42% 49% 1% 8% 136

47% 41% 2% 10% 145

55% 37% 2% 6% 390

26% 72% 2% 56

41% 44% 2% 13% 53

53% 26% 11% 10% 21

46% 54% 70

58% 33% 3% 7% 320

44% 56% 11

22% 76% 3% 45

41% 59% 18

41% 36% 3% 20% 35

60% 18% 22% 6

50% 29% 7% 14% 15

61% 33% 3% 3% 194

50% 40% 1% 9% 196

39% 61% 18

20% 77% 3% 38

42% 58% 17

41% 37% 3% 19% 36

57% 36% 0% 7% 131

49% 42% 3% 6% 389

98% 1% 0% 2% 190

34% 41% 6% 19% 106

19% 75% 3% 4% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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99% 0% 1% 104

96% 1% 3% 87

18% 78% 2% 3% 95

19% 73% 4% 5% 129

45% 31% 17% 7% 41

27% 46% 27% 65

99% 1% 79

97% 0% 3% 111

25% 72% 1% 3% 125

11% 79% 5% 5% 99

36% 40% 10% 14% 64

30% 42% 1% 26% 42

85% 9% 2% 4% 225

33% 46% 5% 16% 38

24% 68% 2% 6% 258

98% 1% 1% 141

96% 1% 3% 39

41% 36% 6% 17% 120

19% 73% 3% 6% 44

17% 77% 3% 3% 176

87% 5% 2% 6% 209

16% 76% 3% 5% 220

45% 55% 51

59% 20% 10% 10% 23

56% 9% 35% 18

84% 11% 1% 4% 236

23% 46% 11% 21% 50

23% 70% 2% 5% 233

94% 5% 1% 91

78% 14% 2% 6% 146

23% 66% 4% 8% 284

98% 1% 0% 2% 190

34% 41% 6% 19% 106

31% 63% 6% 35

16% 77% 3% 3% 189

19% 74% 3% 5% 195

37% 50% 2% 12% 63

33% 46% 5% 16% 38

45% 38% 8% 9% 31

91% 4% 1% 4% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 44% 10% 14

57% 35% 5% 3% 77

52% 43% 0% 5% 134

49% 41% 3% 7% 296

56% 38% 4% 3% 136

61% 34% 3% 2% 103

43% 44% 2% 10% 160

47% 45% 1% 7% 121

51% 40% 2% 6% 232

40% 44% 7% 9% 64

62% 31% 3% 5% 158

33% 62% 5% 67

62% 31% 3% 5% 158

33% 62% 5% 67

49% 41% 3% 7% 296

41% 49% 4% 6% 103

53% 39% 2% 6% 418

51% 46% 1% 2% 111

53% 36% 3% 7% 313

41% 48% 4% 7% 97

63% 32% 4% 1% 158

41% 46% 4% 8% 34

52% 45% 1% 2% 47

44% 41% 2% 14% 154

41% 50% 3% 6% 63

51% 47% 2% 64

57% 33% 3% 7% 257

39% 50% 3% 9% 55

54% 42% 1% 3% 133

35% 55% 4% 6% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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55% 42% 3% 34

61% 39% 32

67% 27% 5% 2% 134

45% 41% 1% 13% 124

40% 52% 9% 26

55% 40% 2% 3% 40

36% 53% 4% 7% 130

50% 38% 5% 7% 191

51% 42% 1% 5% 330

61% 27% 8% 3% 95

38% 48% 2% 11% 96

49% 38% 5% 8% 141

57% 35% 1% 7% 171

49% 45% 6% 23

34% 55% 3% 7% 32

71% 29% 17

48% 49% 1% 2% 94

42% 45% 3% 10% 42

63% 28% 3% 7% 163

49% 41% 10% 72

53% 42% 3% 2% 115

38% 52% 3% 7% 170

65% 29% 1% 5% 177

43% 48% 3% 6% 319

53% 31% 1% 15% 24

70% 28% 1% 1% 78

52% 40% 5% 3% 162

61% 30% 1% 8% 100

36% 53% 2% 10% 181

77% 18% 5% 120

39% 53% 4% 5% 57

96% 2% 2% 91

55% 31% 1% 13% 23

21% 65% 13% 30

28% 67% 5% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 40% 10% 31

53% 39% 2% 6% 288

45% 49% 4% 3% 126

49% 41% 10% 59

67% 33% 2

62% 10% 21% 7% 14

55% 38% 1% 6% 231

30% 70% 21

54% 29% 4% 13% 29

48% 25% 12% 15% 7

48% 43% 3% 6% 232

50% 44% 6% 81

44% 47% 9% 79

36% 53% 4% 7% 45

68% 27% 5% 65

51% 43% 4% 3% 148

67% 29% 1% 4% 40

43% 36% 4% 18% 62

91% 3% 2% 4% 175

55% 18% 3% 24% 40

27% 65% 3% 5% 306

92% 2% 0% 5% 203

55% 16% 10% 20% 45

19% 74% 3% 4% 272

94% 1% 1% 3% 205

40% 26% 8% 26% 57

19% 75% 2% 4% 258

92% 2% 0% 5% 210

32% 9% 18% 41% 21

22% 71% 3% 4% 289

52% 41% 2% 5% 493

32% 43% 5% 21% 27

47% 47% 3% 2% 150

47% 46% 1% 6% 114

54% 40% 2% 4% 181

69% 8% 5% 17% 48

20% 72% 3% 5% 259

65% 15% 20% 9

88% 5% 1% 5% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 75% 1% 3% 121

43% 45% 3% 9% 186

70% 23% 2% 5% 117

83% 11% 6% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

52% 41% 2% 5% 424

42% 43% 4% 11% 80

59% 26% 14% 17

45% 49% 1% 5% 211

46% 49% 1% 5% 255

48% 46% 2% 4% 306

49% 44% 2% 5% 351

51% 41% 3% 6% 520

51% 41% 3% 6% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC6GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC6 BETTER JOB / NATIONAL SECURITY TOTAL

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31% 54% 7% 8% 491

25% 64% 4% 7% 92

30% 63% 1% 6% 75

29% 51% 11% 9% 130

50% 34% 9% 7% 36

38% 53% 1% 8% 41

33% 37% 14% 15% 38

31% 54% 7% 7% 79

30% 54% 9% 8% 67

31% 49% 12% 9% 43

58% 27% 7% 7% 23

20% 65% 10% 5% 20

30% 55% 6% 8% 338

33% 50% 8% 9% 90

34% 50% 6% 9% 259

25% 63% 7% 6% 142

38% 41% 14% 7% 25

31% 54% 7% 8% 466

35% 47% 7% 11% 206

24% 62% 6% 7% 122

31% 57% 7% 5% 149

39% 51% 4% 5% 14

28% 59% 7% 6% 61

37% 54% 2% 7% 53

100% 5

12% 77% 11% 10

24% 62% 6% 7% 122

35% 47% 7% 11% 206

20% 69% 10% 42

32% 52% 8% 8% 449

34% 46% 10% 10% 236

29% 61% 4% 7% 255

35% 45% 8% 11% 160

31% 48% 15% 6% 76

25% 66% 2% 7% 126

34% 55% 5% 6% 130

29% 47% 20% 4% 45

30% 54% 6% 10% 286

34% 55% 6% 5% 145

28% 49% 23% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 58% 7% 10% 97

26% 56% 9% 9% 120

36% 48% 8% 8% 160

35% 55% 3% 6% 114

25% 57% 8% 9% 217

36% 48% 8% 8% 160

35% 55% 3% 6% 114

30% 48% 12% 10% 122

38% 45% 9% 9% 114

20% 69% 3% 8% 95

35% 55% 4% 6% 161

34% 52% 7% 8% 368

13% 74% 6% 7% 65

37% 37% 13% 14% 38

39% 54% 3% 4% 20

25% 60% 11% 3% 59

35% 50% 6% 9% 309

12% 76% 13% 20

13% 74% 9% 4% 45

47% 15% 38% 13

31% 49% 20% 24

11% 89% 5

47% 43% 4% 5% 15

33% 48% 9% 10% 176

34% 55% 4% 6% 193

19% 66% 14% 21

9% 78% 3% 10% 44

45% 22% 16% 17% 30

8% 92% 8

38% 50% 7% 4% 151

28% 55% 7% 10% 340

63% 20% 6% 10% 194

25% 42% 18% 15% 96

3% 92% 2% 3% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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58% 19% 9% 14% 104

69% 22% 3% 6% 90

6% 89% 4% 1% 81

2% 93% 1% 4% 120

28% 34% 23% 15% 52

22% 51% 12% 15% 45

53% 37% 2% 8% 74

69% 10% 9% 11% 119

6% 86% 4% 4% 85

2% 95% 1% 2% 116

19% 40% 23% 18% 57

35% 44% 10% 11% 39

58% 21% 8% 12% 219

26% 39% 25% 10% 24

8% 84% 4% 4% 248

66% 16% 6% 12% 148

47% 39% 8% 6% 40

30% 40% 17% 14% 103

7% 80% 10% 3% 32

3% 94% 1% 3% 168

64% 15% 11% 10% 212

3% 94% 1% 2% 209

7% 54% 15% 24% 47

100% 4

68% 18% 13% 2% 9

21% 59% 20% 9

50% 32% 7% 11% 255

21% 48% 26% 5% 36

9% 83% 3% 5% 200

67% 13% 9% 11% 94

41% 43% 6% 11% 161

11% 78% 7% 5% 236

63% 20% 6% 10% 194

25% 42% 18% 15% 96

96% 4% 34

4% 91% 3% 3% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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6% 86% 3% 5% 185

13% 76% 9% 2% 63

26% 39% 25% 10% 24

51% 27% 18% 4% 21

59% 21% 7% 13% 198

27% 65% 8% 8

43% 41% 15% 72

35% 46% 9% 10% 106

27% 59% 8% 6% 305

30% 52% 11% 6% 146

39% 37% 9% 15% 90

24% 66% 5% 5% 159

37% 52% 2% 9% 96

29% 55% 10% 6% 233

22% 71% 2% 4% 72

42% 46% 1% 11% 135

27% 43% 16% 14% 51

42% 46% 1% 11% 135

27% 43% 16% 14% 51

27% 59% 8% 6% 305

30% 54% 2% 14% 94

32% 54% 8% 7% 397

20% 61% 10% 9% 108

36% 51% 6% 7% 304

31% 53% 6% 11% 78

35% 48% 10% 7% 162

31% 50% 19% 21

31% 39% 17% 13% 53

36% 55% 2% 7% 142

30% 53% 8% 9% 58

9% 82% 4% 5% 55

37% 51% 5% 7% 255

27% 56% 12% 5% 49

26% 54% 10% 10% 113

22% 62% 5% 10% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 49% 16% 7% 30

15% 75% 10% 25

35% 48% 9% 9% 131

40% 54% 1% 6% 124

25% 49% 26% 15

30% 48% 10% 12% 43

24% 59% 8% 8% 123

32% 54% 5% 8% 163

31% 53% 8% 8% 327

36% 50% 5% 9% 85

28% 59% 5% 8% 79

33% 56% 4% 7% 131

38% 48% 7% 7% 173

38% 27% 24% 10% 11

31% 59% 9% 26

35% 65% 13

18% 61% 12% 10% 95

28% 55% 4% 13% 41

45% 36% 8% 12% 167

26% 61% 3% 11% 80

27% 63% 8% 2% 124

20% 64% 8% 8% 120

46% 37% 7% 10% 185

22% 65% 7% 6% 280

29% 58% 2% 11% 25

49% 24% 12% 14% 85

25% 59% 9% 7% 151

43% 48% 2% 8% 100

20% 69% 5% 6% 155

56% 31% 4% 9% 129

23% 51% 13% 13% 56

60% 25% 4% 11% 110

32% 51% 15% 1% 31

31% 66% 3% 19

12% 50% 11% 27% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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21% 74% 5% 0% 35

36% 48% 9% 8% 295

28% 55% 3% 13% 94

20% 71% 7% 2% 55

8% 61% 31% 2

29% 53% 19% 9

36% 47% 8% 9% 240

31% 59% 10% 24

43% 37% 20% 24

35% 61% 4% 7

25% 63% 4% 8% 195

26% 62% 3% 9% 107

38% 54% 5% 3% 89

33% 54% 4% 10% 33

47% 30% 13% 10% 60

26% 57% 7% 10% 140

24% 55% 20% 1% 25

28% 58% 4% 10% 36

65% 16% 10% 9% 176

26% 48% 4% 22% 37

11% 78% 5% 6% 278

66% 15% 8% 11% 220

13% 47% 30% 9% 34

2% 91% 2% 5% 237

63% 18% 7% 12% 219

18% 51% 23% 8% 45

3% 89% 4% 4% 227

64% 15% 10% 12% 227

24% 62% 14% 14

2% 88% 5% 5% 250

31% 54% 7% 8% 462

33% 54% 13% 29

35% 54% 4% 7% 145

25% 58% 12% 5% 138

33% 50% 6% 11% 132

33% 49% 9% 9% 46

100% 1

3% 88% 3% 6% 230

11% 59% 13% 17% 15

62% 17% 11% 10% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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13% 80% 5% 2% 93

18% 69% 5% 9% 188

46% 38% 8% 8% 110

58% 19% 11% 12% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

32% 55% 7% 7% 406

30% 49% 5% 16% 72

19% 56% 20% 5% 12

32% 53% 7% 7% 197

30% 56% 7% 7% 256

31% 56% 6% 7% 301

31% 55% 7% 8% 357

31% 54% 7% 8% 491

31% 54% 7% 8% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC7Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

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27% 61% 5% 7% 520

20% 68% 3% 9% 100

23% 60% 9% 8% 85

27% 60% 8% 4% 130

40% 44% 1% 14% 42

36% 56% 3% 6% 39

18% 67% 3% 12% 45

32% 61% 3% 4% 78

34% 60% 6% 45

20% 63% 5% 12% 34

38% 44% 2% 16% 33

27% 62% 1% 10% 32

25% 62% 6% 7% 376

28% 53% 9% 10% 99

27% 63% 4% 7% 285

25% 63% 6% 5% 136

21% 62% 13% 4% 40

27% 61% 5% 8% 480

37% 51% 5% 7% 225

13% 76% 5% 5% 112

21% 66% 4% 9% 167

36% 42% 12% 9% 15

26% 60% 8% 6% 71

22% 63% 1% 15% 55

50% 50% 5

7% 87% 6% 19

13% 76% 5% 5% 112

37% 51% 5% 7% 225

36% 48% 3% 13% 66

25% 63% 6% 6% 454

31% 59% 5% 4% 239

23% 63% 5% 10% 281

31% 61% 5% 4% 174

33% 54% 8% 5% 66

20% 65% 4% 11% 165

27% 59% 6% 8% 116

29% 64% 5% 2% 53

25% 63% 4% 7% 338

29% 57% 7% 7% 117

31% 29% 13% 26% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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13% 83% 1% 2% 105

23% 59% 6% 13% 164

35% 54% 7% 4% 154

35% 50% 7% 8% 98

19% 69% 4% 9% 269

35% 54% 7% 4% 154

35% 50% 7% 8% 98

23% 67% 4% 5% 133

42% 48% 7% 3% 106

15% 70% 3% 12% 136

29% 56% 7% 8% 145

32% 57% 4% 7% 390

6% 80% 10% 4% 56

11% 74% 5% 10% 53

21% 54% 17% 9% 21

20% 80% 70

35% 52% 5% 9% 320

79% 21% 11

7% 81% 12% 45

100% 18

17% 60% 8% 15% 35

78% 22% 6

28% 44% 15% 12% 15

35% 56% 5% 4% 194

29% 57% 3% 11% 196

10% 71% 6% 13% 18

4% 85% 12% 38

17% 83% 17

8% 70% 8% 14% 36

43% 46% 4% 7% 131

21% 66% 6% 7% 389

62% 24% 7% 8% 190

16% 58% 9% 17% 106

2% 94% 2% 2% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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60% 27% 7% 6% 104

63% 20% 7% 10% 87

4% 93% 1% 1% 95

1% 94% 2% 3% 129

22% 60% 11% 7% 41

11% 57% 9% 23% 65

49% 37% 4% 10% 79

71% 14% 9% 6% 111

3% 94% 3% 125

1% 93% 4% 2% 99

13% 58% 11% 19% 64

20% 59% 7% 14% 42

56% 28% 7% 9% 225

12% 62% 8% 17% 38

3% 90% 3% 4% 258

69% 18% 7% 7% 141

35% 41% 10% 14% 39

19% 57% 9% 15% 120

9% 87% 4% 44

96% 2% 2% 176

61% 19% 8% 13% 209

2% 94% 2% 2% 220

8% 90% 2% 51

9% 76% 15% 23

13% 41% 14% 31% 18

54% 30% 7% 9% 236

1% 64% 18% 17% 50

4% 92% 1% 3% 233

69% 19% 7% 5% 91

45% 36% 7% 12% 146

4% 87% 4% 5% 284

62% 24% 7% 8% 190

16% 58% 9% 17% 106

11% 75% 6% 8% 35

1% 97% 1% 1% 189

1% 96% 1% 2% 195

9% 69% 9% 12% 63

12% 62% 8% 17% 38

19% 61% 8% 12% 31

62% 22% 7% 8% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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31% 37% 10% 22% 14

39% 50% 6% 6% 77

25% 63% 5% 7% 134

24% 64% 5% 7% 296

26% 65% 5% 4% 136

38% 51% 6% 4% 103

22% 63% 5% 10% 160

23% 62% 5% 10% 121

28% 62% 3% 7% 232

8% 71% 15% 7% 64

38% 49% 6% 7% 158

12% 77% 4% 7% 67

38% 49% 6% 7% 158

12% 77% 4% 7% 67

24% 64% 5% 7% 296

22% 65% 7% 5% 103

28% 60% 5% 8% 418

17% 73% 5% 6% 111

31% 57% 5% 8% 313

24% 61% 8% 7% 97

37% 56% 4% 3% 158

19% 59% 13% 8% 34

21% 69% 5% 5% 47

24% 58% 5% 13% 154

27% 62% 4% 7% 63

13% 75% 5% 6% 64

33% 54% 4% 8% 257

19% 69% 6% 6% 55

30% 61% 3% 6% 133

4% 77% 11% 8% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 66% 6% 34

26% 66% 9% 32

39% 53% 4% 4% 134

27% 56% 4% 13% 124

21% 63% 8% 9% 26

40% 53% 1% 6% 40

10% 74% 9% 7% 130

23% 64% 4% 9% 191

29% 59% 6% 6% 330

28% 59% 8% 6% 95

18% 68% 1% 13% 96

25% 62% 3% 11% 141

36% 53% 6% 5% 171

34% 55% 11% 23

24% 64% 8% 4% 32

94% 6% 17

20% 69% 5% 7% 94

19% 61% 5% 14% 42

35% 53% 5% 7% 163

26% 57% 3% 14% 72

30% 58% 7% 5% 115

17% 72% 5% 6% 170

37% 52% 4% 8% 177

22% 66% 6% 7% 319

21% 59% 10% 10% 24

44% 48% 5% 3% 78

26% 64% 6% 5% 162

31% 55% 3% 11% 100

18% 67% 6% 9% 181

48% 40% 5% 8% 120

13% 77% 2% 8% 57

60% 26% 6% 9% 91

29% 50% 2% 19% 23

11% 83% 6% 30

2% 96% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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21% 73% 1% 5% 31

31% 58% 4% 7% 288

20% 67% 7% 6% 126

21% 59% 6% 14% 59

100% 2

32% 40% 20% 8% 14

36% 55% 4% 6% 231

15% 85% 21

7% 71% 8% 14% 29

29% 44% 18% 9% 7

21% 64% 7% 8% 232

32% 61% 6% 1% 81

22% 59% 4% 15% 79

25% 69% 1% 5% 45

35% 58% 4% 3% 65

24% 61% 8% 7% 148

27% 63% 6% 5% 40

25% 59% 3% 13% 62

59% 22% 8% 11% 175

13% 40% 17% 30% 40

10% 86% 2% 2% 306

63% 18% 7% 12% 203

15% 54% 13% 18% 45

2% 94% 2% 1% 272

64% 20% 6% 9% 205

4% 58% 14% 24% 57

2% 94% 2% 2% 258

60% 20% 8% 12% 210

1% 42% 22% 35% 21

5% 92% 2% 2% 289

27% 62% 5% 6% 493

14% 49% 16% 20% 27

26% 67% 5% 1% 150

26% 64% 1% 9% 114

30% 61% 5% 5% 181

25% 41% 13% 21% 48

3% 93% 2% 1% 259

24% 53% 16% 7% 9

55% 26% 7% 12% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 88% 4% 0% 121

17% 72% 3% 7% 186

37% 46% 6% 11% 117

60% 24% 5% 11% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

27% 63% 4% 6% 424

27% 55% 9% 9% 80

16% 32% 32% 20% 17

24% 67% 4% 4% 211

25% 67% 4% 4% 255

26% 65% 4% 4% 306

28% 64% 4% 5% 351

27% 61% 5% 7% 520

27% 61% 5% 7% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC7GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC7 BETTER JOB / CLIMATE CHANGE TOTAL

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50% 42% 4% 4% 491

43% 51% 4% 2% 92

48% 41% 1% 9% 75

49% 38% 6% 8% 130

82% 16% 2% 36

61% 37% 2% 41

62% 33% 5% 38

35% 59% 4% 1% 79

33% 61% 5% 1% 67

55% 27% 11% 6% 43

80% 18% 3% 23

56% 44% 20

50% 42% 3% 5% 338

63% 28% 3% 6% 90

53% 39% 4% 4% 259

36% 57% 4% 3% 142

64% 29% 4% 2% 25

49% 43% 4% 4% 466

56% 37% 4% 4% 206

38% 53% 4% 5% 122

50% 42% 4% 4% 149

66% 28% 5% 1% 14

51% 39% 7% 3% 61

51% 44% 5% 53

48% 52% 5

30% 52% 18% 10

38% 53% 4% 5% 122

56% 37% 4% 4% 206

41% 54% 4% 42

51% 41% 4% 4% 449

57% 34% 7% 3% 236

44% 50% 1% 5% 255

61% 29% 7% 2% 160

47% 44% 5% 4% 76

38% 57% 2% 4% 126

50% 43% 7% 130

52% 35% 7% 6% 45

51% 41% 5% 3% 286

47% 48% 4% 145

51% 25% 4% 19% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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47% 46% 2% 5% 97

45% 37% 12% 5% 120

56% 41% 1% 3% 160

49% 47% 4% 114

46% 41% 8% 5% 217

56% 41% 1% 3% 160

49% 47% 4% 114

54% 31% 12% 4% 122

60% 38% 1% 2% 114

36% 55% 3% 7% 95

48% 47% 5% 161

54% 39% 3% 4% 368

24% 62% 5% 9% 65

48% 49% 3% 38

63% 31% 6% 1% 20

53% 40% 3% 3% 59

54% 38% 4% 4% 309

24% 63% 13% 20

23% 62% 7% 8% 45

47% 53% 13

49% 46% 5% 24

66% 23% 11% 5

62% 33% 4% 1% 15

59% 31% 6% 4% 176

49% 45% 1% 4% 193

33% 53% 14% 21

19% 67% 14% 44

56% 41% 4% 30

21% 79% 8

54% 44% 2% 151

48% 42% 5% 5% 340

94% 3% 2% 2% 194

43% 37% 12% 7% 96

11% 83% 2% 4% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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95% 2% 3% 1% 104

92% 4% 4% 90

12% 80% 4% 4% 81

10% 85% 5% 120

50% 28% 17% 5% 52

36% 48% 6% 10% 45

94% 3% 3% 74

93% 2% 1% 4% 119

11% 78% 4% 7% 85

11% 86% 3% 116

36% 35% 20% 9% 57

55% 41% 5% 39

88% 6% 3% 3% 219

55% 14% 13% 18% 24

16% 77% 4% 4% 248

94% 2% 2% 1% 148

90% 4% 6% 40

46% 36% 11% 7% 103

15% 65% 8% 13% 32

10% 86% 1% 3% 168

92% 3% 3% 2% 212

11% 85% 1% 3% 209

38% 37% 18% 7% 47

50% 50% 4

69% 12% 5% 13% 9

37% 26% 7% 30% 9

79% 15% 2% 3% 255

39% 27% 23% 12% 36

15% 79% 2% 4% 200

87% 8% 4% 1% 94

75% 20% 1% 4% 161

18% 71% 5% 5% 236

94% 3% 2% 2% 194

43% 37% 12% 7% 96

14% 83% 3% 34

10% 83% 2% 5% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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11% 82% 2% 4% 185

30% 61% 8% 1% 63

55% 14% 13% 18% 24

69% 31% 21

90% 4% 3% 3% 198

37% 63% 8

58% 40% 2% 72

55% 35% 5% 5% 106

47% 45% 4% 4% 305

57% 34% 7% 2% 146

56% 34% 6% 4% 90

37% 55% 2% 7% 159

55% 42% 3% 96

49% 42% 5% 4% 233

37% 55% 2% 6% 72

62% 34% 1% 4% 135

38% 50% 8% 4% 51

62% 34% 1% 4% 135

38% 50% 8% 4% 51

47% 45% 4% 4% 305

42% 51% 1% 6% 94

52% 40% 4% 4% 397

36% 57% 3% 4% 108

55% 39% 4% 3% 304

51% 35% 4% 9% 78

58% 33% 7% 2% 162

65% 27% 3% 4% 21

49% 41% 7% 4% 53

50% 46% 4% 142

47% 38% 5% 11% 58

23% 72% 5% 55

57% 37% 4% 2% 255

45% 47% 2% 6% 49

49% 42% 2% 7% 113

33% 57% 6% 5% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 40% 6% 30

31% 69% 25

60% 30% 8% 3% 131

53% 45% 2% 124

67% 27% 6% 15

49% 32% 6% 13% 43

38% 53% 4% 5% 123

53% 35% 8% 4% 163

48% 46% 1% 4% 327

59% 26% 13% 1% 85

46% 44% 3% 6% 79

53% 37% 9% 1% 131

56% 40% 4% 173

56% 10% 24% 10% 11

50% 47% 2% 26

54% 46% 13

33% 58% 4% 5% 95

51% 34% 2% 13% 41

61% 30% 5% 4% 167

52% 44% 4% 80

46% 49% 2% 3% 124

38% 51% 6% 5% 120

65% 28% 2% 5% 185

40% 51% 5% 4% 280

49% 47% 3% 1% 25

71% 22% 5% 3% 85

49% 41% 7% 2% 151

60% 33% 7% 100

33% 61% 2% 4% 155

79% 15% 1% 6% 129

32% 58% 5% 4% 56

86% 9% 1% 4% 110

49% 41% 10% 31

38% 46% 16% 19

12% 79% 10% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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38% 59% 3% 35

54% 36% 5% 5% 295

47% 51% 1% 2% 94

41% 52% 6% 2% 55

39% 61% 2

35% 38% 7% 20% 9

56% 34% 5% 5% 240

36% 51% 13% 24

51% 44% 5% 24

67% 33% 7

43% 52% 2% 3% 195

40% 57% 3% 107

59% 37% 4% 89

49% 44% 6% 33

62% 24% 12% 2% 60

49% 38% 7% 7% 140

50% 46% 3% 1% 25

42% 54% 3% 2% 36

95% 1% 1% 3% 176

58% 21% 7% 14% 37

21% 71% 5% 4% 278

96% 1% 2% 2% 220

39% 24% 20% 17% 34

9% 84% 3% 4% 237

93% 3% 1% 2% 219

46% 21% 18% 15% 45

10% 84% 3% 4% 227

93% 2% 1% 3% 227

33% 17% 19% 32% 14

11% 80% 5% 4% 250

50% 43% 4% 4% 462

56% 35% 9% 29

42% 54% 2% 1% 145

47% 49% 2% 2% 138

55% 32% 4% 9% 132

63% 20% 13% 4% 46

100% 1

10% 80% 5% 4% 230

46% 24% 13% 17% 15

91% 4% 2% 2% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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22% 72% 3% 4% 93

33% 56% 5% 6% 188

68% 26% 5% 1% 110

90% 6% 4% 96

31% 18% 51% 4

49% 44% 4% 3% 406

54% 37% 9% 72

49% 30% 21% 12

48% 45% 4% 3% 197

45% 48% 3% 3% 256

47% 46% 3% 4% 301

47% 46% 2% 5% 357

50% 42% 4% 4% 491

50% 42% 4% 4% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC8Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

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47% 46% 3% 4% 520

36% 54% 3% 7% 100

45% 49% 2% 5% 85

45% 47% 6% 2% 130

72% 26% 1% 42

58% 42% 39

54% 36% 5% 6% 45

46% 50% 3% 78

46% 53% 1% 45

35% 54% 4% 8% 34

72% 26% 2% 33

36% 53% 1% 10% 32

47% 46% 4% 3% 376

57% 37% 3% 3% 99

49% 44% 3% 4% 285

37% 56% 3% 4% 136

59% 24% 13% 4% 40

46% 48% 2% 4% 480

56% 35% 4% 5% 225

36% 64% 0% 0% 112

44% 49% 3% 4% 167

41% 43% 10% 7% 15

52% 41% 4% 3% 71

40% 48% 4% 8% 55

72% 28% 5

13% 87% 19

36% 64% 0% 0% 112

56% 35% 4% 5% 225

59% 29% 7% 5% 66

46% 49% 2% 4% 454

53% 41% 4% 2% 239

43% 50% 2% 5% 281

52% 44% 3% 1% 174

54% 34% 7% 5% 66

38% 54% 3% 5% 165

49% 44% 1% 6% 116

59% 39% 2% 53

45% 49% 3% 3% 338

49% 42% 4% 5% 117

42% 30% 2% 26% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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43% 54% 3% 105

