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Page 1: Proceedings of a Facilitated Workshop August 11-14, 2003 ... Proceedings.pdf · Proceedings of a Facilitated Workshop August 11-14, 2003 Mountain Lake, VA. Sponsored by the Southern

Proceedings of a Facilitated WorkshopAugust 11-14, 2003Mountain Lake, VA.

Sponsored by the Southern State Agricultural Experiment Stations,the USDA Forest Service, the USDA Cooperative State Research, Education,

Extension Service; and the Southern State Forestry Agencies.

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Edited by:

Robert N. CoulsonProfessor, Departments of Entomology and Forest Science,

Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Kier D. KlepzigProject Leader, USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station,

Pineville, LA

T. Evan NebekerProfessor, Department of Entomology and Plant Pathology,

Mississippi State University, and Pest Management Specialist with theMississippi Forestry Commission, Starkville, MS

Forrest L. Oliveria Field Office Representative, USDA Forest Service,

Forest Health Protection, Pineville, LA

Scott M. Salom Associate Professor, Department of Entomology, Virginia Tech,

Blacksburg, VA

Frederick M. Stephen University Professor and Acting Head, Department of Entomology,

University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR

and

Hendrik J. MeyerNational Program Leader, USDA, CSREES, Washington, DC.

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1

TABLE OF CONTENTS

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ......................................................................................................................................................................3

INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................................................................................6

GOALS AND OBJECTIVES................................................................................................................................................................8

INTEGRATED PEST MANAGEMENT AS THE ORGANIZING THEMEFOR THE SPB NEEDS ASSESSMENT WORKSHOP ..........................................................................................................9

Overview of Integrated Pest Management ............................................................................................................9IPM Activities: Working Definitions ........................................................................................................................11

BACKGROUND ....................................................................................................................................................................................17Planning and Organization............................................................................................................................................17Venue............................................................................................................................................................................................18Constituency of the Stakeholder Participants ....................................................................................................19

APPROACH ..............................................................................................................................................................................................20Introduction..............................................................................................................................................................................20Defining the Agenda for a SPB RD&A Program..............................................................................................20Implementation Planning................................................................................................................................................21

AN EVALUATION OF THE RESEARCH, DEVELOPMENT AND APPLICATIONS AGENDA FOR A SOUTHERN PINE BEETLE IPM PROGRAM -Products of the Workshop ............22

Introduction..............................................................................................................................................................................22The Scope and Bounds of the IPM Activities ....................................................................................................22The Research Development and Applications Questions ........................................................................23The Research Development and Applications Priorities............................................................................23

Summary of RD&A Priorities. ......................................................................................................................23The RD&A Agenda for the SPB IPM Program. ................................................................................27

The Deliverable Products From a SPB IPM RD&A Program ..................................................................28The Products Needed From an RD&A Program for SPB IPM. ..............................................29

Epilog to Needs Assessment..........................................................................................................................................30

MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR A SPB RD&A PROGRAM ............................................................................................31Funding........................................................................................................................................................................................31Organization............................................................................................................................................................................31Management ............................................................................................................................................................................31

CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS ..............................................................................................................33

ACTION REQUESTED ......................................................................................................................................................................34

APPENDIX I: The Scope and Bounds of the IPM Activities – Topic outlines ............................................36

APPENDIX II: The Research Development and Applications Questions ....................................................42

APPENDIX III: Background information on IPM ..........................................................................................................52

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EXECUTIVE SUMMARYThe economic, social, and ecological impact of

the southern pine beetle (Dendroctonus frontalis)

(SPB)1 is catastrophic across the Southern US.

Since the 1960’s six major outbreaks have

occurred. Timber losses alone from these

outbreaks exceed $2.5 billion. Recent damage

caused by this destructive insect surpasses all

historical records. The geographic range of the

SPB continues to expand and new host tree

species are being infested. The existing

knowledge base for the insect is inadequate to

explain the causes for epidemics or provide

insight into how they can be managed. Outbreaks

cycle within the Southern region and we cannot

anticipate when or where they will occur or

predict their severity. Consequently, when

outbreaks do occur the effects on forest health are

devastating. Because of the persistent impact of

the SPB on public and private forests throughout

the South, this insect is a specific target of the

Healthy Forests Initiative and the Healthy Forests

Restoration Act, which President George W. Bush

signed into law on December 3, 2003.

Managing the impact of the SPB within

tolerable limits is realistic expectation that can be

accomplished through a focused research, devel-

opment, and applications (RD&A) program. To

this end representatives from the Southern State

Agricultural Experiment Stations, USDA Forest

Service, State Forestry Agencies, and technical

specialists from the research community partici-

pated in a three day workshop (held in Mountain

Lake, VA, August 11 - 14, 2003). The objectives

of the workshop were (1) to define in detail the

agenda for a SPB RD&A program and (2) to

develop a plan for implementing the RD&A

program. The organizing theme for the RD&A

program was Integrated Pest Management (IPM).

The modern IPM concept includes the practices,

technologies, and legal statutes of forest

protection, forest management, and environmental

management.

In developing the agenda for the RD&A

program, a facilitation approach was used to elicit

four types of information from the workshop

participants: (1) an evaluation of the scope and

bounds of each of ten separate IPM activities, (2)

a definition of the RD&A questions for each of

the activities, (3) a prioritization of the RD&A

questions, and (4) a definition of the deliverable

products that would follow from a SPB RD&A

program. This Proceedings provides a systematic

account of the accomplishments of the workshop

and includes a detailed agenda for a SPB RD&A

program, as envisioned by a broad cross-section

of the stake-holder community. Specific deliv-

erable products that would follow from the

RD&A program are identified.

The issue of how to implement a SPB RD&A

program was considered in an open discussion of

all workshop participants. Emphasis in the

discussion centered on the issues associated with

funding, organization, and management of the

program. The Healthy Forests Initiative and the

Healthy Forests Restoration Act were identified as

promising sources of funds directly linked to the

SPB. Participants supported a centralized

3

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approach to organization that featured a program

director and support staff to deal with domain

specific issues and interaction with project partic-

ipants. Participants also supported a management

approach that was both efficient and cost

effective. The Southern Regional Integrated Pest

Management Center at NC State University was

identified as an organization that could provided

the infrastructure needed for the complex RD&A

program. The Center would manage the peer

review grant-based program for RD&A contracts

and provide fiscal accounting for the program.

These services would be on a direct-cost basis

which would greatly reduce administrative

overhead for the program.

The workshop resulted in the following conclu-

sions and recommendations:

1. The persistent impact of the SPB on public

and private forests throughout the South places

this destructive pest species at the forefront of the

Healthy Forest Initiative. The Healthy Forestry

Restoration Act provides the means for addressing

the depredations caused by the insect through a

comprehensive RD&A program directed to SPB

IPM.

2. The significant economic, ecological, and

social impact of the SPB on the forests resources

of the South can be reduced and losses caused by

the insect managed within tolerable limits.

However, the current knowledge base for the

insect is inadequate and significant new

technologies are not being used in the context of

contemporary forest and environmental

management practices. A substantial and targeted

RD&A program will address these issues.

3. The IPM concept and methodology provides

a framework suitable for structuring a SPB

RD&A program that will lead to clearly defined

products and procedures needed to reduce

economic, ecological, and social impacts.

4. Participants in the SPB workshop (scientists,

practitioners, and technical specialists from state,

federal, and private agencies and organizations)

critically and systematically examined and

defined the agenda needed for a SPB RD&A

program organized around the IPM approach.

This activity resulted in the four products reported

in this Proceedings: (1) an evaluation of each of

the ten IPM activities, (2) a definition of RD&A

questions for each activity, (3) a prioritization of

the RD&A activities, and (4) a list of deliverable

products that will follow from a SPB IPM

program. These products provide an objective

and consensus-based agenda for the RD&A

program.

5. The technical expertise needed to conduct a

SPB RD&A program is dispersed among a variety

of state, federal, and private agencies and organi-

zation. A centrally organized and specifically

targeted RD&A program will provide the

mechanism needed to coordinate and focus

human resources needed to address IPM of the

SPB.

6. There is solidarity among the scientists,

practitioners and technical specialists from the

various agencies and organizations in state,

4

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federal, private sectors regarding the need for a

centralized RD&A program to address SPB IPM.

Participants in the SPB workshop acknowledged

that implementation of a program could be

accomplished using a model that included a high

degree of coordination, peer-reviewed evaluation

The stakeholder community defined the agenda

and developed and implementation plan for a SPB

RD&A program. The Agricultural Experiment

stations from the Southern and adjacent regions

are requesting $30 million (6 million per year for

5 years) through the USDA Forest Service to fund

a centrally managed RD&A program to Address

IPM of the SPB. This program will include the

stakeholder community in state, federal and

private sectors.

5

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INTRODUCTIONThe economic, social, and ecological impact of

the southern pine beetle, Dendroctonus frontalis

Zimn. (SPB) (Coleoptera: Scolytidae), is

catastrophic across the Southern US. Since the

1960’s six major outbreaks have occurred.

Timber losses alone from these outbreaks exceed

$2.5 billion. Recent damage caused by this

destructive insect surpasses all historical records.

The geographic range of the SPB continues to

expand and new host tree species are being

infested. The existing knowledge base for the

insect is inadequate to explain the causes for

epidemics or provide insight into how they can be

managed. Outbreaks cycle within the Southern

region and we cannot anticipate when or where

they will occur or predict their severity (Figures

1a & b).

Consequently, when outbreaks do occur the

effects on forest health are devastating. Because

of the persistent impact of the SPB on public and

private forests throughout the South, this insect is

a specific target of the Healthy Forests Initiative

and the Healthy Forests Restoration Act, which

President George W. Bush signed into law on

December 3, 2003.

Managing the impact of the SPB within

tolerable limits is a realistic expectation that can

be accomplished through a focused research,

development, and applications (RD&A) program.

There has not been a substantial organized RD&A

effort focused on the SPB for more than 15 years.

Consequently, the agenda for such a program has

not been objectively evaluated in the context of

contemporary forest protection and investigative

technologies. To this end, representatives of the

stakeholder community in the South from state,

federal, and private sectors and technical

specialists from across the Nation participated in a

three day workshop (held in Mountain Lake, VA,

August 11 - 14, 2003), targeted to address the

agenda and implementation plan for a SPB

6

Figure 1a: Infestation of the southern pine beetle illus-trating the damaged caused by this pest species onforest resources (Photo by Robert Coulson).

Figure 1b (insert on 1a): Adult southern pine beetle(2003 University of Florida. D.T. Almquist, photog-rapher.”

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RD&A program. The resulting products from this

workshop will serve to implement the Healthy

Forests Initiative and provide a framework and

mechanism for addressing integrated pest

management (IPM) of the SPB.

Following is an account of the proceedings of

the workshop. Provided herein is (1) a statement

of the goal and objectives of the workshop, (2) the

rational and explanation for using IPM as the

organizing theme for the workshop, (3) the

background materials provided to support the

workshop, (4) a description of the approach used

to conduct the workshop, (5) a summary of the

deliverable products that resulted from the

workshop, (6) an outline of the program

management plan, (7) a statement of conclusions

and recommendations, and (8) a call for action.

7

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GOAL AND OBJECTIVESThe goal of the workshop was to formulate a

plan for a SPB IPM program. The specific objec-

tives were (1) to define in detail the RD&A

agenda for a SPB IPM program and (2) to develop

a plan for implementing the RD&A program. A

basic premise of this undertaking was that a

functional IPM program can be developed from a

combination of (1) the discovery of new domain

specific information about the SPB (research), (2)

the integration and interpretation of new and

existing knowledge (development), and (3) the

directed use of knowledge for planning, problem

solving, decision support (application). Because

of the persistent impact of the SPB on forest

resources of the South, this pest insect has been

the focus of considerable RD&A work in the past.

A substantial knowledge base for the SPB exists

and it will serve as the starting point for a contem-

porary IPM program.

8

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INTEGRATED PESTMANAGEMENT AS THEORGANIZING THEME FORTHE SPB NEEDSASSESSMENT WORKSHOP

In planning the SPB needs assessment

workshop, the fundamental assumption was made

that integrated pest management (IPM) would

serve as the framework for a program directed at

reducing the impact of the SPB on forest

resources of the South. The concept and practice

of IPM have evolved over the last two decades.

There is an existing solid foundation of

knowledge from which to launch an inquiry into

the RD&A activities needed for a practical IPM

program. Following is a brief overview of IPM

which served as a preface to the workshop.

Overview of Integrated Pest Management 2

The major impetus that fueled the development

of concepts of IPM came from concern for

managing forest insect pest outbreaks on inten-

sively managed public and private forest lands.

The research and development projects of the

1970’s and 1980’s and subsequent investigations

have provided a well formulated IPM concept and

approach. However, the issue of implementation

of IPM within the managerial hierarchy of forest

protection—>forest management—> environ-

mental management remains a challenging task.

The concepts, practices, technologies, and legal

statutes of forest protection, forest management,

and environmental management have changed

significantly since the architects of IPM crafted

the initial principles. In this section, an overview

of the basic activities associated with the practical

application of IPM in forests is presented.

IPM in forests can be defined as follows: the

maintenance of destructive agents, including

insects, at tolerable levels by the planned use of a

variety of preventive, suppressive, or regulatory

tactics and strategies that are ecologically and

economically efficient and socially and politically

acceptable. It is explicit that the actions taken are

fully integrated into the total forest and environ-

mental management process -in both planning and

operation.

From a functional perspective IPM consists of a

number of specific, but related, activities as illus-

trated in Figure (1) (Saarenmaa 1992). This

“activity model” is a concise overview of the

concept and practice of IPM. Figure 2 represents

IPM to consist of nine separate activities that are

related as illustrated by connections and direc-

tions of arrows. The basic activities include the

following: assessment of pest population

dynamics, assessment of tree and forest dynamics,

impact assessment, evaluation of control alterna-

tives, monitoring, database management,

diagnosis, environmental assessment,

management planning, and decision and

execution. This activities model (Figure 2) is a

significant advancement over previous representa-

tions of the IPM concept, as it integrates the

RD&A components of IPM and establishes the

functional relation of forest protection, forest

management, and environmental management.

9

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The model provides a general framework within

which pest managers can plan and execute their

activities in a “real world” forest environment.

There are eight fundamental principles of IPM

in forests that are conveyed in Figure 2:

1. The basic premise of IPM is that there is a

resource or forest condition in need of protection

from pests. From a management perspective, the

state of the resource is evaluated through an

examination of tree and forest dynamics. This

examination usually involves use of a simulation

model that approximates the expected growth and

yield of a valued tree species over at least a

rotation period. The condition of the forest is

evaluated by integration and interpretation of

spatially referenced tabular databases that

describe a specific environment. The types of data

needed for this purpose include themes such as

tree species composition, age, and density; terrain

elevation and slope; soil type, etc.

10

Figure 2: Activities associated with integrated pest management (Saarenmaa, H. 1992. Integrated pest managementin forests and information technology. Proc. IUFRO S.207-05. In Dimitri, L. (Ed.) Integrated Control of ScolytidBark Beetles. Hann. Munden, Germany, 19-22 August 1991.)

