Scottish Renewable EnergyScottish Renewable EnergyInfrastructure PlanInfrastructure Plan

Emerging ConclusionsEmerging Conclusions

Euan DobsonEuan Dobson

3 November 2009

Wind, Wave and Tidal Energy Wind, Wave and Tidal Energy

What?What? Infrastructure requirements - wave/tidal, offshore wind

Where?Where? Process and first wave sites, approach for wave/ tidal releases

How?How? A focused and aligned delivery approach

With What?With What? Sourcing private and public sector investment

Issues and opportunities

Next steps

Scottish Government Renewables Action Plan - June 2009

Clear Spatial FrameworkClear Spatial Framework Infrastructure dependencies - logistics, port operating regimes, planning/

consenting regimes

ProcessProcess Informed dialogue - ongoing Bremerhaven and Stakeholder Session

Drivers Drivers Round 3, STW, Pentland Firth Other port uses - ferries review, cruise infrastructure review, multi-modal study Decommissioning

OutputsOutputs Clear spatial framework - investment requirements - delivery approach -

funding

Renewables Infrastructure Plan - N-RIP Renewables Infrastructure Plan - N-RIP

Round Three Sites in ScotlandRound Three Sites in ScotlandMoray and Cromarty Firths

(expected 2-3GW) Forth and Tay Estuaries (3-5GW) Build start dates 2014/15

Scottish Territorial Waters Round Scottish Territorial Waters Round (6.4 GW)(6.4 GW) 10 sites - 5 on the West Coast and

5 on the East Coast Expected to total 6.4GW Build start dates in 2013

Scotland’s Offshore Wind OpportunityScotland’s Offshore Wind OpportunityR3 and STW R3 and STW

Ormonde

• Windfarms to be completed 2009/2010

Bard Offshore 1

Aberdeen

15GW6GW

4GW

1.5GW

2.5GW

40GW

North Europe Offshore Wind 2020 North Europe Offshore Wind 2020

Windfarms planning to use 5MW Turbines

Scotland has over 70% of the UK’s tidal power which has been estimated at 13 billion kilowatt hours per annum

Scotland’s position at the end of a long Atlantic

Ocean fetch produces tremendously energetic

waves

Scotland’s Wave and Tidal Resources Scotland’s Wave and Tidal Resources

Offshore WindOffshore Wind

Implementation “now” - next 12 months key

Large structures

Large developers and licence holders

Need for fast forward strategy

Wave v Wave/TidalWave v Wave/TidalDifferent Stage:Different Infrastructure Different Stage:Different Infrastructure

Wave and TidalWave and Tidal Testing Phase - 700mw by 2020 - Pentland Firth first… Devices - Wright Brothers, Boeing 737 (EMEC) Infrastructure to anchor test sites… to entice development, early

manufacturing… North first..... South West Scotland, Western Isles follow Staged/phased infrastructure investment Pentland Firth “Triangle” - Lyness, Scrabster, Wick ““Provisional Preferred Bidder” discussions as part of N-RIPProvisional Preferred Bidder” discussions as part of N-RIP Increasing Pace - Aquamarine/SDI enquiries/Crown Estate

Wave v Wave/TidalWave v Wave/TidalDifferent Stage:Different Infrastructure Different Stage:Different Infrastructure

Turbine Demand Build Up

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Years

No

. of

Tu

rbin

es

North East England

Irish Sea

STW West Coast

STW East Coast

Scotland West Coast

Scotland East Coast

Offshore Wind Offshore Wind

Fife Energy Park

Operation & Maintenance Bremerhaven Installation Processes

Belfast

Different needs/roles:-

- Construction

- Manufacturing single or

distributed sites

- O & M

Over 3,700 Offshore Turbines by 2020 within

reach of Scottish sites

Infrastructure Challenges for Scotland Infrastructure Challenges for Scotland

Offshore Wind - Assessing Opportunities

Assessment Approach

Proximity to Generation

Potential Infrastructure at Site

Locational Factors

Timescale to Readiness

Where is the Wind? Where is the Wind?

North

West

East

Future Needs and Locations Future Needs and Locations

Indicative map of locational requirements

Based on strong growth of industry supply chain

Industry will drive use Need alignment of

Government and industry investment

Triggered investment in a Triggered investment in a first wave of sitesfirst wave of sites

Nigg and Ardersier - integrated manufacturing Arnish - wind and wave? Kishorn - construction/manufacturing - concrete? Dundee - manufacturing and O+M (role of Montrose) Hunterston - integrated manufacturing (role of Inverclyde and

Stranraer/Cairnryan) Peterhead - distributed manufacturing and oil & gas decommissioning (Methil) - distributed manufacturing (Machrahanish) - build on current developments incrementally Wave/tidal - Pentland Firth Triangle

Key Locations - First Wave Key Locations - First Wave

National purpose - New Energy Scotland Delivery Group:-– report to EAB– fastest, easiest, most supportive to innovation– small group – developers (FREDs OffWIND), port owners, SE/HIE, SDI, SRF– driven by N-RIP team

Regional Delivery Alliances:-– Bremerhaven Lessons– SE/HIE to drive and support– Where - “wind regions” East Wind West Wind

North wind

–

Delivery Approach Delivery Approach

IssuesIssues

Gap funding

Anchoring economic benefits of testing locations

Marine operations

Where Next? - first mover advantage

“No Regret” Investment - future uses

Issues and Opportunities Issues and Opportunities

OpportunitiesOpportunities

Installation methods and consortia

floating/mobile infrastructure for remote locations - joint research and prototyping

Local production

Local operation and maintenance

.... but supporting globalising companies and supply chains

Issues and Opportunities Issues and Opportunities

New Energy Scotland Delivery Group - convene early

December

Costed investment plans developed

Installation - fastest location study

Simplified support offering

Tell Scotland’s new energy story

Drive investment funding search (c.£250m indicative)

Fast Forward Timescale Fast Forward Timescale

Industry demands - are there other infrastructure needs?

Locations - does it seem right?

Dependencies - what are the (other) critical foundations for success?

Delivery alliances - is this the optimal approach?

Funding infrastructure needs - sources of funding?

Key Questions Key Questions

Wind - Fast Forward Strategy - ready by 2012/13

Wave/tidal - staged but further dialogue with Pentland Firth testers

First Wave Investment Strategy - triggered

Delivery alliances - SE/HIE with ports and developers

New Energy Scotland Delivery Group - increase momentum and ensure systematic approach

Key Points - Summary Key Points - Summary

Scottish Renewable EnergyScottish Renewable EnergyInfrastructure PlanInfrastructure Plan