references references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial...

22
141 REFERENCES References AAPRESID (Asociación Argentina de Productores en Siembra Directa) [2016] Personal communication. Contact: Santiago Nocelli Pac. Adenle AA, Azadi H, Arbiol J [2015] Global assessment of technological innovation for climate change adaptation and mitigation in developing world. Journal of Environmental Management 161, 261-275. doi: 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2015.05.040. Adler RF, Kidd C, Petty G, Morissey M, Goodman HM [2001] Intercomparison of Global Precipitation Products: The Third Precipitation Intercomparison Project (PIP-3). Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 82(7), 1377-1396. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<1377:IOGPPT>2.3.CO;2. Akaike H [1973] Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: Second International Symposium on Information Theory [eds. Petrov BN, Csaki BV], 267-281. Academiai Kiado, Budapest, Hungary. Akkermans T, Thiery W, van Lipzig NPM [2014] The Regional Climate Impact of a Realistic Future Deforestation Scenario in the Congo Basin. Journal of Climate 27(7), 2714-2734. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00361.1. Alexander P, Rounsevell MDA, Dislich C, Dodson JR, Engström K, Moran D [2015] Drivers for global agricultural land use change: The nexus of diet, population, yield and bioenergy. Global Environmental Change 35, 138-147. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.011. Alexander P, Prestele R, Verburg PH, Arneth A, Baranzelli C, Batista e Silva F, […], Rounsevell MDA [2017] Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biology 23(2), 767-781. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13447. Alexandratos N, Bruinsma J [2012] World agriculture towards 2030/2050 – The 2012 revision. ESA Working Paper 12-03. http://www.fao.org/3/a-ap106e.pdf. Alkama R, Cescatti A [2016] Biophysical climate impacts of recent changes in global forest cover. Science 351, 600-604. doi: 10.1126/science.aac8083. Alston JM, Beddow JM, Pardey PG [2009] Agricultural Research, Productivity, and Food Prices in the Long Run. Science 325, 1209-1210. doi: 10.1126/science.1170451. Alton P [2009] A simple retrieval of ground albedo and vegetation absorptance from MODIS satellite data for parameterization of global Land-Surface Models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 149(10), 1769-1775. doi: 10.1016/J.AGRFORMET.2009.04.012. Anderson JR, Hardy EE, Roach JT, Witmer RE [1976] A land use and land cover classification system for use with remote sensor data. USGS, Washington, D.C., USA, 34pp. doi: 10.3133/pp964. Arneth A, Harrison SP, Zaehle S, Tsigaridis K, Menon S, Bartlein PJ, […], Vesala T [2010] Terrestrial biogeochemical feedbacks in the climate system. Nature Geoscience 3(8), 525-532. doi: 10.1038/ngeo905. Arneth A, Brown C, Rounsevell MDA [2014] Global models of human decision-making for land-based mitigation and adaptation assessment. Nature Climate Change 4(7), 550-557. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2250. Arneth A, Sitch S, Pongratz J, Stocker BD, Ciais P, Poulter B, […], Zaehle S [2017] Historical carbon dioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed. Nature Geoscience 10(2), 79-84. doi: 10.1038/ngeo2882. Australian Bureau of Statistics [2016] Land management and farming in Australia 2014-2015. http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/mf/4627.0. Autret B, Mary B, Chenu C, Balabane M, Girardin C, Bertrand M, […], Beaudoin N [2016] Alternative arable cropping systems: A key to increase soil organic carbon storage? Results from a 16 year field experiment. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 232, 150-164. doi: 10.1016/J.AGEE.2016.07.008. Azzarri C, Bacou M, Cox CM, Guo Z, Koo J [2016] Subnational socio-economic dataset availability. Nature Climate Change 6(2), 115-116. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2842. Baker JM, Ochsner TE, Venterea RT, Griffis TJ [2007] Tillage and soil carbon sequestration – What do we really know? Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 118(1-4), 1-5. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2006.05.014. Baker NT [2011] Tillage practices in the conterminous United States, 1989-2004. https://water.usgs.gov/GIS/metadata/usgswrd/XML/ds573_tillage_lu01.xml.

Upload: others

Post on 26-Aug-2020

8 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

141

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

ReferencesAAPRESID (Asociación Argentina de Productores en Siembra Directa) [2016] Personal communication.

Contact: Santiago Nocelli Pac.Adenle AA, Azadi H, Arbiol J [2015] Global assessment of technological innovation for climate change

adaptation and mitigation in developing world. Journal of Environmental Management 161, 261-275.doi: 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2015.05.040.

Adler RF, Kidd C, Petty G, Morissey M, Goodman HM [2001] Intercomparison of Global PrecipitationProducts: The Third Precipitation Intercomparison Project (PIP-3). Bulletin of the AmericanMeteorological Society 82(7), 1377-1396.doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(2001)082<1377:IOGPPT>2.3.CO;2.

Akaike H [1973] Information theory and an extension of the maximum likelihood principle. In: SecondInternational Symposium on Information Theory [eds. Petrov BN, Csaki BV], 267-281. AcademiaiKiado, Budapest, Hungary.

Akkermans T, Thiery W, van Lipzig NPM [2014] The Regional Climate Impact of a Realistic FutureDeforestation Scenario in the Congo Basin. Journal of Climate 27(7), 2714-2734. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00361.1.

Alexander P, Rounsevell MDA, Dislich C, Dodson JR, Engström K, Moran D [2015] Drivers for globalagricultural land use change: The nexus of diet, population, yield and bioenergy. GlobalEnvironmental Change 35, 138-147. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.011.

Alexander P, Prestele R, Verburg PH, Arneth A, Baranzelli C, Batista e Silva F, […], Rounsevell MDA[2017] Assessing uncertainties in land cover projections. Global Change Biology 23(2), 767-781. doi:10.1111/gcb.13447.

Alexandratos N, Bruinsma J [2012] World agriculture towards 2030/2050 – The 2012 revision. ESAWorking Paper 12-03. http://www.fao.org/3/a-ap106e.pdf.

Alkama R, Cescatti A [2016] Biophysical climate impacts of recent changes in global forest cover. Science351, 600-604. doi: 10.1126/science.aac8083.

Alston JM, Beddow JM, Pardey PG [2009] Agricultural Research, Productivity, and Food Prices in theLong Run. Science 325, 1209-1210. doi: 10.1126/science.1170451.

Alton P [2009] A simple retrieval of ground albedo and vegetation absorptance from MODIS satellitedata for parameterization of global Land-Surface Models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology149(10), 1769-1775. doi: 10.1016/J.AGRFORMET.2009.04.012.

Anderson JR, Hardy EE, Roach JT, Witmer RE [1976] A land use and land cover classification system for usewith remote sensor data. USGS, Washington, D.C., USA, 34pp. doi: 10.3133/pp964.

Arneth A, Harrison SP, Zaehle S, Tsigaridis K, Menon S, Bartlein PJ, […], Vesala T [2010] Terrestrialbiogeochemical feedbacks in the climate system. Nature Geoscience 3(8), 525-532. doi:10.1038/ngeo905.

Arneth A, Brown C, Rounsevell MDA [2014] Global models of human decision-making for land-basedmitigation and adaptation assessment. Nature Climate Change 4(7), 550-557. doi:10.1038/nclimate2250.

Arneth A, Sitch S, Pongratz J, Stocker BD, Ciais P, Poulter B, […], Zaehle S [2017] Historical carbondioxide emissions caused by land-use changes are possibly larger than assumed. Nature Geoscience10(2), 79-84. doi: 10.1038/ngeo2882.

Australian Bureau of Statistics [2016] Land management and farming in Australia 2014-2015.http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/mf/4627.0.

Autret B, Mary B, Chenu C, Balabane M, Girardin C, Bertrand M, […], Beaudoin N [2016] Alternativearable cropping systems: A key to increase soil organic carbon storage? Results from a 16 yearfield experiment. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 232, 150-164. doi:10.1016/J.AGEE.2016.07.008.

Azzarri C, Bacou M, Cox CM, Guo Z, Koo J [2016] Subnational socio-economic dataset availability.Nature Climate Change 6(2), 115-116. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2842.

Baker JM, Ochsner TE, Venterea RT, Griffis TJ [2007] Tillage and soil carbon sequestration – What dowe really know? Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 118(1-4), 1-5. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2006.05.014.

Baker NT [2011] Tillage practices in the conterminous United States, 1989-2004.https://water.usgs.gov/GIS/metadata/usgswrd/XML/ds573_tillage_lu01.xml.

Page 2: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

142

Bartholome E, Belward AS [2005] GLC2000: a new approach to global land cover mapping from Earthobservation data. International Journal of Remote Sensing 26, 1959-1977. doi:10.1080/01431160412331291297.

Bates D, Mächler M, Bolker BM, Walker SC [2015] Fitting Linear Mixed-Effects Models Using lme4.Journal of Statistical Software 67(1), 1-48. doi: 10.18637/jss.v067.i01.

Batjes NH [2014] Total carbon and nitrogen in the soils of the world. European Journal of Soil Science 65,10-21. doi: 10.1111/ejss.12114_2.

Ballantyne AP, Andres R, Houghton R, Stocker BD, Wanninkhof R, Anderegg W, […], White JWC[2015] Audit of the global carbon budget: estimate errors and their impact on uptake uncertainty.Biogeosciences 12(8), 2565-2584. doi: 10.5194/bg-12-2565-2015

Ban Y, Gong P, Giri C [2015] Global land cover mapping using Earth observation satellite data: Recentprogresses and challenges. ISPRS Journal of Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing 103, 1-6. doi:10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2015.01.001.

Baranzelli C, Jacobs-Crisioni C, Batista F, Castillo CP, Barbosa A, Torres JA, Lavalle C [2014] The Referencescenario in the LUISA platform – Updated configuration 2014. Towards a Common Baseline Scenario for ECImpact Assessment procedures. Luxemburg Publications Office of the European Union, Luxemburg,Luxemburg, 45pp. doi: 10.2788/85104.

Baumgart-Getz A, Prokopy LS, Floress K [2012] Why farmers adopt best management practice in theUnited States: A meta-analysis of the adoption literature. Journal of Environmental Management96(1), 17-25. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2011.10.006.

Bayer AD, Lindeskog M, Pugh TAM, Anthoni PM, Fuchs R, Arneth A [2017] Uncertainties in the land-use flux resulting from land-use change reconstructions and gross land transitions. Earth SystemDynamics 8(1), 91-111. doi: 10.5194/esd-8-91-2017.

Beer C, Reichstein M, Tomelleri E, Ciais P, Jung M, Carvalhais N, […], Papale D [2010] Terrestrial grosscarbon dioxide uptake: global distribution and covariation with climate. Science 329, 834-838. doi:10.1126/science.1184984.

Benton TG, Bailey R, Froggatt A, King R, Lee B, Wellesley L [2018] Designing sustainable landuse in a1.5 °C world: the complexities of projecting multiple ecosystem services from land. CurrentOpinion in Environmental Sustainability 31, 88-95. doi: 10.1016/J.COSUST.2018.01.011.

Betts RA [2000] Offset of the potential carbon sink from boreal forestation by decreases in surfacealbedo. Nature 408, 187-190. doi: 10.1038/35041545.

Betts RA, Falloon PD, Klein Goldewijk K, Ramankutty N [2007] Biogeophysical effects of land use onclimate: Model simulations of radiative forcing and large-scale temperature change. Agriculturaland Forest Meteorology 142(2-4), 216-233. doi: 10.1016/J.AGRFORMET.2006.08.021.

Beukes D, Swanepoel C [2017] The effects of conservation tillage practices and fertiliser management onsoil structural properties at an experimental farm. South African Journal of Plant and Soil 34(1), 19-26. doi: 10.1080/02571862.2016.1155763.

Bicheron P, Defourny P, Brockmann C, Schouten L, Vancutsem C, Huc M, […], Arino O [2008]GLOBCOVER – Products Description and Validation Report. MEDIAS-France, 47pp.https://www.theia-land.fr/sites/default/files/globcover_products_description_validation_report_i2.1.pdf.

Bonan GB [2008] Forests and climate change: Forcings, feedbacks, and the climate benefits of forests.Science 320, 1444-1449. doi: 10.1126/science.1155121.

Bondeau A, Smith PC, Zaehle S, Schaphoff S, Lucht W, Cramer W, […], Smith B [2007] Modelling therole of agriculture for the 20th century global terrestrial carbon balance. Global Change Biology13(3), 679-706. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01305.x.

Bontemps S, Defourny P, van Bogaert E, Arino O, Kalogirou V, Perez JR [2011] GLOBCOVER 2009 –Products Description and Validation Report. ESA, 53pp. doi: 10013/epic.39884.d016.

Bossard M, Feranec J, Otahel J [2000] CORINE land cover technical guide – Addendum 2000. EPA TechnicalReport 40, 105pp. https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/tech40add.

Boysen LR, Lucht W, Gerten D [2017] Trade-offs for food production, nature conservation and climatelimit the terrestrial carbon dioxide removal potential. Global Change Biology 23(10), 4303-4317. doi:10.1111/gcb.13745.

Brovkin V, Sitch S, von Bloh W, Claussen M, Bauer E, Cramer W [2004] Role of land cover changes foratmospheric CO2 increase and climate change during the last 150 years. Global Change Biology10(8), 1253-1266. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2004.00812.x.

Page 3: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

143

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Brovkin V, Boysen L, Arora VK, Boisier JP, Cadule P, Chini L, […], Weiss M [2013] Effect ofAnthropogenic Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes on Climate and Land Carbon Storage inCMIP5 Projections for the Twenty-First Century. Journal of Climate 26(18), 6859-6881. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00623.1.

