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Actualización en Obstetricia La FE Formación Continuada 10º Curso de Obstetricia La FEPreeclampsia: Predicción A. Perales [email protected]

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Actualización en

Obstetricia La FE

Formación Continuada

10º Curso de Obstetricia “La FE”

Preeclampsia: Predicción

A. [email protected]

Early Prediction of Preeclampsia Estimated detection rates of (PE) requiring delivery before 34, 37, and 42 weeks’ gestation, at false positive rates (FPR) of 5% and 10%.

Screening test Detection rate (%)FPR (%) PE < 34 weeks PE < 37 weeks PE < 42 weeks

Maternal characteristics 5.0 36 33 2910.0 51 43 40

Poon LC. Nicolaides K. Early Prediction of Preeclampsia. Obstetrics and Gynecology International. 2014

Ut-PI 5.0 59 40 3110.0 75 55 42

MAP 5.0 58 44 3710.0 73 59 54

PAPP-A 5.0 44 37 3210.0 55 48 42

PlGF 5.0 59 41 2910.0 72 54 40

MAP and Ut-PI 5.0 80 55 3510.0 90 72 57

PAPP-A and PlGF 5.0 60 43 3010.0 74 56 41

Ut-PI, MAP, and PAPP-A 5.0 82 53 3610.0 93 75 60

Ut-PI, MAP, and PlGF 5.0 87 61 3810.0 96 77 53

Ut-PI, MAP, PAPP-A, and PlGF 5.0 93 61 3810.0 96 77 54

fetal i+D

Predicción 1er T

Example of nomogram for the estimation of the EOPE riskat 24 w

Perales A, Delgado JL, De La Calle M, García-Hernández JA, Escudero AI, Campillos JM, Sarabia MD, Laíz B, Duque M,

Navarro M, Calmarza P, Hund M, Álvarez FV; STEPS investigators.. sFlt-1/PlGF for early-onset pre-eclampsia prediction:

STEPS (Study of Early Pre-eclampsia in Spain). Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol. 2016 Nov 24. doi: 10.1002/uog.17373.

ACOG (2015). "Committee Opinion No. 638: First-Trimester Risk

Assessment for Early-Onset Preeclampsia." Obstet Gynecol 126(3):

e25-27.

Primiparity

Previous PE

Chr Hypertension, Chr renal disease or both

History of thrombophilia

Multiffetal pregnancy

IVF

Family history of PE

Type I or II Diabetes mellitus

Obesity

SLE

Advanced maternal age (>40 years)

Cribado de la PE: Opinión de sociedades

científicas

Low-dose aspirin use for the prevention :

U.S. Preventive Services Task Force

Risk Level Risk Factors RecommendationHigh History of preeclampsia Aspirin if has ≥ 1

Chronic hypertensionType 1 or 2 diabetesRenal diseaseAutoimmune disease (ie, SLE, APs)Multifetal gestation

Moderate Nulliparity Aspirin if several

Obesity (body mass index 30 kg/m2)Family history of preeclampsia (mother or sister)Sociodemographic characteristics (African American, low socioeconomic status)Age > 35 yPersonal history factors (e.g., low birthweight or small for gestational age, previousadverse pregnancy outcome, 10-y pregnancy interval)

Low Previous uncomplicated full-term delivery No Aspirin

LeFevre ML; U.S. Preventive Services Task Force.. Low-dose aspirin use for the prevention of morbidity and mortality from preeclampsia: U.S. Preventive Services Task Force recommendation statement. Ann Intern Med. 2014 Dec 2;161(11):819-26.

1. La condición debe considerarse un problema sanitario.

2. Debe conocerse la historia natural de la enfermedad.

3. Debe identificarse la enfermedad en etapas de latencia o sintomáticas precoces.

4. Debe haber un test de cribado capaz de detectar la enfermedad etapas de latencia osintomáticas precoces, y debe ser aceptado y validado en la población.

5. Debe haber un tratamiento aceptable para cuando se detecta la enfermedad.

6. Tratar la enfermedad cuando se detecta en estadios latentes o sintomáticos precocesdebe mejorar su curso.

7. Debe disponerse de medios y condiciones para diagnosticar y tratar la enfermedad.

8. Debe haber un acuerdo sobre a que pacientes tratar para prevenir la enfermedad.

9. El coste económico del cribado y del tratamiento debería ser razonable en relación alcoste económico de la enfermedad.

