prelisting brief for an atlanta home for sale
TRANSCRIPT
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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This report contains the important information that is
provided to every potential listing client:
How much to expect?
How long might it take?What happens if it languishes?
All supporting data is not included in this example, it is
when presented.
Note that in this case, the owners elected to list higher
than suggested, you will see two follow up briefs
addressing that issue.
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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After review of both active and closed sales and with consideration given to the current and anticipated real
estate market through late ’10, this is what I expect and how I propose to sell your home.
The major challenges are obvious (in no order): • Lackluster economy.
• Diminished pool of qualified buyers.
• Buyers expect
major
bargains
in
this
market,
even
though
this
isn’t
always
happening.
• Market continues to correct; short sales and bank properties are present.
• Increased lender scrutiny of submitted contracts and buyers.
• Reduced pool of reliable comparables for agents/appraisers/buyers/sellers to accurately and
confidently ascertain value.
• This home will be in the upper value tier for the Grant Park area. While it has reason to be there, we
should anticipate an increase in marketing time of 120‐180 days.
Actions required to mitigate the challenges (in no order): • Accurate
initial
price
and
adjust
if/as
needed.
• Demonstrate the value in this property – condition, location, amenities, etc.
• Market to the most likely buyer and enforce the things they want – location near the park, dining, in
town conveniences, historical character and charm of home and area.
• Have evidence prepared to support price – comps for appraisers, agents, buyers.
• Prepare and maintain home as best as possible.
• Market heavy; expose it where buyers/agents will see it, strong narrative to illicit interest.
Major cautions (in no order): • Initial list price has to be reasonable and one that will attract legitimate buyers.
• The Fed has stopped buying mortgage backed securities. While rates have been held in check, they are
moving slowly higher and this is expected to continue.
• Fed buyer incentives end 4/30; properties must be contract by then and closed by 6/30. Reduced buyer
activity is expected after 4/30.
• Price reductions may be required if the market fails to support the price with physical visits, serious
buyers and offers. We will know after the first 21‐28 days if adjustment is needed.
Suggested course of action: • I would suggest a list price of $425.000. This is a competitive price that will fall within the “reasonable”
group when all active listings are considered. You do not want agents running listings and removing the
home right off the desk top due to price. This is a price that I believe will attract buyers that are
interested in getting inside of the home. The goal is to make your home the one others are compared
to – the “go to house”.
• A competitive price is critical:
o This is not a market to “test” pricing – especially with the incentives ending in 32 days.
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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o The number of qualified buyers has been significantly reduced over the last few years – with an
increase in listings. Price is the main thing buyers are looking at.
o Most interest is when the home is new, an adjustment after is likely to be lost in the mix as the
home remains on the market.
o Appraisals coming in below sale price are more common these days. If that happens the best
case scenario moving the price down; worst case can be loss of buyer confidence and loss of
the deal.
• The price must generate physical visits. Emotion sells homes and this is especially true here as the
locational desirability and charm of the home are the major strong points and those can only be
exploited by getting buyers inside. Photos, narratives and discussions are good, but nothing compares
to buyers personally connecting – and that is wholly price driven in this market.
• Once the initial price is determined, activity will be reviewed after 21‐28 days. At that time we will
review buyer feedback, agent comments and current data and trends. If adjustment is needed, this will
be discussed.
• Given the 4/30 expiration of the federal incentives, “spring” in the Grant Park area and the typical
increased buyer activity at this time of year (albeit diminished compared to past years) I think it is very
important to get the initial list price as accurate as possible.
What to expect: • Priced at 425,000 I would expect a good amount of genuine traffic – not just lookers.
• You will have “opportunity” buyers that make perceived low offers; this is the nature of the market and
the mindset of buyers at this time. We don’t take this personally and treat every offer as one that can
be successfully worked.
• Most activity will be in the first two to three weeks; obviously it will attract most attention when new.
• Buyers will
ask
for
closing
costs
and
are
likely
to
ask
for
items
such
as
warranties,
termite
bond,
survey
or other things. They will also ask for remediation of issues noted during the inspection – I keep those
limited to code and safety issues. I’ll walk you through all of this and keep agents from overreaching.
• Given that the federal incentives mandate homes be contracted by 4/30 and closed by 6/30, you can
expect that date to broadly set a rough time frame. If we fail to contract by 4/30, then the incentives
won’t apply.
