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TRANSCRIPT
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Arturo G. Corpuz
Poverty Alleviation and
Economic Growth
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OBJECTIVES
To enhance knowledge: concepts of growth, poverty, growthstrategies and poverty alleviation strategies
To enhance skills in analyzing provinces potential for andconstraints to growth and poverty alleviation
To enhance skills leading to the design of development programs
for their province
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
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Growth = increase in size
Economic growth refers to a sustained increase inproduction, usually measured in terms of per capita GrossDomestic Product (GDP).
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
Factors traditionally expected to lead to economic growth inthe Philippines
-- Large population-- Strategic location
-- Long coastline-- High literacy rate
Source: Edillon, 2003
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2004 Phil pop (est) = 84 M Luzon 56%
Visayas 20%Mindanao 24%
52:48 urban : rural
65:35 projected in 2030
About 43 M urban pop
1995-2000 AGR = 2.36% Pop doubles in 29 years
1960-1995 Urban AGR = 4.2%
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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Largest metro areas (> 1 M Pop):
-- Metro Cebu = 1.7M-- Dasmarinas-Bacoor = 1.5-- Malolos-Meycauayan = 1.4-- Metro Antipolo = 1.3-- Metro Davao = 1.2-- Metro Angeles = 1.2-- Calamba-San Pedro = 1.1
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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Male Female
Philippines (Yr 1960)
MaleFemale
h il n (Yr 1960)
Popul tion Pyr mi , 1960
Economic Growth n PovertyEconomic Growth n Poverty
Source: Edillon, 2003
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FemaleMale
Philippines (Yr2000)
Male Female
h il n (Yr2000)
Popul tion Pyr mi , 2000
Economic Growth n PovertyEconomic Growth n Poverty
Source: Edillon, 2003
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Factors traditionally expected to lead to economicgrowth in the Philippines
-- Large population: BUT WIT IG DEPE DE CY RATIO
-- Strategic location
-- Long coastline
-- igh literacy rate
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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The Philippine Bulletin,
New York, August 1913
The Philippines as a trade center of the Far East
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
The best harbor . . . no equal as a coalingstation or naval and military base. . . . Theentrances are narrow, the shores bold, thewater deep, the bay landlocked, easilydefended from attack by sea or land, and thefresh water supply ample. As it is just off thetrade route between Manila, China, andJapan, it strategically commands Manila. Itis there that the Spanish government hadplanned to place its principal naval arsenal inthe east. Already a great deal of money hasbeen expended, many buildings erected,and much work done. A contract has beenmade with an English company to constructa floating drydock of 12,000 ton capacity;some of the material has been delivered andpayments made. (U.S. Congress, 1899)
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The Brussels-based InternationalCommittee of the Red Cross and RedCrescent described the Philippines as theThe Most Disaster-Prone Country in theWorld based on statistics on the number ofvictims in typhoons, earthquakes, volcanic
eruptions, floods, garbage landslide andmilitary action . . . (August 2002)
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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Factors traditionally expected to lead to economicgrowth in the Philippines
-- Large population: BUT WIT IG DEPE DE CY RATIO
-- Strategic location: BUT DISASTER-PRONE; LOCATIONIS NOT EVERYT ING
-- Long coastline-- igh literacy rate
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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Coastline Trade Growth
Trade: historically limited;
did not encourage porturban developmentoutside Manila
Shipping industry did notmodernize
Coastline advantageeroded by technology
Many small islands;limited contiguous area;integration obstacle
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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Factors traditionally expected to lead to economicgrowth in the Philippines
-- Large population: BUT WIT IG DEPENDENCY RATIO
-- Strategic location: BUT DISASTER-PRONE; LOCATIONIS NOT EVERYT ING
-- Long coastline: DID NOT LEAD TO TRADE GROWT ;MANY SMALL ISLANDS; LIMITEDCONTIGUOUS AREA
-- igh literacy rate
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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1993 Primary School
Country Completion
Rate (%)Philippines 70
Indonesia 77
Malaysia 96
Singapore 100
Thailand 87China 85Source: ADB, HDR, in Monsod, 1999
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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100
6
Children startingschool age (1997)
Finishintermediatelevel
1
16
No school
Drop out
60 EnterHS
7
Do not enterHS
45
Finish HS
15
Drop out(usually after1st year)
Source: Based on Monsod and Monsod, 1999
55% of those enteringlabor force will have atmost up to 1st yeareducation
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GDP per capita, selected countries, 1980-2000 (1980=100)
1980 1981 1982 198
198 198 198
198 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 199
199 199 199
199 1998 1999 2000
ina
Korea, ep
P i l ipp ines
ailand
P IL
T AI
SKOREA
C IN
A
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
Source: Edillon, 200
The Philippines has not experienced significant economicgrowth in recent decades (flat growth 1980-2000).
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Trend in per capita GDP, Philippines vs. Thailand, 1960-2000
19 6
1969 19
19
9 19
19
9 199
1999
Phi l ippines
Thailand
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
Before 1980, average Filipino was richer than average Thai;reversed since 1980.