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2. Insect species are periodically pests because

they become sufficiently numerous to damage a

valued resource or desired forest condition in

some way. Generally, there is a direct relation

between population size and impact on forest

resources and conditions. IPM, therefore,

requires evaluation of pest population dynamics.

Again this evaluation can be facilitated through

the use of a simulation model.

3. The actual or potential importance of a pest

species is judged by evaluating its economic,

ecological, social, or political impact on values we

associate with the resource or forest condition.

4. In order to assess the actual or potential

impact of a pest species, it is necessary to gather

contemporary information about the state of

insect populations and the resources and condi-

tions of the forest environment. This activity

requires monitoring. To monitor is to observe

critically in ways that do not affect the resources

and conditions of the forest environment. The

information collected during the monitoring

activity becomes a part of the forest database. The

forest database contains spatially referenced and

tabular data that describe the forest resources and

condition.

5. The contemporary information gained

through the monitoring activity is used in

diagnosis of the cause and extent of a pest

problem. This diagnosis is used to establish the

need for directed suppression or prevention

actions. Human judgment by experienced

individuals is often an important component of the

diagnosis.

6. Pest population size can be modified (e.g.,

pesticides) or regulated (e.g., natural enemies) by

the application of treatment tactics. The proce-

dures may be targeted to suppression of existing

populations or prevention of forest conditions that

lead to pest outbreaks.

7. Decisions to consider application of specific

control tactics must be evaluated for their effect

on the forest management plan and their environ-

mental impact. These activities link forest

protection to the higher levels of the management

hierarchy, i.e., to forest management planning and

environmental assessment.

8. Decision and execution of an IPM program

follows from interpretation of the environmental

assessment and an evaluation of the effects on the

forest management plan. Typically, this activity

(decision and execution) requires integration and

interpretation of both qualitative and quantitative

information and computer based decision support

is often a necessity. The results of the decision

and execution activity directly affect the pest

population and forest tree dynamics.

IPM Activities: Working Definitions

The following working definitions and

dependency networks served to launch and guide

discussion of the IPM activities. A detailed expla-

nation of each IPM activity was provided to

participants prior to the workshop (see Appendix I).

Pest Population Dynamics.—Pest population

dynamics (Figure 3) is the study of change in the

distribution and abundance of an organism

through space and time

11

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12

Figure 4: Dependency network for the Tree and Forest Dynamics IPM activity.

Figure 3: Dependency network for the Pest Population Dynamics IPM activity.

Figure 5: Dependency network for the Impact Assessment IPM activity.

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13

Figure 6: Dependency network for the Monitoring IPM activity.

Figure 7: Dependency network for the Diagnosis IPM activity.

Figure 8: Dependency network for the Treatment Tactics IPM activity.

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14

Figure 11: Dependency network for the Environmental Assessment IPM activity.

Figure 9: Dependency network for the Forest Database IPM activity.

Figure 10: Dependency network for the Management Planning IPM activity.

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15

Tree and Forest Dynamics.—Tree and forest

dynamics (Figure 4) includes consideration of

causes for changes in the distribution, abundance,

and size of a host tree species through space and

time.

Impact Assessment.—Impact (Figure 5) is

broadly defined to mean any effect on the forest

environment resulting from the activities of

insects.

Monitoring.—To monitor is to observe criti-

cally in ways that do not affect the resources and

conditions of the forest environment. Monitoring

(Figure 6) involves collecting data about the forest

environment.

Diagnosis.—To diagnose is to recognize and

identify by examination and observation. There

are two aspects of diagnosis (Figure 7): the first

involves identification of the cause of the pest

problem and the second involves evaluation of the

extent damage.

Treatment Tactics.—Treatment tactics (Figure

8) are planned procedures that are used to modify

or regulate the distribution and abundance of a

pest species. We are interested in ways and means

of suppression of an existing pest population and

in prevention of potential pest population

outbreaks.

Forest Database.—The data that provide infor-

mation about the forest environment are

collectively referred to as the forest database

(Figure 9). The database contains numerical data

that describe different attributes of the biotic and

abiotic forest environment. The database can also

include data on the condition of the atmosphere.

Management Planning.—The goals of forest

management vary among the different types of

forest environments and ownerships. The

management plan (Figure 10) for a specific forest

environment will be based on accomplishing

defined goals. For example, the management plan

for a commercial seed orchard would emphasize

profitability. The management plan employed by

a city government for an urban forest might

emphasize scenic beauty as its management goal.

Figure 12: Dependency network for the Decision and Execution IPM activity.

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Environment Assessment.—Environmental

assessment (Figure 11) deals with evaluating

change to the environment resulting from human

actions. In the context of IPM, assessment centers

on evaluating change in the environment resulting

from suppression or prevention activities

associated with forest protection.

Decision and Execution.—Decision and

execution (Figure 12). involves both judgment

and directed action. The judgment (decision)

component of IPM is an integrative step. The

directed action (execution) component of IPM

involves application of one or more of the tactics

available for pest population suppression or

prevention of damage.

16

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BACKGROUNDThe duration and extent of the latest SPB

outbreak generated unified concern and a call for

an organized effort to protect the forests of the

South. To this end, and in response to a request

for information on management of the SPB

problem by the Honorable Zach Wamp (US

House of Representatives [R], TN), the USDA

Forest Service prepared a report outlining a

strategy for suppression, prevention, restoration of

damaged areas, research and development activ-

ities, economic action programs, conservation

education, and interagency consultation on

NFMA, NEPA, and ESA3. The agenda for

research and development was envisioned to

support suppression, prevention, and restoration

activities. It included a variety of subjects ranging

through improving control techniques, remote

sensing of damage, spatial modeling of popula-

tions, interaction of SPB with other organisms,

etc. While this initiative was not funded, the

general goals of the proposed program were

advanced to some extent. With the support and

leadership of the Honorable Charles Taylor (US

House of Representatives [R], NC) some

increased funding was provided to the USDA

Forest Service, specifically for SPB research and

development activities.

An explicit plan for a coordinated program

directed to reducing the impact of the SPB on

forest of the Southern region was beyond the

scope of the Forest Service evaluation. This

circumstance, coupled with the persistent recur-

rence and catastrophic impact of the SPB,

provided the rationale to proceed with developing

the agenda and implementation plan for a compre-

hensive RD&A program targeted to IPM.

Planning and Organization

The SPB workshop was jointly sponsored by the

Southern State Agricultural Experiment Stations,

the USDA Forest Service, the USDA CSREES,

and the Southern State Forestry Agencies. The

planning, organization and expenses for

conducting the workshop were supported by a

grant from CSREES (NI 2003-51140-02001)

awarded to the Texas Agricultural Experiment

Station. Travel support for participants was

provided by their employers, i.e., the Southern

State Agricultural Experiment Stations; the

USDA, Forest Service and CSREES, and the

Southern State Forestry Organizations. The

USDA Forest Service provided resources to

publish the proceedings from the workshop.

The task of planning and organization of the

SPB workshop was taken on by a steering

committed that included the following

individuals:

Kier D. Klepzig - Project Leader, USDA Forest

Service, Southern Research Station, Pineville,

LA,

T. Evan Nebeker - Professor, Department of

Entomology and Plant Pathology, Mississippi

State University, and Pest Management

Specialist with the Mississippi Forestry

Commission, Starkville, MS,

17

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Forrest L. Oliveria - Field Office Representative,

USDA Forest Service, Region 8, Forest Health

Protection, Pineville, LA,

Scott M. Salom - Associate Professor, Department

of Entomology, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA,

Frederick M. Stephen - University Professor and

Acting Head, Department of Entomology,

University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR.

These individuals are recognized authorities on

SPB, forest protection, forest management, and

environmental management and are active partici-

pants in the SPB Information Exchange Group

(IEG) - 74 of the Southern Association of

Agricultural Experiment Station Directors.

Robert N. Coulson (Professor, Departments of

Entomology and Forest Science, Texas A&M

University, College Station, TX) served as project

manager. Hendrik J. (Rick) Meyer, National

Program Leader, USDA, CSREES, Washington,

DC, served as an exofficio member of the steering

committee.

This committee

(1) selected the meeting site and date for the

workshop,

(2) defined the constituency of a stakeholder

group who would be invited to participate in the

workshop,

(3) approved the approach for conducting the

workshop,

(4) participated in the workshop,

(5) edited the proceedings of the workshop, and

(6) provided oversight and guidance in fiscal

management for the workshop.

Venue

The SPB workshop was held at the Mountain

Lake Hotel, Mountain Lake, VA, August 11-14,

2003 (Figure 13). This site was selected because

it provided a suitable facility and secluded

environment conducive to an interactive

workshop format. It was also the location for a

previous planning workshop on SPB held in

October of 1989.

18

Figure 13: Mountain Lake Hotel, site of the SPB workshop (Photo byRonald Billings).

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Constituency of the Stakeholder

Participants

The stakeholder community affected by the SPB

is broad and includes a variety of public and

private agencies, organizations, and forest

landowners. The steering committed took on the

task of identifying a representative cross-section

of stakeholders to participate in the workshop.

Individuals from the Southern State Agricultural

Experiment Stations, the USDA Forest Service,

the Southern State Forestry Organizations, and

industry were identified and invited. In addition

technical specialists from other regions of the US

and Canada, with domain-specific knowledge

needed for the workshop, were invited. The

workshop format placed a constraint on the

number of individuals who could effectively

interact. Participants in the Southern Pine Beetle

Needs Assessment Workshop included the

following individuals: Judy Adams (USDA,

Forest Service), Matthew Ayres (Dartmouth

College), Gregory Amacher (Virginia Tech),

Barbara Bentz (USDA, Forest Service) Wayne

Berisford (U. GA), Ronald Billings (Texas Forest

Service), Andrew Boone (SC Forestry

Commission), Wayne Brewer (Auburn U.), Lloyd

Brown: (Entopath Inc.), John Borden (Phero Tech

Inc. and Simon Fraser University), Harold

Burkhart, (Virginia Tech), Richard Conner

(USDA, Forest Service), Mary Ellen Dix (USDA,

Forest Service), Donald Duerr (USDA, Forest

Service), John Foltz (U. FL.), Frank Gillstrap

(Texas A&M U.), Richard Goyer (LSU.), Fred

Hain (NC State U.), Bruce Jewell (USDA, Forest

Service), Kier Klepzig (USDA, Forest Service),

Loren Iverson: (USDA, Forest Service), David

Kulhavy (Stephen F. Austin State U.), Fredrick

Limp (U.AR), Albert Mayfied (FL Division of

Forestry), James Meeker (USDA Forest Service),

Hendrick (Rick) Meyer (USDA, CSREES), Evan

Nebeker (MS State U.), Forrest Oliveria (USDA,

Forest Service), Thomas Payne (U. MO), Terry

Price (GA Division of Forestry), Phillup Radtke

(Virginia Tech), Kenneth Raffa (U. WI.), Lynne

Rieske-Kinney (U. KY), Scott Salom (Virginia

Tech), Daniel Sloan, (USDA, Forest Service), C.

T. (Tat) Smith (Texas A&M University), Frederick

Stephen (U. AR), Brian Strom (USDA Forest

Service), Jay Sullivan (Virginia Tech), Harold

Thistle (USDA Forest Service). John Waldron

(Texas A&M University), David Wear (USDA

Forest Service), Steve Williams (USDA Forest

Service), David Wood (U.CA, Berkeley), and

Robert Coulson, (Texas A&M University).

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APPROACHIntroduction

A facilitation approach was used to organize the

activities of the workshop. Michael Saunders

(Professor, Department of Entomology, Penn

State University) and Maria Tchakerian (Research

Associate, Knowledge Engineering Laboratory,

Department of Entomology, Texas A&M

University) served as facilitators. Bruce Miller

(President, Rules of Thumb Inc. assisted in

summarizing results). The goal of the approach,

in the context defining the agenda for a SPB

RD&A program, was to elicit four types of infor-

mation from the workshop participants: (1) an

evaluation of the scope and bounds of each of the

IPM activities (Figure 2), (2) a definition of the

RD&A questions for each of the activities, (3) a

prioritization of the RD&A questions, and (4) a

definition of the deliverable products that would

follow from a SPB RD&A program directed to

IPM. Implementation planning was considered in

an open discussion by participants. The goal of

this activity was to identify views and concerns of

the stakeholders regarding how to organize and

conduct a SPB RD&A program.

Defining the Agenda for a SPB RD&A

Program

The IPM activities model (Figure 2) served as

the fundamental organizing framework for the

workshop. The components of the model were

reorganized, using Netweaver® knowledge

engineering software, to illustrate the dependency

network for the various activities (Figure 3).

The problem analysis component of the

workshop, which addressed the RD&A agenda,

was conducted as a series of break-out sessions.

Each of the sessions addressed one of the 10 activ-

ities associated with SPB IPM. The break-out

sessions were structured as working groups

consisting of a sub-set of the participants who were

knowledgeable about the specific IPM activity.

Each working group analyzed the current state of

knowledge associated with a specific IPM activity.

This analysis was broad-based in scope and guided

by the specific dependency network for the IPM

activity. The workshop participants were provided

with a brief written overview that described each

of the IPM activities (see above). Output was

captured as a topic outline, which was prepared by

a “scribe” assigned to each working group (Figure

14). The scribes performed an essential function

in the workshop in that they were charged with

capturing the output from the discussion of each of

the IPM activities. The scribes for each of the

activities were as follows: Fred Hain (pest

population dynamics), Harold Burkhart (tree and

forest dynamics), Donald Druerr (impact

assessment), Ronald Billings (monitoring), Forrest

Oliveria (forest database), Brian Strom (treatment

tactics), Lynne Reiske-Kinney (diagnosis),

Fredrick Limp (environmental assessment), Steven

Williams (management planning) and Loren

Iverson (decision and execution).

Three IPM activities were addressed concur-

rently. When the sessions were completed, all

participants were assembled and the results of the

workshop were presented to the group at large for

20

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discussion (Figure 15). Using the outlines as a

guide, working group participants were asked to

develop a set of RD&A questions for each of the

IPM activities. Again, following the break-out

sessions, the results of this activity were presented

to the group at large and discussed.

Next, the working group participants were asked

to develop a set of RD&A priorities for each of the

IPM activities. The RD&A priorities for each of

the IPM activities were presented to the group at

large for discussion.

Finally, the working group participants were

asked to define the deliverable products for each

IPM activity that would follow from a SPB

RD&A program. Once again, the deliverable

products were presented to the group at large for

discussion.

Implementation Planning

The issue of how to implement a SPB RD&A

program was considered in an open discussion of

all workshop participants. Given the complexity

of the agenda, the workshop participants were

clear in their understanding of the challenge

associated with managing an RD&A program.

