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Romania A Strategic Choice May, 2020

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Romania A Strategic Choice May, 2020

2004 - NATO membership

2007 - EU membership

2019 - EU Presidency

Strategic US-Romanian

partnership

Area: 238,391 km2

Capital: Bucharest

Population: 19.4M

(1st Jan 2019) Bucharest Metropolitan Area: ~3M

Currency: RON RON/EUR: 4.75

(2019)

Bridge between East and West for 500M consumers market

GDP Growth 4.1%

FDI flows € 5.3B

FDI stock € 86.4B

Romania - Country overview

20

19

2nd largest country in CEE

Largest country in SEE in

terms of size (the 9th in EU28)

and population (the 7th in

EU28)

At the crossroads of 3 great

markets: the European Union,

the CIS (Commonwealth of

Independent States) and the

Middle East

At a glance

4,7

8,0 7,2

[VALUE]

-5,5

-3,9

2,0 2,1 3,5 3,4 3,9

4,8

7,1

4,4 4,1

2005 2006 2007 2008 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Forecast

2020: 4.1%

GDP growth (%)

(Source: National Commission of Strategy and Prognosis)

2009 2010

Potential for growth

(Source: National Institute of Statistics)

10,0 15,0 21,9 34,5 42,8 48,8 48,8 51,4 53,7 57,9 60,0 60,2 64,4 70,1 75,9 81,1 86,4

1,9

5,2 5,2

9,1

7,3

9,5

3,4

2,3

1,7

2,5 2,7

2,4

3,5

4,5 4,8

5,3 5,3

0,0

1,0

2,0

3,0

4,0

5,0

6,0

7,0

8,0

9,0

10,0

0,0

10,0

20,0

30,0

40,0

50,0

60,0

70,0

80,0

90,0

100,0

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

FDI stock FDI flows(Source: National Bank of Romania)

FDI stocks for 2009-2018 were recalculated based on the BPM6 methodological framework

(EUR Bn)

FDI Flows and Stock

4,8

7,9

5,6 6,1 5,8 [VALUE]

4,0

1,1

-0,6 -1,5

1,3

4,6 3,8

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Forecast

2020: 3.1 % (Source: National Commission of Strategy and Prognosis)

Inflation started to be on a positive trend at the beginning of 2017 due to the persistence of the internal inflationary

pressures associated with the increase of aggregate demand and the rise in wage costs.

(Source: National Institute of Statistics)

Inflation rate (%)

Inflation

7,1 7,2 6,4

5,6 6,5

7,0 7,2 6,8 7,1 6,8 6,8 5,9

4,9 4,2 3,9

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Forecast 2020: 3.8% (Source: National Commission of Strategy and Prognosis)

(Source: National Institute of Statistics)

Unemployment rate (%)

Unemployment

Note: Denmark, Italy, Cyprus, Finland and Sweden have no national minimum wage

(Source: Eurostat)

312 430 466 487

546 575 580 584 607 611 741 758 777

941 1 050

1 539 1 584 1 594 1 599 1 636 1 656

2 142 Minimum Monthly Gross Wage in EU

January 2020 (EUR)

Minimum Wage in EU

(Source: ABSL, NIS, Eurostat)

Languages studied by Romanian students

99% • 99% of Romanian high school students study two or more foreign languages

• Predominant languages: English, French, German and Spanish, yet initiatives for teaching

Japanese, Nordic languages or the entire Latin language family (Spanish, Italian, French) exist

University students in Romania are proficient in [% of total]:

Skilled labor force

90% 26% 17% 8% 5%

Skilled labor force

RO

UKR

MD

BG

SRB

HU

Ahead of Italy,

Bulgaria, Luxembourg,

Greece or Malta

World Bank ease of doing business

One of the most

competitive labor force

in the CEE (€7.7)