Source: Edillon, 2003
T AI
P IL
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Lack of economic growth
-- Little improvement in quality of life-- Poverty reduction is slow or does not take place
Substantial sustained economic growth leads to substantialpoverty reduction
-- For each 1% increase in average per capita income,poverty rate declines by 2%(elasticity of poverty to income = 2)
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
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Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
Annual per Cap Poverty %Eco growth (%) Pt Reduction
E Asia Pacific 6.4 14.9S Asia 3.3 8.4Lat America Carribean 1.6 - 0.1Mid East N Africa 1.0 - 0.1Sub-Sahara Africa - 0.4 - 1.6
Central East Europe - 1.9 -13.5Source: HDR, 2003
Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction (1990s)
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T r e n d o f p e r c a p i t a G D P a n d p o v e r t y i n c i d e nc e
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
1.2
1.25
1986 1988 1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002
Per capita
DP
Pover ty Incidence
P o v e r t y In c i d e n c e
P e r Ca p i ta G D P
Ec o n o mi c G r o wth a n d P o v e r t yEc o n o mi c G r o wth a n d P o v e r t y
1 9 8 7 2 0 0 1
T r e n d o f P e r Ca p i t a G D P a n d P o v e r tyIn c i d e n c e , P hi li p p i n e s,(ba se y e a r = 1 9 8 7)
So ur c e :Ed i llo n , 2 0 0 3
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The major causes of poverty in the Philippines:
Economic Growth and PovertyEconomic Growth and Poverty
Poverty reduction re uires growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
> Inability to benefit from growth
> Lackluster economicperformance of the country
> Vulnerability to shocks; thevulnerable become poor
(1997-2000: Asian financialcrisis + El Nino = add 3 million
poor)
Economic growth
Distribution
Social protection/disaster mitigation
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Classical (Adam Smith et al.)
Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.
-- Specialization--
Trade-- Comparative advantage
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
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Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Self sufficient
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=+ +?
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
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=+ +?
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
=Specialization
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Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Trade
What to trade? What to produce? ComparativeAdvantage
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Classical (Adam Smith et al.)
Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.
-- Specialization--
Trade-- Comparative advantage
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
Comparativerelative to another producer/trader(competitor)
General principle: produce commodity that is more
efficiently produced Comparative advantage > absolute advantage
> least disadvantage
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Classical (Adam Smith et al.)
Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.
-- Specialization--
Trade-- Comparative advantage
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003; G. Tecson 2001; E. Tan ,2001)
Philippines losing comparative advantage in simplelabor-intensive production (China, Vietnam, SriLanka, Bangladesh, India, Indonesia)
True comparative advantage: relatively abundanttechnical labor and mid-level management
Need to focus on education/training, science, math,english (college enrollment: sciences = 0.9%;math/computer = 6.9%; business = 34.9%)
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Classical (Adam Smith et al.)
Wealth can grow only in so far as division of labor allows.
-- Specialization
-- Trade-- Comparative advantage
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:
-- Market constraints (lack of info/access)-- Limited division of labor-- Inefficient production processes-- Trading constraints
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Neo-Classical ( arrod-Domar)
Economic growth is directly proportional to savings rate andproductivity of capital (efficiency)
Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:
-- low saving rate-- low productivity of capital
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
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Tre nd in Saving and Per Capita GDP
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
PCGDP ( $ 100), Phi l ippines
PCGDP ( $ 100), Thai land
GDS (%), Phi l ippines
GDS (%), Thailand
SchoolsofThought on Economic GrowthSchoolsofThought on Economic Growth
PCGDP Phil
GDS Thai
PCGDP Thai
GDS Phil
Trend in Saving (GDS) and Per Capita GDP(PCGDP),1960-2000
1960 2000Source:Edillon, 2003
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Solow-Swan Capital is subject to diminishing marginal returns; less
developed countries will catch up with capital-rich developedcountries
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
-- Profit rates tend to be higher in LDCs because of cheaper inputcosts (labor and raw materials)
-- Capital flows (investments) from DCs to LDCs, with technologytransfers
-- LDCs catch up and become NICs: costs rise (wage and input
cost increases) and profit rates decline
-- Capital from DCs and NICs flows to otherLDCs
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Solow-Swan
Capital is subject to diminishing marginal returns; lessdeveloped countries will catch up with capital-rich developedcountries
Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:
-- Low savings
-- Low investment rates
-- Minimal benefit from technological advances of richer countries
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003
-- Population problem:-- Low savings and high population growth rate mean capital per
worker diminishing
-- 1985-2000, poverty incidence declined from 40.9% to 27.5% butabsolute number of the poor increased by almost 1.4 million
-- Very high dependency ratio
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Endogenous Growth
Returns to capital need not diminish as capital stock increases;emphasis on uality not uantity of investments
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003, M.J. Abrenica, 2001; E. Tan, 2001)
Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:-- Lack of R & D
UNESCO science manpower critical mass = 380/one millionpopulation
Philippines = 60/one million population
Philippines has largest tertiary education system in East Asiaoutside Japan but has lowest scientist publications (ISI Journals,1994-95)
DOST budget = 3.2% national budget (18% goes to R&D)
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R&D l t, R&D it r DPCountr i nti t R&D
Engineer Expenditures
per illionpop per DP ( )
Philippines 60 0.1
ingapore 2,512 1.1
Korea 2,636 2.8
Tai an 1,669 1.7
Malaysia 87 0.4
Thailand 173 0.2
China 1,993 0.6
Indonesia 181 0.2
Sour : SCO i . , 2001)
SchoolsofThought onEconomic rowthSchoolsofThought onEconomic rowth
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Endogenous Growth
Returns to capital need not diminish as capital stock increases;emphasis on uality not uantity of investments
Schools of Thought on Economic GrowthSchools of Thought on Economic Growth
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003)
Philippine economic experience: non-growth due to the following:-- Lack of R & D
-- Insecure property rights
-- Weak institutions
-- Failure (of government) to encourage innovation
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Growth, Development, Welfare
Development: advance expand to a more complex orcomplete form; improve> E.g. hunting/gathering > agriculture > industry > services> Higher level of satisfaction for society
Growth = increase in size> Economic growth refers to a sustained increase in production,
usually measured in terms of per capita GDP.
