sustainable communities sa - presentation by professor peter newman
DESCRIPTION
Sustainable Communities SA public meeting 18 April 2012 at Burnside Community Centre. Professor Peter Newman from Curtin University spoke about sustainability in communities with a focus on transport and reducing car dependence.TRANSCRIPT
Sustainability: What it can mean for people and communities?
ByPeter Newman
Professor of SustainabilityCurtin University
The Sustainability Story
Mid 90’s to 2000’s
Economic Development
Environmental Protection and Improvement
Social Development
Ecological Economics
Community Health
“Sense of Place”
Sustainability
Sustainability in cities: reducing footprint whilst increasing liveability…
My niche…‘Oil vulnerability’ and ‘car dependence’….
….born out of the pain of the 1970’s oil crises
The Hubbert PeakSci Amer 1971
The Polycentric City. Walkable, green, smart centres linked by quality transit….
Community activist journey began in Fremantle in 1979… ‘the last train to Freo’
Corruption revealed
100,000 signatures on petition
We won!
Supplementary policies on traffic demand management, parking restrictions, congestion taxes…. can all help, but will be reduced to marginal exercises unless the structure of the city is addressed in terms of the relative speed of traffic compared to sustainable transport modes.
Then won three more times…7 mill pass/yr to 57 mill/yr in 15
years
1992 - Northern Suburbs Railway Now equal to 8 lanes of traffic….
Year Route Km
1982 42km
1983 63km
1993 92km
2004 96km
2005 100km
2006 172km
Total 172km
54 kms within freeway median
Opening of new Southern Railway90% approval ratings and already paid off.
Carrying 65,000 per day cf 14,000 on buses.
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Meanwhile the academic….Fuel Use Decreases as Density Increases
National and global model…$17 mill per km…. higher numbers from
Travel Smart suburbs!
0
10,000
20,000
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iANNUALRA
ILBO
ARD
INGS
('000
s:Tr
ain
and
Tram
)
YEAR
Adelaide
Perth
Next phase light rail…• Click to edit Master text styles
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The next phase in Perth….• Click to edit Master text styles
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Perth: 21st Century CityFocus on the 13 big development projects
in Perth and show how they can be:
• Leading demonstrations of low carbon, renewable, green development
• Dense, mixed use centres made viable through light rail
• Financed by a new private-public mechanism that captures the value inherent in green, transit oriented development….Committee for Perth report.
INFRASTRUCTURE AUSTRALIANation Building package – 55% urban rail….historic!
Adelaide’s electrification and Seaford extension like Perth’s northern and southern
rail lines
Why rail must continue to be the priority….
Peak oil has happened….
Climate policy: Oil's tipping point has passed Nature 481,433–435 26 January 2012
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Peak oil happened in 2008 in the economy… $140 per bl
September 15th 2008
Impact on cities?
• Some US suburbs collapsed in GFC
Global oil production has not risen for 5 years…
• Inexorable rise in oil price of 5% per year.
• Dramatic rise in 2008 revealing vulnerabilities of car dependent cities.
• Car use beginning to decline…
Car use growth trends in developed cities from 1960 to 2005 using Global Cities Database.
4 1 . 8
2 5 . 7
2 2 . 9
5 . 1
0
5
1 0
1 5
2 0
2 5
3 0
3 5
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1 9 6 0 - 1 9 7 0 1 9 7 0 - 1 9 8 0 1 9 8 0 - 1 9 9 0 1 9 9 5 - 2 0 0 5
Pe
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e i
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ar
VK
T p
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pit
a
Passenger-kilometres by private car and light trucks, 1990 – 2009,
index (1990 = 100)
80
90
100
110
120
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140
150
160
1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009
Germany
Australia
United States
France
Japan
United Kingdom
Oil price shockand start of
crisis
Peak Car Use - US cities...
• 7 years of decline• $80 a barrel in
2004• Cities coming
back in…
1976-
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1977-
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1981-8
2
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Per Capita Private Travel by City
Sydney Melbourne
Brisbane Perth
Adelaide Canberra
Hobart Darwin
'000 Kms per capita by car, commercial vehicle and motorcycle Source: BTRE (2011): Australian Infrastructure Statistics Yearbook
1976
-77
1977
-78
1978
-79
1979
-80
1980
-81
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-82
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0
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2
Per Capita Public Transport Travel by City
Sydney
Melbourne
Brisbane
Perth
Adelaide
Canberra
Hobart
Darwin
Kms per Capita
Source: BTRE (2011): Australian Infrastructure Statistics Yearbook
Annual vehicle miles per driver by age, USA, 1995, 2001, 2009
‘Cars are so yesterday: young and rich leave guzzlers behind’
From 2001 to 2009, the average annual number of vehicle-miles travelled by young people (16 to 34
year olds) decreased from 10,300 miles to 7900
miles per capita – a drop of 23 per cent.“From 2001 to 2009, young
people (16- to 34-year-olds) who lived in households with annual incomes of over $70,000 increased their use of public transit by 100 per cent, biking by 122 per cent, and walking by 37 percent.”
Shanghai 1990 and 2010• Click to edit Master text styles
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1990’s - Flirting with the American model…
Rapidly filled…
So what can be done?
Shanghai Metro…12 lines, 273 stations, 420km covering 80% of metro area…
Built mostly since 2000; carries 8 million per day
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Global growth now in rail and first signs of declines in car use…
• 82 Chinese cities building metros and high speed rail between cities
• 14 Indian cities building metros• Middle east cities building rail for first
time
Economic waves
The next era of innovation….the Green Economy
Green Economy
Green economy symbol, Cheonggyecheon River in Seoul,
buried under freeway
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⑥ ー 1 Cheonggyecheon Area after Restoration
(http://www.metro.seoul.kr/kor2000/chungaehome/en/seoul/2sub.htm/)
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History of innovation and energy…..
Next era of city building is REDUCED CARBON – green economy.
Water
Wood
Coal
OilRenewable
s& Gas
History of innovation and cities….Transport shapes
Each era changes the city form. Cities keep the best of that era and move on.Next era of city building ….
SHIP/WALK
STEAM
TRAIN
ELECTRIC
TRAINTRAM
CARTRUCKPLANE
ELECTRIC and
Renewable Gas
Vehicles & NMT
Superhighway
So what can communities do?
Communities hold all the cards….10 people focused on an issue can transform a city.
Government -regulations & infrastructure
Community-values &
visions
Market-goods & services
Sectoral Dimensions
The Sustainability Story
At home?
• Get out of that car, at least ensure only one car.
• Can save $750,000 over a lifetime by using one less car.
Vauban FrieburgEco-village with car-
free housing.
Vauban freedom...
Christie Walk Eco-Village, Adelaide.Strawbale apartments in central city; grey water to permaculture gardens; PV; no parking.
Will we get out of cars if given a bit of help?
TravelSmart from 1990’s….
Travel Smart
Walking School Bus
Walk/bike use increases productivity in workplace by 6%
Whole new profession created
of TravelSmart Officers
Consistent reductions in car use of around 15% - with 27% increase in muscle-powered transport... Creates culture of alternative transport.
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Tim Darby and Shani Graham
The Hulbert Street Story
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Transformation of a city…
Imagine the Possibilities
Photo Series: UrbanAdvantage