Strategic Context for Transport in New Zealand

Martin Matthews

Chief Executive

LGNZ Congress, 11 February 2011

Overview• Role of the Ministry

• Strategic Issues:

– Economic

– People

– Energy

– Technology

– Environment

• Summary

• What the Ministry of Transport is focusing on

Role of the Ministry

• To be a trusted, impartial expert adviser to government: shaping transport for New Zealand.

• Providing a range of evidence based policy advice to the Minister of Transport.

Economic Issues

What are the patterns of New Zealand’s international and domestic economy and how do we fund the transport

infrastructure and services that supports them?

Far Away

Gross Domestic Product

Economic Research Service, USDA, November 2005

Export and Import locations

Auckland

Lyttelton

Port Chalmers

Gisborne

Bluff

Napier

New Plymouth

Nelson

Picton

Taharoa

Timaru

Tauranga

Wellington

Whangarei

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Percentage of NZ imports and exports by weight and value by NZ port - 2009/10

Import by port (value) Export by port (value) Import by port (weight) Export by port (weight)

Percentage

Po

rt

About New Zealand

Northla

nd

Auckla

nd

Wai

kato

Bay o

f Ple

nty

Gisborn

e

Hawke

s Bay

Taran

aki

Man

awat

u

Wel

lingto

n

Tasm

an/ M

arlb

orough

Wes

t Coas

t

Cante

rbury

Otago

Southla

nd0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

70.00

2006-07 2031

To

tal F

low

s T

erm

ina

tin

g in

Re

gio

n (

m t

on

ne

s)

NFDS 2008

Growth in freight flows terminating in regions

Northla

nd

Auckla

nd

Wai

kato

Bay o

f Ple

nty

Gisborn

e

Hawke

s Bay

Taran

aki

Man

awat

u

Wel

lingto

n

Tasm

an/ M

arlb

or...

Wes

t Coas

t

Cante

rbury

Otago

Southla

nd0.00

10.00

20.00

30.00

40.00

50.00

60.00

2006-07 2031

To

tal F

low

s o

rig

ina

ting

in R

eg

ion

(m

ton

ne

s)

Growth in freight flows originating in regions

NFDS 2008

Labour productivity

OECD Territorial Reviews: Competitive Cities in the Global Economy, 2006

People Issues

What is happening to New Zealand’s population (growing, ageing, diversifying, and becoming more urbanised) and

what will the impact of their choices will be on the transport system?

Population growth and changes

www.treasury.govt.nz

How people may travel in the future?

Car Rail+Ferry Bus Active0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90% 83%

1%4%

12%

70%

4%

8%

18%

2006

2041

Mo

de

Sh

are

Ministry of Transport analysis

Population growth to 2031

Auckland region New Zealand0

1,000,000

2,000,000

3,000,000

4,000,000

5,000,000

6,000,000

Statistics NZ projections June 2009

Energy Issues

How do we enable the mobility that New Zealanders require in an environment of both increasing fuel prices

and price volatility?

Future sources of oil

2004 World Energy Outlook

Energy demand by fuel type

U.S. Energy Department

Environment Issues

What effect does transport have on the environment and conversely how will that impact on New Zealand’s

transport system?

Energy emissions by sector

www.med.govt.nz

Resilience

Technology Issues

How do we capture the benefits of technology to improve the transport system as quickly and easily as possible?

The role of technology

Summary

The key issues facing transport include:

– Economic

– People

– Energy Funding

– Environment

– Technology

What the Ministry of Transport is focusing on

• Identification, collection and monitoring of key datasets

• Forward Plan for transport 2011

• Trends and issues workshops 2011

• Scenario development 2011

• National Infrastructure Plan 2 2011

• Government Policy Statement 2012

Questions?