Welfare: state or condition of doing or being well (Oxford)> Theory of utility, i.e. condition or level of satisfaction
(per capita income is not everything).
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Social welfare in development context
> Welfare of society is brought to higher level> E.g. Lifting members of society from poverty
Social welfare function> Description of a desired type of welfare in a society;
benchmark for evaluating welfare impacts (e.g. povertyalleviation projects)
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Average welfare level The greater good for the greater
number (democratic principle)
Forms of Social Welfare Function
Prioritarianism: higher weight towelfare of the disadvantaged
Ignores distribution; notconcerned whose welfare isimproved (whether rich or poor)
Current concept of poverty andits measures (e.g. foodconsumption, RDA)
HDI concept (life expectancy,knowledge, income)
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003)
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
Sufficientarianism: welfare of everyindividual is at least e ual to some
minimum
E uality in capabilities: eachindividual is endowed with samecapabilities to do be what he wishes
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Lack of income (means) necessary to consume a basic bundleof goods and services; or
Definition of Poverty: A State ofBeing
Measures of Poverty
Means-based
Outcome-based
Perception-based
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
Shortfall in consumption of a basic bundle of goods and
services necessary to do basic functions (outcomes);
Subjective valuation (perceptions)
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Means-based Outcome-based
Human Development Index
Human Poverty Index
Capability Poverty Measure
Gender-
relatedD
evelopmentIndex
Gender Empowerment
Measure
Incidence
Gap (Depth)
Severity
Poverty Threshold Food Threshold
Gini Ratio
$1/day Poverty Line
-- Poverty
-- Subsistence
-- Poverty
-- Income
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Means-based
Source: NSCB
Families (or population) with per capita incomeless than the per capita poverty threshold
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total number of families (population)
Cost of basic food &non-food reqmts =P11,605/year per capP4,835/month per fam
Poverty Incidence (%):E.g. Philippines = 28.4%
> Percent of families (or individuals) whose incomes fallbelow the Poverty Threshold as defined by NEDA and/orcannot afford in a sustained manner to provide their basic needsof food, health, education, housing and other amenities of life
Poverty:Inability to acquire basic needs for decent quality of life
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Povert I i ence, ffici l ti tesCountr P er Povert
Capita Inci ence
( $) ( pprox %)
Philippines 950 40 1994Indonesia 880 15 1990
Sri anka 640 27 earl 1990
China 530 15 1990-1994
Paskistan 430 25 earl 1990
India 320 34 earl 1990
Bangladesh 220 40 earl 1990
Viet am 200 20 1993
Source: Monsodand Monsod, 1999
Measuresand FactorsofPovertMeasuresand FactorsofPovert
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Means-based
Source: NSCB
Subsistence Incidence (%):E.g. Philippines = 13.1%
> Percent of families (individuals) whose incomesfall below the Food Threshold
Cost of foodrequired to satisfy
nutritional reqmts= P7,829(Philippines 2000)
Families (or population) with per capita incomeless than the per capita Food Threshold
---------------------------------------------------------------
Total number of families (population)
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Means-based
Income Gap (%):E.g. Mt Province = 38.0%
> Measure of amount needed by poor families toeradicate poverty
Source: NSCB
Measuresof depthof poverty
Poverty Gap (%): E.g. Romblon = 18.5%
> Measure of amount needed to eradicate poverty
Avg income shortfall offamilies is 18.5%
Total income shortfall of families below poverty
threshold (expressed in proportion to the poverty line)------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total number of families
Avg income shortfall ofpoor families is 38.0%
Total income shortfall of families below povertythreshold (expressed in proportion to the poverty line)-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Total number of poor families
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Means-based
Severity of Poverty (%):E.g. Masbate = 10.1%Saranggani = 9.7%
> Measure of ine uality among the poor
Source: NSCB
Poverty more severe in
Masbate
