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    Arturo G. Corpuz

    Poverty Alleviation and

    Economic Growth

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    OBJECTIVES

    To enhance knowledge: concepts of growth, poverty, growthstrategies and poverty alleviation strategies

    To enhance skills in analyzing provinces potential for andconstraints to growth and poverty alleviation

    To enhance skills leading to the design of development programs

    for their province

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

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    Growth = increase in size

    Economic growth refers to a sustained increase inproduction, usually measured in terms of per capita GrossDomestic Product (GDP).

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

    Factors traditionally expected to lead to economic growth inthe Philippines

    -- Large population-- Strategic location

    -- Long coastline-- High literacy rate

    Source: Edillon, 2003

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    2004 Phil pop (est) = 84 M Luzon 56%

    Visayas 20%Mindanao 24%

    52:48 urban : rural

    65:35 projected in 2030

    About 43 M urban pop

    1995-2000 AGR = 2.36% Pop doubles in 29 years

    1960-1995 Urban AGR = 4.2%

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    Largest metro areas (> 1 M Pop):

    -- Metro Cebu = 1.7M-- Dasmarinas-Bacoor = 1.5-- Malolos-Meycauayan = 1.4-- Metro Antipolo = 1.3-- Metro Davao = 1.2-- Metro Angeles = 1.2-- Calamba-San Pedro = 1.1

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    Male Female

    Philippines (Yr 1960)

    MaleFemale

    h il n (Yr 1960)

    Popul tion Pyr mi , 1960

    Economic Growth n PovertyEconomic Growth n Poverty

    Source: Edillon, 2003

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    FemaleMale

    Philippines (Yr2000)

    Male Female

    h il n (Yr2000)

    Popul tion Pyr mi , 2000

    Economic Growth n PovertyEconomic Growth n Poverty

    Source: Edillon, 2003

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    Factors traditionally expected to lead to economicgrowth in the Philippines

    -- Large population: BUT WIT IG DEPE DE CY RATIO

    -- Strategic location

    -- Long coastline

    -- igh literacy rate

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    The Philippine Bulletin,

    New York, August 1913

    The Philippines as a trade center of the Far East

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

    The best harbor . . . no equal as a coalingstation or naval and military base. . . . Theentrances are narrow, the shores bold, thewater deep, the bay landlocked, easilydefended from attack by sea or land, and thefresh water supply ample. As it is just off thetrade route between Manila, China, andJapan, it strategically commands Manila. Itis there that the Spanish government hadplanned to place its principal naval arsenal inthe east. Already a great deal of money hasbeen expended, many buildings erected,and much work done. A contract has beenmade with an English company to constructa floating drydock of 12,000 ton capacity;some of the material has been delivered andpayments made. (U.S. Congress, 1899)

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    The Brussels-based InternationalCommittee of the Red Cross and RedCrescent described the Philippines as theThe Most Disaster-Prone Country in theWorld based on statistics on the number ofvictims in typhoons, earthquakes, volcanic

    eruptions, floods, garbage landslide andmilitary action . . . (August 2002)

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    Factors traditionally expected to lead to economicgrowth in the Philippines

    -- Large population: BUT WIT IG DEPE DE CY RATIO

    -- Strategic location: BUT DISASTER-PRONE; LOCATIONIS NOT EVERYT ING

    -- Long coastline-- igh literacy rate

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    Coastline Trade Growth

    Trade: historically limited;

    did not encourage porturban developmentoutside Manila

    Shipping industry did notmodernize

    Coastline advantageeroded by technology

    Many small islands;limited contiguous area;integration obstacle

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    Factors traditionally expected to lead to economicgrowth in the Philippines

    -- Large population: BUT WIT IG DEPENDENCY RATIO

    -- Strategic location: BUT DISASTER-PRONE; LOCATIONIS NOT EVERYT ING

    -- Long coastline: DID NOT LEAD TO TRADE GROWT ;MANY SMALL ISLANDS; LIMITEDCONTIGUOUS AREA

    -- igh literacy rate

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    1993 Primary School

    Country Completion

    Rate (%)Philippines 70

    Indonesia 77

    Malaysia 96

    Singapore 100

    Thailand 87China 85Source: ADB, HDR, in Monsod, 1999

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    100

    6

    Children startingschool age (1997)

    Finishintermediatelevel

    1

    16

    No school

    Drop out

    60 EnterHS

    7

    Do not enterHS

    45

    Finish HS

    15

    Drop out(usually after1st year)

    Source: Based on Monsod and Monsod, 1999

    55% of those enteringlabor force will have atmost up to 1st yeareducation

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    GDP per capita, selected countries, 1980-2000 (1980=100)

    1980 1981 1982 198

    198 198 198

    198 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 199

    199 199 199

    199 1998 1999 2000

    ina

    Korea, ep

    P i l ipp ines

    ailand

    P IL

    T AI

    SKOREA

    C IN

    A

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

    Source: Edillon, 200

    The Philippines has not experienced significant economicgrowth in recent decades (flat growth 1980-2000).

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    Trend in per capita GDP, Philippines vs. Thailand, 1960-2000

    19 6

    1969 19

    19

    9 19

    19

    9 199

    1999

    Phi l ippines

    Thailand

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

    Before 1980, average Filipino was richer than average Thai;reversed since 1980.

    Source: Edillon, 2003

    T AI

    P IL

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    Lack of economic growth

    -- Little improvement in quality of life-- Poverty reduction is slow or does not take place

    Substantial sustained economic growth leads to substantialpoverty reduction

    -- For each 1% increase in average per capita income,poverty rate declines by 2%(elasticity of poverty to income = 2)

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

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    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

    Annual per Cap Poverty %Eco growth (%) Pt Reduction

    E Asia Pacific 6.4 14.9S Asia 3.3 8.4Lat America Carribean 1.6 - 0.1Mid East N Africa 1.0 - 0.1Sub-Sahara Africa - 0.4 - 1.6

    Central East Europe - 1.9 -13.5Source: HDR, 2003

    Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction (1990s)

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    T r e n d o f p e r c a p i t a G D P a n d p o v e r t y i n c i d e nc e

    0.85

    0.9

    0.95

    1

    1.05

    1.1

    1.15

    1.2

    1.25

    1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002

    Per capita

    DP

    Pover ty Incidence

    P o v e r t y In c i d e n c e

    P e r Ca p i ta G D P

    Ec o n o mi c G r o wth a n d P o v e r t yEc o n o mi c G r o wth a n d P o v e r t y

    1 9 8 7 2 0 0 1

    T r e n d o f P e r Ca p i t a G D P a n d P o v e r tyIn c i d e n c e , P hi li p p i n e s,(ba se y e a r = 1 9 8 7)

    So ur c e :Ed i llo n , 2 0 0 3

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    The major causes of poverty in the Philippines:

    Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty

    Poverty reduction re uires growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

    > Inability to benefit from growth

    > Lackluster economicperformance of the country

    > Vulnerability to shocks; thevulnerable become poor

    (1997-2000: Asian financialcrisis + El Nino = add 3 million

    poor)

    Economic growth

    Distribution

    Social protection/disaster mitigation

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    Classical (Adam Smith et al.)

    Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.

    -- Specialization--

    Trade-- Comparative advantage

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

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    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Self sufficient

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    =+ +?

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

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    =+ +?

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    =Specialization

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    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Trade

    What to trade? What to produce? ComparativeAdvantage

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    Classical (Adam Smith et al.)

    Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.

    -- Specialization--

    Trade-- Comparative advantage

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

    Comparativerelative to another producer/trader(competitor)

    General principle: produce commodity that is more

    efficiently produced Comparative advantage > absolute advantage

    > least disadvantage

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    Classical (Adam Smith et al.)

    Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.

    -- Specialization--

    Trade-- Comparative advantage

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003; G. Tecson 2001; E. Tan ,2001)

    Philippines losing comparative advantage in simplelabor-intensive production (China, Vietnam, SriLanka, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia)

    True comparative advantage: relatively abundanttechnical labor and mid-level management

    Need to focus on education/training, science, math,english (college enrollment: sciences = 0.9%;math/computer = 6.9%; business = 34.9%)

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    Classical (Adam Smith et al.)

    Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.

    -- Specialization

    -- Trade-- Comparative advantage

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

    Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:

    -- Market constraints (lack of info/access)-- Limited division of labor-- Inefficient production processes-- Trading constraints

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    Neo-Classical ( arrod-Domar)

    Economic growth is directly proportional to savings rate andproductivity of capital (efficiency)

    Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:

    -- low saving rate-- low productivity of capital

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

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    Tre nd in Saving and Per Capita GDP

    0

    5

    10

    15

    20

    25

    30

    35

    40

    PCGDP ( $ 100), Phi l ippines

    PCGDP ( $ 100), Thai land

    GDS (%), Phi l ippines

    GDS (%), Thailand

    SchoolsofThought on Economic GrowthSchoolsofThought on Economic Growth

    PCGDP Phil

    GDS Thai

    PCGDP Thai

    GDS Phil

    Trend in Saving (GDS) and Per Capita GDP(PCGDP),1960-2000

    1960 2000Source:Edillon, 2003

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    Solow-Swan Capital is subject to diminishing marginal returns; less

    developed countries will catch up with capital-rich developedcountries

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

    -- Profit rates tend to be higher in LDCs because of cheaper inputcosts (labor and raw materials)

    -- Capital flows (investments) from DCs to LDCs, with technologytransfers

    -- LDCs catch up and become NICs: costs rise (wage and input

    cost increases) and profit rates decline

    -- Capital from DCs and NICs flows to otherLDCs

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    Solow-Swan

    Capital is subject to diminishing marginal returns; lessdeveloped countries will catch up with capital-rich developedcountries

    Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:

    -- Low savings

    -- Low investment rates

    -- Minimal benefit from technological advances of richer countries

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003

    -- Population problem:-- Low savings and high population growth rate mean capital per

    worker diminishing

    -- 1985-2000, poverty incidence declined from 40.9% to 27.5% butabsolute number of the poor increased by almost 1.4 million

    -- Very high dependency ratio

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    Endogenous Growth

    Returns to capital need not diminish as capital stock increases;emphasis on uality not uantity of investments

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003, M.J. Abrenica, 2001; E. Tan, 2001)

    Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:-- Lack of R & D

    UNESCO science manpower critical mass = 380/one millionpopulation

    Philippines = 60/one million population

    Philippines has largest tertiary education system in East Asiaoutside Japan but has lowest scientist publications (ISI Journals,1994-95)

    DOST budget = 3.2% national budget (18% goes to R&D)

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    R&D l t, R&D it r DPCountr i nti t R&D

    Engineer Expenditures

    per illionpop per DP ( )

    Philippines 60 0.1

    ingapore 2,512 1.1

    Korea 2,636 2.8

    Tai an 1,669 1.7

    Malaysia 87 0.4

    Thailand 173 0.2

    China 1,993 0.6

    Indonesia 181 0.2

    Sour : SCO i . , 2001)

    SchoolsofThought onEconomic rowthSchoolsofThought onEconomic rowth

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    Endogenous Growth

    Returns to capital need not diminish as capital stock increases;emphasis on uality not uantity of investments

    Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003)

    Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:-- Lack of R & D

    -- Insecure property rights

    -- Weak institutions

    -- Failure (of government) to encourage innovation

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    Growth, Development, Welfare

    Development: advance expand to a more complex orcomplete form; improve> E.g. hunting/gathering > agriculture > industry > services> Higher level of satisfaction for society

    Growth = increase in size> Economic growth refers to a sustained increase in production,

    usually measured in terms of per capita GDP.

    Welfare: state or condition of doing or being well (Oxford)> Theory of utility, i.e. condition or level of satisfaction

    (per capita income is not everything).

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Social welfare in development context

    > Welfare of society is brought to higher level> E.g. Lifting members of society from poverty

    Social welfare function> Description of a desired type of welfare in a society;

    benchmark for evaluating welfare impacts (e.g. povertyalleviation projects)

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Average welfare level The greater good for the greater

    number (democratic principle)

    Forms of Social Welfare Function

    Prioritarianism: higher weight towelfare of the disadvantaged

    Ignores distribution; notconcerned whose welfare isimproved (whether rich or poor)

    Current concept of poverty andits measures (e.g. foodconsumption, RDA)

    HDI concept (life expectancy,knowledge, income)

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003)

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

    Sufficientarianism: welfare of everyindividual is at least e ual to some

    minimum

    E uality in capabilities: eachindividual is endowed with samecapabilities to do be what he wishes

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    Lack of income (means) necessary to consume a basic bundleof goods and services; or

    Definition of Poverty: A State ofBeing

    Measures of Poverty

    Means-based

    Outcome-based

    Perception-based

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

    Shortfall in consumption of a basic bundle of goods and

    services necessary to do basic functions (outcomes);

    Subjective valuation (perceptions)

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    Means-based Outcome-based

    Human Development Index

    Human Poverty Index

    Capability Poverty Measure

    Gender-

    relatedD

    evelopmentIndex

    Gender Empowerment

    Measure

    Incidence

    Gap (Depth)

    Severity

    Poverty Threshold Food Threshold

    Gini Ratio

    $1/day Poverty Line

    -- Poverty

    -- Subsistence

    -- Poverty

    -- Income

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Means-based

    Source: NSCB

    Families (or population) with per capita incomeless than the per capita poverty threshold

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    Total number of families (population)

    Cost of basic food &non-food reqmts =P11,605/year per capP4,835/month per fam

    Poverty Incidence (%):E.g. Philippines = 28.4%

    > Percent of families (or individuals) whose incomes fallbelow the Poverty Threshold as defined by NEDA and/orcannot afford in a sustained manner to provide their basic needsof food, health, education, housing and other amenities of life

    Poverty:Inability to acquire basic needs for decent quality of life

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Povert I i ence, ffici l ti tesCountr P er Povert

    Capita Inci ence

    ( $) ( pprox %)

