presentation by national university of singapore - winners of cbs case competition 2011

105
Caroline Ng Candice Lim Peh Che Min Tobias Chen F . O . C . A . L H&M: Bolder.Bigger. Be8er

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Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011. Congratulations to Caroline Ng, Candice Lim, Peh Che Min, and Tobias Chen. Presented at the Finals March 4, 2011. This presentation form part of CBS Case Competition. Views, opinions and suggestions expressed in these presentations are the sole work of the case study writers, and are not neccessarily shared by H&M Visit www.casecompetition.com to see more.

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Page 1: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

 Caroline  Ng                                Candice  Lim                                    Peh  Che  Min                                  Tobias  Chen                                      

F . O . C . A . L

H&M:  Bolder.Bigger.  Be8er  

Page 2: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

H&M’S Identity: Our winning proposition Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Winning Proposition

Affordable Chic Fast Fashion Inclusive

Objec+ve  

1.  “Sustainable growth with High Impact strategic initiatives whilst keeping things Simple”

2. 10-15% growth in number of stores per year

Page 3: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Challenges Ahead Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Stagnating growth in Europe

Diverse consumer preferences

Intense Competition

Increase in raw material prices

Talent attraction & retention

Challenges

1  

2  

4  

5  

3  

Key  Issues  1.  Prioritizing growth options

2. Maximizing shareholder’s value

3. Managing cost to support growth

Page 4: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Criteria to evaluate growth options Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Degree of Complexity

High Impact (x2)

Growth Potential

Competition

• Simple • Congruent with core business & expertise

• Cost effective

• Sales • Impact on brand • Expertise

• Future potential • Scalability • Cost-benefit analysis

• Similarity • Clustering effect • Economies of scale

Page 5: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Evaluating Growth Opportunities Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Growth Options Degree of Complexity

High Impact (x2)

Growth Potential

Competition

Favorable   Unfavorable  

Improve day to day performance

Expand online channels

Geographic expansion

Expand product category (Home)

Brand Expansion

Page 6: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Recommendations:Project Runway Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Set the Stage Strut the Runway Managing Backstage

1. Increase no. of customers

- Focus on male segment

2.  Increase sales per customer

- Increase accessories segment

1. Geographic Expansion

-Asia Pacific

2.  Online Channel -Advertise on

‘taobao’ - H&M online

wardrobe

1. Secure new suppliers

-South East Asia

2.  H&M’s talents - Increase efficiency

of sales people - Management

associate programme

Page 7: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Recommendations: Project Runway Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Set the Stage Strut the Runway Managing Backstage

1. Increase no. of customers

- Focus on male segment

2.  Increase sales per customer

- Increase accessories segment

1. Geographic Expansion

-Asia Pacific

2.  Online Channel - Store on Taobao

Mall - H&M online

wardrobe iphone app

1. Secure new suppliers

-South East Asia

2.  H&M’s talents - Increase efficiency

of sales people - Management

associate programme

Page 8: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Recommendations: Project Runway Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Set the Stage Strut the Runway Managing Backstage

1. Increase no. of customers

- Focus on male segment

2.  Increase sales per customer

- Increase accessories segment

1. Geographic Expansion

-Asia Pacific

2.  Online Channel -Advertise on

‘taobao’ - H&M online

wardrobe

1. Secure new suppliers

-South East Asia

2.  H&M’s talents - Increase efficiency

of sales people - Management

associate programme

Page 9: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

H&M: Project Runway

Set the Stage Strut the Runway Managing Backstage

Page 10: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Make  it  Happen  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Increase number of customers

Increase sales per customer

Grow existing segments

Page 11: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Make  it  Happen  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M MEN

1.  The Fashion Fraternity

2.  Guest Designers

CAGR: 3% (2005-2010) Market Value 322.3Bn USD

H&M ACCESSORIES

1. Greater Variety of Designs

2. Integration with Apparel

CAGR: 4.6% (2010 Inc.)

Increase number of customers

Increase sales per customer

Page 12: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Page 13: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Increase advertising to

men

Cater personal space for men

Male consumer preferences

1   2   3  

Financial risks Market Size Acceptance

Pilot Testing: Flagship stores in Beijing & Shanghai

Page 14: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Information Search

Personal Space

The Fashion Fraternity ‘时尚一族’

Internet/Mobile: Chinese forums

Shanghai & Beijing

Page 15: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Information Search

Personal Space

The Fashion Fraternity ‘时尚一族’

Internet/Mobile: Chinese forums

Shanghai & Beijing

Newly Affluent middle class

Trendy males seeking fashion tips

Page 16: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Information Search

Personal Space

The Fashion Fraternity ‘时尚一族’

Internet/Mobile: Chinese forums

Shanghai & Beijing

Baidu: Year 2010 • China: 64.02 billion queries

• WAP and PDA based mobile search

• Exclusive forums for males – ‘男人吧’