Next steps: • Verify your desire to list and sign appropriate paperwork. Total commission will be X%; listing period
will be
150
days.
• Establish initial list price.
• Discuss positives and negatives of the home so we can prep the narratives, order photographer and
prepare all marketing materials.
• Once all is ready, list home in the FMLS/MLS and employ the standard marketing procedures.
• With the 4/30 deadline in mind, I strongly suggest getting the home up on the market ASAP. Typically,
the photographer works on a 2‐3 day lead time.
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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Data Reviewed: The current market has to be viewed from both the historic side (closed sales) and the present side (active
listings); an added variable is the economy and current real estate environment (underwriting, loan approval
process, consumer confidence, appraisal changes). The objective remains the same, to place the home in the
best possible position to be recognized and purchased by a motivated buyer.
In
this
case,
the
attached
data
shows
the
group
of
homes
that
I
gave
most
consideration
to,
all
are
in
close
proximity to the park. As the market is best indicated by actions of buyers, sold comps are strongly
considered. Key points on the sold comps:
• All selected are 4 bedroom described as renovated with a price bracket between 375K‐475K
• 4 of the 6 have 3 full baths, 1 has 4 full baths and 1 has 2 full baths
• All have closed since 07/09 with 1 closed in 1/10, none since
• Your home is noted at approximately 2300 square feet (SF). 3 of these homes approach or exceed
3000SF, the 3 others are between 2400SF‐2650SF. Measuring a home continues to be a source of
controversy in the real estate world but it is logical to say that these comps are at least as large or
larger than
your
home.
• All have off street parking, at least 1 has a two car garage.
• 2 are describe as having basements (subjective here).
• Sale to list price ratios run between 87.9% and 94.5% with an average sale price for the group of
$412,300
• Average days on market is noted as 123 but that does not include relisted homes. Note 3 of the homes
had marketing times well over a year and a half.
• Competing data for the Grant Park area (sold homes 375K‐500K) shows a two year YTD decline of
4.25%+‐. This is a narrow focus of just this price range.
Key points for the active comps:
• 3 to 4 bedroom homes between 375K‐475K and in the same competing setting were reviewed.
• Of the 6 between 400K‐475K, 4 have 3 full baths with 2 having 2 full baths
• Overall square footages are closer to your home, the 2 highest priced homes are larger
• All have off street parking, 3 are noted as having garages.
• 2 of the homes are noted as having basements, 2 others as having “high crawlspaces”.
• All are noted as being “renovated or updated”, 3 have been built since 2000
• One 1 home
has
been
recently
listed
(2/10),
3 have
been
listed
within
the
last
4 months
and
the
others
have been listed for longer.
I selected the price point of 425,000 because:
• Average sale price for the sold group is 412K, 2 comparables have closed above 435K. Both of those
closed in ’09.
• Only 1 closed comp had 2 bathrooms.
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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• If you apply the 4.25 decline to your purchase price the resulting number is 423K. While nothing more
than a simple application of data, buyers and agents will do this.
• I see several of the active homes as overpriced given the sold data. I think your home best competes
against 429 Oakland, 740 Confederate and 499 Atlanta. The last two are 5+‐ years old with similar
construction. 499 has a large 2 car garage plus above area plumbed for an in‐law or office, 3.5
bathrooms, double porches, gated entry and 2300SF+‐. 740 has a 2 car garage, 3.5 bathrooms, finished
basement, gated entry and 2100SF+‐ (excluding basement).
• From an appraisal standpoint (using paired sales analysis) we can broadly assign a minimum value to
the garages of $6,000 and a full bathroom $5,000. The basement will also of course require
adjustment.
• The other variable is that we’re dealing off list prices for those two – that is just an opinion and not
market validated, it is a certainty that those will not be the final sale prices. A glance at the closed data
demonstrates the expected reduction.
• Using the ratios and list prices, 499 Atlanta has an expected sale price of 425,250 and 740 Confederate
has an expected sale price of 415,705. That is before adjusting for differences noted above.
That is
the
data
side
of
the
work
up.
As
real
estate
is
also
heavily
influenced
by
emotion,
the
objective
here
is
to get people inside. I touched on that above but at the end of the day, if it’s not priced to get the door
opening, it is not going to sell. If they don’t get out and see the setting, the home and the immediate area, we
will be lost in the mix. I feel that given the characteristics (bath count, size, parking) that it will compete best at
the 425,000 price, I don’t see it competing effectively at a higher price.
