socio-economic profile, pero & mero cfo forum 06 september 2013

26
Socio-economic Profile, PERO & MERO CFO Forum 06 SEPTEMBER 2013

Upload: aron-dixon

Post on 02-Jan-2016

218 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Socio-economic Profile, PERO & MEROCFO Forum 06 SEPTEMBER 2013

2

REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE: 2013

3

Regional Development Profile 2013

SECTION 1 BACKGROUND: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT ROFILE 2013

SECTION 2 PURPOSE: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013

SECTION 3 CONTENT: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013

SECTION 4 SOURCES OF DATA: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013

SECTION 5 STATUS QUO: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013

SECTION 6 WAY FORWARD: REGIONAL DEVELOPMENT PROFILE 2013

4

Background: Regional Development Profile 2013

Legislative Mandate: Section 26 of the MSA

The Council’s vision for the long term development of it’s communities.

An assessment of the existing development in the municipality which includes communities that do not have access to basic municipal services.

Council’s development priorities and objectives which includes it’s economic development aims and it’s internal transformation needs.

Council’s development strategies which must be aligned with national and provincial sectoral plans.

A Financial plan, which must include a budget projection of at least three years.

The Key Performance Indicators and Performance targets as determined in terms of section 41 of the MSA 32 OF 2000.

5

Purpose: Regional Development Profile

Provide a regional perspective on the Metro, Districts and Municipalities.

Ensuring that the Metro, District and local municipalities understand the socio-economic reality for their respective regions.

Valuable insight can be gained as to the developmental challenges faced by communities within a specific municipal boundary.

Regional Development Profile to be used as a data tool that can ensure that the information obtained will lead and guide planning & budgetary processes within municipal environment.

6

CONTENT: Regional Development Profile 2013

Demographics 1.1 Population Size1.2 Age and Gender Distribution1.3 Population Groups

Social Development and Well-being 2.1 Education and Human Development2.2 Literacy2.3 Education attainment2.4 Learner Enrolment and drop-out rates2.5 Access to FET colleges2.6 No fee Schools

Health 3.1 Health Care facilities3.2 HIV/AIDS Treatment and Care3.3 Child Health3.4 Maternal Health3.5 Community Based Services

Crime 4.1 Safety and Security

7

CONTENT: Regional Development Profile 2013

Poverty and Inequality 5.1 Human Development Index5.2 People living in Poverty5.3 Indigent Households5.4 Gini Coefficient

Access to Municipal Services 6.1 Water6.2 Energy6.3 Sanitation6.4 Refuse Removal6.5 Roads

Economically Active Population 7.1 Labour Force7.2 Unemployment7.3 Unemployment Rate7.4 Employment by Sector

Finance and Resource Mobilisation 8.1 National and Provincial Transfers8.2 Provincial Payments and Estimates

8

CONTENT: Regional Development Profile 2013

Environmental Management 9.1 Regional Water Volumes and Losses9.2 Water Service Levels9.3 Water Quality9.4 Waste Water Treatment9.5 Spatial Planning9.6 Air Quality9.7 Climate Change

9

Sources of Data: Regional Development Profile

Statistics South Africa: Census 2001

Statistics South Africa: Census 2011

Quantec Data

Municipal Economic Review Outlook 2013

Sector Departments-Most Recent data

10

STATUS QUO: Regional Development Profile 2013

Released Regional Profiles 2012 November/December 2012

Invite municipalities to comment on content of Regional Profiles 2013

28 June 2013 and 01 July 2013

Forward Reminder to municipalities to comment on content or possible information required by municipalities on the Regional Development Profile 2013

10 July 2013

Received Inputs from municipalities on content of the Regional Development Profile 2013

13 July 2013

Data Collection and writing for 2013 Regional Development Profiles

August 2013-September 213

11

STATUS QUO: Regional Development Profile 2013

Released Regional Profiles 2012 November/December 2012

Release draft Regional Development Profile 2013 to the Metro/ Districts and Municipalities