40% 50% 4% 6% 164

55% 40% 3% 2% 154

53% 40% 1% 6% 98

41% 52% 4% 4% 269

55% 40% 3% 2% 154

53% 40% 1% 6% 98

46% 48% 5% 1% 133

61% 34% 3% 2% 106

36% 55% 2% 6% 136

48% 45% 2% 5% 145

53% 40% 3% 4% 390

18% 82% 56

39% 57% 2% 2% 53

42% 38% 13% 7% 21

56% 41% 3% 70

52% 39% 3% 5% 320

21% 79% 11

17% 83% 45

12% 88% 18

53% 40% 3% 3% 35

28% 50% 22% 6

47% 34% 10% 10% 15

57% 38% 4% 2% 194

50% 42% 2% 7% 196

41% 59% 18

7% 93% 38

30% 70% 17

43% 50% 3% 3% 36

59% 36% 0% 4% 131

43% 50% 4% 4% 389

95% 2% 1% 2% 190

34% 46% 9% 11% 106

13% 83% 1% 2% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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96% 3% 0% 1% 104

94% 1% 2% 2% 87

15% 85% 0% 95

12% 82% 2% 3% 129

33% 38% 22% 7% 41

35% 51% 1% 13% 65

93% 3% 3% 2% 79

96% 2% 0% 2% 111

14% 83% 1% 2% 125

12% 84% 2% 2% 99

31% 50% 10% 10% 64

39% 40% 8% 13% 42

86% 8% 3% 3% 225

35% 43% 5% 17% 38

15% 80% 2% 3% 258

96% 1% 2% 1% 141

89% 5% 1% 6% 39

39% 43% 8% 10% 120

33% 61% 3% 4% 44

8% 89% 1% 2% 176

89% 3% 3% 5% 209

12% 85% 1% 2% 220

39% 51% 9% 51

42% 53% 5% 23

23% 47% 31% 18

82% 13% 2% 3% 236

16% 59% 9% 16% 50

19% 77% 2% 2% 233

94% 3% 2% 1% 91

74% 19% 2% 5% 146

18% 74% 3% 4% 284

95% 2% 1% 2% 190

34% 46% 9% 11% 106

24% 65% 2% 10% 35

11% 87% 1% 1% 189

12% 85% 3% 1% 195

26% 63% 1% 9% 63

35% 43% 5% 17% 38

55% 28% 8% 9% 31

91% 5% 2% 2% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 36% 3% 15% 14

58% 35% 5% 3% 77

52% 44% 2% 2% 134

43% 50% 3% 4% 296

46% 46% 5% 2% 136

61% 35% 2% 1% 103

39% 54% 1% 5% 160

47% 45% 3% 6% 121

46% 46% 2% 5% 232

29% 66% 5% 64

63% 30% 4% 3% 158

31% 64% 1% 4% 67

63% 30% 4% 3% 158

31% 64% 1% 4% 67

43% 50% 3% 4% 296

35% 57% 3% 5% 103

50% 44% 3% 3% 418

40% 57% 2% 1% 111

54% 39% 3% 4% 313

35% 56% 3% 6% 97

58% 37% 5% 0% 158

35% 49% 4% 12% 34

47% 52% 1% 47

49% 42% 1% 8% 154

36% 59% 3% 2% 63

34% 61% 3% 2% 64

55% 37% 3% 5% 257

45% 51% 3% 1% 55

48% 46% 3% 3% 133

19% 75% 3% 3% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 47% 34

58% 36% 7% 32

61% 33% 5% 134

49% 41% 10% 124

36% 52% 13% 26

45% 49% 4% 3% 40

30% 65% 3% 2% 130

44% 46% 4% 6% 191

49% 46% 2% 3% 330

51% 39% 7% 3% 95

38% 53% 1% 8% 96

47% 43% 4% 6% 141

59% 37% 2% 3% 171

40% 59% 1% 23

31% 62% 5% 2% 32

38% 62% 17

40% 56% 3% 1% 94

36% 50% 3% 12% 42

58% 37% 2% 4% 163

56% 40% 4% 72

52% 41% 6% 1% 115

31% 61% 3% 6% 170

60% 36% 2% 1% 177

42% 50% 3% 5% 319

26% 64% 1% 9% 24

69% 29% 1% 0% 78

45% 47% 5% 2% 162

53% 42% 3% 2% 100

37% 55% 1% 7% 181

74% 23% 2% 1% 120

32% 64% 4% 0% 57

89% 7% 2% 1% 91

67% 32% 1% 23

28% 70% 2% 30

8% 86% 5% 1% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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54% 44% 2% 31

51% 43% 3% 3% 288

43% 50% 5% 3% 126

35% 57% 8% 59

100% 2

46% 37% 10% 7% 14

55% 39% 2% 4% 231

26% 74% 21

42% 53% 4% 29

45% 32% 18% 6% 7

42% 50% 3% 4% 232

51% 48% 0% 1% 81

48% 42% 10% 79

36% 55% 4% 5% 45

56% 43% 1% 65

48% 44% 6% 3% 148

38% 52% 6% 3% 40

44% 48% 2% 6% 62

88% 6% 3% 3% 175

51% 18% 9% 21% 40

24% 73% 2% 2% 306

96% 1% 0% 3% 203

26% 37% 16% 21% 45

15% 81% 3% 1% 272

93% 4% 1% 2% 205

41% 20% 17% 23% 57

12% 86% 1% 1% 258

91% 2% 3% 5% 210

43% 15% 20% 22% 21

16% 81% 2% 2% 289

48% 46% 3% 3% 493

34% 39% 5% 22% 27

40% 58% 2% 0% 150

45% 51% 1% 3% 114

58% 39% 2% 1% 181

42% 30% 11% 16% 48

14% 82% 2% 1% 259

29% 64% 7% 9

87% 4% 4% 5% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

(cont.)

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15% 83% 2% 1% 121

37% 57% 2% 5% 186

71% 22% 2% 4% 117

83% 8% 3% 6% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

48% 47% 2% 3% 424

37% 48% 6% 10% 80

71% 21% 7% 17

46% 50% 3% 1% 211

46% 51% 2% 1% 255

47% 50% 2% 1% 306

48% 49% 2% 2% 351

47% 46% 3% 4% 520

47% 46% 3% 4% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC8GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC8 BETTER JOB / TAXES TOTAL

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38% 51% 4% 6% 491

34% 62% 1% 2% 92

35% 55% 5% 5% 75

33% 49% 4% 14% 130

60% 31% 7% 2% 36

57% 35% 2% 6% 41

46% 46% 8% 38

33% 60% 4% 3% 79

29% 63% 5% 2% 67

36% 57% 1% 6% 43

65% 27% 5% 3% 23

32% 61% 8% 20

39% 49% 4% 7% 338

50% 30% 9% 11% 90

40% 51% 3% 6% 259

28% 66% 3% 3% 142

47% 46% 4% 2% 25

38% 52% 4% 6% 466

45% 44% 2% 9% 206

24% 66% 7% 2% 122

39% 52% 3% 5% 149

56% 29% 9% 5% 14

43% 52% 3% 2% 61

37% 50% 13% 53

100% 5

12% 77% 11% 10

24% 66% 7% 2% 122

45% 44% 2% 9% 206

26% 66% 2% 7% 42

39% 50% 4% 6% 449

43% 44% 7% 6% 236

34% 59% 1% 7% 255

43% 44% 7% 6% 160

44% 43% 9% 4% 76

33% 63% 0% 3% 126

34% 54% 1% 10% 130

37% 51% 7% 6% 45

39% 52% 4% 5% 286

39% 51% 3% 7% 145

28% 44% 4% 23% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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21% 72% 7% 97

45% 39% 10% 6% 120

44% 49% 3% 4% 160

38% 51% 2% 9% 114

34% 53% 6% 7% 217

44% 49% 3% 4% 160

38% 51% 2% 9% 114

40% 44% 10% 6% 122

48% 43% 5% 5% 114

28% 65% 7% 95

37% 55% 1% 7% 161

43% 47% 3% 7% 368

11% 77% 8% 4% 65

39% 59% 3% 38

47% 43% 6% 3% 20

29% 60% 11% 59

45% 44% 4% 7% 309

100% 20

15% 66% 12% 6% 45

15% 85% 13

51% 44% 5% 24

40% 60% 5

49% 38% 8% 5% 15

46% 41% 6% 7% 176

39% 52% 0% 8% 193

14% 61% 20% 5% 21

9% 84% 3% 4% 44

47% 49% 4% 30

8% 92% 8

43% 49% 2% 6% 151

36% 53% 5% 6% 340

78% 14% 3% 6% 194

32% 44% 11% 14% 96

3% 92% 2% 3% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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76% 14% 5% 5% 104

80% 13% 1% 6% 90

5% 89% 3% 3% 81

2% 94% 1% 3% 120

38% 33% 20% 9% 52

24% 57% 19% 45

76% 19% 1% 4% 74

79% 11% 4% 6% 119

4% 92% 3% 1% 85

3% 91% 1% 5% 116

25% 42% 15% 18% 57

41% 47% 3% 8% 39

73% 15% 4% 7% 219

28% 16% 29% 27% 24

8% 87% 2% 3% 248

81% 11% 3% 6% 148

65% 26% 2% 6% 40

35% 42% 10% 13% 103

11% 86% 4% 32

2% 93% 2% 4% 168

78% 13% 2% 7% 212

3% 93% 1% 4% 209

28% 45% 25% 3% 47

100% 4

27% 18% 13% 42% 9

21% 50% 7% 21% 9

64% 26% 4% 7% 255

31% 33% 18% 18% 36

7% 88% 2% 3% 200

80% 9% 5% 6% 94

54% 35% 3% 8% 161

11% 79% 4% 5% 236

78% 14% 3% 6% 194

32% 44% 11% 14% 96

6% 89% 5% 34

3% 92% 2% 3% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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5% 91% 2% 3% 185

19% 76% 5% 63

28% 16% 29% 27% 24

65% 26% 4% 4% 21

74% 14% 4% 8% 198

27% 65% 8% 8

45% 48% 7% 72

49% 41% 5% 5% 106

33% 55% 5% 7% 305

40% 46% 9% 6% 146

49% 40% 6% 5% 90

27% 65% 1% 8% 159

45% 49% 1% 6% 96

37% 51% 4% 8% 233

21% 71% 5% 2% 72

53% 40% 1% 6% 135

30% 58% 8% 3% 51

53% 40% 1% 6% 135

30% 58% 8% 3% 51

33% 55% 5% 7% 305

29% 61% 1% 9% 94

40% 49% 5% 6% 397

18% 73% 3% 6% 108

46% 44% 5% 5% 304

37% 50% 3% 11% 78

50% 39% 8% 3% 162

40% 47% 8% 5% 21

26% 56% 6% 13% 53

41% 50% 1% 7% 142

36% 51% 1% 13% 58

11% 89% 55

48% 43% 4% 5% 255

35% 52% 9% 5% 49

31% 56% 1% 12% 113

19% 75% 5% 2% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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31% 47% 23% 30

15% 85% 25

51% 38% 8% 4% 131

45% 48% 7% 124

38% 56% 6% 15

38% 44% 1% 16% 43

25% 66% 6% 3% 123

42% 48% 4% 5% 163

36% 53% 4% 7% 327

50% 40% 8% 1% 85

34% 57% 10% 79

47% 44% 5% 4% 131

45% 45% 4% 6% 173

38% 52% 10% 11

34% 56% 4% 7% 26

18% 82% 13

18% 71% 3% 7% 95

38% 46% 3% 13% 41

56% 35% 5% 5% 167

26% 62% 2% 10% 80

36% 61% 2% 2% 124

25% 59% 7% 10% 120

54% 32% 5% 9% 185

28% 64% 4% 5% 280

39% 55% 3% 3% 25

64% 22% 9% 5% 85

32% 56% 7% 6% 151

46% 41% 1% 12% 100

25% 70% 1% 4% 155

65% 21% 4% 10% 129

31% 58% 6% 5% 56

72% 15% 1% 11% 110

45% 41% 11% 4% 31

23% 53% 18% 6% 19

13% 80% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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22% 69% 4% 5% 35

43% 47% 4% 6% 295

38% 55% 2% 5% 94

27% 61% 7% 5% 55

8% 92% 2

29% 39% 7% 25% 9

46% 43% 4% 7% 240

21% 74% 5% 24

41% 55% 5% 24

35% 59% 4% 2% 7

31% 58% 4% 7% 195

31% 61% 2% 6% 107

41% 49% 4% 6% 89

40% 51% 4% 5% 33

56% 35% 7% 2% 60

34% 51% 5% 10% 140

39% 55% 3% 3% 25

37% 54% 5% 5% 36

78% 12% 3% 8% 176

42% 38% 14% 6% 37

12% 79% 4% 5% 278

79% 10% 3% 8% 220

27% 39% 27% 7% 34

2% 92% 2% 4% 237

78% 13% 2% 7% 219

21% 36% 22% 21% 45

3% 92% 2% 3% 227

77% 13% 2% 8% 227

4% 24% 37% 34% 14

5% 88% 4% 3% 250

39% 51% 4% 6% 462

33% 54% 13% 29

38% 58% 2% 2% 145

36% 53% 3% 8% 138

40% 48% 4% 7% 132

41% 34% 15% 10% 46

100% 1

4% 89% 3% 3% 230

35% 33% 25% 7% 15

75% 12% 4% 8% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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13% 82% 3% 2% 93

25% 67% 3% 5% 188

59% 30% 5% 6% 110

66% 18% 5% 11% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

40% 49% 4% 7% 406

32% 60% 3% 5% 72

30% 70% 12

42% 51% 3% 5% 197

40% 52% 3% 6% 256

41% 52% 2% 5% 301

39% 52% 2% 6% 357

38% 51% 4% 6% 491

38% 51% 4% 6% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC9Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

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34% 53% 4% 9% 520

28% 59% 2% 11% 100

34% 51% 6% 9% 85

31% 56% 7% 6% 130

54% 36% 1% 9% 42

46% 51% 3% 39

33% 49% 6% 12% 45

30% 56% 1% 12% 78

39% 54% 2% 6% 45

15% 68% 6% 11% 34

49% 39% 2% 11% 33

32% 53% 15% 32

34% 53% 5% 8% 376

39% 51% 5% 5% 99

33% 53% 4% 10% 285

34% 54% 4% 9% 136

37% 46% 9% 8% 40

34% 54% 4% 9% 480

42% 43% 3% 11% 225

22% 68% 5% 5% 112

31% 57% 4% 7% 167

39% 45% 10% 7% 15

45% 44% 8% 3% 71

27% 54% 2% 17% 55

100% 5

7% 93% 19

22% 68% 5% 5% 112

42% 43% 3% 11% 225

41% 35% 7% 17% 66

33% 56% 4% 7% 454

40% 49% 6% 5% 239

29% 56% 3% 12% 281

37% 54% 5% 4% 174

47% 39% 8% 6% 66

24% 61% 3% 11% 165

37% 50% 2% 12% 116

45% 51% 4% 53

31% 57% 4% 8% 338

38% 45% 6% 11% 117

42% 32% 2% 23% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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24% 74% 1% 1% 105

29% 54% 6% 12% 164

42% 44% 5% 8% 154

42% 44% 2% 12% 98

27% 62% 4% 7% 269

42% 44% 5% 8% 154

42% 44% 2% 12% 98

33% 57% 5% 5% 133

49% 40% 7% 4% 106

21% 66% 3% 9% 136

37% 47% 2% 14% 145

41% 46% 3% 10% 390

6% 87% 8% 56

13% 74% 5% 9% 53

31% 46% 12% 11% 21

36% 64% 70

43% 42% 4% 12% 320

100% 11

7% 83% 10% 45

100% 18

19% 60% 8% 13% 35

10% 59% 22% 10% 6

39% 42% 9% 11% 15

46% 43% 5% 6% 194

37% 48% 1% 14% 196

10% 84% 6% 18

4% 88% 9% 38

11% 89% 17

13% 66% 7% 13% 36

51% 38% 0% 11% 131

29% 58% 5% 8% 389

75% 14% 3% 9% 190

21% 44% 13% 21% 106

6% 91% 1% 2% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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73% 16% 4% 7% 104

77% 11% 1% 11% 87

8% 90% 1% 2% 95

5% 92% 1% 3% 129

31% 40% 22% 7% 41

15% 47% 7% 31% 65

67% 23% 0% 10% 79

81% 7% 4% 8% 111

5% 92% 1% 2% 125

7% 89% 1% 3% 99

20% 51% 15% 14% 64

23% 34% 10% 33% 42

70% 14% 6% 10% 225

11% 63% 5% 21% 38

7% 86% 2% 5% 258

83% 7% 2% 8% 141

55% 30% 4% 11% 39

24% 44% 12% 21% 120

15% 80% 4% 44

2% 95% 1% 2% 176

72% 11% 4% 13% 209

5% 89% 3% 3% 220

26% 66% 4% 3% 51

4% 71% 10% 15% 23

15% 47% 9% 29% 18

64% 21% 5% 9% 236

8% 57% 15% 19% 50

9% 85% 1% 6% 233

78% 7% 6% 8% 91

56% 30% 4% 10% 146

9% 80% 3% 8% 284

75% 14% 3% 9% 190

21% 44% 13% 21% 106

17% 74% 3% 6% 35

4% 94% 1% 1% 189

5% 90% 1% 4% 195

11% 74% 7% 8% 63

11% 63% 5% 21% 38

42% 33% 8% 17% 31

74% 11% 6% 9% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 36% 18% 14

41% 46% 5% 8% 77

33% 61% 6% 134

32% 52% 6% 9% 296

38% 50% 8% 4% 136

42% 49% 3% 6% 103

27% 54% 5% 14% 160

33% 59% 8% 121

39% 47% 4% 10% 232

7% 72% 15% 6% 64

45% 44% 2% 8% 158

18% 78% 5% 67

45% 44% 2% 8% 158

18% 78% 5% 67

32% 52% 6% 9% 296

31% 57% 6% 6% 103

35% 52% 4% 9% 418

23% 70% 3% 4% 111

40% 45% 4% 10% 313

27% 61% 4% 8% 97

45% 46% 7% 3% 158

28% 49% 7% 15% 34

31% 62% 1% 5% 47

36% 44% 2% 18% 154

26% 67% 2% 4% 63

18% 75% 5% 3% 64

44% 40% 5% 11% 257

21% 69% 4% 6% 55

36% 58% 7% 133

6% 79% 10% 5% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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42% 51% 7% 34

32% 68% 32

49% 40% 8% 3% 134

39% 40% 1% 20% 124

32% 52% 17% 26

36% 60% 4% 40

12% 75% 7% 5% 130

31% 55% 5% 9% 191

36% 52% 4% 8% 330

37% 48% 8% 7% 95

25% 62% 1% 12% 96

36% 49% 5% 10% 141

44% 41% 4% 11% 171

22% 72% 1% 5% 23

30% 64% 3% 2% 32

9% 87% 3% 17

26% 66% 4% 4% 94

27% 52% 5% 15% 42

46% 41% 4% 9% 163

39% 51% 2% 9% 72

34% 54% 6% 6% 115

21% 65% 4% 10% 170

45% 43% 3% 9% 177

29% 59% 5% 8% 319

25% 55% 1% 19% 24

51% 39% 3% 7% 78

34% 54% 7% 4% 162

41% 46% 2% 11% 100

23% 62% 3% 12% 181

59% 27% 2% 11% 120

15% 76% 3% 5% 57

75% 11% 2% 11% 91

31% 50% 6% 13% 23

11% 77% 4% 8% 30

5% 94% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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40% 44% 2% 14% 31

39% 47% 4% 10% 288

27% 63% 6% 4% 126

20% 68% 11% 59

100% 2

43% 42% 10% 5% 14

45% 41% 4% 10% 231

15% 85% 21

9% 69% 9% 13% 29

48% 25% 16% 11% 7

28% 61% 4% 7% 232

40% 51% 9% 81

25% 61% 1% 13% 79

32% 62% 1% 5% 45

46% 45% 8% 2% 65

34% 54% 6% 7% 148

29% 57% 9% 5% 40

32% 46% 4% 19% 62

71% 15% 3% 11% 175

27% 31% 12% 30% 40

14% 78% 4% 4% 306

75% 11% 3% 11% 203

12% 56% 10% 22% 45

8% 84% 4% 4% 272

73% 13% 4% 10% 205

21% 37% 13% 29% 57

6% 89% 2% 3% 258

72% 13% 4% 11% 210

11% 32% 18% 39% 21

8% 84% 3% 4% 289

35% 53% 4% 8% 493

20% 51% 5% 25% 27

33% 58% 7% 2% 150

30% 59% 1% 11% 114

40% 50% 2% 7% 181

32% 37% 9% 22% 48

7% 85% 4% 4% 259

27% 56% 10% 7% 9

68% 17% 4% 12% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 83% 6% 4% 121

24% 65% 3% 8% 186

50% 35% 3% 12% 117

71% 16% 2% 11% 91

10% 14% 65% 10% 6

37% 52% 3% 8% 424

22% 59% 4% 15% 80

26% 54% 19% 17

31% 59% 2% 7% 211

33% 57% 2% 7% 255

35% 55% 3% 6% 306

37% 54% 3% 6% 351

34% 53% 4% 9% 520

34% 53% 4% 9% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC9GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC9 BETTER JOB / STUDENT LOANS TOTAL

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45% 47% 4% 3% 491

36% 58% 3% 3% 92

40% 48% 6% 6% 75

46% 46% 5% 3% 130

76% 23% 2% 36

53% 38% 2% 7% 41

49% 42% 9% 38

39% 56% 4% 1% 79

38% 56% 5% 1% 67

43% 48% 3% 6% 43

77% 23% 23

45% 47% 8% 20

44% 47% 5% 3% 338

60% 28% 8% 4% 90

46% 48% 3% 3% 259

34% 59% 5% 3% 142

47% 47% 4% 2% 25

45% 47% 4% 3% 466

55% 37% 4% 5% 206

30% 60% 7% 2% 122

42% 52% 3% 3% 149

58% 33% 9% 14

48% 50% 2% 61

46% 45% 2% 7% 53

100% 5

12% 82% 7% 10

30% 60% 7% 2% 122

55% 37% 4% 5% 206

30% 61% 2% 7% 42

46% 46% 5% 3% 449

52% 40% 7% 1% 236

38% 55% 2% 5% 255

57% 36% 7% 1% 160

43% 47% 9% 1% 76

37% 58% 2% 3% 126

40% 51% 1% 8% 130

40% 45% 7% 8% 45

48% 46% 5% 2% 286

40% 53% 3% 3% 145

48% 29% 4% 18% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 49% 97

42% 41% 11% 6% 120

48% 48% 3% 2% 160

39% 52% 4% 5% 114

46% 44% 6% 3% 217

48% 48% 3% 2% 160

39% 52% 4% 5% 114

55% 34% 10% 1% 122

49% 45% 5% 1% 114

34% 58% 1% 6% 95

41% 53% 2% 5% 161

49% 43% 4% 4% 368

10% 78% 10% 3% 65

57% 40% 3% 38

56% 39% 5% 1% 20

60% 40% 59

47% 44% 4% 4% 309

100% 20

14% 68% 14% 4% 45

85% 15% 13

42% 53% 5% 24

51% 49% 5

57% 36% 6% 1% 15

55% 38% 6% 1% 176

45% 48% 1% 6% 193

11% 68% 20% 21

9% 82% 5% 4% 44

67% 29% 4% 30

21% 79% 8

45% 49% 3% 2% 151

45% 47% 5% 4% 340

86% 7% 3% 4% 194

42% 43% 11% 5% 96

7% 89% 3% 1% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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85% 9% 5% 2% 104

87% 5% 2% 7% 90

10% 87% 3% 81

5% 90% 3% 2% 120

52% 28% 20% 52

30% 60% 10% 45

88% 6% 1% 4% 74

84% 7% 4% 4% 119

12% 83% 4% 1% 85

4% 93% 1% 1% 116

42% 37% 15% 5% 57

41% 51% 3% 5% 39

80% 11% 4% 5% 219

47% 14% 32% 7% 24

14% 83% 2% 1% 248

87% 6% 3% 4% 148

78% 12% 4% 7% 40

45% 41% 10% 4% 103

21% 71% 4% 3% 32

5% 92% 2% 1% 168

88% 6% 3% 3% 212

4% 92% 2% 2% 209

30% 41% 23% 6% 47

50% 50% 4

68% 31% 2% 9

35% 28% 7% 30% 9

70% 21% 5% 4% 255

44% 33% 16% 8% 36

14% 83% 2% 1% 200

85% 8% 5% 1% 94

60% 29% 4% 6% 161

18% 76% 4% 2% 236

86% 7% 3% 4% 194

42% 43% 11% 5% 96

9% 87% 4% 34

7% 89% 2% 2% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 87% 2% 1% 185

26% 70% 2% 2% 63

47% 14% 32% 7% 24

69% 31% 21

81% 9% 4% 6% 198

29% 63% 8% 8

59% 37% 2% 2% 72

51% 40% 4% 5% 106

40% 52% 5% 3% 305

49% 41% 9% 1% 146

57% 37% 5% 1% 90

31% 62% 2% 5% 159

50% 43% 1% 6% 96

43% 48% 5% 4% 233

29% 65% 6% 0% 72

60% 35% 1% 4% 135

36% 53% 8% 3% 51

60% 35% 1% 4% 135

36% 53% 8% 3% 51

40% 52% 5% 3% 305

35% 56% 4% 5% 94

47% 45% 5% 3% 397

34% 62% 4% 1% 108

49% 43% 5% 3% 304

43% 46% 2% 8% 78

51% 40% 8% 1% 162

56% 37% 3% 4% 21

56% 39% 6% 53

48% 46% 2% 5% 142

39% 49% 2% 10% 58

12% 84% 2% 2% 55

52% 41% 5% 2% 255

35% 53% 8% 4% 49

43% 49% 1% 7% 113

30% 64% 6% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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60% 40% 30

18% 74% 4% 4% 25

53% 37% 9% 1% 131

51% 44% 0% 4% 124

54% 40% 6% 15

41% 44% 1% 13% 43

32% 60% 7% 2% 123

47% 42% 5% 5% 163

44% 50% 4% 2% 327

52% 39% 8% 1% 85

43% 47% 2% 9% 79

52% 39% 6% 3% 131

48% 46% 4% 2% 173

38% 52% 10% 11

45% 52% 2% 26

18% 82% 13

36% 59% 4% 1% 95

43% 40% 5% 12% 41

58% 33% 6% 3% 167

41% 53% 1% 5% 80

41% 56% 3% 124

34% 55% 6% 5% 120

62% 28% 6% 4% 185

33% 60% 4% 3% 280

51% 46% 3% 1% 25

70% 23% 7% 85

42% 49% 7% 1% 151

56% 33% 4% 7% 100

27% 69% 4% 155

74% 18% 4% 4% 129

35% 53% 10% 3% 56

82% 12% 2% 4% 110

42% 43% 15% 31

31% 48% 18% 3% 19

25% 65% 3% 7% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 71% 0% 35

47% 45% 5% 3% 295

53% 42% 2% 2% 94

33% 54% 8% 5% 55

39% 61% 2

31% 44% 7% 19% 9

50% 41% 5% 4% 240

21% 71% 8% 24

44% 51% 5% 24

39% 57% 4% 7

42% 51% 4% 3% 195

37% 56% 3% 4% 107

47% 43% 5% 5% 89

38% 55% 7% 33

60% 31% 7% 2% 60

50% 43% 5% 2% 140

30% 67% 3% 25

35% 54% 9% 2% 36

89% 5% 3% 3% 176

56% 25% 14% 4% 37

16% 77% 4% 3% 278

90% 4% 3% 3% 220

20% 38% 27% 14% 34

7% 89% 3% 2% 237

86% 7% 3% 4% 219

39% 33% 19% 9% 45

7% 89% 3% 1% 227

88% 7% 2% 3% 227

28% 13% 37% 22% 14

7% 86% 5% 2% 250

45% 47% 5% 3% 462

43% 47% 9% 29

41% 54% 3% 2% 145

41% 54% 3% 2% 138

49% 41% 5% 5% 132

57% 24% 15% 4% 46

100% 1

8% 85% 4% 3% 230

48% 27% 25% 15

84% 9% 4% 3% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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23% 72% 1% 4% 93

28% 65% 4% 3% 188

62% 31% 6% 2% 110

81% 11% 6% 2% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

44% 48% 5% 3% 406

51% 42% 4% 4% 72

30% 70% 12

41% 52% 3% 4% 197

40% 53% 3% 4% 256

41% 51% 3% 4% 301

42% 52% 3% 4% 357

45% 47% 4% 3% 491

45% 47% 4% 3% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC10Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