Page 17: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Information Search

Personal Space

Brick & Mortar

Beijing Shanghai

Personal  Lounge  

Music  Entertain  (Fuᶔball)/  Magazines  

Key  Takeaways  1.  Pilot  market  in  Shanghai  &  Beijing  –  12  months  

2.  Interna>onal  roll-­‐out  of  improved  H&M  man  in  year  2012  3.  Target  60  stores  by  Year  2013    

Page 18: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

H&M ACCESSORIES

HELPING  YOU  FIND…    

Page 19: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Sales  /sqm  

0.5%  to  Grp  revenues  

H&M ACCESSORIES

Page 20: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Integrating accessories with apparel

Do it your way

Page 21: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

H&M’s Men Accessories 1   2  

Integrating accessories with apparel

Trend,  Modern,  Classic,  Everyday  Mamma,  Divided,  &  denim,  L.U.G.G  

Page 22: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

H&M: Project Runway

Set the Stage Strut the Runway Managing Backstage

Page 23: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Strengthen  exis+ng  forts  while  expanding  new  markets  

250  new  stores  in  2011  

Aggressive  pursuit  of  Asia-­‐Pacific  

Increase  dominance  in  W  Europe  and  N  America  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 24: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Untapped  markets  

Asia-­‐Pacific  

Middle  East    &  Africa  

Eastern  Europe  

South  America  

Market  Size   Ease  of  Entry  Growth    Poten>al  

Compe>>on  

Favorable   Unfavorable  

Iden+fying  KEY  new  markets  

Posi>ve    Spillovers  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 25: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Emerging  markets  

Asia-­‐Pacific  

Middle  East    &  Africa  

Eastern  Europe  

South  America  

Market  Size   Ease  of  Entry  Growth    Poten>al  

Compe>>on  

Favorable   Unfavorable  

Where  to  expand  in  2011  

Posi>ve    Spillovers  

High  sales  

High  CAGR  

Dominant  Chinese  market  

Ranked  3rd  in  value  sales  behind  North  America  and  Europe  

CAGR  of  13%  from  2010-­‐2013E  

71%  of  total  Asiapac  sales  

Source:  Euromonitor  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 26: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Emerging  markets  

Asia-­‐Pacific  

Middle  East    &  Africa  

Eastern  Europe  

South  America  

Market  Size   Ease  of  Entry  Growth    Poten>al  

Compe>>on  

Favorable   Unfavorable  

Where  to  expand  in  2011  

Posi>ve    Spillovers  

Aggressive  greenfield  expansion  –  large  poten>al,  large  growth  

Franchise  mode  –  cultural  and  legal  constraints  

Sizeable  market  near  H&M  stronghold  

Lucra>ve  market  to  enter  in  the  future  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 27: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Strengthen  exis+ng  forts  while  expanding  new  markets  

Asia-­‐Pacific:    25%  

Eastern  Europe:    10%  

MENA:    10%  

N  America:    15%  

250  new  stores  in  2011  

Western  Europe:  45%  

S  America  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 28: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Asiapac:  Focus  on  China  

Southeast  Asia  

Source:  Euromonitor  

Singapore,    Indonesia,  Malaysia  

North  Asia  

China,  Japan,    South  Korea,  Taiwan  

1

2

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 29: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Much  poten+al  for  growth  in  China  

169  

71.252  

0   50   100   150   200  

China  

Germany  

CF  Market  Share  (USD  billions)  in  2009  

Large  poten+al  for  growth  in  

Chinese  market  

Source:  Euromonitor,  H&M  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 30: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Domina+ng  the  Chinese  stage  

Source:  H&M  

42  stores,  concentrated  in  Eastern  China  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 31: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Domina+ng  the  Chinese  stage  

4.5%  popula>on  4%  of  GDP  

44.5%  popula>on  32%  of  GDP  

51%  popula>on  64%  of  GDP  

42  stores,  concentrated  in  Eastern  China  

Source:  Ogilvy  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 32: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Opportuni+es  for  growth  in  2nd  and  3rd  +er  ci+es  

42  stores,  concentrated  in  Eastern  China  

Source:  Ogilvy  

Rapidly  emerging  middle  class  in  2nd  and  3rd  >er  ci>es  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 33: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Effec+ve  way  to  reach  out  to  Chinese  masses  

Source:  Ogilvy  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 34: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Leveraging  on  the  Chinese  e-­‐commerce  trend  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 35: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Efficient  expansion  via  Taobao.com  

•   370  million  users  •   50  million  unique  visitors  daily  

•   Low  capital  investment  •   Aggregated  distribu>on  centers  

Cri+cal  mass  

Efficient  expansion  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 36: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Efficient  expansion  via  Taobao.com  