Understand as well that if the doors blow off with traffic and offers that you are not compelled to give things
away. We will negotiate close, but we first need to have something to negotiate – and that comes when
bodies come through the door.
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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5/5/10 Update Well the house has been on the market approaching 30 days and the results have obviously not been good.
I’ve chatted with a few agents that I know and have done business with that work in and around the area; I’ve
asked them for opinions. The consensus is that while it presents very well, it’s priced too high for the current
market. We have given the idea of overlisting an opportunity; it is my strong advice to reduce it immediately.
As
you
recall
when
we
initially
met
and
during
subsequent
chats;
the
three
keys
to
selling
in
this
market
are
price, exposure and appeal. I know from the phone/email inquiries that exposure and appeal are good – the
comments are very favorable and the home is out where buyers and agents are finding it. When I get inquiries
I always chat them up and encourage a visit, therein lies the breakdown. Agents see the same data that you
are, that data doesn’t support the current list price. Obviously the best indicator of value is the market, and to
this point we’ve had no folks through the door.
I’m recommending that we move the price to at least where I suggested that we originally start – 425,000.
This gives us a bit of separation from the 450K+‐ crowd and makes us a bit stronger in the 425K+‐ arena. My
concern is the home getting stagnant and lost in the inventory; the homes currently selling in this market tend
to go
in
the
first
4‐5 weeks.
Please review the attached data; it’s not significantly different than that originally presented. The bottom line
is that three comparable homes in Grant Park have sold between 400‐450K since Oct and one since Jan, we
need to be cognizant of the data to compete effectively for those few buyers out there. Price is the issue and
while I know it’s a hard call, if the home is to properly compete the market is telling us that it needs to move
down.
Please review and give me your thoughts –
8/8/2019 PreListing Brief for an Atlanta Home for Sale
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6/29/10 Update I reviewed the initial assessment and marketing plan completed when we listed on 4/12, at that time I
suggested a price of 425,000. Since listing we’ve been above that and the result has been minimal activity.
That was a pretty thorough work up, much of it remains appropriate. Things have slowed since listing and the
price that you set is going to determine if the home sells.
Attached is a look at the current data (since 1/10+) for 4‐5 BR 300K‐500K homes, you’ll note just two sales
since 01/10. Note as well that the number of listings has increased dramatically since spring. The expiration of
the fed incentive has further subdued things, we’ve seen a demonstrated slow down in buyer activity.
The limited feedback we’ve heard on your home centers on the lack of a dining room, one bath upstairs and
lack of a room that can be a den/office. Some have commented about the availability of new homes in the
area as well. The feedback is consistent with trying to compete at the higher price point with homes that will
tend to offer more; you cannot effectively compete. The home has to be priced where it will stand out and be
competitive; the buyers need to get in to see the features.
While I know you don’t want to hear this, if the home languishes into the late summer it is likely to sit through
the winter.
If
the
objective
is
to
sell
it,
then
it
needs
to
be
well
priced
now
while
rates
remain
low
and
there
is
a modicum of buyer interest due to those rates. When they increase, I think we’ll see it quiet into mid ’12
when the election will bring out all of the yapping about the economy again. The challenge here is that the
home has been out there a while so buyers/agents will need to “find” it again. Vacant homes breed trouble
and the prospect of a home sitting empty in a market that isn’t going to have a substantive rebound any time
soon has no upside.
I would suggest moving the price to $414,900. That will put you against similar homes and should increase the
looks. Note that there are homes at the 390‐400 range that appear to compete well and that buyer’s are not
just focused on Grant Park – you’re competing with other areas as well. You can hold close to that price, you
don’t
have
to
give
away
everything
in
negotiation,
but
you
have
to
have
something
to
negotiate.
I
heard
the
groan, but at the end of the day you can see the data and you know what the market has done since you
purchased the home. There are few pending and two sold comps since January, of those under contract we’re
seeing about 20% fall apart for various issues. This almost certainly means bringing money to the table but
given that no one expects any type of turnaround it might be best to close this chapter if given the
opportunity.
Have a look at the data, consider my suggestions and let me know your thoughts – thanks
Hank