Brown B, Nuberg I, Llewellyn R [2017] Stepwise frameworks for understanding the utilisation ofconservation agriculture in Africa. Agricultural Systems 153, 11-22. doi: 10.1016/j.agsy.2017.01.012.

Brown B, Nuberg I, Llewellyn R [2018] Constraints to the utilisation of conservation agriculture inAfrica as perceived by agricultural extension service providers. Land Use Policy 73, 331-340. doi:10.1016/J.LANDUSEPOL.2018.02.009.

Brown C, Alexander P, Holzhauer S, Rounsevell MDA [2017] Behavioral models of climate changeadaptation and mitigation in land-based sectors. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 8,e448. doi: 10.1002/wcc.448.

Brown DG, Verburg PH, Pontius RG, Lange MD [2013] Opportunities to improve impact, integration,and evaluation of land change models. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5(5), 452-457.doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.07.012.

Brown DG, Band L, Green K, Irwin E, Jain A, Pontius R, […], Verburg PH [2014] Advancing Land ChangeModeling. The National Academies Press, Washington D.C., 142pp.

Burnham KP, Anderson DR [2004] Multimodel Inference. Understanding AIC and BIC in ModelSelection. Sociological Methods & Research 33(2), 261-304. doi: 10.1177/0049124104268644.

Busch G [2006] Future European agricultural landscapes – What can we learn from existing quantitativeland use scenario studies? Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 114(1), 121-140. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.007.

Butler JH [1980] Economic Geography: Spatial and Environmental Aspects of Economic Activity. John Wiley, NewYork, 402pp.

Butler PB, Reed PM, Fisher-Vanden K, Keller K, Wagener T [2014] Identifying parametric controls anddependencies in integrated assessment models using global sensitivity analysis. EnvironmentalModelling & Software 59, 10-29. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.05.001.

Calvin K, Wise M, Clarke L, Edmonds J, Kyle P, Luckow P, Thomson A [2013] Implications ofsimultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM.Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y.

Campbell BM, Thornton P, Zougmoré R, van Asten P, Lipper L [2014] Sustainable intensification: Whatis its role in climate smart agriculture? Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 8, 39-43. doi:10.1016/j.cosust.2014.07.002.

Canadell JG, Le Quéré C, Raupach MR, Field CB, Buitenhuis ET, Ciais P, […], Marland G [2007]Contributions to accelerating atmospheric CO2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity,and efficiency of natural sinks. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States ofAmerica 104(47), 18866-18870. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0702737104.

Canfield DE, Glazer AN, Falkowski PG [2010] The evolution and future of Earth’s nitrogen cycle. Science330, 192-196. doi: 10.1126/science.1186120.

Carlisle L [2016] Factors influencing farmer adoption of soil health practices in the United States: anarrative review. Agroecology and Sustainable Food Systems 40(6), 583-613. doi:10.1080/21683565.2016.1156596.

Carlson KM, Gerber JS, Mueller ND, Herrero M, MacDonald GK, Brauman KA, […], West PC [2016]Greenhouse gas emissions intensity of global croplands. Nature Climate Change 7(1), 63-68. doi:10.1038/nclimate3158.

Carmona I, Griffith DM, Soriano M-A, Murillo JM, Madejón E, Gómez-Macpherson H [2015] What dofarmers mean when they say they practice conservation agriculture? A comprehensive case studyfrom southern Spain. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 213, 164-177. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2015.07.028.

Chazdon RL, Brancalion PHS, Laestadius L, Bennett-Curry A, Buckingham K, Kumar C, […], Wilson SJ[2016] When is a forest a forest? Forest concepts and definitions in the era of forest andlandscape restoration. Ambio 45(5), 538-550. doi: 10.1007/s13280-016-0772-y

Chen L, Dirmeyer PA [2016] Adapting observationally based metrics of biogeophysical feedbacks fromland cover/land use change to climate modeling. Environmental Research Letters 11(3), 034002. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/3/034002.

Page 4: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

144

Ciais P, Sabine C, Bala G, Bopp L, Brovkin V, Canadell J, […], Thornton P [2013] Carbon and otherbiogeochemical cycles. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of WorkingGroup I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [eds. Stocker TF,Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V, Midgley PM],465-570. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.

CIESIN/IFPRI/CIAT (Center for International Earth Science Information Network/InternationalFood Policy Research Institute/International Center for Tropical Agriculture) [2011] Globalrural-urban mapping project, Version 1 (GRUMPv1): Urban Extents Grid.https://doi.org/10.7927/h4gh9fvg.

Clark DB, Mercado LM, Sitch S, Jones CD, Gedney N, Best MJ, […], Cox PM [2011] The Joint UK LandEnvironment Simulator (JULES), model description – Part 2: Carbon fluxes and vegetationdynamics. Geoscientific Model Development 4(3), 701-722. doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-701-2011.

Collins WD, Craig AP, Truesdale JE, Di Vittorio AV, Jones AD, Bond-Lamberty B, […], Hurtt GC [2015]The integrated Earth system model version 1: formulation and functionality. Geoscientific ModelDevelopment 8(7), 2203-2219. doi: 10.5194/gmd-8-2203-2015.

Conant RT, Easter M, Paustian K, Swan A, Williams S [2007] Impacts of periodic tillage on soil C stocks:A synthesis. Soil & Tillage Research 95(1-2), 1-10. doi: 10.1016/j.still.2006.12.006.

Congalton RG, Gu J, Yadav K, Thenkabail P, Ozdogan M [2014] Global Land Cover Mapping: A Reviewand Uncertainty Analysis. Remote Sensing 6(12), 12070-12093. doi: 10.3390/rs61212070.

Cook BI, Shukla SP, Puma MJ, Nazarenko LS [2015] Irrigation as an historical climate forcing. ClimateDynamics 44(5-6), 1715-1730. doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2204-7.

Danne O, Zuehlke M, Krämer U [2011] GlobAlbedo product user guide V1.2. ESA, 52pp.http://www.globalbedo.org/docs/GlobALBEDO_Product_User_Guide_D17_v1_2.pdf.

Davidson EA [2009] The contribution of manure and fertilizer nitrogen to atmospheric nitrous oxidesince 1860. Nature Geoscience 2(9), 659-662. doi: 10.1038/ngeo608.

Davin EL, de Noblet-Ducoudré N [2010] Climatic impact of global-scale deforestation: Radiative versusnonradiative processes. Journal of Climate 23(1), 97-112. doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI3102.1.

Davin EL, Seneviratne SI, Ciais P, Olioso A, Wang T [2014] Preferential cooling of hot extremes fromcropland albedo management. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States ofAmerica 111(27), 9757-9761. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1317323111.

Davis KF, Gephart JA, Emery KA, Leach AM, Galloway JN, D’Odorico P [2016] Meeting future fooddemand with current agricultural resources. Global Environmental Change 39, 125-132. doi:10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2016.05.004.

Decker M, Ma S, Pitman A [2017] Local land-atmosphere feedbacks limit irrigation demand.Environmental Research Letters 12(5), 054003. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa65a6.

D’Emden FH, Llewellyn RS, Burton MP [2008] Factors Influencing adoption of conservation tillage inAustralian cropping regions. The Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics 52(2), 169-182. doi: 10.1111/j.1467-8489.2008.00409.x.

Dendoncker N, Bogaert P, Rounsevell MDA [2006] A statistical method to downscale aggregated landuse data and scenarios. Journal of Land Use Science 1(2-4), 63-82. doi:10.1080/17474230601058302.

de Noblet-Ducoudré N, Boisier J-P, Pitman A, Bonan GB, Brovkin V, Cruz F, […], Voldoire A [2012]Determining robust impacts of land-use-induced land cover changes on surface climate overNorth America and Eurasia: Results from the first set of LUCID experiments. Journal of Climate25(9), 3261-3281. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1.

Derpsch R, Friedrich T, Kassam A, Hongwen L [2010] Current status of adoption of no-till farming inthe world and some of its main benefits. International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering3(1), 1-25. doi: 10.3965/j.issn.1934-6344.2010.01.001-025.

De Vita P, Di Paolo E, Fecondo G, Di Fonzo N, Pisante M [2007] No-tillage and conventional tillageeffects on durum wheat yield, grain quality and soil moisture content in southern Italy. Soil andTillage Research 92(1-2), 69-78. doi: 10.1016/J.STILL.2006.01.012.

de Vrese P, Hagemann S, Claussen M [2016] Asian irrigation, African rain: Remote impacts of irrigation.Geophysical Research Letters 43(8), 3737-3745. doi: 10.1002/2016GL068146.

Di Vittorio AV, Chini LP, Bond-Lamberty B, Mao J, Shi X, Truesdale J, […], Thomson A [2014] Fromland use to land cover: restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment-earthsystem model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations. Biogeosciences 11(22), 6435-6450. doi: 10.5194/bg-11-6435-2014.

Page 5: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

145

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Di Vittorio AV, Kyle P, Collins WD [2016] What are the effects of Agro-Ecological Zones and land useregion boundaries on land resource projection using the Global Change Assessment Model?Environmental Modelling & Software 85, 246-265. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2016.08.016.

Doelman JC, Stehfest E, Tabeau A, van Meijl H, Lassaletta L, Gernaat DEHJ, […], van Vuuren DP[2018] Exploring SSP land-use dynamics using the IMAGE model: Regional and griddedscenarios of land-use change and land-based climate change mitigation. Global EnvironmentalChange 48, 119-135. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2017.11.014.

Don A, Schumacher J, Freibauer A [2011] Impact of tropical land-use change on soil organic carbonstocks – a meta-analysis. Global Change Biology 17(4), 1658-1670. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02336.x.

Donat MG, Alexander LV, Yang H, Durre I, Vose R, Caesar J [2013a] Global Land-Based Datasets forMonitoring Climatic Extremes. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 94(7), 997-1006. doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00109.1.

Donat MG, Alexander LV, Yang H, Durre I, Vose R, Dunn RJH, […], Kitching S [2013b] Updatedanalyses of temperature and precipitation extreme indices since the beginning of the twentiethcentury: The HadEX2 dataset. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 118(5), 2098-2118. doi:10.1002/jgrd.50150.

Duvellier G, Hooker J, Cescatti A [2018] The mark of vegetation change on Earth’s surface energybalance. Nature Communications 9(1), 679. doi: 10.1038/s41467-017-02810-8.

ECAF (European Conservation Agriculture Federation) [2017] Conservation agriculture: making climate changemitigation and adaptation real in Europe. ECAF, 182pp. http://www.ecaf.org/downloads/books.

EEA (European Environment Agency) [2006] The thematic accuracy of Corine land cover 2000 – Assessmentusing LUCAS (land use/cover area frame statistical survey). EEA Technical Report 7/2006, 90pp.http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/technical_report_2006_7.

EEA (European Environment Agency) [2007] CLC2006 technical guidelines. EEA Technical Report17/2007, 70pp. http://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/technical_report_2007_17.

Eitelberg DA, van Vliet J, Verburg PH [2015] A review of global potentially available cropland estimatesand their consequences for model-based assessments. Global Change Biology 21(3), 1236-1248. doi:10.1111/gcb.12733.

Eitelberg DA, van Vliet J, Doelman JC, Stehfest E, Verburg PH [2016] Demand for biodiversityprotection and carbon storage as drivers of global land change scenarios. Global EnvironmentalChange 40, 101-111. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.06.014.

Ellis E [2011] Anthropogenic transformation of the terrestrial biosphere. Philosophical Transactions of theRoyal Society A 369, 1010-1035. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0331.

Ellis EC, Kaplan JO, Fuller DQ, Vavrus S, Klein Goldewijk K, Verburg PH [2013] Used planet: A globalhistory. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 110(20), 7978-7985. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1217241110.

Elvidge CD, Sutton PC, Ghosh T, Tuttle BT, Baugh KE, Bhaduri B, Bright E [2009] A global povertymap derived from satellite data. Computers & Geosciences 35(8), 1652-1660. doi:10.1016/j.cageo.2009.01.009.

Engström K, Rounsevell MDA, Murray-Rust D, Hardacre C, Alexander P, Cui X, […], Arneth A [2016]Applying Occam’s razor to global agricultural land use change. Environmental Modelling & Software75, 212-229. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.10.015.

Erb K-H, Gaube V, Krausmann F, Plutzar C, Bondeau A, Haberl H [2007] A comprehensive global 5min resolution land-use data set for the year 2000 consistent with national census data. Journal ofLand Use Science 2(3), 191-224. doi: 10.1080/17474230701622981.

Erb K-H, Haberl H, Jepsen MR, Kuemmerle T, Lindner M, Müller D, […], Reenberg A [2013] Aconceptual framework for analysing and measuring land-use intensity. Current Opinion inEnvironmental Sustainability 5(5), 464-470. doi: 10.1016/J.COSUST.2013.07.010.

Erb K-H, Luyssaert S, Meyfroidt P, Pongratz J, Don A, Kloster S, […], Dolman AJ [2017a] Landmanagement: data availability and process understanding for global change studies. Global ChangeBiology 23(2), 512-533. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13443.

Erb K-H, Kastner T, Plutzar C, Bais ALS, Carvalhais N, Fetzel T, […], Luyssaert S [2017b] Unexpectedlylarge impact of forest management and grazing on global vegetation biomass. Nature 553, 73-76.doi: 10.1038/nature25138.

ESA (European Space Agency) [2014] Land cover CCI Product User Guide version 2.4. ESA, 91pp.https://www.esa-landcover-cci.org/?q=webfm_send/84

Page 6: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

146

EUROSTAT [2010] Survey on agricultural production methods (SAPM).http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Survey_on_agricultural_production_methods.