Cri+cal  mass  

Efficient  expansion  

UNIQLO  SUCCESS  STORY  •   2  million  RMB  sales  daily    •   Exceeded  retail  store  sales  in  just  4  days  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 37: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

H&M  on  Taobao  Mall  

潮流指标  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 38: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Maximising  the  m-­‐commerce  plaform  

The  current  H&M  applica+on  

Source:  Forrester  Research,    ABI  Research,  Modus  Associates  

Basic    features  

Limited  geographic  

reach  

The  poten+al  In  m-­‐commerce  

Smartphone  penetra+on  

Poten+al  in  mobile  

M-­‐shopping  takeup  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 39: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Maximising  the  m-­‐commerce  plaform  

The  current  H&M  applica+on  

Basic    features  

Limited  geographic  

reach  

The  poten+al  inm-­‐commerce  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

My Wardrobe

Page 40: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

H&M:  cheap  chic,  24/7,  everywhere  

My Wardrobe

New  Retail  Channel  

Network  Effect  

Brand  Saliency  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 41: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Increasing  visibility  24/7,  on-­‐the-­‐go  

My Wardrobe

Brand  Saliency  

New  Retail  Channel  

Network  Effect  

•   Create  your  oueit  using  H&M  Catalogue  items    •   May  also  use  your  personal  items  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 42: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Increasing  visibility  24/7,  on-­‐the-­‐go  

Brand  Saliency  

New  Retail  Channel  

Network  Effect  

My Wardrobe

#  02  out  of  107  oueits  

Buy  it.  Keep  it.  

•   Create  your  oueit  using  H&M  Catalogue  items    •   May  also  use  your  personal  items  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 43: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Increasing  visibility  24/7,  on-­‐the-­‐go  

Brand  Saliency  

New  Retail  Channel  

Network  Effect  

My Wardrobe

#  02  out  of  107  oueits  

Buy  it.  Keep  it.  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 44: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Leveraging  on  network  effects  

My Wardrobe

#  02  out  of  107  oueits  

Buy  it.  Keep  it.  

New  Retail  Channel  

Network  Effect  

Brand  Saliency  

•   Average  of  220  friends  •   Photo  album  •   Newsfeed  (and  no>fica>ons)  •   Wall  post  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 45: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Complementary  revenue  stream    

My Wardrobe

#  02  out  of  107  oueits  

Buy  it.  Keep  it.  

Network  Effect  

New  Retail  Channel  

Brand  Saliency  

Source:  BCG  

Average  of  150%  increase  in  sales  voume  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 46: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

40%  more  likely  to  buy  

20%  higher  expenditure   My Wardrobe

#  02  out  of  107  oueits  

Buy  it.  Keep  it.  

Increasing  visibility  24/7,  on-­‐the-­‐go  

Network  Effect  

New  Retail  Channel  

Brand  Saliency  

•   Average  of  220  friends  •   Photo  album  •   Newsfeed  (and  no>fica>ons)  •   Wall  post  

40%  more  likely  to  buy  

20%  higher  expenditure  

Increased  purchase  frequency  

Source:  Informa>onWeek  

Larger  purchase  sizes  

Case  study:  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 47: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

H&M: Project Runway

Set the Stage Strut the Runway Managing Backstage

Page 48: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Make  it  Happen  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Limiting Agents

Cost of Production

Speed to Market

Human Resources

1  

2  

3  

Page 49: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Reducing  Costs  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

(1) Soaring Cotton Prices

Source: International Monetary Fund

Page 50: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Reducing  Costs  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

(2) Rising Cost of Production in China

Labor Cost

Rental Cost

Other Fixed Cost

Affordable Fashion?

Page 51: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Reducing  Costs  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

NhonTrach Industrial Park, Dong Nai Province

•  Established Textile Cluster •  Heavy FDI Investments •  Developed infrastructure •  Proximity to Saigon •  Proximity to Ports

Page 52: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

NhonTrach as production base for Asia Pacific

• Centralised Production •  Shipping cost offset by production cost savings •  Boosts speed to market

Backstage  –  Increasing  Speed  to  Market  

Page 53: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

NhonTrach as production base for Asia Pacific

• Centralised Production •  Shipping cost offset by production cost savings •  Boosts speed to market

Backstage  –  Increasing  Speed  to  Market  

Page 54: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Backstage  –  Overcoming  Manpower  Constraints  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Salespersons

  Need to keep up with rapid expansion of physical stores

↑  Number  of  Salespersons  

1  ↑  Revenue  /  Salesperson  

2  

Managers

Management Associate Programs • Targets Business students • Accelerated program, job rotations,

international experience

Page 55: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Financials  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Assumptions

