transport for sustainable cities by emmerson richardson and peter newman
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Transport for Sustainable Cities
Emmerson Richardson, Sinclair Knight Merz
Peter Newman, Curtin University1
> A sustainable transport system:
o Allows the basic access needs of individuals and societies to
be met safely in a manner consistent with human ecosystem
health, and within and between generations
o Is affordable, operates efficiently, offers choice of transport
mode, and supports a vibrant economy
o Limits emissions and waste within the planet’s ability to absorb
them, minimises consumption of non-renewable resources,
limits consumption of renewable resources to the sustainable
yield level, reuses and recycles its components, and minimises
the use of land and the production of noise
A Definition of Sustainable Transport
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Liveable/ Sustainable Cities
> Great places for social, cultural
and business exchange
> Great public places – to walk
around or stay a while
> Diverse mixed uses – leisure,
education, retail, employment and
a mix of housing types
> Preserve heritage and create new
urban art
> A human scale of urban design –
active interesting streets
> Easy to access and move around
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Transport for Sustainable Cities
> Complement and fit the urban
form
> High capacity access without
high numbers of cars
> A walkable city – safe, secure,
comfortable and convenient
> A transit city – more than a city
with transit
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What are the Drivers for Change?
> Climate change
> Road congestion
> Health and fitness
> Affordable living
> Road safety
> Peak oil
Less dependence on and use of cars
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Transport and Climate Change
> Currently 14% of emissions for
transport
> High growth in transport
emissions in Australia:
o 28.4% growth (1990 – 2004)
o 60.5% estimated growth (1990-
2020) under BAU
> UK + 26.4% (1990 – 2002)
> USA + 27.6% (1990 – 2004)
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Transport and Climate Change – International
Comparisons
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AUSTRALIA UK USA
Population 20.1 million 60.3 million 296.4 million
Total greenhouse gas
emissions565 mt/yr 656 mt/yr 7147 mt/yr
Total greenhouse gas
emissions per person
28.1 t/yr
100%
10.9 t/yr
39%
24.1 t/yr
86%
Greenhouse gas from
cars per person
2.07 t/yr
100%
1.04 t/yr
50%
3.95 t/yr
191%
Analysis of data supplied under UN Framework on Climate Change, 2004
Melbourne/ London Comparison
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Source: Bus Association Victoria Transport Emissions Report
Impact of Road Building on Delay – America’s
20 Biggest Cities
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Source: Urban Transport Monitor (1999)
Impact of Public Transport on Travel
Demand – America’s 50 Biggest Cities
Increase/Decrease Compared to Bus Only System Cities
Indicator Large Rail System
( 7 cities )
Small Rail System
( 16 cities )
Bus Only System
( 27 cities )
Public Transport Ridership
(kms per person) + 500% + 50% 0%
Car Driver Travel
(kms per person) - 20% - 10% 0%
Traffic Safety
(Deaths per 100,000
persons)
- 35% - 15% 0%
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Source: Rail Transit in America – A Comprehensive Evaluation of Benefits; Litman, T (2004)
Road Safety
> Worldwide, over one million people die each year from road
crashes and many millions more are injured
> More Australian lives lost in road crashes than the more
than 100,000 Australians killed in wars
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> Driving up prices and impacting on affordability
> Impact on house prices and the economy
> Could result in real shortages – rationing
Australia Petroleum Trade Deficit (12 month running totals), June 2002 to March 2008
Source: A Road Map for Alternative Fuels in Australia: Ending our Dependence on Oil.
Report of Jamieson Group to NRMA Motoring Services, July 2008
Peak Oil
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> High Capacity/ High Frequency Public Transport
> Mixed Use/ High Density Around Transit Nodes (TODs)
> Sustainable Mobility Management of Road Traffic
> Changing Vehicles and Fuels
> Radical Restructure of the Transport Budget
Implementing a Sustainable Transport Plan
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Public transport
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> High speed rail on major corridors
> Light rail in inner areas and day activity corridors
> Deliver capacity to move 4 times passengers by 2030
> High frequency (less than 10 minutes) all day
> Integrated bus/ rail systems
> More people in walking distance of major routes
> Major investment required
A Paradigm Shift for Public Transport –
A Transit City Approach
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Potential Travel Scenario – Perth
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Year 2008 Year 2030 Change in
Trips/ Day
Population 1.5M 2.2M
Total Trips/ Day 5.25M 7.7M 2,450,000
Car Driver Trips 3.05M (58%) 2.80M (36.4%) (250,000)
Car Passenger Trips 1.05M (20%) 1.16M (15%) 110,000
Public Transport Trips 0.32M (6%) 1.28M (16.6%) 960,000
Walking & Cycling Trips 0.84M (16%) 2.47M (32%) 1,630,000
Lifestyles and
city form
change with
it...
PUBLIC TRANSPORT PASSENGER
KILOMETRES PER CAPITA VERSUS
CAR PASSENGER KILOMETRES PER
CAPITA
y = -4576Ln(x) + 40753
R2 = 0.4973
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
0.0 2000.0 4000.0 6000.0 8000.0
Annual per capita public transport passenger kilometres per capita
An
nu
al car p
assen
ger
kilo
metr
es p
er c
ap
ita
People living in TODs have 50% less
car use and save 20% of their
household income due to one less car.
Value retained in down times and good
in up times.
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2.3 – 7.67.6 – 10.110.1 – 12.612.6 – 15.015.0 – 18.418.4 – 24.524.5 – 39.0
Annual Vehicle Km per Household, 2004Outer
suburbs residents,
particularly those away
from rail lines, drive much more than inner
suburbs residents.
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TRAVEL SMART
- Creating a more resilient
transport culture....
• Developed from German Werner
Brog, applied first in Perth, then UK
now US.....
• Individualised marketing based on
direct intervention with
householders receiving educational
materials on alternatives to the car.
• Bikers and bus drivers become
eco-coaches...
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Biofuels for
farmers....
Eg from OIL
MALLEE
Carbon
Accredited
Good for remote freight
and ecotourism
Only option for heavy vehicles; CNG
buses have shown how to do it. Australian
technology used to convert Mumbai and Chenai buses.
Australia has 77% of its population on
natural gas distribution system.
Can convert biomass to natural gas.
Leads into Hydrogen economy.
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4,400 tonnes ghg
$86 million infrastructure
savings($86,000 per block)
$250 million in annualised transport
savings over 50 years.
Health savings...
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