public private partnerships - afp – edmonton · 3/20/2013 · microsoft powerpoint - 2013-03-20...
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Public Private PartnershipspA Presentation to the Association of Financial Professionals of Canada
Edmonton Chapter
March 20, 2013
Alternative Capital Financing OfficeAlberta Treasury Board and Finance
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Presentation Topics
• P3 BasicsP3 Basics• Alberta’s P3s• Financing and Risk• Financing and Risk• Best Practices• Criticisms and Benefits• Questions
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P3 Basics - Traditional Project Delivery
Most common method of delivery is design-bid-build (DBB) with i d i (O&M) d d d loperations and maintenance (O&M) procured and managed separately
ProgramPlan
Design Build MaintainFacility Management
Services
Program Delivery
Manage Project
Traditional Procurement
Own Land
Own Building
Finance ProjectProcurement
Private partner Public sector
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P3 Basics - The Value Proposition
What if design and build is combined, i.e. a “DB”?S• Synergy
• Risk transfer• Innovation and efficiency
What if O&M is added, i.e. a “DBO” or “DBM”?• Life-cycle view• Risk transfer• Innovation and efficiency
What if financing is added, i.e. a “DBFO” or “DBFM”?• Provides alternative financing for projectProvides alternative financing for project• Brings added discipline from lender if funds at risk• Enforces risk transfer
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P3 Basics – Alternative Project Delivery
A P3 is a different, non-traditional way for government to create capital assets
ProgramPlan
Design Build MaintainFacility Management
Services
Program Delivery
Manage Project
P3 Procurement
Own Land
Own Building
Finance Project
Private partner Public sector
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Alberta’s P3 Definition
Government of Alberta defines a P3 as an infrastructure project in hi h iwhich a private contractor:
• Provides some or all of the financing;• Designs and builds;• Designs and builds;• Operates or maintains (an “extended warranty”); and• Receives payments from the government over an extended period of
time, subject to deductions for failing to meet contractually defined j g yperformance standards
A “DBFO” or “DBFM”
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Alberta’s P3 Projects
Constructed and operational:• Anthony Henday Southeasty y• Northeast Stoney Trail• Alberta Schools Alternative Procurement (ASAP) project, Phase 1 –
eighteen schools (K-4, K-6, K-9)A th H d N th t• Anthony Henday Northwest
• ASAP, Phase 2 – ten schools (K-6, 5-9, K-9)
Under construction:• Southeast Stoney Trail• Anthony Henday Northeast• ASAP, Phase 3 – 13 schools (K-5, K-6, K-9, K-12, 6-8, 9-12)
E Th W t /W t t T t t F iliti• Evan Thomas Water/Wastewater Treatment Facilities
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Typical P3 Arrangement
GovernmentDirect Lender Agreement
Concession Agreement
Agency Lenders(Debt)
Availability Payments
Capital Contribution
g
Agreement
Private Contractor(SPV)
Private Finance
Investment
yContribution
Subcontractors
Operating
OperateMaintain
Sponsors (Equity)Design
Build
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Examples of Companies Involved in Canadian P3 Projects
Contractors• AMEC Inc
Equity Providers/Project Leads• Acciona AMEC Inc.
• AXOR• Bilfinger Berger BOT*• Bouygues Building Canada
• Bilfinger Berger BOT• Carillion Canada Inc.• John Laing
Pl G • Brookfield LePage Johnson Controls• Carillion Canada Inc.*• Ellis Don*
Ferro ial
• Plenary Group• Macquarie• Hochtief• Fengate • Ferrovial
• Graham*• Grupo ACS• Peter Kiewit Sons Inc.
g• Innisfree• SNC-Lavalin
L d Peter Kiewit Sons Inc.• PCL Group• Serco North America
* Often participates as equity investor
Lenders• Non-CDN Banks• CDN Insurance Companies• CDN Pension Funds Often participates as equity investorCDN Pension Funds
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P3 Basics - The Value Proposition
• Consider the strengths ascribed to each of the public and private partners…
• Comparative Advantage of Government • Standard-setting • Leadership over extensive group g• Make, change, and enforce law • Prerogative to raise capital and
spend it
p g p• Eminent domain (can expropriate)• Vast communication lines with
public
• Comparative Advantage of Private Sector • Efficient • Timeline accountable• Specialized• Nimble, responsive, sense of
urgency
• Borderless• Innovative
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P3 Basics - The Value Proposition
• Government and private sector have different objectives• Parties’ interests are aligned in P3s • Merger of the comparative advantages provides P3 advantages • The guiding principle that “risk is to be allocated to the party best ableThe guiding principle that risk is to be allocated to the party best able
to manage it on a cost effective basis” is applied• Forcing a partner to take on responsibilities in the other’s domain can
lead to:lead to:• excessive project costs• relational or contractual problems• even project failure• even project failure
• Understanding one’s ability to manage risk lies at least in part with the comparative advantages of each party
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P3 Benefits
• Fixed price E li i• Earlier opening
• Fixed opening date• Better value for money y• Long term warranty• Future cost certainty
• P3 benefits are the result of appropriate risk allocation
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Earlier Completion
TraditionalDelivery
P3Delivery
Project Time Project TimeDeerfoot Trail Extension 5 yrs, 11 months
(1999-2004)SE
Anthony4 yrs,1 month(2003-2007)( ) y
