steelmaking raw materials workshop · iron ore 70% algeria iron ore 70% brazil iron ore 100% new...
TRANSCRIPT
1
Joe Mathews, Mining OECD, December 5, 2011
Steelmaking Raw Materials
Workshop
1
Today‟s agenda
• Overview of ArcelorMittal Mining
• Strategy for iron ore growth
• Challenges for both steel and mining
• Liberia Iron Ore Mines – Pictorial casestudy
• Building World-Class Mining & Steel businesses
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2
Who we are
• World‟s leading integrated
steel and mining company
• … with a global operating
base
• … and substantial strategic
upstream integration into iron
ore, manganese and coal
• A mining business that is an
integral and cohesive part of
ArcelorMittal‟s overall
business.
• A company focussed on stable
delivery of value to all
stakeholders
Geographically diversified mining assets
South Africa
Iron Ore**
* Includes share of production
** Includes purchases made under July 2010 interim agreement with Kumba (South Africa)
Mining business portfolio
Key assets and projects
USA Iron Ore
Minorca 100%
Hibbing 62%*
Mexico Iron Ore
Las Truchas &
Volcan 100%;
Pena 50%*
Liberia
Iron Ore 70%
Algeria
Iron Ore
70%
Brazil
Iron Ore
100%
New projects /
exploration
Existing mines
Mauritania
Iron Ore
exploration
license
Canada
AMMC 100%
Bosnia
Iron Ore
51%
USA Coal
100%
South Africa
Manganese
50%
Indian Iron
Ore & Coal
exploration
license
Ukraine
Iron Ore
95%
Kazakhstan
Coal
8 mines 100%
Kazakhstan
Iron Ore
4 mines 100%
Russian Coal
98.3%
Iron ore mine
Non ferrous mine
Coal mine
McArthur coal
16.02%
interest
Coal of Africa
15.98%
Canada
Baffinland 70%
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3
Segmental EBITDA (US$mn)
0100200300400500600700800900
1000
FCA FCE Long AACIS AMDS Mining
Q2'10 Q3'10 Q4'10 Q1'11 Q2'11
Mining now reported separately
• All raw materials consumed from ArcelorMittal mines that could practically be sold outside the Group are now transferred internally at market prices
• Production from “captive” mines (limited by logistics or quality) continues to be transferred at cost-plus to the steel facilities
• Mining segment reported 1H11 EBITDA of $1.4bn based on 12.9Mt iron ore and 2.4Mt of coal shipped at market prices (internally and externally)
• Mining segment represents ~25% of Group EBITDA in 1H11
• Steel segments are now more comparable on a like-for-like basis driving performance improvement
* Notes: ArcelorMittal EBITDA margin based on market-priced tonnes (i.e. excludes cost-plus tonnes from Revenue and EBITDA); “Producers” include BHP,
Fortescue, Kumba, Rio Tinto and Vale. Competitor data sourced from public information and has been prepared on a comparable periodic basis.
New Mining segmentation promotes improved operating decisions and optimal capital allocation
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Iron ore EBITDA margin 1H 2011*
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Producer
1
Producer
2
Producer
3
Producer
4
Producer
5
Arcelo
rMitt
al*
Mining EBITDA (US$mn)
2008 2009 2010 2011F
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Mining volumes are growing
ArcelorMittal Mining business
• Create world class mining operations
• Ensure appropriate capital allocation for mining business
for long term sustainability and growth
• Focus on mine safety, mine planning, quality, expansion,
capex and logistic
• Ensuring world class project control and management
systems
Mining benefited from higher shipments and higher market prices
Definitions: “Market priced” tonnes represent amounts of iron ore or other raw materials from ArcelorMittal mines that could be sold to third parties on the open market. Market priced tonnes that are not sold to third parties
are transferred from the Mining segment to the Company‟s steel producing segments at the prevailing market price. Shipments of raw materials that do not constitute market price tonnes are transferred internally on a cost-
plus basis.