Such a program will require a substantial budget

and coordination of activities distributed among a

variety of state, federal, and private agencies and

organizations. As there were several possible

funding scenarios for a SPB RD&A program,

emphasis in the discussion was directed to consid-

eration of technical issues associated with

conducting the RD&A activities, rather than a

definition of a specific mechanism for organizing

the program (Figure 16).

21

Figure 14: Scribe, Lynne Reiske-Kinney, and assistant,C. T. (Tat Smith) capturing output from breakoutworking group discussion of the Diagnosis IPMactivity (Photo by Robert Coulson).

Figure 16: Open discussion among workshop partici-pants of approaches to implementation planning for aSPB RD&A program (Photo by Ron Billings).

Figure 15: Workshop participants assembled toconsider output from a breakout session on a specificIPM activity (Photo by Ron Billings).

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AN EVALUATION OF THERESEARCH, DEVELOPMENTAND APPLICATIONSAGENDA FOR A SOUTHERNPINE BEETLE IPM PROGRAM-PRODUCTS OF THEWORKSHOP By

Judy Adams (USDA, Forest Service), Matthew

Ayres (Dartmouth College), Gregory Amacher

(Virginia Tech), Barbara Bentz (USDA, Forest

Service) Wayne Berisford (U. GA), Ronald

Billings (Texas Forest Service), Andrew Boone

(SC Forestry Commission), Wayne Brewer

(Auburn U.), Lloyd Brown: (Entopath Inc.), John

Borden (Simon Fraser University), Harold

Burkhart, (Virginia Tech), Richard Conner

(USDA, Forest Service), Mary Ellen Dix (USDA,

Forest Service), Donald Duerr (USDA, Forest

Service), John Foltz (U. FL.), Frank Gillstrap

(Texas A&M U.), Richard Goyer (LSU.), Fred

Hain (NC State U.), Loren Iverson (USDA, Forest

Service), Bruce Jewell (USDA, Forest Service),

Kier Klepzig (USDA, Forest Service), David

Kulhavy (Stephen F. Austin State U.), Fredrick

Limp (U. AR), Albert Mayfied (FL Division of

Forestry), James Meeker (USDA Forest Service),

Hendrick (Rick) Meyer (USDA, CSREES), Evan

Nebeker MS State U.), Forrest Oliveria (USDA,

Forest Service), Thomas Payne (U. MO), Terry

Price (GA Division of Forestry), Phillup Radtke

(Virginia Tech), Kenneth Raffa (U. WI.), Lynne

Rieske-Kinney (U. KY), Scott Salom (Virginia

Tech), Daniel Sloan, (USDA, Forest Service), C.

T. (Tat) Smith (Texas A&M University), Frederick

Stephen (U. AR), Brian Strom (USDA Forest

Service), Jay Sullivan (Virginia Tech), Harold

Thistle (USDA Forest Service). John Waldron

(Texas A&M University), David Wear (USDA

Forest Service), Steve Williams (USDA Forest

Service), David Wood (U.CA, Berkeley), and

Robert Coulson, (Texas A&M University)

Introduction

The detailed results of the SPB workshop are

summarized in four documents: (1) a topic outline

of the discussion of each of the ten IPM activities

(Figure 2) [Appendix I], (2) a listing of the RD&A

questions associated with each of the IPM activ-

ities [Appendix II], (3) a listing of the RD&A

priorities associated with each of the IPM activ-

ities, and (4) a listing of the deliverable products

that would follow from a SPB RD&A Program.

These summaries were developed by consensus

among a diverse and knowledgeable cross-section

of the stakeholder community. The process,

which required three days of concentrated effort,

resulted in a thorough evaluation of the agenda

needed for a SPB RD&A Program. Results from

each of the four activities are discussed below.

The Scope and Bounds of the IPM

Activities

The first task undertaken by the working groups

was to examine the scope and bounds of the IPM

activities. The scribes moderated the sessions. A

“brainstorming” approach was used to evaluate

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IPM activity. The results were captured in topic

outlines, which are reproduced in Appendix II.

The outlines follow the stream of the discussion,

as it took place in the breakout session, and they

have not been reorganized or consolidated.

Consequently, the outlines tend to be long and

somewhat disjointed but inclusive of the subject

content for each IPM activity. The strength and

utility of the outlines is that they provided a

framework for identification of RD&A questions.

The Research Development and

Applications Questions

Following the general discussion of the topic

outlines by all participants, the working groups

reconvened to define the RD&A questions

associated with each of the IPM activities. The

working groups were asked to frame their

discussion in the context of the question: “what do

we need to know about the IPM activity that we

do not know at the present time?”. Again, the

scribes moderated the sessions. The results were

captured as a set of questions for each IPM

activity. At this stage, no attempt was made to

distinguish among research, development, or

application questions. Further, the participants

did not make any judgments about the relative

importance of the questions. There was consid-

erable range in the complexity of the questions

defined. In some instances the questions dealt

with an incremental addition of new knowledge

about a topic already well-studied, e.g., “how do

associated organisms affect SPB population

abundance?”. In other instances the questions

dealt with a fundamental lack of knowledge on a

topic, e.g., “How does climate change affect

population abundance?”. The results of this

activity are reproduced in Appendix III.

The Research Development and

Applications Priorities

Following the general discussion of the RD&A

questions, the working groups reconvened once

again, but this time the charge was to filter and

prioritize the question set for each IPM activity.

Essentially, the question the participants

addressed was “Given that the agenda is large and

complex, what are the most important RD&A

questions that must be considered for an opera-

tional SPB IPM program?”. Once the filtering

was accomplished, remaining questions were

rephrased as declarative statements. The results

are presented below and catalogued by each IPM

activity.

Summary of RD&A Priorities

Following is a listing of the RD&A priorities

identified by the workshop participants. The

priorities are catalogued by IPM activity. Next to

each statement is a label that classifies each

priority as research (R), development (D), and/or

application (A). These labels are somewhat

subjective and subject to individual interpretation.

Decision and Execution

1. We lack integrated knowledge bases and

models from multiple disciplines for

effective use in SPB IPM. (R, D, A)

2. We lack the ability to implement SPB

prevention and timely control across

ownerships and scales. (D, A)

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3. We lack a comprehensive technology

transfer program to inform stakeholders in

the use of new information and

management technologies. (D, A)

4. We lack an administrative infrastructure for

long term maintenance and support of IPM

support systems. (D, A)

5. We lack the markets to utilize SPB killed

and small diameter timber. (D, A)

6. We lack adequate QA/QC for evaluation of

management decision outcomes. (D)

Environmental Assessment

1. We lack the means to automate the NEPA

process.(D, A)

2. We lack the means for environmental

assessment on non-industrial private lands

(NIPL). (D)

3. We lack the means to conduct region-wide

environmental assessments. (R, D)

4. We lack the involvement of liaison groups

to affect the assessment process. (A)

Management Planning

1. We lack an adequate plan and procedure for

emergency response to SPB outbreaks (as

exist for fire control). (D, A)

a. What are the elements of an action plan

with protocols and supervision for SPB

suppression activities.

2. We lack a consistent protocol and

procedure for SPB management that

include all the stakeholder groups. (R, D,

A)

a. What kinds of new policy instruments can

be developed to encourage landowner

cooperation?

b. How can public awareness of SPB

management plan development, e.g.,

NIPFs, be increased?

c. How can an area-wide management

plan that includes all stakeholders be

developed?

d. How can regulatory statutes be

standardized to eliminate conflicting

goals, e.g., local, state and federal

compliance issues?

e. How can economic, environmental, and

social values be applied to sustainable

forest stewardship?

3. Key stakeholders responsible for managing

SPB lack access to needed information and

decision support tools. (D, A)

a. How can the Internet be used to deliver

information on SPB management?

4. We lack adequate markets to utilize small

diameter and SPB killed trees. (D, A)

a. Are there new opportunities for

utilizing beetle-killed trees in primary

and secondary manufacturing?

Forest Database

1. We do not have adequate access to private

and public databases needed for effective,

consistent, and comprehensive SPB

management at all decision making levels.

(D, A)

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2. We cannot effectively integrate and use

existing and accessible data needed for

SPB management because of inconsistent

data formats and structures. (D)

3. We cannot effectively use existing data on

SPB management because there are large

gaps and variation in the level of detail of

existing data. (D)

Treatments

1. We lack adequate knowledge on the appli-

cation and efficacy of SPB suppression

treatments. (R, D)

2. We lack adequate knowledge on the appli-

cation and efficacy of semiochemical-based

monitoring and treatment tactics. (R, D)

3. We lack adequate knowledge on the appli-

cation and efficacy of SPB prevention

tactics. (R, D)

4. We lack adequate understanding of the

social incentives for landowner partici-

pation in SPB management programs. (R)

5. We lack adequate knowledge of how to

protect individual high value trees from

SPB attack. (R)

Diagnosis

1. Field staff, managers, and landowners lack

ready access to tools and data needed for

making timely and accurate diagnosis. (D)

a. What Internet-based tools are useful?

b. What GIS-based tools are useful?

c. What information support networks are

available?

2. There is a lack of tools to help determine

where and when to apply preventive actions

to reduce forest susceptibility to SPB attack

on all land ownership types. (R, D)

a. Does the SPB:clerid ratio provide a

reliable means for prediction of

population change?

b. How reliable are the existing hazard

and risk assessment procedures?

c. How can forest stand information at the

landscape scale be used in population

prediction?

3. We lack the ability to prioritize

management response to multiple infesta-

tions across landscapes and multiple

ownerships. (D, A)

Monitoring

1. We have inadequate knowledge to monitor

and predict pre- and post-SPB outbreak

populations in both the short and long term.

(R, D)

2. We have inadequate knowledge of the

usefulness of remote sensing technologies

to detect SPB infestations and identify

susceptible forest conditions. (R)

3. We are unable ability to communicate,

utilize, and deliver monitoring information

in a timely manner across multiple owner-

ships and scales. (D, A)

Impact Assessment

1. We lack adequate knowledge to predict the

pattern of forest regeneration that follows

from SPB outbreaks. (R)

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2. We lack adequate knowledge to quantify

SPB impacts on fire hazard, watersheds,

landscape structure, urban environments,

and biodiversity. (R)

3. We lack adequate knowledge about how

invasive and emerging species interact with

SPB prevention, suppression, forest

restoration activities. (R)

4. We lack knowledge about the social and

economic impacts of the SPB on non-

industrial private forest landowners and

homeowners. (R)

a. What are the direct and indirect

economic affects at various time scales?

b. What are the affects on rural

community development?

5. We lack adequate understanding of public

perception of SPB outbreaks through a

normal epidemic cycle (pre-outbreak,

outbreak, post-outbreak). (R)

a. What are the state and federal

legislative perceptions and awareness of

issues and impacts?

b. Is there public confidence in SPB

management, research, and extension

institutions and agencies?

Forest Database

1. We lack documented knowledge of the

current and future impact of anthropogenic

and cultural influences of tree and forest

dynamics. (R)

a. What is the impact of urbanization on

forest and tree dynamics?

b. How does climate change affect forest

and tree dynamics?

c. How does land use change affect forest

and tree dynamics?

d. How does landscape fragmentation

affect forest and tree dynamics?

2. We lack sufficient understanding of the

relationship between current and emerging

silvicultural practices and SPB population

dynamics. (R)

3. We lack sufficient understanding of the

relationship between forest composition

and structure and SPB outbreaks. (R)

a. What is the relation of landscape

structure and outbreaks of the SPB?

b. What is the relation of forest stand

structure to hazard and risk rating of

SPB outbreaks?

4. We lack sufficient understanding of the

relationship between host and stand quality

and SPB population dynamics. (R)

Pest Population Dynamics

1. We lack adequate knowledge to predict

short and long term patterns of SPB distri-

bution and abundance. (R)

a. What are the key drivers in the

prediction of short term SPB abundance?

b. What are the key drivers in determining

the long term probability of SPB

outbreaks?

c. What is the strength and form of

endogenous feedbacks in SPB

dynamics?

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2. We lack adequate knowledge of the factors

responsible for maintaining low population

densities and permitting the transition to

outbreak status. (R)

a. Population monitoring tools at low

population levels are insufficient.

b. What effects do root diseases and other

predisposing factors have on popula-

tions?

c. How do forest attributes affect popula-

tions?

d. What are the effects of changing

climate conditions on populations?

3. We lack adequate knowledge of the process

of host selection and colonization. (R)

a. Is there a potential shift in the role of

semiochemicals?

b. How susceptible are RCW trees to

colonization?

4. We lack adequate knowledge of the inter-

action of local populations and immigrating

beetles in originating or sustaining

outbreaks. (R)

a. Is there long distance movement

between infestations?

b. Is there short distance movement within

infestations?

c. Are there genetic shifts in populations?

The RD&A Agenda for the SPB IPM

Program

The identification of specific RD&A priorities

associated with each IPM activity was a signif-

icant accomplishment of the SPB workshop.

These priorities represent direct actions that

should be considered in a comprehensive SPB

IPM program.

Proposed actions, and distribution among

RD&A activities identified at the workshop,

include the following:

27

Proportion of Effort Needed in Integrated SPB RD&A ProgramResearch Acquisition of new knowledge 38%Development Integration and interpretation of existing knowledge 40%Application Use of knowledge for planning, problem solving, decision support 22%

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28

Figure 17: Summary of the priorities for research, development, and applications. Ca. 60% of the priorities involveactions associated with development and applications and ca. 40% of the agenda deals specifically with researchissues.

In the view of the workshop participants, the

priorities were distributed among RD&A activ-

ities as illustrated in Figure 17.

Given the substantial existing knowledge base for

the SPB and the past efforts directed to suppression

and prevention of damage caused by the insect, it is

not surprising that ca. 60% of the priorities involve

actions associated with development and applica-

tions. However, ca. 40% of the agenda deals

specifically with research issues. The IPM activ-

ities associated with treatments, impact assessment,

pest population dynamics and tree and forest

dynamics each contained a substantial research

component. The IPM activities associated with

decision and execution, environmental assessment,

and management planning each contained

substantial applications and development compo-

nents. The remaining IPM activities included a

blend of research, development, and applications

actions.

The Deliverable Products From a SPB IPM

RD&A Program

Following the general discussion of the RD&A

priorities, the working groups reconvened for a

final time, in the needs assessment part of the

workshop, to identify the deliverable products that

would result from a targeted SPB IPM program.

As the goal of the IPM program is to measurably

reduce the economic, social, and ecological

impact of the SPB on forests of the South, the

RD&A activities should lead to products that

directly contribute to this end point.

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29

The Products Needed From an RD&A

Program for SPB IPM

The specific deliverable products from the

RD&A program, needed for SPB IPM, were

carefully considered by the workshop partici-

pants. Again, each of the ten IPM program

activities was independently examined and the

results are summarized below.

Decision and Execution

1. Effective delivery of a SPB integrated pestmanagement program across ownershipsand scales, including consideration of:

a. Improved management systems.

b. Meta-knowledge about southern pinemanagement.

c. Improved decision support systems.

d. Improved delivery and availability ofknowledge and tools.

e. Enhanced linkages among key agencies.