EUROSTAT [2017] Glossary: Conservational tillage. http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Glossary:Conservational_tillage.

Eyring V, Bony S, Meehl GA, Senior CA, Stevens B, Stouffer RJ, Taylor KE [2016] Overview of theCoupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization.Geoscientific Model Development 9(5), 1937-1958. doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016.

Falkowski P, Scholes RJ, Boyle E, Canadell J, Canfield D, Elser J, […], Steffen W [2000] The globalcarbon cycle: A test of our knowledge of Earth as a system. Science 290, 291-296. doi:10.1126/science.290.5490.291.

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) [2000] Global Forest Resources Assessment2000. FAO, Rome, Italy, 479pp. http://www.fao.org/docrep/004/Y1997E/Y1997E00.HTM

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) [2008] Investing in sustainable cropintensification: The case for improving soil health. FAO, Rome, Italy, 139pp.http://www.fao.org/docrep/012/i0951e/i0951e.pdf.

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) [2013] Climate-smart agriculture –Sourcebook. FAO, Rome, Italy, 570pp. http://www.fao.org/docrep/018/i3325e/i3325e.pdf.

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) [2015] FAOSTAT – Resources/Land.Rome, Italy. http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/RL.

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) [2017a] Conservation agriculture.http://www.fao.org/ag/ca/.

FAO (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations) [2017b] FAOSTAT – Resources/Land.Rome, Italy. http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/#data/RL.

Farooq M, Siddique KHM (eds.) [2015] Conservation agriculture. Springer, New York, NY, USA, 665pp.Feder G, Umali DL [1993] The Adoption of Agricultural Innovations. A Review. Technological Forecasting

and Social Change 43(3-4), 215-239. doi: 10.1016/0040-1625(93)90053-A.Feddema J, Oleson K, Bonan G, Mearns L, Washington W, Meehl G, Nychka D [2005] A comparison of

GCM response to historical anthropogenic land cover change and model sensitivity touncertainty in present-day land cover representations. Climate Dynamics 25(6), 581-609. doi:10.1007/s00382-005-0038-z.

FEPASIDIAS (Paraguayan Federation of Direct Sowing for a Sustainable Agriculture) [2016] Personalcommunication. Contact: Martin M. Cubilla.

Ferreira JBD, Ribera L, Horridge M [2015] Deforestation control and agricultural supply in Brazil.American Journal of Agricultural Economics 97(2), 589-601. doi: 10.1093/ajae/aav004.

Fetzel T, Havlik P, Herrero M, Kaplan JO, Kastner T, Kroisleitner C, […], Erb K-H [2017]Quantification of uncertainties in global grazing systems assessment. Global Biogeochemical Cycles31(7), 1089-1102. doi: 10.1002/2016GB005601.

Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF, Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, […], Midgley PM (eds.) [2012] Managing therisks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A Special Report of WorkingGroups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 582pp. https://www.ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/SREX_Full_Report-1.pdf.

Fischer EM, Beyerle U, Knutti R [2013] Robust spatially aggregated projections of climate extremes.Nature Climate Change 3(12), 1033-1038. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2051.

Fisher JB, Huntzinger DN, Schwalm CR, Sitch S [2014] Modeling the terrestrial biosphere. Annual Reviewof Environment and Resources 39, 91-123. doi: 10.1146/annurev-environ-012913-093456.

Flato G, Marotzke J, Abiodun B, Braconnot P, Chou SC, Collins W, […], Rummukainen M [2013]Evaluation of Climate Models. In: Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution ofWorking Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. [eds.Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y, Bex V,Midgley PM], 741-866. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.

Foley JA, DeFries R, Asner GP, Barford C, Bonan G, Carpenter SR, […], Snyder PK [2005] Globalconsequences of land use. Science 309, 570-574. doi: 10.1126/science.1111772.

Foley JA, Ramankutty N, Brauman KA, Cassidy ES, Gerber JS, Johnston M, […], Zaks DPM [2011]Solutions for a cultivated planet. Nature 478, 337-342. doi: 10.1038/nature10452.

Page 7: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

147

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Friedl MA, McIver DK, Hodges JCF, Zhang XY, Muchoney D, Strahler AH, […], Schaaf C [2002]Global land cover mapping from MODIS: algorithms and early results. Remote Sensing ofEnvironment 83(1-2), 287-302. doi: 10.1016/S0034-4257(02)00078-0.

Friedl MA, Sulla-Menashe D, Schneider A, Ramankutty N, Sibley A, Huang X [2010] MODIS Collection5 global land cover: Algorithm refinements and characterization of new datasets. Remote Sensingof Environment 114, 168-182. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2009.08.016.

Friedrich T, Derpsch R, Kassam A [2012] Overview of the global spread of conservation agriculture.Field Actions Science Reports 6, 1-7.

Fritz S, See L, McCallum I, Schill C, Obersteiner M, van der Velde M, […], Achard F [2011a]Highlighting continued uncertainty in global land cover maps for the user community.Environmental Research Letters 6(4), 044005. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/6/4/044005.

Fritz S, You L, Bun A, See L, McCallum I, Schill C, […], Obersteiner M [2011b] Cropland for sub-Saharan Africa: A synergistic approach using five land cover data sets. Geophysical Research Letters38(4), L04404. doi 10.1029/2010GL046213.

Fritz S, McCallum I, Schill C, Perger C, See L, Schepaschenko D, […], Obersteiner M [2012] Geo-Wiki:An online platform for improving global land cover. Environmental Modelling and Software 31, 110-123. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.11.015.

Fritz S, See L, McCallum I, You L, Bun A, Moltchanova E, […], Obersteiner M [2015] Mapping globalcropland and field size. Global Change Biology 21(5), 1980-1992. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12838.

Fuchs R, Herold M, Verburg PH, Clevers JGPW [2013] A high-resolution and harmonized modelapproach for reconstructing and analysing historic land changes in Europe. Biogeosciences 10(3),1543-1559. doi: 10.5194/bg-10-1543-2013.

Fuchs R, Herold M, Verburg PH, Clevers JGPW, Eberle J [2015a] Gross changes in reconstructions ofhistoric land cover/use for Europe between 1900 and 2010. Global Change Biology 21, 299-313.doi: 10.1111/gcb.12714.

Fuchs R, Verburg PH, Clevers JGPW, Herold M [2015b] The potential of old maps and encyclopaediasfor reconstructing historic European land cover/use change. Applied Geography 59, 43-55. doi:10.1016/j.apgeog.2015.02.013.

Fuchs R, Schulp CJE, Hengeveld GM, Verburg PH, Clevers JGPW, Schelhaas M-J, Herold M [2016]Assessing the influence of historic net and gross land changes on the carbon fluxes of Europe.Global Change Biology 22(7), 2526-2539. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13191.

Fujimori S, Masui T, Matsuoka Y [2012] AIM/CGE [basic] manual. Discussion Paper Series – Center for Socialand Environmental Systems Research (NIES) 2012-01.

GADM [2017] GADM Database of Global Administrative Areas. https://gadm.org/.Gaillard M-J, Sugita S, Mazier F, Trondman A-K, Broström A, Hickler T, […], Seppä H [2010] Holocene

land-cover reconstructions for studies on land cover-climate feedbacks. Climate of the Past 6(4),483-499. doi: 10.5194/cp-6-483-2010.

Garnett T, Appleby MC, Balmford A, Bateman IJ, Benton TG, Bloomer P, […], Godfray HCJ [2013]Sustainable Intensification in Agriculture: Premises and Policies. Science 341, 33-34. doi:10.1126/science.1234485.

Gibbs HK, Ruesch AS, Achard F, Clayton MK, Holmgren P, Ramankutty N, Foley JA [2010] Tropicalforests were the primary sources of new agricultural land in the 1980s and 1990s. Proceedings ofthe National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107(38), 16732-16737. doi:10.1073/pnas.0910275107.

Giller KE, Witter E, Corbeels M, Tittonell P [2009] Conservation agriculture and smallholder farming inAfrica: The heretics’ view. Field Crops Research 114(1), 23-34. doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2009.06.017.

Giller KE, Andersson JA, Corbeels M, Kirkegaard J, Mortensen D, Erenstein O, Vanlauwe B [2015]Beyond conservation agriculture. Frontiers in Plant Science 6, 870. doi: 10.3389/fpls.2015.00870.

Godfray HCJ, Beddington JR, Crute IR, Haddad L, Lawrence D, Muir JF, […], Toulmin C [2010] FoodSecurity: The Challenge of Feeding 9 Billion People. Science 327, 812-818. doi:10.1126/science.1185383.

Godfray HCJ, Garnett T [2014] Food security and sustainable intensification. Philosophical Transactions ofthe Royal Society B 369, 20120273. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2012.0273.

Govaerts B, Sayre KD, Deckers J [2005] Stable high yields with zero tillage and permanent bed planting?Field Crops Research 94(1), 33-42. doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2004.11.003.

Page 8: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

148

Govaerts B, Verhulst N, Castellanos-Navarrete A, Sayre KD, Dixon J, Dendooven L [2009] Conservationagriculture and soil carbon sequestration: Between myth and farmer reality. Critical Reviews in PlantSciences 28(3), 97-122. doi: 10.1080/07352680902776358.

Govers G, Vandaele K, Desmet PJJ, Poesen J, Bunte K [1994] The role of tillage in soil redistribution onhillslopes. European Journal of Soil Science 45(4), 469-478. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2389.1994.tb00532.x.

Govers G, Quine TA, Desmet PJJ, Walling DE [1996] The relative contribution of soil tillage andoverland flow erosion to soil redistribution on agricultural land. Earth Surface Processes andLandforms 21(10), 929-946. doi: 10.1002/(SICI)1096-9837(199610)21:10<929::AID-ESP631>3.0.CO;2-C.

Graesser J, Aide TM, Grau HR, Ramankutty N [2015] Cropland/pastureland dynamics and theslowdown of deforestation in Latin America. Environmental Research Letters 10(3), 034017. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/3/034017.

Grecchi RC, Gwyn QHJ, Bénié GB, Formaggio AR, Fahl FC [2014] Land use and land cover changes inthe Brazilian Cerrado: A multidisciplinary approach to assess the impacts of agriculturalexpansion. Applied Geography 55, 300-312. doi: 10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.09.014.

Griscom BW, Adams J, Ellis PW, Houghton RA, Lomax G, Miteva DA, […], Fargione J [2017] Naturalclimate solutions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America114(44), 11645-11650. doi: 10.1073/PNAS.1710465114.

Guimberteau M, Laval K, Perrier A, Polcher J [2012] Global effect of irrigation and its impact on theonset of the Indian summer monsoon. Climate Dynamics 39(6), 1329-1348. doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1252-5.

Guo LB, Gifford RM [2002] Soil carbon stocks and land use change: a meta analysis. Global Change Biology8(4), 345-360. doi: 10.1046/j.1354-1013.2002.00486.x.

Haberl H, Erb K-H, Krausmann F, Gaube V, Bondeau A, Plutzar C, […], Fischer-Kowalski M [2007]Quantifying and mapping the human appropriation of net primary production in earth’sterrestrial ecosystems. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America104(31), 12942-12947. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0704243104.

Hanjra MA, Qureshi ME [2010] Global water crisis and future food security in an era of climate change.Food Policy 35(5), 365-377. doi: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2010.05.006.

Hansen MC, DeFries RS, Townshend JRG, Carroll M, Dimiceli C, Sohlberg RA [2003] Global PercentTree Cover at a Spatial Resolution of 500 Meters: First Results of the MODIS VegetationContinuous Fields Algorithm. Earth Interactions 7(10), 1-15. doi: 10.1175/1087-3562(2003)007<0001:GPTCAA>2.0.CO;2.

Hansen MC, Potapov PV, Moore R, Hancher M, Turubanova SA, Tyukavina A, […], Townshend JRG[2013] High-resolution global maps of 21st-century forest cover change. Science 342, 850-853.doi: 10.1126/science.1244693.

Harding KJ, Snyder PK [2012] Modeling the Atmospheric Response to Irrigation in the Great Plains.Part I: General Impacts on Precipitation and the Energy Budget. Journal of Hydrometeorology 13(6),1667-1686. doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-11-098.1.

Harper AB, Powell T, Cox PM, House J, Huntingford C, Lenton TM, […], Shu S [2018] Land-useemissions play a critical role in land-based mitigation for Paris climate targets. NatureCommunications 9(1), 2938. doi: 10.1038/s41467-018-05340-z.

Harris I, Jones PD, Osborn TJ, Lister DH [2014] Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climaticobservations – the CRU TS3.10 Dataset. International Journal of Climatology 34(3), 623-642. doi:10.1002/joc.3711.

Harrison PA, Holman IP, Berry PM [2015] Assessing cross-sectoral climate change impacts, vulnerabilityand adaptation: an introduction to the CLIMSAVE project. Climatic Change 128(3-4), 153-167.doi: 10.1007/s10584-015-1324-3.

Hartman DL, Klein Tank AMG, Rusticucci M, Alexander LV, Brönnimann S, Charabi YA-R, […], Zhai P[2013] Observations. Atmosphere and Surface. In: Climate Change 2013. The Physical Science Basis.Contribution of Working Group I to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on ClimateChange [eds. Stocker TF, Qin D, Plattner G-K, Tignor M, Allen SK, Boschung J, Nauels A, Xia Y,Bex V, Midgley PM], 159-254. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY,USA.

Hasegawa T, Fujimori S, Shin Y, Takahashi K, Masui T, Tanaka A [2014] Climate Change Impact andAdaptation Assessment on Food Consumption Utilizing a New Scenario Framework.Environmental Science and Technology 48, 438-445. doi: 10.1021/es4034149.