    Philippines 950 40 1994Indonesia 880 15 1990

    Sri anka 640 27 earl 1990

    China 530 15 1990-1994

    Paskistan 430 25 earl 1990

    India 320 34 earl 1990

    Bangladesh 220 40 earl 1990

    Viet am 200 20 1993

    Source: Monsodand Monsod, 1999

    Measuresand FactorsofPovertMeasuresand FactorsofPovert

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    Means-based

    Source: NSCB

    Subsistence Incidence (%):E.g. Philippines = 13.1%

    > Percent of families (individuals) whose incomesfall below the Food Threshold

    Cost of foodrequired to satisfy

    nutritional reqmts= P7,829(Philippines 2000)

    Families (or population) with per capita incomeless than the per capita Food Threshold

    ---------------------------------------------------------------

    Total number of families (population)

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Means-based

    Income Gap (%):E.g. Mt Province = 38.0%

    > Measure of amount needed by poor families toeradicate poverty

    Source: NSCB

    Measuresof depthof poverty

    Poverty Gap (%): E.g. Romblon = 18.5%

    > Measure of amount needed to eradicate poverty

    Avg income shortfall offamilies is 18.5%

    Total income shortfall of families below poverty

    threshold (expressed in proportion to the poverty line)------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Total number of families

    Avg income shortfall ofpoor families is 38.0%

    Total income shortfall of families below povertythreshold (expressed in proportion to the poverty line)-----------------------------------------------------------------------

    Total number of poor families

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Means-based

    Severity of Poverty (%):E.g. Masbate = 10.1%Saranggani = 9.7%

    > Measure of ine uality among the poor

    Source: NSCB

    Poverty more severe in

    Masbate

    Total of squared income shortfall of families below povertythreshold (expressed in proportion to the poverty line)

    ----------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Total number of families

    Gini Ratio:

    > Measure of ine uality in income distribution(all families individuals)

    1=perfectequal

    0=perfectunequal

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Means-based

    Source: NSCB

    Poverty Incidence Subsistence Incidence Poverty Gap Income Gap Severity of Poverty Gini Ratio Poverty Threshold Food Threshold

    1 day Poverty Line (WB): amount in pesos needed tobuy a basket of goods and services that $1 would buy inthe US

    Annual

    Every three years(FIES)

    Official poverty statisticsPre-2003: national

    regionalSince 2003: plus

    provincial

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Outcome-based

    uman Development Index ( DI)

    Composite of development outcomes:-- ealth:life expectancy

    -- Knowledge:functional literacy-- Standard of living:per capita income

    Human Poverty Index (HPI)

    Composite of poverty outcomes:

    -- Short life:% of people expected to die before 40-- Lack of education:% of adults illiterate-- Lack of access to resources:% of people w/o

    access to health services & safe water, and & %of underweight children under 5

    Source: Monsod and Monsod, 1999

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Outcome-based

    Source: Monsod and Monsod, 1999

    Capability Poverty Measure (CPM)

    -- Early version ofHPI

    Gender-related Development Index (GDI)

    -- HDI adjusted for gender inequality

    Gender Empowerment Measure (GEM)

    -- Measures gender inequality in key areas of economic andpolitical participation

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Means-based

    Poverty Incidence

    Subsistence Incidence

    Income Gap

    Poverty Gap

    Severity of Poverty

    Outcome-based

    Human Development Index

    Human Poverty Index

    Capability PovertyM

    easure Gender-related Development

    Index

    Gender Empowerment

    Measure

    Poverty Threshold

    Food Threshold

    Gini Ratio

    $1/day Poverty Line

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Poverty incidence: gives the proportion of the poor-- simple but assumes uniform distribution of poor-- does not account for improvement within poor

    Poverty gap: average income shortfall-- shortfall = 0 if non-poor-- total amount to eradicate poverty-- easy to understand but also does not account for distribution

    Severity of poverty: average of the squared income gap of thepoor-- assigns higher weights to the poorer among the poor-- not easy to estimate or understand

    Means-based

    Source: Based on Edillon, 2003)

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Regional

    Poverty Statistics, 2000Region

    (%) Rank (%) Rank (%) Rank

    NCR 5.5 1 0.9 1 0.2 1

    Region 1 20.3 5 4.2 4 1.3 4

    Region 2 29.9 9 6.8 8 2.3 7,8

    Region 3 16.1 2 3.1 2 0.9 2

    Region 4 19.5 3 4.8 5 1.7 5Region 5 53.3 15 15.8 15 6.3 15

    Region 6 28.1 8 6.4 7 2.1 6

    Region 7 39.4 12 11.8 12 4.8 12

    Region 8 46.8 13 14.2 13 5.8 13

    Region 9 47.0 14 14.3 14 6.0 14

    Region 10 27.3 7 7.1 9 2.6 9

    Region 11 25.4 6 6.3 6 2.3 7,8

    Region 12 38.0 11 9.5 11 3.4 11

    CAR 19.8 4 4.1 3 1.2 3

    ARMM 60.7 16 19.3 16 8.0 16

    Caraga 33.8 10 8.2 10 3.0 10

    Incidence Gap (Depth) Severity

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    010

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    NCR

    Region 1

    Region 2

    Region 3

    Region 4

    Region 5

    Region 6

    Region 7

    Region 8

    Region 9

    Region 10

    Region 11

    Region 12

    CAR

    ARMM

    Caraga

    Percent (Year2000)

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    Poverty

    Inc idence ( )

    Phili i 28 .4

    NCR 5.7

    Region II I 17 .0

    Region I 20 .8

    Region II 24 .8

    Region I 29 .6

    CAR 31.1

    Region XI 31 .5

    Region II 32 .3

    Region X 32 .9

    Region I 37 .8

    Region II I 37 .8

    Region IX 38 .3

    Caraga 42.9

    Region XII 48 .4

    Region 49 .0

    ARMM 57.0

    Po vertyT hreshold

    (Pesos)

    Phili ines 11,60 5

    NCR 15 ,67 8

    Re gion II I 13 ,84 3

    Re gion I 13 ,41 4

    CAR 13,17 6

    Re gion I 12 ,76 6

    ARMM 12,75 3

    Re gion I 11 ,55 3

    Re gion 11 ,52 4

    Re gion II 11 ,07 7

    Re gion XII 11 ,01 9

    Caraga 10,60 5

    Re gion XI 10 ,56 8

    Re gion X 9,88 1

    Re gion II 9,79 1

    Re gion II I 9,62 3

    Re gion IX 9,29 8

    Regional Poverty Statistics

    Source: NSCB

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    Poverty

    Inc idence ( )

    Phili ines 28.4

    NCR 5.7

    Region II I 17 .0

    Region I 20 .8

    Region II 24 .8

    Region I 29 .6

    CAR 31.1

    Region XI 31 .5

    Region II 32 .3

    Region X 32 .9

    Region I 37 .8

    Region II I 37 .8

    Region IX 38 .3

    Caraga 42.9

    Region XII 48 .4

    Region 49 .0

    ARMM 57.0

    Po vertyT hreshold

    (Pesos)