  WACC of 11.2%

  Base growth rate of Sales Revenue (without Runway) at12% per annum

  COGS at 30% of Sales Revenue in 2011, decreases by 0.5% per

annum until 2016, constant thereafter

  Selling expenses at 34% of Sales Revenue in 2011, 35% in 2012~14,

decrease by 0.5% per annum until 33%, constant thereafter

  Aggregated Group tax rate of 25.3%

  Straight-line depreciation of capital expenditures over 5 years

Page 56: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Financials  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

SEK 23.5 Billion Incremental Profit in 2021

Break-even in 5 Years

Page 57: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Financials  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Worst Case Base Case Best Case

SEK 28.4 Billion SEK 35.4 Billion SEK 44.3 Billion

Page 58: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Implementa+on  Timeline  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Project  Runway  2011   2013  2012   2014   2015  

Pilot  1  

2  

Interna>onal  roll  out  

Set.  Stage  1.  Pilot  H&M  Man  project  

in  Shanghai  and  Beijing    2.  Increase  accessories  

market  

Page 59: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Implementa+on  Timeline  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

3  

4  

Interna>onal  expansion  with  a  focus  in  Asia  Pacific  

1  

2  

Project  Runway  2011   2013  2012   2014   2015  

Set.  Stage  1.  Pilot  H&M  Man  project  

in  Shanghai  and  Beijing    2.  Increase  accessories  

market  

Strut  .  Runway  1.  Geographic  expansion  2.  H&M  applica>on  

Interna>onal  roll  out  

Page 60: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Implementa+on  Timeline  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

3  

4  

Interna>onal  expansion  with  a  focus  in  Asia  Pacific  

Develop  

1  

2  

Project  Runway  

Set.  Stage  1.  Pilot  H&M  Man  project  

in  Shanghai  and  Beijing    2.  Increase  accessories  

market  

Strut  .  Runway  1.  Geographic  expansion  2.  H&M  applica>on  

2011   2013  2012   2014   2015  

Manage.  Backstage  

1.  Suppliers  2.  Strengthen  HR  

Support functions ongoing through fiscal years

Interna>onal  roll  out  

Page 61: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Conclusion  

Priori>zing  growth  op>ons  

Sustainable  growth  with  High  Impact  strategic  ini>a>ves  whilst  keeping  things  Simple  

Cri+cal  Issues  

Objec+ve  

Managing  costs  Recrui>ng  and  retaining  talents  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Set.  Stage  Recommenda+on   Strut.  Runway   Backstage  

Benefits  Sustainable  growth  

High  Impact     Simple  

Page 62: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Conclusion  

Priori>zing  growth  op>ons  

Sustainable  growth  with  High  Impact  strategic  ini>a>ves  whilst  keeping  things  Simple  

Cri+cal  Issues  

Objec+ve  

Managing  costs  Recrui>ng  and  retaining  talents  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Set.  Stage  Recommenda+on   Strut.  Runway   Backstage  

Benefits   NPV:  35.4bn  SEK  over  10  year  

Page 63: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

 Caroline  Ng                                Candice  Lim                                    Peh  Che  Min                                  Tobias  Chen                                      

F . O . C . A . L

H&M:  Bolder.Bigger.  Be8er  

Page 64: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

 Caroline  Ng                                Candice  Lim                                    Peh  Che  Min                                  Tobias  Chen                                      

F . O . C . A . L

Complementary  Slides  

Page 65: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Financials  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 66: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Financials  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Page 67: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Jus+fica+on  for  Addi+onal  1.6%  CAGR  Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Equivalent of 1.6% of Sales Revenue in 2011

Page 68: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Prioritizing Options for Growth

Op+on  1:    Day  to  day  performance  

• Increase  sales  per  square  feet      -­‐  Fashion  credibility  (Guest  designers)      -­‐  DifferenCaCon      -­‐  Cost  effecCve      -­‐  Untapped  segments  

• Increase  store  traffic        -­‐Revenues      -­‐  Brand  visibility  

• Constant  ‘fresh’  image  

• Scheduling  to  maximize  impact  • Revenue  contribu>ons  unjus>fied  

Op+on  2:  Online  Channel  

• 24/7  Shopping  • Greater  reach  to  target  segment  • Cost  effec>ve  • Changing  lifestyle  • Viral  marke>ng  

• Integra>on  of  online  channel    • Revenue  contribu>ons  unknown  • Lack  points  of  differen>a>on  

Op+on  3:  Geographic  Expansion  

• Diversifica>on  • Increase  revenues  fast  • Increase  brand  visibility  • Compe>>ve  pressures  to  move  fast  • New  collabora>ons  with  local  designers  

• Lack  understanding  of  foreign  markets  • Right  >ming  to  enter  emerging  markets  important  • Constrained  by  resources  

Op+on  4:  Product  Category  (LT)  

• Diversifica>on  • Increase  revenue  streams  in  lucra>ve  market  • Leverage  on  exis>ng  suppliers  • Build  H&M  lifestyle  concept  