Page 9: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

149

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Hasegawa T, Fujimori S, Ito A, Takahashi K, Masui T [2017] Global land-use allocation model linked toan integrated assessment model. Science of The Total Environment 580, 787-796. doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.12.025.

Havlik P, Valin H, Herrero M, Obersteiner M, Schmid E, Rufino MC, […], Notenbaert A [2014] Climatechange mitigation through livestock system transitions. Proceedings of the National Academy ofSciences of the United States of America 111(10), 3709-3714. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1308044111.

He J, Li H, Rasaily RG, Wang Q, Cai G, Su Y, […], Liu L [2011] Soil properties and crop yields after 11years of no tillage farming in wheat-maize cropping system in North China Plain. Soil and TillageResearch 113, 48-54. doi: 10.1016/j.still.2011.01.005.

Hengl T, Mendes de Jesus J, Heuvelink GBM, Ruiperez Gonzalez M, Kilibarda M, Blagotic A, […],Kempen B [2017] SoilGrids250m: Global gridded soil information based on machine learning.PLOS ONE 12(2), e0169748. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0169748.

Hibbard K, Janetos A, van Vuuren DP, Pongratz J, Rose SK, Betts R, […], Feddema JJ [2010] Researchpriorities in land use and land-cover change for the Earth system and integrated assessmentmodelling. International Journal of Climatology 30(13), 2118-2128. doi: 10.1002/joc.2150.

Hijmans RJ [2015] raster: Geographic Data Analysis and Modeling. R package version 2.5-2.https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=raster.

Hirsch AL, Wilhelm M, Davin EL, Thiery W, Seneviratne SI [2017] Can climate-effective landmanagement reduce regional warming? Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122(4), 2269-2288. doi: 10.1002/2016JD026125.

Hobbs PR [2007] Conservation agriculture: what is it and why is it important for future sustainable foodproduction? Journal of Agricultural Science 145, 127-137. doi: 10.1017/S0021859607006892.

Hobbs PR, Sayre K, Gupta R [2008] The role of conservation agriculture in sustainable agriculture.Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 363, 543-555. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2169.

Homer C, Dewitz J, Yang L, Jin S, Danielson P, Xian G, […], Megown K [2015] Completion of the 2011National Land Cover Database for the Conterminous United States – Representing a Decade ofLand Cover Change Information. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 81(5), 345-354. doi:10.1016/S0099-1112(15)30100-2.

Horton R, Bristow KL, Kluitenberg GJ, Sauer TJ [1996] Crop Residue Effects on Surface Radiation andEnergy Balance – Review. Theoretical and Applied Climatology 54(1-2), 27-37. doi:10.1007/BF00863556.

Houghton RA, Hackler JL [1995] Continental scale estimates of the biotic carbon flux from land coverchange: 1850 to 1980. Num. Data Package-050, Carbon Dioxide Info. Anal. Cent., Oak RidgeNatl. Lab, Oak Ridge.

Hougthon RA, House JI, Pongratz J, van der Werf GR, DeFries RS, Hansen MC, […], Ramankutty N[2012] Carbon emissions from land use and land-cover change. Biogeosciences 9(12), 5125-5142.doi: 10.5194/bg-9-5125-2012.

Howden SM, Soussana J-F, Tubiello FN, Chhetri N, Dunlop M, Meinke H [2007] Adapting agriculture toclimate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 104(50),19691-19696. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0701890104.

Huffman GJ, Adler RF, Morrissey MM, Bolvin DT, Curtis S, Joyce R, […], Susskind J [2001] GlobalPrecipitation at One-Degree Daily Resolution from Multisatellite Observations. Journal ofHydrometeorology 2(1), 36-50. doi: 10.1175/1525-7541(2001)002<0036:GPAODD>2.0.CO;2.

Humpenöder F, Popp A, Dietrich JP, Klein D, Lotze-Campen H, Bonsch M, […], Müller C [2014]Investigating afforestation and bioenergy CCS as climate change mitigation strategies.Environmental Research Letters 9(6), 064029. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064029.

Hurrel JW, Holland MM, Gent PR, Ghan S, Kay JE, Kushner PJ, […], Marshall S [2013] The CommunityEarth System Model: A framework for collaborative research. Bulletin of the American MeteorologicalSociety 94(4), 1339-1360. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00121.1.

Hurtt GC, Frolking S, Fearon MG, Moore B, Shevliakova E, Malyshev S, […], Houghton RA [2006] Theunderpinnings of land-use history: three centuries of global gridded land-use transitions, wood-harvest activity, and resulting secondary lands. Global Change Biology 12(7), 1208-1229. doi:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2006.01150.x.

Hurtt GC, Chini LP, Frolking S, Betts RA, Feddema J, Fischer G, […], Wang YP [2011] Harmonizationof land-use scenarios for the period 1500-2100: 600 years of global gridded annual land-usetransitions, wood harvest, and resulting secondary lands. Climatic Change 109, 117-161. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0153-2.

Page 10: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

150

IIASA (International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis) [2015] SSP Database (version 0.93).Laxenburg, Austria.

IPNI (International Plant Nutrition Institute) [2016] Personal communication. Contact: Dr. FernandoGarcia.

Ito A [2011] A historical meta-analysis of global terrestrial net primary productivity: are estimatesconverging? Global Change Biology 17(10), 3161-3175. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2011.02450.x.

Jain AK, Meiyappan P, Song Y, House JI [2013] CO2 emissions from land-use change affected more bynitrogen cycle, than by the choice of land-cover data. Global Change Biology 19(9), 2893-2906. doi:10.1111/gcb.12207.

Jones C, Robertson E, Arora V, Friedlingstein P, Shevliakova E, Bopp L, […], Tjiputra J [2013] Twenty-First-Century Compatible CO2 Emissions and Airborne Fraction Simulated by CMIP5 EarthSystem Models under Four Representative Concentration Pathways. Journal of Climate 26(13),4398-4413. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00554.1.

Jung M, Reichstein M, Ciais P, Seneviratne S, Sheffiel J, Goulden ML, […], Zhang K [2010] Recentdecline in the global land evapotranspiration trend due to limited moisture supply. Nature 467,951-954. doi: 10.1038/nature09396.

Kahlon MS, Lal R, Ann-Varughese M [2013] Twenty two years of tillage and mulching impacts on soilphysical characteristics and carbon sequestration in Central Ohio. Soil & Tillage Research 126, 151-158. doi: 10.1016/j.still.2012.08.001.

Kaplan JO, Krumhardt KM, Zimmermann N [2009] The prehistoric and preindustrial deforestation ofEurope. Quaternary Science Reviews 28(27-28), 3016-3034. doi: 10.1016/J.QUASCIREV.2009.09.028.

Kaplan JO, Krumhardt KM, Ellis EC, Ruddiman WF, Lemmen C, Klein Goldewijk K [2010] Holocenecarbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change. The Holocene 21(5), 775-791.doi: 10.1177/0959683610386983.

Kaplan JO, Pfeiffer M, Kolen JCA, Davis BAS [2016] Large Scale Anthropogenic Reduction of ForestCover in Last Glacial Maximum Europe. PLOS ONE 11(11), e0166726. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0166726.

Kassam A, Friedrich T, Shaxson F, Pretty J [2009] The spread of Conservation Agriculture: justification,sustainability and uptake. International Journal of Agricultural Sustainability 7(4), 292-320. doi:10.3763/ijas.2009.0477.

Kassam A, Friedrich T, Derpsch R, Kienzle J [2015] Overview of the worldwide spread of ConservationAgriculture. Field Actions Science Reports 8, 1-12.

Kastner T, Rivas MJI, Koch W, Nonhebel S [2012] Global changes in diets and the consequences forland requirements for food. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States109(18), 6868-6872. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1117054109.

Kiehl JT, Trenberth KE [1997] Earth’s annual global mean energy budget. Bulletin of the AmericanMeteorological Society 78(2), 197-208. doi: 10.1175/1520-0477(1997)078<0197:EAGMEB>2.0.CO;2.

Klein Goldewijk K [2001] Estimating global land use change over the past 300 years: The HYDEDatabase. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 15(2), 417-433. doi: 10.1029/1999GB001232.

Klein Goldewijk K, Beusen A, Janssen P [2010] Long-term dynamic modeling of global population andbuilt-up area in a spatially explicit way: HYDE 3.1. The Holocene 20(4), 565-573. doi:10.1177/0959683609356587.

Klein Goldewijk K, Beusen A, van Drecht G, de Vos M [2011] The HYDE 3.1 spatially explicit databaseof human-induced global land-use change over the past 12,000 years. Global Ecology andBiogeography 20, 73-86. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00587.x.

Klein Goldewijk K, Verburg P [2013] Uncertainties in global-scale reconstructions of historical land use:an illustration using the HYDE data set. Landscape Ecology 28(5), 861-877. doi: 10.1007/s10980-013-9877-x.

Klein Goldewijk K, Beusen A, Doelman J, Stehfest E [2017] Anthropogenic land use estimates for theHolocene – HYDE 3.2. Earth System Science Data 9(2), 927-953. doi: 10.5194/essd-9-927-2017.

Knowler D, Bradshaw B [2007] Farmers’ adoption of conservation agriculture: A review and synthesisof recent research. Food Policy 32, 25-48. doi: 10.1016/j.foodpol.2006.01.003.

Köhl M, Lasco R, Cifuentes M, Jonsson Ö, Korhonen KT, Mundhenk P, […], Stinson G [2015] Changesin forest production, biomass and carbon: Results from the 2015 UN FAO Global ForestResource Assessment. Forest Ecology and Management 352, 21-34. doi: 10.1016/j.foreco.2015.05.036.

Page 11: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

151

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Krause A, Pugh TAM, Bayer AD, Doelman JC, Humpenöder F, Anthoni P, […], Arneth A [2017] Globalconsequences of afforestation and bioenergy cultivation on ecosystem service indicators.Biogeosciences 14(21), 4829-4850. doi: 10.5194/bg-14-4829-2017.

Krause A, Pugh TAM, Bayer AD, Li W, Leung F, Bondeau A, […], Arneth A [2018] Large uncertainty incarbon uptake potential of land-based climate-change mitigation efforts. Global Change Biology24(7), 3025-3038. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14144.

Kreidenweis U, Humpenöder F, Stevanovic M, Bodirsky BL, Kriegler E, Lotze-Campen H, Popp A[2016] Afforestation to mitigate climate change: impacts on food prices under consideration ofalbedo effects. Global Environmental Change 11(8), 085001. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/8/085001.

Krinner G, Viovy N, de Noblet-Ducoudré N, Ogée J, Polcher J, Friedlingstein P, […], Prentice IC [2005]A dynamic global vegetation model for studies of the coupled atmosphere-biosphere system.Global Biogeochemical Cycles 19(1), GB1015. doi: 10.1029/2003GB002199.

Kumar S, Dirmeyer PA, Merwade V, DelSole T, Adams JM, Niyogi D [2013] Land use/cover changeimpacts in CMIP5 climate simulations: A new methodology and 21st century challenges. Journalof Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 118(12), 6337-6353. doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50463.

Kuyper TW, Struik PC [2014] Epilogue: global food security, rhetoric, and the sustainable intensificationdebate. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 8, 71-79. doi: 10.1016/J.COSUST.2014.09.004.

Lal R [2004a] Carbon emissions from farm operations. Environment International 30(7), 981-990. doi:10.1016/J.ENVINT.2004.03.005.

Lal R [2004b] Soil Carbon Sequestration Impacts on Global Climate Change and Food Security. Science304, 1623-1627. doi: 10.1126/science.1097396.

Lal R [2010] Managing soils and ecosystems for mitigating anthropogenic carbon emissions andadvancing global food security. BioScience 60(9), 708-721. doi: 10.1525/bio.2010.60.9.8.

Lal R [2018] Digging deeper: A holistic perspective of factors affecting soil organic carbon sequestrationin agroecosystems. Global Change Biology 24(8), 3285-3301. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14054.

Lambin EF, Meyfroidt P [2011] Global land use change, economic globalization, and the looming landscarcity. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 108(9), 3465-3472. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1100480108.

Landscan [2006] Landscan global population database, the 2004 revision. https://landscan.ornl.gov/.Langsrud O [2003] ANOVA for unbalanced data: Use Type II instead of Type III sums of squares.

Statistics and Computing 13(2), 163-167. doi: 10.1023/A:1023260610025.Latham J, Cumani R, Rosati I, Bloise M [2014] FAO Global Land Cover SHARE. Database Beta-Release

Version 1.0. Rome, Italy.http://www.glcn.org/downs/prj/glcshare/GLC_SHARE_beta_v1.0_2014.pdf

Lawrence DM, Hurtt GC, Arneth A, Brovkin V, Calvin KV, Jones AD, […], Shevliakova E [2016] TheLand Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: rationale andexperimental design. Geoscientific Model Development 9(9), 2973-2998. doi: 10.5194/gmd-9-2973-2016.

Lawrence PJ, Chase TN [2007] Representing a new MODIS consistent land surface in the CommunityLand Model (CLM 3.0). Journal of Geophysical Research 112, G01023. doi: 10.1029/2006JG000168.

Lawston PM, Santanello JA, Zaitchik BF, Rodell M [2015] Impact of Irrigation Methods on LandSurface Model Spinup and Initialization of WRF Forecasts. Journal of Hydrometeorology 16(3),1135-1154. doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-14-0203.1.

Lee J, Hopmans JW, Rolston DE, Baer SG, Six J [2009] Determining soil carbon stock changes: Simplebulk density corrections fail. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 134(3-4), 251-256. doi:10.1016/J.AGEE.2009.07.006.