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44% 43% 4% 8% 520

35% 54% 2% 9% 100

44% 40% 6% 10% 85

39% 50% 8% 4% 130

55% 32% 2% 11% 42

59% 34% 7% 39

46% 40% 13% 45

53% 35% 2% 11% 78

61% 32% 3% 5% 45

34% 52% 6% 8% 34

50% 34% 3% 14% 33

40% 49% 12% 32

43% 44% 5% 8% 376

46% 43% 3% 8% 99

44% 43% 5% 8% 285

44% 44% 4% 8% 136

59% 29% 6% 6% 40

43% 45% 4% 8% 480

50% 36% 5% 9% 225

36% 52% 5% 8% 112

43% 48% 3% 6% 167

42% 42% 10% 7% 15

48% 44% 6% 1% 71

46% 40% 14% 55

72% 28% 5

14% 86% 19

36% 52% 5% 8% 112

50% 36% 5% 9% 225

47% 35% 4% 14% 66

44% 44% 4% 7% 454

48% 42% 6% 3% 239

41% 44% 2% 12% 281

48% 43% 6% 3% 174

50% 39% 9% 3% 66

40% 44% 3% 14% 165

43% 45% 2% 10% 116

50% 43% 7% 53

44% 43% 4% 8% 338

40% 46% 6% 8% 117

79% 13% 3% 5% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 51% 1% 2% 105

37% 43% 7% 13% 164

50% 38% 5% 7% 154

47% 44% 2% 7% 98

41% 46% 5% 9% 269

50% 38% 5% 7% 154

47% 44% 2% 7% 98

42% 46% 7% 5% 133

56% 37% 6% 1% 106

39% 46% 3% 13% 136

43% 43% 2% 12% 145

50% 38% 3% 8% 390

16% 76% 8% 56

34% 50% 3% 13% 53

37% 40% 14% 9% 21

56% 44% 70

49% 36% 4% 10% 320

21% 79% 11

15% 76% 10% 45

30% 59% 11% 18

37% 45% 5% 13% 35

22% 56% 22% 6

42% 33% 12% 13% 15

52% 39% 6% 2% 194

49% 36% 1% 15% 196

35% 59% 6% 18

7% 84% 9% 38

24% 65% 12% 17

40% 43% 4% 13% 36

55% 37% 1% 7% 131

41% 45% 5% 8% 389

86% 8% 2% 4% 190

33% 31% 13% 23% 106

15% 79% 2% 4% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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83% 11% 3% 3% 104

90% 5% 5% 87

16% 77% 3% 3% 95

13% 80% 1% 5% 129

36% 40% 22% 2% 41

30% 25% 7% 37% 65

81% 12% 2% 6% 79

90% 6% 2% 3% 111

20% 76% 1% 3% 125

8% 83% 3% 5% 99

31% 31% 15% 23% 64

35% 31% 10% 24% 42

77% 10% 5% 8% 225

31% 44% 5% 20% 38

18% 72% 4% 6% 258

91% 3% 2% 4% 141

69% 26% 1% 4% 39

38% 29% 12% 21% 120

35% 63% 2% 44

9% 84% 2% 5% 176

83% 5% 3% 9% 209

12% 78% 4% 6% 220

32% 58% 4% 5% 51

45% 34% 10% 10% 23

28% 33% 10% 29% 18

72% 18% 4% 7% 236

15% 44% 20% 21% 50

23% 69% 1% 7% 233

89% 2% 5% 4% 91

61% 28% 3% 9% 146

22% 65% 5% 9% 284

86% 8% 2% 4% 190

33% 31% 13% 23% 106

18% 73% 6% 3% 35

14% 80% 1% 4% 189

17% 76% 1% 5% 195

22% 58% 11% 9% 63

31% 44% 5% 20% 38

54% 21% 8% 17% 31

80% 9% 4% 7% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 36% 18% 14

48% 44% 6% 3% 77

49% 42% 2% 7% 134

42% 44% 5% 9% 296

44% 46% 7% 3% 136

54% 37% 6% 3% 103

40% 43% 3% 14% 160

43% 46% 1% 10% 121

46% 42% 3% 9% 232

25% 51% 14% 10% 64

56% 31% 4% 8% 158

29% 68% 0% 3% 67

56% 31% 4% 8% 158

29% 68% 0% 3% 67

42% 44% 5% 9% 296

34% 57% 4% 5% 103

47% 40% 4% 9% 418

45% 41% 6% 8% 111

46% 41% 4% 9% 313

37% 52% 5% 5% 97

51% 42% 6% 1% 158

38% 46% 11% 6% 34

47% 40% 7% 6% 47

41% 41% 1% 17% 154

37% 56% 2% 5% 63

44% 42% 5% 9% 64

49% 38% 3% 9% 257

35% 55% 4% 6% 55

53% 37% 3% 6% 133

21% 63% 9% 7% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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56% 34% 7% 3% 34

66% 17% 17% 32

53% 39% 6% 2% 134

44% 38% 18% 124

40% 52% 4% 4% 26

49% 46% 2% 2% 40

27% 60% 7% 7% 130

41% 48% 4% 7% 191

47% 40% 4% 9% 330

44% 45% 8% 2% 95

37% 52% 11% 96

43% 46% 2% 9% 141

49% 37% 5% 9% 171

36% 59% 6% 23

27% 60% 7% 6% 32

25% 60% 15% 17

49% 38% 4% 9% 94

46% 43% 3% 7% 42

56% 34% 0% 10% 163

46% 44% 3% 6% 72

47% 40% 6% 7% 115

31% 54% 7% 8% 170

58% 34% 1% 7% 177

38% 48% 6% 8% 319

34% 44% 3% 19% 24

57% 37% 2% 4% 78

44% 45% 9% 2% 162

59% 32% 9% 100

31% 51% 4% 14% 181

68% 24% 1% 8% 120

37% 57% 1% 5% 57

81% 12% 1% 6% 91

52% 35% 1% 13% 23

29% 58% 12% 30

27% 72% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 38% 3% 14% 31

49% 42% 3% 6% 288

38% 51% 6% 5% 126

36% 41% 4% 19% 59

100% 2

51% 26% 11% 11% 14

53% 39% 3% 6% 231

20% 80% 21

42% 40% 5% 13% 29

40% 25% 20% 15% 7

39% 45% 6% 10% 232

48% 45% 0% 7% 81

44% 45% 11% 79

41% 59% 45

49% 44% 6% 2% 65

42% 43% 7% 8% 148

53% 27% 15% 5% 40

39% 39% 2% 20% 62

81% 10% 3% 7% 175

42% 21% 16% 21% 40

24% 65% 4% 7% 306

84% 6% 3% 7% 203

32% 36% 10% 22% 45

17% 72% 4% 6% 272

84% 7% 3% 6% 205

36% 23% 11% 30% 57

15% 77% 4% 4% 258

79% 10% 3% 8% 210

39% 18% 18% 26% 21

20% 70% 4% 7% 289

45% 43% 4% 7% 493

28% 49% 5% 19% 27

39% 53% 7% 1% 150

43% 41% 1% 15% 114

52% 39% 3% 5% 181

46% 30% 7% 17% 48

18% 71% 5% 7% 259

39% 40% 3% 18% 9

78% 11% 4% 8% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

(cont.)

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18% 68% 5% 10% 121

39% 52% 3% 5% 186

60% 26% 3% 12% 117

72% 18% 3% 7% 91

21% 11% 68% 6

45% 43% 4% 7% 424

37% 45% 5% 12% 80

53% 33% 14% 17

44% 45% 3% 8% 211

44% 46% 4% 6% 255

45% 46% 4% 6% 306

45% 46% 3% 6% 351

44% 43% 4% 8% 520

44% 43% 4% 8% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC10GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC10 BETTER JOB / RETIREMENT SECURITY TOTAL

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44% 44% 6% 5% 491

42% 49% 5% 4% 92

41% 51% 1% 7% 75

36% 45% 10% 8% 130

74% 25% 2% 36

59% 30% 2% 10% 41

55% 28% 17% 38

37% 54% 6% 3% 79

33% 60% 5% 3% 67

39% 41% 13% 6% 43

80% 18% 3% 23

48% 47% 5% 20

44% 43% 6% 6% 338

58% 33% 6% 4% 90

45% 41% 8% 7% 259

35% 57% 4% 4% 142

52% 25% 21% 2% 25

44% 45% 5% 6% 466

50% 39% 5% 6% 206

31% 56% 9% 4% 122

45% 44% 6% 6% 149

61% 29% 9% 14

45% 45% 10% 61

49% 35% 2% 15% 53

24% 76% 5

30% 63% 7% 10

31% 56% 9% 4% 122

50% 39% 5% 6% 206

41% 53% 2% 4% 42

44% 43% 7% 6% 449

50% 38% 9% 3% 236

39% 50% 4% 8% 255

51% 37% 9% 3% 160

48% 42% 8% 3% 76

35% 59% 3% 3% 126

43% 41% 5% 11% 130

32% 42% 12% 14% 45

44% 47% 6% 3% 286

48% 42% 4% 5% 145

47% 26% 8% 18% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 60% 2% 2% 97

39% 37% 13% 10% 120

50% 41% 6% 3% 160

48% 43% 3% 6% 114

37% 48% 8% 7% 217

50% 41% 6% 3% 160

48% 43% 3% 6% 114

44% 39% 13% 4% 122

56% 37% 4% 3% 114

28% 58% 3% 11% 95

45% 45% 5% 6% 161

48% 39% 6% 6% 368

16% 72% 7% 5% 65

47% 47% 6% 38

55% 36% 6% 3% 20

43% 50% 3% 3% 59

49% 37% 7% 7% 309

100% 20

22% 60% 9% 8% 45

47% 53% 13

47% 44% 9% 24

51% 38% 11% 5

56% 36% 4% 3% 15

53% 36% 8% 3% 176

44% 43% 5% 9% 193

20% 55% 20% 5% 21

14% 81% 6% 44

52% 44% 4% 30

29% 58% 13% 8

51% 40% 6% 3% 151

41% 46% 7% 6% 340

86% 5% 3% 6% 194

37% 40% 16% 8% 96

7% 84% 5% 4% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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86% 5% 4% 5% 104

86% 5% 2% 6% 90

6% 83% 8% 2% 81

8% 85% 3% 5% 120

45% 35% 20% 52

27% 45% 12% 16% 45

81% 10% 1% 7% 74

89% 2% 4% 5% 119

5% 85% 7% 4% 85

9% 84% 3% 4% 116

29% 42% 20% 10% 57

49% 37% 10% 5% 39

79% 9% 4% 8% 219

49% 25% 19% 7% 24

13% 77% 7% 3% 248

87% 4% 3% 5% 148

80% 8% 4% 8% 40

41% 37% 15% 7% 103

13% 70% 11% 6% 32

6% 87% 3% 4% 168

86% 5% 4% 5% 212

7% 83% 5% 4% 209

23% 49% 23% 6% 47

100% 4

52% 12% 5% 30% 9

23% 39% 7% 30% 9

70% 18% 5% 7% 255

39% 31% 23% 8% 36

13% 80% 4% 3% 200

82% 9% 6% 3% 94

62% 23% 5% 10% 161

17% 73% 7% 3% 236

86% 5% 3% 6% 194

37% 40% 16% 8% 96

10% 81% 3% 6% 34

7% 85% 5% 4% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 84% 5% 3% 185

25% 57% 13% 5% 63

49% 25% 19% 7% 24

72% 28% 21

80% 7% 5% 8% 198

32% 65% 3% 8

52% 45% 1% 3% 72

52% 37% 5% 7% 106

40% 46% 8% 6% 305

48% 39% 10% 2% 146

52% 37% 6% 5% 90

32% 52% 7% 9% 159

49% 45% 5% 96

42% 42% 9% 7% 233

34% 58% 5% 2% 72

59% 34% 1% 5% 135

28% 59% 8% 4% 51

59% 34% 1% 5% 135

28% 59% 8% 4% 51

40% 46% 8% 6% 305

34% 56% 1% 8% 94

46% 41% 7% 5% 397

26% 64% 6% 3% 108

50% 40% 5% 4% 304

45% 33% 10% 12% 78

53% 36% 9% 2% 162

59% 22% 8% 11% 21

38% 51% 7% 4% 53

48% 44% 1% 7% 142

40% 37% 10% 13% 58

15% 77% 6% 2% 55

52% 38% 5% 5% 255

43% 49% 5% 4% 49

40% 42% 8% 9% 113

24% 65% 7% 3% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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47% 47% 7% 30

24% 59% 13% 4% 25

54% 34% 10% 2% 131

50% 42% 1% 7% 124

61% 27% 6% 6% 15

39% 34% 11% 16% 43

32% 59% 6% 3% 123

43% 38% 10% 9% 163

44% 47% 4% 4% 327

50% 32% 15% 4% 85

37% 45% 5% 14% 79

46% 36% 10% 8% 131

54% 42% 2% 2% 173

56% 10% 24% 10% 11

47% 45% 7% 26

16% 82% 2% 13

28% 62% 7% 3% 95

41% 32% 12% 16% 41

58% 31% 5% 6% 167

35% 53% 1% 11% 80

38% 52% 8% 2% 124

37% 48% 9% 6% 120

58% 30% 3% 9% 185

35% 53% 9% 3% 280

42% 53% 3% 2% 25

64% 26% 4% 5% 85

42% 45% 11% 2% 151

52% 33% 3% 12% 100

30% 60% 5% 5% 155

71% 17% 2% 10% 129

28% 60% 5% 7% 56

78% 11% 1% 10% 110

47% 39% 10% 4% 31

31% 52% 8% 9% 19

5% 86% 10% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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32% 63% 5% 35

49% 38% 8% 5% 295

40% 51% 4% 5% 94

37% 53% 6% 5% 55

39% 61% 2

29% 39% 13% 19% 9

52% 34% 9% 6% 240

21% 71% 5% 3% 24

49% 46% 5% 24

45% 55% 7

37% 53% 4% 6% 195

36% 59% 1% 4% 107

52% 33% 7% 7% 89

45% 44% 3% 8% 33

58% 25% 14% 3% 60

43% 44% 6% 7% 140

29% 56% 14% 1% 25

39% 51% 5% 5% 36

89% 3% 3% 4% 176

51% 36% 7% 6% 37

15% 71% 8% 6% 278

89% 3% 3% 5% 220

18% 34% 34% 14% 34

7% 84% 6% 4% 237

84% 7% 2% 6% 219

42% 22% 27% 9% 45

6% 84% 6% 4% 227

88% 4% 4% 4% 227

9% 31% 19% 41% 14

6% 81% 8% 5% 250

44% 44% 7% 5% 462

43% 47% 9% 29

42% 52% 4% 2% 145

41% 49% 5% 6% 138

47% 39% 8% 6% 132

52% 21% 16% 12% 46

100% 1

7% 81% 7% 5% 230

55% 24% 21% 15

83% 6% 5% 6% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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18% 73% 5% 4% 93

28% 57% 9% 6% 188

63% 27% 6% 4% 110

79% 13% 2% 6% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

45% 44% 6% 5% 406

41% 49% 4% 6% 72

30% 30% 40% 12

46% 44% 6% 4% 197

43% 46% 5% 6% 256

44% 46% 5% 6% 301

45% 45% 4% 5% 357

44% 44% 6% 5% 491

44% 44% 6% 5% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC11Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

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40% 50% 4% 6% 520

31% 57% 2% 10% 100

45% 47% 4% 4% 85

38% 49% 8% 4% 130

53% 33% 3% 11% 42

56% 44% 39

37% 49% 7% 8% 45

34% 56% 2% 8% 78

40% 56% 4% 45

33% 53% 6% 8% 34

51% 31% 4% 14% 33

25% 64% 11% 32

41% 49% 4% 6% 376

50% 40% 5% 4% 99

38% 50% 4% 8% 285

35% 56% 3% 6% 136

32% 47% 16% 5% 40

40% 50% 3% 7% 480

50% 37% 5% 8% 225

24% 68% 3% 5% 112

38% 54% 3% 5% 167

30% 53% 10% 7% 15

52% 40% 5% 2% 71

32% 53% 2% 12% 55

50% 50% 5

7% 93% 19

24% 68% 3% 5% 112

50% 37% 5% 8% 225

49% 31% 6% 13% 66

38% 52% 4% 5% 454

49% 44% 6% 2% 239

32% 55% 3% 10% 281

47% 46% 5% 2% 174

51% 39% 7% 3% 66

28% 59% 3% 11% 165

39% 49% 3% 9% 116

46% 51% 4% 53

38% 52% 4% 6% 338

43% 43% 5% 9% 117

37% 45% 12% 5% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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27% 72% 1% 105

38% 49% 4% 9% 164

46% 42% 6% 6% 154

47% 39% 4% 11% 98

34% 58% 3% 5% 269

46% 42% 6% 6% 154

47% 39% 4% 11% 98

45% 48% 5% 2% 133

53% 39% 6% 2% 106

23% 68% 0% 9% 136

41% 42% 5% 12% 145

47% 42% 3% 7% 390

12% 84% 4% 56

18% 70% 5% 8% 53

36% 44% 14% 7% 21

37% 63% 70

49% 38% 4% 9% 320

21% 79% 11

9% 86% 5% 45

100% 18

28% 53% 8% 12% 35

10% 68% 22% 6

45% 35% 11% 9% 15

54% 39% 5% 2% 194

41% 45% 2% 12% 196

29% 58% 13% 18

4% 96% 38

17% 83% 17

18% 63% 7% 11% 36

55% 33% 3% 9% 131

35% 55% 4% 6% 389

83% 9% 5% 3% 190

25% 50% 7% 18% 106

10% 84% 2% 4% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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84% 10% 5% 1% 104

83% 8% 4% 5% 87

15% 80% 2% 3% 95

6% 87% 2% 5% 129

39% 46% 14% 2% 41

17% 53% 2% 28% 65

78% 16% 3% 3% 79

87% 4% 6% 3% 111

10% 86% 1% 3% 125

9% 81% 3% 6% 99

26% 54% 6% 14% 64

24% 44% 8% 24% 42

74% 14% 6% 6% 225

24% 50% 7% 18% 38

12% 81% 2% 5% 258

87% 7% 3% 2% 141

75% 10% 11% 5% 39

29% 48% 6% 17% 120

18% 74% 7% 44

7% 87% 3% 3% 176

78% 10% 5% 7% 209

11% 83% 2% 4% 220

27% 61% 7% 5% 51

13% 66% 10% 10% 23

17% 43% 10% 29% 18

73% 17% 5% 5% 236

6% 67% 11% 16% 50

13% 79% 2% 6% 233

84% 8% 5% 3% 91

66% 23% 4% 7% 146

12% 77% 4% 8% 284

83% 9% 5% 3% 190

25% 50% 7% 18% 106

9% 76% 3% 11% 35

10% 85% 2% 3% 189

11% 83% 2% 4% 195

16% 74% 2% 8% 63

24% 50% 7% 18% 38

30% 41% 12% 17% 31

81% 10% 5% 4% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 36% 18% 14

53% 37% 6% 4% 77

37% 56% 1% 5% 134

37% 50% 5% 7% 296

48% 44% 7% 1% 136

50% 43% 4% 3% 103

29% 56% 3% 12% 160

37% 53% 2% 8% 121

44% 45% 3% 8% 232

12% 71% 12% 5% 64

51% 39% 4% 6% 158

24% 72% 0% 4% 67

51% 39% 4% 6% 158

24% 72% 0% 4% 67

37% 50% 5% 7% 296

36% 55% 3% 6% 103

41% 48% 4% 7% 418

29% 66% 1% 3% 111

46% 41% 4% 9% 313

33% 57% 6% 4% 97

55% 37% 6% 2% 158

31% 59% 7% 2% 34

38% 55% 3% 3% 47

36% 46% 3% 16% 154

34% 56% 5% 4% 63

22% 75% 3% 64

50% 37% 4% 9% 257

28% 59% 7% 6% 55

42% 52% 2% 4% 133

11% 81% 6% 3% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 48% 3% 4% 34

41% 55% 4% 32

60% 32% 6% 2% 134

39% 43% 2% 17% 124

36% 64% 26

45% 44% 5% 6% 40

18% 72% 6% 4% 130

36% 53% 4% 7% 191

42% 48% 4% 6% 330

50% 40% 8% 2% 95

21% 66% 0% 12% 96

40% 47% 4% 9% 141

51% 37% 5% 8% 171

39% 60% 1% 23

30% 56% 10% 4% 32

9% 84% 7% 17

32% 63% 2% 3% 94

33% 57% 5% 5% 42

50% 40% 3% 7% 163

37% 48% 6% 8% 72

46% 48% 2% 3% 115

27% 61% 5% 7% 170

50% 41% 4% 5% 177

35% 54% 4% 6% 319

25% 52% 3% 19% 24

57% 34% 6% 3% 78

45% 48% 5% 2% 162

45% 46% 2% 7% 100

25% 59% 3% 12% 181

64% 27% 3% 5% 120

21% 69% 5% 5% 57

78% 13% 4% 5% 91

40% 42% 6% 13% 23

23% 72% 5% 30

7% 87% 5% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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54% 32% 14% 31

42% 47% 5% 6% 288

33% 59% 4% 4% 126

34% 56% 10% 59

100% 2

42% 28% 19% 11% 14

48% 43% 4% 6% 231

20% 74% 6% 21

16% 65% 9% 10% 29

45% 28% 16% 11% 7

37% 53% 3% 7% 232

42% 48% 3% 7% 81

42% 47% 1% 10% 79

35% 62% 4% 45

53% 40% 6% 2% 65

35% 55% 5% 5% 148

36% 51% 9% 4% 40

39% 43% 2% 16% 62

80% 12% 3% 5% 175

33% 29% 18% 20% 40

18% 74% 3% 6% 306

85% 6% 5% 5% 203

20% 43% 16% 21% 45

10% 83% 2% 5% 272

83% 7% 5% 4% 205

25% 36% 11% 28% 57

8% 86% 1% 4% 258

81% 8% 6% 6% 210

23% 27% 19% 31% 21

11% 82% 2% 5% 289

41% 50% 4% 6% 493

21% 46% 10% 22% 27

39% 57% 4% 0% 150

44% 47% 2% 8% 114

43% 50% 3% 4% 181

31% 37% 11% 21% 48

11% 82% 2% 5% 259

20% 39% 35% 7% 9

76% 13% 5% 6% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

(cont.)

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12% 84% 0% 4% 121

29% 60% 4% 8% 186

60% 26% 7% 8% 117

76% 15% 2% 7% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

41% 51% 3% 5% 424

33% 48% 7% 12% 80

34% 33% 25% 7% 17

35% 57% 2% 5% 211

37% 56% 3% 4% 255

40% 54% 3% 4% 306

41% 52% 3% 4% 351

40% 50% 4% 6% 520

40% 50% 4% 6% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC11GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC11 BETTER JOB / RISING COST OF LIVING TOTAL

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41% 47% 6% 5% 491

40% 53% 6% 1% 92

42% 50% 5% 4% 75

35% 49% 9% 8% 130

73% 24% 3% 36

57% 35% 2% 7% 41

42% 42% 13% 3% 38

32% 56% 5% 8% 79

30% 56% 6% 9% 67

33% 49% 13% 4% 43

70% 25% 5% 23

48% 47% 5% 20

42% 47% 6% 5% 338

57% 30% 7% 5% 90

41% 48% 6% 5% 259

32% 58% 5% 5% 142

40% 39% 15% 7% 25

41% 48% 6% 5% 466

53% 35% 5% 7% 206

26% 64% 7% 3% 122

38% 52% 6% 4% 149

43% 38% 5% 14% 14

40% 46% 9% 5% 61

40% 51% 4% 5% 53

100% 5

23% 77% 10

26% 64% 7% 3% 122

53% 35% 5% 7% 206

34% 59% 5% 2% 42

42% 46% 6% 5% 449

46% 39% 9% 6% 236

37% 55% 4% 4% 255

49% 36% 9% 6% 160

41% 45% 8% 7% 76

34% 62% 3% 1% 126

39% 49% 4% 7% 130

28% 49% 11% 12% 45

43% 47% 6% 4% 286

43% 49% 4% 4% 145

43% 29% 4% 23% 15

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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38% 53% 2% 7% 97

35% 44% 14% 7% 120

47% 45% 6% 3% 160

44% 50% 2% 4% 114

36% 48% 9% 7% 217

47% 45% 6% 3% 160

44% 50% 2% 4% 114

43% 36% 13% 7% 122

50% 42% 4% 4% 114

27% 63% 3% 7% 95

42% 51% 4% 3% 161

46% 43% 6% 5% 368

14% 77% 5% 4% 65

37% 44% 6% 14% 38

53% 38% 7% 1% 20

47% 47% 3% 3% 59

46% 43% 7% 5% 309

12% 88% 20

16% 72% 7% 6% 45

31% 31% 38% 13

40% 51% 9% 24

51% 38% 11% 5

54% 38% 6% 2% 15

50% 37% 8% 4% 176

42% 49% 4% 5% 193

19% 61% 14% 5% 21

12% 84% 4% 44

45% 34% 4% 17% 30

8% 79% 13% 8

49% 46% 4% 2% 151

38% 48% 7% 7% 340

83% 10% 3% 4% 194

33% 38% 16% 13% 96

6% 88% 4% 2% 201

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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82% 9% 4% 5% 104

83% 11% 3% 3% 90

6% 84% 5% 5% 81

5% 91% 3% 0% 120

37% 28% 25% 10% 52

27% 50% 6% 16% 45

79% 15% 1% 4% 74

85% 7% 4% 4% 119

6% 87% 4% 2% 85

6% 89% 4% 2% 116

24% 33% 24% 18% 57

45% 47% 3% 5% 39

75% 14% 4% 6% 219

48% 15% 29% 7% 24

11% 80% 5% 4% 248

84% 7% 4% 5% 148

74% 21% 2% 2% 40

37% 37% 15% 12% 103

13% 68% 11% 9% 32

4% 92% 3% 1% 168

83% 9% 4% 4% 212

4% 92% 3% 1% 209

27% 31% 28% 14% 47

50% 50% 4

52% 12% 5% 30% 9

23% 39% 7% 30% 9

66% 24% 4% 6% 255

37% 29% 30% 5% 36

11% 81% 4% 4% 200

80% 13% 6% 1% 94

58% 30% 3% 9% 161

15% 73% 8% 4% 236

83% 10% 3% 4% 194

33% 38% 16% 13% 96

6% 85% 3% 6% 34

6% 89% 4% 2% 167

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 85% 4% 4% 185

22% 65% 10% 3% 63

48% 15% 29% 7% 24

64% 31% 5% 21

76% 12% 4% 7% 198

37% 63% 8

49% 41% 1% 9% 72

50% 37% 5% 8% 106

37% 52% 8% 3% 305

43% 44% 11% 2% 146

52% 31% 5% 12% 90

31% 60% 5% 4% 159

46% 48% 2% 4% 96

40% 47% 9% 4% 233

26% 69% 3% 2% 72

56% 37% 1% 6% 135

30% 48% 8% 14% 51

56% 37% 1% 6% 135

30% 48% 8% 14% 51

37% 52% 8% 3% 305

35% 52% 1% 11% 94

43% 46% 7% 4% 397

27% 63% 4% 6% 108

47% 44% 6% 3% 304

39% 41% 9% 11% 78

48% 40% 9% 3% 162

44% 35% 8% 14% 21

43% 37% 7% 13% 53

46% 48% 2% 4% 142

37% 43% 9% 10% 58

11% 87% 2% 55

49% 41% 7% 3% 255

36% 57% 3% 4% 49

38% 48% 6% 8% 113

22% 62% 7% 8% 74

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 40% 6% 30

15% 81% 4% 25

50% 36% 11% 3% 131

49% 46% 2% 3% 124

42% 40% 6% 12% 15

40% 37% 10% 13% 43

28% 60% 5% 7% 123

40% 46% 9% 5% 163

42% 48% 4% 5% 327

45% 40% 12% 4% 85

35% 52% 6% 7% 79

41% 45% 9% 4% 131

52% 42% 3% 2% 173

38% 37% 24% 11

32% 54% 4% 10% 26

35% 65% 13

25% 62% 5% 7% 95

43% 34% 8% 14% 41

55% 32% 7% 6% 167

38% 54% 1% 6% 80

35% 57% 4% 3% 124

31% 54% 10% 5% 120

57% 29% 4% 10% 185

32% 59% 7% 2% 280

35% 62% 3% 1% 25

63% 21% 7% 10% 85

37% 49% 10% 4% 151

52% 35% 3% 10% 100

27% 69% 4% 0% 155

69% 19% 4% 8% 129

29% 51% 5% 14% 56

76% 14% 1% 9% 110

42% 44% 10% 4% 31

31% 48% 18% 3% 19

14% 59% 27% 25

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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26% 74% 35

44% 45% 7% 4% 295

43% 43% 5% 9% 94

37% 56% 6% 2% 55

39% 61% 2

31% 38% 7% 25% 9

46% 40% 8% 5% 240

31% 69% 24

38% 58% 5% 24

32% 65% 2% 7

38% 52% 4% 6% 195

36% 56% 8% 107

42% 49% 5% 3% 89

53% 38% 6% 3% 33

54% 30% 14% 2% 60

39% 45% 8% 7% 140

34% 60% 3% 3% 25

35% 54% 5% 5% 36

84% 7% 4% 5% 176

48% 32% 14% 7% 37

13% 75% 6% 5% 278

85% 7% 3% 5% 220

21% 36% 34% 9% 34

4% 87% 5% 4% 237

80% 11% 3% 6% 219

37% 26% 32% 5% 45

5% 87% 4% 4% 227

83% 10% 3% 4% 227

17% 13% 37% 33% 14

5% 83% 7% 5% 250

41% 48% 6% 5% 462

52% 38% 9% 29

38% 52% 5% 5% 145

42% 52% 2% 4% 138

40% 47% 9% 3% 132

49% 26% 15% 10% 46

100% 1

5% 83% 7% 5% 230

22% 48% 30% 15

80% 11% 4% 5% 217

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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17% 77% 6% 93