September 2013

Roadshow on draft Regional Development Profiles-DCF/IDP Forum

October 2013

Invitation to municipalities to comment on draft Regional Development Profile 2013

October 2013

Incorporate inputs from municipalities into Regional Development Profile 2013

October 2013

Release Regional Development Profiles to Metro/Districts and Municipalities for planning purpose and alignment to Budget 2014/2015

15 November 2013

PERO 2013

13

PERO: WESTERN PROVINCIAL ECONOMIC REVIEW AND OUTLOOK

Annual research report which provides an objective review and analysis of past and estimated future economic growth and socio economic development of the Province.

Socio-economic scanning to provide an evidence-based platform to inform and guide provincial planning and budgeting.

Analytical reference point for the provincial economic development strategies and interventions.

Contextualizes the challenge of shifting towards a inclusive growth and development trajectory in the Province.

Informs budget policy formulation and hence the budget of the Western Cape.

The PERO is informed by provincial government policy initiatives while, although not producing recommendations, has some influence on policy decisions.

14

Focus: Provincial Economic Review and Outlook

15

Focus: Provincial Economic Review and Outlook

MERO 2013

17

CONTENT: MUNICIPAL ECONOMIC REVIEW OUTLOOK

CHAPTER 1 BACKGROUND AND OUTLINE OF REPORT

CHAPTER 2 ECONOMIC OUTLOOK

CHAPTER 3 SECTOR GROWTH, EMPLOYMENT AND SKILLS

CHAPTER 4 VALUE CHAINS

CHAPTER 5 INFORMAL SECTOR PROFILE

CHAPTER 6 INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING

18

MERO: WC INDUSTRY COMPOSITION ACROSS DISTRICTS

19

WC industry growth across districts (average annual real GDPR growth, 2000-11) …

Western CapeWestern Cape: Revealed comparative : Revealed comparative advantage across districts (2011: LQ > 1)advantage across districts (2011: LQ > 1)Cape Metro:•Tex, cloth & leather

•Tourism

•Finance, BPO, ICT

•‘Knowledge sector’

•Timber & furniture

Cape Winelands:•Agric & processing

•Tourism

•Building & construction

•Communications & ICT

West Coast:•Agric & processing

•Tourism

•Building & construction

Overberg:•Agric & processing

•Tourism

•Building & construction

•Timber & furniture

Eden:•Agric & processing

•Tourism

•Building & construction

•Timber & furniture

Central Karoo:•Agric & processing

•Tourism

•Building & construction

•Electrical machinery

•Finance & insurance

21

Business climate in informal sector: key points Sample of 200 spread across municipalities and towns

Age, gender and education/skills

Regulation: benefits of non-compliance  > costs (there is some effort to comply, e.g. by one third of respondents in WCD)

Duration (e.g. WCD): 50% 1 to 5 years; 21% 6 to 10 years; 20% more than 10 years, implying high survival rate

Employment (e.g. WCD): 40% single owner; 40% = 1 + 1; one enterprise 11 employees

22

Infrastructure investment & district economic growth – salient points

Differences in infrastructure investment and maintenance lead to different economic growth outcomes (as economic theory predicts): E.g. West Coast:

23

% Share of agro-processing industry in District GDPR, 2010

24

Non-Metro agricultural real GDPR, 2000-11 (2000=100): sideways or contracting

© Western Cape Government 2012 |

WAY FORWARD: PERO & MERO

25

Provincial Top Management and Budget Policy Committee – September 2013

o Presentation on key findings and discussion

IDP Indaba – 16 September 2013

Cabinet – 2 October

o Presentation on key findings and discussion o Approval for publication

Tabling in Provincial Parliament by Minister of Finance, Economic Development and Tourism – 17 October 2013

Budget Committee in Provincial Parliament - 17 October 2013

Thank you