program evaluation review technique (pert)
DESCRIPTION
PROGRAM EVALUATION REVIEW TECHNIQUE (PERT). Ismu Kusumanto Jurusan Teknik Elektro UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau. FORMULASI. te : weighted average activity time a : optimistic activity time b : pessimistic activity time m : most likely activity time. FORMULASI. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
PROGRAM EVALUATION REVIEW TECHNIQUE
(PERT)
Ismu KusumantoJurusan Teknik Elektro
UIN Sultan Syarif Kasim Riau
FORMULASI
te : weighted average activity time
a : optimistic activity time
b : pessimistic activity time
m : most likely activity time
6
4 bmate
FORMULASI
2
6
ab
et
2
ee tT
2te
Es TTZ
TE : critical path durationTs : scheduled project durationZ : probability
EXAMPLE
Activity a m b te
A 17 29 47
B 6 12 24
C 16 19 28
D 13 16 19
E 2 5 14
F 2 5 8
te
Berapa probabilitas proyek selesai dalam 67 hari ?
ANSWER
306
180
6
4729.417
et
Activity a m b te
A 17 29 47 30
B 6 12 24 13
C 16 19 28 20
D 13 16 19 16
E 2 5 14 6
F 2 5 8 5
te
ANSWER
Activity a m b te
A 17 29 47 30 25
B 6 12 24 13 9
C 16 19 28 20 4
D 13 16 19 16 1
E 2 5 14 6 4
F 2 5 8 5 1
te
256
1747 2
630
2
et
ANSWER
1 2
3
5 6
BA
C
F
D
13 16
20
530
6
59 64
4
E
43
30
56
TE = 64
ANSWER
• Probabilitas proyek selesai dalam 67 hari adalah :
50.036
3
11925
6467
2
te
Es TTZ
P = 0.69
P = 69 %
Tabel Probabilitas
Z Value Probabilitas Z Value Probabilitas
- 2.0 0.02 2.0 0.98
- 1.5 0.07 1.5 0.93
- 1.0 0.16 1.0 0.84
- 0.7 0.24 0.7 0.76
- 0.5 0.31 0.5 0.69
- 0.3 0.38 0.3 0.62
- 0.1 0.36 0.1 0.54
LATIHAN
Activity Prodc a m b te
A None 12 15 20
B A 6 10 14
C A 15 19 25
D B 5 10 19
E B,C 2 8 15
F D,E 4 9 12
te
Berapa probabilitas proyek selesai dalam 55 hari ?