10. La búsqueda de casos debe ser un proceso continuo.

Criterios que debe cumplir un test cribado

(OMS)

Wilson, J.M.G., and Jungner, G. Principles and Practice of Screening for Disease. WHO Public Paper 34. Geneva: World Health

Bibliography Organization, 1968. Whitby, L.G. Screening for disease: Definitions and criteria. Lancet 2:819–822, 1974.

Health Mother.- Pulmonary edema, cerebral hemorrhage, hepatic failure, renal failure, seizures (eclampsia), disseminated intravascular coagulation (primarily with abruption), and maternal death.

Fetus /neonate .- Preterm birth, stillbirth, growth restriction, admission to a neonatal intensive care unit, neurological sequelae, death

IncidenceVaries between countries, believed that worldwide, 3–5 % of pregnant women are affected

Spain 2.23% for pregnancy hypertension status (PHS), of which 1.1% corresponded to PE

(Comino-Delgado, Clin Exp Hypertens B 1986;5:217–30)

1. La condición debe considerarse un problema

sanitario

2.- Debe conocerse la historia natural de la

enfermedad

ETIOLOGÍA es desconocida

Factores inmunológicos, estrés oxidativo,

factores genéticos.

Enfermedad de las múltiples teorías

FISIOPATOLOGÍA Anómala implantación placentaria

PREECLAMPSIA.

Las células trofoblásticas (solo invade la decidua).

Arterias espirales estrechas y con resistencias elevadas que dificultan el

flujo uteroplacentario → Hipoxia → Favorece la liberación de factores

antiangiogénicos.

Brosens IA, Robertson WB, Dixon HG. The role of the spiral arteries in the pathogenesis of preeclampsia. Obstet Gynecol Annu. 1972;1:177-91

Gant NF, Daley GL, Chand S, Whalley PJ, MacDonald PC. A study of angiotensin II pressorresponse throughout primigravid pregnancy. J Clin Invest. 1973 Nov;52(11):2682-9

3. Debe identificarse la enfermedad en etapas de

latencia o sintomáticas precoces.

Diagnóstico precoz.

Diagnóstico.

PE <37sem

PE >37sem

Utilidad de los biomarcadores

Levine RJ, Maynard SE, Qian C, et al Circulating angiogenic factors and the risk of preeclampsia. N Engl J Med. 2004 12;350(7):672-83

Norwitz ER. Prediction of preecclampsia UpToDate 2016Peter Wein Universal screening for pre-eclampsia and treatment with aspirin – the negative. Australasian Diabetes in Pregnancy Society Annual Scientific Meeting 27 – 28 august 2016

A good test for predicting women who will develop preeclampsia should be simple, rapid, noninvasive, inexpensive, easy to perform, and should not expose the patient to discomfort or risk

The technology should be widely available and the results reproducible and reliable, with a high likelihood ratio for a positive test (>15) and a low likelihood ratio for a negative result (<0.1) and good sensitivity and specificity.

Ideally, it should provide an opportunity for intervention to prevent development of the disease, or at least result in better maternal and/or fetal outcomes.

Currently, there are no clinically available tests that perform well according to these guidelines in distinguishing women who will develop preeclampsia from those who will not

4. Debe haber un test de cribado capaz de detectar

la enfermedad etapas de latencia o sintomáticas

precoces, y debe ser aceptado y validado en la

población.

Detection rate (DR) of early pre-eclampsia at a 10%

false positive rate using various multiparametric

predictive models

Khong SL, Kane SC, Brennecke SP, et al. First-trimester uterine artery Doppler analysis in the prediction of later pregnancy complications. Dis Mark 2015; 2015: 679730.

Oliveira N, Magder LS, Blitzer MG, et al. First-trimester prediction of pre-eclampsia: external validity of algorithms in a prospectively enrolled cohort. Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2014; 279–285.