Hourly labor costs 2019 Natural gas & Electricity prices

EU27 ranking (S2 2019)*

14th lowest natural gas prices

*Excluding VAT and other recoverable taxes and levies

14th lowest electricity prices

(Source: Eurostat, March 2020)

(Source: World Bank Report, 2019)

(Source: Eurostat)

Romania, the largest market in the SEE

55

2 14

14

(Source: Numbeo, May, 2020)

Value for money

Consumer Prices

BERLIN PARIS

Rent Prices

Restaurant Prices

Groceries Prices

Standard of living equivalency net salary

BUCHAREST

€155

€1,966 €3,600

€170

€152

€163

€4,898

€140 €100

€100

€100

€100

€158

€131

€138

Tax

System

The Romanian tax system

Social Security

Employer Employee

35%

R&D - 0 % income tax for employees Deduction of R&D eligible expenses: depreciation of R&D equipment, salaries for R&D

personnel; 50% of these expenses can be deducted from the taxable income

Dividends are distributed to

shareholders each trimester

based on interim financial

statements and annually

2.25

%

Dividend Tax Rate Corporate Tax

16% 5%

2015 2016

VAT

9% - foodstuffs, pharmaceutical products, water supplies, some

agricultural supplies

5% - hotel accommodation, restaurants & catering services

2017/2019

IT&C - 0 % income tax for employees BA -14 technical specializations available Employee is hired on a software engineer/programmer/

software analyst position Annual revenue per exempted employee must be over

USD 10,000

24% 20% 19%

Income Tax Reinvested Profit tax

10% 0%

STATE AID - GD 807/ 2014

Minimum EUR 1M investment

Construction of new buildings

Renting costs for existing buildings

CAPEX aimed at technical installations and tools

Acquisition of intellectual property

FISCAL INCENTIVES

Investors that set up manufacturing locations or offices in an

industrial, scientific or technological park benefit from:

Exemption on land, building and urban planning tax

Taxes charged for changing land destination

STATE AID 2014-2020 Total Budget EUR 925M

Investment Support

North-West

50%

West

35%

North-East

50%

Center

50%

South-East

50% South-West

50% South

50% 10%

35%

State aid intensity, according to

development region:

North West – 50%

North East – 50%

South East – 50%

South – 50%

South West – 50%

West – 35%

Ilfov County – 35%

Bucharest – 10%

(Source: Ministry of Public Finance)

State Aid intensity 2018-2020

International Fligths

Ports

Under construction

SATU

MARE

ORADEA

SUCEAVA

TIMISOARA

CRAIOVA

SIBIU

TARGU MURES CLUJ-

NAPOCA

BACAU

IASI

BUCURESTI OTOPENI

M.KOGALNICEANU

DROBETA TR.

SEVERIN

GIURGIU

MANGALIA

CONSTANTA

SULINA TULCEA BRAILA

GALATI

BAIA MARE

ARAD

BRASOV

130 direct flights leading to 76 destinations in 31 countries worldwide

14 international airports and 8 major ports

Constanta Port - the deepest and largest port at the Black Sea

Aircraft traffic reached over 21,8M passengers in 2018, up by 7.9% compared to 2017

(Source: National Institute of Statistics)

Ports and Airports

92 industrial parks spread across Romania - both private and public ownership

Access to utilities & benefits packages according to their focus

Exemption on land, building and urban planning taxes

North West Region: 23 parks

West Region: 6 parks

South West Region: 7 parks

South Region: 24 parks

South East Region: 2 parks

North East Region: 8 parks

Center: 18 parks

Bucharest-Ilfov Region: 4 parks

Status at regional level (April, 2020) 2

7 1

1

1

3

1

1

2 3

2

4

15

1

3

2 1

2 3

1 2

3 10

1

1

1

12

1

2

3

(Source: Ministry of Regional Development and Public Administration)