Legoupil J-C, Lienhard P, Khamhoung A [2015] Conservation Agriculture in Southeast Asia. In:Conservation Agriculture [eds. Farooq M, Siddique KHM], 285-311. Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Lemmen C [2009] World distribution of land cover changes during Pre- and Protohistoric Times andestimation of induced carbon releases. Géomorphologie: relief, processus, environnement 15(4), 303-312.doi: 10.4000/geomorphologie.7756.

Lepers E, Lambin EF, Janetos AC, DeFries R, Achard F, Ramankutty N, Scholes RJ [2005] A Synthesisof Information on Rapid Land-cover Change for the Period 1981-2000. BioScience 55(2), 115-124.doi: 10.1641/0006-3568(2005)055[0115:ASOIOR]2.0.CO;2.

Le Quéré C, Moriarty R, Andrew RM, Canadell JG, Sitch S, Korsbakken JI, […], Zeng N [2015] Globalcarbon budget 2015. Earth System Science Data 7(2), 349-396. doi: 10.5194/essd-7-349-2015.

Page 12: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

152

Le Quéré C, Andrew RM, Friedlingstein P, Sitch S, Pongratz J, Manning AC, […], Zhu D [2018] Globalcarbon budget 2017. Earth System Science Data 10(1), 405-448. doi: 10.5194/essd-10-405-2018.

Lestrelin G, Tran Quock H, Jullien F, Rattanatray B, Khamxaykhay C, Tivet F [2012] Conservationagriculture in Laos: Diffusion and determinants for adoption of direct seeding mulch-basedcropping systems in smallholder agriculture. Renewable Agriculture and Food Systems 21(1), 81-92.doi: 10.1017/S174217051100055X.

Levis S [2010] Modeling vegetation and land use in models of the Earth System. Wiley InterdisciplinaryReviews: Climate Change 1(6), 840-856. doi: 10.1002/wcc.83.

Levis S, Bonan GB, Kluzek E, Thornton PE, Jones A, Sacks WJ, Kucharik CJ [2012] Interactive CropManagement in the Community Earth System Model (CESM1): Seasonal Influences on Land-Atmosphere Fluxes. Journal of Climate 25(14), 4839-4859. doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00446.1.

Li L, Bellotti B, Zhang R, Zhang H [2015] Conservation Agriculture in Rainfed Areas of China. In:Conservation Agriculture [eds. Farooq M, Siddique KHM], 311-334. Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Li W, Ciais P, Peng S, Yue C, Wang Y, Thurner M, […], Zaehle S [2017] Land-use and land-cover changecarbon emissions between 1901 and 2012 constrained by biomass observations. Biogeosciences 14,5053-5067. doi: 10.5194/bg-14-5053-2017.

Li Y [2008] Land cover dynamic changes in northern China: 1989-2003. Journal of Geographical Sciences 18,85-94. doi: 10.1007/s11442-008-0085-6.

Lindeskog M, Arneth A, Bondeau A, Waha K, Seaquist J, Olin S, Smith B [2013] Implications ofaccounting for land use in simulations of ecosystem carbon cycling in Africa. Earth SystemDynamics 4(2), 385-407. doi: 10.5194/esd-4-385-2013.

Lipper L, Thornton P, Campbell BM, Baedeker T, Braimoh A, Bwalya M, […], Torquebiau EF [2014]Climate-smart agriculture for food security. Nature Climate Change 4(12), 1068-1072. doi:10.1038/nclimate2437.

Liu D, Wang Z, Song K, Zhang B, Hu L, Huang N, […], Jiang G [2009] Land Use/Cover Changes andEnvironmental Consequences in Songnen Plain, Northeast China. Chinese Geographical Science19(4), 299-305. doi: 10.1007/s11769-009-0299-2.

Liu Z, Notaro M, Kutzbach J, Liu N [2006] Assessing global vegetation-climate feedbacks fromobservations. Journal of Climate 19(5), 787-814. doi: 10.1175/JCLI3658.1.

Livi Bacci M [2007] A concise history of world population. Blackwell, Malde, MA, USA, 300pp. doi:10.1002/9781119406822.

Lobell DB, Bala G, Duffy PB [2006] Biogeophysical impacts of cropland management changes onclimate. Geophysical Research Letters 33(6), L06708. doi: 10.1029/2005GL025492.

Lobell DB, Gourdji SM [2012] The Influence of Climate Change on Global Crop Productivity. PlantPhysiology 160(4), 1686-1697. doi: 10.1104/pp.112.208298.

Loss S, Haddad A, Khalil Y, Alrijabo A, Feindel D, Piggin C [2015] Evolution and adoption ofconservation agriculture in the middle east. In: Conservation Agriculture [eds. Farooq M, SiddiqueKHM], 197-224. Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Lotze-Campen H, Müller C, Bondeau A, Rost S, Popp A, Lucht W [2008] Global food demand,productivity growth, and the scarcity of land and water resources: a spatially explicitmathematical programming approach. Agricultural Economics 39(3), 325-338. doi: 10.1111/j.1574-0862.2008.00336.x.

Loveland TR, Belward A [1997] The IGBP-DIS global 1km land cover data set, DISCover: First results.International Journal of Remote Sensing 18(15), 3289-3295. doi: 10.1080/014311697217099.

Loveland TR, Reed BC, Brown JF, Ohlen DO, Zhu Z, Yang L, Merchang JW [2000] Development of aglobal land cover characteristics database and IGBP DISCover from 1 km AVHRR data.International Journal of Remote Sensing 21(6-7), 1303-1330. doi: 10.1080/014311600210191.

Luyssaert S, Jammet M, Stoy PC, Estel S, Pongratz J, Ceschia E, […], Dolman AJ [2014] Landmanagement and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surface temperature.Nature Climate Change 4(5), 389-393. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2196.

Maddison A [2001] The world economy: A millennial perspective. OECD Publications, Paris, France, 388pp.Mahmood R, Pielke RA, Hubbard KG, Niyogi D, Dirmeyer PA, McAlpine C, […], Fall S [2014] Land

cover changes and their biogeophysical effects on climate. International Journal of Climatology 34(4),929-953. doi: 10.1002/joc.3736.

Mahmood R; Pielke RA, McAlpine CA [2016] Climate-relevant land use and land cover change policies.Bulleting of the American Meteorological Society 97(2), 195-202. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00221.1.

Page 13: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

153

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Mahon N, Crute I, Simmons E, Islam MM [2017] Sustainable intensification – “oxymoron” or “third-way”? A systematic review. Ecological Indicators 74, 73-97. doi: 10.1016/J.ECOLIND.2016.11.001.

Mas J-F, Kolb M, Paegelow M, Camacho Olmedo MT, Houet T [2014] Inductive pattern-based landuse/cover change models: A comparison of four software packages. Environmental Modelling &Software 51, 94-111. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2013.09.010.

McEvedy C, Jones R [1978] Atlas of world population history. Penguin, Harmondsworth, New York, NY,USA, 368pp.

McGuire AD, Sitch S, Clein JS, Dargaville R, Esser G, Foley J, […], Wittenberg U [2001] Carbon balanceof the terrestrial biosphere in the twentieth century: Analyses of CO2, climate and land useeffects with four process-based ecosystem models. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 15(1), 183-206. doi:10.1029/2000GB001298.

Meiyappan P, Jain AK [2012] Three distinct global estimates of historical land-cover change and land-useconversions for over 200 years. Frontiers of Earth Science 6(2), 122-139. doi: 10.1007/s11707-012-0314-2.

Meiyappan P, Dalton M, O’Neill BC, Jain AK [2014] Spatial modeling of agricultural land use change atglobal scale. Ecological Modeling 291, 152-174. doi: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.07.027.

Meiyappan P, Jain AK, House JI [2015] Increased influence of nitrogen limitation on CO2 emissionsfrom future land use and land use change. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 29(9), 1524-1548. doi:10.1002/2015GB005086.

Meyfroidt P [2017] Mapping farm size globally: Benchmarking the smallholders debate. EnvironmentalResearch Letters 12(3), 124010. doi: 10.1042/BJ20081146.

Michetti M, Zampieri M [2014] Climate-Human-Land Interactions: A Review of Major ModellingApproaches. Land 3(3), 793-833. doi: 10.3390/land3030793.

Miralles DG, Holmes TRH, De Jeu RAM, Gash JH, Meesters AGCA, Dolman AJ [2011] Global land-surface evaporation estimated from satellite-based observations. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences15(2), 453-469. doi: 10.5194/hess-15-453-2011.

Monfreda C, Ramankutty N, Foley JA [2008] Farming the planet: 2. Geographic distribution of cropareas, yields, physiological types, and net primary production in the year 2000. Global BiogeochemicalCycles 22(1), GB1022. doi: 10.1029/2007GB002947.

Montgomery DR [2007] Soil erosion and agricultural sustainability. Proceedings of the National Academy ofSciences of the United States of America 104(33), 13268-13272. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0611508104.

Mueller B, Hirschi M, Jimenez C, Ciais P, Dirmeyer PA, Dolman AJ, […], Zhang Y [2013] Benchmarkproducts for land evapotranspiration: LandFlux-EVAL multi-data set synthesis. Hydrology andEarth System Sciences 17(10), 3707-3720. doi: 10.5194/hess-17-3707-2013.

Mueller ND, Gerber JS, Johnston M, Ray DK, Ramankutty N, Foley JA [2012] Closing yield gapsthrough nutrient and water management. Nature 490, 254-257. doi: 10.1038/nature11420.

Murray-Rust D, Brown C, van Vliet J, Alam SJ, Robinson DT, Verburg PH, Rounsevell MDA [2014]Combining agent functional types, capitals and services to model land use dynamics.Environmental Modelling & Software 59, 187-201. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2014.05.019.

Nachtergaele FO, Petri M, Biancalani R, van Lynden G, van Velthuizen H, Bloise M [2014] Global LandDegradation Information System (GLADIS) Version 1.0 – An Information database for LandDegradation Assessment at Global Level.

Nakicenovic N, Swart R (eds.) [2000] Special Report on Emissions Scenarios: A special report of Working GroupIII of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK andNew York, NY, USA, 570pp. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/emissions-scenarios/.

Naudts K, Chen Y, McGrath MJ, Ryder J, Valade A, Otto J, Luyssaert S [2016] Europe’s forestmanagement did not mitigate climate warming. Science 351, 597-601. doi:10.1126/science.aac9976.

Neale RB, Chen C-C, Gettelman A, Lauritzen PH, Park S, Williamson DL, […], Taylor MA [2012]Description of the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model (CAM 5.0). NCAR Technical Notes486, 289pp.http://www.cesm.ucar.edu/models/cesm1.0/cam/docs/description/cam5_desc.pdf.

Nelson GC, Valin H, Sands RD, Havlik P, Ahammad H, Deryng D, […], Willenbockel D [2014a] Climatechange effects on agriculture: Economic responses to biophysical shocks. Proceedings of theNational Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 111(9), 3274-3279. doi:10.1073/pnas.1222465110.

Page 14: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

154

Nelson GC, van der Mensbrugghe D, Ahammad H, Blanc E, Calvin K, Hasegawa T, […], WillenbockelD [2014b] Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don’t the models agree.Agricultural Economics 45, 85-101. doi: 10.1111/agec.12091.

Neufeldt H, Kissinger G, Alcamo J [2015] No-till agriculture and climate change mitigation. NatureClimate Change 5(6), 488-489. doi: 10.1038/nclimate2653.

Neumann K, Verburg PH, Stehfest E, Müller C [2010] The yield gap of global grain production: Aspatial analysis. Agricultural Systems 103(5), 316-326. doi: 10.1016/J.AGSY.2010.02.004.

Newbold T, Hudson LN, Hill SLL, Contu S, Lysenko I, Senior RA, […], Purvis A [2015] Global effectsof land use on local terrestrial biodiversity. Nature 520, 45-50. doi: 10.1038/nature14324.

Nishina K, Ito A, Falloon P, Friend AD, Beerling DJ, Ciais P, […], Yokohata T [2015] Decomposinguncertainties in the future terrestrial carbon budget associated with emission scenarios, climateprojections, and ecosystem simulations using the ISI-MIP results. Earth System Dynamics 6(2), 435-445. doi: 10.5194/esd-6-435-2015.

Ogle SM, Breidt FJ, Paustian K [2005] Agricultural management impacts on soil organic carbon storageunder moist and dry climatic conditions of temperate and tropical regions. Biogeochemistry 72(1),87-121. doi: 10.1007/s10533-004-0360-2.

Ogle SM, Swan A, Paustian K [2012] No-till management impacts on crop productivity, carbon input andsoil carbon sequestration. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 149, 37-49. doi: 10.1016/J.AGEE.2011.12.010.

O’Neill BC, Kriegler E, Ebi KL, Kemp-Benedict E, Riahi K, Rothman DS, […], Solecki W [2017] Theroads ahead: Narratives for shared socioeconomic pathways describing world futures in the 21stcentury. Global Environmental Change 42, 169-180. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.01.004.

Oleson KW, Lawrence DM, Bonan GB, Flanner MG, Kluzek E, Lawrence PJ, […], Zeng X [2010]Technical Description of version 4.0 of the Community Land Model (CLM). NCAR TechnicalNote 478, 266pp. doi: 10.5065/D6FB50WZ.

Otto IM, Biewald A, Coumou D, Feulner G, Köhler C, Nocke T, […], Beck U [2015] Socio-economicdata for global environmental change research. Nature Climate Change 5(6), 503-506. doi:10.1038/nclimate2593.