• Incompa>ble  with  brand  image  • High  risks  involved  • Supply  chain  complexity  • Spreading  resources  too  thin  • Revenue  contribu>on  unjus>fied  

Op+on  5:  Brand  Expansion  (LT)  

• Diversifica>on  • Capture  apparel  market  segments  • Growth  Poten>al  

• High  risks  involved,  • No  economies  of  scale  • Increase  complexity;  resource  constraints  • Cannibaliza>on    • Affect  group  culture  

Page 69: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Geographic Expansion: Where first? Variables   Western  

Europe  Eastern  Europe  

North  America  

South  America  

MENA   Asia  Pacific  

Market  Size   US$379bn   US$64bn  (Russia:  43.8bn)  

US$352bn  US:  US$329bn  

US$88.3bn  (Brazil:  43%  of  total  volume  sales  and  nearly  55%  of  value  sales  in  2008  –  lower  end  market)  

US41.5bn   China:  US$169bn  Japan:  US$134bn  Australasia:  US$11bn  

Growth  Poten+al  

2.4%   8.9%   4.7%  (Exp  increase)  

4%   12%   9%  5.1%  (Male)  

Ease  of  Entry  

• Easy  • Familiar  market  

• Rela>vely  easy  

• Familiar  market  

• Easy   • Difficult  • Unfamiliar  market  

• Difficult  • Unfamiliar  market  

• Sensi>ve  

• Rela>vely  easy  

• Familiar  market  (P)  

Compe++on  Note:  Clustering  is  good  

• Mature  market  

• Stable  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

• Mature  market  

• Stable  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

• Emerging  market  

• Less  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

Posi+ve  Spillovers  

-­‐ve   +ve  (Russia)   +ve   +ve  (Brazil)  

-­‐ve  (Franchise)  

+ve  (Singapore)  

Total  Market  Value  in  2010:  €769.3bn  

Page 70: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

Page 71: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

Page 72: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

Page 73: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

Page 74: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

Page 75: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

Look Good

Online Self- reliant

Creatures of Habit Comfort, Price, Quality

Brick & Mortar Rationalization

Less reliance on information sharing

                               Too  risky  to  increase  emphasis  on  Menswear  

 PILOT  TESTING  in  CHINA    

Page 76: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Purchasing Behaviour Process

Need Recognition

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Purchase Evaluation

The Fashion Fraternity

Guest Designers

Lock in loyalty

iPhone Application

Page 77: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

The  Fashion  Fraternity  

To create a comfortable and pleasurable shopping experience - for men only

Lounge Catalogues Assistance

Relaxing and unintimidating atmosphere

What To Wear & Fashion

Tips

Subtle, non- intruding

Page 78: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

The  Fashion  Fraternity  

To create a comfortable and pleasurable shopping experience - for men only

Lounge Catalogues Assistance

Page 79: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Guest  Designers  

sales per customer x no. of customers

Global Caters to both

genders Prestige

Fred  Perry  

Tom    Ford  

Page 80: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Shi  shangyizhu  

To create a comfortable and pleasurable shopping experience - for men only

Lounge Catalogues Assistance

Page 81: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

Shi  shangyizhu  

To create a comfortable and pleasurable shopping experience - for men only

Lounge Catalogues Assistance

Page 82: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

SeAng  the  Stage  –  H&M  MEN    Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage Stage Analysis

Information Search

Evaluation of Alternatives

Purchase Decision

iPhone  Application  

Fashion advice Sales channel

sales per customer x no. of customers

Page 83: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Back-­‐up  Slides  

Page 84: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Why men category?

• High  CAGR  • Increasing  market  share  • Increasing  acceptance  • Increasing  affluence  • Increasing  need  to  look  good  and  trendy  

• No  strong  focus  at  the  moment  • China/India:  Dominant  market  • Experien>al  • res>ng  area:male  shopping  habits  

Page 85: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Why not the franchising model?

1.Interna>onal  brands  in  China  are  losing  control  and  ability  to  monitor  channels  2.  Franchisee  has  the  tendency  to  offer  huge  discounts  when  inventory  builds  up  3.  Lack  of  compliance  with  brand  building  ac>vi>es  to  save  money  4.  Franchisee  do  not  see  brand  building  as  part  of  their  responsibility  5.  No  feedback  loop  on  job  informa>on,  supply  and  sales  rebate  

Page 86: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Suits:  Jul  –  Jan  (Summer  sales)  Public  holiday:  Demand  will  spike  

25  –  45  years  old  economic  basis  +  strong  pref  for  brand  –  300,000,000  

first  >er  ci>es  –  spill  over  to  second  >er  ci>es  3rd  >ers  and  4th  >ers  are  also  upcoming  shopping  is  a    leisure  and  past  >me…switch  shops  less  ouen    community  malls  are  doing  bever  price  focus  to  value  driven  

Page 87: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Why not verticalization?