Industrial Parks

In Romania there are

currently five Free

Zones

Arad

Giurgiu

Braila

Galati

Sulina

Romania’s five free zones

By economic activity, FDI stock was channeled

primarily to manufacturing (30.9% of total FDI),

out of which the largest recipients were: • 6.7% transport equipment

• 6.4% oil processing, chemical, rubber & plastic

products

• 3.9% metallurgy

Apart from industry, other activities that also

attracted significant FDI were: • 16.8% construction & real estate transactions

• 15.8% trade

• 11.5% financial intermediation & insurance

(Source: National Bank of Romania)

Sectors EUR

million

% of total

FDI

TOTAL 81,124 100.0

Manufacturing 25,032 30.9

Construction & real estate transactions 13,651 16.8

Trade 12,865 15.8

Financial intermediation and insurance 9,308 11.5

Electricity, gas and water supply 6,006 7.4

Professional, scientific, technical and

administrative activities and support

services

3,991 4.9

IT&C 3,321 4.1

Agriculture, forestry and fishing 2,406 3.0

Mining 2,273 2.8

Transportation 1,281 1.6

Accommodation & food service activities 528 0.6

Other 524 0.7

FDI Stock by Field of Activity at 31 December 2018

(Source: OPIAR Report 2018, ANIS Report 2018 - estimation, ACAROM Report Feb 2019)

AUTOMOTIVE

INDUSTRY SIZE KEY PLAYERS KEY PROJECTS

• Premium Aerotec EUR 100M investment

• Sonaca EUR 100M investment • Airbus Helicopters EUR 15M

investment • UAC Europe 100M investment

EUR

580M

EUR

4.5B

EUR

28.8B

• Siemens software dev. worked on the Mars Rover

• Deutsche Bank EUR 40M investment

• LiveRail was acquired by Facebook for EUR 600M

• Continental EUR 175M investment in 2017

• Daimler EUR 250M in 2018 investment for gear boxes

• Ford EUR 200M investment for production of new model

Key facts for top tech oriented industries in Romania (2018)

IT&C

AEROSPACE

German Investment in Romania

No. of companies 23,288

% of the total no. of companies 9.6

Subscribed share capital in company with German interest USD 7,0 mill.

% of the total value of capital 11.35

Ranking 3rd

(December 1990 – April 2020)

Source: National Office of the Trade Register (ONRC)

*The subscribed share capital accounts for only a part of the total FDI. According to ONRC, the country of origin of the investment is the country where the capital comes from and not the country of origin of the transnational company.

According to the National Trade Register available data, in reference period the highest contribution of capital subscription from German companies is in Mining and manufacturing sector (43.73%), second in Trade (21.23%) and Professional, scientific and technical activities (11.68%).

Most significant German investment in Romania

Company Sector

DAIMLER Automotive

CONTINENTAL Automotive

SCHAEFFLER Automotive

HEIDELBERGCEMENT Construction materials

MARQUARDT Automotive

DRAXLMAIER Automotive

SIEMENS Automotive

BOSCH Automotive

PREH Automotive

REWE Construction

SAP IT

DEUTCHE TELEKOM Communication

THYSSENKRUPP Automotive

LIDL Retail Trade

KAUFLAND Retail Trade

STABILUS Automotive

Most important German investors in Romania

Germany is Romania's main trading partner accounting for more than 23% of Romania's total exports

In 2019 bilateral trade reached EUR 32.9 billion (+1.24% compared to 2018), of which EUR 15.48

billion (decrease of 0.49%) and import EUR 17.4 billion (2.8% increase). The deficit in relation to

Germany increased to 1.9 billion euros in 2019 from EUR 1.3 billion in 2018

In the first two months of 2020, the value of bilateral trade was EUR 5.5 billion (an increase of 1.27%

compared to the same period in 2019), of which the export EUR 2.5 billion (decrease of 3%) and

import EUR 2.9 billion (5.5% increase). The balance of trade was -349 million euro.