External validation of multiparametric models for

the prediction of EOPE and LOPE

Validation of a first-trimester screening model for pre-eclampsia

Scazzocchio, E., F. Crovetto, et al. (2016). "Validation of a first-trimester screening model for pre-eclampsia in an unselected population." Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol. In press

4621 women EOPE 28 (0,7%, LOPE 141 (3,4%), EOPE A priori risk, UtA‐PI, MAP LOPE A priori risk, PAPP‐A

Construction cohort

Validation cohort

Prev

2,1

0,5

Prev

3,4

0,7

5. Debe haber un tratamiento aceptable para

cuando se desarrolla la enfermedad

TRATAMIENTO

CURATIVO PARTO

Paliativo (↓) morbimortalidad

Antihipertensivos

Sulfato de Magnesio

Bazzano, A. N., E. Green, et al., "Assessment of the quality and content of national and international guidelines on hypertensive disorders of pregnancy using the AGREE II instrument." BMJ Open. 2016 6(1): e009189.

Preventions modalities for pre-eclampsia by CPGs

6. Tratar la enfermedad cuando se detecta en

estadíos latentes o sintomáticos precoces debe

mejorar su curso

ASPIRINA

Roberge, S., K. Nicolaides, et al. (2016). "The role of aspirin dose on the prevention of preeclampsia and fetal growth restriction: systematic review and meta-analysis. LID - S0002-9378(16)30783-9 [pii] LID - 10.1016/j.ajog.2016.09.076 [doi]." Am J Obstet Gynecol 15(16): 30783-30789.

45 RCTs including a total of 20,909 pregnant women randomized to between 50 mg and 150 mg of aspirin daily

RR 95% CIPE 0,57 0.43-0.75Severe PE 0,47 0.26-0.83FGR 0,56 0.44-0.70

Prevention of PE and FGR using aspirin in early pregnancy is associated with a dose-response effect

No studies directly compared the effectiveness of screening for preeclampsia on health outcomes in a screened versus unscreened

population (USPSTF 2016)

7. Deben disponerse de medios y condiciones para diagnosticar y tratar la enfermedad

El Doppler y los biomarcadores serológicos y no siempre están

disponibles y no suelen emplearse en las visitas rutinarias del primer

trimestre.

Se necesita formación especializada en técnicas de ultrasonografía

para que exista uniformidad en los resultados y sea operador-

independiente.

8. Debe haber acuerdo sobre a quiénes hay que

tratar para prevenir.

Revisión sistemática en la que se incluyeron modelos predictivos quepredijeran PE en el primer trimestre.

4 definiciones diferentes de preeclampsia.

Número de eventos por variable: 6.5 en PE y de 5 en el caso

solo de EOPE.

• Cuando es menor de 10 se considera que el resultado

no es lo suficientemente robusto.

Sobreajuste: solo 3 tuvieron en cuenta pocos predictores

para disminuirlo.

Validación: en el momento del estudio, sólo se había

validado dos

Por tanto…

MODELOS

PREDICTIVOS DE

PE EN EL 1ER

TRIMESTRE

DEFICIENTES Y

POCO FIABLES

38 MODELOS PREDICTIVOS (PE 10, EOPE 18, LOPE 9, PE SEVERA 1).

Brunelli VB, Prefumo F. Quality of first trimester risk prediction models for pre-eclampsia: a systematic review. BJOG 2015; 122:904–

914

9. El coste económico del cribado y del tratamiento

debería ser razonable en relacion al coste

económico de la propia enfermedad

cribado + o ↑ riesgo

Bajas dosis de aspirina

y calcio

efectos a 30 años (AVAC)

P 1.7% = 18.919$

P >3% = <10000$

Rentabilidad del cribado ente cuando la prevalencia de la PE > 3% (coste<10000$).Shmueli A, Meiri H, Gonen R. Economic assessment of screening for pre-eclampsia. Prenat Diagn. 2012;32(1):29–38

ESTRATEGIA MUJERES CON PE MUJERES SIN PE COSTE (£)

1. No test-Tratar todas 20.25 980 185.12

2. Test-Tratar todas 20.25 980 215.12

3. Test- Tratar si cribado + 21.11 979 220.32

4. No test-No tratar 25 975 225.23

5. Test-No tratar 25 975 255.23

Económicamente A CORTO PLAZO lo más rentable ”No test - tratar a todas” NO JUSTIFICA EL CRIBADO PRIMER TRIMESTRE