* Excludes strategic contracts; ** Excludes thermal coal
Coal** (million tonnes)
0
2
4
6
8
10
2008 2009 2010 2011F
Shipped at "Market price" Shipped at "Cost-plus"Iron Ore* (million tonnes)
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2009 2010 2011F
Shipped at "Market price" Shipped at "Cost-plus"
+15% growth
+55% growth
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Type of product
Region
Proven & probable
reserves
Measured & indicated
resources
Inferred
resources
Mtonnes %Fe Mtonnes %Fe Mtonnes %Fe
Canada (AMMC) 2,350 29 3,442 30 1,025 28
Canada
(Baffinland) 375 65 41 66 444 65
USA 581 20 41 23 90 23
Central America 308 29 117 29 88 28
South America 134 58 321 38 130 37
West Africa 22 61 1,539 44 1,522 41
Eastern Europe 366 37 866 38 - -
Central Asia 120 41 1,629 40 30 51
TOTAL 4,255 33 7,997 36 3,329 39
Iron ore reserves and resources
2010 year-end estimates
The life of mine plans of operations and planned expansion projects
are 90% based on ore reserve estimates
Lumps
Fines
Pellet feed
Conc
• Tonnage and grade estimates are reported as „Run of Mine‟. Tonnage is reported on a wet metric basis. Where we own less than 100% of the operation, the estimates have not been adjusted to reflect our ownership interest.
• Mineral resource estimates are reported in addition to ore reserve estimates.
• The ore reserve and mineral resource estimates have been prepared under the supervision of ArcelorMittal qualified personnel . Detailed independent audits are conducted on a regular basis.
The terms "mineral resource", "measured mineral resource", "indicated mineral resource" and "inferred mineral resource" are defined in, and have been calculated in accordance with the guidelines set forth in,
Canadian National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”). NI 43-101 is a codified set of rules and guidelines for reporting and displaying information related to mineral properties owned by, or explored by, companies which
report results on stock exchanges within Canada, and is recognized by several other international stock exchanges and regulatory bodies. However, these terms are not defined terms under SEC Industry Guide 7 and
(absent an applicable exception) are not permitted to be used in reports and registration statements filed with the SEC. Investors are cautioned not to assume that any part or all of mineral deposits in these categories
will ever be converted into reserves. "Inferred mineral resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all
or any part of an inferred mineral resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category.
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Metallurgical coal reserves and resources
2010 year-end estimates
The coal life of mine plans of operations and planned expansion projects
are 100% based on coal reserve estimates
Inferred
Resources
Proven+
Probable
Reserves
Measured
+Indicated
Resources
• Tonnage and grade estimates are reported as „Run of Mine‟. Tonnage is reported on a wet metric basis. Where we own less than 100% of the operation, the estimates have not been adjusted to reflect our ownership interest.
• Mineral resource estimates are reported in addition to coal reserve estimates.
• The ore reserve and mineral resource estimates have been prepared under the supervision of ArcelorMittal qualified personnel. Detailed independent audits are
conducted on a regular basis.
Group coal resources and reserves 2010 plant wise resource and reserve
Coal
Proven & probable
reserves
Measured & indicated
resources
Inferred
resources
Mtonnes %Yield Mtonnes %Yield Mtonnes %Yield
Kazakhstan 193 46 588 47 8 62
Kuzbass 32 65 226 63 32 62
Princeton 123 59 86 54 4 53
TOTAL 347 52 901 52 43 61
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The terms "mineral resource", "measured mineral resource", "indicated mineral resource" and "inferred mineral resource" are defined in, and have been calculated in accordance with the guidelines set forth in,
Canadian National Instrument 43-101 (“NI 43-101”). NI 43-101 is a codified set of rules and guidelines for reporting and displaying information related to mineral properties owned by, or explored by, companies which
report results on stock exchanges within Canada, and is recognized by several other international stock exchanges and regulatory bodies. However, these terms are not defined terms under SEC Industry Guide 7 and
(absent an applicable exception) are not permitted to be used in reports and registration statements filed with the SEC. Investors are cautioned not to assume that any part or all of mineral deposits in these categories
will ever be converted into reserves. "Inferred mineral resources" have a great amount of uncertainty as to their existence, and great uncertainty as to their economic and legal feasibility. It cannot be assumed that all
or any part of an inferred mineral resource will ever be upgraded to a higher category.
5
0
10000
20000
30000
40000
50000
60000
70000
80000
90000
2010 2011F 2012 2013 2014 2015
Cost plus tonnage Marketable tonnage
97%
Growth
41%
Growth
Iron ore growth 2010-2015
Iron ore growth target of marketable tonnes by 2015 (Kt)
The life of mine plans of operations and planned expansion projects
are 100% based on coal reserve estimates Under flat iron ore pricing assumption
EBITDA could double by 2015, driven by growth in marketable tonnes
• Non-Marketable tonnage growth expected to have positive impact on steel business, primarily at Kazakhstan, Brazil and Bosnia
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Based on certain assumptions, including allocation of additional capex for Brownfield and Greenfield projects. See following slides.