1.Interna>onal  brands  in  China  are  losing  control  and  ability  to  monitor  channels  2.  Franchisee  has  the  tendency  to  offer  huge  discounts  when  inventory  builds  up  3.  Lack  of  compliance  with  brand  building  ac>vi>es  to  save  money  4.  Franchisee  do  not  see  brand  building  as  part  of  their  responsibility  5.  No  feedback  loop  on  job  informa>on,  supply  and  sales  rebate  

Page 88: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Why not acquire?

1.  Lack  of  exper>se  2.  H&M  is  a  growing  business  3.  Risk  of  cannibaliza>on  4.  Risk  of  spreading  one’s  resources  too  thin  5.  Unable  to  support  too  many  brands  

Page 89: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Why not Integrate?

1.  Lack  of  exper>se  2.  H&M  is  a  growing  business  3.  Risk  of  cannibaliza>on  4.  Risk  of  spreading  one’s  resources  too  thin  5.  Unable  to  support  too  many  brands  

Page 90: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Value  Proposi+on  

Priori>zing  growth  op>ons  

Sustainable  growth  with  High  Impact  strategic  ini>a>ves  whilst  keeping  things  Simple  

Cri+cal  Issues  

Objec+ve  

Managing  costs  Recrui>ng  and  retaining  talents  

Analysis Stage Implementation Conclusion Runway Backstage

Set.  Stage  Recommenda+on   Strut.  Runway   Backstage  

Page 91: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

•  Wet  Seal  Shows  The  Way  •  Are  you  slowly,  cau+ously  sor+ng  out  how  to  engage  with  your  customers  in  

social  networks?  By  Chris  Murphy  ,    Informa+onWeek  September  25,  2010  12:00  AM  

•  Are  you  slowly,  cau>ously  sor>ng  out  how  to  engage  with  your  customers  in  social  networks?  Well,  if  your  customers  are  teenage  girls,  and  72%  of  them  are  on  Facebook  and  36%  of  them  have  a  smartphone,  you  don't  have  the  luxury  of  taking  your  sweet  >me.That's  why  teen-­‐girls'  clothing  retailer  Wet  Seal  is  among  those  blazing  a  trail  in  marke>ng  with  Facebook.  One  lesson  it's  learned  is  that  girls  want  to  do  different  things  on  each  medium.  They  use  Wet  Seal's  site  to  create  oueits-­‐-­‐500,000  of  them-­‐-­‐but  they  prefer  to  share  oueits  with  friends  using  Facebook.  Girls  don't  use  their  iPhones  much  to  post  content,  but  they  viewed  750,000  oueits  a  week  on  the  retailer's  iPhone  app  in  the  back-­‐to-­‐school  season.  Here  are  some  hard  results  Wet  Seal  has  seen  with  its  integrated  Web,  social  networking,  and  iPhone  strategy:  

•  Girls  using  the  oueit  tool  are  40%  more  likely  to  buy,  and  they  spend  20%  more.Girls  using  a  "Shop  With  Friend"  feature,  accessed  through  Facebook  or  the  site,  have  a  2.5  >mes  higher  conversion  rate.  

•  Facebook  is  now  the  largest  marke>ng  base  for  store  traffic,  thanks  to  coupons  and  campaigns,  and  one  of  the  biggest  drivers  of  traffic  to  Wet  Seal's  Web  site.Facebook  also  is  a  gold  mine  for  the  customer-­‐support  team.  "It's  one  of  the  primary  tools  they  use  to  know  if  there  are  problems  out  there,"  says  Wet  Seal  development  director  Shawn  Keim.  Wet  Seal  doesn't  erase  complaints  but  tries  to  resolve  problems  with  comments  on  Facebook,  so  people  see  issues  gezng  taken  care  of.  

Page 92: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

•   91%  of  all  US  consumers  own  and  use  a  mobile  device  •   1.8  billion  smart-­‐phones  in  use  globally  by  2013  

Smartphone  penetra+on  

•   Mobile  marke>ng  spend  will  top  USD  1  billion  in  2011  

Poten+al  in  mobile  

• 48%  of  smartphone  users  say  they  have  already,  or  soon  will,  do  mobile  shopping  