Total of squared income shortfall of families below povertythreshold (expressed in proportion to the poverty line)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total number of families
Gini Ratio:
> Measure of ine uality in income distribution(all families individuals)
1=perfectequal
0=perfectunequal
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Means-based
Source: NSCB
Poverty Incidence Subsistence Incidence Poverty Gap Income Gap Severity of Poverty Gini Ratio Poverty Threshold Food Threshold
1 day Poverty Line (WB): amount in pesos needed tobuy a basket of goods and services that $1 would buy inthe US
Annual
Every three years(FIES)
Official poverty statisticsPre-2003: national
regionalSince 2003: plus
provincial
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Outcome-based
uman Development Index ( DI)
Composite of development outcomes:-- ealth:life expectancy
-- Knowledge:functional literacy-- Standard of living:per capita income
Human Poverty Index (HPI)
Composite of poverty outcomes:
-- Short life:% of people expected to die before 40-- Lack of education:% of adults illiterate-- Lack of access to resources:% of people w/o
access to health services & safe water, and & %of underweight children under 5
Source: Monsod and Monsod, 1999
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Outcome-based
Source: Monsod and Monsod, 1999
Capability Poverty Measure (CPM)
-- Early version ofHPI
Gender-related Development Index (GDI)
-- HDI adjusted for gender inequality
Gender Empowerment Measure (GEM)
-- Measures gender inequality in key areas of economic andpolitical participation
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Means-based
Poverty Incidence
Subsistence Incidence
Income Gap
Poverty Gap
Severity of Poverty
Outcome-based
Human Development Index
Human Poverty Index
Capability PovertyM
easure Gender-related Development
Index
Gender Empowerment
Measure
Poverty Threshold
Food Threshold
Gini Ratio
$1/day Poverty Line
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Poverty incidence: gives the proportion of the poor-- simple but assumes uniform distribution of poor-- does not account for improvement within poor
Poverty gap: average income shortfall-- shortfall = 0 if non-poor-- total amount to eradicate poverty-- easy to understand but also does not account for distribution
Severity of poverty: average of the squared income gap of thepoor-- assigns higher weights to the poorer among the poor-- not easy to estimate or understand
Means-based
Source: Based on Edillon, 2003)
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Regional
Poverty Statistics, 2000Region
(%) Rank (%) Rank (%) Rank
NCR 5.5 1 0.9 1 0.2 1
Region 1 20.3 5 4.2 4 1.3 4
Region 2 29.9 9 6.8 8 2.3 7,8
Region 3 16.1 2 3.1 2 0.9 2
Region 4 19.5 3 4.8 5 1.7 5Region 5 53.3 15 15.8 15 6.3 15
Region 6 28.1 8 6.4 7 2.1 6
Region 7 39.4 12 11.8 12 4.8 12
Region 8 46.8 13 14.2 13 5.8 13
Region 9 47.0 14 14.3 14 6.0 14
Region 10 27.3 7 7.1 9 2.6 9
Region 11 25.4 6 6.3 6 2.3 7,8
Region 12 38.0 11 9.5 11 3.4 11
CAR 19.8 4 4.1 3 1.2 3
ARMM 60.7 16 19.3 16 8.0 16
Caraga 33.8 10 8.2 10 3.0 10
Incidence Gap (Depth) Severity
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010
20
30
40
50
60
70
NCR
Region 1
Region 2
Region 3
Region 4
Region 5
Region 6
Region 7
Region 8
Region 9
Region 10
Region 11
Region 12
CAR
ARMM
Caraga
Percent (Year2000)
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Poverty
Inc idence ( )
Phili i 28 .4
NCR 5.7
Region II I 17 .0
Region I 20 .8
Region II 24 .8
Region I 29 .6
CAR 31.1
Region XI 31 .5
Region II 32 .3
Region X 32 .9
Region I 37 .8
Region II I 37 .8
Region IX 38 .3
Caraga 42.9
Region XII 48 .4
Region 49 .0
ARMM 57.0
Po vertyT hreshold
(Pesos)
Phili ines 11,60 5
NCR 15 ,67 8
Re gion II I 13 ,84 3
Re gion I 13 ,41 4
CAR 13,17 6
Re gion I 12 ,76 6
ARMM 12,75 3
Re gion I 11 ,55 3
Re gion 11 ,52 4
Re gion II 11 ,07 7
Re gion XII 11 ,01 9
Caraga 10,60 5
Re gion XI 10 ,56 8
Re gion X 9,88 1
Re gion II 9,79 1
Re gion II I 9,62 3
Re gion IX 9,29 8
Regional Poverty Statistics
Source: NSCB
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Poverty
Inc idence ( )
Phili ines 28.4
NCR 5.7
Region II I 17 .0
Region I 20 .8
Region II 24 .8
Region I 29 .6
CAR 31.1
Region XI 31 .5
Region II 32 .3
Region X 32 .9
Region I 37 .8
Region II I 37 .8
Region IX 38 .3
Caraga 42.9
Region XII 48 .4
Region 49 .0
ARMM 57.0
Po vertyT hreshold
(Pesos)
Phili ines 11,60 5
NCR 15 ,67 8
Re gion II I 13 ,84 3
Re gion I 13 ,41 4
CAR 13,17 6
Re gion I 12 ,76 6
ARMM 12,75 3
Re gion I 11 ,55 3
Re gion 11 ,52 4
Re gion II 11 ,07 7
Re gion XII 11 ,01 9