Environmental Assessment

1. A NEPA DSS to interface with e-NEPA.

2. Web-based and hard copy protocols forEA’s on NIPL.

3. Protocols for regional-wide environmentalassessments.

4. A model for involving all interested partiesin the environmental assessment process.

Management Planning

1. Silvicultural systems to establish desirableforest composition.

2. New validated quantitative measures ofSPB impacts on environmental quality.

3. Protocols to manage the impacts of invasivespecies.

4. SPB management programs that willimprove the socio-economic conditions ofcommunities in forested regions.

5. Technology transfer programs that increasepublic awareness and involvement indecision making and minimize SPBimpacts.

Forest Database

1. Protocols for accessing and using bothprivate and public databases needed forSPB management.

2. Consistent data recording protocols andstructures.

3. Standard inter-operability methods.

4. Cost effective data collection method-ologies.

5. Methodologies for leveraging existing datasets (e.g., other vegetation and land usesets).

Treatments

1. Improved and new tactics to prevent attackand suppress SPB populations.

2. New markets and/or products for SPBkilled and small diameter timber.

3. Programs and incentives for integratedparticipation by stakeholders in SPBmanagement.

Diagnosis

1. Decision support tools with adequatebreadth, depth and simplicity to provide forproper and timely diagnosis.

2. Analytical tools to help determine whereand which silvicultural protocols should beapplied to prevent or reduce SPB-causedimpact across all land ownerships.

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3. Spatially explicit decision support systemtools for prioritizing management response.

Monitoring

1. New and improved methods for monitoringand predicting SPB populations.

2. More efficient and effective communicationmethods among all stakeholders.

3. More effective methods for monitoringsusceptible forest conditions.

Impact Assessment

1. Silvicultural systems to establish desirableforest composition.

2. Validated quantitative measures of SPBimpacts on environmental quality.

3. Protocols to manage the impacts of invasivespecies.

4. SPB management programs that willimprove the socio-economic conditions ofcommunities in forested regions.

5. Technology transfer programs to increasepublic awareness and involvement indecision making and minimize SPBimpacts.

Forest Dymanics

1. Improved SPB risk assessment andmanagement capacity based on under-standing of the effects of urbanization,climate change, land use change, and forestfragmentation.

2. Specific validated silvicultural alternativesto reduce SPB impacts.

3. SPB hazard and risk assessment protocolsimproved to enable application at allrelevant spatial and temporal scales.

4. Increased capacity to use geneticimprovement and silvicultural practices tolessen SPB impacts.

Pest Population Dynamics

1. Improved ability to mitigate and predictrisks from SPB to high value trees andforests.

2. Improved ability to manage forests in thelong-term to limit catastrophic treemortality.

3. Improved ability to evaluate the efficacy ofwide area treatments.

4. Improved ability to efficiently allocateresources and funding for SPBmanagement.

Epilog to Needs Assessment

The four progressive steps followed in theworkshop ([1]definition of the scope and boundsof the IPM activities, [2]definition of the RD&Aquestions associated with each activity, [3] priori-tization of the RD&A questions) and [4]definition of deliverable products from an RD&Aeffort) lead to a consensus-based agenda for anRD&A program targeted to SPB IPM. Theagenda was developed by a representative cross-section of the stakeholder community from state,federal, and private sectors. The agenda providesan objective plan for the development of a SPBIPM system that will directly and measurablyreduce economic, social, and ecological impact ofthe insect. By defining the deliverable productsthat would follow from an RD&A program, theworkshop participants also identified the objec-tively verifiable indicators of performanceessential for monitoring a project directed todevelopment of a SPB IPM system.

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MANAGEMENT PLAN FOR ASPB RD&A PROGRAM

A SPB RD&A program of the magnitude

envisioned and defined by the workshop partici-

pants is a substantial undertaking. As most of the

participants were scientists and practitioners,

emphasis in the discussion of an implementation

approach centered on the issues associated with

funding, organization, and management of the

program.

Funding

A variety of funding strategies for a SPB RD&A

program are possible and the participants

discussed potential benefits to be derived from

different approaches. The Healthy Forests

Initiative and the Healthy Forests Restoration Act

(which President George W. Bush subsequently

signed into law on December 3, 2003) were

identified as promising sources of funds directly

linked to the SPB. The negative impact of bark

beetles in general and the SPB in particular, as

well as other damaging forest insect pests, are

specifically addressed in both the Initiative and

the Act.

Organization

In the 1970s and 1980s there were several

research and development programs directed to

forest insect pests, e.g., the ESPBRAP and IPM

programs (for the SPB), the Douglas-fir tussock

moth program, the gypsy moth program, the

spruce budworm program, etc.). Although, there

was some variation in the specific approach used

to manage the individual programs, all were

successful ventures. Each program featured

centralized organization with a program manager

and support staff to deal with domain specific

issues and interaction with project participants.

The following general approach, which is based

on consideration of the issues of concern

expressed by the workshop participants, is

proposed for administering the SPB RD&A

program. A program manager and staff will be

responsible for the technical aspects of the SPB

IPM program. A steering committee (including

representatives of the stakeholder community, the

USDA Forest Service, State Agricultural

Experiment Stations, and State Forestry organiza-

tions) will provide oversight and guidance for the

program. The goals of program management will

be (1) to attract quality scientists and practitioners

to participate in the program, (2) to conduct a peer

reviewed grant-based program targeted specifi-

cally to the research priorities identified, (3) to

ensure a high degree of performance accounta-

bility among program participants, (4) to facilitate

a high degree of coordination among program

participants, (5) to provide fiscal accountability

for the program, and (6) to deliver a SPB IPM

system within the specified time frame and

budget.

Management

Several different management models were

considered by program participants. A primary

issue of the discussion was the concern for

minimizing the overhead costs associated with

management of the program. The following

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approach, which is based on consideration of the

issues of concern expressed by the workshop

participants, is proposed for managing the SPB

RD&A program. The SPB IPM program would

be administered through the Southern Regional

Integrated Pest Management Center at NC State

University. The center, which is directed by Dr.

Ronald Stinner and funded by CSREES, would

provide the infrastructure needed for the complex

RD&A program. The Center would manage the

peer review grant-based program for RD&A

contracts and provide fiscal accounting for the

program. These services would be on a direct-

cost basis and thereby greatly reduce

administrative overhead for the program.

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CONCLUSIONS ANDRECOMMENDATIONS

1. The persistent impact of the SPB on public

and private forests throughout the South places

this destructive pest species at the forefront of the

Healthy Forest Initiative. The Healthy Forestry

Restoration Act provides the means for addressing

the depredations caused by the insect through a

comprehensive RD&A program directed to SPB

IPM.

2. The significant economic, ecological, and

social impact of the SPB on the forests resources

of the South can be reduced and losses caused by

the insect managed within tolerable limits.

However, the current knowledge base for the

insect is inadequate and significant new

technologies are not being used in the context of

contemporary forest and environmental

management practices. A substantial and targeted

RD&A program will address these issues.

3. The IPM concept and methodology (Figure

2) provides a framework suitable for structuring a

SPB RD&A program that will lead to clearly

defined products and procedures needed to reduce

economic, ecological, and social impacts.

4. Participants in the SPB workshop (scientists,

practitioners, and technical specialists from state,

federal, and private agencies and organizations)

critically and systematically examined and

defined the agenda needed for a SPB RD&A

program organized around the IPM approach.

This activity resulted in the four products reported

in this Proceedings: (1) an evaluation of each of

the ten IPM activities, (2) a definition of RD&A

questions for each activity, (3) a prioritization of

the RD&A activities, and (4) a list of deliverable

products that will follow from a SPB IPM

program. These products provide an objective

and consensus-based agenda for the RD&A

program.

5. The technical expertise needed to conduct a

SPB RD&A program is dispersed among a variety

of state, federal, and private agencies and organi-

zation. A centrally organized and specifically

targeted RD&A program will provide the

mechanism needed to coordinate and focus

human resources needed to address IPM of the

SPB.

6. There is solidarity among the scientists,

practitioners and technical specialists from the

various agencies and organizations in state,

federal, private sectors regarding the need for a

centralized RD&A program to address SPB IPM.

Participants in the SPB workshop acknowledged

that implementation of a program could be

accomplished using a model that included a high

degree of coordination, peer-reviewed evaluation

of project proposals, and impeccable fiscal

management.

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ACTION REQUESTEDThe Agricultural Experiment stations from the

Southern and adjacent regions are requesting $30

million (6 million per year for 5 years) through the

USDA Forest Service to fund a centrally managed

RD&A program to Address IPM of the SPB. This

program will include the stakeholder community

in state, federal and private sectors.

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ACRONYMSCISC: Continuous Inventory of Stand

Conditions (a database)

CSREES: Cooperative State Research,

Education and Extension Service

DSS: Decision Support System

EIS: Environmental Impact Statement

ESBPRAP: Expanded Southern Pine Beetle

Research and Applications Program

FIA: Forest Inventory Assessment

FLMP: Forest Land Management Plan

FS: USDA Forest Service

GIS: Geographic Information System

FIA: Forest Inventory Assessment

FLEP: Forestland Enhancement Program

FLMP: Forest Land Management Plan

ICS: Incident Command System

IPM: Integrated Pest Management

ISO: International Standards Organization

LANDIS: Landscape Disturbance Succession

Model

LIDAR: Laser-Based Elevation Measuring

System

MRLC: Multi Resolution Landcover

NEPA: National Environmental Policy Act

NFMA: National Forest Management Act

NIPF: Non Industrial Private Forest

NIPL: Non Industrial Private Land

NRI: National Resource Inventory

OMB: Office of Management and Budget

QA/QC: Quality Assurance/Quality Control

PETS: Protected, Endangered, Threatened,

Sensitive Species

RD&A: Research, Development and

Applications

RCW: Red Cockaded woodpecker

SAF: Society of American Foresters

SIP: Stewardship Incentive Program

SMZ: Stream Side Management Zone

SPB: Southern Pine Beetle

SPBIS: Southern Pine Beetle Information

System (a database)

USDA: United States Department of

Agriculture

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APPENDIX I COMPONENTACTIVITIES OF IPMRobert N. Coulson

Participants in the workshop included scientists andpractitioners with specific technical knowledge andexperience on the SPB. Development of a RD&A agendafor a SPB IPM program goes beyond the individualexpertise of any participant. To accommodate this fact,background information for each of the IPM activities wasprovided to participants prior to and at the workshop. Thedescriptions of the IPM activities are generic.

Pest Population Dynamics.—Pest population dynamics(Figure 3) is the study of change in the distribution andabundance of an organism through space and time. Thespatial framework for pest species encompasses a range ofsquare centimeters to hectares and the temporal frameworkmay vary from minutes to years. Within this spatial-temporal framework, it is possible to focus attention onpopulations within a unit of habitat, within a stand, or withina forest landscape (Coulson and Wunneburger 2000).

Pests are of major importance in forest managementbecause they are the agents that consume resources, alter theconditions of the forest landscape, and disrupt managementplans and schedules. Our interest in managing pestsincludes immediate short-term response to outbreak condi-tions involving current population levels and damage as wellas long-term planning to anticipate and prevent populationlevels that lead to outbreaks. Obviously, the approachesused in population management under these two circum-stances are quite different.

When one considers all the variables that affect birth,death, immigration, and emigration in a population of forestinsects, it is not surprising to find that mathematical modelsof population systems are utilized to abstract key elements(Gutierrez 1996). The accuracy and precision of predictivemodels of population dynamics are related to space-timeresolution. Both accuracy and precision diminish as thespace-time framework is enlarged, primarily because of thedifficulties in forecasting weather over long periods of time.Therefore, best results in modeling populations have beenobtained at the stand level of organization and in a period oftime ranging from several weeks to several months. Inmanagement planning for potential pest problems, variablessuch as stand age, species composition and density,localized site conditions, physiographic conditions, andclimatic zones within the range of a particular pest speciesare used in predicting the likelihood of pest problemsoccurring at various age intervals of forest growth.

Tree and Forest Dynamics.—The forest stand is oftenthe focal point of IPM because it is the basic unit used byforesters for inventory, planning, and operations. Tree andforest dynamics (Figure 4) includes consideration of causesfor changes in the distribution, abundance, and size of a hosttree species through space and time. In the context of IPM,we may be interested in either (1) the role of pests (insects,diseases, etc.) in the population dynamics of the host treespecies or (2) the role of the host in the population dynamicsof the pest. In the first case, where interest is in the role ofpests in the population dynamics of the host, the temporalframework spans the rotation time for a particular treespecies, which can range from ca. 6 to 200 years. Thespatial framework will normally be in hectares. We empha-sized earlier that specific pests are associated with aparticular tree species, age-class, and plant anatomic parts.Therefore, during the period from seed to mature tree, manypest species, as well as other biotic and abiotic agents, havethe opportunity to affect tree growth rate and survival. Inthe second case, where we are interested in the role of thehost in the population dynamics of the pest, the spatialframework can range from a single tree, to stands, and toforests comprised of stands in different age classes. Thetemporal framework can span from hours to several years.Host trees vary in susceptibility to colonization by insectsand suitability as food and habitat. Tree species, age, andgeneral vigor are variables that influence both susceptibilityand suitability. Furthermore, many tree species possessdefense mechanisms that deter insects; for instance, theresin system of pines is considered to be a primary defenseagainst certain bark beetle species.

Foresters have developed mathematical models to predictforest stand growth and yield for many of the commerciallyimportant tree species. Data for these models are collectedas part of the normal forestry inventory conducted on federal,state, and private lands. Growth and yield models haveproved to be useful in IPM, particularly when we are inter-ested in defining costs associated with tree mortality orgrowth reduction resulting from the activities of pest species.

Significant advances in both the theory and practice ofspatial modeling of forest landscapes have been made inrecent years (Gustafson 1998, Mladenoff and Baker 1999,and Rauscher 2000). Major emphasis has centered onadvancing scientific understanding of forest landscapes(e.g., forest succession and disturbance, vegetationdynamics, impact of deforestation, harvesting effects onlandscape structure, etc. (Mladenoff and Baker 1999) and onapplications to enhance forest management practice (e.g.,forest management decisions for wildlife, decision analysisfor forest ecosystem management, assessment of watershedcondition, etc. (Rauscher 2000).

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Impact Assessment.—The concept of pest impact onforest resources and conditions is a central issue of IPM.Impact (Figure 5) is broadly defined to mean any effect on theforest environment resulting from the activities of insects.From an ecological perspective forest insects can act as herbi-vores, carnivores, or detritivores. Through these activitiesinsects can cause changes in forest conditions (the abioticenvironment, biotic environment, and forest configuration)and valued forest resources (timber production, hydrology,fish and wildlife, recreation, grazing, real estate, biodiversity,endangered species, cultural resources, and non-wood forestproducts). The degree of insect impact is evaluated usingecological, economic, social and political criteria.