Pannell DJ, Llewellyn RS, Corbeels M [2014] The farm-level economics of conservation agriculture forresource-poor farmers. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 187, 52-64. doi: 10.1016/j.agee.2013.10.014.

Parry ML, Rosenzweig C, Iglesias A, Livermore M, Fischer G [2004] Effects of climate change on globalfood production under SRES emissions and socio-economic scenarios. Global EnvironmentalChange 14(1), 53-67. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.008.

Paustian K, Lehmann J, Ogle S, Reay D, Robertson GP, Smith P [2016] Climate-smart soils. Nature 532,49-57. doi: 10.1038/nature17174.

Perugini L, Caporaso L, Marconi S, Cescatti A, Quesada B, de Noblet-Ducoudré, […], Arneth A [2017]Biophysical effects on temperature and precipitation due to land cover change. EnvironmentalResearch Letters 12(5), 053002. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa6b3f.

Peters GP, Andrew RM, Boden T, Canadell JG, Ciais P, Le Quéré C, […], Wilson C [2013] The challengeto keep global warming below 2 °C. Nature Climate Change 3, 4-6. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1783.

Phelps LN, Kaplan JO [2017] Land use for animal production in global change studies: Defining andcharacterizing a framework. Global Change Biology 23(11), 4457-4471. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13732.

Pielke RA, Avissar R, Raupach M, Dolman AJ, Zeng X, Denning AS [1998] Interactions between theatmosphere and terrestrial ecosystems: influence on weather and climate. Global Change Biology4(5), 461-475. doi: 10.1046/j.1365-2486.1998.t01-1-00176.x.

Pielke RA, Adegoke J, BeltraáN-Przekurat A, Hiemstra CA, Lin J, Nair US, […], Nobis TE [2007] Anoverview of regional land-use and land-cover impacts on rainfall. Tellus B: Chemical and PhysicalMeteorology 59(3), 587-601. doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0889.2007.00251.x.

Pielke RA, Pitman A, Niyogi D, Mahmood R, McAlpine C, Hossain F, […], de Noblet N [2011] Landuse/land cover changes and climate: modeling analysis and observational evidence. WileyInterdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2(6), 828-850. doi: 10.1002/wcc.144.

Pindyck RS [2015] The Use and Misuse of Models for Climate Policy. NBER Working Paper Series 21097,18pp. doi: 10.3386/w21097.

Pitman AJ, de Noblet-Ducoudré N, Cruz FT, Davin EL, Bonan GB, Brovkin V, […], Voldoire A [2009]Uncertainties in climate responses to past land cover change: First results from the LUCIDintercomparison study. Geophysical Research Letters 36(14), L14814. doi: 10.1029/2009GL039076.

Page 15: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

155

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Pittelkow CM, Liang X, Linquist BA, van Groenigen KJ, Lee J, Lundy ME, […], van Kessel C [2014]Productivity limits and potential of the principles of conservation agriculture. Nature 517, 365-367. doi: 10.1038/nature13809.

Pittelkow CM, Linquist BA, Lundy ME, Liang X, van Groeningen KJ, Lee J, […], van Kessel C [2015]When does no-till yield more? A global meta-analysis. Field Crops Research 183, 156-168. doi:10.1016/j.fcr.2015.07.020.

Pongratz J, Reick C, Raddatz T, Claussen M [2008] A reconstruction of global agricultural areas and landcover for the last millennium. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 22, GB3018. doi:10.1029/2007GB003153.

Pongratz J, Raddatz T, Reick CH, Esch M, Claussen M [2009] Radiative forcing from anthropogenic landcover change since A.D. 800. Geophysical Research Letters 36(2), L02709. doi:10.1029/2008GL036394.

Pongratz J, Reick CH, Raddatz T, Claussen M [2010] Biogeophysical versus biogeochemical climateresponse to historical anthropogenic land cover change. Geophysical Research Letters 37(8), L08702.doi: 10.1029/2010GL043010.

Pongratz J, Reick CH, Hougthon RA, House JI [2014] Terminology as a key uncertainty in net land useand land cover change carbon flux estimates. Earth System Dynamics 5(1), 177-195. doi:10.5194/esd-5-177-2014.

Pongratz J, Dolman H, Don A, Erb K-H, Fuchs R, Herold M, […], Naudts K [2018] Models meet data:Challenges and opportunities in implementing land management in Earth system models. GlobalChange Biology 24(4), 1470-1487. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13988.

Pontius RG, Cheuk ML [2006] A generalized cross-tabulation matrix to compare soft-classified maps atmultiple resolutions. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 20(1), 1-30. doi:10.1080/13658810500391024.

Pontius RG, Boersma W, Castella J-C, Clarke K, de Nijs T, Dietzel C, […], Verburg PH [2008]Comparing the input, output, and validation maps for several models of land change. Annals ofRegional Science 42(1), 11-37. doi: 10.1007/s00168-007-0138-2.

Pontius RG, Millones M [2011] Death to Kappa: birth of quantity disagreement and allocationdisagreement for accuracy assessment. International Journal of Remote Sensing 32(15), 4407-4429.doi: 10.1080/01431161.2011.552923.

Popp A, Humpenöder F, Weindl I, Bodirsky BL, Bonsch M, Lotze-Campen H, […], Dietrich JP [2014a]Land-use protection for climate change mitigation. Nature Climate Change 4(12), 2-5. doi:10.1038/nclimate2444.

Popp A, Rose SK, Calvin K, van Vuuren DP, Dietrich JP, Wise M, […], Kriegler E [2014b] Land-usetransitions for bioenergy and climate stabilization: model comparison of drivers, impacts andinteractions with other land use based mitigation options. Climatic Change 123(3-4), 495-509. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0926-x.

Popp A, Calvin K, Fujimori S, Havlik P, Humpenöder F, Stehfest E, […], van Vuuren DP [2017] Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways. Global Environmental Change 42, 331-345. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.10.002.

Potter P, Ramankutty N, Bennett EM, Donner SD [2010] Characterizing the spatial patterns of globalfertilizer application and manure production. Earth Interactions 14(2), 1-22. doi:10.1175/2009EI288.1.

Porter JR, Xie AJ, Challinor AJ, Cochrane K, Howden SM, Iqbal MM, […], Travasso MI [2014] Foodsecurity and food production systems. In: Climate Change 2014: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability.Part A: Global and sectoral aspects. Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of theIntergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [eds. Field CB, Barros VR, Dokken DJ, Mach KJ,Mastrandrea MD, Bilir TE, Chatterjee M, Ebi KL, Estrada YO, Genova RC, Girma B, Kissel ES,Levy AN, MacCracken S, Mastrandrea PR, White LL], 485-533. Cambridge University Press,Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.

Poulter B, Ciais P, Hodson E, Lischke H, Maignan F, Plummer S, Zimmermann NE [2011] Plantfunctional type mapping for earth system models. Geoscientific Model Development 4(4), 993-1010.doi: 10.5194/gmd-4-993-2011.

Powell T [2015] Closing loops to rebalance the global carbon cycle: Biomass flows modelling of globalagricultural carbon fluxes. PhD Thesis, University of Exeter, 244pp.https://ore.exeter.ac.uk/repository/handle/10871/18699?show=full.

Page 16: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

156

Power AG [2010] Ecosystem services and agriculture: tradeoffs and synergies. Philosophical Transactions ofthe Royal Society B 365, 2959-2971. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2010.0143.

Powlson DS, Stirling CM, Jat ML, Gerard BG, Palm CA, Sanchez PA, Cassman KG [2014] Limitedpotential of no-till agriculture for climate change mitigation. Nature Climate Change 4(8), 678-683.doi: 10.1038/nclimate2292.

Pratibha G, Srinivas I, Rao KV, Shanker AK, Raju BMK, Choudhary DK, […], Maheswari M [2016] Netglobal warming potential and greenhouse gas intensity of conventional and conservationagriculture system in rainfed semi arid tropics of India. Atmospheric Environment 145, 239-250.

Prentice IC, Bondeau A, Cramer W, Harrison SP, Hickler T, Lucht W, […], Sykes MT [2007] DynamicGlobal Vegetation Modeling: Quantifying Terrestrial Ecosystem Responses to Large-ScaleEnvironmental Change. In: Terrestrial Ecosystems in a Changing World [eds. Canadell JG, Pataki DE,Pitelka LF], 175-192. Springer Berlin Heidelberg, Berlin, Heidelberg.

Prestele R, Alexander P, Rounsevell MDA, Arneth A, Calvin K, Doelman J, […], Verburg PH [2016]Hotspots of uncertainty in land-use and land-cover change projections: a global-scale modelcomparison. Global Change Biology 22(12), 3967-3983. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13337.

Prestele R, Hirsch AL, Davin EL, Seneviratne SI, Verburg PH [2018] A spatially explicit representationof conservation agriculture for application in global change studies. Global Change Biology 24(9),4038-4053. doi: 10.1111/gcb.14307.

Pretty JN [1997] The sustainable intensification of agriculture. Natural Resources Forum 21(4), 247-256. doi:10.1111/j.1477-8947.1997.tb00699.x.

Pretty J [2008] Agricultural sustainability: concepts, principles and evidence. Philosophical Transactions of theRoyal Society B 363, 447-465. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2163.

Pugh TAM, Arneth A, Olin S, Ahlström A, Bayer AD, Klein Goldewijk K, […], Schurgers G [2015]Simulated carbon emissions from land-use change are substantially enhanced by accounting foragricultural management. Environmental Research Letters 10(12), 124008. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/12/124008.

Qian Y, Huang M, Yang B, Berg LK [2013] A Modeling Study of Irrigation Effects on Surface Fluxesand Land-Air-Cloud Interactions in the Southern Great Plains. Journal of Hydrometeorology 14(3),700-721. doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-12-0134.1.

Quaife T, Quegan S, Disney M, Lewis P, Lomas M, Woodward FI [2008] Impact of land coveruncertainties on estimates of biospheric carbon fluxes. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 22(4), GB4016.doi: 10.1029/2007GB003097.

Quinton JN, Govers G, Van Oost K, Bardgett RD [2010] The impact of agricultural soil erosion onbiogeochemical cycling. Nature Geoscience 3(5), 311-314. doi: 10.1038/ngeo838.

Quetin GR, Swann ALS [2017] Empirically derived sensitivity of vegetation to climate across globalgradients of temperature and precipitation. Journal of Climate 30(15), 5835-5849. doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0829.1

Ramankutty N, Foley JA [1999] Estimating historical changes in global land cover: Croplands from 1700to 1992. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 13(4), 997-1027. doi: 10.1029/1999GB900046.

Ramankutty N, Foley JA, Olejniczak NJ [2002] People on the Land: Changes in Global Population andCroplands during the 20th Century. Ambio 31(3), 251-257. doi: 10.1579/0044-7447-31.3.251.

Ramankutty N, Evan AT, Monfreda C, Foley JA [2008] Farming the planet: 1. Geographic distribution ofglobal agricultural lands in the year 2000. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 22, GB1003. doi:10.1029/2007GB002952.

Rasmussen LV, Coolsaet B, Martin A, Mertz O, Pascual U, Corbera E, […], Ryan CM [2018] Social-ecological outcomes of agricultural intensification. Nature Sustainability 1(6), 275-282. doi:10.1038/s41893-018-0070-8.

Ray DK, Ramankutty N, Mueller ND, West PC, Foley JA [2012] Recent patterns of crop yield growthand stagnation. Nature Communications 3, 1293. doi: 10.1038/ncomms2296.

Ray DK, Mueller ND, West PC, Foley JA [2013] Yield Trends Are Insufficient to Double Global CropProduction by 2050. PLOS ONE 8(6), e66428. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0066428.

Reick CH, Raddatz T, Brovkin V, Gayler V [2013] Representation of natural and anthropogenic landcover change in MPI-ESM. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 5(3), 459-482. doi:10.1002/jame.20022.

Riahi K, van Vuuren DP, Kriegler E, Edmonds J, O’Neill BC, Fujimori S, […], Tavoni M [2017] TheShared Socioeconomic Pathways and their energy, land use, and greenhouse gas emissionsimplications: An overview. Global Environmental Change 42, 153-168. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.05.009.

Page 17: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

157

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Richards JF, Land transformation. In: The Earth as Transformed by Human Action [eds. Turner II BL, ClarkWC, Kates RW, Richards JF, Mathews JT, Meyer WB], 163-178. Cambridge University Press,New York, NY, USA.

Robinson S, van Meijl H, Willenbockel D, Valin H, Fujimori S, Masui T, […], von Lampe M [2014]Comparing supply-side specifications in models of global agriculture and the food system.Agricultural Economics 45(1), 21-35. doi: 10.1111/agec.12087.

Rockström J, Williams J, Daily G, Noble A, Matthews N, Gordon L, […], Smith J [2017] Sustainableintensification of agriculture for human prosperity and global sustainability. Ambio 46(1), 4-17.doi: 10.1007/s13280-016-0793-6.

Rohatgi A [2018] WebPlotDigitizer, Version 4.1. https://automeris.io/WebPlotDigitizer/.Rose SK, Ahammad H, Eickhout B, Fisher B, Kurasowa A, Rao S, […], van Vuuren DP [2012] Land-

based mitigation in climate stabilization. Energy Economics 34(1), 365-380. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2011.06.004.

Rounsevell MDA, Arneth A, Alexander P, Brown DG, de Noblet-Ducoudré N, Ellis E, […], Young O[2014] Towards decision-based global land use models for improved understanding of the Earthsystem. Earth System Dynamics 5, 117-137. doi: 10.5194/esd-5-117-2014.