Bilateral relations between Romania and Germany

Bilateral relations between Romania and Germany

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Export 6464 8394 8369 9200 10108 10782 12347 14357 15561,77 15483,25

Import 7292 8797 9511 10305 11204 12482 13809 15141 16955,74 17424,17

Balance -828 -403 -1142 -1105 -1096 -1700 -1462 -784 -1393,97 -1940,92

-2 000

500

3 000

5 500

8 000

10 500

13 000

15 500

18 000

EU

R m

illi

on

Exports, imports and trade balance during the period 2010-2019

Export

Import

Balance

Trade between Romania - Germany in 2019

Import by product group

electrical machinery, equipment (36.16%)

aircraft and transport equipment (15.91%)

chemical and related products (8.81%)

metals and metal products (8.58%)

plastics and rubber articles (8.23%)

optical apparatus, photo and measurement (4.59%)

textile and clothing (4.15%)

Food, beverages, tobacco (3.73%)

vegetable products (2.32%)

wood pulp. paper. cardboard and related art (1.37%)

Export by product group

electrical machinery, equipment (41.35%)

aircraft and transport equipment (25.62%)

metals and metal products (6.08%)

optical appliances, photo and measure (6.08%)

plastics and rubber articles (5.14%)

textile and clothing (4.22%)

goods and miscellaneous products, furniture (3.84%)

chemical and related products (2.41%)

vegetable products (1.27%)

food products, tobacco drinks (1.09%)

the consolidation of the export of traditional Romanian products and introduction of the new Romanian

products from the machine building industry (parts and components for the automotive and aerospace

industry, other products from the engineering sector);

the field of environment and renewable energies (equipment for the construction of wind energy

generators);

the information technology, especially services and software;

the materials and equipment for telecommunications;

chemical products;

the agro-food industry sector, with an emphasis on organic products;

the furniture, especially made of solid wood;

pharmaceutical products and components;

original fashion creations;

cooperation for expansion on third markets in the field of special industry.

Romania’s exports

Investment and cooperation

Intensifying the bilateral cooperation in the fields of digitization / industry 4.0 - foundation for growth.

welfare and jobs in both countries:

We have important German industry present in Romania

We have a strong national IT expertise

We need to build with the German partners the bridge industry - digitization and we will have a strong

industry 4.0

Special events to be organized in Germany. for promoting the bilateral cooperation in this field; involving AHK

in the organization

Romania - IT hub

High-level cyber-security space for German companies

Transition to 5G for: – Stimulating the penetration of German 4.0 industry in Romania – Training students in mechatronics (mechanical + electronics + computer science) – Smart solutions for digitizing the economy and society

Establishing research & development centers in Romania, given the high level of Romanian IT specialists (eg

Porsche Technological Centre in Cluj, Deutsche Bank IT Centre in Bucharest)

Production of agricultural machines, trucks, light commercial vehicles, buses and mini-buses in

Romania

Romania is the second largest market for agricultural machines and also for the transport of goods in CEE

(considering the level of development in these fields. RO could be the most attractive market in the near future)

without local producers - which creates important opportunities for major investors.

Building storage and processing facilities for agricultural products.

Investments in the food industry in Romania.

Investments in the chemical and pharmaceutical industries (Romania – net importer).

Production of medical equipment in Romania (Romania - net importer).

Expanding and modernizing the automotive industry, through new major investments in car

manufacturing and connected industries, batteries for electro-mobility, hydrogen combustion cells.

Given the longstanding tradition and proven performances of Romania in the automotive industry, there is still ample

room for investments in this field. We hope the major German car manufacturers will seriously consider Romania for

their future investments.

Investment and cooperation

Competitive advantages

planned governmental program to support digitization of the Romanian economy and society;

one of the steadiest economic growth in Europe;

a most attractive investment climate – with the lowest fiscality in the region and highly qualified

workforce;

available well and diversly qualified work force - labor force restored with hundreds of thousands

of Romanian workers repatriated from all over Europe due to the Covid 19 pandemic.