Caraga 10,60 5
Re gion XI 10 ,56 8
Re gion X 9,88 1
Re gion II 9,79 1
Re gion II I 9,62 3
Re gion IX 9,29 8
Subsistence
Inc idence ( )
Phili ines 13.1
NCR 0.7
Region II I 4.0
Region I 8.1
Region II 9.3
Region I 11 .5
CAR 14.2
Region XI 14 .6
Region X 15 .0
Region II 17 .0
Region I 18 .4
Region II I 19 .8
Region IX 20 .4
Caraga 23.4
Region XII 25 .5
ARMM 27.2
Region 27 .8
oo dT hreshold
(Pesos)
Phili ines 7,82 9
NCR 9,56 1
CAR 8,87 3
Re gion II I 8,79 7
Re gion I 8,68 2
ARMM 8,61 1
Re gion I 8,60 9
Re gion 8,27 6
Re gion I 8,10 9
Re gion XII 7,71 4
Re gion II 7,52 6
Caraga 7,49 2
Re gion XI 7,16 4
Re gion II I 7,16 2
Re gion X 6,89 7
Re gion II 6,76 0
Re gion IX 6,58 6
Regional PovertyStatistics
Source: NSCB
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Povert
Incidence (%)
TenPoorest
Sulu 63.2
Mas ate 62.8
Tawi-tawi 56.5
Ifugao 55.6
Romblon 55.2
Maguindanao 55.1
Lanaodel Sur 55.0
Sultan Kudarat 54.3
Camiguin 53.1Camarines orte 52.7
Ten east Poor
2ndDistrict CR 4.1
4t District CR 4.9Bulacan 5.4
1st District CR 5.8
Batanes 7.5
Rizal 8.0Laguna 8.6
3rdDistrict CR 9.0
Bataan 9.9Cavite 10.2
Povert Thresholds
(Pesos)
Ten ighest
NCR 15,678
Batangas 15,305
Mt. Province 15,285
Cavite 14,965
Rizal 14,787
Nueva ci a 14,755
Pampanga 14,713
Oriental Mindoro 14,531
Benguet 14,185Lanaodel Sur 13,986
Bulacan 13,881
Ten owest
WesternSamar 9,574
EasternSamar 9,516ZambSur 9,404
Basilan 9,271
Nort ernSamar 9,166
Bohol 9,125ZambNorte 9,090
Bukidnon 8,982
Si ui or 8,966Negros Oriental 8,940
Subsistence
Incidence (%)
TenPoorest
Masbate 42.6
Sulu 34.2
Romblon 33.7
Ifugao 32.7
Maguindanao 31.2
Saranggani 30.9
Lanaodel Norte 30.5
ZambNorte 30.4
Agusandel Sur 29.7Camarines Norte 28.7
Ten east Poor
Batanes 4.1
2ndDistrict NCR 4.94thDistrict NCR 5.4
1st District NCR 5.8
Bulacan 7.5
Bataan 8.0Rizal 8.6
Cavite 9.0
Laguna 9.93rdDistrict NCR 10.2
oodThreshold
(Pesos)
Ten ighest
Mt. Province 10,112
NCR 9,561
Rizal 9,487
Batangas 9,484
Cavite 9,457
NuevaEci a 9,392
Pampanga 9,336
Batanes 9,073
Sulu 9,062Oriental Mindoro 9,022
Ten owest
Bohol 6,329
ZambSur 6,501Si ui or 6,519
Bukidnon 6,561
Negros Oriental 6,602
ZambNorte 6,678Davaodel Sur 6,846
NorthernSamar 6,863
Basilan 6,919Occidental 6,991
Provincial Povert Statistics
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Povert
Incidence (%)
TenPoorest
Sulu 63.2
Masbate 62.8
Tawi-tawi 56.5
Ifugao 55.6
Romblon 55.2
Maguindanao 55.1
Lanaodel Sur 55.0
Sultan Kudarat 54.3
Camiguin 53.1Camarines Norte 52.7
Ten east Poor
2ndDistrict NCR 4.1
4thDistrict NCR 4.9Bulacan 5.4
1st District NCR 5.8
Batanes 7.5
Rizal 8.0Laguna 8.6
3rdDistrict NCR 9.0
Bataan 9.9Cavite 10.2
Povert
ap (%)
TenBiggest
Masbate 22.6
Saranggani 19.4
Maguindanao 19.1
Lanaodel Norte 18.8
Mt. Province 18.6
Romblon 18.5
Ifugao 18.2
Abra 17.5
Camarines Norte 17.4ZambNorte 17.2
TenSmallest
Batanes 0.6
2ndDistrict NCR 0.74thDistrict NCR 0.9
Bulacan 1.1
1st District NCR 1.2
Rizal 1.5Bataan 1.5
Laguna 1.7
3rdDistrict NCR 2.1Cavite 2.2
Severit of
Povert (%)
Ten ighest
Masbate 10.1
Saranggani 9.7
Mt. Province 9.3
Lanaodel Norte 9.0
Maguindanao 8.7
ZambNorte 8.7
Romblon 8.2
Abra 8.2
Ifugao 7.9Oriental Mindoro 7.7
Ten owest
Batanes 0.1
2ndDistrict NCR 0.24thDistrict NCR 0.3
Bulacan 0.3
Bataan 0.4
1st District NCR 0.4Rizal 0.5
Laguna 0.5
Cavite 0.73rdDistrict NCR 0.7
Provincial Povert Statistics
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Location and Time Dimensions
Absolute vs. Relative Poverty-- In measuring absolute poverty the benchmark does not
change regardless of the locality, except with respect to
prices. In measuring relative poverty, meanwhile, thebenchmark varies according to the locality.-- Reducing incidence of absolute poverty is more relevant
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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010
20
30
40
50
60
70
NCR
Region 1
Region 2
Region 3
Region 4
Region 5
Region 6
Region 7
Region 8
Region 9
Region 10
Region 11
Region 12
CAR
ARMM
Caraga
Percent
Measure
sandFactorso
fPoverty
Measure
sandFactorso
fPoverty
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Location and Time Dimensions
Absolute vs. Relative Poverty-- In measuring absolute poverty the benchmark does not
change regardless of the locality, except with respect toprices. In measuring relative poverty, meanwhile, the
benchmark varies according to the locality.-- Reducing incidence of absolute poverty is more relevant
Chronic vs. Transient Poverty-- Chronic poverty is when the state of poverty has prevailed for
a very long time. Transient poverty is when the state ofpoverty is only temporary.