Mining and Steel are different
Mining • Very long lead times
• Limited by “what is in the ground”
• High up front fixed capital cost
• Limited upgrading, no
transformational capability
• Heavily dependent on
infrastructure rail and ports
• Industry well consolidated
Steel • Shorter lead times
• Full conversion and processing ability
• High variable costs – raw materials
• Able to use wide range of inputs
• Complex pyrometallurgical processing
• Major recyclable industry, steel fully recyclable
• Industry more fragmented
Fundamentally different skill sets
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6
Challenges: Mining
• Rise of China caught Mining industry unprepared
• The 1990‟s saw Steel companies divest raw materials business such
as iron ore and coal
• China arrived after a sustained period of poor returns, low demand and
underinvestment.
• Rapid demand growth drove shortages and upward price movements
• Today mining is playing catch up; tightening the supply of heavy
equipment, skilled labour and input costs
Extreme China (iron ore) demand caused long period of supply shortage
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Challenges: Steel
• Rising raw material input costs
• Profitability and margins under pressure
• Current uncertain global economic conditions
• Aligning demand and supply
• Emerging-market demand and lower growth developed world
• Competing materials eg aluminium
Margin pressure in a changing global industry
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7
Liberia Iron Ore Mines
– Pictorial Case study
Upgraded railway line linking mine with port at Liberia AMMC: Mont-Wright Mining Complex
Liberia Iron Ore Mining
• Ore deposits at Tokadeh, Gangra & Yuelliton
• Phase 1 DSO mining from Tokadeh & Gangra
• Concentrator planned in Phase 2 at Tokadeh
• Railway link from
Yekepa to Buchanan (250 Km)
• Railway workshop and Port at Buchanan
13 ArcelorMittal Liberia
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2007
9
Picture rail out
ArcelorMittal Liberia 16
17
10
18
Mining - facilities
19
Crusher & Screening Plant Workshop & Mine Office Construction
Generator Set Installation Liberia Steering Committee
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20
Environment
Much of our infrastructure is in forest, which is diverse in nature
and needs protection. The mines are right in a key international
rainforest “hotspot”.
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21
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Township and Infrastructure
22 ArcelorMittal Liberia
Schools in Yekepa
__ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 23
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1000 students
__ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 24
25
14
Iron ore production started – May 2011
__ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 26
Ore transport from Tokadeh by rail
__ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 27
15
Ore railed to Buchanan port
__ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 28
First Shipment was in September 2011
__ __ __ __ __ __ __ __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 05-Dec-2011 __ 29
16
Outlook: The supply challenge
• Heavy greenfield reliance
• Logistics constraints
• Resources and Reserve Quality
• Cost curve structure
• Rising Environmental and Political Pressures
Supply response challenge
30
Global iron ore supply/demand balance
31
……………………………………………………………. ……………………………………………………………. Iron ore is not just ore… grade and quality are key
– Top 3 likely to retain seaborne market share
– China domestic ore will continue to dominate high cost quartile
– Iron ore: average capital intensity of projects has more than doubled in past 5 years
– Delays in industry greenfield projects likely
– Harder to find Tier 1 assets. Forced to new basins
– Lump quality decreasing
– Finer fines likely trend but average chemistry improving
– Higher blast furnace pellet rates to complement sinter quality
Global iron ore supply / balance projections Global supply/demand and structure implications
Source : Metaliytics Iron Ore Review Q2 2011 .
800
1300
1800
2300
2800
3300
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Iro
n O
re D
em
and
/Pro
du
ctio
n
World Iron Ore Demand
World Iron Ore Production
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Summary
• Mining and steel are different industries but mutually linked
• Current tight markets with us for some years…..but will not last forever
• There is major new iron ore capacity planned, with associated impact
on price
• Asset prices may be close to top of the cycle – acquisitions expensive
and competitive
• Operating & skill sets are different for steel and mining;
A timed portfolio approach should be considered
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The ArcelorMittal Way
• Mining and Steel businesses in one company, but competing for
capital
• Managed by experts in each field
• Not vertically integrated model…...Mining is a profit driver not a cost
support
• Mining customer base set by mining: risked portfolio of markets,
• customers, prices, products.
• Mining customers includes AM Steel. Arms length
commercial supply contracts
• Optimise shared supply chain management
• Applying unrivalled industry knowledge to both Steel & Mining for best
market responses
• Our growth is targeted toward global markets
• Long term commitment to build a portfolio in Mining taking into account:
cost curve, acquisition timing, quality and products
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2015 and beyond
Upgraded railway line linking mine with port at Liberia Liberia Crushing/Screening Plant Upgraded railway line linking mine with port at Liberia Baffinland Baffinland