    Phili ines 11,60 5

    NCR 15 ,67 8

    Re gion II I 13 ,84 3

    Re gion I 13 ,41 4

    CAR 13,17 6

    Re gion I 12 ,76 6

    ARMM 12,75 3

    Re gion I 11 ,55 3

    Re gion 11 ,52 4

    Re gion II 11 ,07 7

    Re gion XII 11 ,01 9

    Caraga 10,60 5

    Re gion XI 10 ,56 8

    Re gion X 9,88 1

    Re gion II 9,79 1

    Re gion II I 9,62 3

    Re gion IX 9,29 8

    Subsistence

    Inc idence ( )

    Phili ines 13.1

    NCR 0.7

    Region II I 4.0

    Region I 8.1

    Region II 9.3

    Region I 11 .5

    CAR 14.2

    Region XI 14 .6

    Region X 15 .0

    Region II 17 .0

    Region I 18 .4

    Region II I 19 .8

    Region IX 20 .4

    Caraga 23.4

    Region XII 25 .5

    ARMM 27.2

    Region 27 .8

    oo dT hreshold

    (Pesos)

    Phili ines 7,82 9

    NCR 9,56 1

    CAR 8,87 3

    Re gion II I 8,79 7

    Re gion I 8,68 2

    ARMM 8,61 1

    Re gion I 8,60 9

    Re gion 8,27 6

    Re gion I 8,10 9

    Re gion XII 7,71 4

    Re gion II 7,52 6

    Caraga 7,49 2

    Re gion XI 7,16 4

    Re gion II I 7,16 2

    Re gion X 6,89 7

    Re gion II 6,76 0

    Re gion IX 6,58 6

    Regional PovertyStatistics

    Source: NSCB

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    Povert

    Incidence (%)

    TenPoorest

    Sulu 63.2

    Mas ate 62.8

    Tawi-tawi 56.5

    Ifugao 55.6

    Romblon 55.2

    Maguindanao 55.1

    Lanaodel Sur 55.0

    Sultan Kudarat 54.3

    Camiguin 53.1Camarines orte 52.7

    Ten east Poor

    2ndDistrict CR 4.1

    4t District CR 4.9Bulacan 5.4

    1st District CR 5.8

    Batanes 7.5

    Rizal 8.0Laguna 8.6

    3rdDistrict CR 9.0

    Bataan 9.9Cavite 10.2

    Povert Thresholds

    (Pesos)

    Ten ighest

    NCR 15,678

    Batangas 15,305

    Mt. Province 15,285

    Cavite 14,965

    Rizal 14,787

    Nueva ci a 14,755

    Pampanga 14,713

    Oriental Mindoro 14,531

    Benguet 14,185Lanaodel Sur 13,986

    Bulacan 13,881

    Ten owest

    WesternSamar 9,574

    EasternSamar 9,516ZambSur 9,404

    Basilan 9,271

    Nort ernSamar 9,166

    Bohol 9,125ZambNorte 9,090

    Bukidnon 8,982

    Si ui or 8,966Negros Oriental 8,940

    Subsistence

    Incidence (%)

    TenPoorest

    Masbate 42.6

    Sulu 34.2

    Romblon 33.7

    Ifugao 32.7

    Maguindanao 31.2

    Saranggani 30.9

    Lanaodel Norte 30.5

    ZambNorte 30.4

    Agusandel Sur 29.7Camarines Norte 28.7

    Ten east Poor

    Batanes 4.1

    2ndDistrict NCR 4.94thDistrict NCR 5.4

    1st District NCR 5.8

    Bulacan 7.5

    Bataan 8.0Rizal 8.6

    Cavite 9.0

    Laguna 9.93rdDistrict NCR 10.2

    oodThreshold

    (Pesos)

    Ten ighest

    Mt. Province 10,112

    NCR 9,561

    Rizal 9,487

    Batangas 9,484

    Cavite 9,457

    NuevaEci a 9,392

    Pampanga 9,336

    Batanes 9,073

    Sulu 9,062Oriental Mindoro 9,022

    Ten owest

    Bohol 6,329

    ZambSur 6,501Si ui or 6,519

    Bukidnon 6,561

    Negros Oriental 6,602

    ZambNorte 6,678Davaodel Sur 6,846

    NorthernSamar 6,863

    Basilan 6,919Occidental 6,991

    Provincial Povert Statistics

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    Povert

    Incidence (%)

    TenPoorest

    Sulu 63.2

    Masbate 62.8

    Tawi-tawi 56.5

    Ifugao 55.6

    Romblon 55.2

    Maguindanao 55.1

    Lanaodel Sur 55.0

    Sultan Kudarat 54.3

    Camiguin 53.1Camarines Norte 52.7

    Ten east Poor

    2ndDistrict NCR 4.1

    4thDistrict NCR 4.9Bulacan 5.4

    1st District NCR 5.8

    Batanes 7.5

    Rizal 8.0Laguna 8.6

    3rdDistrict NCR 9.0

    Bataan 9.9Cavite 10.2

    Povert

    ap (%)

    TenBiggest

    Masbate 22.6

    Saranggani 19.4

    Maguindanao 19.1

    Lanaodel Norte 18.8

    Mt. Province 18.6

    Romblon 18.5

    Ifugao 18.2

    Abra 17.5

    Camarines Norte 17.4ZambNorte 17.2

    TenSmallest

    Batanes 0.6

    2ndDistrict NCR 0.74thDistrict NCR 0.9

    Bulacan 1.1

    1st District NCR 1.2

    Rizal 1.5Bataan 1.5

    Laguna 1.7

    3rdDistrict NCR 2.1Cavite 2.2

    Severit of

    Povert (%)

    Ten ighest

    Masbate 10.1

    Saranggani 9.7

    Mt. Province 9.3

    Lanaodel Norte 9.0

    Maguindanao 8.7

    ZambNorte 8.7

    Romblon 8.2

    Abra 8.2

    Ifugao 7.9Oriental Mindoro 7.7

    Ten owest

    Batanes 0.1

    2ndDistrict NCR 0.24thDistrict NCR 0.3

    Bulacan 0.3

    Bataan 0.4

    1st District NCR 0.4Rizal 0.5

    Laguna 0.5

    Cavite 0.73rdDistrict NCR 0.7

    Provincial Povert Statistics

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    Location and Time Dimensions

    Absolute vs. Relative Poverty-- In measuring absolute poverty the benchmark does not

    change regardless of the locality, except with respect to

    prices. In measuring relative poverty, meanwhile, thebenchmark varies according to the locality.-- Reducing incidence of absolute poverty is more relevant

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    010

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    NCR

    Region 1

    Region 2

    Region 3

    Region 4

    Region 5

    Region 6

    Region 7

    Region 8

    Region 9

    Region 10

    Region 11

    Region 12

    CAR

    ARMM

    Caraga

    Percent

    Measure

    sandFactorso

    fPoverty

    Measure

    sandFactorso

    fPoverty

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    Location and Time Dimensions

    Absolute vs. Relative Poverty-- In measuring absolute poverty the benchmark does not

    change regardless of the locality, except with respect toprices. In measuring relative poverty, meanwhile, the

    benchmark varies according to the locality.-- Reducing incidence of absolute poverty is more relevant

    Chronic vs. Transient Poverty-- Chronic poverty is when the state of poverty has prevailed for

    a very long time. Transient poverty is when the state ofpoverty is only temporary.