Henday( )
SW AHD6 yrs, 5 months
(2000-06)NE Stoney Trail 3 yrs, 8 months
(2006-09)
NW Stoney Trail 6 yrs, 7 months(2003 - 09)
NW AnthonyHenday
4 yrs , 3 months(2007-11)
A f 1 h l 5 ASAP I2 yrs, 10 months
(2007 10)Average for 1 school 5 yrs ASAP I(18 schools)
(2007-10)
(tracked by Alberta Infrastructure) ASAP II
(10 schools)
3 yrs, 1 month(2009-12)
( )
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Value for Money (VfM)PROJECT PSC NPV BID NPV VFM
SE AHD (2004 $) $ 452 – 497M $493 M $4 M( $) $ $ $
NEST (2006 $) $1.0–1.1 B $650 M $350 M
NW AHD (2008 $) $1.6 B $1.4 B $200 M
SEST (2010 $) $1 8 B $ 769 M $1 BSEST (2010 $) $1.8 B $ 769 M $1 B
NE AHD (2012$) $2.2 B $1.8 B $371 M
ASAP I (2008 $) $752 M $634 M $97 M
ASAP II (2010 $) $358 M $253 M $105 M
ASAP III (2012 $) $332 M $289 M $43 M
EVAN THOMAS (2012$) $62 M $60 M $2 M
PSC – Public Sector Comparator (traditional procurement approach)NPV – Net present value
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VfM and Effect on Risk Transfer
300
200
250
o Gov't
Retained Risk
Value for Money
150
nt Value
of C
ost to
Transferred Risk
Financing
Rehabilitation
O&M
50
100
Prese
Construction
Engineering or Procurement
0
Raw PSC Risk‐Adjusted PSC P3
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Mechanisms Used to Manage Risk
• Contractual – project agreement sets out responsibilities of contractor according to optimal project risk allocation
• Security – liquid security (letters of credit, bonds) required at various stages of the procurement process (bid stage, construction stage)
• Performance monitoring and inspections• Payment mechanism – monthly payments to the contractor include
deductions (penalties) for non-performance(p ) p• Private debt financing adds an additional layer of due diligence within
the Contractor’s team and layer of security for government• InsuranceInsurance
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Estimating Risk Costs
• Project risk register• Risk identification/definition• Allocation (government, partner, shared) for traditional and P3• In planning design procurement construction and O&MIn planning, design, procurement, construction, and O&M
• Risk cost estimation• Expert workshops
Lik lih d f– Likelihood of occurrence– Impact, if it occurs: Best case, Worst case, Expected case
• Monte Carlo simulation• Probability distribution of risk cost retained by government• Probability distribution of risk cost transferred to partner
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P3 Financing
• Financing is “project finance”, supported solely by project cash flows and therefore is ring-fenced or bankruptcy-remote
• Financing is paid back one of two ways – via revenue generating asset (e.g. toll road) or payments from public agency based on availability
• Availability approach is almost exclusively used in Canada
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PPP Spread Index (Source: Casgrain)
• The spread over long term GoCs – matches term of P3 contracts
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PPP Spread Index (Source: Casgrain)
• Bonds included in Index
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P3 Project Selection
• Project size - sufficient capital cost and operations/rehabilitation• Project scope can be clearly delineatedProject scope can be clearly delineated• Risks allocated to party best able to manage• Private sector has capacity and sufficient interest for competitive
processprocess• Term sufficient to generate value and fit with asset • Output specifications can be developed• Greenfield vs. brownfield• Generate value for money (VfM)
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Best Practices• Evaluate potential project (business case)
– Project scope– Business and operational impacts– Market sounding– Procurement alternatives– Risk analysis and allocation– Engineering, financial, legal analysis– Value for money– Qualitative factors– Project team– Schedule
• Obtain approvals• Develop communications strategy• Stick to schedule
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Best Practices• Develop standardized Agreement• Competitive bidding process
RFQ Sh li 3 bidd• RFQ – Shortlist to 3 bidders• RFP – Technical Submissions reviewed up front• Open dialogue between the Department and Proponents
– Agreement Meetings– Engineering Meetings– Q&A Process– Clarification Process
• Final submission – low price wins; or with subjective evaluation?• No negotiation after price submittedg p• Debriefing bidders• Fairness Auditor
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Criticisms of P3s
• Cost of financing (GoA vs Private)C b ff t b i ti f l li d li– Can be offset by innovation, economy of scale, earlier delivery
– Enforces risk transfer in agreement• Off-book financing
– Accounting standards don’t allow this– It’s not free money
• Private sector is making a profit– They do on traditionally delivered projects as well– Competitive procurement is conducted
• Small local contractors can’t participateSmall local contractors can t participate– They get involved through subcontracts
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Criticisms of P3s
• Lack of transparencyM i ht d t P3 th t diti l– More oversight and transparency on P3s than traditional
– Province posts P3 procurement documents, agreements, and VfMreports
• Public service levels suffer• Public service levels suffer– Service levels are defined and measured– More accountability and an extended warranty with long term
f b d t tperformance based contract• Government is privatizing public services
– Government owns infrastructure– Government remains accountable for delivery of public services
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