Typically, for an insect (or other arthropod) to beconsidered a pest, in a forest management context, theimpact must be substantial, i.e., of sufficient magnitude tocause a human reaction. Because any reaction will involveexpenditure of capital (human or monitory), pestmanagement programs are often associated with high valueforest environments, i.e., intensively managed forest,specialized forestry settings, and urban/suburban forests. Inthese environments, the reaction is to suppress or prevent theactivities of phytophages or anthropophages.

Evaluating impacts can be extremely complicated. Aparticular insect can have both negative and positive impactsdepending on the criteria used in judgment and theparticular forest management goal. For example, a defoli-ating insect could, at the same time, reduce incrementalgrowth of a host tree species, provide nutrient enrichment tothe forest, and serve as food for fish. The first impact wouldusually be considered negative, whereas the second andthird would be positive. Because of the difficulties involvedin assessing impacts, it is not surprising to find, again, thatmathematical models are used for interpretative as well aspredictive purposes.

In the activity dependency diagram for IPM (Figure 2),impact evaluation involves a reciprocal interaction with thepest population dynamics and tree and forest dynamicscomponents. The results of the impact evaluation feeddirectly to the environmental assessment component. Thisflow illustrates how forest protection activities link directlyto the upper echelons of the management hierarchy.

Monitoring.—Recall that to monitor is to observe criti-cally in ways that do not affect the resources and conditionsof the forest environment. Monitoring (Figure 6) involvescollecting data about the forest environment. Forestlandscapes are monitored for a variety of reasons, e.g., (1) toinventory the resources and conditional states of the forestenvironment, (2) to demonstrate compliance with legalforest management statutes, (3) to evaluate the impact ofdisturbance events, (4) to survey the activities of pestorganisms, etc.

In the context of IPM, surveys involve monitoring treeand forest dynamics and the distribution and abundance ofactual or potential pest insects or the damage they cause.There are several types of insect surveys that can be appliedin intensively managed forests, specialized forestry setting,and urban/suburban forests. Forest surveys can be quanti-tative or qualitative with regard to the type of data collected.Surveys are often classed according to their purpose in thefollowing way: (1) detection surveys, (2) biological evalua-tions, (3) loss or damage surveys, (4) pest controlevaluations. The specific procedures used depend on thetype of forest situation being sampled, the type of surveybeing conducted, and the intended use of the data collected.

The data collected in a survey are used for two purposes:to diagnose the nature and extent of the pest problem and toenrich the forest data base. Because of the importance ofcorrect and contemporary information for use in IPMdecisionmaking and the high costs associated withsurveying pest populations, advanced technologies are oftenused to capture (remote sensing), analyze (spatial statisticalprocedures) (Gustafson 1998), display (geographic infor-mation systems - GIS), and interpret (decision supportsystems - DSS) (Coulson et al. 1999) survey data.

Diagnosis.—To diagnose is to recognize and identify byexamination and observation. There are two aspects ofdiagnosis (Figure 7): the first involves identification of thecause of the pest problem and the second involves evalu-ation of the extent damage. Monitoring forest insects,through the various types of surveys, provides basic infor-mation about the activities of pest species. The surveys areoften routinely scheduled for important pest species. Forexample, most of the States in the southern US conductaerial surveys to detect the presence and estimate theabundance of the southern pine beetle, D. frontalis. Thesesurveys are usually initiated in April and May. Diagnosis isclosely coupled with monitoring. It involves inspectinginfestations on the ground (ground checking) and verifyingthe causal agent after pest activity has been detected. Thepest species could be D. frontalis or another bark beetlespecies. Verifying the pest to be D. frontalis is important, asthis insect is capable of causing significant tree mortality.However, there are other instances where unexpectedoutbreaks of pest insects occur. For example in 2000-2001,the red oak borer, Enaphalodes rufulus (Halderman)(Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) was found infesting large areasof hardwood forests in Arkansas and Missouri, US. Thisinsect normally is considered to be a minor pest, but, in thisinstance the population size was sufficient to cause wide-spread mortality to a variety of red oak species. Diagnosisinvolved examination of the host material to identify thecausal agent and an appraisal of the extent of damage thatoccurred.

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Forest entomologists (and forest pathologists) diagnosethe cause and extent of pest problems. Their diagnoses arebased on fundamental understanding of insect pests and thedamage they cause. This understanding is founded onknowledge of the natural history of the pest species.

Diagnosis often includes consideration of experientialknowledge provided by foresters who are familiar with aparticular forest environment, i.e. diagnosis is a collaborativeactivity that may involve the technical expertise of more thanone specialists. Because it is often difficult to assembletechnical specialists to address each forest pest problem,computer-based technologies have been employed to capturethe heuristic knowledge of experts. Expert systems, whichare computer programs designed to mimic the reasoningprocess of human experts, are suitable for this purpose(Coulson and Saunders 1987, Saarenmaa 1992, Saarenmaaet al. 1994, Saunders et al. 1993, Stone et al. 1986).

Treatment Tactics.—One outcome of the diagnosisactivity can be that an insect pest is causing sufficientimpact to warrant human intervention. Treatment tactics(Figure 8) are planned procedures that are used to modify orregulate the distribution and abundance of a pest species. Aswith the other elements of IPM, treatments have time andspace components. That is, we are interested in ways andmeans of suppression of an existing pest population and inprevention of potential pest population outbreaks. In thecase of suppression the time frame may range from severalweeks to months and the space framework from single treesto stands. However, more than one stand within a forestlandscape can be affected. In the case of prevention ourtime framework may span the rotation period for a treespecies and the space framework includes stands withinforest landscapes. Obviously the procedures used insuppression and prevention are quite different.

Historically, a great deal of attention has been given todevelopment of treatments for specific pest problems.Conceptually, these tactics affect reproduction, mortality,immigration, and emigration. There are numerous ways tomanipulate these population system components. Thespecific procedure is often referred to as a control procedureor control tactic. It is not our intention here to review all theprocedures used against forest insects. Following areseveral examples that illustrate various tactics used insuppression and prevention.

Suppression tactics are directed to existing pest popula-tions. Examples of tactics are: (1) biological control,including augmentation of insect parasitoids, insectpredators, avian predators, and disease; (2) chemicals,including various pesticides and herbicides; (3) behaviorchemicals, including compounds that result in attraction anddispersal; (4) utilization, which involves harvesting ofinfested host materials; (5) various mechanical procedures,

including felling infested hosts and burning infested hosts,and (6) use of genetically altered (transgenic) host plants.

Techniques used in prevention of insect outbreaks include(1) regulatory controls, which are designed to prevent intro-duction of pests into uninfested forests or contain them(through quarantine) in localized areas and (2) cultural orsilvicultural controls that include management of standcharacteristics such as species composition, age, anddensity; site maintenance; and avoidance of disturbances toboth stands and sites.

The concept of IPM stresses that a variety of tactics canbe used simultaneously to manage pest populations. Thesetactics collectively constitute a strategy. It is possible todevelop strategies for both suppression and preventiongoals. For a particular treatment tactic to be included as partof a strategy, it must be efficacious, safe, cost-effective,legal, and socially acceptable. Reference to Figure 8indicates that treatment strategies are directly linked toenvironmental assessment.

Forest Database.—Accurate information on the state ofthe environment is a critical component of all forestmanagement programs. The data that provide informationabout the forest environment are collectively referred to asthe forest database (Figure 9). The database containsnumerical data that describe different attributes of the bioticand abiotic forest environment. The database can alsoinclude data on the condition of the atmosphere.Historically, forest landscapes have been organized formanagement purposes using a hierarchical system. Forexample on national forests in the US, the basic unit oforganization is the stand. Stands are aggregated intocompartments. Compartments are combined to form aranger district. Ranger districts are combined to form anational forest. Commercial timber companies use a similarsystem for private forest lands. The basic unit of forestmanagement does not have to be the stand. Landscapemanagement practices could, for example, use the bound-aries of a watershed to delimit a management unit. Multiplewatersheds could be clustered in manner analogous to thecompartment configuration. However, the specificnumerical data comprising the various themes of thedatabase are associated with a basic management unit.

Because the forest database is complex, GIS and databasemanagement technologies are used to organize, integrate,and display information. Typical spatially referencedthemes represented in the database include: a base map,vegetation types, forest tree inventory, terrain features,hydrography, road corridors, etc. Very detailed data aboutthe management unit can be stored in a separate databasemanagement system and accessed, manipulated anddisplayed in the GIS. The forest database is used to store theresults of monitoring and to guide management planning.

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Management Planning.—The goals of forestmanagement vary among the different types of forestenvironments. The management plan (Figure 10) for aspecific forest environment will be based on accomplishingdefined goals. For example, the management plan for acommercial seed orchard would emphasize profitability.The details of the plan to achieve this end include ways tomaximize production of high quality seed (which thecustomers require) while minimizing the coasts associatedwith the operation. The management plan employed by acity government for an urban forest might emphasize scenicbeauty as its management goal. The details of the plan toachieve this end would be substantially different from thoseused by the seed orchard manager. In the US, themanagement goal for public forests is sustainability whileproviding goods and services to citizens. The NationalForest Management act of 1976 (as amended) specifies thisgoal. How to achieve this goal is defined by the NationalForest System Land and Resource Management Planningrule (as revised). The current rule describes the frameworkfor National Forest System land and natural resourceplanning (Federal Register 2000). The principal goal forprivately owned intensively managed forest properties isprofit from the sales of goods and services. The plan toachieve this goal typically will emphasize ways to maximizegrowth and yield, minimize taxation liability, and minimizenegative environmental impacts. The certification programsfor sustainable forest management and legal statutes provideboundaries that constrain the management plan.

Pest insects are associated with all of the forest environ-ments and, therefore, management plans must consider theirimpact. In production forests, insect consumers directlycompete with humans for resources. IPM is the approachused to deal with insect pests when they disrupt our planneduses of the forest environment.

Environment Assessment.—Environmental assessment(Figure 11) deals with evaluating change to the environmentresulting from human actions. In the context of IPM,assessment centers on evaluating change in the environmentresulting from suppression or prevention activitiesassociated with forest protection. In particular we are inter-ested in the effects of proposed IPM actions on the forestenvironment. The terms effect, impact, and consequence areused interchangeably.

In the US, the substance of environmental assessment isdefined by the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969(as amended) - (NEPA). This act requires that federalagencies assess the environmental impact of implementingtheir major programs and actions. For projects or actionsthat are expected to have a significant effect on the qualityof the environment, the responsible agency is required to file

a formal environmental impact statement (EIS) (Jain et al.1993). The EIS is a substantial undertaking and involves thepreparation of a document that addresses the following keyissues for a proposed action (Jain et al. 1993):

1. The environmental impact of the proposed actions.2. Any adverse environmental effects which cannot be

avoided should the proposal be implemented.3. The alternatives to proposed actions.4. The relationship between local short-term uses of the

environment and the maintenance of enhanced long termproductivity.

5. Any irreversible and irretrievable commitments ofresources which would be involved in the proposed actionshould it be implemented.

The environmental assessment activity follows from theselection of specific treatment tactics and consideration ofthe impact of the pest species on forest resources and condi-tions (Figure 11). The need for IPM actions is often a resultof an insect outbreak which was not anticipated or predicted.In these instances, it is difficult for the responsible federalagency to develop an EIS and provide for protection ofvalued forest conditions or resources in a timely manner.This dilemma is one of the challenges of forest protection.Environmental assessment is a complex, costly, and slowprocess.

It is noteworthy that the initial models of IPM did notexplicitly address the issue of environmental assessment.This activity is a key component of the contemporary viewof IPM that is addressed formally for public lands throughthe NEPA - EIS mechanism. It is dealt with directly onprivate forest lands through the sustainable forestry certifi-cation programs and specific environmental statutes.

Decision and Execution.—The final component of theIPM activities model is decision and execution (Figure 12).This activity involves both judgment and directed action.The issues associated with these two components are quitedifferent and we discuss each in turn.

The judgment (decision) component of IPM is anintegrative step. To reach this position in the IPM model wehave had to participate in nine other activities (see Figure12). The data and information that form the knowledge basefor a specific forest management problem involving pestinsects (and diseases) often come from several differentdomain specialties, such as, entomology, forestry, ecology,geography, sociology, and economics. The knowledge basecan exist in several forms: (1) tabular information (usuallystored in a database management system, (2) spatially refer-enced data themes (usually associated with a geographicinformation system, (3) numerical output from simulationmodels and mathematical evaluation functions, (4) unstruc-tured paper and hypertext documents, and (5) heuristics of

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experts (based on corporate experiences of humans(Coulson et al. 1996). Given this complexity, integrativecomputer-based technologies have been used to aid insupporting the decisionmaking process of the forestmanager (Coulson and Saunders 1987). A variety ofapproaches have been employed and Schmoldt (2001)reviews applications developed specifically for insects anddiseases, e.g., Potter et al. 2000 - (gypsy moth), Power andSaarenmaa (1995) - eastern hemlock looper, Reynolds andHolsten (1994) - spruce beetle. Synthesis for planning,problem-solving, and decision support involves the use ofboth qualitative and quantitative information. It is achallenging task that is the focus of considerable ongoingresearch and development.

The directed action (execution) component of IPMinvolves application of one or more of the tactics availablefor pest population suppression or prevention of damage.The arsenal of weapons includes chemical pesticides,biological control with natural enemies, mechanical orphysical methods (e.g., trapping, habitat destruction, etc.),silvicultural practices, and regulatory (legal) procedures(e.g., quarantines). These actions can be combined to forma strategy for protection that can be integrated into the forestmanagement plan. In some instances the evaluation phasemay suggest that the best response to the pest activity is noaction. For example, the cost of an insecticide applicationmay exceed the value of the trees in the forest stand or theenvironmental impact may be greater than desirable.

Literature CitedCoulson, R. N. and M. C. Saunders. (1987) Computer-

assisted decision-making as applied to entomology.Annu. Rev. Entomol. 32: 415-38.

Coulson, R. N., W. C. Daugherity, E. J. Rykiel, H.Saarenmaa, and M. C. Saunders. 1996. The pragmatismof ecosystem management: planning, problem-solving,and decisionmaking with knowledge based systems.Proc. EcoInforma ‘96 Global Networks forEnvironmental Information 10: 342-50.

Coulson, R. N., M. C. Saunders, Hannu Saarenmaa, W. C.Daugherity, and E. J. Rykiel. 1999. A Knowledgesystem environment for ecosystem management. InKlopatek, J. and R. Gardner (Eds.). LandscapeEcological Analysis. Springer-Verlag, NY.

Coulson, R. N. and D. F. Wunneburger 2000. Inpact ofinsects on human-dominated and natural forestlandscapes. In Coleman, D. C. and P. F. Hendrix (Eds.).Invertebrates as Webmasers of Ecosystems. CABInternational, Wallingford, UK.

Federal Register. 2000. National Forest System Land andResource Management Planning, USDA, Forest Service,Final Rule. Vol. 65, No. 18.

Gustafson, E. J. 1998. Quantifying landscape spatialpattern: what is the state of the art? Ecosystems 1: 143-56.

Gutierrez, A. P. 1996. Population Ecology. John Wiley andSons. NY.