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Causes of Poverty in the Philippines
Unsustained economic growth (or lack of economic growth)
Inability to benefit from economic growth
Vulnerability to shocks
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Rural sector accounts for of poverty-- Agri sector is biggest contributor (about 80%) to poverty
Poverty alleviation needs understanding of rural sector includingresponses of rural areas to growth stimuli
-- How important are rural conditions to poverty?
ignificance of Poverty aria lesplanatory
aria le ncidence ap epth everity
unctional literacy
and ine uality
arm si e
enancy
gri terms of trade
rrigation
Road wealth
lectricity
acro eco pol
ource
ased on
alisacan
! " " "
easures and actors of Povertyeasures and actors of Poverty
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Factors affecting Poverty:
GROWTH
Education (complemented by infrastructure)
Policy environment (e.g. agriculture terms of trade) Investment in land uality productivity (e.g. irrigation)
Agrarian reform
Governance (political dynasties hurt the poor)
Transportation (high transport costs are poverty traps)
Source of growth
Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Cycle of Poverty Determinants
Employment
Income
Education
Health
Nutrition
Quality of labor, land, capital
Access togoods services
Poverty: Inability to ac uire the basic needs for a decent uality of life
Economic Growth
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
A h d P li R PA h d P li R P
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Economic Growth
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Classical approach:
Increase specialization Increase trade
Neoclassical approach:
Increase savings Increase investments (on productive activities)
Endogenous growth approach:
Increase knowledge Increase innovation
Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.
A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t
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Cycle of Poverty Determinants
Deliverymechanism &
public spending
Employment
Income
Access to private
goods services
Education
Health
Nutrition
Quality of labor, land, capital
Access to publicgoods services
Public transfer& subsidy
Population
Source: DILG, NEDA, NAPC, UNDP, Guidebook on Local Poverty Diagnosis and Planning, 2002
Politicalparticipation
Peace andorder
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t
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International Institution Responses
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
1970: UN War on Poverty
1974: WB Redistribution with Growth
1980s: ILO World Employment Program
1990: WB World Development Report focus on povertythrough three fronts:-- labor intensive economic growth
-- development of human resources (education, health,nutrition) of poor
-- social safety nets
1999: ADB3 pillars strategy
A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t
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ADB: Three Pillars
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Pro-poor economic growth
Social development
Good governance
A h d P li R t P tA h d P li R t P t
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1 Pro-Poor Economic Growth
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Economic growth
> Generates employment and income; necessary foreliminating or reducing poverty
Pro-poor Growth Index
S Korea = 1.14 (1994-95)Laos = 0.21 (1992-98)Philippines = 0.67 (1994-97)Thailand = 0.64 (1994-96)Vietnam = 0.87 (1992-98)
Source: E. Pernia, ADB, ERD Policy Brief, 2003
> But may be biased against poor
> Pro-poor growth; priority to:
-- Labor intensive activities-- Employment creation-- Increased labor mobility-- Enhanced credit access for
SMEs-- Other measures that remove
anti-poor biases
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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2 Social Development
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Strategies that target basic social services for the poor
-- Human capital development (e.g. education, training)-- Social protection (e.g. insurance, peace and order)-- Population program
3 Good Governance
Necessary to carry out pro-poor growth social development activities
-- Reduced corruption-- Greater accountability-- Increased participation-- Sound macroeconomic management
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Overall Approach
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Broad-based labor-intensive and inclusive growth
Good governance and accountability
Human and social development
Social protection
Special poverty alleviation policies or direct anti-poverty
interventions such as land reform, micro credit, publicemployment schemes
Source: A. Deolalikar et al., Poverty Reduction and the role of institutions in developing Asia, ADB, May 2002.
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Social Reform and Poverty Reduction Act (RA 8425)
(KALAHI: Policy framework to address poverty in the Philippines)
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Deliverymechanism &
public spending
Employment
Income
Access to privategoods/services
Education
Health
Nutrition
Quality of labor, land, capital
Access to publicgoods/services
Public transfer& subsidy
PopulationPolitical
participtn
Peace &order
Asset Reform Increased Employment &Livelihood Opportunities
Improved Access to HumanDevelopment Services
Increased Social Protectionand Security from Violence
Enhanced Participation inGovernance and InstitutionBuilding
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Local Government Role in Poverty Reduction
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Local Government Code of 1991
DILG Memorandum CircularNo. 2001-109 (August 21, 2001):
Enjoined all LCEs to undertake local poverty reductionprograms and to formulate LPRAA (Local Poverty ReductionAction Agenda)
DILG Memorandum CircularNo. 2001-105 (August 31, 2001):Called for identification of LPRAO (Local Poverty ReductionOfficers) in all municipalities, cities, and provinces
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What is role of provincial LGUs in the goal of promoting growthand reducing poverty?
Provide link between national government and municipal and(component) city LGUs
Bring together merits of the top-down and bottom-up approachesto governance
Ensure that municipal/city development plans form coherentstrategy towards goal of provincial development; at the sametime, consistent with national goals
Source: Edillon, 2003
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Local PlanningContext
Economic DevAnalysis Plan
Anti-povertyinstruments
Organization &Implementation
Poverty ProfileAnalysis
VisionObjectives
SituationerPlanning analysisStrategies
Projectsprograms
Planimplementation
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Integrating Poverty Reduction in Provincial Development Planning
Planning Process
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Economic Growth
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
Increase specialization and trade Increase savings and investments (on productive activities) Increase knowledge and innovation
Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.; R. Neri, 2004
Income and employment creation-- Increase productivity-- Reduce cost-- Increase growth potential-- Reduce risk
Population Activity (Industries) Location (Economic
areas)
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Basic Approach
Population-Activity-Location-- Population distribution-- Production: major income/value-generating, employment
activities-- Consumption: market centers, expenditure items, access to services-- Location/spatial distribution as an inherent factor
Analysis-- Existing levels-- Trends-- Comparative benchmarks
-- Significance: strategic importance
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Strategic Questions
Are current conditions/trends acceptable? (Access to jobs, markets, services)What are the gaps? What will happen if they continue?