25% 61% 6% 8% 188

59% 31% 6% 4% 110

78% 14% 5% 4% 96

35% 18% 47% 4

42% 48% 6% 4% 406

38% 46% 4% 12% 72

30% 50% 21% 12

42% 49% 6% 3% 197

41% 50% 5% 4% 256

41% 49% 5% 4% 301

42% 50% 4% 4% 357

41% 47% 6% 5% 491

41% 47% 6% 5% 491

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHPC12Trump DEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHPC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

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37% 52% 4% 6% 520

31% 58% 2% 9% 100

36% 50% 8% 6% 85

35% 54% 6% 5% 130

56% 37% 7% 42

51% 42% 7% 39

40% 52% 2% 6% 45

32% 59% 2% 7% 78

42% 55% 3% 45

32% 62% 6% 34

51% 40% 9% 33

30% 59% 11% 32

37% 52% 5% 6% 376

45% 44% 6% 4% 99

37% 54% 3% 7% 285

34% 56% 4% 6% 136

41% 45% 11% 4% 40

37% 53% 3% 6% 480

47% 42% 4% 8% 225

26% 65% 4% 5% 112

34% 57% 4% 5% 167

25% 56% 12% 8% 15

45% 49% 5% 1% 71

31% 53% 4% 12% 55

50% 50% 5

7% 87% 6% 19

26% 65% 4% 5% 112

47% 42% 4% 8% 225

45% 42% 2% 12% 66

36% 54% 4% 5% 454

43% 51% 4% 2% 239

33% 53% 4% 10% 281

41% 54% 3% 2% 174

49% 43% 7% 1% 66

29% 55% 5% 11% 165

38% 52% 3% 8% 116

47% 51% 2% 53

35% 54% 4% 7% 338

40% 47% 5% 7% 117

30% 48% 15% 6% 12

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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33% 66% 1% 105

29% 56% 6% 9% 164

44% 45% 5% 6% 154

47% 43% 2% 8% 98

31% 60% 4% 5% 269

44% 45% 5% 6% 154

47% 43% 2% 8% 98

35% 59% 4% 2% 133

53% 41% 5% 2% 106

27% 60% 4% 9% 136

39% 47% 4% 11% 145

44% 47% 3% 7% 390

14% 76% 10% 56

18% 72% 3% 8% 53

31% 46% 14% 9% 21

41% 59% 70

44% 44% 3% 8% 320

44% 56% 11

7% 81% 12% 45

100% 18

27% 57% 5% 12% 35

19% 59% 22% 6

35% 41% 12% 12% 15

48% 47% 3% 2% 194

40% 47% 2% 11% 196

23% 71% 6% 18

10% 78% 12% 38

17% 83% 17

18% 67% 4% 11% 36

53% 38% 2% 7% 131

32% 57% 5% 6% 389

81% 14% 2% 2% 190

25% 46% 11% 18% 106

6% 88% 2% 4% 224

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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79% 16% 2% 3% 104

84% 12% 3% 2% 87

7% 91% 1% 1% 95

5% 86% 3% 6% 129

34% 48% 16% 2% 41

19% 45% 8% 28% 65

70% 24% 3% 3% 79

89% 7% 2% 2% 111

8% 88% 1% 3% 125

3% 88% 4% 5% 99

25% 50% 11% 14% 64

25% 40% 11% 24% 42

73% 16% 5% 6% 225

18% 58% 6% 18% 38

9% 84% 3% 4% 258

87% 9% 2% 2% 141

67% 25% 5% 3% 39

29% 45% 10% 16% 120

9% 88% 4% 44

5% 89% 3% 4% 176

79% 10% 4% 8% 209

5% 89% 3% 3% 220

27% 65% 4% 3% 51

13% 61% 15% 10% 23

11% 47% 12% 30% 18

71% 20% 4% 5% 236

5% 62% 16% 16% 50

11% 83% 2% 5% 233

87% 6% 5% 1% 91

60% 29% 3% 8% 146

10% 79% 4% 7% 284

81% 14% 2% 2% 190

25% 46% 11% 18% 106

11% 74% 3% 13% 35

5% 91% 2% 2% 189

7% 89% 2% 3% 195

16% 68% 7% 10% 63

18% 58% 6% 18% 38

38% 37% 8% 17% 31

79% 12% 4% 4% 194

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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43% 36% 3% 18% 14

48% 47% 3% 2% 77

38% 57% 3% 3% 134

34% 53% 5% 8% 296

41% 53% 4% 2% 136

45% 49% 4% 2% 103

28% 53% 5% 14% 160

39% 54% 2% 5% 121

40% 48% 2% 9% 232

12% 69% 14% 5% 64

49% 44% 4% 3% 158

24% 70% 1% 4% 67

49% 44% 4% 3% 158

24% 70% 1% 4% 67

34% 53% 5% 8% 296

30% 58% 5% 7% 103

39% 51% 4% 6% 418

30% 64% 4% 1% 111

43% 45% 4% 9% 313

29% 62% 5% 4% 97

48% 47% 4% 1% 158

31% 57% 7% 5% 34

35% 60% 3% 1% 47

37% 43% 3% 16% 154

28% 65% 4% 2% 63

27% 67% 5% 2% 64

47% 41% 3% 9% 257

24% 65% 4% 7% 55

39% 58% 2% 2% 133

14% 73% 10% 3% 75

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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41% 54% 3% 2% 34

41% 59% 32

52% 42% 4% 1% 134

41% 39% 3% 17% 124

36% 60% 4% 26

36% 58% 2% 3% 40

18% 70% 8% 4% 130

32% 55% 5% 8% 191

40% 51% 4% 5% 330

37% 53% 6% 3% 95

28% 57% 3% 12% 96

36% 51% 4% 10% 141

48% 41% 4% 8% 171

23% 67% 5% 5% 23

28% 62% 7% 4% 32

21% 73% 6% 17

32% 62% 4% 2% 94

34% 60% 4% 3% 42

49% 43% 2% 5% 163

40% 49% 2% 9% 72

39% 49% 9% 3% 115

25% 65% 4% 7% 170

49% 44% 3% 4% 177

31% 58% 5% 6% 319

33% 43% 4% 20% 24

54% 42% 2% 3% 78

38% 56% 5% 1% 162

45% 46% 3% 6% 100

26% 58% 4% 12% 181

63% 30% 3% 4% 120

20% 74% 1% 6% 57

80% 13% 3% 4% 91

42% 44% 14% 23

11% 84% 4% 2% 30

4% 94% 2% 34

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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32% 53% 15% 31

43% 48% 3% 6% 288

30% 61% 7% 2% 126

34% 59% 7% 59

100% 2

32% 34% 22% 12% 14

48% 43% 3% 6% 231

15% 85% 21

17% 67% 5% 10% 29

40% 36% 12% 11% 7

31% 58% 5% 6% 232

44% 50% 3% 3% 81

34% 54% 3% 10% 79

28% 72% 45

43% 52% 3% 2% 65

38% 49% 6% 7% 148

32% 53% 10% 4% 40

37% 46% 4% 14% 62

78% 11% 5% 6% 175

40% 32% 10% 19% 40

14% 78% 3% 5% 306

83% 9% 4% 5% 203

18% 51% 10% 21% 45

7% 85% 3% 4% 272

80% 13% 3% 4% 205

24% 38% 14% 24% 57

7% 87% 3% 4% 258

80% 11% 4% 6% 210

24% 31% 19% 26% 21

8% 84% 3% 5% 289

38% 53% 4% 5% 493

24% 49% 5% 22% 27

36% 59% 4% 1% 150

41% 52% 1% 6% 114

37% 53% 4% 6% 181

41% 34% 10% 15% 48

8% 85% 3% 4% 259

19% 54% 20% 7% 9

74% 15% 4% 6% 225

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 81% 6% 4% 121

25% 66% 2% 6% 186

56% 32% 3% 8% 117

78% 14% 2% 6% 91

21% 14% 65% 6

39% 53% 3% 5% 424

31% 54% 4% 12% 80

33% 35% 32% 17

35% 57% 4% 5% 211

34% 58% 3% 5% 255

37% 56% 3% 4% 306

39% 54% 3% 4% 351

37% 52% 4% 6% 520

37% 52% 4% 6% 520

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

IHCC12GOP in

CongressDEM in

CongressNone Unsure

IHCC12 BETTER JOB / PRESCRIPTION DRUG PRICES TOTAL

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21% 37% 22% 18% 1% 1011

22% 41% 20% 17% 0% 192

20% 38% 21% 20% 1% 161

24% 33% 22% 18% 2% 260

15% 30% 29% 25% 1% 77

17% 37% 28% 18% 1% 80

17% 44% 27% 12% 84

24% 37% 20% 19% 158

25% 35% 23% 17% 113

29% 29% 20% 20% 2% 76

10% 35% 32% 24% 56

30% 34% 22% 14% 52

20% 39% 22% 18% 1% 715

21% 29% 22% 26% 2% 189

20% 39% 23% 17% 1% 544

24% 39% 22% 16% 0% 278

10% 45% 29% 10% 5% 65

22% 36% 22% 19% 1% 946

19% 35% 20% 24% 1% 431

24% 39% 22% 15% 235

23% 37% 27% 12% 1% 316

10% 41% 7% 36% 7% 29

19% 33% 29% 16% 2% 132

17% 44% 26% 13% 108

33% 48% 12% 7% 9

51% 19% 30% 30

24% 39% 22% 15% 235

19% 35% 20% 24% 1% 431

10% 46% 28% 15% 1% 108

22% 36% 22% 19% 1% 903

19% 33% 23% 24% 1% 475

23% 40% 22% 14% 1% 536

20% 33% 21% 24% 1% 334

16% 33% 26% 23% 2% 141

25% 41% 23% 10% 0% 290

20% 40% 21% 18% 1% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 35% 25% 15% 98

23% 37% 22% 18% 0% 624

17% 37% 23% 21% 2% 262

10% 51% 16% 20% 3% 28

25% 41% 15% 19% 1% 202

21% 35% 26% 16% 2% 283

22% 37% 23% 17% 313

15% 36% 24% 23% 2% 212

23% 37% 21% 17% 1% 485

22% 37% 23% 17% 313

15% 36% 24% 23% 2% 212

19% 33% 22% 23% 2% 255

19% 33% 23% 25% 0% 220

27% 42% 20% 10% 0% 230

20% 39% 24% 16% 1% 306

18% 37% 24% 20% 1% 758

38% 34% 20% 7% 2% 121

23% 43% 17% 16% 91

23% 32% 18% 22% 5% 40

22% 36% 21% 22% 130

17% 37% 24% 20% 1% 629

40% 44% 16% 31

37% 31% 26% 4% 3% 91

20% 60% 6% 14% 32

25% 35% 23% 18% 59

39% 39% 5% 5% 12% 10

18% 30% 22% 28% 3% 30

18% 32% 24% 25% 1% 370

18% 42% 23% 16% 1% 388

23% 41% 21% 14% 2% 39

45% 31% 19% 3% 2% 82

21% 42% 17% 20% 47

25% 45% 18% 12% 44

16% 37% 23% 23% 0% 282

23% 37% 22% 17% 1% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 26% 30% 36% 1% 384

24% 36% 24% 13% 3% 202

32% 48% 15% 5% 0% 425

10% 24% 25% 40% 207

5% 27% 35% 31% 1% 177

32% 45% 16% 7% 0% 175

32% 50% 15% 3% 0% 249

14% 32% 31% 19% 5% 92

32% 40% 18% 8% 2% 110

12% 24% 29% 34% 1% 154

5% 27% 30% 37% 1% 230

30% 47% 16% 7% 210

34% 49% 14% 3% 0% 215

24% 39% 20% 13% 4% 122

23% 32% 29% 14% 2% 81

10% 26% 31% 32% 1% 444

24% 15% 23% 30% 8% 62

30% 50% 15% 5% 0% 505

6% 24% 30% 40% 0% 289

12% 33% 30% 23% 2% 79

24% 35% 24% 14% 3% 223

24% 45% 20% 11% 76

33% 49% 14% 4% 0% 344

8% 24% 33% 34% 1% 421

34% 49% 13% 4% 0% 429

28% 37% 21% 15% 98

100% 4

19% 45% 20% 13% 4% 32

14% 30% 22% 24% 10% 27

9% 31% 30% 30% 1% 491

36% 17% 21% 18% 7% 86

32% 48% 14% 6% 0% 433

6% 21% 29% 43% 1% 185

10% 37% 31% 22% 0% 307

33% 43% 15% 8% 1% 520

8% 26% 30% 36% 1% 384

24% 36% 24% 13% 3% 202

20% 59% 16% 5% 69

34% 46% 15% 5% 0% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

(cont.)

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32% 50% 14% 4% 0% 380

26% 50% 16% 8% 126

24% 15% 23% 30% 8% 62

32% 33% 23% 7% 5% 52

7% 25% 32% 35% 0% 392

24% 25% 25% 26% 22

15% 36% 23% 25% 2% 149

22% 39% 20% 19% 1% 240

22% 37% 23% 17% 1% 601

20% 31% 24% 25% 1% 282

17% 37% 21% 23% 1% 193

24% 42% 23% 10% 1% 319

21% 37% 21% 20% 1% 217

19% 37% 24% 19% 1% 466

35% 35% 20% 8% 2% 135

17% 36% 23% 23% 1% 293

25% 39% 17% 17% 2% 117

17% 36% 23% 23% 1% 293

25% 39% 17% 17% 2% 117

22% 37% 23% 17% 1% 601

27% 40% 18% 15% 197

20% 36% 24% 19% 1% 814

28% 38% 19% 14% 1% 219

19% 35% 26% 19% 1% 617

21% 42% 15% 22% 2% 175

18% 33% 25% 23% 1% 320

23% 30% 12% 31% 3% 55

21% 36% 20% 23% 100

20% 38% 27% 15% 1% 296

20% 47% 16% 17% 1% 120

35% 40% 17% 7% 1% 119

17% 36% 26% 20% 1% 513

26% 31% 26% 15% 2% 104

20% 39% 19% 21% 1% 246

33% 41% 13% 11% 1% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

(cont.)

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18% 30% 24% 28% 64

29% 38% 26% 5% 2% 57

17% 32% 26% 23% 1% 265

17% 40% 26% 17% 0% 248

23% 30% 12% 35% 41

13% 52% 14% 20% 1% 83

30% 37% 19% 13% 2% 253

18% 39% 21% 20% 2% 354

23% 36% 23% 18% 1% 657

15% 35% 21% 27% 2% 179

22% 43% 21% 13% 1% 175

17% 38% 25% 20% 1% 272

20% 33% 27% 19% 1% 345

33% 39% 4% 24% 34

21% 43% 20% 16% 57

18% 48% 7% 23% 4% 30

30% 37% 20% 13% 189

16% 42% 15% 25% 3% 84

16% 33% 25% 25% 1% 330

21% 38% 23% 17% 0% 152

23% 37% 23% 17% 239

26% 41% 19% 12% 2% 290

17% 32% 26% 24% 1% 363

23% 41% 20% 15% 1% 599

35% 23% 18% 22% 2% 49

16% 27% 24% 33% 163

21% 37% 22% 19% 2% 312

17% 36% 29% 17% 2% 200

27% 43% 19% 12% 0% 336

14% 28% 29% 29% 1% 250

22% 41% 22% 13% 2% 113

7% 28% 31% 33% 1% 201

12% 37% 29% 22% 54

42% 29% 19% 10% 49

32% 44% 15% 6% 3% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

(cont.)

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16% 47% 19% 16% 1% 66

17% 37% 24% 21% 0% 583

31% 36% 18% 13% 1% 220

28% 32% 24% 16% 1% 114

51% 33% 16% 4

16% 30% 22% 16% 16% 24

16% 37% 25% 22% 0% 472

26% 39% 25% 10% 45

15% 43% 20% 21% 53

31% 33% 11% 25% 14

27% 37% 20% 15% 2% 428

22% 38% 21% 19% 1% 188

15% 40% 25% 20% 0% 168

30% 38% 25% 7% 78

15% 37% 31% 16% 1% 126

23% 33% 20% 22% 1% 288

24% 41% 13% 20% 2% 65

25% 36% 20% 17% 1% 98

5% 23% 32% 38% 1% 350

5% 28% 28% 38% 2% 77

33% 47% 16% 4% 1% 584

6% 22% 34% 36% 1% 423

17% 35% 23% 18% 7% 79

34% 49% 13% 4% 0% 509

7% 25% 34% 34% 1% 424

19% 30% 22% 24% 5% 102

34% 49% 13% 4% 0% 485

6% 24% 33% 37% 1% 438

6% 21% 42% 15% 16% 35

34% 49% 13% 4% 0% 539

21% 37% 22% 19% 1% 955

15% 37% 36% 10% 2% 56

29% 33% 18% 19% 0% 295

25% 34% 22% 18% 0% 252

15% 42% 25% 18% 0% 313

10% 39% 21% 25% 6% 95

100% 1

36% 49% 11% 3% 0% 488

9% 39% 20% 31% 24

6% 24% 33% 36% 2% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

(cont.)

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21% 35% 24% 19% 1% 830

22% 43% 16% 17% 2% 152

11% 58% 7% 20% 4% 29

25% 35% 23% 17% 1% 409

24% 35% 24% 17% 1% 511

23% 35% 24% 17% 1% 607

21% 36% 24% 17% 1% 708

21% 37% 22% 18% 1% 1011

21% 37% 22% 18% 1% 1011

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

ECONW

Very worried Somewhatworried

Not tooworried

Not at allworried

Unsure /refused

ECONW HOW WORRIED ECONOMIC DOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECT FAMILY

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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2% 15% 24% 59% 1011

3% 15% 16% 65% 192

2% 16% 28% 55% 161

3% 19% 24% 54% 260

4% 11% 19% 66% 77

1% 7% 17% 75% 80

1% 14% 37% 48% 84

1% 12% 26% 61% 158

0% 13% 25% 62% 113

3% 18% 25% 54% 76

3% 9% 19% 69% 56

6% 11% 26% 58% 52

2% 15% 24% 59% 715

2% 16% 27% 55% 189

2% 15% 24% 59% 544

2% 13% 21% 64% 278

18% 35% 47% 65

2% 14% 23% 60% 946

3% 19% 24% 55% 431

2% 12% 20% 66% 235

0% 11% 25% 64% 316

15% 10% 42% 34% 29

12% 23% 65% 132

1% 11% 21% 67% 108

49% 51% 9

2% 39% 59% 30

2% 12% 20% 66% 235

3% 19% 24% 55% 431

2% 8% 27% 63% 108

2% 16% 23% 59% 903

2% 14% 24% 59% 475

2% 15% 23% 60% 536

2% 13% 22% 63% 334

2% 18% 30% 50% 141

1% 10% 17% 73% 290

5% 21% 31% 44% 246

4% 18% 49% 29% 98

1% 12% 20% 68% 624

3% 21% 24% 52% 262

12% 8% 29% 52% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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17% 27% 57% 202

1% 8% 21% 70% 283

2% 16% 24% 57% 313

5% 20% 24% 51% 212

1% 12% 23% 64% 485

2% 16% 24% 57% 313

5% 20% 24% 51% 212

1% 11% 25% 63% 255

3% 18% 24% 55% 220

1% 12% 21% 65% 230

4% 17% 24% 55% 306

1% 14% 23% 61% 758

3% 14% 29% 54% 121

1% 20% 24% 54% 91

14% 11% 24% 51% 40

14% 28% 58% 130

2% 14% 22% 62% 629

16% 35% 48% 31

4% 13% 27% 56% 91

30% 13% 57% 32

2% 15% 30% 53% 59

10% 22% 68% 10

19% 11% 25% 45% 30

1% 13% 23% 63% 370

2% 15% 22% 60% 388

6% 17% 31% 45% 39

2% 12% 28% 58% 82

2% 23% 28% 46% 47

17% 20% 63% 44

2% 18% 22% 59% 282

2% 13% 25% 60% 729

2% 18% 28% 53% 384

3% 7% 22% 67% 202

2% 15% 21% 62% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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1% 14% 29% 55% 207

2% 22% 26% 50% 177

1% 15% 22% 62% 175

3% 15% 20% 62% 249

4% 13% 19% 64% 92

3% 3% 25% 69% 110

1% 13% 27% 59% 154

2% 21% 28% 48% 230

1% 13% 20% 66% 210

3% 18% 21% 58% 215

1% 9% 24% 67% 122

7% 6% 21% 66% 81

2% 16% 26% 56% 444

7% 10% 29% 54% 62

2% 14% 21% 63% 505

2% 20% 26% 52% 289

0% 9% 37% 54% 79

3% 9% 21% 67% 223

1% 15% 20% 64% 76

2% 15% 21% 61% 344

2% 18% 27% 53% 421

2% 12% 21% 65% 429

3% 13% 20% 64% 98

50% 50% 4

8% 16% 76% 32

16% 11% 28% 45% 27

2% 17% 26% 55% 491

5% 8% 35% 51% 86

2% 13% 19% 67% 433

2% 20% 28% 50% 185

2% 15% 25% 58% 307

2% 13% 21% 64% 520

2% 18% 28% 53% 384

3% 7% 22% 67% 202

5% 23% 26% 45% 69

1% 14% 20% 65% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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1% 13% 18% 69% 380

5% 18% 31% 46% 126

7% 10% 29% 54% 62

4% 23% 26% 47% 52

2% 15% 26% 57% 392

100% 282

4% 35% 60% 193

100% 319

6% 37% 57% 217

100% 466

100% 135

4% 37% 59% 293

9% 34% 57% 117

4% 37% 59% 293

9% 34% 57% 117

100% 601

2% 18% 19% 61% 197

2% 14% 25% 59% 814

2% 15% 30% 53% 219

2% 14% 21% 63% 617

5% 16% 24% 55% 175

2% 15% 20% 64% 320

5% 11% 27% 57% 55

0% 15% 39% 46% 100

1% 14% 23% 62% 296

5% 18% 23% 54% 120

3% 15% 23% 59% 119

1% 15% 20% 63% 513

3% 11% 25% 61% 104

2% 13% 28% 57% 246

5% 19% 27% 49% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 39% 51% 64

5% 8% 28% 58% 57

1% 14% 19% 66% 265

1% 16% 22% 61% 248

12% 30% 59% 41

2% 20% 17% 61% 83

4% 16% 27% 54% 253

1% 14% 21% 64% 354

3% 15% 25% 57% 657

2% 13% 20% 65% 179

1% 16% 21% 62% 175

1% 12% 18% 69% 272

2% 16% 24% 58% 345

18% 33% 49% 34

2% 16% 25% 57% 57

4% 36% 42% 18% 30

1% 12% 28% 59% 189

9% 15% 21% 55% 84

2% 15% 28% 55% 330

1% 12% 19% 68% 152

3% 13% 23% 61% 239

2% 17% 22% 59% 290

3% 18% 32% 47% 363

1% 13% 20% 67% 599

10% 16% 13% 60% 49

4% 18% 33% 46% 163

1% 13% 20% 67% 312

2% 18% 31% 48% 200

3% 13% 18% 66% 336

3% 19% 31% 48% 250

3% 16% 35% 46% 113

2% 19% 29% 50% 201

4% 15% 34% 47% 54

8% 16% 36% 40% 49

2% 17% 35% 45% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 13% 80% 66

1% 12% 20% 68% 583

2% 19% 31% 49% 220

6% 30% 38% 26% 114

17% 83% 4

18% 6% 23% 52% 24

1% 11% 19% 69% 472

5% 15% 19% 61% 45

10% 26% 65% 53

6% 14% 21% 59% 14

4% 19% 29% 48% 428

2% 23% 23% 52% 188

3% 23% 25% 50% 168

16% 19% 65% 78

1% 7% 25% 67% 126

1% 11% 21% 68% 288

10% 8% 33% 49% 65

3% 11% 27% 59% 98

3% 20% 26% 51% 350

2% 8% 23% 66% 77

2% 12% 22% 64% 584

2% 18% 27% 53% 423

1% 10% 15% 73% 79

2% 13% 23% 62% 509

2% 17% 27% 53% 424

2% 8% 16% 74% 102

2% 14% 22% 62% 485

2% 17% 26% 55% 438

3% 21% 15% 61% 35

2% 13% 22% 63% 539

2% 14% 24% 60% 955

11% 19% 22% 49% 56

2% 18% 20% 59% 295

1% 12% 22% 64% 252

1% 12% 26% 61% 313

3% 15% 31% 52% 95

100% 1

2% 13% 22% 63% 488

3% 2% 17% 79% 24

2% 16% 27% 55% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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2% 10% 24% 63% 214

1% 14% 25% 59% 374

2% 15% 21% 61% 227

3% 20% 24% 53% 187

29% 18% 53% 9

1% 13% 24% 62% 830

5% 25% 21% 50% 152

15% 16% 18% 51% 29

57% 43% 409

46% 54% 511

0% 1% 39% 60% 607

0% 5% 33% 61% 708

2% 15% 24% 59% 1011

2% 15% 24% 59% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

REDUCLess than

high schoolHigh school

graduateSomecollege

Collegegraduate

REDUC RESPONDENT'S EDUCATION/C TOTAL

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49% 9% 43% 1011

41% 6% 53% 192

47% 12% 42% 161

49% 11% 40% 260

73% 9% 18% 77

56% 5% 39% 80

57% 6% 38% 84

39% 8% 53% 158

42% 7% 51% 113

49% 15% 36% 76

70% 9% 21% 56

40% 5% 56% 52

49% 8% 43% 715

56% 13% 30% 189

51% 7% 41% 544

38% 8% 54% 278

57% 12% 31% 65

48% 8% 44% 946

60% 6% 34% 431

36% 10% 54% 235

43% 10% 47% 316

50% 18% 32% 29

48% 9% 43% 132

46% 8% 46% 108

60% 40% 9

21% 25% 54% 30

36% 10% 54% 235

60% 6% 34% 431

54% 6% 40% 108

48% 9% 43% 903

54% 9% 37% 475

44% 8% 48% 536

52% 9% 39% 334

60% 9% 31% 141

38% 9% 53% 290

50% 7% 43% 246

48% 12% 40% 98

45% 9% 46% 624

56% 4% 39% 262

55% 21% 24% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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30% 10% 60% 202

46% 12% 42% 283

56% 7% 37% 313

59% 5% 37% 212

39% 11% 49% 485

56% 7% 37% 313

59% 5% 37% 212

43% 14% 44% 255

68% 4% 28% 220

35% 9% 56% 230

50% 7% 43% 306

53% 7% 40% 758

30% 15% 55% 121

39% 8% 54% 91

50% 18% 32% 40

39% 10% 51% 130

56% 7% 38% 629

8% 20% 72% 31

38% 13% 49% 91

13% 87% 32

52% 12% 36% 59

35% 22% 43% 10

55% 16% 29% 30

57% 8% 35% 370

49% 6% 45% 388

51% 4% 44% 39

20% 20% 60% 82

37% 13% 50% 47

40% 2% 57% 44

60% 3% 37% 282

44% 11% 45% 729

93% 3% 4% 384

32% 26% 42% 202

16% 5% 79% 425

94% 4% 2% 207

92% 3% 6% 177

15% 5% 80% 175

18% 5% 78% 249

40% 28% 32% 92

25% 25% 50% 110

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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91% 5% 5% 154

95% 2% 3% 230

11% 5% 84% 210

22% 5% 73% 215

23% 31% 46% 122

45% 19% 36% 81

88% 3% 8% 444

24% 50% 26% 62

17% 8% 75% 505

96% 1% 3% 289

91% 7% 3% 79

35% 25% 40% 223

28% 8% 64% 76

13% 4% 83% 344

86% 5% 9% 421

17% 9% 74% 429

38% 15% 47% 98

100% 4

29% 9% 62% 32

38% 37% 25% 27

100% 185

100% 307

17% 83% 520

93% 3% 4% 384

32% 26% 42% 202

100% 69

6% 94% 355

100% 380

68% 32% 126

24% 50% 26% 62

28% 72% 52

100% 392

47% 22% 32% 22

56% 5% 39% 149

54% 13% 33% 240

45% 7% 48% 601

52% 9% 39% 282

57% 9% 33% 193

38% 6% 56% 319

52% 11% 37% 217

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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48% 7% 45% 466