Jain, R. K., L. V. Urban, G. S. Stacey, and H. E. Balbach.1993. Environmental Assessment. McGraw-Hill, Inc. NY.

Mladenoff, D. J. and W. L. Baker (Eds.). 1999. SpatialModeling of Forest Landscape Change. CambridgeUniversity Press. NY.

Potter, W. D., X. Deng, J. Li, M. Xu, Y. Wei, I. Lappis, M. J.Twery, and D. J. Bennett. 2000. A web-based expertsystem for gypsy moth risk assessment. Computers andElectronics in Agriculture 27: 95-103.

Power, J. M. and H. Saarenmaa. 1995. Object-orientedmodeling and GIS integration in a decision supportsystem for the management of the eastern hemlocklooper in Newfoundland. Computers and Electronics inAgriculture 22: 1-18.

Rauscher, M. (Ed.). 2000. Computers and Electronics inAgriculture. 27: vol 1-3.

Reynolds, K. M. and E. H. Holsten. 1994. Classification ofspruce beetle hazard in Lutz and Sitka spruce stands inthe Kenai Peninsula, Alaska. Forest Ecology andManagement 84: 215-262.

Saarenmaa, H. 1992. Integrated pest management in forestsand information technology. Proc. IUFRO S.207-05. InDimitri, L. (Ed.) Integrated Control of Scolytid BarkBeetles. Hann. Munden, Germany, 19-22 August 1991.

Saarenmaa, H., J. Perttunen, J. Väkevä, and A. Nikula.1994. Object-oriented modeling of the tasks and agentsin integrated forest health management. AmericanAssociation for Artificial Intelligence, NationalConference `92 Workshop on AI in Natural Resources.San Jose, California, July 12-17, 1992. AI Applicationsin Natural Resource Management 8: 43-59.

Saunders, M. C., R. N. Coulson, and L. J. Folse. 1993.Natural resource management and agriculture, applica-tions of artificial intelligence. Encyclopedia ofMicrocomputers, Vol. 12: 149-162.

Schmoldt, D. L. 2001. Application of artificial intelligenceto risk analysis for forested ecosystems. In von Gadow,K. (Ed.). 2000. Risk Analysis in Forest Management.Kluwer Academic Publishers. Boston.

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Stone, N. D., R.N. Coulson, R. E. Frisbie, and D. K. Loh.1986. Expert systems in entomology: three approachesto problem solving. Bull. Entomol. Soc. Amer. 32:161-166.

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APPENDIX I: TOPICOUTLINES FOR THEDISCUSSION OF THERESEARCH AGENDA FOREACH OF THE TEN IPMACTIVITIES

DECISION AND EXECUTIONENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENTMANAGEMENT PLANNINGFOREST DATABASETREATMENTSDIAGNOSISMONITORINGIMPACT ASSESSMENTFOREST STAND DYNAMICSPEST POPULATION DYNAMICS

DECISION AND EXECUTIONI. Pest Management Systems and Decision MakingFramework

A. Prevention Driven Priorities For Management andResource AllocationB. Suppression Activities

1. Land Ownership, Adjacency, ScaleConsiderations

C. Emergency ResponseD. Types of Forest Ownership and ManagementDecision Making Authority

1. Strengthen Effectiveness of Links AmongLocal, Private, State, Federal Expertise andAuthorities2. Reduce Complexity of Decision MakingSystems and Number of Agencies Involved

a. Federal(1) Framework for Decision Making

(a) Links Between KnowledgeDevelopment and TechnologyTransfer(b) NEPA Driven Framework(c) Emergency Vs Non-EmergencyDriven Priorities for Managementand Resource Allocation(d) Links Between State & PrivateForestry and State Forestry AgenciesNeed to be Efficient

b. State(1) Ensure State Forestry Agencies CanAllocate Adequate and Timely Resourcesto SPB Management and SuppressionActivities (vs. other priorities)

(a) Implementation Plans Need toBe in Place(b) Real-Time Considerations(c) Area-Wide Activities Across AllOwnerships(d) Role of Local People/Institutionsin Declaring SPB SuppressionEmergency Condition (e.g., Role ofGrass Roots Expertise [CityArborists, Technical AdvisoryCommittees, Extension Specialistsand Agents] vs. Reliance on Federaland State Agencies.(e) Defendable SPB SuppressionPlans(f) Efficacy of Resource AllocationSystems (e.g., for Manpower, etc.)(g) Consider Role of PrivateContractors in Detection andSuppression Activities

c. Privated. Urban and Community Forests

3. Links Between New Knowledge Developmentand Technology Transfer

a. Research Programsb. Extension and Outreach Programs

(1) Strengthen Links to Federal Programs(a) Prevention Activities (e.g., FLMP[Forest Land Management Plan],Pre-Commercial Thinning, CostIncentives, Hazard Reduction)

(2) Strengthen Awareness of InstitutionalCapability

(a) State Forestry Institutions,National Association of StateForesters, Southern Group of StateForesters, SAF (Society of AmericanForesters)

c. Strength and Adequacy of Tools Availableand Utilized by States

(1) Develop New, Validated Tools forSuppression and Prevention Activities(2) Determine Types of Tools Required

(a) Computer-Based DecisionSupport Systems(b) Highly Integrated Functionalityand Capability

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(c) Internet Delivery Capability(d) Updated Handbooks, Manuals, etc. d. Marketing Opportunities

ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENTI. Public Lands (NEPA Compliance)

A. Development of Procedures to Automate the NEPA(National Environmental Policy Act) Process

1. E-NEPA2. DSS (decision support system) for NEPA3. Prevention

a. Thinningb. Effects on Adjacent Properties

4. Suppressiona. Site Specific Location of InfestationForecastingb. Evaluation for Various Tactics

(1) Cut and Leave(2) Insecticides(3) Salvage

c. Effects on Adjacent Properties5. Restoration

a. Effects on Adjacent Propertiesb. Effects of Replantingc. Effects on Forest Management and Plans

B. Liaison Groups1. Local Governments2. Industry3. Special Interest

II. Private LandsA. Develop Web-based Guidelines for EnvironmentalAssessment

1. Prevention2. Suppression3. Restoration

B. Environmental Assessment of Local Prevention,Suppression, and Restoration Practices

III. Industrial LandsA. Sustainable Forest Initiative Compliance

1. Prevention2. Suppression3. Restoration

IV. Region WideA. Landscape Assessments

1. Assessment Tools/Methodologies2. Forest Models

a. Forest Vegetation Simulatorb. SPB Event Monitorc. LANDIS (Landscape DisturbanceSuccession Model)

3. Remote Sensing Approaches

MANAGEMENT PLANNINGI. Ensure Comparability with Fire Management Programs

A. Identify Key New Policy InstrumentsB. Consider Landowner AdjacencyC. Ensure SPB Outbreaks Considered as Emergencies

1. Develop Associated Emergency Management PlansII. Use Adaptive Forest Management Approaches

A. Consider ISO14001 (International StandardsOrganization) Environmental Management PlansB. System (EMS - Ecosystem Management)Framework

1. Plan-do-check Review Cycle to Planning2. Seek Continual Improvement

C. Incorporate Incident Command System (ICS)compatibility

1. Logistics2. Finance3. Planning4. Operations5. Command

D. Full Confederation of Sustainable ForestManagement by Considering Economic (Includingcost-Benefit for Taxpayer, Environmental and SocialValues in Stewardship Context

III. Assure Funding SecurityA. DetectionB. Sustainable ManagementC. Emergency Response

IV. Land Ownership and Management SpecificA. Public

1. National Forests2. National Parks3. Military4. State

B. Private1. Industrial2. NIPF (Non Industrial Private Forest)

C. Urban and Community ForestsV. Coordinated Management for Planning at NationalLevel which Links Across All Scales and Ownership

A. Increase Speed of Timber Movement from HarvestBlock to Landing to Mill, Including Processing andDisposal SitesB. Develop Effective Service Capacity for Planningand Management of Responses to SPB OutbreakC. Develop Necessary GIS (geographic informationsystem) Capability and Databases (Link to ForestDatabase and Diagnosis Activities.D. Coordinate with Key Relevant Programs Across allState and Federal Agencies (e.g., FLMP, SIP[Stewardship Incentive Program], etc.)

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E. Provide Incentives for Management Activities andCoordinationF. Reduced Constraints Across Diverse ManagementauthoritiesG. Improve Regulatory Authority to AccomplishGoals.

1. Utilize Existing Management Plans Until SuchTime as New Plans Are Approved (To PreventDelays and Gridlock).

H. Examine Regulatory Statutes for Parallel andConflicting Goals

1. Local, State, and Federal compliance IssuesI. Add Public Information Component (Link to ForestDatabase and Diagnosis Activities)

1. Pre-Infestation Data2. Internet Based

J. Consider International (e.g., Mexico)K. Increased Public Awareness of SPB in ManagementPlan Development (NIPSs)

VI. Consider Coordination and Review of Impact andConsequences of Management Plans and Activity

A. Landowner AdjacencyB. Industry Impacts (Including IndustryConsolidation)C. Management Plan EfficacyD. Survey Stakeholder Management Objectives

VII. Increase Effectiveness of Links Between Research andManagement Programs

A. New Knowledge, Technology Dissemination andUptake

VIII. Coordinated RD&A Program ManagementIX. Link Management Planning with Decision andExecution

FOREST DATABASEI. Data InteroperabilityII. Collection Consistency

A. Coordinated1. State2. Federal3. Private

B. Data StandardsIII. Legal and Policy Constraint

A. e-Gov.B. OMB (Office of Management and Budget)RegulationsC. Business Plan

IV. InputA. Suitability of Data Structures

1. Forest Service Corporate Databases2. FIA (Forest Inventory Assessment)

3. SPBIS (Southern Pine Beetle InformationSystem4. NRI

B. Existing Data Sources1. Legacy and Historic (e.g., CISC [ContinuousInventory of Stand Conditions])

C. Data Availability1. Remote Sensing

a. Improve Inventoryb. Detectionc. New Technologies

(1) Sensors(2) Hyperspectral(3) LIDAR(4) Visualization(5) Object Classification(6) Most Closest Neighbor

2. Inventory3. Characterize Data

D. Minimum Data Requirements for IPMV. Output

A. Users1. State2. Private

B. Trend AnalysisC. SuppressionD. Risk RatingE. Hazard Rating

1. Areawide across All OwnershipsF. DetectionG. PreventionH. RestorationI. Impact AssessmentJ. Forecasting

VI. Storage and ManagementA. How to AccessB. Where to Put ItC. How to Sore ItD. Maintenance

1. Interface2. Structure3. Reference Tables4. Documentation5. Training

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TREATMENT STRATEGIESI. Let Nature Take Its CourseII. Maintain at Tolerable Levels

A. Matching Tree Species to SiteIII. Prevention

A. Directed at the Tree1. Monitoring

a. Pestb. Natural Enemies

2. Insecticides3. Behavior-based Tactics

a. Seriocomicalb. Visual and Other Cues

B. Directed at the Stand1. Seriocomical

a. Trap Outb. Disruption

2. Augmentation and Conservation of NaturalEnemies

a. Habitat Retentionb. Inundative Releasec. Augmentation Via Food Supplementsd. Augmentation With Pheromones

3. Monitoringa. Pestb. Natural Enemies

4. Species Composition5. Shortened Harvest Rotations6. Age Diversity7. Trap Trees8. Sanitation Thinning and Removals9. Hazard Rating10. Risk Rating11. Optimizing Stand Density

a. Planting Densityb. Thinning

C. Directed at the Forest1. Semiochemicals

a. Trap Outb. Disruption

2. Monitoringa. Pestb. Natural Enemies

3. Augmentation and Conservation of NaturalEnemies

a. Habitat Retentionb. Inundative Releasec. Augmentation Via food Supplementsd. Augmentation With Pheromones

4. Matching Tree Species to Site5. Hazard Rating6. Risk Rating

D. Directed at the Landscape1. Semiochemicals

a. Trap Outb. Semiochemicals

2. Augmentation and Conservation of NaturalEnemies

a. Habitat Retentionb. Inundative Releasec. Augmentation Via Food Supplementsd. Augmentation With Pheromones

3. Monitoringa. Pestb. Natural Enemies

IV. SuppressionA. Directed at the Tree

1. Monitoringa. Pestb. Natural Enemies

2. Insecticides3. Behavioral-based Tactics

a. Semiochemicalsb. Visual Cure and Others

B. Directed at the Stand1. Indirect Control

a. Augmentation and Conservation of NaturalEnemies

(1) Habitat retention(2) Inundative Release(3) Augmentation Via Food Supplements(4) Augmentation with Pheromones

2. Monitoringa. Pestb. Natural Enemies

3. Direct Controlsa. Cut and Leaveb. Cut and Removec. Pile and Burnd. Cut and Hand Spraye. Semiochemicals

(1) Trap Out(2) Disruption

4. Hazard Rating5. Risk Rating

C. Directed at the Forest1. Indirect Control

a. Augmentation and Conservation of NaturalEnemies

(1) Habitat Retention(2) Inundative Release(3) Augmentation Via Food Supplements(4) Augmentation with Pheromones

b. Bait and Remove

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2. Detection and Monitoringa. Aerial Detectionb. Ground Checkingc. Natural Enemies

3. Direct Controla. Cut and Leaveb. Cut and Removec. Pile and Burnd. Cut and Hand Spraye. Semiochemicals

(1) Trap Out(2) Disruption

D. Directed at the Landscape1. Coordination of Applications of Strategies andTactics

a. Communication Systemsb. Record Keepingc. Administrationd. Funding Supporte. Market Development

V. Efficacy EvaluationA. At All treatment Scales

VI. Directed at the StakeholdersA. Extension/Education ProgramsB. Creation of New MarketsC. Incentives for Beetle Management on SmallWoodlotsD. Regulatory Options for SPB Management

DIAGNOSISI. Identification of Causal Organism(s)

A. Real Time RequirementB. Consider Knowledge of SPB EcologyC. Relevant To Scale of Event Detection

1. Tree2. Stand3. Forest4. Region

D. Field-Based Work1. Considers Ownership and ManagementResponsibility and Authority (e.g., AccessPermission)

a. Publicb. Privatec. Industriald. Urban and Community Forestse. Other Public Land

2. Associates (Predator, Parasite, Prey)3. Taxonomic Expertise Requirement (Trainingand Education priority)

E. Laboratory-Based Work1. Taxonomic Expertise

II. EvaluationA. Relevant to Scale of Event Detection

1. Treea. Ground Verification

2. Spota. Evaluation Model (Including List ofCritical Factors Essential for Predictionb. Tree Status [Dead, Active (e.g., brood),Non Infected]

3. Standa. SPB: Clerid Ratiob. Pheromone Traps

4. Forest5. Region

B. Hazard Assessment (Scale Relevant)1. Process to Prioritize Infestations to Treat forPublic and Non-Public Lands2. Evaluation of Alternate Systems

C. Risk Assessment (Scale Relevant)1. Location-Related Risks as Related to DiverseOwnership in Highly Fragmented Landscapes

