shibani ghosh, tufts university "studying effectiveness: considerations in research design and...
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Science Forum 2013 (www.scienceforum13.org) Plenary session: Evaluating nutrition and health outcomes of agriculture Shibani Ghosh, Tufts University: case study presentationTRANSCRIPT
Studying effectiveness: Considerations in
research design and implementation
Shibani Ghosh
Feed the Future
Innovation Laboratory
for Collaborative Research on Nutrition
Community
Connector
programme
Maternal/Child
Nutrition
ENA and
EHA
Agricultural and
post harvest
Technologies
Risk management,
Micro-credit
Savings
Service
Quality
Income,
Health
Diet
Quality
??
Gender
approaches
Sectoral
coordintn
?
80,000
households
15 districts of
Uganda
Suaahara FTF program
Diet
Quality
Maternal/Child
Nutrition
ENA/EHA
Home
gardens
Agric.
Extension
Service
Quality
New
seeds
Irrigation
Diet
Quantity
(and
Quality)
Rural
finance
??
Poultry,
goats
Sectoral
coordintn
Suaahara (25 districts), Feed the Future (20 districts)
Research Design Considerations
� Randomized control trial (RCT)� Number of treatments (single and combination)
� Ability to detect differences between treatments
� Resource and management scope
� Research design around existing program design� Purposive selection of districts
� Non randomized roll out
� Co-existence of multiple programs
� Question of “how” and not “what”
Research Design
� Observational
� Randomized site selection with counterfactuals and pre-post in Nepal and Uganda
� Observational cohort annual panel survey and Longitudinal sentinel sites in Nepal
� Cohort panels and quasi experimental
longitudinal birth cohort in Uganda
Policy and Programmatic considerationsSuaahara (25 districts), Feed the Future (20 districts)
GAFSP (7 districts), Multisectoral Nutrition Plan (incremental roll-out; from 6 districts in Year 1 to 75 by Year 5), Sunaula Hazar Din “Golden First 1000 Days” (15 districts)……
4500 households
Surveillance system to assess program response to agriculture,
health & nutrition programs in Nepal: annual panel surveys and
sentinel sites
Mountain543 VDCs
Hills2,034 VDCs
Terai1,394 VDCs
List Districts from west-to-east and VDCs alphabetically within each district by ecological zone
Mountain7 VDCs
Hills7 VDCs
Terai7 VDCs
Mountain21 Wards
Hills21 Wards
Terai21 Wards
Collect data on VDC and ward characteristics, & household members with married women <30 y/o & women with children <5 y/o
Randomly select 7 VDCs using systematic random sampling
Randomly select 3 wards per VDC
Demographic and
Socioeconomic
Agriculture and
Food Security
Gender Roles and
Dynamics
Diet and Nutrition Health
Household
composition,
indicators of
wealth, assets,
income, livelihood
activities, social
participation,
water and
sanitation, access
to health services
Activities,
production and
sale, labor,
utilization of
technologies and
management
practices,
household food
security
Women’s role in
agriculture;
access, ownership,
and control of
assets, production,
and income;
decision-making;
time use; access to
agricultural and
nutritional
information
Diet recalls
(Caregiver and
index child),
anthropometry,
anemia, infant and
young child
feeding practices
Recent morbidity,
hygiene, utilization
of health
interventions and
services (antenatal
care, family
planning, bednets,
etc)
• Coverage and intensity of exposure to a program
within target populations at different life cycle stages
(peri-conception, pregnancy, and the first two years
of life)
• 3600 Households
• Sampling (12 sites)
– Community Connector (CC) sub-counties
– Non CC sub-counties
– Sub-counties in CC districts with no implementation
Observational Birth Cohort in Uganda
Maternal health
and nutrition, anemia,
Birth Weight
Maternal nutrition
Infant health and nutrition
WASH, health-sector, agriculture, livelihoods
Program exposure and uptake
Complementary Feeding
practices
Anthropometry
3 6 9 12 15 18 21
Age in MONTHS
CC District, CC sub-county-
contingent on exposure
non CC District
He
igh
t fo
r a
ge
Z s
core
Biomarkers: aflatoxins, IGF 1,
Vitamin A and iron markers,
inflammation markersCC District, non CC sub-county
What was
learned?
Effective
transmission?
Fidelity of
transmission?
Effective
integration?
Effective
transmission?
What was
learned?
Effectively
applied?
13
World Bank (2010) What can we learn from
nutrition impact evaluations? Washington, D.C.
Research on Coordinated delivery of Services, inputs and ideas
to improve nutrition
Central
District
VDC
Ward
Community
Household
Exposure, uptake, adherence,
outcomes
Effective cross sectoral
coordination,
challenges/constraints, capacities
http://www.3ieimpact.org/en/blog/2013/02/12/using-causal-
chain-make-sense-numbers/
Source: Murray and Frenck 2008 Lancet
Nutrition outcomes
� Stunting <24m, <59m
� Stunting dynamics (wasting episodes, growth spurts,
<6m trajectories, catch-up recovery)
� Nutrient deficiency interactions
� Maternal nutrition (beyond BMI)
Other outcomes
� Factor productivity gains via agriculture
� Food system quality (mycotoxins, pesticide residues)
� Environmental contaminants (ecoli, gut biota)
� Net nutrient value-added to consumer (new foods)
� Distribution of gains (quintile distribution of impacts)
Front-line public services
� Coverage, intensity, fidelity of agr. extension,
health service, social mobilization, etc.
Resource inputs
� Flow of budgets
� Human knowledge, attitudes, practices
Impact on a biological marker/indicator/metric – likely to have biological origins
• Stagnant and Contaminated Water– Diarrhea, Enteropathies
– Malaria
– Hookworm
– Human Microbiome
• Human and Animal Interactions (Microbiome)
• Food Safety: Mycotoxins, aflatoxins, stunting, immune response
• Exposure– Heavy metals
– Pesticide- What are the effects of pesticide exposure on maternal outcomes?
– Air Pollutants/BioMass