renault group q3 2016 · 4 investor relations renault q3 2016 presentation october 25, 2016...
TRANSCRIPT
RENAULT GROUP
Q3 2016CLOTILDE DELBOS
THIERRY KOSKAS
2
INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
Information contained within this document may contain forward looking statements.
Although the Company considers that such information and statements are based on
reasonable assumptions taken on the date of this report, due to their nature, they can be
risky and uncertain (as described in the Renault documentation registered within the French
financial markets regulation authorities) and can lead to a difference between the exact
figures and those given or deduced from said information and statements.
Renault does not undertake to provide updates or revisions, should any new statements and
information be available, should any new specific events occur or for any other reason.
Renault makes no representation, declaration or warranty as regards the accuracy,
sufficiency, adequacy, effectiveness and genuineness of any statements and information
contained in this report.
Further information on Renault can be found on Renault’s web site (www.group.renault.com),
in the section Finance / Regulated Information.
DISCLAIMER
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
01Q3 2016 COMMERCIAL RESULTS UPDATETHIERRY KOSKASEVP, SALES & MAKETING
02Q3 2016 REVENUES & OUTLOOKCLOTILDE DELBOSEVP & CFO
03 QUESTIONS & ANSWERS
AGENDA
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
STRONG EUROPEAN MARKET
STRONG PERFORMANCE IN EMERGING MARKETS
NEW PRODUCTS PERFORMANCE
RISKS: R&D, FOREX
OPPORTUNITIES: VOLUME, RAW MATERIALS
FY GUIDANCE CONFIRMED
KEY TAKE-AWAYS FROM Q3 RESULTS
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
Q3 2016 COMMERCIAL RESULTS UPDATETHIERRY KOSKASEVP, SALES & MARKETING
01
6
INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
622
339
70 87 96
30
722
377
13080 97
37
RENAULT GROUP UNIT REGISTRATIONS Q3 2016 VS Q3 2015
GLOBAL
+16.0%
EUROPE
+11.3%
AMERICAS
+0.5%
ASIA-PACIFIC
+25.6%
AFRICA-ME-INDIA
+85.0%
EURASIA
-8.0%
K units
(PC+LCV)
+5.0% TIV +5.3% -13.3% +8.2% -2.8% +11.5%
GROUP
INTERNATIONAL +21.5%
WORLD MARKET SHARE: 3.3%
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
FRANCE01
GERMANY02
03
IRAN
SPAIN04
TURKEY
05
06
07
08
09
INDIA
25.4 %
7.8 %
5.2 %
13.1 %
BRAZIL
9.6 %
4.2 %
ARGENTINA 15.8 %
15.3 %
ITALY 8.9 %
Market share
(PC+LCV)
+1.0 pts
+0.2 pts
+1.2 pts
+3.5 pts
vs.
Q3 2015
UK 4.5 %
+0.3 pts
+0.4 pts
+0.7 pts36% 42%48%
55% 52%48%
Q3 2010 Q3 2011 Q3 2012 Q3 2013 Q3 2014 Q3 2015 Q3 2016 YTD 2016
42% 48% 52% 48% 46%55%
+0.4 pts
+2,9 pts
-1,8 pts
48%
INTERNATIONALEUROPE
58% 52% 48% 52% 54%45% 52%
REGIONAL SALES BREAKDOWN
EUROPE KEEPS PUSHING SALES MOMENTUM
10
Q3 TOP 10 MARKETS BY VOLUME
41%
59%
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
EUROPE REGIONGROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
+22
TIV
& MARKET MIX
PERFORMANCE
+16
GROUP ORDER BOOK PC + LCV
Q3’15
Q3’16
377
K units
(PC+LCV)
Q3 GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Europe 9.5%
+0.5 pts
France 25.4%
+1.0 pts
339
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
AFRICA-MIDDLE EAST-INDIA REGION
Q3 GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Africa-ME-India 6.4%
+2.7 pts
India 4.2%
+3.5 pts
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
+55+5
Q3’15
Q3’16
PERFORMANCETIV
& MARKET MIX
RENAULT KWID
K units
(PC+LCV)
70
130
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
EURASIA REGION
RENAULT KAPTUR
-4
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
+3
Q3 GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Eurasia 12.4%
+0.7 pts
Russia 8.3%
+0.9 pts
PERFORMANCETIV
& MARKET MIX
+2
-9Q3’15 Q3’16
K units
(PC+LCV)
87 80
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
AMERICAS REGION
Q3 GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Americas 6.9%
+0.2 pts
Brazil 7.8%
+0.4 pts
RENAULT DUSTER OROCH
-17
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS
+6
PERFORMANCETIV
& MARKET MIX
-5
Q3’15 Q3’16
K units
(PC+LCV)
96 97
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
ASIA-PACIFIC REGION
Q3 GROUP MARKET SHARE PC+LCV
Asia-Pacific 0.4%
South Korea 6.3%
+1.9 pts
+0.1 pts
RENAULT SAMSUNG SM6
30
37
+9-2
GROUP PC+LCV : BREAKDOWN OF REGISTRATIONS*
TIV
& MARKET MIXPERFORMANCEQ3’15
Q3’16
* Restatement on 2015 & 2016 Chinese sales: reported on retail sales basis versus wholesales previously