34% 8% 58% 135

61% 7% 32% 293

39% 18% 43% 117

61% 7% 32% 293

39% 18% 43% 117

45% 7% 48% 601

39% 7% 54% 197

51% 9% 40% 814

30% 10% 60% 219

55% 7% 37% 617

48% 11% 40% 175

62% 8% 29% 320

50% 11% 39% 55

31% 11% 59% 100

48% 6% 46% 296

47% 12% 41% 120

29% 9% 62% 119

56% 7% 37% 513

52% 9% 39% 104

46% 7% 47% 246

26% 16% 59% 149

31% 11% 58% 64

43% 10% 47% 57

64% 8% 28% 265

48% 6% 46% 248

53% 5% 41% 41

55% 4% 42% 83

36% 13% 51% 253

47% 10% 43% 354

49% 8% 43% 657

54% 13% 33% 179

40% 7% 53% 175

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 8% 41% 272

59% 7% 34% 345

41% 21% 38% 34

40% 8% 52% 57

17% 16% 68% 30

32% 9% 59% 189

57% 10% 33% 84

67% 8% 26% 330

54% 4% 42% 152

46% 6% 48% 239

27% 14% 59% 290

70% 6% 23% 363

36% 10% 54% 599

38% 10% 52% 49

72% 7% 21% 163

45% 10% 45% 312

69% 6% 25% 200

29% 9% 62% 336

80% 5% 15% 250

48% 10% 42% 113

100% 201

100% 54

25% 75% 49

19% 81% 59

39% 5% 56% 66

53% 7% 40% 583

42% 11% 47% 220

45% 11% 44% 114

83% 17% 4

43% 32% 26% 24

55% 6% 38% 472

32% 13% 55% 45

45% 7% 48% 53

64% 9% 28% 14

43% 11% 46% 428

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 5% 44% 188

58% 2% 40% 168

36% 13% 51% 78

63% 11% 26% 126

41% 9% 50% 288

40% 19% 40% 65

48% 10% 42% 98

84% 6% 10% 350

57% 20% 23% 77

26% 9% 65% 584

89% 4% 7% 423

31% 34% 35% 79

18% 8% 74% 509

90% 3% 7% 424

29% 40% 31% 102

16% 7% 77% 485

85% 5% 9% 438

33% 49% 18% 35

20% 8% 72% 539

49% 8% 43% 955

46% 17% 37% 56

46% 6% 48% 295

45% 9% 46% 252

51% 8% 41% 313

60% 14% 26% 95

100% 1

18% 8% 73% 488

57% 21% 22% 24

82% 7% 11% 442

20% 15% 66% 214

40% 4% 56% 374

66% 8% 26% 227

78% 8% 13% 187

26% 65% 8% 9

49% 8% 43% 830

46% 9% 45% 152

57% 23% 20% 29

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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47% 9% 44% 409

48% 7% 45% 511

49% 7% 44% 607

49% 7% 45% 708

49% 9% 43% 1011

49% 9% 43% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RIDEOLConservative Moderate LiberalRIDEOL RESPONDENT'S IDEOLOGY/C TOTAL

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38% 20% 42% 1011

31% 17% 53% 192

39% 20% 41% 161

37% 19% 44% 260

64% 10% 26% 77

50% 16% 34% 80

39% 23% 38% 84

28% 31% 41% 158

29% 31% 40% 113

35% 22% 43% 76

59% 13% 28% 56

35% 10% 55% 52

38% 19% 42% 715

50% 16% 34% 189

39% 20% 41% 544

29% 23% 49% 278

42% 20% 38% 65

38% 20% 42% 946

47% 20% 33% 431

24% 21% 55% 235

36% 18% 45% 316

31% 31% 38% 29

42% 22% 36% 132

39% 12% 49% 108

37% 63% 9

9% 32% 60% 30

24% 21% 55% 235

47% 20% 33% 431

35% 25% 41% 108

38% 19% 42% 903

44% 19% 37% 475

33% 20% 47% 536

44% 18% 38% 334

43% 22% 35% 141

30% 21% 49% 290

36% 20% 44% 246

36% 26% 38% 98

37% 20% 43% 624

40% 17% 43% 262

41% 39% 21% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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29% 26% 45% 202

34% 24% 42% 283

45% 13% 42% 313

42% 19% 39% 212

32% 25% 43% 485

45% 13% 42% 313

42% 19% 39% 212

39% 22% 39% 255

49% 16% 35% 220

24% 28% 48% 230

40% 15% 45% 306

44% 18% 38% 758

8% 27% 65% 121

27% 20% 53% 91

34% 37% 29% 40

39% 15% 46% 130

46% 19% 36% 629

8% 60% 32% 31

8% 16% 76% 91

13% 33% 53% 32

34% 12% 53% 59

16% 49% 36% 10

40% 33% 27% 30

48% 20% 32% 370

41% 16% 43% 388

18% 8% 74% 39

3% 36% 61% 82

35% 17% 49% 47

19% 23% 58% 44

46% 17% 37% 282

35% 21% 44% 729

100% 207

100% 177

100% 175

100% 249

100% 92

100% 110

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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100% 154

100% 230

100% 210

100% 215

100% 122

100% 81

78% 18% 4% 444

14% 64% 22% 62

6% 16% 78% 505

100% 289

100% 79

7% 91% 2% 223

100% 76

100% 344

78% 20% 3% 421

4% 13% 83% 429

31% 37% 32% 98

100% 4

23% 41% 35% 32

16% 52% 32% 27

73% 13% 14% 491

14% 61% 25% 86

3% 20% 77% 433

85% 9% 6% 185

66% 15% 19% 307

5% 26% 68% 520

100% 384

100% 202

100% 69

100% 355

2% 16% 83% 380

18% 19% 63% 126

14% 64% 22% 62

27% 58% 16% 52

85% 13% 2% 392

32% 31% 37% 22

46% 10% 43% 149

44% 19% 37% 240

34% 22% 44% 601

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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41% 21% 39% 282

48% 17% 35% 193

28% 24% 49% 319

41% 16% 43% 217

38% 21% 41% 466

17% 29% 54% 135

54% 14% 32% 293

21% 22% 57% 117

54% 14% 32% 293

21% 22% 57% 117

34% 22% 44% 601

32% 19% 49% 197

40% 20% 40% 814

20% 26% 54% 219

44% 17% 39% 617

38% 23% 39% 175

48% 18% 34% 320

46% 25% 29% 55

28% 22% 50% 100

40% 16% 44% 296

34% 23% 43% 120

14% 29% 57% 119

48% 17% 35% 513

28% 15% 57% 104

38% 19% 43% 246

13% 34% 54% 149

32% 19% 49% 64

26% 21% 53% 57

51% 20% 29% 265

44% 15% 41% 248

52% 22% 26% 41

43% 17% 41% 83

19% 26% 55% 253

39% 19% 42% 354

37% 21% 42% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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48% 17% 35% 179

31% 21% 48% 175

42% 17% 40% 272

46% 17% 37% 345

38% 34% 28% 34

31% 16% 53% 57

19% 8% 73% 30

21% 29% 51% 189

43% 24% 33% 84

55% 16% 29% 330

41% 20% 39% 152

32% 21% 47% 239

22% 24% 54% 290

57% 16% 27% 363

28% 20% 52% 599

20% 45% 35% 49

61% 17% 23% 163

35% 21% 44% 312

53% 16% 31% 200

21% 23% 56% 336

73% 11% 17% 250

21% 28% 50% 113

87% 7% 6% 201

42% 13% 45% 54

13% 28% 59% 49

3% 43% 55% 59

36% 9% 54% 66

40% 20% 40% 583

37% 21% 42% 220

31% 20% 49% 114

20% 80% 4

34% 37% 29% 24

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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44% 21% 36% 472

12% 14% 74% 45

30% 24% 46% 53

46% 24% 30% 14

35% 19% 45% 428

39% 12% 49% 188

43% 12% 45% 168

32% 9% 59% 78

49% 19% 31% 126

33% 29% 38% 288

33% 39% 28% 65

34% 21% 45% 98

79% 15% 6% 350

40% 37% 23% 77

13% 21% 66% 584

81% 16% 3% 423

24% 56% 21% 79

5% 18% 78% 509

83% 15% 2% 424

21% 53% 26% 102

2% 17% 80% 485

79% 17% 5% 438

19% 62% 19% 35

6% 20% 74% 539

39% 20% 42% 955

27% 24% 49% 56

35% 17% 48% 295

37% 16% 47% 252

42% 20% 38% 313

44% 37% 20% 95

100% 1

6% 21% 74% 488

31% 32% 37% 24

75% 18% 6% 442

14% 23% 63% 214

26% 19% 54% 374

50% 21% 29% 227

74% 14% 11% 187

26% 65% 8% 9

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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39% 19% 42% 830

35% 22% 44% 152

33% 30% 36% 29

37% 18% 44% 409

36% 18% 46% 511

38% 17% 45% 607

38% 17% 45% 708

38% 20% 42% 1011

38% 20% 42% 1011

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RPARTYIDRepublican Independent DemocratRPARTYID PARTY IDENTIFICATION/C TOTAL

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44% 6% 50% 1011

35% 4% 61% 192

43% 6% 51% 161

42% 12% 47% 260

71% 3% 25% 77

51% 4% 45% 80

54% 4% 42% 84

38% 3% 59% 158

37% 3% 60% 113

39% 16% 45% 76

69% 3% 28% 56

44% 2% 54% 52

44% 6% 50% 715

54% 10% 35% 189

45% 6% 49% 544

35% 3% 62% 278

51% 4% 45% 65

43% 6% 50% 946

53% 7% 40% 431

31% 4% 66% 235

41% 5% 54% 316

42% 31% 27% 29

52% 1% 47% 132

41% 1% 58% 108

12% 88% 9

4% 25% 71% 30

31% 4% 66% 235

53% 7% 40% 431

53% 6% 42% 108

43% 6% 51% 903

50% 6% 43% 475

38% 6% 56% 536

49% 6% 45% 334

54% 6% 40% 141

34% 8% 58% 290

43% 4% 54% 246

50% 0% 50% 98

42% 7% 51% 624

45% 4% 50% 262

52% 21% 27% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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30% 10% 60% 202

46% 5% 48% 283

48% 3% 49% 313

47% 8% 44% 212

40% 7% 53% 485

48% 3% 49% 313

47% 8% 44% 212

46% 7% 47% 255

56% 6% 38% 220

33% 7% 59% 230

42% 5% 54% 306

51% 5% 44% 758

10% 8% 83% 121

33% 6% 61% 91

39% 27% 34% 40

41% 5% 54% 130

53% 5% 42% 629

20% 80% 31

13% 3% 84% 91

13% 14% 73% 32

43% 2% 55% 59

35% 24% 41% 10

40% 28% 32% 30

56% 7% 38% 370

46% 3% 51% 388

20% 80% 39

5% 11% 84% 82

36% 64% 47

29% 13% 59% 44

51% 6% 43% 282

41% 6% 53% 729

90% 2% 7% 384

39% 19% 41% 202

4% 3% 93% 425

91% 2% 7% 207

89% 3% 8% 177

7% 3% 91% 175

2% 4% 94% 249

42% 24% 34% 92

38% 15% 47% 110

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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90% 2% 8% 154

90% 3% 7% 230

4% 4% 92% 210

4% 2% 94% 215

38% 20% 43% 122

42% 19% 38% 81

100% 289

73% 11% 16% 79

38% 18% 45% 223

18% 18% 65% 76

100% 344

88% 4% 8% 421

5% 4% 91% 429

40% 12% 48% 98

100% 4

21% 4% 75% 32

22% 55% 23% 27

80% 3% 17% 491

17% 36% 47% 86

9% 4% 88% 433

91% 2% 7% 185

73% 4% 23% 307

10% 9% 81% 520

90% 2% 7% 384

39% 19% 41% 202

14% 0% 86% 69

2% 4% 94% 355

100% 380

100% 126

100% 62

100% 52

100% 392

39% 21% 41% 22

48% 4% 48% 149

48% 7% 44% 240

41% 6% 53% 601

50% 7% 43% 282

52% 5% 44% 193

34% 4% 62% 319

44% 9% 47% 217

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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46% 5% 49% 466

25% 7% 69% 135

59% 4% 37% 293

20% 14% 65% 117

59% 4% 37% 293

20% 14% 65% 117

41% 6% 53% 601

37% 2% 62% 197

46% 7% 47% 814

22% 7% 71% 219

53% 5% 43% 617

41% 10% 49% 175

59% 5% 36% 320

43% 11% 46% 55

28% 7% 65% 100

46% 4% 51% 296

40% 9% 50% 120

17% 7% 75% 119

56% 5% 39% 513

34% 5% 61% 104

40% 5% 55% 246

15% 14% 71% 149

32% 10% 57% 64

30% 5% 65% 57

63% 6% 31% 265

49% 3% 47% 248

49% 4% 47% 41

48% 1% 50% 83

23% 10% 67% 253

48% 4% 48% 354

42% 7% 51% 657

56% 2% 42% 179

39% 6% 54% 175

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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52% 3% 45% 272

53% 6% 41% 345

45% 18% 37% 34

35% 3% 62% 57

10% 4% 87% 30

24% 8% 68% 189

44% 11% 45% 84

59% 5% 36% 330

48% 2% 51% 152

39% 3% 58% 239

29% 12% 59% 290

61% 4% 35% 363

35% 6% 59% 599

33% 20% 47% 49

69% 4% 27% 163

41% 8% 51% 312

54% 4% 42% 200

29% 7% 64% 336

75% 4% 21% 250

29% 4% 68% 113

90% 2% 8% 201

53% 1% 45% 54

15% 11% 74% 49

6% 6% 88% 59

36% 4% 60% 66

50% 5% 45% 583

36% 6% 58% 220

36% 4% 60% 114

20% 80% 4

34% 45% 21% 24

54% 5% 41% 472

14% 86% 45

41% 6% 52% 53

56% 9% 36% 14

36% 7% 57% 428

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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42% 3% 55% 188

45% 5% 51% 168

34% 5% 61% 78

57% 9% 34% 126

43% 7% 51% 288

43% 11% 46% 65

42% 5% 53% 98

81% 6% 13% 350

46% 21% 33% 77

21% 4% 75% 584

86% 5% 9% 423

38% 28% 34% 79

10% 4% 86% 509

90% 3% 7% 424

27% 32% 42% 102

7% 4% 89% 485

82% 6% 12% 438

40% 41% 19% 35

13% 4% 83% 539

44% 6% 50% 955

40% 11% 49% 56

41% 2% 56% 295

39% 6% 55% 252

48% 6% 46% 313

55% 15% 30% 95

100% 1

12% 4% 84% 488

38% 20% 42% 24

80% 7% 13% 442

21% 7% 72% 214

31% 2% 67% 374

61% 6% 33% 227

76% 10% 14% 187

40% 52% 8% 9

46% 5% 49% 830

39% 9% 52% 152

23% 14% 63% 29

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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44% 5% 51% 409

43% 4% 52% 511

45% 4% 51% 607

45% 4% 51% 708

44% 6% 50% 1011

44% 6% 50% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RPARTYRepublican Ticket splitter DemocratRPARTY USUAL VOTE BEHAVIOR/C TOTAL

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42% 42% 10% 0% 3% 3% 1011

31% 53% 12% 2% 2% 192

43% 45% 9% 1% 2% 161

40% 43% 9% 1% 4% 3% 260

62% 30% 7% 1% 77

50% 35% 12% 1% 2% 80

48% 31% 12% 6% 2% 84

39% 41% 8% 7% 4% 158

37% 46% 6% 7% 3% 113

35% 43% 11% 5% 6% 76

58% 32% 8% 2% 56

36% 46% 15% 3% 52

42% 42% 10% 1% 3% 2% 715

51% 31% 11% 2% 2% 2% 189

43% 41% 10% 3% 3% 544

33% 53% 8% 3% 2% 278

53% 28% 11% 6% 2% 65

41% 43% 10% 0% 3% 3% 946

53% 33% 10% 2% 3% 431

27% 56% 12% 1% 4% 0% 235

39% 48% 8% 1% 3% 2% 316

30% 22% 9% 12% 27% 29

47% 38% 11% 1% 2% 1% 132

38% 48% 8% 4% 3% 108

25% 75% 9

9% 79% 8% 5% 30

27% 56% 12% 1% 4% 0% 235

53% 33% 10% 2% 3% 431

43% 43% 9% 3% 2% 108

41% 42% 10% 0% 3% 3% 903

46% 34% 15% 1% 2% 1% 475

38% 50% 5% 4% 4% 536

45% 34% 17% 3% 0% 334

49% 34% 10% 3% 1% 3% 141

35% 53% 6% 4% 3% 290

41% 46% 4% 4% 5% 246

47% 37% 6% 4% 5% 2% 98

40% 43% 12% 3% 1% 624

42% 46% 6% 3% 3% 262

49% 16% 11% 25% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

(cont.)

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34% 44% 12% 2% 6% 2% 202

38% 42% 15% 3% 3% 283

47% 41% 6% 4% 2% 313

46% 43% 6% 1% 5% 212

36% 43% 14% 1% 4% 2% 485

47% 41% 6% 4% 2% 313

46% 43% 6% 1% 5% 212

41% 34% 20% 2% 2% 1% 255

52% 35% 10% 3% 1% 220

31% 53% 7% 6% 3% 230

43% 47% 3% 3% 4% 306

48% 36% 12% 1% 2% 2% 758

11% 83% 3% 3% 121

33% 45% 9% 11% 2% 91

42% 28% 5% 5% 20% 40

44% 35% 15% 3% 2% 2% 130

48% 37% 11% 2% 2% 629

8% 92% 31

13% 80% 4% 3% 91

20% 40% 16% 24% 32

40% 48% 6% 4% 3% 59

35% 36% 17% 12% 10

45% 26% 7% 0% 22% 30

49% 30% 17% 1% 2% 1% 370

46% 42% 6% 3% 3% 388

21% 76% 3% 39

7% 87% 3% 4% 82

43% 37% 16% 4% 47

22% 54% 3% 18% 4% 44

51% 38% 7% 3% 2% 282

38% 44% 11% 1% 3% 3% 729

85% 4% 8% 2% 1% 384

41% 28% 18% 7% 7% 202

3% 84% 7% 1% 3% 2% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

(cont.)

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82% 3% 11% 3% 1% 207

88% 5% 4% 1% 2% 177

3% 80% 11% 2% 3% 1% 175

3% 87% 5% 3% 3% 249

46% 18% 31% 1% 3% 92

36% 36% 7% 11% 10% 110

79% 4% 15% 1% 0% 154

89% 4% 3% 2% 2% 230

3% 77% 12% 2% 3% 3% 210

3% 91% 3% 2% 1% 215

39% 33% 15% 8% 4% 122

42% 20% 22% 5% 11% 81

83% 5% 9% 2% 1% 444

30% 26% 19% 2% 24% 62

7% 77% 9% 1% 5% 1% 505

90% 1% 8% 1% 1% 289

75% 14% 8% 3% 79

40% 27% 17% 8% 6% 223

8% 69% 11% 3% 5% 5% 76

2% 88% 6% 1% 2% 1% 344

73% 15% 8% 2% 2% 491

25% 43% 17% 3% 12% 86

9% 73% 11% 1% 5% 2% 433

87% 5% 5% 2% 1% 185

65% 21% 9% 2% 3% 307

12% 68% 12% 1% 4% 3% 520

85% 4% 8% 2% 1% 384

41% 28% 18% 7% 7% 202

9% 78% 4% 3% 6% 69

2% 85% 8% 1% 3% 1% 355

3% 80% 10% 1% 5% 0% 380

18% 68% 7% 4% 3% 126

30% 26% 19% 2% 24% 62

67% 11% 20% 2% 1% 52

85% 4% 7% 1% 1% 392

35% 33% 13% 19% 22

51% 36% 8% 1% 2% 2% 149

48% 38% 8% 1% 2% 3% 240

37% 46% 10% 4% 2% 601

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

(cont.)

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43% 38% 16% 2% 1% 282

50% 29% 14% 2% 3% 2% 193

31% 54% 6% 6% 3% 319

47% 44% 4% 1% 5% 217

41% 41% 13% 3% 2% 466

22% 65% 2% 8% 3% 135

57% 29% 9% 1% 1% 2% 293

26% 56% 7% 4% 7% 117

57% 29% 9% 1% 1% 2% 293

26% 56% 7% 4% 7% 117

37% 46% 10% 4% 2% 601

35% 48% 14% 1% 1% 1% 197

43% 41% 9% 0% 4% 3% 814

29% 52% 11% 2% 6% 2% 219

46% 39% 10% 2% 2% 617

41% 43% 7% 3% 7% 175

49% 34% 16% 1% 0% 320

46% 33% 6% 6% 9% 55

38% 37% 17% 4% 5% 100

44% 45% 4% 4% 4% 296

39% 47% 7% 2% 6% 120

21% 65% 5% 7% 3% 119

49% 35% 12% 3% 2% 513

33% 59% 3% 1% 3% 104

44% 39% 11% 2% 2% 2% 246

18% 62% 5% 9% 6% 149

39% 35% 17% 6% 3% 64

37% 48% 11% 4% 57

51% 29% 19% 1% 0% 265

47% 41% 4% 4% 3% 248

55% 32% 8% 2% 2% 41

47% 39% 9% 1% 4% 83

24% 61% 4% 6% 5% 253

41% 42% 13% 1% 2% 2% 354

42% 43% 8% 0% 4% 3% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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46% 34% 18% 1% 1% 1% 179

36% 50% 8% 3% 3% 175

43% 41% 14% 1% 1% 272

49% 38% 8% 3% 2% 345

43% 40% 8% 3% 6% 34

35% 62% 3% 57

13% 59% 18% 6% 4% 30

31% 51% 10% 1% 6% 2% 189

45% 30% 11% 3% 11% 84

55% 31% 9% 3% 2% 330

42% 45% 6% 5% 2% 152

39% 45% 11% 1% 3% 1% 239

29% 51% 12% 1% 3% 5% 290

60% 30% 5% 4% 1% 363

32% 50% 13% 1% 3% 2% 599

31% 46% 6% 1% 16% 49

65% 23% 10% 1% 163

36% 40% 18% 1% 3% 2% 312

55% 36% 1% 6% 3% 200

27% 58% 7% 3% 5% 336

74% 17% 5% 3% 1% 250

28% 58% 5% 6% 3% 113

87% 6% 3% 3% 0% 201

52% 47% 2% 54

21% 61% 14% 2% 2% 49

6% 69% 9% 11% 5% 59

24% 63% 6% 6% 2% 66

48% 39% 9% 0% 3% 1% 583

35% 42% 16% 1% 2% 3% 220

38% 51% 6% 2% 3% 114

20% 80% 4

25% 22% 3% 5% 46% 24

51% 35% 11% 0% 3% 1% 472

17% 83% 45

39% 41% 2% 15% 3% 53

58% 37% 2% 4% 14

34% 47% 11% 0% 3% 5% 428

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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36% 51% 9% 1% 3% 188

47% 44% 6% 2% 2% 168

33% 55% 10% 2% 78

52% 31% 12% 3% 3% 126

43% 37% 12% 1% 4% 3% 288

29% 35% 15% 10% 12% 65

43% 49% 3% 4% 1% 98

88% 3% 4% 2% 3% 350

43% 22% 22% 3% 3% 8% 77

13% 69% 11% 0% 4% 2% 584

89% 1% 6% 2% 1% 423

27% 19% 29% 11% 14% 79

4% 80% 10% 1% 3% 2% 509

86% 3% 6% 2% 2% 424

34% 27% 25% 5% 9% 102

5% 80% 9% 1% 4% 2% 485

86% 4% 6% 2% 2% 438

32% 8% 29% 12% 19% 35

6% 76% 11% 1% 4% 2% 539

42% 43% 10% 0% 3% 2% 955

40% 40% 2% 8% 9% 56

36% 49% 11% 2% 2% 295

39% 47% 10% 1% 2% 1% 252

45% 39% 11% 1% 2% 2% 313

55% 19% 6% 9% 10% 95

100% 1

6% 78% 10% 1% 3% 2% 488

30% 32% 25% 13% 24

82% 4% 9% 2% 2% 442

15% 67% 13% 3% 2% 214

27% 57% 10% 1% 4% 2% 374

62% 24% 9% 3% 3% 227

77% 10% 8% 2% 3% 187

53% 7% 13% 27% 9

42% 43% 10% 0% 3% 2% 830

40% 40% 11% 1% 2% 6% 152

36% 42% 4% 12% 6% 29

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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42% 45% 7% 3% 2% 409

41% 48% 7% 2% 2% 511

42% 47% 7% 0% 2% 2% 607

43% 47% 6% 0% 2% 2% 708

42% 42% 10% 0% 3% 3% 1011

42% 42% 10% 0% 3% 3% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

PVOTE16Trump Clinton Other Too young to

voteDid not vote Unsure /

refused

PVOTE16 2016 PRESIDENTIAL VOTE TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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19% 81% 1011

24% 76% 192

24% 76% 161

11% 89% 260

7% 93% 77

16% 84% 80

19% 81% 84

31% 69% 158

36% 64% 113

9% 91% 76

7% 93% 56

29% 71% 52

18% 82% 715

10% 90% 189

17% 83% 544

30% 70% 278

15% 85% 65

20% 80% 946

23% 77% 431

14% 86% 235

20% 80% 316

6% 94% 29

19% 81% 132

17% 83% 108

7% 93% 9

30% 70% 30

14% 86% 235

23% 77% 431

23% 77% 108

19% 81% 903

20% 80% 475

19% 81% 536

21% 79% 334

18% 82% 141

22% 78% 290

15% 85% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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13% 87% 98

22% 78% 624

16% 84% 262

21% 79% 28

20% 80% 202

23% 77% 283

19% 81% 313

14% 86% 212

22% 78% 485

19% 81% 313

14% 86% 212

19% 81% 255

22% 78% 220

24% 76% 230

14% 86% 306

18% 82% 758

25% 75% 121

26% 74% 91

13% 87% 40

19% 81% 130

18% 82% 629

28% 72% 31

25% 75% 91

22% 78% 32

28% 72% 59

11% 89% 10

14% 86% 30

18% 82% 370

18% 82% 388

21% 79% 39

27% 73% 82

37% 63% 47

15% 85% 44

16% 84% 282

21% 79% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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16% 84% 384

18% 82% 202

23% 77% 425

19% 81% 207

13% 87% 177

24% 76% 175

22% 78% 249

17% 83% 92

19% 81% 110

13% 87% 154

19% 81% 230

26% 74% 210

20% 80% 215

26% 74% 122

7% 93% 81

16% 84% 444

5% 95% 62

24% 76% 505

16% 84% 289

16% 84% 79

19% 81% 223

17% 83% 76

24% 76% 344

17% 83% 421

22% 78% 429

27% 73% 98

50% 50% 4

5% 95% 32

7% 93% 27

16% 84% 491

16% 84% 86

24% 76% 433

13% 87% 185

17% 83% 307

23% 77% 520

16% 84% 384

18% 82% 202

20% 80% 69

23% 77% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 75% 380

21% 79% 126

5% 95% 62

21% 79% 52

16% 84% 392

15% 85% 22

24% 76% 149

16% 84% 240

20% 80% 601

17% 83% 282

25% 75% 193

22% 78% 319

13% 87% 217

19% 81% 466

25% 75% 135

17% 83% 293

22% 78% 117

17% 83% 293

22% 78% 117

20% 80% 601

19% 81% 219

20% 80% 617

18% 82% 175

20% 80% 320

20% 80% 55

20% 80% 100

20% 80% 296

16% 84% 120

19% 81% 119

19% 81% 513

26% 74% 104

16% 84% 246

22% 78% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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14% 86% 64

12% 88% 57

19% 81% 265

19% 81% 248

23% 77% 41

18% 82% 83

24% 76% 253

26% 74% 354

16% 84% 657

26% 74% 179

25% 75% 175

25% 75% 272

16% 84% 345

26% 74% 34

9% 91% 57

29% 71% 30

18% 82% 189

20% 80% 84

19% 81% 330

20% 80% 152

22% 78% 239

18% 82% 290

20% 80% 363

19% 81% 599

22% 78% 49

25% 75% 163

18% 82% 312

16% 84% 200

20% 80% 336

18% 82% 250

24% 76% 113

18% 82% 201

13% 87% 54

19% 81% 49

34% 66% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 92% 66

21% 79% 583

24% 76% 220

9% 91% 114

17% 83% 4

12% 88% 24

20% 80% 472

32% 68% 45

22% 78% 53

19% 81% 14

17% 83% 428

20% 80% 188

23% 77% 168

23% 77% 78

19% 81% 126

18% 82% 288

16% 84% 65

16% 84% 98

17% 83% 350

10% 90% 77

22% 78% 584

15% 85% 423

17% 83% 79

23% 77% 509

15% 85% 424

16% 84% 102

24% 76% 485

16% 84% 438

2% 98% 35

23% 77% 539

19% 81% 955

20% 80% 56

22% 78% 295

21% 79% 252

16% 84% 313

17% 83% 95

100% 1

23% 77% 488

6% 94% 24

16% 84% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 75% 214

21% 79% 374

16% 84% 227

16% 84% 187

100% 9

19% 81% 830

23% 77% 152

4% 96% 29

18% 82% 409

20% 80% 511

20% 80% 607

20% 80% 708

19% 81% 1011

19% 81% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RUNION

Unionhousehold

Non-unionhousehold

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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22% 61% 17% 1011

19% 63% 18% 192

27% 55% 17% 161

21% 60% 19% 260

9% 74% 18% 77

21% 66% 13% 80

22% 65% 13% 84

27% 54% 19% 158

35% 51% 14% 113

22% 54% 24% 76

10% 70% 21% 56

36% 53% 11% 52

19% 63% 17% 715

17% 67% 16% 189

21% 61% 19% 544

27% 58% 16% 278

17% 67% 15% 65

22% 61% 17% 946

15% 67% 18% 431

36% 51% 13% 235

20% 63% 17% 316

32% 20% 48% 29

18% 68% 14% 132

15% 65% 19% 108

25% 75% 9

19% 41% 40% 30

36% 51% 13% 235

15% 67% 18% 431

16% 64% 20% 108

22% 61% 17% 903

21% 67% 12% 475

22% 55% 22% 536

23% 67% 10% 334

17% 68% 14% 141

28% 56% 16% 290

16% 54% 30% 246

37% 48% 15% 98

25% 62% 13% 624

8% 68% 24% 262

17% 22% 61% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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57% 31% 12% 202