Ruddiman WF, Ellis EC [2009] Effect of per-capita land use changes on Holocene forest clearance andCO2 emissions. Quaternary Science Reviews 28(27-28), 3011-3015. doi: 10.1016/J.QUASCIREV.2009.05.022.

Sacks WJ, Cook BI, Buenning N, Levis S, Helkowski JH [2009] Effects of global irrigation on the near-surface climate. Climate Dynamics 33(2-3), 159-175. doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0445-z.

Sacks WJ, Deryng D, Foley JA, Ramankutty N [2010] Crop planting dates: an analysis of global patterns.Global Ecology and Biogeography 19(5), 607-620. doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2010.00551.x.

Saharawat YS, Singh B, Malik RK, Ladha JK, Gathala M, Jat ML, Kumar V [2010] Evaluation ofalternative tillage and crop establishment methods in a rice-wheat rotation in North WesternIGP. Field Crops Research 116(3), 260-267. doi: 10.1016/j.fcr.2010.01.003.

Saltelli A, D’Hombres B [2010] Sensitivity analysis didn’t help. A practitioner’s critique of the Sternreview. Global Environmental Change 20(2), 298-302. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2009.12.003.

Samberg LH, Gerber JS, Ramankutty N, Herrero M, West PC [2016] Subnational distribution of averagefarm size and smallholder contributions to global food production. Environmental Research Letters11(12), 124010. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/12/124010.

Sampaio G, Nobre C, Costa MH, Satyamurty P, Soares-Filho BS, Cardoso M [2007] Regional climatechange over eastern Amazonia caused by pasture and soybean cropland expansion. GeophysicalResearch Letters 34(17), L17709. doi: 10.1029/2007GL030612.

Sanderman J, Hengl T, Fiske GJ [2017] Soil carbon debt of 12,000 years of human land use. Proceedings ofthe National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 114(36), 9575-9580. doi:10.1073/pnas.1706103114.

Sands RD, Jones CA, Marshall E [2014] Global Drivers of Agricultural Demand and Supply. EconomicResearch Report 174.

Saunois M, Bousquet P, Poulter B, Peregon A, Ciais P, Canadell JG, […], Zhu Q [2016] The globalmethane budget 2000-2012. Earth System Science Data 8(2), 697-751. doi: 10.5194/essd-8-697-2016.

Scanlon BR, Jolly I, Sophocleous M, Zhang L [2007] Global impacts of conversions from natural toagricultural ecosystems on water resources: Quantity versus quality. Water Resources Research 43,W03437. doi: 10.1029/2006WR005486.

Schaldach R, Alcamo J, Koch J, Kölking C, Lapola DM, Schüngel J, Priess JA [2011] An integratedapproach to modelling land-use change on continental and global scales. Environmental Modellingand Software 26(8), 1041-1051. doi: 10.1016/j.envsoft.2011.02.013.

Scherer L, Verburg PH [2017] Mapping and linking supply- and demand-side measures in climate-smartagriculture. A review. Agronomy for Sustainable Development 37(6), 66. doi: 10.1007/s13593-017-0475-1.

Scherer LA, Verburg PH, Schulp CJE [2018] Opportunities for sustainable intensification in Europeanagriculture. Global Environmental Change 48, 43-55. doi: 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2017.11.009.

Schmitz C, van Meijl H, Kyle P, Nelson GC, Fujimori S, Gurgel A, […], Valin H [2014] Land-use changetrajectories up to 2050: insights from a global agro-economic model comparison. AgriculturalEconomics 45, 69-84.

Page 18: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

158

Schulze K, Malek Z, Verburg PH [2019] Towards better mapping of forest management patterns: Aglobal allocation approach. Forest Ecology and Management 432, 776-785. doi:10.1016/J.FORECO.2018.10.001.

Schwen A, Bodner G, Scholl P, Buchan GD, Loiskandl W [2011] Temporal dynamics of soil hydraulicproperties and the water-conducting porosity under different tillage. Soil and Tillage Research113(2), 89-98. doi: 10.1016/J.STILL.2011.02.005.

Seddon AWR, Macias-Fauria M, Long PR, Benz D, Willis KJ [2016] Sensitivity of global terrestrialecosystems to climate variability. Nature 531, 229-232. doi: 10.1038/nature16986.

Seneviratne SI, Corti T, Davin EL, Jaeger EB, Lehner I, Orlowsky B, Teuling AJ [2010] Investigating soilmoisture-climate interactions in a changing climate: A review. Earth-Science Reviews 99(3-4), 125-161. doi: 10.1016/J.EARSCIREV.2010.02.004.

Seneviratne SI, Nicholls N, Easterling D, Goodess CM, Kanae M, Kossin J, […], Zhang X [2012]Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical environment. In: Managingthe risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation. A Special Report of WorkingGroups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [eds. Field CB, Barros V, Stocker TF,Qin D, Dokken DJ, Ebi KL, Mastrandrea MD, Mach KJ, Plattner G-K, Allen SK, Tignor M,Midgley PM], 109-230. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA.

Seneviratne SI, Donat MG, Pitman AJ, Knutti R, Wilby RL [2016] Allowable CO2 emissions based onregional and impact-related climate targets. Nature 529, 477-483. doi: 10.1038/nature16542.

Seneviratne SI, Phipps SJ, Pitman AJ, Hirsch AL, Davin EL, Donat MG, […], Kravitz B [2018] Landradiative management as contributor to regional-scale climate adaptation and mitigation. NatureGeoscience 11(2), 88-96. doi: 10.1038/s41561-017-0057-5.

Sexton JO, Noojipady P, Song X-P, Feng M, Song D-X, Kim D-H, […], Townshend R [2015]Conservation policy and the measurement of forests. Nature Climate Change 6, 192-196. doi:10.1038/nclimate2816.

Shevliakova E, Stouffer RJ, Malyshev S, Krasting JP, Hurtt GC, Pacala SW [2013] Historical warmingreduced due to enhanced land carbon uptake. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of theUnited States of America 110(42), 16730-16735. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1314047110.

Siebert S, Kummu M, Porkka M, Döll P, Ramankutty N, Scanlon BR [2015] A global data set of theextent of irrigated land from 1900 to 2005. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19(3), 1521-1545.doi: 10.5194/hess-19-1521-2015.

Sitch S, Brovkin V, von Bloh W, van Vuuren D, Eickhout B, Ganopolski A [2005] Impacts of future landcover changes on atmospheric CO2 and climate. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 19, GB2013. doi:10.1029/2004GB002311.

Smith P, Martino D, Cai Z, Gwary D, Janzen H, Kumar P, […], Smith J [2008] Greenhouse gas mitigationin agriculture. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 363, 789-813. doi:10.1098/rstb.2007.2184.

Smith P, Gregory PJ, van Vuuren D, Obersteiner M, Havlik P, Rounsevell M, […], Bellarby J [2010]Competition for land. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B 365, 2941-2957. doi:10.1098/rstb.2010.0127.

Smith P, Haberl H, Popp A, Erb K-H, Lauk C, Harper R, […], Rose S [2013] How much land-basedgreenhouse gas mitigation can be achieved without comprising food security and environmentalgoals? Global Change Biology 19(8), 2285-2302. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12160.

Smith P, Bustamante M, Ahammad H, Clark H, Dong H, Elsiddig EA, […], Tubiello F [2014]Agriculture, Forestry and Other Land Use (AFOLU). In: Climate Change 2014: Mitigation ofClimate Change. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the IntergovernmentalPanel on Climate Change [eds. Edenhofer O, Pichs-Madruga R, Sokona Y, Farahani E, Kadner S,Seyboth K, Adler A, Baum I, Brunner S, Eickemeier P, Kriemann B, Savolainen J, Schlömer S,von Stechow C, Zwickel T, Minx JC], 811-922. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK andNew York, NY, USA.

Smith P, Davis JS, Creutzig F, Fuss S, Minx J, Gabrielle B, […], Yongsung C [2016a] Biophysical andeconomic limits to negative CO2 emissions. Nature Climate Change 6(1), 42-50. doi:10.1038/nclimate2870.

Smith P, House JI, Bustamante M, Sobocká J, Harper R, Pan G, […], Pugh TAM [2016b] Global changepressures on soils from land use and management. Global Change Biology 22(3), 1008-1028. doi:10.1111/gcb.13068.

Page 19: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

159

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

Smith P [2016c] Soil carbon sequestration and biochar as negative emission technologies. Global ChangeBiology 22(3), 1315-1324. doi: 10.1111/gcb.13178.

Smith P [2018a] Managing the global land resource. Proceedings of the Royal Society B 285, 20172798. doi:10.1098/rspb.2017.2798.

Smith P, Price J, Molotoks A, Warren R, Malhi Y [2018b] Impacts on terrestrial biodiversity of movingfrom a 2°C to a 1.5°C target. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A 376, 20160456. doi:10.1098/rsta.2016.0456.

Soane BD, Ball BC, Arvidsson J, Basch G, Moreno F, Roger-Estrade J [2012] No-till in northern, westernand south-western Europe: A review of problems and opportunities for crop production and theenvironment. Soil & Tillage Research 118, 66-87. doi: 10.1016/j.still.2011.10.015.

Solomon S, Qin D, Manning M, Chen Z, Marquis M, Averyt KB, […], Miller HL (eds.) [2007] ClimateChange 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Reportof the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UnitedKingdom and New York, NY, USA, 1007pp. https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar4/wg1/.

Sommer R, Bossio D [2014] Dynamics and climate change mitigation potential of soil organic carbonsequestration. Journal of Environmental Management 144, 83-87. doi: 10.1016/J.JENVMAN.2014.05.017.

Song X-P, Hansen MC, Stehman SV, Potapov PV, Tyukavina A, Vermote EF, Townshend JR [2018]Global land change from 1982 to 2016. Nature 560, 639-643. doi: 10.1038/s41586-018-0411-9.

Sorai M, Yoshida N, Ishikawa M [2007] Biogeochemical simulation of nitrous oxide cycle based on themajor nitrogen processes. Journal of Geophysical Research 112, G01006. doi:10.1029/2005JG000109.

Speratti A, Turmel M-S, Calegari A, Araujo-Junior CF, Violic A, Wall P, Govaerts B [2015] Conservationagriculture in Latin America. In: Conservation Agriculture [eds. Farooq M, Siddique KHM], 391-416. Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Stackhouse PW, Gupta SK, Cox SJ, Zhang T, Mikovitz JC, Hinkelman LM [2011] 24.5-year SRB data setreleased. GEWEX News 21(1), 10-12. http://www.gewex.org/gewex- content/files_mf/1432209318Feb2011.pdf.

Statistics Canada [2011] Census of Agriculture, tillage practices used to prepare land for seeding.http://www.statccan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/141117/dq141117b-cansim-eng.htm.

Stehfest E, van Vuuren D, Kram T, Bouwman L (eds.) [2014] Integrated Assessment of Global EnvironmentalChange with IMAGE 3.0. Model description and policy applications. PBL Netherlands EnvironmentalAssessment Agency, The Hague, The Netherlands, 370pp.https://www.pbl.nl/sites/default/files/cms/publicaties/pbl-2014-integrated%20assessment%20of%20global%20environmental%20change%20with%20image30_735.pdf.

Stehman SV, Wickham JD, Smith JH, Yang L [2003] Thematic accuracy of the 1992 National Land-Cover Data for the eastern United States: Statistical methodology and regional results. RemoteSensing of Environment 86(4), 500-516. doi: 10.1016/S0034-4257(03)00128-7.

Steinbuks J, Hertel TW [2016] Confronting the food-energy-environment trilemma: global land use inthe long run. Environmental and Resource Economics 63(3), 545-570. doi: 10.1007/s10640-014-9848-y.

Sterling SM, Ducharne A, Polcher J [2012] The impact of global land-cover change on the terrestrialwater cycle. Nature Climate Change 3(4), 385-390. doi: 10.1038/nclimate1690.

Stevenson JR, Serraj R, Cassman KG [2014] Evaluating conservation agriculture for small-scale farmersin Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 187, 1-10. doi:10.1016/J.AGEE.2014.01.018.

Stewart CE, Paustian K, Conant RT, Plante AF, Six J [2007] Soil carbon saturation: concept, evidenceand evaluation. Biogeochemistry 86(1), 19-31. doi: 10.1007/s10533-007-9140-0.

Stewart CE, Plante AF, Paustian K, Conant RT, Six J [2008] Soil Carbon Saturation: Linking Concept andMeasurable Carbon Pools. Soil Science Society of America Journal 72(2), 379-392. doi: 10.2136/sssaj2007.0104.

Stocker BD, Feissli F, Strassmann KM, Spahni R, Joos F [2014] Past and future carbon fluxes from landuse change, shifting cultivation and wood harvest. Tellus B 66, 23188. doi:10.3402/tellusb.v66.23188.

Stocker BD, Joos F [2015] Quantifying differences in land use emission estimates implied by definitiondiscrepancies. Earth System Dynamics 6(2), 731-744. doi: 10.5194/esd-6-731-2015.

Page 20: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

160

Sunding D, Zilberman D [2001] The agricultural innovation process: Research and technology adoptionin a changing agricultural sector. In: Handbook of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 1 [eds. Gardner BL,Rausser GC], 207-261. Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

Syakila A, Kroeze C [2011] The global nitrous oxide budget revisited. Greenhouse Gas Measurement andManagement 1(1), 17-26. doi: 10.3763/ghgmm.2010.0007.

Taylor KE, Stouffer RJ, Meehl GA [2012] An overview of CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bulletin ofthe American Meteorological Society 93(4), 485-498. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00094.1.