What are the development drivers (supply/demand)? How do they affectcurrent conditions/trends? External? Internal?
What industries/sectors are doing well? Promising? Not doing well?
Given trends and drivers, what are likely scenarios for these industries? Whatindustries/sectors should be encouraged? Discouraged? Competition?
What should be done to promote these industries/sectors? What arethe obstacles? What are the tradeoffs?
What industries/sectors?-- Consistent with the regions competitive advantages-- Already established but not as competitive as in the past but still
generate substantial employment/income benefits to region-- Support the first two types (e.g. transport, telecom, housing)
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Understand the Economy Economic sectors/activities
-- Production, employment,other economic data(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country) ETC/S
Potentials, comparativeadvantages
Obstacles to growth
Understand the Poor Poverty Profile
-- Official poverty stats(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country)
-- Other poverty indicators (13),LPRAPs, local profiles
Obstacles to increased income/access to goods & services
Economic DevAnalysis Plan Poverty ProfileAnalysis
Economic activities of the poor
Involvement of poor in economy
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Population, Population Growth Rate, Population Density,CAR, by province, 1990-2000
Area1990 Pop 2000 Pop 2000
Pop%1990-2000
APGR
LandArea
(s km)
LandArea%
2000PopDen
CAR 1,142,814 1,365,220 100% 1.79 18,294.2 100.00% 75
Abra 184,743 209,491 15% 1.27 3,975.6 21.73% 53
Apayao 74,607 97,129 7% 2.67 3,927.9 21.47% 25
Benguet 485,857 582,515 43% 1.83 2,655.4 14.51% 219
alinga 133,791 174,023 13% 2.66 2,517.8 13.76% 69
Ifugao 147,281 161,623 12% 0.93 3,119.7 17.05% 52
Mt. Prov 116,535 140,439 10% 1.88 2,097.3 11.46% 67
Source: NSO
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1970 1980 1990 2000
Population Density
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1970-1980 1980-1990 1990-2000
Annual Population Growth Rate
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1980
1990 2000
Population Density
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1980-1990 1990-2000
Annual Population Growth Rate
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1980, 1990, 2000 Standard Distances
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Figure 13. GDP Regional Shares 2000
35.7%
2.3%3.1%
2.1%
7.4%
13.9%
2.7%
6.5% 6.8%
2.5% 2.5%3.5%
5.9%
2.6% 1.0% 1.5%0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
NCR
CAR
Ilocos
CagValley
CLuzon
SLuzon
Bicol
WVis
CVis
EVis
W
#in
N
#in
S
#in
C
#in
ARMM
Caraga
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Figure . VA: Services 2000
45 .0%
1.3% 2.9% 1.6%
6.8%11 .1%
2.8%6.2% 7.6%
1.9% 1.9% 2.9%4.7%
1.6% 0.7% 1.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
NCR
CAR
Ilocos
Cag
$ alley
CLuzon
%L
uzon
&icol
' $is
C
$is( $is
WMin
NMin
% Min
CMin
ARMM
Caraga
Figure 15. GVA: Agri Fish Forestry 2000
0.0%2.0%
6.5% 6.2%8.8%
19.2%
4.6%
10.2%
4.6% 3.9%
6.5%4.6%
11.8%
4.9%3.1% 3.1%
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
NCR
CAR
Ilocos
CagValley
CLuzon
SLuzon
Bicol
WVis
CVis
EVis
WMin
NMin
SMin
CMin
ARMM
Caraga
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Figure 32. Livestock Inventory (Number ofHead), by Type
and Region, 1998
0
500,000
1,000,000
1,500,000
2,000,000
CAR
Ilocos
Cagayan
C
Luzon
STag
Bicol
WVis
CVis
EVis
WMind
NMind
SMind
CMind
Caraga
ARMM
Swine
Goat
Cattle
Carabao
Figure 33 Poultr In entor (NumberofHead)by Typeand
Region,1998
02,000,0004,000,0006,000,0008,000,000
10,000,000
12,000,00014,000,00016,000,000
CAR
Il)
0
)
1
C2
3
2
4
2
5
C
6
7z)
5
8
9
2
3
@
A
0
)l
WVis
CVis
EVis
WMind
NMind
SMind
CMind
C2
r2
3
2
ARMM
Chicken
Duck
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Figure GVA: Mining/Quarr 2000
0.0B
25.4B
2.2B 1.2 B 1.1 B
10.3B 9.2
B
13.5B
6.2B
1.5B
2.8B
2.8B
17.3B
0.2B 0.0
B
6.3B
0
10
20
30
NCR
CAR
IloCoD
CE
F Vall
Gy
C
H
I
Po
Q
S
H
I
Po
Q
Bi
Col
R Vi
D
CVi
D
EVi
D
R Mi
Q
NMi
Q
SMi
Q
CMi
Q
ARMM
Caraga
Figure GVA: Manu ac uring2000
43.1S
3.3S
0.7S
0.3S
7.9S
16.1S
0.2S
5.3S 6.3
S
2.4S
1.1S
4.5S
4.4S
3.4S
0.2S
0.9S
0
10
20
30
40
50
NCR
CAR
IloToU
CagVall
Vy
C
W
X
Yo
`
S
W
X
Yo
`
Bi
Tol
a Vi
U
CVi
U
EVi
U
a Mi
`
NMi
`
SMi
`
CMi
`
ARMM
Caraga
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Figure . DPSectoral Shares
16%
1%
23%
5%
3%
53%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Ag/ ish/ or
Mining
Mfg
Constn
Elec/Gas/ at
Ser ice
Figure A CAR RDPSectoral Shares
14%
%
32%
12%
6%
30%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Ag/ ish/ or
Mining
Mfg
Constn
E/G/
Ser ice
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Figure 21. C Luzon GRDP Sectoral Shares 2000
19%
0%
24%
4%
4%
48%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Ag/Fish/For
Mining
Mfg
Constn
E/G/W
Service
Figure 21A CAR GRDP Sectoral Shares 2000
14%
7%
32%
12%
6%
30%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Ag/Fish/For
Mining
Mfg
Constn
E/G/W
Service
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1995 1996 1997 1998
Total BEPZ Exports 588 731 508 0
INDUSTRY SECTOR
Fashion Acc/Leather 1.2 1.4 2.5 1.1
Houseware 0.02 0 0.04 0.04
Garments/Textile 2.5 3.5 4.7 0.8
Other ConsumerMfrs 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2
Industrial Mfrs 359 573 712 497
Resource-based 0.05 0.14 0.06 0.1
Value of Exports Monitored, by Industry Sector, BEP ,FOB Million US , 1995-1998.