18% 70% 11% 283

11% 70% 18% 313

8% 63% 29% 212

34% 54% 11% 485

11% 70% 18% 313

8% 63% 29% 212

34% 56% 10% 255

6% 81% 13% 220

35% 52% 13% 230

13% 57% 30% 306

16% 68% 16% 758

43% 35% 22% 121

41% 49% 11% 91

23% 41% 36% 40

43% 46% 11% 130

10% 72% 17% 629

80% 20% 31

30% 47% 22% 91

93% 7% 32

12% 71% 16% 59

61% 15% 24% 10

11% 50% 40% 30

17% 72% 11% 370

15% 64% 21% 388

26% 61% 13% 39

51% 23% 26% 82

46% 49% 5% 47

35% 48% 17% 44

8% 71% 22% 282

27% 57% 16% 729

12% 71% 17% 384

28% 52% 20% 202

28% 56% 16% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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13% 74% 12% 207

10% 67% 23% 177

29% 62% 9% 175

27% 52% 21% 249

24% 61% 15% 92

32% 43% 25% 110

21% 67% 12% 154

5% 74% 21% 230

40% 54% 7% 210

16% 59% 25% 215

43% 38% 19% 122

6% 72% 22% 81

11% 73% 16% 444

26% 46% 28% 62

31% 52% 17% 505

10% 71% 19% 289

15% 74% 11% 79

28% 53% 20% 223

31% 60% 10% 76

27% 55% 18% 344

15% 68% 17% 421

26% 56% 17% 429

24% 64% 12% 98

100% 4

38% 45% 17% 32

13% 43% 44% 27

13% 69% 17% 491

25% 52% 23% 86

31% 53% 16% 433

11% 68% 20% 185

15% 70% 15% 307

30% 53% 17% 520

12% 71% 17% 384

28% 52% 20% 202

19% 57% 24% 69

30% 56% 14% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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32% 52% 16% 380

27% 54% 19% 126

26% 46% 28% 62

3% 79% 18% 52

12% 72% 16% 392

16% 44% 40% 22

22% 59% 19% 149

27% 55% 18% 240

19% 65% 16% 601

16% 73% 11% 282

28% 60% 12% 193

22% 57% 20% 319

22% 52% 26% 217

14% 70% 16% 466

38% 47% 16% 135

19% 64% 17% 293

40% 35% 25% 117

19% 64% 17% 293

40% 35% 25% 117

19% 65% 16% 601

22% 63% 16% 197

22% 61% 18% 814

100% 320

100% 55

100% 100

100% 296

100% 120

100% 119

100% 513

100% 104

49% 51% 246

66% 34% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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100% 64

100% 57

100% 265

100% 248

100% 41

100% 83

39% 41% 20% 253

9% 77% 15% 354

29% 52% 19% 657

8% 83% 8% 179

9% 70% 21% 175

100% 272

100% 345

100% 34

100% 57

100% 30

100% 189

100% 84

16% 70% 14% 330

18% 72% 11% 152

28% 53% 19% 239

26% 52% 22% 290

20% 62% 18% 363

23% 61% 17% 599

22% 55% 23% 49

15% 72% 13% 163

24% 65% 11% 312

24% 55% 22% 200

21% 56% 23% 336

11% 69% 20% 250

39% 48% 14% 113

9% 70% 21% 201

17% 63% 21% 54

22% 64% 14% 49

59% 34% 7% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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4% 90% 7% 66

17% 69% 15% 583

32% 51% 18% 220

39% 31% 31% 114

33% 20% 47% 4

13% 43% 43% 24

14% 71% 15% 472

23% 56% 22% 45

34% 60% 7% 53

26% 51% 22% 14

28% 51% 21% 428

18% 65% 17% 188

16% 60% 24% 168

13% 60% 26% 78

14% 67% 18% 126

31% 57% 12% 288

31% 49% 20% 65

22% 67% 12% 98

16% 65% 19% 350

20% 63% 17% 77

25% 58% 16% 584

15% 69% 16% 423

21% 60% 20% 79

27% 55% 18% 509

13% 69% 17% 424

19% 66% 15% 102

30% 53% 18% 485

14% 69% 16% 438

16% 69% 14% 35

28% 54% 18% 539

21% 62% 17% 955

31% 38% 30% 56

17% 66% 18% 295

24% 60% 16% 252

24% 59% 17% 313

18% 69% 13% 95

100% 1

27% 55% 18% 488

10% 71% 19% 24

15% 70% 14% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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29% 54% 17% 214

23% 58% 19% 374

18% 71% 11% 227

17% 63% 20% 187

12% 59% 29% 9

20% 64% 16% 830

29% 50% 21% 152

44% 23% 33% 29

18% 64% 18% 409

18% 65% 17% 511

17% 66% 17% 607

19% 63% 17% 708

22% 61% 17% 1011

22% 61% 17% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RMARITALSingle Married No longer

married

RMARITAL MARITAL STATUS/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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35% 65% 1011

37% 63% 192

34% 66% 161

34% 66% 260

26% 74% 77

52% 48% 80

41% 59% 84

27% 73% 158

22% 78% 113

41% 59% 76

24% 76% 56

37% 63% 52

37% 63% 715

36% 64% 189

38% 62% 544

28% 72% 278

43% 57% 65

34% 66% 946

31% 69% 431

34% 66% 235

43% 57% 316

13% 87% 29

44% 56% 132

47% 53% 108

19% 81% 9

45% 55% 30

34% 66% 235

31% 69% 431

36% 64% 108

35% 65% 903

38% 62% 475

33% 67% 536

48% 52% 334

14% 86% 141

43% 57% 290

20% 80% 246

42% 58% 98

46% 54% 624

7% 93% 262

35% 65% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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38% 62% 202

74% 26% 283

19% 81% 313

3% 97% 212

59% 41% 485

19% 81% 313

3% 97% 212

55% 45% 255

17% 83% 220

63% 37% 230

10% 90% 306

36% 64% 758

29% 71% 121

35% 65% 91

28% 72% 40

46% 54% 130

34% 66% 629

44% 56% 31

24% 76% 91

100% 32

54% 46% 59

33% 67% 10

26% 74% 30

39% 61% 370

33% 67% 388

24% 76% 39

32% 68% 82

36% 64% 47

33% 67% 44

4% 96% 282

47% 53% 729

36% 64% 384

33% 67% 202

35% 65% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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41% 59% 207

30% 70% 177

36% 64% 175

34% 66% 249

33% 67% 92

33% 67% 110

71% 29% 154

13% 87% 230

56% 44% 210

14% 86% 215

48% 52% 122

10% 90% 81

38% 62% 444

25% 75% 62

34% 66% 505

38% 62% 289

31% 69% 79

34% 66% 223

32% 68% 76

35% 65% 344

35% 65% 421

34% 66% 429

46% 54% 98

50% 50% 4

23% 77% 32

23% 77% 27

34% 66% 491

42% 58% 86

35% 65% 433

30% 70% 185

36% 64% 307

36% 64% 520

36% 64% 384

33% 67% 202

32% 68% 69

35% 65% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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34% 66% 380

32% 68% 126

25% 75% 62

50% 50% 52

36% 64% 392

23% 77% 22

34% 66% 149

31% 69% 240

37% 63% 601

42% 58% 282

32% 68% 193

34% 66% 319

31% 69% 217

39% 61% 466

33% 67% 135

32% 68% 293

29% 71% 117

32% 68% 293

29% 71% 117

37% 63% 601

46% 54% 197

32% 68% 814

14% 86% 219

44% 56% 617

30% 70% 175

47% 53% 320

28% 72% 55

15% 85% 100

41% 59% 296

31% 69% 120

13% 87% 119

44% 56% 513

45% 55% 104

21% 79% 246

21% 79% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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13% 87% 64

11% 89% 57

48% 52% 265

40% 60% 248

28% 72% 41

29% 71% 83

31% 69% 253

100% 179

100% 175

100% 272

100% 345

100% 34

100% 57

100% 30

100% 189

21% 79% 84

37% 63% 330

40% 60% 152

31% 69% 239

34% 66% 290

37% 63% 363

35% 65% 599

22% 78% 49

46% 54% 163

34% 66% 312

31% 69% 200

34% 66% 336

39% 61% 250

33% 67% 113

40% 60% 201

38% 62% 54

35% 65% 49

28% 72% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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38% 62% 66

35% 65% 583

37% 63% 220

34% 66% 114

100% 4

11% 89% 24

36% 64% 472

35% 65% 45

32% 68% 53

35% 65% 14

34% 66% 428

25% 75% 188

26% 74% 168

33% 67% 78

53% 47% 126

44% 56% 288

31% 69% 65

26% 74% 98

34% 66% 350

42% 58% 77

34% 66% 584

35% 65% 423

36% 64% 79

35% 65% 509

35% 65% 424

42% 58% 102

34% 66% 485

34% 66% 438

55% 45% 35

34% 66% 539

35% 65% 955

31% 69% 56

29% 71% 295

34% 66% 252

38% 62% 313

49% 51% 95

100% 1

35% 65% 488

40% 60% 24

36% 64% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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31% 69% 214

37% 63% 374

32% 68% 227

38% 62% 187

59% 41% 9

36% 64% 830

31% 69% 152

32% 68% 29

28% 72% 409

32% 68% 511

35% 65% 607

33% 67% 708

35% 65% 1011

35% 65% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RCHILD

Yes No

RCHILD HAVE CHILDRENLIVING AT HOME/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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33% 15% 24% 29% 1011

26% 10% 32% 32% 192

38% 10% 26% 25% 161

31% 21% 23% 25% 260

48% 22% 14% 16% 77

37% 10% 25% 28% 80

36% 15% 20% 29% 84

26% 16% 18% 40% 158

28% 20% 17% 35% 113

30% 14% 28% 29% 76

44% 24% 14% 18% 56

27% 5% 33% 35% 52

33% 14% 24% 28% 715

43% 14% 21% 22% 189

32% 16% 24% 28% 544

26% 13% 25% 35% 278

35% 13% 18% 34% 65

32% 15% 24% 28% 946

38% 13% 22% 27% 431

29% 17% 28% 26% 235

30% 16% 24% 31% 316

10% 14% 15% 60% 29

24% 11% 24% 41% 132

39% 14% 29% 19% 108

30% 58% 12% 9

24% 33% 19% 25% 30

29% 17% 28% 26% 235

38% 13% 22% 27% 431

27% 16% 29% 28% 108

33% 15% 23% 29% 903

30% 13% 24% 32% 475

35% 17% 23% 26% 536

30% 15% 22% 33% 334

31% 9% 29% 31% 141

33% 15% 27% 25% 290

37% 18% 18% 27% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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39% 16% 31% 15% 98

31% 15% 25% 29% 624

36% 14% 20% 30% 262

13% 14% 10% 63% 28

21% 16% 24% 39% 202

35% 14% 24% 26% 283

34% 15% 26% 25% 313

39% 15% 19% 27% 212

29% 15% 24% 32% 485

34% 15% 26% 25% 313

39% 15% 19% 27% 212

28% 13% 21% 38% 255

33% 14% 28% 25% 220

31% 18% 27% 24% 230

38% 15% 20% 26% 306

33% 13% 24% 30% 758

32% 26% 30% 12% 121

38% 17% 14% 31% 91

18% 7% 23% 52% 40

20% 15% 28% 37% 130

35% 13% 23% 28% 629

8% 36% 28% 28% 31

40% 23% 30% 7% 91

40% 7% 6% 47% 32

37% 23% 18% 22% 59

5% 10% 10% 75% 10

23% 6% 28% 44% 30

28% 12% 26% 34% 370

37% 15% 22% 26% 388

45% 26% 23% 6% 39

25% 27% 33% 15% 82

39% 18% 15% 29% 47

37% 17% 13% 32% 44

35% 13% 23% 29% 282

32% 16% 24% 29% 729

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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47% 16% 20% 17% 384

26% 15% 25% 34% 202

23% 14% 27% 37% 425

39% 18% 23% 20% 207

57% 14% 16% 14% 177

20% 13% 25% 41% 175

24% 15% 27% 33% 249

30% 3% 24% 43% 92

23% 25% 25% 27% 110

46% 19% 18% 17% 154

48% 15% 21% 17% 230

18% 12% 31% 39% 210

27% 16% 22% 35% 215

27% 17% 19% 37% 122

26% 12% 33% 29% 81

44% 16% 21% 19% 444

25% 4% 13% 58% 62

24% 15% 27% 34% 505

49% 18% 18% 15% 289

43% 11% 25% 21% 79

27% 14% 25% 34% 223

23% 18% 27% 32% 76

22% 14% 27% 38% 344

43% 15% 22% 20% 421

24% 16% 25% 35% 429

31% 9% 26% 35% 98

50% 50% 4

27% 22% 24% 27% 32

27% 13% 10% 50% 27

45% 17% 23% 16% 491

30% 7% 16% 47% 86

19% 15% 26% 39% 433

59% 12% 17% 12% 185

36% 19% 26% 19% 307

21% 14% 25% 40% 520

47% 16% 20% 17% 384

26% 15% 25% 34% 202

42% 19% 26% 13% 69

19% 13% 27% 41% 355

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 14% 27% 39% 380

34% 19% 29% 18% 126

25% 4% 13% 58% 62

18% 17% 26% 38% 52

47% 16% 20% 16% 392

28% 9% 35% 28% 22

34% 12% 21% 33% 149

39% 12% 23% 26% 240

30% 17% 24% 29% 601

28% 16% 23% 33% 282

34% 10% 25% 31% 193

32% 18% 25% 25% 319

39% 14% 21% 27% 217

32% 15% 23% 30% 466

23% 24% 28% 25% 135

34% 10% 25% 30% 293

42% 16% 17% 25% 117

34% 10% 25% 30% 293

42% 16% 17% 25% 117

30% 17% 24% 29% 601

32% 15% 27% 26% 197

33% 15% 23% 29% 814

24% 12% 30% 34% 219

37% 18% 21% 24% 617

27% 9% 26% 37% 175

34% 15% 25% 25% 320

23% 10% 20% 47% 55

21% 9% 24% 46% 100

41% 20% 16% 23% 296

29% 9% 29% 33% 120

26% 15% 35% 24% 119

38% 16% 20% 26% 513

34% 26% 24% 15% 104

22% 8% 32% 37% 246

30% 16% 22% 32% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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11% 8% 30% 51% 64

25% 4% 44% 28% 57

33% 14% 25% 28% 265

43% 18% 14% 24% 248

23% 8% 22% 47% 41

29% 12% 31% 28% 83

32% 20% 23% 25% 253

34% 17% 21% 28% 354

32% 14% 25% 29% 657

34% 16% 20% 31% 179

34% 19% 22% 25% 175

38% 20% 20% 22% 272

37% 16% 21% 26% 345

21% 9% 27% 43% 34

19% 7% 37% 36% 57

25% 27% 48% 30

23% 14% 31% 32% 189

35% 11% 18% 35% 84

55% 16% 20% 9% 363

20% 14% 27% 39% 599

25% 15% 12% 48% 49

56% 16% 21% 7% 163

17% 12% 26% 45% 312

53% 17% 20% 10% 200

24% 16% 25% 35% 336

54% 16% 20% 10% 250

56% 17% 21% 6% 113

55% 17% 18% 10% 201

59% 17% 19% 5% 54

52% 11% 29% 9% 49

52% 18% 24% 6% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

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31% 20% 19% 30% 66

36% 16% 21% 27% 583

28% 14% 27% 31% 220

25% 12% 34% 29% 114

49% 51% 4

33% 9% 5% 54% 24

35% 14% 22% 29% 472

38% 36% 23% 3% 45

42% 15% 14% 29% 53

37% 8% 32% 23% 14

28% 14% 27% 31% 428

34% 15% 29% 23% 188

31% 14% 28% 28% 168

31% 14% 22% 34% 78

46% 14% 17% 23% 126

23% 21% 25% 32% 288

44% 3% 18% 36% 65

41% 11% 18% 31% 98

41% 15% 23% 21% 350

39% 13% 21% 27% 77

27% 15% 24% 34% 584

42% 16% 22% 21% 423

35% 8% 25% 32% 79

24% 16% 25% 35% 509

44% 16% 21% 19% 424

29% 7% 28% 37% 102

24% 16% 25% 35% 485

42% 14% 24% 20% 438

20% 27% 7% 47% 35

26% 15% 25% 34% 539

33% 15% 23% 29% 955

29% 13% 32% 25% 56

33% 12% 24% 30% 295

32% 17% 18% 33% 252

30% 17% 27% 26% 313

45% 13% 19% 23% 95

100% 1

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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23% 16% 24% 36% 488

57% 10% 25% 8% 24

42% 15% 22% 22% 442

24% 15% 25% 36% 214

29% 16% 24% 32% 374

37% 16% 24% 24% 227

45% 14% 22% 19% 187

43% 7% 50% 9

33% 15% 23% 29% 830

35% 12% 24% 29% 152

20% 19% 32% 29% 29

37% 13% 22% 28% 409

36% 16% 22% 26% 511

36% 16% 22% 26% 607

34% 15% 22% 29% 708

33% 15% 24% 29% 1011

33% 15% 24% 29% 1011

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RDENOMFR

At leastweekly

At leastmonthly

Infrequently Never

RDENOMFR HOW OFTEN DO YOU ATTENDCHURCH/C

TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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36% 59% 5% 1011

16% 79% 5% 192

43% 55% 2% 161

44% 52% 4% 260

57% 36% 7% 77

43% 49% 7% 80

34% 65% 1% 84

28% 64% 8% 158

32% 60% 8% 113

31% 65% 5% 76

55% 37% 7% 56

12% 84% 4% 52

37% 59% 4% 715

47% 50% 4% 189

38% 57% 5% 544

25% 71% 4% 278

43% 57% 65

35% 59% 5% 946

46% 48% 6% 431

31% 66% 3% 235

26% 71% 2% 316

30% 41% 29% 29

21% 79% 0% 132

26% 72% 2% 108

37% 63% 9

50% 46% 4% 30

31% 66% 3% 235

46% 48% 6% 431

31% 64% 5% 108

36% 59% 5% 903

34% 62% 4% 475

37% 57% 6% 536

32% 65% 3% 334

38% 56% 6% 141

35% 58% 6% 290

40% 55% 5% 246

49% 50% 0% 98

34% 62% 4% 624

36% 60% 5% 262

37% 32% 31% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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30% 63% 7% 202

37% 60% 3% 283

40% 56% 4% 313

35% 59% 6% 212

34% 61% 5% 485

40% 56% 4% 313

35% 59% 6% 212

31% 65% 4% 255

38% 59% 4% 220

37% 57% 6% 230

38% 56% 6% 306

33% 64% 3% 758

50% 42% 8% 121

46% 51% 2% 91

25% 48% 27% 40

30% 68% 2% 130

34% 63% 4% 629

28% 44% 28% 31

58% 41% 1% 91

40% 54% 6% 32

50% 50% 59

10% 78% 12% 10

30% 38% 32% 30

30% 67% 3% 370

36% 60% 4% 388

60% 40% 39

45% 43% 12% 82

50% 45% 4% 47

42% 58% 44

35% 61% 4% 282

36% 59% 5% 729

53% 44% 2% 384

29% 60% 11% 202

23% 73% 4% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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48% 51% 2% 207

60% 36% 3% 177

21% 76% 3% 175

25% 70% 5% 249

29% 61% 10% 92

29% 59% 12% 110

49% 49% 2% 154

56% 41% 3% 230

22% 74% 4% 210

24% 72% 4% 215

35% 55% 10% 122

20% 67% 13% 81

50% 47% 4% 444

23% 60% 16% 62

25% 70% 5% 505

59% 39% 2% 289

37% 60% 3% 79

30% 59% 11% 223

29% 69% 1% 76

22% 74% 4% 344

51% 45% 4% 421

25% 69% 5% 429

20% 77% 3% 98

100% 4

42% 56% 2% 32

19% 52% 29% 27

52% 44% 4% 491

27% 67% 6% 86

20% 75% 6% 433

69% 27% 3% 185

41% 55% 4% 307

21% 73% 6% 520

53% 44% 2% 384

29% 60% 11% 202

53% 43% 4% 69

17% 79% 4% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

(cont.)

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19% 75% 5% 380

44% 54% 3% 126

23% 60% 16% 62

21% 73% 6% 52

53% 43% 3% 392

50% 27% 23% 22

44% 51% 5% 149

48% 49% 3% 240

28% 67% 5% 601

26% 71% 3% 282

46% 49% 5% 193

30% 63% 7% 319

48% 48% 5% 217

26% 71% 4% 466

38% 52% 9% 135

45% 52% 3% 293

52% 39% 9% 117

45% 52% 3% 293

52% 39% 9% 117

28% 67% 5% 601

37% 57% 5% 197

36% 60% 5% 814

33% 62% 5% 219

37% 59% 4% 617

37% 57% 6% 175

37% 60% 4% 320

39% 54% 7% 55

24% 74% 2% 100

37% 58% 5% 296

36% 58% 6% 120

40% 53% 7% 119

34% 62% 5% 513

52% 45% 3% 104

31% 68% 1% 246

40% 47% 13% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

(cont.)

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11% 89% 64

36% 64% 57

33% 63% 4% 265

34% 60% 6% 248

37% 63% 41

41% 57% 3% 83

45% 46% 9% 253

38% 59% 3% 354

35% 60% 6% 657

41% 56% 2% 179

35% 61% 4% 175

39% 58% 3% 272

35% 59% 6% 345

28% 69% 3% 34

30% 69% 1% 57

33% 59% 8% 30

33% 63% 4% 189

45% 44% 11% 84

60% 36% 4% 330

39% 56% 5% 152

31% 67% 2% 239

11% 81% 8% 290

100% 163

94% 6% 312

100% 200

91% 9% 336

100% 250

100% 113

100% 201

100% 54

100% 49

100% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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22% 78% 0% 66

36% 61% 3% 583

38% 55% 7% 220

44% 53% 3% 114

64% 21% 16% 4

21% 41% 38% 24

32% 65% 3% 472

58% 39% 3% 45

50% 46% 4% 53

33% 61% 6% 14

36% 57% 7% 428

43% 54% 2% 188

41% 57% 2% 168

24% 75% 1% 78

37% 58% 5% 126

30% 64% 7% 288

35% 51% 14% 65

39% 53% 7% 98

50% 47% 3% 350

31% 61% 8% 77

28% 67% 5% 584

51% 45% 4% 423

26% 71% 3% 79

24% 70% 6% 509

51% 45% 4% 424

25% 70% 4% 102

25% 70% 6% 485

49% 47% 4% 438

42% 53% 5% 35

25% 70% 5% 539

36% 60% 5% 955

40% 53% 7% 56

37% 61% 3% 295

30% 63% 7% 252

35% 61% 4% 313

49% 43% 8% 95

100% 1

25% 70% 5% 488

46% 37% 17% 24

47% 49% 3% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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28% 64% 8% 214

31% 66% 3% 374

42% 54% 4% 227

46% 48% 6% 187

37% 53% 10% 9

36% 59% 5% 830

37% 59% 4% 152

20% 72% 8% 29

40% 56% 3% 409

39% 56% 5% 511

38% 58% 4% 607

36% 60% 4% 708

36% 59% 5% 1011

36% 59% 5% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

BORNBorn-again /evangelical

Notborn-again

RefusedBORN BORN-AGAIN / EVANGELICAL TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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75% 12% 9% 4% 1011

82% 10% 5% 3% 192

76% 16% 4% 4% 161

71% 19% 6% 4% 260

70% 14% 13% 4% 77

93% 1% 1% 4% 80

80% 2% 16% 2% 84

63% 9% 22% 6% 158

51% 12% 29% 7% 113

61% 21% 14% 4% 76

65% 14% 17% 4% 56

82% 10% 4% 5% 52

80% 11% 5% 4% 715

84% 9% 3% 4% 189

75% 12% 9% 4% 544

68% 13% 14% 5% 278

73% 6% 17% 3% 65

75% 12% 8% 4% 946

83% 7% 7% 3% 431

61% 22% 14% 3% 235

76% 12% 8% 4% 316

54% 10% 36% 29

100% 132

100% 108

100% 9

100% 30

61% 22% 14% 3% 235

83% 7% 7% 3% 431

77% 5% 11% 7% 108

75% 13% 9% 4% 903

78% 8% 10% 4% 475

72% 15% 8% 4% 536

78% 7% 12% 4% 334

78% 11% 6% 5% 141

68% 19% 9% 3% 290

77% 11% 7% 5% 246

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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75% 12% 9% 5% 98

73% 13% 11% 3% 624

80% 12% 6% 2% 262

63% 4% 33% 28

64% 15% 16% 5% 202

76% 10% 10% 4% 283

76% 14% 7% 4% 313

82% 9% 5% 4% 212

71% 12% 12% 4% 485

76% 14% 7% 4% 313

82% 9% 5% 4% 212

76% 4% 14% 5% 255

80% 13% 5% 3% 220

66% 21% 10% 4% 230

78% 11% 7% 4% 306

100% 130

100% 629

100% 31

100% 91

100% 32

100% 59

100% 10

100% 30

100% 370

100% 388

100% 39

100% 82

100% 47

100% 44

100% 282

65% 17% 12% 6% 729

88% 2% 6% 4% 384

68% 16% 9% 7% 202

67% 19% 11% 3% 425

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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86% 3% 8% 3% 207

90% 1% 5% 4% 177

68% 17% 13% 2% 175

67% 20% 10% 3% 249

80% 3% 8% 8% 92

57% 27% 9% 7% 110

87% 2% 6% 4% 154

88% 3% 7% 3% 230

67% 13% 17% 3% 210

67% 24% 6% 2% 215

57% 23% 13% 6% 122

83% 6% 2% 9% 81

87% 3% 7% 4% 444

59% 15% 9% 18% 62

66% 20% 11% 3% 505

89% 1% 6% 3% 289

84% 6% 6% 4% 79

69% 15% 8% 7% 223

68% 11% 19% 2% 76

67% 20% 10% 3% 344

86% 3% 7% 4% 421

64% 24% 10% 3% 429

89% 9% 2% 98

100% 4

53% 11% 31% 6% 32

53% 12% 6% 30% 27

81% 7% 7% 4% 491

62% 21% 8% 8% 86

70% 15% 11% 3% 433

83% 7% 7% 3% 185

80% 8% 7% 5% 307

69% 16% 11% 4% 520

88% 2% 6% 4% 384

68% 16% 9% 7% 202

52% 36% 11% 2% 69

70% 15% 12% 3% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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70% 17% 11% 3% 380

57% 29% 12% 3% 126

59% 15% 9% 18% 62

82% 7% 10% 2% 52

88% 2% 6% 4% 392

52% 18% 5% 26% 22

73% 11% 12% 3% 149

72% 15% 9% 4% 240

77% 11% 8% 3% 601

82% 6% 8% 4% 282

72% 11% 13% 4% 193

73% 15% 9% 3% 319

71% 16% 7% 5% 217

100% 466

48% 37% 15% 135

100% 293

48% 35% 17% 117

100% 293

48% 35% 17% 117

77% 11% 8% 3% 601

70% 16% 12% 3% 197

76% 11% 8% 4% 814

55% 24% 17% 4% 219

83% 7% 7% 3% 617

71% 15% 6% 8% 175

83% 7% 7% 3% 320

75% 10% 4% 11% 55

64% 10% 22% 4% 100

84% 6% 7% 3% 296

69% 18% 6% 7% 120

48% 35% 13% 4% 119

100% 513

41% 43% 16% 104

100% 246

53% 31% 16% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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100% 64

100% 57

100% 265

100% 248

100% 41

100% 83

48% 36% 16% 253

78% 10% 9% 3% 354

74% 13% 9% 4% 657

81% 5% 10% 4% 179

74% 15% 8% 3% 175

83% 5% 9% 3% 272

84% 8% 6% 3% 345

70% 21% 7% 2% 34

78% 16% 3% 3% 57

49% 37% 7% 6% 30

56% 22% 18% 4% 189

67% 12% 7% 15% 84

76% 12% 10% 2% 330

67% 21% 10% 2% 152

76% 15% 5% 4% 239

78% 5% 10% 7% 290

69% 17% 12% 3% 363

81% 8% 8% 3% 599

53% 20% 4% 23% 49

68% 14% 15% 3% 163

83% 5% 7% 4% 312

70% 19% 9% 3% 200

74% 13% 8% 5% 336

100% 250

54% 37% 9% 113

100% 201

49% 37% 14% 54

100% 49

58% 38% 5% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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80% 10% 7% 3% 66

81% 8% 9% 2% 583

64% 21% 11% 4% 220

73% 14% 9% 4% 114

32% 64% 4% 4

33% 19% 48% 24

100% 472

100% 45

100% 53

100% 14

67% 18% 9% 6% 428

73% 17% 7% 2% 188

81% 11% 6% 2% 168

73% 13% 12% 2% 78

76% 14% 6% 4% 126

74% 13% 9% 4% 288

63% 4% 16% 17% 65

78% 4% 14% 3% 98

85% 4% 6% 5% 350

77% 7% 12% 5% 77

69% 18% 10% 3% 584

85% 3% 7% 5% 423

69% 9% 15% 7% 79

67% 20% 10% 3% 509

86% 3% 7% 4% 424

83% 7% 4% 6% 102

64% 21% 11% 3% 485

85% 3% 7% 5% 438

69% 12% 9% 10% 35

67% 19% 11% 3% 539

76% 11% 9% 4% 955

55% 24% 11% 9% 56

73% 13% 10% 4% 295

80% 10% 7% 3% 252

77% 11% 8% 4% 313

71% 10% 13% 5% 95

100% 1

68% 19% 11% 3% 488

77% 11% 3% 10% 24

85% 3% 7% 4% 442

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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64% 21% 10% 4% 214

75% 11% 11% 3% 374

79% 10% 7% 3% 227

83% 4% 8% 5% 187

52% 25% 23% 9

78% 11% 8% 4% 830

64% 18% 14% 4% 152

55% 18% 10% 17% 29

77% 11% 9% 3% 409

78% 12% 7% 3% 511

78% 11% 8% 3% 607

78% 11% 8% 3% 708

75% 12% 9% 4% 1011

75% 12% 9% 4% 1011

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RRACEWhite Black /

AfricanAmerican

Hispanic /Latino

OtherRRACE RESPONDENT'S RACE/C TOTAL

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7% 58% 22% 11% 0% 2% 1011

8% 61% 21% 9% 2% 192

5% 49% 30% 14% 0% 2% 161

5% 59% 23% 10% 0% 3% 260

13% 59% 16% 8% 2% 1% 77

12% 59% 15% 9% 5% 80

4% 65% 14% 17% 1% 84

5% 55% 23% 14% 3% 158

2% 59% 20% 15% 4% 113

6% 54% 27% 9% 3% 76

14% 65% 12% 4% 3% 1% 56

4% 69% 17% 9% 1% 52

7% 56% 22% 12% 0% 2% 715

6% 59% 19% 14% 1% 189

7% 57% 22% 10% 1% 3% 544

6% 57% 22% 11% 3% 278

5% 65% 23% 7% 65

7% 57% 22% 12% 0% 3% 946

5% 57% 24% 12% 0% 1% 431

7% 55% 21% 15% 0% 1% 235

9% 62% 20% 7% 1% 2% 316

42% 13% 11% 34% 29

10% 70% 15% 5% 0% 132

5% 65% 15% 12% 1% 3% 108

31% 26% 44% 9

13% 45% 34% 4% 5% 30

7% 55% 21% 15% 0% 1% 235

5% 57% 24% 12% 0% 1% 431

5% 76% 11% 4% 4% 108

7% 56% 23% 12% 0% 2% 903

7% 62% 21% 8% 0% 1% 475

6% 54% 22% 14% 0% 3% 536

7% 65% 23% 4% 0% 334

8% 55% 15% 16% 1% 4% 141

6% 56% 27% 8% 2% 290

6% 51% 17% 21% 1% 4% 246

3% 41% 18% 36% 2% 98

6% 61% 25% 6% 1% 624

9% 59% 16% 13% 1% 1% 262

34% 11% 18% 37% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

(cont.)