Thiery W, Davin EL, Lawrence DM, Hirsch AL, Hauser M, Seneviratne SI [2017] Present-day irrigationmitigates heat extremes. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 122(3), 1403-1422. doi:10.1002/2016JD025740.

Tian H, Lu C, Ciais P, Michalak AM, Canadell JG, Saikawa E, […], Wofsy SC [2016] The terrestrialbiosphere as a net source of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. Nature 531, 225-228. doi:10.1038/nature16946.

Tilman D [1999] Global environmental impacts of agricultural expansion: The need for sustainable andefficient practices. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America96(11), 5995-6000. doi: 10.1073/PNAS.96.11.5995.

Tilman D, Fargione J, Wolff B, D’Antonio C, Dobson A, Howarth R, […], Swackhamer D [2001]Forecasting agriculturally driven global environmental change. Science 292, 281-284. doi:10.1126/science.1057544.

Tilman D, Balzer C, Hill J, Befort BL [2011] Global food demand and the sustainable intensification ofagriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 108(50),20260-20264. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1116437108.

Trabucco A, Zomer RJ [2009] Global Aridity Index (Global-Aridity) and Global Potential Evapo-Transpiration (Global PET) Geospatial Database. http://www.csi.cgiar.org.

Trenberth KE, Fasullo JT, Kiehl J [2009] Earth’s global energy budget. Bulletin of the AmericanMeteorological Society 90(3), 311-324. doi: 10.1175/2008BAMS2634.1.

Tuanmu M-N, Jetz W [2014] A global 1-km consensus land-cover product for biodiversity and ecosystemmodelling. Global Ecology and Biogeography 23(9), 1031-1045. doi: 10.1111/geb.12182.

Tubiello FN, Salvatore M, Ferrara AF, House J, Federici S, Rossi S, […], Smith P [2015] The Contributionof Agriculture, Forestry and other Land Use activities to Global Warming, 1990-2012. GlobalChange Biology 21(7), 2655-2660. doi: 10.1111/gcb.12865.

Turner BL, Lambin EF, Reenberg A [2007] The emergence of land change science for globalenvironmental change and sustainability. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the UnitedStates of America 104(52), 20666-20671. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0704119104.

UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) [1997] World Atlas of Desertification [eds. Middleton N,Thomas D]. Arnold, London, UK, 182pp.

UNEP (United Nations Environment Programme) [2013] The emissions gap report 2013. Nairobi, Kenya,64pp.http://web.unep.org/sites/default/files/EGR2013/EmissionsGapReport_2013_high-res.pdf.

UNESCO (United Nations Educational, Scientific and Cultural Organization) [1980] Metodologíaprovisional para la evaluación de la degradación de los suelos [provisional methodology to evaluate soil erosion].Organización de las Naciones Unidas para la Agricultura y la Alimentación, Paris, France, 86pp.

van Asselen S, Verburg PH [2012] A Land System representation for global assessments and land-usemodeling. Global Change Biology 18(10), 3125-3148. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2012.02759.x.

van Asselen S, Verburg PH [2013] Land cover change or land-use intensification: simulating land systemchange with a global-scale land change model. Global Change Biology 19(12), 3648-3667. doi:10.1111/gcb.12331.

van Meijl H, van Rheenen T, Tabeau A, Eickhout B [2006] The impact of different policy environmentson agricultural land use in Europe. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 114(1), 21-38. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2005.11.006.

Van Oost K, Quine TA, Govers G, de Gryze S, Six J, Harden JW, […], Merckx R [2007] The Impact ofAgricultural Soil Erosion on the Global Carbon Cycle. Science 318, 626-629. doi: 10.1126/science.1145724.

van Vliet J, Eitelberg DA, Verburg PH [2017] A global analysis of land take in cropland areas andproduction displacement from urbanization. Global Environmental Change 43, 107-115. doi:10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2017.02.001.

Page 21: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

161

RE

FER

EN

CE

S

van Vuuren DP, Edmonds J, Kainuma M, Riahi K, Thomson A, Hibbard K, […], Rose SK [2011] Therepresentative concentration pathways: an overview. Climatic Change 109, 5-31. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0148-z.

van Vuuren DP, Carter TR [2014] Climate and socio-economic scenarios for climate change research andassessment: reconciling the new with the old. Climatic Change 122(3), 415-429. doi:10.1007/s10584-013-0974-2.

Verburg PH, Overmars KP [2009] Combining top-down and bottom-up dynamics in land use modeling:exploring the future of abandoned farmlands in Europe with the Dyna-CLUE model. LandscapeEcology 24(9), 1167-1181. doi: 10.1007/s10980-009-9355-7.

Verburg PH, Neumann K, Nol L [2011a] Challenges in using land use and land cover data for globalchange studies. Global Change Biology 17(2), 974-989. doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2010.02307.x.

Verburg PH, Ellis EC, Letourneau A [2011b] A global assessment of market accessibility and marketinfluence for global environmental change studies. Environmental Research Letters 6(3), 034019. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/6/3/034019.

Verburg PH, Mertz O, Erb K-H, Haberl H, Wu W [2013a] Land system change and food security:towards multi-scale land system solutions. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability 5(5), 494-502. doi: 10.1016/j.cosust.2013.07.003.

Verburg PH, Tabeau A, Hatna E [2013b] Assessing spatial uncertainties of land allocation using ascenario approach and sensitivity analysis: A study for land use in Europe. Journal of EnvironmentalManagement 127, S132-S144. doi: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.08.038.

Verburg PH, Crossman N, Ellis EC, Heinimann A, Hostert P, Mertz O, […], Zhen L [2015] Land systemscience and sustainable development of the earth system: A global land project perspective.Anthropocene 12, 29-41. doi: 10.1016/J.ANCENE.2015.09.004.

Verburg PH, Dearing JA, Dyke JG, van der Leeuw S, Seitzinger S, Steffen W, Syvitski J [2016] Methodsand approaches to modelling the Anthropocene. Global Environmental Change 39, 328-340. doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2015.08.007.

von Lampe M, Willenbockel D, Ahammad H, Blanc E, Cai Y, Calvin K, […], van Meijl H [2014] Why doglobal long-term scenarios for agriculture differ? An overview of the AgMIP Global EconomicModel Intercomparison. Agricultural Economics 45(1), 3-20. doi: 10.1111/agec.12086.

Wang Z, Hoffmann T, Six J, Kaplan JO, Govers G, Doetterl S, Van Oost K [2017] Human-inducederosion has offset one-third of carbon emissions from land cover change. Nature Climate Change7, 345-350. doi: 10.1038/nclimate3263.

Wang Z, Schaaf CB, Sun Q, Kim J, Erb AM, Gao F, […], Papuga SA [2017] Monitoring land surfacealbedo and vegetation dynamics using high spatial and temporal resolution synthetic time seriesfrom Landsat and the MODIS BRDF/NBAR/albedo product. International Journal of AppliedEarth Observation and Geoinformation 59, 104-117. doi: 10.1016/J.JAG.2017.03.008.

Walker WE, Harremoës P, Rotmans J, van der Sluijs JP, van Asselt MBA, Janssen P, Krayer von KraussMP [2003] Defining Uncertainty. A Conceptual Basis for Uncertainty Management in Model-Based Decision Support. Integrated Assessment 4, 5-17.

Ward PR, Siddique KHM [2015] Conservation Agriculture in Australia and New Zealand. In: ConservationAgriculture [eds. Farooq M, Siddique KHM], 335-356. Springer, New York, NY, USA.

Warszawski L, Frieler K, Huber V, Piontek F, Serdeczny O, Schewe J [2014] The Inter-Sectoral ImpactModel Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP): Project framework. Proceedings of the National Academyof Sciences of the United States of America 111(9), 3228-3232. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1312330110.

Weinzettel J, Hertwich EG, Peters GP, Steen-Olsen K, Galli A [2013] Affluence drives the globaldisplacement of land use. Global Environmental Change 23(2), 433-438. doi: 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.12.010.

Wejnert B [2002] Integrating Models of Diffusion of Innovations: A Conceptual Framework. AnnualReview of Sociology 28, 297-326. doi: 10.1146/annurev.soc.28.110601.141051.

Weltin M, Zasada I, Piorr A, Debolini M, Geniaux G, Moreno Perez O, […], Schulp CJE [2018]Conceptualising fields of action for sustainable intensification – A systematic literature reviewand application to regional case studies. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 257, 68-80. doi:10.1016/J.AGEE.2018.01.023.

West PC, Gibbs HK, Monfreda C, Wagner J, Barford CC, Carpenter SR, Foley JA [2010] Trading carbonfor food: Global comparison of carbon stocks vs. crop yields on agricultural land. Proceedings ofthe National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America 107(46), 19645-19648. doi:10.1073/pnas.1011078107.

Page 22: References references...simultaneously mitigating and adapting to climate change: initial experiments using GCAM. Climatic Change 117(3), 545-560. doi: 10.1007/s10584-012-0650-y. Campbell

162

West TO, Marland G [2002] A synthesis of carbon sequestration, carbon emissions, and net carbon fluxin agriculture: comparing tillage practices in the United States. Agriculture, Ecosystems andEnvironment 91(1-3), 217-232. doi: 10.1016/S0167-8809(01)00233-X.

West TO, Six J [2007] Considering the influence of sequestration duration and carbon saturation onestimates of soil carbon capacity. Climatic Change 80(1-2), 25-41. doi: 10.1007/s10584-006-9173-8.

Wickham JD, Stehman SV, Fry JA, Smith JH, Homer CG [2010] Thematic accuracy of the NLCD 2001land cover for the conterminous United States. Remote Sensing of Environment 114(6), 1286-1296.doi: 10.1016/J.RSE.2010.01.018.

Wickham JD, Stehman SV, Gass L, Dewitz J, Fry JA, Wade TG [2013] Accuracy assessment of NLCD2006 land cover and impervious surface. Remote Sensing of Environment 130, 294-304. doi:10.1016/J.RSE.2012.12.001.

Wilhelm M, Davin EL, Seneviratne SI [2015] Climate engineering of vegetated land for hot extremesmitigation: An Earth system model sensitivity study. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres120, 2613-2623. doi: 10.1002/2014JD022293.

Wilkenskjeld S, Kloster S, Pongratz J, Raddatz T, Reick CH [2014] Comparing the influence of net andgross anthropogenic land-use and land-cover changes on the carbon cycle in the MPI-ESM.Biogeosciences 11(17), 4817-4828. doi: 10.5194/bg-11-4817-2014.

Wirtz KW, Lemmen C [2003] A Global Dynamic Model for the Neolithic Transition. Climatic Change59(3), 333-367. doi: 10.1023/A:1024858532005.

Wolff S, Schrammeijer EA, Schulp CJE, Verburg PH [2018] Meeting global land restoration andprotection targets: What would the world look like in 2050? Global Environmental Change 52, 259-272. doi: 10.1016/J.GLOENVCHA.2018.08.002.

Woltjer G, Kuiper M, Kavallari A, van Meijl H, Powell JP, Rutten MM, […], Tabeau AA [2014] TheMagnet Model – Module Description. LEI report 14-057, 146pp.http://library.wur.nl/WebQuery/wurpubs/fulltext/310764.

Wu X, Shen Z, Liu R, Ding X [2008] Land Use/Cover Dynamics in Response to Changes inEnvironmental and Socio-Political Forces in the Upper Reaches of the Yangtze River, China.Sensors 8(12), 8104-8122. doi: 10.3390/s8128104.

Yang Y, Zhang S, Yang J, Chang L, Bu K, Xing X [2014] A review of historical reconstruction methodsof land use/land cover. Journal of Geographical Sciences 24(4), 746-766. doi: 10.1007/s11442-014-1117-z.

Yang X, Chen F, Lin X, Liu Z, Zhang H, Zhao J, […], Tang H [2015] Potential benefits of climatechange for crop productivity in China. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 208, 76-84. doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.04.024.

Yip S, Ferro CAT, Stephenson DB, Hawkins E [2011] A Simple, Coherent Framework for PartitioningUncertainty in Climate Predictions. Journal of Climate 24(17), 4634-4643. doi:10.1175/2011JCLI4085.1.

Zabel F, Putzenlechner B, Mauser W [2014] Global Agricultural Land Resources – A High ResolutionSuitability Evaluation and Its Perspectives until 2100 under Climate Change Conditions. PLOSONE 9(9), e107522. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0107522.

Zaehle S, Ciais P, Friend AD, Prieur V [2011] Carbon benefits of anthropogenic reactive nitrogen offsetby nitrous oxide emissions. Nature Geoscience 4(9), 601-605. doi: 10.1038/ngeo1207.

Zhang GS, Ni ZW [2017] Winter tillage impacts on soil organic carbon, aggregation and CO2 emissionin a rainfed vegetable cropping system of the mid-Yunnan plateau, China. Soil and Tillage Research165, 294-301. doi: 10.1016/j.still.2016.09.008.

Zhang X, Alexander L, Hegerl GC, Jones P, Klein Tank A, Peterson TC, […], Zwiers FW [2011] Indicesfor monitoring changes in extremes based on daily temperature and precipitation data. WileyInterdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change 2(6), 851-870. doi: 10.1002/wcc.147.

Zomer RJ, Bossio DA, Sommer R, Verchot LV [2017] Global Sequestration Potential of IncreasedOrganic Carbon in Cropland Soils. Scientific Reports 7(1), 15554. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-15794-8.

Zuo L, Zhang Z, Zhao X, Wang X, Wu W, Yi L, Liu F [2014] Multitemporal analysis of croplandtransition in a climate-sensitive area: a cases study of the arid and semiarid region of northwestChina. Regional Environmental Change 14, 75-89. doi: 10.1007/s10113-013-0435-5