sêr cymru senior research fellow welsh school of
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Dr Hu Du
Near future building performance prediction and long-term climate change
adaptation for buildings
Dr Hu DuSêr Cymru Senior Research Fellow
Welsh School of ArchitectureCardiff University
Forecast of building energy demand and renewable generation
2014-2019, Fellow
Modular external wall retrofit + renewable and storage
2017-2021, PI
HuMiD - Health cost of mould and damp in Welsh homes
2017-2018, PI
Renewable Energy Systems in Zero Carbon Villages2018-2019, PI
Dr Hu Du
HABITAT- HArvest modular façade for zero bills Buildings In Tibet
plATeau2018, PI
Ongoing projects
HABITAT- Harvest modular façade for zero bills buildings In Tibet plateau
Dr Hu Du
Built Environment
Dr Hu Du
Three different
emission
scenarios
Seven
different
time frames
25km grid, 16
admin regions,
23 river-basins
and 9 marine
regions
UK climate change projectionsDr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
Regression modelDr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
Under-standing changing climate
Risk assessment
Suitable adaptation measures
Base dynamic energy model
Simulation of
adaptation measures
Energy savings
Cost Benefit Analysis
Uptake and deploy by the client
Monitor and
evaluation
Dr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
Observation vs. Forecast Friday Saturday Sunday Monday Tuesday
-2.0
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
20
No
v 0
0
20
No
v 0
5
20
No
v 1
0
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No
v 1
5
20
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v 2
0
21
No
v 0
1
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No
v 0
6
21
No
v 1
1
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No
v 1
6
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No
v 2
1
22
No
v 0
2
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No
v 0
7
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No
v 1
2
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No
v 1
7
22
No
v 2
2
23
No
v 0
3
23
No
v 0
8
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No
v 1
3
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No
v 1
8
23
No
v 2
3
24
No
v 0
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No
v 0
9
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No
v 1
4
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No
v 1
9
25
No
v 0
0
25
No
v 0
5
Bute building weather station Next 5 day forecast
Next 4 day forecast Next 3 day forecast
Next 2 day forecast
oc
Dr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
Temperature Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow Dr Hu Du
Relative Humidity Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow
Dr Hu Du
Wind Speed Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow Dr Hu Du
Wind Direction Forecast vs. Observation, Dec2015 Heathrow Dr Hu Du
140 observation
stations
6000 forecast locationsDr Hu Du
Temperature Forecast vs. Observation(1-6 April 2017, UK)
Dr Hu Du
Temperature observations and forecasts (6 Feb-15 Mar 2018, University of Navarra)
Dr Hu Du
Root Mean Square Error (RMSE)
UHII
Dr Hu Du
Dr Hu Du
Q&A
Dr Hu DuSêr Cymru Senior Research Fellow
Welsh School of ArchitectureCardiff University