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Causes of Poverty in the Philippines

    Unsustained economic growth (or lack of economic growth)

    Inability to benefit from economic growth

    Vulnerability to shocks

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Rural sector accounts for of poverty-- Agri sector is biggest contributor (about 80%) to poverty

    Poverty alleviation needs understanding of rural sector includingresponses of rural areas to growth stimuli

    -- How important are rural conditions to poverty?

    ignificance of Poverty aria lesplanatory

    aria le ncidence ap epth everity

    unctional literacy

    and ine uality

    arm si e

    enancy

    gri terms of trade

    rrigation

    Road wealth

    lectricity

    acro eco pol

    ource

    ased on

    alisacan

    ! " " "

    easures and actors of Povertyeasures and actors of Poverty

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    Factors affecting Poverty:

    GROWTH

    Education (complemented by infrastructure)

    Policy environment (e.g. agriculture terms of trade) Investment in land uality productivity (e.g. irrigation)

    Agrarian reform

    Governance (political dynasties hurt the poor)

    Transportation (high transport costs are poverty traps)

    Source of growth

    Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Cycle of Poverty Determinants

    Employment

    Income

    Education

    Health

    Nutrition

    Quality of labor, land, capital

    Access togoods services

    Poverty: Inability to ac uire the basic needs for a decent uality of life

    Economic Growth

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    A h d P li R PA h d P li R P

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    Economic Growth

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Classical approach:

    Increase specialization Increase trade

    Neoclassical approach:

    Increase savings Increase investments (on productive activities)

    Endogenous growth approach:

    Increase knowledge Increase innovation

    Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.

    A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t

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    Cycle of Poverty Determinants

    Deliverymechanism &

    public spending

    Employment

    Income

    Access to private

    goods services

    Education

    Health

    Nutrition

    Quality of labor, land, capital

    Access to publicgoods services

    Public transfer& subsidy

    Population

    Source: DILG, NEDA, NAPC, UNDP, Guidebook on Local Poverty Diagnosis and Planning, 2002

    Politicalparticipation

    Peace andorder

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t

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    International Institution Responses

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    1970: UN War on Poverty

    1974: WB Redistribution with Growth

    1980s: ILO World Employment Program

    1990: WB World Development Report focus on povertythrough three fronts:-- labor intensive economic growth

    -- development of human resources (education, health,nutrition) of poor

    -- social safety nets

    1999: ADB3 pillars strategy

    A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t

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    ADB: Three Pillars

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Pro-poor economic growth

    Social development

    Good governance

    A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t

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    1 Pro-Poor Economic Growth

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Economic growth

    > Generates employment and income; necessary foreliminating or reducing poverty

    Pro-poor Growth Index

    S Korea = 1.14 (1994-95)Laos = 0.21 (1992-98)Philippines = 0.67 (1994-97)Thailand = 0.64 (1994-96)Vietnam = 0.87 (1992-98)

    Source: E. Pernia, ADB, ERD Policy Brief, 2003

    > But may be biased against poor

    > Pro-poor growth; priority to:

    -- Labor intensive activities-- Employment creation-- Increased labor mobility-- Enhanced credit access for

    SMEs-- Other measures that remove

    anti-poor biases

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    2 Social Development

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Strategies that target basic social services for the poor

    -- Human capital development (e.g. education, training)-- Social protection (e.g. insurance, peace and order)-- Population program

    3 Good Governance

    Necessary to carry out pro-poor growth social development activities

    -- Reduced corruption-- Greater accountability-- Increased participation-- Sound macroeconomic management

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Overall Approach

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Broad-based labor-intensive and inclusive growth

    Good governance and accountability

    Human and social development

    Social protection

    Special poverty alleviation policies or direct anti-poverty

    interventions such as land reform, micro credit, publicemployment schemes

    Source: A. Deolalikar et al., Poverty Reduction and the role of institutions in developing Asia, ADB, May 2002.

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Social Reform and Poverty Reduction Act (RA 8425)

    (KALAHI: Policy framework to address poverty in the Philippines)

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Deliverymechanism &

    public spending

    Employment

    Income

    Access to privategoods/services

    Education

    Health

    Nutrition

    Quality of labor, land, capital

    Access to publicgoods/services

    Public transfer& subsidy

    PopulationPolitical

    participtn

    Peace &order

    Asset Reform Increased Employment &Livelihood Opportunities

    Improved Access to HumanDevelopment Services

    Increased Social Protectionand Security from Violence

    Enhanced Participation inGovernance and InstitutionBuilding

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Local Government Role in Poverty Reduction

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Local Government Code of 1991

    DILG Memorandum CircularNo. 2001-109 (August 21, 2001):

    Enjoined all LCEs to undertake local poverty reductionprograms and to formulate LPRAA (Local Poverty ReductionAction Agenda)

    DILG Memorandum CircularNo. 2001-105 (August 31, 2001):Called for identification of LPRAO (Local Poverty ReductionOfficers) in all municipalities, cities, and provinces

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    What is role of provincial LGUs in the goal of promoting growthand reducing poverty?

    Provide link between national government and municipal and(component) city LGUs

    Bring together merits of the top-down and bottom-up approachesto governance

    Ensure that municipal/city development plans form coherentstrategy towards goal of provincial development; at the sametime, consistent with national goals

    Source: Edillon, 2003

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Local PlanningContext

    Economic DevAnalysis Plan

    Anti-povertyinstruments

    Organization &Implementation

    Poverty ProfileAnalysis

    VisionObjectives

    SituationerPlanning analysisStrategies

    Projectsprograms

    Planimplementation

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Integrating Poverty Reduction in Provincial Development Planning

    Planning Process

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Economic Growth

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

    Increase specialization and trade Increase savings and investments (on productive activities) Increase knowledge and innovation

    Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.; R. Neri, 2004

    Income and employment creation-- Increase productivity-- Reduce cost-- Increase growth potential-- Reduce risk

    Population Activity (Industries) Location (Economic

    areas)

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    Basic Approach

    Population-Activity-Location-- Population distribution-- Production: major income/value-generating, employment

    activities-- Consumption: market centers, expenditure items, access to services-- Location/spatial distribution as an inherent factor

    Analysis-- Existing levels-- Trends-- Comparative benchmarks

    -- Significance: strategic importance

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    Strategic Questions

    Are current conditions/trends acceptable? (Access to jobs, markets, services)What are the gaps? What will happen if they continue?

    What are the development drivers (supply/demand)? How do they affectcurrent conditions/trends? External? Internal?

    What industries/sectors are doing well? Promising? Not doing well?

    Given trends and drivers, what are likely scenarios for these industries? Whatindustries/sectors should be encouraged? Discouraged? Competition?

    What should be done to promote these industries/sectors? What arethe obstacles? What are the tradeoffs?