M-­‐shopping  takeup  • 2D,  sta>c  photo  

• Only  works  when  near  certain  H&M  stores  

Basic  features  

Limited  geographic  reach  

The  current  H&M  applica+on  

Source:  Forrester  Research,    ABI  Research,  Modus  Associates  

Page 93: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Taobao  Mall  •  Levi’s  is  the  latest  interna>onal  brand  to  set  up  an  online  shop  in  China.  Well,  that  

is  made  possible  through  Alibaba  Group’s  Taobao  Mall.  It’s  a  wise  choice  as  Taobao  is  China’s  largest  retail  website  with  more  than  370  million  users  and  receives  over  50  million  unique  visitors  each  day.In  Levi’s  new  online  store,  users  are  spoilt  for  choice  with  over  200  Levi’s  products  to  choose  from.  On  top  of  that,  Levi’s  will  also  introduce  exclusive  online-­‐only  styles  on  Taobao,  a  bonus  to  keep  users  coming  back.Despite  in  early  stage,  Levis’s  effort  seems  to  be  paying  off  well.  Several  thousands  pair  of  jeans  were  already  sold  online,  according  to  Taobao’s  sta>s>cs.  Apparently,  Levi’s  isn’t  the  only  brand  that  has  entered  China’s  online  market  through  Taobao.“UNIQLO,  Adidas,  Procter  and  Gamble,  L’Oreal  Paris,  Lenovo,  Li  Ning  and  Revlon  have  all  launched  official  online  retail  storefronts  on  Taobao  Mall  as  part  of  their  e-­‐commerce  strategy,”  a  Taobao  spokeswoman  told  Penn  Olson.“For  corporate  retailers,  Taobao  Mall  offers  the  infrastructure  for  complete  management  of  their  own  brand  and  online  retail  channel  while  providing  access  to  consumers  situated  in  second  and  third  >er  regions  across  China  in  addi>on  to  urban  centers  such  as  Shanghai  and  Beijing,”  she  added.Business-­‐to-­‐consumer  (B2C)  ecommerce  is  booming  in  China.  Last  quarter,  China  hit  a  new  high  with  a  total  of  64  million  B2C  orders.  Without  a  doubt,  a  large  number  of  orders  comes  from  Taobao.  If  you’re  a  retailer  and  looking  to  capture  the  Chinese  market,  Taobao  seems  like  a  good  place.  

Page 94: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011
Page 95: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

1)  Eastern  Europe  &  Asia  Pacific  2) Grow  by  10-­‐15%  new  stores  (220-­‐330  stores  

in  following  12  mths)  

Page 96: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Eastern  Europe  

Page 97: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Back-­‐up:  Zara  opera>onal  efficiency  

Page 98: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

2010  Expansion  

Region   No  of  new  stores  

%  of  total  new  stores  

Western  Europe   151   62.1%  

Eastern  Europe   29   11.9%  

Asia-­‐Pacific   26   10.3%  

Middle  East  and  Africa  

15  6.2%  

North  America   22   9.1%  

Page 99: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Variables   Western  Europe  

Eastern  Europe  

North  America  

South  America  

MENA   Asia  Pacific  

Market  Size   US$379bn   US$64bn  (Russia:  43.8bn)  

US$352bn  US:  US$329bn  

US$88.3bn  (Brazil:  43%  of  total  volume  sales  and  nearly  55%  of  value  sales  in  2008  –  lower  end  market)  

US41.5bn   China:  US$169bn  Japan:  US$134bn  Australasia:  US$11bn  

Growth  Poten+al  

2.4%   8.9%   4.7%  (Exp  increase)  

4%   12%   9%  5.1%  (Male)  

Ease  of  Entry  

• Easy  • Familiar  market  

• Rela>vely  easy  

• Familiar  market  

• Easy   • Difficult  • Unfamiliar  market  

• Difficult  • Unfamiliar  market  

• Sensi>ve  

• Rela>vely  easy  

• Familiar  market  (P)  

Compe++on  Note:  Clustering  is  good  

• Mature  market  

• Stable  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

• Mature  market  

• Stable  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

• Emerging  market  

• Less  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

Posi+ve  Spillovers  

-­‐ve   +ve  (Russia)   +ve   +ve  (Brazil)  

-­‐ve  (Franchise  model)  

+ve  (Singapore  -­‐  SEA)  

Total  Market  Value  in  2010:  €769.3bn  

Page 100: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

M-­‐commerce    a  complementary  revenue  stream  

•  5th:  mul+-­‐channel  •  build  integrated  mul>-­‐channel  plaeorms  (addressing  customers  via  

different  plaeorms  and  integra>ng  them)  call  centers,  web  &  mobile,  direct,  other,  catalog,  print/mail,  TV,  stores.    