D. Systems to Diagnose Need for Preventative ActionsTo be Taken to Reduce Susceptibility to SPB AttackE. Computer-Aided Decision Support Tools

1. Includes GIS Componentsa. Spatially Explicitb. Scale Linkage Functionality (Tree-Stand-Forest-Region)

2. Spot Evaluation, Prioritization and Treatmenta. Rules for Prioritization

3. Enable Treatment Recommendationa. Evaluate Applicability of SPBIS Data Setsto Private Landsb. Improve SPBIS Functionality AddEvaluate Opportunities of Simplification

4. Consider Ownership and ManagementResponsibility and Authority

a. Public(1) State and Federal Lands, Wildernessand Other Set Asides (e.g. SMZs [streamside management zones[)

b. Privatec. Industriald. Urban and Community Forestse. Other Public Land

5. Operational LogisticsIII. Prediction

A. Relevant to Scale of Event Detection (as forEvaluation)B. Computer-Aided Decision Support ToolsC. Include GIS componentsD. Enable Treatment Recommendations

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E. Consider Ownership and ManagementResponsibility and AuthorityF. Develop Capacity for Using Population and ForestStand Information to Predict Pest PopulationDynamics and Movement and Potential Implicationsfor Forest Impacts

MONITORINGI. Insects

A. Tree1. Sampling2. Ground Check

B. Stand1. Pheromone Trapping2. Distribution of Brood Stages

C. Forest1. Passive Monitoring of Flying SPB in Non-Lethal Treatments2. Pheromone Trapping

D. Landscape1. Pheromone Trapping2. Regional Movement

II. HostsA. Tree

1. Sampling2. Ground Check3. Remote Sensing

a. Higher Spatial and Spectral Resolutionb. Object Classification Methods

B. Stand1. Ground Inspection2. Remote Sensing

a. Higher Spatial and Spectral Resolutionb. Object Classification Methods

3. Hazard Rating4. Post Suppression Monitoring

C. Forest1. Aerial Survey2. Remote Sensing

D. Landscape/Region1. Aerial Survey2. Remote Sensing3. Standardized Record Keeping Systems4. Standardized Methodologies for Monitoring

III. Inciting FactorsA. High Resolution Weather Data

IV. Natural EnemiesV. Associated Species

A. Red-Cockaded Woodpecker1. Foraging Habitat Loss2. Cavity Tree Loss

IMPACTI. Ecological

A. Impacts on Wildlife and Biodiversity1. Effects on Other Arthropods2. Effects on Other Fauna

a. Deerb. Turkeyc. Song birdsd. Reptiles and Amphibianse. PETS (Protected, Endangered, Threatened,Sensitive) Species

3. Effects on Corridors4. Effects on Flora

a. Herbsb. Shrubsc. Treesd. Effects on Sensitive Plant Communities

B. Impacts on Forest Composition1. What Regenerates in Various Forest Impactedby SPB

a. Natural Regenerationb. Restoring to Desired Conditions

(1) Ecological(2) Economic(3) Restoration: What is Feasible

2. Landscape Perforation, Fragmentation, andDissection

a. Positive Effectsb. Negative Effects

C. Impacts on the Environment1. Watershed

a. Erosionb. Water Qualityc. Stream Flow

2. Air Quality3. Increased Fire Hazard4. Soil Quality5. Urban Impact6. Shade7. Heat Index8. Air Pollution

II. EconomicA. Direct Loss

1. Effects on NIPF (non industrial privatelandowners) Landowners

a. Ability/Willingness to Restore DesiredConditionsb. Decreased Revenues from Timber =Poverty/Less Prosperityc. Consideration of Adjacent Properties

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2. Effects on Public Landsa. Decreased Revenue from Timberb. Decreased Revenues from Recreationc. Cost of Restorationd. Cost of Suppression

3. Effects on Industrial Forest Managersa. Decreased Profitsb. Less Wood to Mills

4. Effects on Homeownersa. Property Valuesb. Removal/Replanting Costsc. Consideration of Adjacent Properties

B. Indirect Effects1. Mill Communities2. Wood Supply and Prices3. Forestry in America4. Value-Added Wood Related Industries5. Cost of Maintaining Rights of Way

a. Highwaysb. Power Linesc. Gas Lines

C. Short and Long Term Effects1. Intra-regional2. Inter-regional

III. SocialA. Aesthetic

1. Recreation2. Scenic Beauty

B. Socioeconomic1. Effects on People Who Rely on Forest Income

a. Effects on Mill/Processing Communities(1) Depressed Areas(2) Loss of Forestry Culture

2. Effects on Tax Revenue to Countiesa. Schoolsb. Roads

3. Effects on Land Usea. Loss May Lead to Change in Land Use

4. Environmental QualityC. Human Health

1. Hazard Trees2. Psychological

a. Economic Stressb. Emotional Stress

D. Cultural1. Spiritual2. Historic and Pre-historic Stress

IV. PoliticalA. Public Perception

1. Confidence in Science Community2. SPB Driving Forest to a Natural State

3. Negative and Positive Funding Levels4. Education

B. Special Interest GroupsC. LitigationD. Loss of Tax RevenueE. Lack of synchronization Between Political andBiological Time ScalesF. Evaluating Pest vs. Treatment Impacts

V. Measuring ImpactsA. SPBIS

1. Database for States?B. Losses and Conditions Reports

1. Need to Make More AccurateC. Units of Measure

VI. Impacts of Invasive and Emerging Species

TREE AND FOREST DYNAMICSI. Tree

A. Tree Attributes1. Genetics2. Resin Chemistry

a. Crystallization Rateb. Induced Chemistryc. Constitutive Chemistry

3. Resin Yielda. Rateb. Volume

4. Tree Age5. Live Crown Ratio6. Species7. Tree Phenotype8. Bark Thickness9. Radial Growth10. Nutrient content11. Root and Shoot Ratio12. Inciting Agents

a. Root Fungib. Intraspecific Associations

B. Site Attributes1. Soila. Moistureb. Typec. Chemical Factorsd. Biological Factorse. Physical Factors2. Slope3. Aspect4. Elevation5. Presence of other Organisms6. Microclimate

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II. StandA. Definition of StandB. Natural vs. ManagedC. DensityD. Structure

1. Competition2. Spatial Distribution3. Midstory Vegetation4. Understory Vegetation

E. Composition1. Diversity2. Homogeneity

F. Age1. Distribution

G. ExtentH. Canopy ClosureI. EdgesJ. Basal AreaK. HistoryL. GeneticsM. Site QualityN. Measurements

1. GIS2. Remote Sensing3. Geographical and Temporal Synchronization

O. Growth Models1. Availability2. Adequate3. Linking

P. Hazard RatingQ. Risk RatingR. Susceptibility

1. Shift in Relation to Climate2. Change in Species Comp.3. Threshold for Outbreaks

S. ProductivityT. Site Attributes

1. Soila. Moistureb. Typec. Chemical factorsd. Physical Factorse. Biological Factors

2. Slope3. Aspect4. Presence of Other Organisms5. Microclimate

III. ForestA. Scope and Bounds

1. Riparian Zones2. Roads3. Rights of Way

B. Growth Models1. Available2. Adequate3. Linking

C. History of Use and SPB EffectsD. Susceptibility

1. Shift Relative to Climate2. Change in Species Composition3. Thresholds for Outbreak

E. Post Outbreak1. Natural Succession2. Artificial Regeneration

a. Genotypeb. Site Preparationc. Competition Controld. Initial Planting Densitye. Fertilization

F. Edge EffectsG. Hazard ratingH. Risk Rating

IV. RegionA. Regional Variation

1. Productivity2. Growth3. Susceptibility

a. Threshold for Outbreakb. Shifting Hazard in Relation to Climatec. Shifting Hazard in Relation to SpeciesComposition

B. Historic, Contemporary and Future ChangeV. Scale Integration

A. Time FrameB. Data AvailabilityC. Data ResolutionD. Linkages Among Scales

PEST POPULATION DYNAMICSI. Individuals

A. Communication1. Mechanism 2. Function

B. SPB Physiology1. Phenology2. Fecundity and Development

a. Nutritionb. Vectored Symbiotic Fungi

II. PopulationsA. Population Characterization

1. Population Sizea. Phenology

(1) Temperature(2) Development

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(3) Seasonality(4) # Generations

b. Fecundity and Development(1) Interspecific Competition

(a) Vectored Symbiotic Fungi(2) Intraspecific Competition

c. Immigration/Emigration2. Sub-Outbreak Population Dynamics

a. Detectionb. Response to Semiochemicalsc. Persistenced. Co-habitation with Other Speciese. Life Tablesf. Natural Enemiesg. Density Dependence

B. Population Measurement1. Spatial Scale

a. Tree(1) Bark Sampling(2) Non-destructive sampling

b. Spot(1) Tools

(a) Aerial (b) Sketch Mapping(c) Satellite imagery

(2) On-ground Evaluation(a) SPB Brood Stage(b) Infested Tree Count(c) Associated Organisms

c. Stand(1) Pheromone Trapping(2) Stand Pop. Measure.

d. Forest(1) Forest Pop. Measure.(2) Tools

(a) Aerial Photo.(b) Sketch Mapping(c) Satellite Imagery

(3) Data Visualization for Pops.(4) Pheromone Detection (remote)(5) Pheromone Trapping

e. Region (Area-Wide)(1) Pheromone Trapping

2. Temporal Scale3. Method

a. Pheromone Trap-based Monitoringb. Remote Sensing

4. Sex Ratio5. Mortality

a. Mitesb. Nematodes

c. Parasitesd. Weathere. Predatorsf. Phloem Competitorsg. Tree Induced Mortalityh. Fungii. Virusesj. Direct Control measuresk. Fire

6. DNA Variabilitya. Genetic Shift Pre- to Outbreakb. Across Geo. Rangec. Within-tree

C. Local Population Movement1. Human Assisted Transport2. Temporal Pattern of Movement3. Spatial Pattern of Movement

D. Host Resource Interactions1. Host Availability

a. Tree Susceptibility(1) Genetics(2) Resin Chemistry(3) Resin Yield(4) Tree Age(5) Soil Moisture(6) Live Crown Ratio(7) Species(8) Bark Thickness(9) Tree Phenotype(10) Inciting Agents

(a) Root Fungi(b) Interspecific Associations

2. Species Composition3. Hazard Determination

a. Stand Ageb. Site Qualityc. Species Compositiond. Evaluatione. Densityf. Crown Closureg. Life Tablesh. Natural Enemies

III. CommunitiesA. Interspecific Interactions

1. Vectored Symbiotic Fungia. Mutualistic Tree Killersb. Interaction Between SPB and Fungic. Mycangial Fungi

2. Density Dependent Interactions

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3. Natural Enemiesa. Predatorsb. Parasitoidsc. Pathogens

4. Competitorsa. Other Bark Beetlesb. Cerambycids

B. Communication1. Mechanisms

a. Chemicalb. Soundc. Visual

2. Functiona. Interspecificb. Intraspecific

IV. LandscapesA. Historic, Contemp., and Future Change

1. Anthropogenica. Management Practices

(1) Harvesting practices(a) Residual Stand Damage

(2) Thinning(a) Residual Stand Damage

(3) Pruning(4) Burning(5) Fire Suppression(6) Fertilization(7) Herbicides(8) Insecticides(9) Semiochemicals(10) Regeneration Practices

(a) Root Distortion(b) Density(c) Off-site Planting(d) Planting Quality

b. Rights of Wayc. Rural Urban Interface

(1) Construction(2) House Location(3) Highway Construction(4) Recreation

d. Air-borne Pollutants(1) Ozone(2) Acid Deposition

e. Laws and Policies(1) Special Use Forests

(a) Wilderness Areas(b) Research Natural Areas(c) Endangered Species(d) Parks(e) Riparian Zones (SMZ)

(2) Land Ownership

f. Industrializationg. Urbanizationh. Fragmentationi. Public Perceptionj. Land-use Change

2. Naturala. Fireb. Lightningc. Droughtd. Floodse. Defoliationf. Ageg. Windh. Hurricanesi. Tornadoesj. Icek. Secondary Species

B. Landscape Level Movement1. Human Assisted Transport2. Temporal Patterns of Movement3. Dispersal4. Corridor Movement

a. Internationalb. National

5. Immigration/EmigrationC. Landscape StructureD. Gene Flow (Geographic Differences)E. SeasonalityF. Sources and SinksG. Climate Change

1. Persistence of SPB Populations2. Range Extent

a. Host Species Rangeb. SPB Geographic Range

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APPENDIX II: RESEARCHQUESTIONS ASSOCIATEDWITH EACH OF THE IPMACTIVITIES

DECISION AND EXECUTIONENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENTMANAGEMENT PLANNINGFOREST DATABASETREATMENTSDIAGNOSISMONITORINGIMPACT ASSESSMENTFOREST STAND DYNAMICSPEST POPULATION DYNAMICS

DECISION AND EXECUTION1. How can we reconcile different land ownership,management authority, adjacency and scale considerations,when implementing suppression recommendations? 2. How can we improve landowner confidence in therecommendations associated with management tactics andtools for prevention and suppression (e.g., what is theefficacy for spot treatments)?

a. What are the pros and cons of decision alternatives?b. What degree of certainty can be associated with aspecific treatment?c. We need to develop uniform decision supportsystem tools to standardize treatment recommenda-tions.d. We need to ensure adequate service support systemsfor DSS users.

3. What QA/QC (Quality Assurance/Quality Control) isassociated with decision making input information?4. What are the needs and priorities of key user groups thatshould be included in RD&A activities, e.g., in DSS tooldevelopment?5. What kinds of marketing opportunities are available thatwill encourage use of southern pine beetle prevention andsuppression tactics and strategies?

a. Are there new products that could be developed tohelp market small trees and low-value biomass -bioenergy and bio-based products?b. Are there new marketing ideas that are not beingused?

c. Are there non-market incentives that supportprevention objectives?

6. How can we improve dissemination, uptake, andutilization of outputs from RD&A programs? What is therole of:

a. Workshops.b. Urban councils.c. Training courses, materials, and tools.e. Demonstrations.f. State and Congressional legislator and legislativestaff education.g. State foresters and related agencies.h. University administrators.

7. How can we sharpen focus on types of deliverablesanticipated to come from RD&A programs proposed?

a. How will improved management systems improveplanning, problem-solving and decision support forIPM?b. How will new knowledge improve IPM?c. Will improved delivery and availability ofknowledge and tools enhance IPM goals and objec-tives?e. How can enhanced linkages among key agencies beachieved?

ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT1. How can we conduct environmental assessments of thesouthern pine beetle IPM practices on public, private, andindustrial forest lands at multiple spatial scales?2. How can the NEPA process be automated to addresssouthern pine beetle prevention, suppression, andrestoration on public lands?3. How can the stakeholder community participation in theNEPA process be increased?4. What are the guidelines for environmental assessment ofsouthern pine beetle prevention, suppression, andrestoration on private lands?5. How can environmental assessment on private forestlands be automated? 6. What environmental assessment guidelines are appli-cable to industrial forest lands and how could they beimplemented?7. How can environmental assessment guidelines beapplied and evaluated at landscape and regional scales?

a. What kinds of tools are applicable?b. What kinds of forest simulation models are appli-cable?c. How can remote sensing technologies be used?