K units
(PC+LCV)
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
TALISMAN SM6
2nd in segment
(23% share of segment)
ESPACE DUSTER OROCH
KADJAR KAPTUR
7,500 orders since launch
ZOE
Best selling EV PC In Europe
24% market share (+5pts YoY)
1,497 orders since Long Range
announced
4.7% of LCV segment
No 2. LCV pick-up
1st in segment1st in segment
2nd in segment
4th in segment
1st in segment7th in segment
MEGANE
2nd in segment9th in segment
FOCUS ON NEW MODELS (YTD SEPTEMBER PERFORMANCE)
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
Q3 2016 REVENUES & OUTLOOKCLOTILDE DELBOS EVP & CFO
02
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
RENAULT GROUP REVENUES BY DIVISION IN Q3 2016
In million euros Q3 2016 Change (%)Q3 2015
Automotive
Sales Financing
TOTAL
9,989
557
10,546
+13.5%
+4.3%
+13.0%
8,802
534
9,336
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
8,802
9,989
+946
+56 -223+403
+162 -331 +174
AUTOMOTIVE REVENUE VARIANCE ANALYSIS
Currency
Volume
Geographic
mixProduct
mix
Price
Sales to partners
Others
+13.5%
-3.8 pts+10.7 pts +0.6 pts -2.5 pts +4.6 pts +1.8 pts +2.1 pts
In million euros CHANGE Q3 2016 / Q3 2015 : +€1,187m
Q3 2015 Q3 2016
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
NEW VEHICLE DISTRIBUTION STOCK *
505
468
526 527520
481
593571
591
253
106
264 178 260141
298 200267
252
362262 349
260340
295 371 324
SEP'14 DEC'14 MAR'15 JUN'15 SEP'15 DEC'15 MAR'16 JUN'16 SEP'16
GROUP
INDEPENDENTDEALERS
TOTAL
Number of days of sales
(previous period)5575 6658 7775 78
(IN K UNITS)
60
* Proforma 2014 & 2015
76
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
RCI BANQUE PERFORMANCE
Q3 2016 Change (%)Q3 2015
Revenues (in € m)
Average Performing Assets*(in € m)
New contracts (in units)
New financings(in € m)
534
28,881
346,650
3,842
557
33,940
381,487
4,373
+4.3%
+17.5%
+10.0%
+13.8%
* Restated to include operating leases since the beginning of 2016, representing : € 434 m in Q3 2015 and € 631 m in Q3 2016
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
OUTLOOK 2016
In 2016, the global market is expected to record growth around 1,7% compared to
2015. The European market, as well as the French one, are expected to increase
by at least 5%.
Outside Europe, the Brazilian and Russian markets are expected to decline : -15%
to -20% for Brazil and -12% for Russia. On the contrary, China (+4% to +5%) and
India (+7% to +9%) should pursue their positive momentum.
THE GROUP* CONFIRMS ITS FY 2016 GUIDANCE :
Increase group revenues (at constant exchange rates)
Improve group operating margin
Generate a positive Automotive operational free cash flow
* at constant scope of consolidation
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
QUESTIONS & ANSWERS03
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
APPENDIX04
22
INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
2,004
1,188
246 222 25989
2,290
1,346
246339
255104
RENAULT GROUP UNIT REGISTRATIONS SEPT 2016 (YTD) VS SEPT 2015 (YTD)
GLOBAL
+14.3%
EUROPE
+13.3%
AMERICAS
-1.7%
ASIA-PACIFIC
+17.1%
AFRICA-ME-INDIA
+53.1%
EURASIA
-0.3%
K units
(PC+LCV) WORLD MARKET SHARE: 3.5%
+3.6% TIV +8.2% -10.5% -1.3% -6.2% +7.0%
GROUP
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
RENAULT GROUP REVENUES BY DIVISION IN Q3 2016 YTD
In million euros
Q3 2016YTD
Change
(%)Q3 2015
YTD
Automotive
Sales Financing
TOTAL
34,067
1,664
35,731
+14.1%
-0.1%
+13.3%
29,867
1,666
31,533
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
AUTOMOTIVE REVENUE VARIANCE ANALYSIS
29,867
34,067
+3,182+256 -38
+1,202+790 -1,367
+175
Currency
Volume
Geographic
mix
Product mix
Price
Sales to partners
Others
+14.1%
-4.6 pts+10.7 pts +0.9 pts -0.1 pts +4.0 pts +2.6 pts +0.6 pts
In million euros CHANGE YTD SEPT. 2016 / YTD SEPT. 2015 : +€4,200m
Q3 2015YTD
Q3 2016YTD
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT
RCI BANQUE PERFORMANCE YTDQ3 2016
YTD Change (%)Q3 2015
YTD
Revenues (in € m)
Average Performing Assets*(in € m)
New contracts (in units)
New financings(in € m)
1,666
28,233
1,034,416
11,591
1,664
32,590
1,151,792
13,240
-0.1%
+15.4%
+11.3%
+14.2%
* Restated to include operating leases since the beginning of 2016, representing : € 370 m in 09/2015 YTD and € 590 m in 09/2016 YTD
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INVESTOR RELATIONS
RENAULT Q3 2016 PRESENTATION OCTOBER 25, 2016 PROPERTY OF GROUPE RENAULT