spp.org 1. spp: demand response and advanced metering in arkansas
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SPP.org 1
SPP: Demand Response and Advanced Metering in Arkansas
SPP.org 3
SPP Demand Response Catalysts
SPP.org 4
Regulatory
• March 20, 2006 Order from FERC
• “SPP is directed to provide a report to the Commission six months from the date of market implementation on ways it can incorporate demand response into its imbalance market”
SPP.org 5
Peak Demand
Actual & Forecast Peak Demand
38000
40000
42000
44000
46000
48000
50000
52000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(MW
)
2003 Forecast
2004 Forecast
2005 Forecast
2006 Forecast
Actual
SPP.org 6
Capacity Margins
Actual & Forecast Capacity Margins
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
(%)
2003 Forecast
2004 Forecast
2005 Forecast
2006 Forecast
Actual
SPP.org 7
Reserve Margin by Region (2007E v. 2003A)
SPP.org 8
Increases in CO2 Emissions
SPP.org 9
SPP Demand Response Initiatives
SPP.org 10
• Technical Conference (January 2007)
• EPRI
• ISO/RTO Council: EAS
• US Demand Response Coordinating Committee (Potential)
• SPP Center of Excellence
• Strategic Planning Committee
• Demand Response Task Force
• Planning
SPP Demand Response Initiatives
SPP.org 11
EPRI Initiative
12© 2007 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030
U.S
. Ele
ctri
c S
ecto
rC
O2 E
mis
sio
ns
(mill
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met
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s)
EIA Base Case 2007
CO2 Reductions … Technical Potential*
Technology EIA 2007 Reference Target
Efficiency Load Growth ~ +1.5%/yr Load Growth ~ +1.1%/yr
Renewables 30 GWe by 2030 70 GWe by 2030
Nuclear Generation 12.5 GWe by 2030 64 GWe by 2030
Advanced Coal GenerationNo Existing Plant Upgrades
40% New Plant Efficiency by 2020–2030
150 GWe Plant Upgrades
46% New Plant Efficiency by 2020; 49% in 2030
CCS None Widely Deployed After 2020
PHEV None10% of New Vehicle Sales by 2017;
+2%/yr Thereafter
DER < 0.1% of Base Load in 2030 5% of Base Load in 2030
* Achieving all targets is very aggressive, but potentially feasible.
13© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Possible R&D Collaboratives
Smart Infrastructure• Enable energy efficiency and demand
response and other potential consumer/utility opportunities
Energy Analytics• Independent and credible analysis to
support innovative markets, rates and CO2 impact
Smart End-Use Devices • Maximizing the potential for energy
efficiency and demand response in residential/ commercial/industrial sector
Infrastructure
Smart End-Use Devices
Analytics
Three broad interconnected areas of possible RD&D presented for reaction and refinement by the workshop attendees
14© 2006 Electric Power Research Institute, Inc. All rights reserved.
Possible Components of Smart Energy Efficiency Infrastructure
EfficientBuildingSystemsUtility
Communications
DynamicSystemsControl
DataManagement
DistributionOperations
DistributedGeneration& Storage
Plug-In Hybrids
SmartEnd-UseDevices
ControlInterface
AdvancedMetering
Consumer Portal& Building EMS
Internet Renewables
PV
www.spp.org 15
SPP Planning Initiative
www.spp.org 16
Planning Questions
• What current flowgates are being mitigated by the 2006-2016 SPP Transmission Expansion Plan (STEP)?
• How would Demand Side Management (DSM) affect the current reliability plan?
• How would SPP handle Enhanced Regional Planning (ERP) in respect to the STEP?
www.spp.org 17
Flowgates in SPP
SPP performed analysis on the 2006-2016 SPP STEP to determine how the top flowgates would be affected
Staff focused on the top 15 flowgates with the highest TLR curtailments
7 of the top 15 flowgates are relieved by the 2006-2016 STEP
www.spp.org 18
Top 15 Flowgates
Relieved
Not Relieved
www.spp.org 19
New Top 15
Flowgates
www.spp.org 20
Demand Side Management (DSM)
DSM manages the consumption of energy to optimize available generation resources
SPP very different geographically than areas in the northeast that have very dense high population areas
Staff to initially consider DSM option in top 3 population areas in SPP footprint
• Oklahoma City• Kansas City• Tulsa
www.spp.org 21
Enhanced Regional Planning (ERP)
SPP to potentially consider ERP as a solution to reliability problems identified in the STEP
Initially, staff to use engineering judgment to determine what areas would be appropriate for ERP
Staff would consider the benefit of a ~500MW resource for initial screens, then use the SPP ERP checklist to determine feasibility
