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Digital Infrastructure The new bridges and rails for 21 st economy August 26, 2019

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Page 1: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Digital InfrastructureThe new bridges and rails for 21st economy

August 26, 2019

Page 2: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

ABOUT AIIB

Who we are

Multilateral Development Bank(MDB) founded to bring countries together to address Asia’s daunting infrastructure funding gap estimated at USD26 trillion through 20301.

Our mission

To improve economic and social development in Asia and beyond through a focus on sustainable infrastructure, cross-border connectivity and private capital mobilization.

Credit strength

Strong support from diversified global shareholder base. USD100 billion capital stock with 20% assigned to paid-in capital. Prudent risk management and financial policies. AAA/Aaa/AAA rating with stable outlook.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank

Its core values are:

Lean, with a small efficient management team and highly skilled staff.

Clean, an ethical organization with zero tolerance for corruption.

Green, an institution built on respect for the environment.

1Source: “Meeting Asia’s Infrastructure Needs”, ADB 20172

Page 3: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

3 successive waves and the 4th wave on Digital Infrastructure and Technologies

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1st wave• Privatization• Regulation to open up competition• 100% Public financing of infrastructure

1990s

2nd wave• Update regulatory reforms (competition policy) • Backbone infrastructure for broadbanding• PPPs

2000s

3rd wave• Government processes• Role of the private sector: financiers and jobs provider

(skills development)• Expand the broadbanding

2010s

4th wave• Supporting the Digital Economy• Increasing and diversifying financing sources• Scale and Speed• Managing new risks• Rethinking if private sector financing is the only way

2020s

TelecomInformation and Communication Technology (“ICT”)

Digital Infrastructure and Technologies

Page 4: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Emerging market countries’ users are spending more than half of daytime using internet

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Page 5: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

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Digital Infrastructure

Why?

Who?What?

Page 6: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Preliminary observations on the Digital Infrastructure market

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1. Digital Economy on the rise, driving more

demand for digital infrastructure

2. Not all countries the same - Digital Divide between

DM/EM and urban/rural

3. Emerging Regulatory,

Environmental and Social considerations

Page 7: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Digital Infrastructure is the building block of a modern economy

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While digital economy is growing in size and relative

economic significance…

• Global digital economy in 2016 was worth$11.5 trillion, or 15.5% of the world’s GDP andexpected to reach 25% in less than a decade.

• Emerging market countries see the highestgrowth of digital economy, also due to theyoung population which has longest timeusing the internet.

Just like roads and rails, digital infrastructure is the foundation of all digital economic activities and technological applications

Why?

Page 8: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Digital Infrastructure is the building block of a modern economy

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Just like roads and rails, digital infrastructure is the foundation of all digital economic activities and technological applications

…Digital Infrastructure

financing gap is projected to

increase

• Despite the rising importance of digitaleconomy, Digital Infrastructure gap in Asia isgrowing significantly, estimated to reach $512billion by 2040.

• Financing gaps continue to be mostly found inmiddle and low-income countries.

• More than 50% of digital infrastructureinvestment gap will be seen in Asia by 2040,which might slow down growth.

Why?

Page 9: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

How should the Digital Infrastructure requirements be looked at

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The maturity of the Digital Infrastructure requires “4As”

a) Availability (access and speed)

b) Affordability (value and cost, <2% of GNI is affordable)

c) Appetite (awareness, desire and fear to technology)

d) Ability (digital literacy, individual restrictions and business environment)

Economic growth depends not simply on providing connectivity, but “forward-looking access”, with sufficient capacity, quality and speed to support more advanced usage.

Different digital maturity requires different digital infrastructure development priorities, with the abilities to leapfrog

What?

Page 10: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Who are the main funders for Digital Infrastructure development

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Industry remains the major funding source for Digital Infrastructure, but it may require diversifications

1. qualitative and indicative onlySources: WEF (https://www.weforum.org/whitepapers/financing-a-forward-looking-internet-for-all)

Who?

Page 11: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

MDB has low commitments in Digital Infrastructure, despite recognizing its impacts

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Who?

Page 12: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

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Digital Infrastructure

SO WHAT? (How?)

Why?

Who?

What?

Page 13: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Preliminary observations on the Digital Infrastructure market

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1. Digital Infrastructure Financing gap is rising

2. Private capital alone is not solving

the problem of digital divide

3. New financing sources required for

opportunities

How?

Page 14: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Who funds it?

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48%

22%

72%

44%

29%

64%

55%

42%

23%

28%

24%

18%

14%

Digital (ICT) 9%

Energy

Transport

Water

Social2

8%

Infrastructure project investment by funding mode, 2011 onwards, %

How?

Page 15: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

What are the transactions out there to be financed?

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0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Mobile

Multiple

Satellite

Terrestrial

Data Centres

Internet

Corporate Finance Project Finance

700

Avg. Deal Size ($m)

850

550

400

325

400

1100Co-deployment with other infrastructure projects (mainly sovereign financing)

How?

Page 16: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Financing is key

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Equity VC / Growth Equity / Convertibles

DebtProject /

CorporateSenior/Mezzanine

Blended Finance

PPP

Capital Market

Page 17: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Thank you…

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Page 18: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Not yet…Is infrastructure all about the ‘hard’ infrastructure only?

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Page 19: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

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Digital Infrastructure

What Else?

How?

Why?Who?

What?

Page 20: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Disruptive changes

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Page 21: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Progressive changes: Digital infrastructure and Digitization of Infrastructure

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Page 22: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Technology + Infrastructure = ??

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Maybe:• Infrastructure as a

service• Internet of

everything

Maybe not:• Some Newtonian

laws still hold• Shopping malls

have more food than ever..

Page 23: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

Thank you!

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Page 24: S2.4 AIIB presentation Digital... · 2020-05-12 · Microsoft PowerPoint - S2.4 AIIB presentation Author: SakollerdL Created Date: 8/26/2019 5:05:11 PM

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Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB)B-9 Financial Street Xicheng District Beijing, China100033

+86 10 8358 [email protected]

Paul Lam, CFAYoung Professional,(Digital Infrastructure Strategy Lead)

Tel: +86 185 1981 8074Email: [email protected]