Hyde C, Thornton S. Does screening for pre-eclampsia make sense? BJOG 2013;120:1168–1170

Si un factor de riesgo por sí solo tiene un NNPT < 250, con una reducción

del RR del 10%, se podría de iniciar la profilaxis con aspirina

Bartsch E, Medcalf KE, Park AL, Ray JG; High Risk of Pre-eclampsia Identification Group.. Clinical risk factors for pre-

eclampsia determined in early pregnancy: systematic review and meta-analysis of large cohort studies. BMJ. 2016 Apr

19;353:i1753.

25,356,688 gestaciones en 92 estudios

aPL

PE previa

Hta Cr

Diabetes pregestacional

IMC > 30

TRA

10. La búsqueda de casos debe ser un proceso

contínuo

Giguere, Y., S. Masse J Fau - Theriault, et al. Screening for pre-eclampsia early in pregnancy: performance of a multivariable model combining clinical characteristics and biochemicalmarkers. BJOG. 2015 122: 402-410.

Screening for pre-eclampsia early in pregnancy:

performance of a multivariable model combining clinical

characteristics and biochemical markers

7929 pregnant women between 10 and 18 weeks.

139 had PE, comprising 68 with severe PE and 47 with preterm PE

Conclusiones

Los test que predicen la preeclampsia son heterogéneos (diferentes

parámetros)

Los modelos multivariantes tienen un bajo VPP y su validación es

cuestionable.

La capacidad de predecir la preeclampsia tardía (LOPE) es pobre.

Los modelos multivariantes (biomarcadores serológicos y Doppler) no

siempre están disponibles.

Económicamente no está justificado el cribado.

Actualmente utilizar un modelo clínico, es lo razonable

A pesar de todo lo dicho hay que continuar

investigando nuevos modelos predictivos

New onset of elevated blood pressureAggravation of pre-existing hypertensionNew onset of protein in urineAggravation of pre-existing proteinuriaOther reason(s) for clinical suspicion of preeclampsiaPreeclampsiarelated symptoms

Epigastric painHeadacheExcessive edemaVisual disturbancesSevere swelling (face, hands, feet)Sudden weight gain

Preeclampsiarelated findingsLow plateletsElevated liver transaminasesIUGRAbnormal uterine perfusion

Reasons for suspicion of preeclampsia

Zeisler, H., E. Llurba, et al. (2016). "Predictive Value of the sFlt-1:PlGF Ratio in Women with Suspected Preeclampsia." N Engl J Med 374(1): 13-22.

Zeisler, H., E. Llurba, et al. (2016). "Predictive Value of the sFlt-1:PlGF Ratio in Women with Suspected Preeclampsia." N Engl J Med 374(1): 13-22.

sFlt-1/PlGF ratio (n=1,050) cut-off of 38

% (95% CI) Rule out

within

1 week

Rule out

within

2 weeks

Rule out

within

3 weeks

Rule out

within

4 weeks

NPV 99.3

(97.9–99.9)

97.9

(96.0–99.0)

95.7

(93.3–97.5)

94.3

(91.7–96.3)

Sensitivity 80.0

(51.9–95.7)

78.0

(62.4–89.4)

70.0

(56.8–81.2)

66.2

(54.0–77.0)

Specificity 78.3

(74.6–81.7)

81.1

(77.5–84.4)

82.4

(78.8–85.7)

83.1

(79.4–86.3)

CI, confidence interval; HELLP, hemolysis, elevated liver enzymes, low platelets;

NPV, negative predictive value; PlGF, placental growth factor; sFlt-1, soluble fms-like tyrosine kinase-1

NPV using the sFlt-1/PlGF ratio cut-off value of 38 to rule out preeclampsia/HELLP syndrome

• Of 550 women, 98 (18%) developed preeclampsia/HELLP

syndrome at some point during their pregnancy:

− 5 (1%) within 1 week

− 41 (7%) within 2 weeks

− 60 (11%) within 3 weeks

− 71 (13%) within 4 weeks