European funds, state aid schemes and other governmental programmes available;

longstanding tradition and high performances in the automotive industry (in the old times, „Dacia“ was an appreciated car in the Democratic Republic of Germany)

recognized performances in the IT sector;

we currently host two international assembly lines (Renault and Ford) and specialized

development centers – including for artificial intelligence; the PORSCHE Technological Centre in

Cluj reached 600 employees and is continuously expanding;

extensive network of producers for components and spare parts – many of them working as

suppliers for top German and international car manufacturers;

the Romanian workforce in the car industry is well known for its high qualification, passion and

dedication;

possibilities to export from Romania both by land – to Europe, CIS and the Balkan countries – as

well as to the whole world – through the Port of Constanta;

Romania is an industrial land, with almost 30% share of industrial production in GDP.

Competitive advantages

Co-operation with German companies

We are keen to participate in the production of Hydrogen Combustion Cells, especially for urban transport, to

reduce the CO2 footprint. We need a strong and substantial co-operation with German companies in this field.

We need to make a common action plan to achieve this objective. We are interested in cooperation for the joint

production of battery cells for e-mobility

We have to recuperate in Europe this expertise and to become more independent from Asian batteries

producers.

EU COM will develop a strategic approach for establishing an industrial battery cell production in EU.

Industrial sector is working at full speed to develop industrial cooperation partnerships on innovative &

sustainable battery cell production.

This kind of proposals may qualify as Projects of Common European Interest, thus the funding could be set

according to EU COM state aid scheme.

Romania is eager to offer the facilities for such project as PPP or following the “Airbus model”.

Modernization of railway, road and naval infrastructure

Intensify the participation of German companies in the construction of high-speed railway lines

Upgrading and expanding the Container terminal and the Grain terminal in Constanta Port - in addition

to the current program financed by 2023 from the "PO Infrastructure".

For the reception of large grain vessels and the extension of the railway infrastructure in the silos park

Danube region better connected and more responsible for the environment and energy (Interreg -

Danube Transnational Programme - DAPhNE).

Cooperation with German companies for:

Renewable energy production in Danube ports

Reducing the impact on the environment

Remodeling ports as multi-modal hubs

Transfer of models from the Rhein-Main region

Planning network construction - at competitive prices

System security

Intelligent, digitized networks.

Romania - logistics hub

Co-operation with German companies

Co-operation with German companies

Cooperation in the defence industry:

The only way for Europe to achieve genuine strategic sovereignty is to resolve the tensions over burden-sharing within

NATO. Here, Germany could play a decisive role.

Instead of increasing its defense spending to 2% of GDP, which might worry some of its neighbors, it could invest 1,5%

in its own forces and offer the remaining 0.5% to Eastern European NATO members to spend on defense.

Cooperation in tourism:

Investments in tourist infrastructure

Better promotion of Romanian tourism in Germany

Cooperation on third markets, namely the creation of synergies and a common approach of these markets, for

better capitalization of Romania's expertise in countries in North Africa, Gulf or former Soviet states.

Romanian companies can contribute to the expansion and modernization of the German fiber network.

Extension of the dual education system in Romania - both at institutional level (using the German model and

exchanging experience for the functioning of the Romanian National Authority for Dual Initial Vocational Training)

and at the level of companies (encouraging German investors in Romania to apply the dual training system on a

larger scale).

“one-stop-shop” for foreign investors, assisting and advising international

companies for project implementation in the country

Promoting and facilitating foreign investment in Romania

Main interface between foreign companies and central / local authorities

Assisting worldwide entrepreneurs in project implementation

Tailored and individually custom-made solutions for developing new or

current units

Consultancy and guidance during all stages of the decisional process (state aid

& fiscal incentives)

InvestRomania in a nutshell

GOVERNMENT OF ROMANIA Minstry of Economy, Energy and Business Environment

152 Victoriei Av.

District 1, Bucharest, Romania

www.investromania.gov.ro

E-mail: [email protected]

[email protected]