•  Customers  touched  by  numerous  channels  will  spend  more  with  the  retailer:  Average  annual  spend  (USD):  260  -­‐>  660  -­‐>  1,620  from  single  channel  -­‐>  dual  channel  -­‐>  tri-­‐channel  (store,  catalog,  internet)  also  creates  more  loyal  customers  

•  push  into  online  –  e-­‐/m-­‐commerce  •  “Apparel,  accessories  and  footwear”  is  biggest  category  in  online  

sales,  and  is  expected  to  con>nue  to  grow  at  high  rates  (2009-­‐2013  CAGR:  11%,  forecasted  online  sales  for  USA,  $40.3  bn  in  2013)  

•  challenge  for  fashion  industry  –  need  to  define  equilibrium  between  brand  and  commercial  objec>ves  

Page 101: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Emerging  markets  

Asia-­‐Pacific  

Middle  East    &  Africa  

Eastern  Europe  

South  America  

Market  Size   Ease  of  Entry  Growth    Poten>al  

Compe>>on  

Favorable   Unfavorable  

Where  to  expand  in  2011  

Posi>ve    Spillovers  

Franchise  to  MEA  Cultural  and  legal  constraints  

Page 102: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Emerging  markets  

Asia-­‐Pacific  

Middle  East    &  Africa  

Eastern  Europe  

South  America  

Market  Size   Ease  of  Entry  Growth    Poten>al  

Compe>>on  

Favorable   Unfavorable  

Where  to  expand  in  2011  

Posi>ve    Spillovers  

Move  to  medium  run  –  1.  compe>>on  is  intense    2.unfamiliar  market    

Page 103: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Eastern  Europe:  mid-­‐price  on  the  rise  Value  Proposi>on   Focus   Forge   Implementa>on   Conclusion  

•   Economic  crisis  •   Increased  demand  for  middle-­‐market  

Timely  opportunity  

•   Manufacturers  in  Turkey,  Morocco  and  Bangladesh  •   Headquarters  in  Stockholm  

Geographical  proximity  

Page 104: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Variables   Western  Europe  

Eastern  Europe  

North  America  

South  America  

MENA   Asia  Pacific  

Market  Size   US$379bn   US$64bn  (Russia:  43.8bn)  

US$352bn  US:  US$329bn  

US$88.3bn  (Brazil:  43%  of  total  volume  sales  and  nearly  55%  of  value  sales  in  2008  –  lower  end  market)  

US41.5bn   China:  US$169bn  Japan:  US$134bn  Australasia:  US$11bn  

Growth  Poten+al  

2.4%   8.9%   4.7%  (Exp  increase)  

4%   12%   9%  5.1%  (Male)  

Ease  of  Entry  

• Easy  • Familiar  market  

• Rela>vely  easy  

• Familiar  market  

• Easy   • Difficult  • Unfamiliar  market  

• Difficult  • Unfamiliar  market  

• Sensi>ve  

• Rela>vely  easy  

• Familiar  market  (P)  

Compe++on  Note:  Clustering  is  good  

• Mature  market  

• Stable  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

• Mature  market  

• Stable  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

• Emerging  market  

• Less  compe>>on  

• Emerging  market  

• Intense  

Posi+ve  Spillovers  

-­‐ve   +ve  (Russia)   +ve   +ve  (Brazil)  

-­‐ve  (Franchise  model)  

+ve  (Singapore  -­‐  SEA)  

Total  Market  Value  in  2010:  €769.3bn  

Page 105: Presentation by National University of Singapore - Winners of CBS Case Competition 2011

Defining  the  Tiers  First-­‐Tier  Ci+es  Four  municipali>es:  Beijing,  Chongqing,  Shanghai,  Tianjin  Ci>es  with  total  retail  sales  of  more  than  RMB30bn,  annual  per  capita  income  of    RMB11,000  and  high  per  capita  retail  sales  as  propor>on  of  income:  10  provincial  capitals:  Changchun  (Jilin),  Chengdu  (Sichuan),  Guangzhou  (Guangdong),  Hangzhou  (Zhejiang),  Harbin  (Heilongjiang),  Jinan  (Shandong)  Nanjing,  (Jiangsu),  Shenyang  (Liaoning),  Wuhan  (Hubei),  Xi’an  (Shaanxi)  Four  leading  ci>es:  Dalian,  Qingdao,  Shenzhen,  Xiamen  

Second-­‐Tier  Ci+es  17  provincial  capitals:  Changsha  (Hunan),  Fuzhou  (Fujian),  Guiyang  (Guizhou),  Haikou  (Hainan),  Hefei  (Anhui),  Hohhot  (Inner  Mongolia),  Kunming  (Yunnan),  Lanzhou  (Gansu),  Lhasa  (Tibet),  Nanchang  (Jiangxi),  Nanning  (Guangxi),  Shijiazhuang  (Hebei),  Taiyuan  (Shanxi),  Urumqi  (Xinjiang),  Xining  (Qinghai),  Yinchuan  (Ningxia),  Zhengzhou  (Henan)  50  prefecture-­‐level  ci>es,  including,  Ningbo,  Suzhou,  Wuxi,  Wenzhou,  Nantong,  Dongguan,  Zhanjiang  15  more  ci>es  with  popula>ons  of  between  500,000  and  2mn  

Third-­‐Tier  Ci+es  Approximately  200  county-­‐level  ci>es  

Fourth-­‐Tier  Ci+es  Approximately  400  capitals  of  county  towns  

Source:  Ogilvy