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1% 50% 37% 11% 1% 202

6% 61% 21% 11% 2% 283

10% 58% 19% 9% 1% 2% 313

8% 60% 12% 15% 1% 4% 212

4% 56% 27% 11% 2% 485

10% 58% 19% 9% 1% 2% 313

8% 60% 12% 15% 1% 4% 212

6% 60% 25% 8% 2% 255

9% 65% 16% 8% 1% 1% 220

2% 52% 30% 14% 2% 230

9% 55% 17% 14% 1% 4% 306

7% 62% 19% 11% 0% 1% 758

5% 37% 38% 13% 2% 4% 121

5% 58% 26% 11% 91

5% 33% 21% 12% 0% 28% 40

2% 58% 31% 9% 130

8% 63% 16% 11% 0% 1% 629

16% 68% 16% 31

7% 45% 28% 12% 2% 5% 91

58% 36% 6% 32

8% 58% 20% 13% 59

5% 27% 21% 23% 24% 10

4% 36% 21% 9% 0% 30% 30

8% 66% 18% 7% 0% 0% 370

6% 58% 19% 15% 0% 2% 388

7% 43% 31% 16% 3% 39

5% 34% 42% 12% 1% 5% 82

2% 55% 34% 9% 47

9% 61% 17% 13% 44

8% 66% 12% 12% 0% 1% 282

6% 54% 25% 11% 0% 3% 729

6% 61% 21% 9% 0% 2% 384

3% 59% 22% 11% 4% 202

8% 54% 22% 13% 1% 2% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 66% 20% 7% 0% 0% 207

6% 55% 24% 12% 4% 177

11% 54% 23% 10% 1% 1% 175

7% 54% 21% 15% 1% 2% 249

69% 20% 6% 5% 92

6% 51% 24% 15% 4% 110

6% 61% 26% 6% 1% 154

7% 61% 18% 11% 0% 3% 230

5% 53% 27% 13% 2% 210

12% 55% 17% 13% 1% 2% 215

55% 30% 12% 3% 122

8% 65% 11% 9% 6% 81

5% 66% 18% 9% 0% 2% 444

4% 48% 23% 7% 17% 62

8% 52% 25% 13% 1% 1% 505

5% 64% 20% 8% 0% 2% 289

10% 51% 24% 11% 4% 79

3% 59% 22% 11% 4% 223

12% 56% 21% 7% 1% 3% 76

8% 54% 22% 15% 1% 1% 344

4% 66% 18% 10% 0% 1% 421

10% 53% 22% 14% 1% 1% 429

4% 52% 37% 7% 1% 98

50% 50% 4

12% 62% 17% 6% 4% 32

4% 18% 26% 11% 41% 27

5% 63% 19% 10% 1% 2% 491

4% 46% 27% 14% 9% 86

9% 54% 24% 12% 0% 1% 433

6% 61% 18% 12% 0% 2% 185

5% 63% 20% 9% 1% 2% 307

8% 53% 24% 12% 0% 3% 520

6% 61% 21% 9% 0% 2% 384

3% 59% 22% 11% 4% 202

5% 53% 21% 15% 3% 2% 69

9% 55% 22% 13% 0% 1% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 53% 25% 12% 0% 1% 380

4% 49% 25% 19% 2% 2% 126

4% 48% 23% 7% 17% 62

5% 62% 19% 14% 1% 52

5% 66% 18% 9% 0% 2% 392

30% 17% 32% 20% 22

3% 46% 27% 23% 1% 149

3% 48% 28% 18% 0% 2% 240

9% 66% 18% 5% 0% 2% 601

11% 70% 15% 3% 1% 1% 282

2% 52% 30% 15% 2% 193

7% 62% 21% 7% 0% 3% 319

5% 41% 25% 26% 0% 4% 217

10% 70% 14% 5% 0% 1% 466

6% 51% 31% 5% 2% 4% 135

3% 50% 26% 20% 0% 1% 293

4% 36% 31% 21% 8% 117

3% 50% 26% 20% 0% 1% 293

4% 36% 31% 21% 8% 117

9% 66% 18% 5% 0% 2% 601

3% 63% 27% 5% 0% 1% 197

7% 56% 21% 13% 0% 3% 814

1% 45% 32% 20% 1% 1% 219

10% 65% 18% 6% 0% 2% 617

3% 49% 22% 20% 1% 6% 175

10% 67% 18% 4% 0% 1% 320

1% 55% 17% 16% 2% 9% 55

1% 50% 32% 17% 100

9% 62% 18% 8% 3% 296

3% 46% 24% 22% 0% 4% 120

1% 41% 31% 23% 1% 3% 119

9% 66% 18% 6% 0% 1% 513

11% 61% 21% 5% 0% 3% 104

2% 55% 21% 22% 0% 0% 246

2% 32% 38% 18% 2% 9% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

(cont.)

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2% 59% 26% 14% 64

51% 21% 27% 57

10% 68% 17% 3% 0% 1% 265

9% 63% 18% 9% 2% 248

1% 65% 14% 20% 41

3% 51% 20% 24% 1% 1% 83

5% 44% 31% 12% 1% 6% 253

7% 58% 23% 11% 1% 354

6% 57% 21% 11% 1% 3% 657

9% 63% 22% 5% 1% 179

5% 54% 23% 17% 1% 175

9% 63% 20% 7% 1% 272

10% 66% 16% 5% 0% 3% 345

51% 38% 11% 34

4% 51% 20% 23% 2% 0% 57

21% 34% 45% 30

1% 49% 31% 16% 1% 2% 189

3% 46% 17% 22% 1% 12% 84

6% 64% 19% 9% 1% 2% 330

9% 61% 20% 9% 1% 152

5% 52% 25% 16% 1% 0% 239

7% 54% 23% 11% 4% 290

4% 57% 23% 14% 1% 1% 363

9% 59% 20% 10% 0% 2% 599

0% 42% 31% 7% 1% 18% 49

3% 64% 22% 10% 1% 163

9% 61% 20% 7% 0% 2% 312

5% 52% 24% 16% 1% 3% 200

7% 55% 22% 13% 0% 3% 336

4% 60% 20% 15% 1% 250

4% 51% 29% 11% 2% 3% 113

4% 63% 19% 13% 1% 201

5% 56% 22% 12% 4% 54

6% 47% 23% 23% 49

2% 46% 36% 11% 5% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

(cont.)

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100% 472

100% 45

100% 53

100% 14

16% 51% 27% 1% 6% 428

9% 56% 19% 14% 0% 2% 188

5% 55% 23% 15% 1% 1% 168

13% 61% 16% 10% 0% 1% 78

4% 60% 27% 6% 3% 126

5% 59% 26% 9% 1% 288

7% 54% 11% 15% 13% 65

9% 58% 17% 12% 1% 3% 98

5% 64% 20% 9% 0% 3% 350

4% 60% 14% 16% 1% 5% 77

8% 54% 24% 12% 0% 2% 584

4% 65% 19% 10% 0% 2% 423

1% 57% 23% 12% 7% 79

9% 52% 24% 12% 1% 2% 509

5% 64% 19% 10% 0% 2% 424

8% 58% 17% 11% 6% 102

7% 52% 25% 13% 1% 2% 485

5% 65% 19% 9% 0% 2% 438

0% 54% 25% 4% 16% 35

9% 52% 24% 13% 1% 2% 539

7% 58% 22% 11% 0% 2% 955

3% 52% 15% 22% 2% 6% 56

9% 62% 18% 10% 0% 1% 295

8% 59% 20% 11% 0% 2% 252

6% 55% 27% 9% 0% 2% 313

2% 52% 24% 16% 6% 95

100% 1

9% 52% 24% 13% 0% 1% 488

4% 73% 9% 4% 10% 24

4% 64% 21% 8% 0% 3% 442

5% 46% 32% 15% 2% 214

8% 58% 21% 10% 0% 2% 374

6% 62% 18% 12% 1% 2% 227

6% 66% 16% 10% 0% 2% 187

7% 13% 27% 12% 41% 9

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

(cont.)

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7% 60% 21% 10% 0% 2% 830

4% 50% 27% 14% 0% 4% 152

42% 23% 22% 13% 29

8% 57% 20% 13% 0% 2% 409

8% 58% 20% 12% 0% 2% 511

8% 60% 19% 11% 0% 2% 607

7% 62% 18% 11% 0% 2% 708

7% 58% 22% 11% 0% 2% 1011

7% 58% 22% 11% 0% 2% 1011

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

ECONCLA2Upper class Middle class Working

classLow income Unemployed Refused

ECONCLA2 ECONOMIC CLASS TOTAL

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19% 17% 8% 12% 28% 6% 10% 1011

25% 20% 9% 8% 25% 6% 8% 192

20% 15% 8% 9% 32% 3% 12% 161

20% 16% 7% 12% 32% 7% 6% 260

21% 21% 8% 13% 14% 3% 19% 77

15% 22% 6% 14% 34% 5% 4% 80

7% 21% 9% 15% 30% 9% 10% 84

15% 9% 7% 20% 27% 10% 13% 158

16% 9% 6% 22% 24% 10% 14% 113

21% 16% 8% 20% 22% 3% 10% 76

17% 22% 11% 16% 10% 4% 19% 56

24% 22% 8% 11% 18% 11% 6% 52

19% 17% 8% 10% 32% 6% 9% 715

20% 18% 7% 9% 35% 4% 7% 189

16% 18% 8% 13% 28% 7% 10% 544

23% 13% 7% 13% 25% 8% 10% 278

11% 20% 9% 8% 36% 9% 8% 65

19% 16% 8% 13% 28% 6% 10% 946

23% 21% 7% 13% 23% 5% 9% 431

16% 13% 11% 12% 32% 6% 9% 235

16% 14% 7% 13% 32% 5% 12% 316

4% 11% 30% 48% 6% 29

20% 10% 5% 10% 40% 4% 11% 132

14% 21% 7% 14% 23% 4% 17% 108

42% 7% 7% 44% 9

10% 17% 15% 29% 26% 2% 30

16% 13% 11% 12% 32% 6% 9% 235

23% 21% 7% 13% 23% 5% 9% 431

16% 18% 12% 13% 21% 5% 14% 108

19% 16% 7% 12% 29% 7% 9% 903

17% 14% 7% 14% 32% 7% 8% 475

20% 19% 8% 11% 25% 6% 11% 536

14% 10% 5% 18% 38% 6% 9% 334

24% 22% 11% 6% 19% 12% 6% 141

16% 12% 9% 17% 32% 5% 9% 290

25% 28% 8% 4% 17% 6% 13% 246

14% 22% 4% 6% 32% 9% 12% 98

15% 11% 7% 17% 35% 5% 9% 624

30% 29% 11% 4% 10% 4% 11% 262

6% 3% 8% 35% 47% 1% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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8% 8% 4% 14% 55% 6% 5% 202

11% 10% 6% 17% 40% 6% 10% 283

24% 20% 10% 11% 15% 7% 12% 313

31% 29% 9% 6% 8% 7% 10% 212

10% 9% 5% 16% 46% 6% 8% 485

24% 20% 10% 11% 15% 7% 12% 313

31% 29% 9% 6% 8% 7% 10% 212

10% 7% 5% 15% 48% 8% 7% 255

26% 21% 10% 12% 14% 7% 10% 220

10% 11% 6% 16% 44% 4% 9% 230

28% 25% 10% 7% 11% 7% 13% 306

18% 18% 8% 13% 28% 5% 10% 758

26% 15% 8% 15% 31% 2% 4% 121

15% 11% 10% 8% 29% 11% 15% 91

10% 10% 4% 14% 27% 28% 7% 40

6% 11% 5% 14% 58% 3% 3% 130

21% 19% 8% 12% 22% 6% 12% 629

8% 20% 64% 8% 31

32% 20% 11% 13% 20% 5% 91

16% 6% 7% 7% 34% 17% 13% 32

15% 13% 12% 8% 27% 8% 17% 59

5% 5% 10% 56% 12% 12% 10

14% 12% 4% 15% 17% 33% 6% 30

15% 15% 8% 13% 34% 7% 8% 370

21% 21% 7% 12% 22% 4% 12% 388

37% 15% 2% 20% 16% 6% 5% 39

21% 14% 11% 12% 38% 3% 82

20% 7% 5% 13% 32% 8% 16% 47

10% 16% 16% 1% 27% 15% 15% 44

26% 26% 11% 7% 10% 6% 13% 282

16% 13% 7% 14% 36% 6% 8% 729

19% 19% 6% 16% 25% 6% 9% 384

11% 10% 4% 12% 41% 12% 10% 202

22% 18% 11% 9% 26% 4% 10% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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16% 14% 5% 19% 32% 6% 9% 207

22% 25% 8% 13% 17% 5% 9% 177

21% 14% 11% 9% 30% 5% 10% 175

22% 20% 11% 10% 23% 4% 10% 249

12% 14% 5% 14% 37% 14% 4% 92

11% 6% 3% 10% 44% 11% 15% 110

12% 10% 4% 22% 40% 5% 6% 154

24% 25% 8% 12% 15% 6% 10% 230

11% 11% 9% 12% 44% 4% 9% 210

32% 24% 12% 7% 8% 5% 12% 215

4% 5% 1% 15% 57% 11% 8% 122

22% 18% 8% 8% 16% 15% 13% 81

18% 17% 6% 16% 28% 6% 9% 444

9% 13% 6% 19% 32% 12% 9% 62

20% 17% 9% 8% 29% 6% 10% 505

18% 19% 6% 17% 26% 5% 10% 289

23% 19% 9% 13% 21% 9% 6% 79

12% 11% 4% 13% 39% 12% 9% 223

27% 16% 17% 6% 23% 3% 6% 76

20% 18% 9% 9% 27% 5% 11% 344

16% 19% 6% 15% 29% 4% 10% 421

22% 17% 10% 9% 25% 5% 11% 429

18% 11% 8% 15% 35% 10% 3% 98

100% 4

6% 9% 4% 11% 39% 20% 11% 32

18% 10% 13% 28% 28% 3% 27

19% 20% 6% 16% 24% 5% 10% 491

12% 4% 12% 16% 31% 14% 11% 86

19% 15% 9% 8% 33% 6% 10% 433

18% 20% 4% 17% 23% 7% 12% 185

20% 20% 7% 16% 25% 5% 8% 307

18% 14% 10% 9% 33% 7% 10% 520

19% 19% 6% 16% 25% 6% 9% 384

11% 10% 4% 12% 41% 12% 10% 202

30% 25% 7% 12% 17% 1% 8% 69

20% 16% 12% 9% 28% 5% 11% 355

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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20% 16% 9% 8% 32% 5% 10% 380

23% 21% 11% 10% 19% 7% 10% 126

9% 13% 6% 19% 32% 12% 9% 62

14% 11% 14% 4% 40% 15% 2% 52

18% 18% 5% 18% 26% 5% 10% 392

18% 22% 5% 10% 30% 15% 22

29% 26% 8% 6% 21% 4% 7% 149

18% 17% 6% 13% 25% 9% 11% 240

16% 14% 8% 14% 32% 5% 10% 601

16% 13% 8% 15% 36% 4% 8% 282

19% 15% 6% 12% 27% 12% 9% 193

16% 14% 9% 13% 29% 6% 11% 319

25% 26% 7% 8% 19% 4% 10% 217

16% 16% 8% 15% 31% 5% 10% 466

17% 8% 10% 12% 38% 7% 8% 135

21% 22% 7% 9% 24% 7% 10% 293

24% 18% 7% 12% 19% 12% 8% 117

21% 22% 7% 9% 24% 7% 10% 293

24% 18% 7% 12% 19% 12% 8% 117

16% 14% 8% 14% 32% 5% 10% 601

19% 19% 9% 12% 27% 5% 8% 197

18% 16% 7% 13% 29% 7% 10% 814

15% 13% 5% 8% 40% 9% 10% 219

20% 16% 8% 14% 27% 5% 11% 617

19% 23% 12% 13% 20% 7% 7% 175

18% 14% 7% 16% 29% 7% 8% 320

11% 24% 12% 7% 28% 8% 10% 55

18% 7% 4% 10% 44% 9% 9% 100

22% 19% 8% 11% 24% 3% 14% 296

22% 22% 11% 16% 16% 7% 5% 120

13% 18% 6% 7% 37% 9% 10% 119

19% 18% 7% 14% 26% 5% 11% 513

26% 10% 9% 12% 28% 5% 10% 104

17% 19% 8% 10% 32% 6% 9% 246

16% 15% 8% 12% 31% 12% 7% 149

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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16% 5% 5% 6% 52% 9% 7% 64

16% 20% 2% 10% 26% 9% 17% 57

15% 16% 7% 16% 30% 7% 8% 265

22% 19% 7% 12% 22% 3% 14% 248

12% 23% 17% 7% 34% 7% 41

23% 25% 10% 14% 19% 5% 5% 83

20% 13% 8% 12% 30% 9% 8% 253

13% 12% 7% 19% 36% 6% 7% 354

22% 19% 8% 9% 25% 7% 11% 657

10% 10% 7% 20% 36% 9% 7% 179

16% 14% 8% 17% 35% 2% 7% 175

12% 13% 7% 19% 36% 5% 7% 272

26% 19% 8% 10% 19% 5% 13% 345

12% 14% 3% 39% 29% 3% 34

21% 22% 18% 7% 22% 4% 6% 57

23% 6% 4% 37% 20% 11% 30

14% 15% 4% 9% 41% 7% 10% 189

20% 27% 11% 6% 15% 13% 8% 84

19% 16% 7% 17% 20% 9% 12% 330

19% 16% 7% 12% 39% 1% 7% 152

23% 19% 7% 9% 30% 5% 7% 239

15% 16% 9% 10% 32% 8% 10% 290

23% 19% 5% 13% 24% 6% 11% 363

17% 16% 10% 12% 31% 6% 9% 599

8% 7% 1% 12% 39% 18% 15% 49

20% 13% 5% 20% 26% 9% 8% 163

16% 14% 8% 11% 35% 7% 9% 312

25% 24% 5% 7% 22% 4% 13% 200

17% 16% 10% 13% 27% 6% 10% 336

20% 22% 4% 14% 24% 5% 11% 250

28% 13% 7% 10% 22% 10% 9% 113

21% 20% 4% 17% 25% 4% 9% 201

30% 22% 3% 16% 15% 2% 13% 54

13% 29% 6% 2% 21% 9% 19% 49

27% 5% 10% 5% 29% 18% 6% 59

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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25% 13% 15% 7% 21% 7% 13% 66

18% 16% 8% 13% 29% 6% 10% 583

16% 18% 6% 15% 34% 3% 8% 220

23% 22% 7% 7% 23% 9% 10% 114

16% 64% 4% 17% 4

14% 4% 2% 14% 15% 37% 14% 24

18% 17% 8% 14% 29% 5% 9% 472

29% 13% 15% 3% 29% 5% 5% 45

11% 5% 4% 9% 32% 16% 22% 53

22% 15% 6% 19% 30% 6% 3% 14

19% 18% 7% 12% 28% 7% 10% 428

16% 21% 5% 15% 28% 5% 9% 350

14% 9% 5% 11% 36% 12% 13% 77

21% 15% 9% 11% 28% 7% 10% 584

17% 19% 5% 17% 28% 5% 9% 423

12% 14% 12% 6% 27% 21% 8% 79

21% 15% 9% 10% 29% 6% 10% 509

18% 17% 5% 16% 28% 5% 10% 424

7% 22% 10% 13% 31% 8% 10% 102

21% 15% 9% 9% 28% 7% 9% 485

18% 19% 5% 16% 27% 5% 9% 438

9% 12% 8% 9% 45% 4% 12% 35

20% 15% 10% 9% 29% 8% 10% 539

19% 16% 7% 13% 29% 6% 10% 955

14% 23% 14% 2% 26% 12% 8% 56

29% 15% 7% 11% 19% 7% 11% 295

17% 17% 10% 13% 28% 6% 9% 252

12% 17% 6% 15% 36% 3% 11% 313

12% 15% 3% 15% 37% 13% 4% 95

100% 1

21% 15% 10% 10% 28% 6% 11% 488

8% 28% 7% 10% 38% 10% 24

17% 17% 5% 17% 29% 6% 9% 442

19% 12% 11% 9% 31% 7% 12% 214

19% 18% 8% 13% 26% 7% 9% 374

17% 19% 9% 17% 26% 4% 9% 227

19% 18% 3% 11% 34% 7% 9% 187

18% 6% 7% 39% 15% 14% 9

18% 16% 7% 12% 30% 6% 10% 830

22% 19% 13% 13% 17% 9% 8% 152

11% 15% 14% 38% 15% 8% 29

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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21% 16% 8% 14% 22% 7% 12% 409

20% 15% 7% 14% 25% 7% 12% 511

20% 16% 7% 15% 25% 6% 11% 607

20% 16% 7% 14% 27% 6% 10% 708

19% 17% 8% 12% 28% 6% 10% 1011

19% 17% 8% 12% 28% 6% 10% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RSOURCECable TV Broadcast

TVNewspaper Radio Internet Other Combination

/ all

RSOURCE SOURCE RELY ON MOST OFTEN FOR INFO/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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33% 14% 29% 24% 1011

33% 16% 27% 24% 192

35% 10% 30% 25% 161

32% 15% 27% 26% 260

28% 17% 27% 27% 77

45% 5% 33% 17% 80

35% 10% 29% 27% 84

27% 20% 29% 23% 158

29% 21% 31% 19% 113

29% 6% 38% 26% 76

30% 22% 24% 25% 56

28% 19% 35% 18% 52

35% 13% 27% 25% 715

34% 14% 31% 21% 189

34% 12% 27% 27% 544

30% 19% 30% 21% 278

29% 11% 26% 34% 65

33% 14% 29% 24% 946

31% 12% 28% 29% 431

34% 14% 30% 22% 235

38% 14% 30% 18% 316

11% 35% 16% 38% 29

70% 30% 132

60% 40% 108

86% 14% 9

66% 34% 30

34% 14% 30% 22% 235

31% 12% 28% 29% 431

27% 17% 33% 24% 108

34% 14% 28% 24% 903

70% 30% 475

54% 46% 536

32% 68% 98

53% 47% 624

37% 63% 262

44% 56% 28

47% 6% 40% 7% 202

46% 6% 35% 12% 283

28% 16% 30% 25% 313

9% 29% 7% 55% 212

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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47% 6% 37% 10% 485

28% 16% 30% 25% 313

9% 29% 7% 55% 212

89% 11% 255

49% 51% 220

79% 21% 230

36% 64% 306

34% 15% 26% 25% 758

19% 13% 45% 23% 121

42% 9% 30% 18% 91

30% 17% 23% 30% 40

53% 6% 32% 9% 130

30% 16% 25% 28% 629

15% 77% 8% 31

21% 17% 34% 28% 91

55% 6% 38% 32

35% 11% 26% 28% 59

39% 17% 34% 11% 10

27% 17% 19% 37% 30

70% 30% 370

51% 49% 388

60% 40% 39

67% 33% 82

82% 18% 47

62% 38% 44

14% 26% 13% 47% 282

40% 9% 35% 16% 729

38% 16% 23% 23% 384

30% 16% 30% 24% 202

30% 12% 33% 25% 425

71% 29% 207

49% 51% 177

72% 28% 175

57% 43% 249

66% 34% 92

56% 44% 110

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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60% 5% 26% 10% 154

24% 23% 21% 32% 230

42% 5% 44% 8% 210

18% 18% 22% 42% 215

38% 9% 40% 13% 122

18% 26% 16% 40% 81

37% 17% 22% 24% 444

35% 15% 36% 14% 62

29% 11% 33% 26% 505

38% 16% 22% 24% 289

39% 15% 23% 22% 79

30% 16% 31% 23% 223

35% 12% 35% 18% 76

29% 11% 33% 27% 344

36% 16% 24% 24% 421

27% 11% 36% 26% 429

59% 15% 17% 10% 98

100% 4

30% 5% 35% 30% 32

4% 18% 31% 47% 27

35% 17% 22% 25% 491

35% 14% 30% 20% 86

30% 10% 36% 24% 433

34% 18% 20% 28% 185

36% 17% 24% 23% 307

31% 11% 35% 24% 520

38% 16% 23% 23% 384

30% 16% 30% 24% 202

24% 13% 26% 37% 69

31% 11% 35% 23% 355

31% 10% 36% 23% 380

25% 15% 26% 34% 126

35% 15% 36% 14% 62

24% 18% 25% 32% 52

38% 17% 22% 22% 392

24% 15% 9% 52% 22

29% 17% 20% 34% 149

31% 18% 20% 31% 240

35% 12% 35% 18% 601

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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75% 25% 282

63% 37% 193

66% 34% 319

37% 63% 217

37% 13% 31% 19% 466

29% 8% 50% 13% 135

30% 17% 19% 34% 293

29% 17% 20% 33% 117

30% 17% 19% 34% 293

29% 17% 20% 33% 117

35% 12% 35% 18% 601

36% 13% 32% 19% 197

32% 14% 28% 26% 814

35% 11% 37% 18% 219

36% 16% 27% 22% 617

20% 12% 26% 42% 175

70% 30% 320

63% 37% 55

76% 24% 100

55% 45% 296

38% 62% 120

68% 32% 119

36% 16% 26% 22% 513

37% 16% 27% 20% 104

31% 12% 26% 31% 246

24% 10% 43% 24% 149

74% 26% 64

61% 39% 57

70% 30% 265

55% 45% 248

67% 33% 41

34% 66% 83

29% 12% 36% 22% 253

45% 6% 35% 14% 354

27% 18% 25% 30% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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89% 11% 179

72% 28% 175

50% 5% 34% 11% 272

26% 24% 21% 30% 345

25% 3% 61% 11% 34

28% 11% 25% 36% 57

38% 10% 37% 15% 30

34% 11% 37% 18% 189

11% 16% 13% 60% 84

30% 13% 29% 27% 330

34% 8% 29% 29% 152

31% 17% 33% 19% 239

38% 15% 25% 23% 290

30% 15% 28% 27% 363

36% 13% 28% 23% 599

18% 18% 38% 26% 49

67% 33% 163

72% 28% 312

51% 49% 200

56% 44% 336

30% 14% 26% 29% 250

29% 17% 33% 21% 113

29% 16% 26% 30% 201

33% 17% 26% 24% 54

35% 7% 29% 29% 49

25% 17% 39% 18% 59

34% 16% 27% 23% 66

37% 13% 28% 22% 583

35% 10% 36% 19% 220

13% 20% 22% 46% 114

50% 50% 4

6% 24% 27% 43% 24

38% 14% 25% 23% 472

24% 13% 42% 21% 45

37% 12% 40% 11% 53

50% 10% 20% 20% 14

27% 15% 30% 28% 428

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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25% 18% 24% 32% 188

20% 19% 21% 40% 168

23% 20% 32% 25% 78

47% 6% 39% 8% 126

44% 9% 33% 14% 288

29% 26% 22% 24% 65

31% 9% 28% 32% 98

39% 16% 21% 24% 350

37% 16% 27% 20% 77

29% 13% 34% 25% 584

40% 16% 21% 23% 423

26% 20% 34% 20% 79

28% 11% 34% 26% 509

37% 15% 22% 25% 424

35% 20% 26% 20% 102

29% 12% 35% 24% 485

38% 15% 24% 24% 438

37% 19% 17% 27% 35

29% 13% 34% 24% 539

34% 14% 29% 23% 955

15% 10% 31% 43% 56

36% 20% 20% 24% 295

35% 15% 27% 24% 252

31% 9% 38% 22% 313

35% 12% 30% 23% 95

100% 1

30% 12% 33% 25% 488

46% 15% 26% 14% 24

38% 16% 24% 22% 442

32% 11% 34% 23% 214

30% 13% 31% 26% 374

31% 16% 30% 23% 227

43% 17% 16% 23% 187

20% 34% 12% 34% 9

34% 14% 29% 23% 830

27% 16% 28% 30% 152

34% 5% 24% 37% 29

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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22% 16% 31% 31% 409

23% 16% 31% 30% 511

29% 16% 29% 26% 607

30% 15% 29% 26% 708

33% 14% 29% 24% 1011

33% 14% 29% 24% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RSEXEMPMale /

employedMale / notemployed

Female /employed

Female / notemployed

RSEXEMP RESPONDENT'S SEX / EMPLOYMENT/C TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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47% 53% 1011

49% 51% 192

45% 55% 161

47% 53% 260

46% 54% 77

50% 50% 80

44% 56% 84

48% 52% 158

50% 50% 113

35% 65% 76

51% 49% 56

47% 53% 52

47% 53% 715

48% 52% 189

46% 54% 544

49% 51% 278

40% 60% 65

47% 53% 946

43% 57% 431

48% 52% 235

52% 48% 316

46% 54% 29

100% 132

100% 108

100% 9

100% 30

48% 52% 235

43% 57% 431

43% 57% 108

47% 53% 903

100% 334

100% 141

100% 290

100% 246

32% 68% 98

53% 47% 624

37% 63% 262

44% 56% 28

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

(cont.)