    What industries/sectors?-- Consistent with the regions competitive advantages-- Already established but not as competitive as in the past but still

    generate substantial employment/income benefits to region-- Support the first two types (e.g. transport, telecom, housing)

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Understand the Economy Economic sectors/activities

    -- Production, employment,other economic data(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country) ETC/S

    Potentials, comparativeadvantages

    Obstacles to growth

    Understand the Poor Poverty Profile

    -- Official poverty stats(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country)

    -- Other poverty indicators (13),LPRAPs, local profiles

    Obstacles to increased income/access to goods & services

    Economic DevAnalysis Plan Poverty ProfileAnalysis

    Economic activities of the poor

    Involvement of poor in economy

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Population, Population Growth Rate, Population Density,CAR, by province, 1990-2000

    Area1990 Pop 2000 Pop 2000

    Pop%1990-2000

    APGR

    LandArea

    (s km)

    LandArea%

    2000PopDen

    CAR 1,142,814 1,365,220 100% 1.79 18,294.2 100.00% 75

    Abra 184,743 209,491 15% 1.27 3,975.6 21.73% 53

    Apayao 74,607 97,129 7% 2.67 3,927.9 21.47% 25

    Benguet 485,857 582,515 43% 1.83 2,655.4 14.51% 219

    alinga 133,791 174,023 13% 2.66 2,517.8 13.76% 69

    Ifugao 147,281 161,623 12% 0.93 3,119.7 17.05% 52

    Mt. Prov 116,535 140,439 10% 1.88 2,097.3 11.46% 67

    Source: NSO

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    1970 1980 1990 2000

    Population Density

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    1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000

    Annual Population Growth Rate

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    1980

    1990 2000

    Population Density

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    1980-1990 1990-2000

    Annual Population Growth Rate

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    1980, 1990, 2000 Standard Distances

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    Figure 13. GDP Regional Shares 2000

    35.7%

    2.3%3.1%

    2.1%

    7.4%

    13.9%

    2.7%

    6.5% 6.8%

    2.5% 2.5%3.5%

    5.9%

    2.6% 1.0% 1.5%0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    NCR

    CAR

    Ilocos

    CagValley

    CLuzon

    SLuzon

    Bicol

    WVis

    CVis

    EVis

    W

    #in

    N

    #in

    S

    #in

    C

    #in

    ARMM

    Caraga

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    Figure . VA: Services 2000

    45 .0%

    1.3% 2.9% 1.6%

    6.8%11 .1%

    2.8%6.2% 7.6%

    1.9% 1.9% 2.9%4.7%

    1.6% 0.7% 1.0%

    0%

    10%

    20%

    30%

    40%

    50%

    NCR

    CAR

    Ilocos

    Cag

    $ alley

    CLuzon

    %L

    uzon

    &icol

    ' $is

    C

    $is( $is

    WMin

    NMin

    % Min

    CMin

    ARMM

    Caraga

    Figure 15. GVA: Agri Fish Forestry 2000

    0.0%2.0%

    6.5% 6.2%8.8%

    19.2%

    4.6%

    10.2%

    4.6% 3.9%

    6.5%4.6%

    11.8%

    4.9%3.1% 3.1%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    NCR

    CAR

    Ilocos

    CagValley

    CLuzon

    SLuzon

    Bicol

    WVis

    CVis

    EVis

    WMin

    NMin

    SMin

    CMin

    ARMM

    Caraga

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    Figure 32. Livestock Inventory (Number ofHead), by Type

    and Region, 1998

    0

    500,000

    1,000,000

    1,500,000

    2,000,000

    CAR

    Ilocos

    Cagayan

    C

    Luzon

    STag

    Bicol

    WVis

    CVis

    EVis

    WMind

    NMind

    SMind

    CMind

    Caraga

    ARMM

    Swine

    Goat

    Cattle

    Carabao

    Figure 33 Poultr In entor (NumberofHead)by Typeand

    Region,1998

    02,000,0004,000,0006,000,0008,000,000

    10,000,000

    12,000,00014,000,00016,000,000

    CAR

    Il)

    0

    )

    1

    C2

    3

    2

    4

    2

    5

    C

    6

    7z)

    5

    8

    9

    2

    3

    @

    A

    0

    )l

    WVis

    CVis

    EVis

    WMind

    NMind

    SMind

    CMind

    C2

    r2

    3

    2

    ARMM

    Chicken

    Duck

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    Figure GVA: Mining/Quarr 2000

    0.0B

    25.4B

    2.2B 1.2 B 1.1 B

    10.3B 9.2

    B

    13.5B

    6.2B

    1.5B

    2.8B

    2.8B

    17.3B

    0.2B 0.0

    B

    6.3B

    0

    10

    20

    30

    NCR

    CAR

    IloCoD

    CE

    F Vall

    Gy

    C

    H

    I

    Po

    Q

    S

    H

    I

    Po

    Q

    Bi

    Col

    R Vi

    D

    CVi

    D

    EVi

    D

    R Mi

    Q

    NMi

    Q

    SMi

    Q

    CMi

    Q

    ARMM

    Caraga

    Figure GVA: Manu ac uring2000

    43.1S

    3.3S

    0.7S

    0.3S

    7.9S

    16.1S

    0.2S

    5.3S 6.3

    S

    2.4S

    1.1S

    4.5S

    4.4S

    3.4S

    0.2S

    0.9S

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    NCR

    CAR

    IloToU

    CagVall

    Vy

    C

    W

    X

    Yo

    `

    S

    W

    X

    Yo

    `

    Bi

    Tol

    a Vi

    U

    CVi

    U

    EVi

    U

    a Mi

    `

    NMi

    `

    SMi

    `

    CMi

    `

    ARMM

    Caraga

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    Figure . DPSectoral Shares

    16%

    1%

    23%

    5%

    3%

    53%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    Ag/ ish/ or

    Mining

    Mfg

    Constn

    Elec/Gas/ at

    Ser ice

    Figure A CAR RDPSectoral Shares

    14%

    %

    32%

    12%

    6%

    30%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Ag/ ish/ or

    Mining

    Mfg

    Constn

    E/G/

    Ser ice

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    Figure 21. C Luzon GRDP Sectoral Shares 2000

    19%

    0%

    24%

    4%

    4%

    48%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    Ag/Fish/For

    Mining

    Mfg

    Constn

    E/G/W

    Service

    Figure 21A CAR GRDP Sectoral Shares 2000

    14%

    7%

    32%

    12%

    6%

    30%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Ag/Fish/For

    Mining

    Mfg

    Constn

    E/G/W

    Service

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    1995 1996 1997 1998

    Total BEPZ Exports 588 731 508 0

    INDUSTRY SECTOR

    Fashion Acc/Leather 1.2 1.4 2.5 1.1

    Houseware 0.02 0 0.04 0.04

    Garments/Textile 2.5 3.5 4.7 0.8

    Other ConsumerMfrs 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2

    Industrial Mfrs 359 573 712 497

    Resource-based 0.05 0.14 0.06 0.1

    Value of Exports Monitored, by Industry Sector, BEP ,FOB Million US , 1995-1998.

    Source: BETP/DTI

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    Fi ur . i i or rri l , p of i i or nd ion, n

    S p

    14.4%

    b

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    10.b

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    0

    100,000

    200,000

    300,000

    400,000

    500,000

    600,000

    700,000

    800,000

    900,000

    CAR

    Il

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    Strengths-- Established tourism destination; tourism potential expansion-- Unique physical characteristics/scenic beauty-- Mining tradition and potential-- Manufacturing/BEPZ?-- SMEs-- Agriculture? Fruits and vegetables? Cash crops?