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MANAGEMENT PLANNING1. How can we ensure comparability with fire managementprograms?

a. What are the key new policy instruments?b. What is the importance of landowner adjacency?c. How can we ensure that southern pine beetleoutbreaks are considered emergencies?d. What should be included in the development ofemergency management plans?e. What kind of administrative structure is needed toensure management plans are carried out andmonitored?

2. What types of policy instruments are needed toencourage landowner cooperation?3. How can we increase public awareness of southern pinebeetle in management plan development, e.g. NIPFs?4. How can we identify parallel and conflicting goals inregulatory statutes at local, state and federal levels toensure compliance in management actions?5. How can sustainable forest management plans bedeveloped that include full consideration of economic(including cost-benefit for taxpayer), environmental, andsocial values in a stewardship context?6. What internet based tools can be developed to facilitatedelivery of uniform quality information to all stakeholders?7. What GIS-based utilities can be used for managementplanning?8. We need to develop an area-wide management plan withownership of and commitment to the plan by all stake-holders.9. What new opportunities exist for utilizing southern pinebeetle killed trees in primary and secondary manufacturing.

FOREST DATABASE1. What data sources are available for southern pine beetlethat can aid in IMP planning, problem-solving anddecision support?2. Are southern pine beetle data sources associated withvarious agencies and organizations accessible for use inIPM?3. How can we integrate and use existing data sources thatoccur in different formats and data structures?4. How can we identify gaps in data needed for effectivesouthern pine beetle IPM?

TREATMENT STRATEGIES1. Are we influencing southern pine beetle populations viapheromone based monitoring?2. What level of suppression is needed to terminate anoutbreak?

3. How do we adequately assess the efficacy of silvicul-tural treatments at various scales?

a. Thinning.b. Manipulation of species composition and agestructure.c. Reduction of competing vegetation.d. Fertilization.

4. How do we adequately assess the efficacy of indirecttreatments at the forest level?5. Can semiochemical-based disruption be improved, e.g.,by improving release devices and identifying new behav-iorally active chemicals?6. What is the economic return from application oftreatment strategies and tactics?7. Can parasitoid augmentation be improved by improvingrelease, formulation, and application methodologies?8. Can we reduce southern pine beetle populations by masstrapping?9. What is the influence of season on efficacy ofcontrol/prevention tactics?10. Is bait and remove an effective tactic?11. How can we enhance private landowner participation inbark beetle management?

a. Can we develop new markets and/or products forsouthern pine beetle- killed and small diametertimber?

12. How can we protect individual trees from southernpine beetle attack?13. Can we improve early detection with satellite imagery?14. Will increase in coarse woody debris help controlsouthern pine beetle populations?15. Can we develop southern pine beetle resistant pinetrees?

a. Planting strategies for resistant trees.b. Resistance management for southern pine beetle.

16. Can we protect stands by application of methyljasmonate or methyl salicylate?

a. Investigation of new insecticide chemistries forsuppression and prevention (e.g. Imidacloprid, Neem)?

DIAGNOSIS1. What kinds of Internet based tools can be used to deliverdiagnosis information?2. Is southern pine beetle:clerid ratio a predictor ofpopulation change?3. How do ownership and land tenure issues affect ourability to treat southern pine beetle infestations?4. How can we develop decision support models to aid indiagnosis that have simplicity and robust capacity to dealwith variable spatial scales and multiple forest ownerships?

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5. How can we develop information support networks toprovide input to decision support models with multiplerepresentations of knowledge (spatial data, textural data,etc.)?6. How can we evaluate alternate diagnostic systems (e.g.,hazard and risk assessment) for prediction purposes onpublic and non-public lands?7. How can we develop systems to diagnose need forpreventative actions to be taken to reduce susceptibility tosouthern pine beetle attack on all land ownership types?8. How can we evaluate site specific risks in diverse forestownerships?9. How can we develop a means for using population andforest stand information to predict pest populationdynamics and movement and potential implications forforest impacts at multiple scales?10. How can we integrate spot evaluation, prioritization,and treatment recommendation techniques for diagnosticpurposes?

MONITORING1. Can we improve pheromone trapping technology?

a. What is the optimal density of pheromone traps formonitoring a given area?b. How can numerical response to trap deploymentapproaches be interpreted?c. What is the area effectively sampled by apheromone trap?d. How can we improve our ability to correlate trapcatch with population trends?e. How can we improve pheromonetrapping/monitoring in southern pine beetle fringeareas?

2. What is the optimal monitoring approach for southernpine beetle at different population levels?3. How can we detect sub-outbreak levels of southern pinebeetle?

a. How can we systematically survey for southern pinebeetle in lightning struck trees?b. How can we systematically survey for southern pinebeetle in trees killed by associated bark beetles?

4. Can we monitor southern pine beetle from above thecanopy?5. Are there surrogates for monitoring southern pine beetletrends, e.g., associated organisms?6. Can we use remote sensing for pre-visual detection ofsouthern pine beetle infested trees (e.g., aerial photog-raphy, pheromones, satellite imagery)?7. Can we improve our ability to remotely sense southernpine beetle in infested trees?

8. Can we improve our ability to provide monitoringreports to the field in a more timely manner?9. Can we use remote sensing for detection of high hazardtrees and/or stands?10. How can we improve our ability to monitor, predict, andevaluate southern pine beetle infestations in non-typical hosts?11. Can LIDAR (Laser-Based Elevation MeasuringSystem) ground and canopy returns detect southern pinebeetle infestations in symptomatic and green trees?12. How can we improve monitoring on private land?13. How can we enhance the geographic scope, utility andavailability of SPBIS (the southern pine beetle informationsystem)?14. Can we use FIA (Forest Inventory Assessment), NRI(National Resource Inventory), MRLC (MultiresolutionLandcover), and statewide land cover data to monitorhazard on a regional basis (e.g. host stand location)? 15. How do you monitor for patterns of contagion insouthern pine beetle outbreaks?

IMPACT ASSESSMENT1. What are the impacts of southern pine beetle on wildlifeand biodiversity?

a. Effects on other arthropods.b. Effects on other fauna (deer, turkey, song birds,reptiles and amphibians, PETS species e.g., Red-cockaded woodpeckers).c. Effects or corridors.d. Effects on flora (herbs, shrubs, trees, sensitive plantcommunities).

2. What is the impact of the southern pine beetle on forestcomposition?

a. What is the process of natural regeneration inforests impacted by the southern pine beetle? b. What types of regeneration scenarios can be used inforest restoration?c. What are the positive and negative effects of forestlandscape perforation, fragmentation, and dissectionfollowing southern pine beetle outbreaks?

3. What are the impacts of southern pine beetle on theforest environment?a. How does the southern pine beetle effect, landscapestructure, air quality, heat index, fire hazard, soil quality? 4. What are the direct economic impacts of southern pinebeetle?

a. Effects on NIPF landowners.b. Effect on public lands.c. Effects on industrial forest managers.d. Effects on homeowners.

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5. What are the indirect economic effects of the southernpine beetle?

a. Effects on mill communities.b. Effects on wood supply and prices.c. Effects on value-added wood related industries.d. Costs of maintaining rights of way.

6. What are the short and long term economic impacts ofthe southern pine beetle?

a. Intra-regional effects.b. Inter-regional effects.

7. What are the impacts of the southern pine beetle onaesthetic values of forests (e.g., recreation, scenic beauty)?8. What are the socio-economic effects of southern pinebeetle on people who rely on forest-based income?9. What are the socio-economic impacts of southern pinebeetle on tax revenue to counties (e.g., schools, roads)?10. What are the impacts of southern pine beetle on land-use planning practices? 11. What are the impacts of southern pine beetle on humanhealth?

a. Hazard trees.b. Psychological effects.

12. What are the impacts of southern pine beetle oncultural values of forests?

a. Spiritual.b. Historic and pre-historic sites.

13. What are the political impacts of southern pine beetle?a. What is the public perception of southern pinebeetle?b. What are the concerns for special interest groups?c. Does southern pine beetle impact lead to litigation?d. How does southern pine beetle impact tax revenue?

14. How can ecological, economic, social, and politicalimpact of the southern pine beetle be measured and inter-preted?15. What is the impact of southern pine beetle on invasiveand emerging species?

TREE AND FOREST DYNAMICS1. What aspects of climate change are most critical in theirreal or potential capacity to alter the susceptibility of trees,stands and forest to southern pine beetle infestation?2. How do trees, stands, and forests respond to criticalaspects of climate change with respect to altered suscepti-bility to the southern pine beetle?3. What are the current and future impacts of climatechange on southern pine beetle population dynamics andimpact at the regional level?4. In what ways and to what extent have past silviculturalpractices affected the population dynamics and impact ofthe southern pine beetle at the tree, stand, forest, andregional level?

5. How could silvicultural treatments alter the futuresusceptibility of trees, stands and forests to the southernpine beetle?6. How could genetic selection and silvicultural treatmentsbe used to ameliorate the adverse effects of climate changeat the tree, stand, forest, and regional level?7. In what ways and to what extent have past culturalchanges, e.g., urbanization, laws and policies, airbornepollutants, affected the susceptibility of trees, stands, andforest to the southern pine beetle?8. What will be the future impact of selected culturalchanges on the population dynamics and impact of thesouthern pine beetle, and if adverse, how can these beameliorated?9. How can cultural changes affect the populationdynamics and impact of the southern pine beetle at theregional level, and how could laws, policy and resourcemanagement practices be used to alter these effects?10. Given a certain species, site, and climatic region, whatare the optimal silvicultural approaches for creating beetle-resistant stands regarding:

a. Planting densities.b. Thinning (type, seasonal timing, intensity).c. Prescribed burning and mechanical vegetationreduction (time, timing, intensity).d. Final harvest age.

11. At a landscape level, what special distribution andabundance of stand conditions are required to supportoutbreak?12. Do accurate southern pine beetle hazard rating modelsexist for all regions of the South? If not, what are thoseregions, and what variables should be incorporated intoinitial model development testing.13. Do hazard rating models exists for residential/urbaninterface environments? How do factors affecting hazardand its measurements differ from traditional “forested”sites?14. What forest characteristics influence occurrence ortime of outbreak/epidemic situations at a regional level,i.e., what forest influences contribute to switch fromendemic to epidemic conditions?

a. Land ownership.b. Stand conditions.c. Management activities

15. What is the relationship of variability in regionalsouthern pine beetle activity in regards to:

a. Species.b. Offsite vs. onsite.c. Land management practices.d. History.

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16. How is tree genetics related to southern pine beetlesusceptibility and can southern pine beetle damage bemitigated through application of appropriate genotypes?

a. Seed orchard stock.b. Clones.

17. How do laws and policies affect southern pine beetleoutbreaks and severity?

a. Forests.b. Landscape.c. Regional

18. How has southern pine beetle affected foreststructure/composition in the past?19. How does forest/landscape structure/composition affectthe spread of southern pine beetle?20. What is/are the best approaches to re-vegetation areasaffected by southern pine beetle?21. Can we move between scales (tree-> landscape) or dowe need to look at each scale individually? What is theeffect of scale on tree and forest dynamics?22. How can we better integrate tree and forest dynamicmodels with southern pine beetle models?23. What are the effects of southern pine beetle infestationon forest dynamics at the landscape scale?24. How do we define a stand?25. What are the effects of tree attributes on resinchemistry and yield?

PEST POPULATION DYNAMICS1. To what extent do outbreaks occur as a consequence oflocal population or immigration?

a. Is there a potential shift in the role of semiochem-icals?b. Does movement between populations occur (longdistance)?c. Does movement within populations occur (shortdistance)?d. Are there potential genetic shifts in populationstructure?e. Does gene flow occur across regions?

2. What are the key drivers in the prediction of short-term(months) southern pine beetle abundance?

a. Is there regional variation?b. What does regional pheromone trapping provide?c. How do associated organisms affect populationabundance (e. g., cerambycids, bluestain fungi, clerid beetles)? d. How does climate change affect populationabundance?

3. What are the key drivers in determining the long-term(decades) probability of southern pine beetle outbreaks?

a. What attributes of the forest contribute to thisprobability?b. What is the nature of the interaction of climatechange-induced drought and attack by the southernpine beetle, i.e., would pines survive drought in theabsence of bark beetles?

4. What is the strength and form of endogenous feedbacksin southern pine beetle dynamics? Intermittent or cyclicalin nature:

a. Direct control.b. Specialist predators.c. Parasitoids.d. Fungal complex.e. Cerambycids.f. Tree defenses.g. Other bark beetles.h. Potential shift in role of semiochemicals. i. Southern pine beetle physiology.

5. To what extent are various factors responsible formaintaining low density populations of southern pinebeetle?

a. To what extent does the lack of insects makemonitoring of southern pine beetle populationsproblematic?b. Do root diseases play a role in regulating populationsize?c. How do forest attributes affect southern pine beetlepopulation size?d. How does variation in climatic regime affectsouthern pine beetle populations?

6. Are pheromone and within-tree based sampling andmonitoring effective at sub-outbreak population levels?

a. What is the role of semiochemicals in southern pinebeetle population dynamics?b. How host selection occurs? c. How does semiochemical selection occur?d. Can RCW cavity trees be useful in sorting out thechemical basis of host selection by southern pinebeetle?

7. Why do southern pine beetle outbreaks occur?8. Why do southern pine beetle outbreaks end?

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Edited by:

Robert N. CoulsonProfessor, Departments of Entomology and Forest Science,

Texas A&M University, College Station, TX

Kier D. KlepzigProject Leader, USDA Forest Service, Southern Research Station,

Pineville, LA

T. Evan NebekerProfessor, Department of Entomology and Plant Pathology,

Mississippi State University, and Pest Management Specialist with theMississippi Forestry Commission, Starkville, MS

Forrest L. Oliveria Field Office Representative, USDA Forest Service,

Forest Health Protection, Pineville, LA

Scott M. Salom Associate Professor, Department of Entomology, Virginia Tech,

Blacksburg, VA

Frederick M. Stephen University Professor and Acting Head, Department of Entomology,

University of Arkansas, Fayetteville, AR

and

Hendrik J. MeyerNational Program Leader, USDA, CSREES, Washington, DC.

Page 60: Proceedings of a Facilitated Workshop August 11-14, 2003 ... Proceedings.pdf · Proceedings of a Facilitated Workshop August 11-14, 2003 Mountain Lake, VA. Sponsored by the Southern

Proceedings of a Facilitated WorkshopAugust 11-14, 2003Mountain Lake, VA.

Sponsored by the Southern State Agricultural Experiment Stations,the USDA Forest Service, the USDA Cooperative State Research, Education,

Extension Service; and the Southern State Forestry Agencies.