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53% 47% 202

53% 47% 283

44% 56% 313

38% 62% 212

53% 47% 485

44% 56% 313

38% 62% 212

100% 255

100% 220

100% 230

100% 306

49% 51% 758

32% 68% 121

52% 48% 91

47% 53% 40

59% 41% 130

47% 53% 629

15% 85% 31

38% 62% 91

62% 38% 32

46% 54% 59

55% 45% 10

44% 56% 30

100% 370

100% 388

100% 39

100% 82

100% 47

100% 44

40% 60% 282

50% 50% 729

54% 46% 384

46% 54% 202

41% 59% 425

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

(cont.)

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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100% 207

100% 177

100% 175

100% 249

100% 92

100% 110

64% 36% 154

47% 53% 230

47% 53% 210

35% 65% 215

47% 53% 122

44% 56% 81

54% 46% 444

49% 51% 62

41% 59% 505

54% 46% 289

54% 46% 79

46% 54% 223

47% 53% 76

40% 60% 344

52% 48% 421

38% 62% 429

73% 27% 98

100% 4

35% 65% 32

22% 78% 27

52% 48% 491

50% 50% 86

40% 60% 433

52% 48% 185

53% 47% 307

42% 58% 520

54% 46% 384

46% 54% 202

37% 63% 69

42% 58% 355

41% 59% 380

39% 61% 126

49% 51% 62

42% 58% 52

56% 44% 392

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

(cont.)

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39% 61% 22

46% 54% 149

49% 51% 240

47% 53% 601

100% 282

100% 193

100% 319

100% 217

50% 50% 466

37% 63% 135

47% 53% 293

47% 53% 117

47% 53% 293

47% 53% 117

47% 53% 601

49% 51% 197

47% 53% 814

46% 54% 219

52% 48% 617

31% 69% 175

100% 320

100% 55

100% 100

100% 296

100% 120

100% 119

52% 48% 513

53% 47% 104

43% 57% 246

33% 67% 149

100% 64

100% 57

100% 265

100% 248

100% 41

100% 83

42% 58% 253

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

(cont.)

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51% 49% 354

45% 55% 657

100% 179

100% 175

55% 45% 272

49% 51% 345

28% 72% 34

39% 61% 57

48% 52% 30

45% 55% 189

27% 73% 84

43% 57% 330

42% 58% 152

48% 52% 239

53% 47% 290

45% 55% 363

49% 51% 599

36% 64% 49

100% 163

100% 312

100% 200

100% 336

44% 56% 250

46% 54% 113

45% 55% 201

50% 50% 54

42% 58% 49

42% 58% 59

51% 49% 66

51% 49% 583

45% 55% 220

33% 67% 114

50% 50% 4

30% 70% 24

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

(cont.)

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52% 48% 472

37% 63% 45

49% 51% 53

60% 40% 14

42% 58% 428

44% 56% 188

39% 61% 168

43% 57% 78

53% 47% 126

53% 47% 288

54% 46% 65

40% 60% 98

55% 45% 350

53% 47% 77

41% 59% 584

56% 44% 423

46% 54% 79

40% 60% 509

53% 47% 424

54% 46% 102

40% 60% 485

52% 48% 438

56% 44% 35

42% 58% 539

48% 52% 955

25% 75% 56

56% 44% 295

49% 51% 252

40% 60% 313

47% 53% 95

100% 1

42% 58% 488

61% 39% 24

54% 46% 442

42% 58% 214

42% 58% 374

47% 53% 227

61% 39% 187

54% 46% 9

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

(cont.)

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48% 52% 830

42% 58% 152

39% 61% 29

38% 62% 409

39% 61% 511

45% 55% 607

45% 55% 708

47% 53% 1011

47% 53% 1011

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

GENDERMale FemaleGENDER GENDER TOTAL

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43% 23% 31% 3% 1011

36% 22% 38% 4% 192

43% 25% 31% 2% 161

49% 16% 30% 4% 260

36% 26% 35% 3% 77

49% 19% 30% 2% 80

40% 35% 25% 84

42% 30% 27% 2% 158

37% 30% 30% 2% 113

33% 12% 48% 7% 76

28% 29% 40% 3% 56

33% 32% 27% 9% 52

46% 22% 29% 2% 715

58% 19% 22% 2% 189

41% 23% 33% 3% 544

36% 26% 34% 4% 278

44% 28% 29% 65

43% 23% 31% 3% 946

100% 132

100% 108

100% 9

100% 30

100% 235

100% 431

34% 11% 50% 5% 108

44% 25% 29% 3% 903

39% 24% 35% 3% 475

46% 23% 28% 3% 536

40% 24% 36% 1% 334

37% 24% 32% 7% 141

42% 24% 32% 2% 290

50% 21% 24% 4% 246

37% 34% 29% 0% 98

41% 24% 34% 1% 624

51% 19% 27% 2% 262

23% 7% 16% 54% 28

28% 32% 36% 4% 202

40% 25% 34% 2% 283

51% 20% 29% 1% 313

48% 18% 28% 6% 212

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

California

Florida

Texas

New York

Rest of country

RG2 GEOGRAPHICAREAS TWO

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 28% 35% 3% 485

51% 20% 29% 1% 313

48% 18% 28% 6% 212

33% 27% 37% 3% 255

46% 20% 32% 2% 220

37% 29% 32% 2% 230

53% 18% 26% 3% 306

47% 19% 32% 2% 758

26% 42% 32% 121

31% 37% 29% 3% 91

29% 16% 29% 26% 40

32% 25% 40% 3% 130

51% 18% 30% 2% 629

20% 52% 28% 31

28% 38% 34% 91

23% 43% 26% 7% 32

36% 33% 30% 1% 59

18% 15% 42% 24% 10

33% 16% 25% 26% 30

41% 21% 36% 2% 370

53% 17% 28% 2% 388

35% 41% 24% 39

22% 42% 36% 82

31% 34% 36% 47

32% 41% 21% 7% 44

53% 17% 28% 3% 282

39% 26% 33% 3% 729

53% 15% 30% 2% 384

42% 25% 28% 4% 202

33% 30% 34% 3% 425

49% 18% 32% 2% 207

59% 11% 28% 2% 177

28% 34% 37% 2% 175

37% 28% 32% 3% 249

39% 18% 37% 6% 92

45% 31% 21% 3% 110

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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49% 14% 35% 2% 154

56% 15% 26% 2% 230

25% 37% 35% 3% 210

42% 24% 32% 2% 215

35% 30% 32% 3% 122

54% 17% 23% 7% 81

52% 16% 29% 3% 444

48% 14% 24% 14% 62

34% 31% 34% 2% 505

55% 14% 29% 2% 289

50% 17% 31% 3% 79

43% 23% 30% 4% 223

33% 28% 33% 6% 76

33% 31% 34% 2% 344

54% 15% 29% 2% 421

33% 30% 35% 1% 429

43% 29% 25% 3% 98

50% 50% 4

26% 32% 31% 11% 32

45% 3% 23% 29% 27

52% 17% 28% 3% 491

31% 27% 36% 6% 86

34% 29% 34% 2% 433

60% 17% 21% 2% 185

48% 17% 32% 4% 307

34% 29% 35% 3% 520

53% 15% 30% 2% 384

42% 25% 28% 4% 202

46% 22% 27% 5% 69

31% 32% 35% 2% 355

33% 31% 35% 2% 380

37% 29% 32% 2% 126

48% 14% 24% 14% 62

35% 24% 40% 1% 52

54% 15% 28% 3% 392

53% 21% 6% 19% 22

55% 20% 23% 2% 149

43% 19% 33% 5% 240

39% 26% 33% 2% 601

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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35% 26% 37% 2% 282

44% 20% 32% 4% 193

42% 25% 31% 1% 319

51% 19% 25% 5% 217

44% 21% 34% 1% 466

21% 43% 32% 3% 135

52% 16% 28% 3% 293

37% 27% 29% 8% 117

52% 16% 28% 3% 293

37% 27% 29% 8% 117

39% 26% 33% 2% 601

50% 17% 32% 1% 197

41% 25% 31% 3% 814

29% 38% 28% 4% 219

47% 19% 32% 1% 617

43% 18% 31% 8% 175

44% 21% 34% 1% 320

32% 23% 35% 10% 55

26% 34% 36% 4% 100

50% 18% 31% 1% 296

49% 16% 29% 7% 120

32% 42% 22% 4% 119

50% 18% 31% 1% 513

35% 26% 38% 1% 104

43% 21% 32% 4% 246

24% 43% 25% 8% 149

28% 28% 37% 7% 64

38% 29% 29% 4% 57

45% 20% 34% 1% 265

54% 17% 28% 1% 248

34% 21% 44% 1% 41

62% 9% 25% 4% 83

29% 36% 30% 5% 253

38% 23% 38% 1% 354

45% 23% 28% 4% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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39% 22% 37% 1% 179

37% 23% 40% 1% 175

40% 22% 37% 1% 272

53% 18% 28% 1% 345

35% 7% 58% 34

44% 26% 30% 0% 57

25% 52% 23% 30

30% 36% 29% 5% 189

46% 17% 21% 16% 84

50% 20% 29% 1% 330

38% 27% 33% 3% 152

40% 27% 31% 2% 239

39% 21% 33% 6% 290

55% 20% 23% 2% 363

34% 26% 38% 2% 599

55% 13% 15% 17% 49

56% 19% 23% 2% 163

30% 26% 41% 3% 312

53% 21% 24% 3% 200

41% 24% 31% 3% 336

63% 12% 22% 3% 250

37% 38% 25% 0% 113

67% 8% 22% 4% 201

46% 31% 22% 1% 54

46% 30% 22% 2% 49

28% 44% 27% 59

33% 24% 43% 66

42% 22% 33% 2% 583

48% 22% 28% 2% 220

45% 32% 21% 3% 114

20% 31% 50% 4

23% 13% 23% 41% 24

46% 18% 34% 2% 472

30% 35% 35% 45

22% 47% 25% 5% 53

39% 22% 37% 3% 14

43% 25% 28% 4% 428

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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52% 20% 27% 1% 188

53% 18% 27% 2% 168

37% 33% 30% 78

44% 22% 34% 126

35% 26% 36% 3% 288

33% 23% 22% 21% 65

38% 22% 38% 2% 98

50% 13% 33% 3% 350

50% 28% 18% 4% 77

37% 29% 32% 2% 584

53% 15% 29% 3% 423

40% 29% 28% 3% 79

35% 29% 34% 3% 509

52% 14% 31% 3% 424

42% 27% 27% 3% 102

35% 30% 33% 3% 485

54% 15% 29% 2% 438

31% 23% 39% 6% 35

34% 30% 33% 3% 539

43% 23% 32% 2% 955

35% 29% 25% 12% 56

44% 21% 33% 2% 295

45% 24% 29% 1% 252

37% 24% 35% 3% 313

54% 21% 20% 5% 95

100% 1

36% 29% 33% 2% 488

41% 36% 19% 4% 24

52% 15% 30% 3% 442

39% 26% 34% 1% 214

41% 25% 31% 3% 374

39% 23% 38% 1% 227

55% 19% 20% 6% 187

45% 34% 21% 9

42% 23% 33% 3% 830

46% 27% 24% 3% 152

36% 19% 36% 8% 29

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

(cont.)

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45% 20% 31% 3% 409

45% 20% 32% 3% 511

44% 20% 32% 3% 607

43% 21% 33% 3% 708

43% 23% 31% 3% 1011

43% 23% 31% 3% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RUSRRural / small

townUrban Suburb Unsure /

refused

RUSR TYPE OF COMMUNITY/C TOTAL

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11% 8% 6% 5% 71% 1011

27% 73% 192

100% 161

29% 71% 260

72% 28% 77

100% 80

100% 84

71% 29% 158

100% 189

14% 10% 76% 544

40% 19% 41% 278

100% 65

12% 8% 6% 5% 69% 946

10% 6% 4% 4% 77% 431

15% 4% 7% 7% 68% 235

11% 12% 7% 4% 66% 316

8% 17% 6% 16% 52% 29

7% 9% 8% 5% 71% 132

11% 11% 5% 4% 70% 108

12% 88% 9

7% 25% 12% 8% 48% 30

15% 4% 7% 7% 68% 235

10% 6% 4% 4% 77% 431

11% 5% 17% 10% 57% 108

11% 8% 4% 5% 72% 903

12% 6% 6% 5% 71% 475

11% 9% 5% 5% 70% 536

10% 7% 5% 4% 74% 334

17% 3% 8% 7% 65% 141

12% 10% 5% 6% 67% 290

9% 8% 6% 4% 74% 246

18% 5% 1% 2% 75% 98

11% 8% 5% 5% 71% 624

9% 7% 9% 6% 69% 262

10% 5% 7% 8% 69% 28

19% 12% 1% 5% 62% 202

10% 6% 4% 4% 76% 283

8% 6% 8% 6% 73% 313

10% 8% 8% 5% 69% 212

TOTAL

Northeast

Midwest

South

South Central

Central Plains

Mountain States

West

RG1 GEOGRAPHICAREAS ONE

55%+ Trump states

Other states

55%+ Clinton states

PREZ16 STATE BYPRESIDENTIALWINNER

Competitive U.S. SenateraceOther states

SEN20 STATES WITHCOMPETITIVE U.S.SENATE RACES

Rural / small town

Urban

Suburb

Unsure / refused

RUSR TYPE OFCOMMUNITY/C

White suburban men

White suburban women

Black suburban men

Black suburban women

Urban voters

Rural voters

USRACE COMMUNITY/ RACE

Yes

No

COMPCDCOMPETITIVE CD

Male

Female

GENDER GENDER

Male / employed

Male / not employed

Female / employed

Female / not employed

RSEXEMPRESPONDENT'S SEX /EMPLOYMENT/C

Not employed

Employed

Retired

Refused

EMPSTAT

18-34

35-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGE RESPONDENT'SAGE/C

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

(cont.)

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14% 8% 3% 5% 70% 485

8% 6% 8% 6% 73% 313

10% 8% 8% 5% 69% 212

15% 6% 4% 5% 70% 255

8% 5% 9% 5% 73% 220

13% 10% 2% 5% 70% 230

9% 8% 7% 6% 70% 306

8% 6% 5% 6% 76% 758

11% 13% 6% 4% 65% 121

36% 12% 11% 2% 39% 91

20% 7% 5% 6% 62% 40

6% 8% 8% 78% 130

8% 6% 6% 5% 75% 629

20% 28% 52% 31

8% 8% 8% 5% 69% 91

66% 14% 6% 13% 32

20% 11% 13% 3% 53% 59

39% 12% 5% 11% 33% 10

13% 5% 5% 5% 72% 30

7% 6% 6% 6% 76% 370

8% 7% 4% 5% 76% 388

11% 7% 3% 4% 75% 39

12% 16% 8% 4% 60% 82

47% 4% 11% 2% 36% 47

25% 20% 11% 2% 43% 44

10% 6% 9% 6% 69% 282

12% 8% 4% 5% 71% 729

8% 7% 9% 5% 71% 384

17% 8% 4% 3% 68% 202

11% 8% 4% 7% 71% 425

8% 5% 9% 5% 73% 207

9% 10% 8% 5% 69% 177

12% 9% 5% 7% 68% 175

10% 7% 3% 6% 74% 249

20% 3% 1% 1% 74% 92

14% 13% 5% 4% 64% 110

18-44

45-64

65 or over

RAGEFLRESPONDENT'SAGE/C

Male / under 45

Male / 45+

Female / under 45

Female / 45+

RR96 AGE / SEX

White

Black / African American

Hispanic / Latino

Other

RRACERESPONDENT'SRACE/C

White millenials 18-34

White older voters 35+

African Americanmillenials 18-34African American oldervoters 35+Hispanic millenials 18-34

Hispanic older voters 35+

Other races millenials18-34Other races older voters35+

AGERACE AGE ANDRACE

White men

White women

Black men

Black women

Hispanic men

Hispanic women

GENRACE RACE BYGENDER

White seniors

Other

WHITE SENIORS

Republican

Independent

Democrat

RPARTYID PARTYIDENTIFICATION/C

Male / GOP

Female / GOP

Male / DEM

Female / DEM

Male / IND

Female / IND

RPTYID89 SEX /PARTY ID

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 6% 3% 6% 76% 154

8% 7% 12% 4% 68% 230

13% 10% 3% 5% 69% 210

9% 6% 4% 8% 73% 215

23% 8% 2% 2% 64% 122

8% 8% 5% 3% 76% 81

9% 7% 9% 5% 70% 444

6% 20% 2% 2% 70% 62

13% 7% 3% 6% 71% 505

8% 6% 9% 4% 72% 289

8% 10% 6% 8% 67% 79

17% 8% 4% 3% 69% 223

4% 12% 6% 9% 70% 76

12% 7% 3% 6% 72% 344

10% 6% 8% 4% 71% 421

12% 8% 4% 6% 71% 429

7% 9% 5% 8% 71% 98

100% 4

25% 11% 63% 32

13% 16% 3% 5% 63% 27

10% 8% 8% 4% 71% 491

9% 13% 6% 3% 69% 86

13% 6% 3% 7% 71% 433

9% 6% 10% 3% 71% 185

10% 8% 7% 5% 70% 307

13% 8% 3% 6% 71% 520

8% 7% 9% 5% 71% 384

17% 8% 4% 3% 68% 202

9% 9% 7% 4% 70% 69

11% 7% 3% 7% 71% 355

14% 6% 2% 6% 71% 380

10% 8% 5% 4% 73% 126

6% 20% 2% 2% 70% 62

9% 11% 10% 71% 52

9% 8% 8% 5% 70% 392

1% 10% 7% 14% 67% 22

10% 9% 3% 4% 74% 149

12% 8% 4% 6% 71% 240

12% 7% 6% 5% 70% 601

Under 45 / GOP

45 & over / GOP

Under 45 / DEM

45 & over / DEM

Under 45 / IND

45 & over / IND

RPTYID90 AGE /PARTY ID

Republican

Ticket splitter

Democrat

RPARTY USUAL VOTEBEHAVIOR/C

Hard GOP

Soft GOP

Ticket splitters

Soft DEM

Hard DEM

PARTISAN

Trump

Clinton

Other

Too young to vote

Did not vote

Unsure / refused

PVOTE16 2016PRESIDENTIAL VOTE

Conservative

Moderate

Liberal

RIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Very conservative

Somewhat conservative

Moderate / liberal

RRIDEOLRESPONDENT'SIDEOLOGY/C

Republican

Independent

Conservative DEM

Mod / lib DEM

RPTYID98 TARGETGROUPS

Liberal DEM

Mod / conservative DEM

Independent

Mod / liberal GOP

Conservative GOP

PARIDEOL PARTY /IDEOLOGY

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

College graduate

REDUCRESPONDENT'SEDUCATION/C

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 7% 7% 4% 72% 282

15% 4% 4% 7% 70% 193

14% 7% 6% 6% 68% 319

6% 13% 4% 4% 73% 217

8% 7% 5% 6% 74% 466

25% 7% 10% 2% 56% 135

7% 5% 4% 5% 78% 293

18% 17% 5% 6% 54% 117

7% 5% 4% 5% 78% 293

18% 17% 5% 6% 54% 117

12% 7% 6% 5% 70% 601

20% 4% 2% 8% 66% 197

9% 8% 6% 5% 72% 814

18% 8% 2% 8% 63% 219

9% 7% 6% 4% 73% 617

9% 10% 7% 3% 71% 175

9% 6% 8% 4% 73% 320

8% 5% 3% 6% 78% 55

22% 5% 3% 8% 62% 100

9% 8% 5% 5% 73% 296

10% 13% 8% 2% 67% 120

15% 10% 2% 9% 65% 119

8% 6% 5% 5% 76% 513

17% 9% 11% 1% 61% 104

8% 6% 4% 7% 76% 246

25% 14% 5% 5% 51% 149

6% 5% 1% 12% 77% 64

5% 5% 2% 12% 76% 57

7% 6% 7% 4% 75% 265

8% 7% 3% 6% 76% 248

4% 6% 4% 6% 80% 41

12% 7% 7% 73% 83

22% 12% 8% 4% 55% 253

7% 9% 4% 5% 75% 354

13% 7% 6% 5% 68% 657

Male college graduates

Male non-collegegraduatesFemale college graduates

Female non-collegegraduates

SEXED2 GENDER ANDEDUCATION

White college graduates

Non-white collegegraduatesWhite non-collagegraduatesNon-white non-collegegraduates

EDRAC

White non-collegegraduateMinority non-collegegraduateOthers

SEXEDWHNON-COLLEGEGRADUATES

Union household

Non-union household

RUNION MEMBER OFLABOR UNION/C

Single

Married

No longer married

RMARITAL MARITALSTATUS/C

Married men

Unmarried men

Single men

Married women

Unmarried women

Single women

STATUS MARITALSTATUS / GENDER

White married

Non-white married

White not married

Non-white not married

MARAC

White single men

White single women

White married men

White married women

White no longer marriedmenWhite no longer marriedwomenOther

GENMAR2 GENDER,MARITAL, AND RACE

Yes

No

RCHILD HAVECHILDREN LIVING ATHOME/C

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

(cont.)

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6% 6% 4% 4% 79% 179

8% 11% 3% 7% 70% 175

8% 6% 4% 6% 76% 272

10% 7% 8% 4% 71% 345

6% 29% 3% 3% 59% 34

7% 1% 12% 3% 78% 57

1% 8% 4% 7% 80% 30

21% 7% 2% 9% 61% 189

12% 9% 5% 4% 70% 84

9% 7% 7% 4% 72% 330

15% 7% 9% 2% 67% 152

8% 9% 3% 7% 73% 239

14% 8% 3% 6% 69% 290

10% 6% 9% 2% 73% 363

11% 8% 3% 7% 70% 599

19% 7% 8% 4% 62% 49

12% 4% 8% 2% 74% 163

11% 7% 5% 7% 70% 312

8% 9% 9% 2% 73% 200

12% 10% 3% 7% 68% 336

6% 6% 8% 1% 79% 250

20% 7% 9% 4% 60% 113

7% 7% 9% 77% 201

11% 6% 17% 4% 62% 54

2% 4% 3% 3% 87% 49

28% 7% 2% 4% 58% 59

4% 7% 12% 3% 74% 66

11% 7% 6% 6% 69% 583

10% 9% 3% 4% 73% 220

15% 6% 2% 4% 73% 114

49% 51% 4

18% 11% 3% 2% 66% 24

9% 6% 5% 7% 74% 472

5% 8% 14% 5% 68% 45

40% 12% 13% 2% 33% 53

15% 14% 1% 10% 60% 14

11% 8% 5% 4% 73% 428

Dad

Mom

MOMDAD PARENTS

Married / children

Married / no children

Divorced / children

Divorced / no children

Single / children

Single / no children

Other / mixed

BUNDY MARITALSTATUS / CHILDREN

At least weekly

At least monthly

Infrequently

Never

RDENOMFR HOWOFTEN DO YOUATTEND CHURCH/C

Born-again / evangelical

Not born-again

Refused

BORN BORN-AGAIN /EVANGELICAL

Male born again /evangelicalsMale not evangelical

Female born again /evangelicalsFemale not evangelical

SEXBORN GENDERAND BORN AGAIN

White Evangelical

Non-white Evangelical

RACEVANG RACE /EVANGELICAL

White conservativeChristiansNon-white conservativeChristiansWhite non-conservativeChristiansNon-whitenon-conservativeChristians

IDEOVAN IDEOLOGY /EVANGELICALCHRISTIANS

Upper class

Middle class

Working class

Low income

Unemployed

Refused

ECONCLA2ECONOMIC CLASS

Middle class whites

Middle class AfricanAmericansMiddle class Hispanics

Middle class other races

Other

CLARAC ECONOMICCLASS AND RACE

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

(cont.)

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9% 9% 5% 7% 70% 188

6% 7% 7% 7% 73% 168

9% 8% 8% 5% 71% 78

19% 12% 7% 5% 57% 126

9% 6% 2% 3% 80% 288

18% 4% 3% 9% 66% 65

16% 8% 11% 3% 62% 98

9% 6% 6% 5% 73% 350

3% 7% 9% 3% 78% 77

13% 8% 5% 6% 68% 584

10% 6% 7% 5% 71% 423

13% 12% 7% 4% 65% 79

12% 8% 4% 6% 71% 509

10% 7% 8% 4% 70% 424

2% 7% 7% 6% 79% 102

14% 8% 3% 6% 70% 485

9% 7% 8% 5% 70% 438

1% 11% 12% 7% 70% 35

13% 7% 3% 5% 71% 539

12% 7% 5% 5% 71% 955

5% 13% 9% 5% 69% 56

12% 7% 4% 6% 70% 295

14% 5% 7% 3% 71% 252

8% 8% 6% 6% 73% 313

14% 9% 3% 8% 66% 95

100% 1

13% 8% 4% 6% 69% 488

1% 8% 3% 4% 84% 24

10% 6% 7% 5% 72% 442

13% 10% 2% 7% 67% 214

11% 6% 5% 5% 74% 374

11% 7% 8% 5% 69% 227

10% 8% 7% 4% 70% 187

18% 82% 9

11% 7% 6% 5% 71% 830

11% 9% 5% 7% 68% 152

15% 5% 5% 75% 29

Cable TV

Broadcast TV

Newspaper

Radio

Internet

Other

Combination / all

RSOURCE SOURCERELY ON MOSTOFTEN FOR INFO/C

Right direction

Unsure

Wrong track

RDIRECT DIRECTIONTHINGS IN COUNTRYARE GOING/C

Trump

Undecided

DEM candidate

RPGDBALPRESIDENTIALBALLOT/C

Republican

Undecided

Democrat

RGENERIC GENERICCONGRESSIONALBALLOT/C

Approve

Unsure

Disapprove

RDJTJA DONALDTRUMP JOBAPPROVAL/C

Yes

No

R26 SRH ABOUTIMPEACHMENTINVESTIGATION/C

Extremely closely

Very closely

Somewhat closely

Not at all closely

Unsure

Q27 HOW CLOSELYFOLLOWINGIMPEACHMENT NEWS

Yes

Unsure

No

R28 SHOULD TRUMPBE IMPEACHED /WHAT YOU SRH/C

Very worried

Somewhat worried

Not too worried

Not at all worried

Unsure / refused

ECONW HOWWORRIED ECONOMICDOWNTURN WILLNEGATIVELY AFFECTFAMILY

Extremely likely

Very likely

Somewhat likely

UPELECT LIKELIHOODOF VOTING INUPCOMING ELECTION

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

(cont.)

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10% 9% 5% 5% 71% 409

13% 7% 5% 5% 70% 511

12% 8% 5% 5% 70% 607

12% 7% 5% 5% 71% 708

11% 8% 6% 5% 71% 1011

11% 8% 6% 5% 71% 1011

Most likely 40%

Most likely 50%

Most likely 60%

Most likely 70%

100% of sample

TURNOUT TURNOUTOF MOST LIKELYVOTERS

TOTAL

RG2California Florida Texas New York Rest of

country

RG2 GEOGRAPHIC AREAS TWO TOTAL

THE TARRANCE GROUP, INC./ LAKE RESEARCH PARTNERSBattleground 65 #16440: Weighted TablesOctober 6-10, 2019

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