    -- Labor productivity?

    Weaknesses-- Limited external and internal linkages (road, air); still dependent on

    Metro Manila link/market-- Relatively difficult access to services

    -- Dependence on external provinces for exports (port and airport)-- Physical environmental threat to tourism, and of tourism (also of mining)-- Basic service gaps (water, power, education, health)?-- Declining agriculture? Threat to tourism?-- Poor land use management-- Physical constraints on horizontal development

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    Strategies

    Improve access/linkages:

    With Regions 1 and 2 (ports, airports, domestic/foreign markets) With NCR domestic/foreign market (NLE extension to Tarlac/Rosario) Lateral/internal (strategic e.g. Banaue-Bontoc)

    Protect and expand tourism market (e.g. environmental integrity of traditionaldestinations, New Baguio?)

    Hi-tech, environment-friendly mining?

    Industrial development: increase/improve services to BEPZ(retention/expansion strategy); cluster development; niche industries? IT?

    Education center (including tourism, upland agriculture research, IT-based?)

    Process streamlining/remove transaction obstacles

    Enhance/ensure security (image?)

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Understand the Economy Economic sectors/activities

    -- Production, employment,other economic data(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country) ETC/S

    Potentials, comparativeadvantages

    Obstacles to growth

    Understand the Poor Poverty Profile

    -- Official poverty stats(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country)

    -- Other poverty indicators (13),LPRAPs, local profiles

    Obstacles to increased income/

    access to goods & services

    Economic DevAnalysis Plan

    Poverty ProfileAnalysis

    Economic activities of the poor

    Involvement of poor in economy

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Poverty Profile: Province

    NSO data can be used as a basis for the poverty profile. Thesesurveys contain information that can proxy for quality of life.

    > FIES (Family Income and Expenditure Survey)

    > APIS (Annual Poverty Indicator Survey)> LFS (Labor Force Survey)

    Some provinces conduct their own data collection. These aremostly information on the Minimum Basic Needs (MBN).

    In general the available information about poverty at the sub-provincial level is minimal.

    Source: Edillon, 2003

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Local Poverty Profile: MunicipalityBarangay

    Area Dimension Indicator of Poverty

    SURVIVAL Health 1 Ratio of children 0-5 yrs who died to sumof children aged 0-5 yrs

    Nutrition 2 Ratio of children aged 0-5 yrs mal-

    nourished to total children 0-5 yrsAccess basic amenities 3 Ratio ofHH w/o access safe water

    4 Ratio ofHH w/o access sanitary toiletSECURITY Shelter 5 Ratio of HH squatting

    6 Ratio ofHH living in makeshift housingPeace and order 7 Ratio of HH w/ members crime victims

    ENABLING Income 8 Ratio of HH income < poverty threshold9 Ratio ofHH income < food threshold

    10 Ratio ofHH eat < 3 meals/dayEmployment 11 Unemployment rateEducation 12 Elementary participation rate

    13 Secondary participation rate

    Source: Guidebook, 2002

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    Figure . DPSectoral Shares

    16%

    1%

    23%

    5%

    3%

    53%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

    Ag/Fish/For

    Mining

    Mfg

    Constn

    Elec/Gas/ at

    Ser ice

    Figure A CAR RDPSectoral Shares

    14%

    7%

    32%

    12%

    6%

    30%

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    Ag/Fish/For

    Mining

    Mfg

    Constn

    E/G/

    Ser ice

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    Figure 24. National Employment Shares by

    Industry Group, 2000

    Agri/Fisv

    /Forestry

    37.5%

    Wholesale/Retail

    16.5%

    Transpt/Stor/Com

    7.3%

    Fin/Ins/RE/Bus

    2.4%

    Com/Soc/Pers

    20.3%

    Manufacturing

    10.1%

    Mining/Quarrying

    0.4%

    Elect/Gas/Water

    0.4%

    Construction

    5.2%

    Figure 25A. Employment Shares by Industry

    Group, AR, 2000

    Agri/Fish/Forestry

    56%

    Transpt/Stor/Com

    5%

    Fin/Ins/RE/Bus

    1%

    Com/Soc/Pers

    1w%

    Wholesale/Retail

    8%

    Manufacturing

    4%Mining/Quarrying

    3%

    Elect/Gas/Water

    0%

    Construction

    5%

    Figure 2 mpl yment f anufacturing Firms 0+ rkers

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    Figure 2 . mpl yment f anufacturingFirms, 0+ rkers,

    y Regi n,

    0.4%1.1%0.8%3.1%2.

    x

    %0.8%0.y

    %

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    2.

    %0.6%

    21.1%

    7.0%

    0.3%0.8%0.y

    %

    49.3%

    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    300,000

    350,000

    400,000

    450,000

    500,000

    NCR

    CAR

    Ilocos

    C

    g

    yan

    CLuzon

    T

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    WVisayas

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    ARMM

    Figure 2 . Value fOutput P illi n) f anufacturingFirms,

    0+ rkers, y Regi n,

    0.1%0.8%2.

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    300

    350

    400

    450

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    NMind

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    ARMM

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    Employment Status (X1000),Selected Regions, 2002

    StatusMetroManila

    CAR Reg 3 Reg 4(2003)

    Reg 7

    HH Pop 15+ 7,241 912 5,144 6,240 3,651Labor ForceParticipation Rate

    68.1% 70.2% 64.8% 64.8% 69.0%

    UnemploymentRate

    20.3% 10.5% 15.0% 13.7% 15.4%

    UnderemploymentRate (% of Employed)

    12.0% 17.1% 12.7% 11.3% 15.4%

    Source: 2003 NSCB

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    1997 2000Inc/Dec

    %

    1997 2000Inc/Dec

    %

    1997 2000Inc/Dec

    %

    Philippines 9,843 11,60 17.9 28.1 28.4 0.3 33.0 34.0 1.0

    CR 13,201 15,678 18.8 4.8 5.7 0.9 6.5 7.6 1.2

    Ilocos Norte 10,172 13,096 28.7 19.3 18.2 -1.1 25.1 22.8 -2.3

    Ilocos Sur 11,046 13,455 21.8 28.7 30.6 1.9 35.2 35.4 0.2

    La Union 11,002 13,121 19.3 37.5 33.7 -3.8 43.5 39.0 -4.5

    Pangasinan 10,584 12,471 17.8 33.5 30.9 -2.5 39.5 37.2 -2.3

    Batanes 11,841 12,976 9.6 8.7 7.5 -1.2 14.6 13.9 -0.7

    Cagayan 8,690 10,119 16.4 25.3 20.3 -5.1 30.8 25.4 -5.5Isabela 9,235 11,626 25.9 31.8 30.2 -1.6 37.2 34.6 -2.6

    N Vi caya 8,837 11,271 27.5 13.7 15.9 2.2 18.8 21.6 2.8

    Quirino 9,233 10,665 15.5 33.8 31.4 -2.4 40.5 38.2 (2.3

    Bataan 10,605 12,433 17.2 7.7 9.9 2.3 10.2 12.1 1.8

    Bulacan 11,777 13,881 17.9 8.3 5.4 -2.9 10.7 7.5 -3.2

    N Eci a 11,381 14,755 29.6 23.7 27.3 3.6 27.1 32.0 4.8

    Pa panga 11,421 14,713 28.8 7.4 14.4 7.0 9.7 18.2 8.5

    Tarlac 10,106 12,575 24.4 21.5 27.6 6.1 25.6 33.6 8.0

    Za bales 10,266 12,716 23.9 16.6 23.5 6.9 22.3 28.0 5.7 Aurora 10,539 11,407 8.2 28.4 26.6 -1.9 34.4 33.2 -1.2

    Abra 10,280 13,693 33.2 55.7 48.8 -6.9 58.9 58.6 -0.4

    Benguet 11,788 14,185 20.3 18.9 14.1 -4.8 26.2 19.2 -7.0

    Ifugao 11,225 11,852 5.6 57.7 55.6 -2.1 66.0 64.0 -2.1

    Kalinga 10,307 11,439 11.0 38.7 38.8 0.1 44.3 45.1 0.7

    Mt. Province 13,048 15,285 17.1 56.6 49.0 -7.6 64.7 57.6 -7.1

    Apayao 9,563 11,278 17.9 27.5 26.1 -1.4 34.1 33.8 -0.4

    Incidenceo Popula ion

    (Percen

    AnnualPerCapita

    Po ertyThreshold

    Incidenceo Fa ilies

    (Percent)Pro ince

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    Strategies

    Improve access/linkages: With Regions 1 and 2 (ports,

    airports, domestic/foreign markets) With NCR domestic/foreign market

    (NLE extension to Tarlac/Rosario) Lateral/internal (strategic)

    Protect and expand tourism market (e.g.

    environmental integrity, New Baguio?)

    Hi-tech, environment-friendly mining?

    Industry development BEPZ retention/expansion: cluster

    development; IT? niche industries?

    Education center (including tourism,upland agriculture research, IT-based?)

    Process streamlining/removetransaction obstacles (e.g. land titling)

    Enhance/ensure security (image?)

    Pro-Poor Strategies

    Improve access/linkages: constructionand operations employment; relocationfrom disaster prone areas/disastermitigation

    Local employment: service industry,

    environment management; construction

    Local employment

    Skills training; microlending/credit toSMEs (e.g. tourism-oriented; specialtycrafts, cash crops/agri- and foodprocessing)

    Rural school dev with road/accessimprovement; clustering? Scholarships

    Land/property reform/IP rights?

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    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Choice of Anti-poverty instruments

    Delineation of responsibilities between municipal andprovincial LGUs seemingly governed by two parameters:

    > Coverage of impact: province = cross-municipalE.g. inter-municipal irrigation

    Source: Edillon, 2003

    > Point of influence: province = upstream (municipal = downstream)E.g. Animal breeding station (vs Livestock dispersal)

    Tourism promotion (vs Regulation of tourism facilities)Techl assistance to coops (vs Organization of coops)R & D on plant diseases (vs Quality control of crops)

    Economies of scale: health services

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Choice of Anti-poverty instruments

    (KALAHI: Policy framework to address poverty in the Philippines)

    ASSET REFORM Urban housing and land distribution Capital and infrastructure provision Agrarian reform and land distribution Priority access of small fisherfolk (to 15 km zone)

    Grant of ancestral domain titles to IPs

    IMPROVED ACCESS TOHUMAN DEVELOPMENT SERVICES Basic education, Health, Shelter Potable water

    Sanitation facilities Electrification

    ENHANCED PARTICIPATION IN GOVERNANCE & INSTITUTIONBUILDING Participation of civil society and basic sectors in policy-making at national and

    local levels

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    INCREASED SOCIAL PROTECTIONAND SECURITY FROM VIOLENCE Provision of social welfare and assistance: maintain minimum living standard,

    reduce risk from violence, illness, disability, old age, unemployment,

    resettlement, harvest failure Safety nets or mechanisms that mitigate adverse impacts of economic

    dislocation, disasters and calamities, structural adjustments Social security that mitigates risk from retirement, unemployment, illness, and

    disability

    INCREASED EMPLOYMENT AND LIVELIHOOD OPPORTUNITIES Creation of rural jobs (agriculture and fishery) Improved access to credit facilities, microfinance services Entrepreneurial training

    Choice of Anti-poverty instruments

    (KALAHI: Policy framework to address poverty in the Philippines)

    Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty

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    Factors affecting Poverty: GROWTH

    Education (complemented by infrastructure)

    Policy environment (e.g. agriculture terms of trade)

    Investment in land uality productivity (e.g. irrigation)

    Agrarian reform

    Governance (political dynasties hurt the poor)

    Transportation (high transport costs are poverty traps) Source of growth

    Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    1. Poverty reduction: an inherent bias ofLDPs

    2. LPRAP: need-based and resource-based

    3. Planning process: involve focused-targeting in terms of geographic

    areas and basic sectors.4. LPRAP: cover a strategic and program mix of direct services,

    institution building, advocacy and networking.

    5. Planning process: municipal-led but barangay-based

    6. Interventions: involve convergence or resource sharing

    7. Planning process: involve a multi-sectoral focal team.

    8. LPRAP: blueprint for action, advocacy, social marketing

    Guiding Principles: Local Poverty Reduction Plan

    (LPRAP)

    Source: Guidebook, 2002

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    1. Causes of poverty in the Philippines

    > Lack of economic growth> Inability to benefit from growth> Vulnerability to shocks

    Summary:

    2. Overall approach

    > Broad-based labor-intensive and inclusive growth> Good governance and accountability> Human and social development> Social protection> Special poverty reduction policies or direct anti-poverty

    interventions such as land reform, micro credit, public employmentschemes

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    1. Causes of poverty in the Philippines

    > Lack of economic growth> Inability to benefit from growth> Vulnerability to shocks

    Summary:

    2. Overall approach

    > Broad-based labor-intensive and inclusive growth> Good governance and accountability> Human and social development> Social protection> Special poverty reduction policies or direct anti-poverty

    interventions such as land reform, micro credit, public employmentschemes

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Local PlanningContext

    Economic DevAnalysis Plan

    Anti-povertyinstruments

    Organization &Implementation

    Poverty ProfileAnalysis

    VisionObjectives

    SituationerPlanning analysisStrategies

    Projectsprograms

    Planimplementation

    Summary:

    3. Basic objective: pro-poor economic growth

    > Fundamental to social development and development planning> Should not be confined to a single plan (e.g. LPRAP)> Will be subject to various levels of influence (e.g. global, national, local)

    4. Integrate with provincial development planning

    Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty

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    Summary:

    5. Need to link with city, municipality, barangay

    > Because poverty reduction is best addressed and evaluated at thefamily/individual level

    > Thru LPRAPs, specific programs/projects, etc

    6. Selection and implementation of anti-poverty instrument(project program) is key

    > Poverty reduction plan is not the end product

    > Various approaches based on studies/experience are available to guideselection

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    E N D