Source: BETP/DTI
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Fi ur . i i or rri l , p of i i or nd ion, n
S p
14.4%
b
.c
%
4.d %
10.b
%
e
.f
%
15.0%
f
.e
%
4.g%
d .e
%f
.g%
e
.5%h
.4%
4.5% 4.0%
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
CAR
Il
i
p
i
q
Cag
ayan
CL
uzin
r
Tagal
i g
Bi
p
il
s t
i
qayas
C
t
is
ayas
E
t
is
ayas
W
uind
anao
N
uind
anao
S
uind
anao
C
uind
anao
Ca
raga
Domesti
verseas
Forei
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Strengths-- Established tourism destination; tourism potential expansion-- Unique physical characteristics/scenic beauty-- Mining tradition and potential-- Manufacturing/BEPZ?-- SMEs-- Agriculture? Fruits and vegetables? Cash crops?
-- Labor productivity?
Weaknesses-- Limited external and internal linkages (road, air); still dependent on
Metro Manila link/market-- Relatively difficult access to services
-- Dependence on external provinces for exports (port and airport)-- Physical environmental threat to tourism, and of tourism (also of mining)-- Basic service gaps (water, power, education, health)?-- Declining agriculture? Threat to tourism?-- Poor land use management-- Physical constraints on horizontal development
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Strategies
Improve access/linkages:
With Regions 1 and 2 (ports, airports, domestic/foreign markets) With NCR domestic/foreign market (NLE extension to Tarlac/Rosario) Lateral/internal (strategic e.g. Banaue-Bontoc)
Protect and expand tourism market (e.g. environmental integrity of traditionaldestinations, New Baguio?)
Hi-tech, environment-friendly mining?
Industrial development: increase/improve services to BEPZ(retention/expansion strategy); cluster development; niche industries? IT?
Education center (including tourism, upland agriculture research, IT-based?)
Process streamlining/remove transaction obstacles
Enhance/ensure security (image?)
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Understand the Economy Economic sectors/activities
-- Production, employment,other economic data(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country) ETC/S
Potentials, comparativeadvantages
Obstacles to growth
Understand the Poor Poverty Profile
-- Official poverty stats(compare w/ other provinces/rest of country)
-- Other poverty indicators (13),LPRAPs, local profiles
Obstacles to increased income/
access to goods & services
Economic DevAnalysis Plan
Poverty ProfileAnalysis
Economic activities of the poor
Involvement of poor in economy
Approaches and Policy Responses to PovertyApproaches and Policy Responses to Poverty
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Poverty Profile: Province
NSO data can be used as a basis for the poverty profile. Thesesurveys contain information that can proxy for quality of life.
> FIES (Family Income and Expenditure Survey)
> APIS (Annual Poverty Indicator Survey)> LFS (Labor Force Survey)
Some provinces conduct their own data collection. These aremostly information on the Minimum Basic Needs (MBN).
In general the available information about poverty at the sub-provincial level is minimal.
Source: Edillon, 2003
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Local Poverty Profile: MunicipalityBarangay
Area Dimension Indicator of Poverty
SURVIVAL Health 1 Ratio of children 0-5 yrs who died to sumof children aged 0-5 yrs
Nutrition 2 Ratio of children aged 0-5 yrs mal-
nourished to total children 0-5 yrsAccess basic amenities 3 Ratio ofHH w/o access safe water
4 Ratio ofHH w/o access sanitary toiletSECURITY Shelter 5 Ratio of HH squatting
6 Ratio ofHH living in makeshift housingPeace and order 7 Ratio of HH w/ members crime victims
ENABLING Income 8 Ratio of HH income < poverty threshold9 Ratio ofHH income < food threshold
10 Ratio ofHH eat < 3 meals/dayEmployment 11 Unemployment rateEducation 12 Elementary participation rate
13 Secondary participation rate
Source: Guidebook, 2002
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Figure . DPSectoral Shares
16%
1%
23%
5%
3%
53%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Ag/Fish/For
Mining
Mfg
Constn
Elec/Gas/ at
Ser ice
Figure A CAR RDPSectoral Shares
14%
7%
32%
12%
6%
30%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Ag/Fish/For
Mining
Mfg
Constn
E/G/
Ser ice
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Figure 24. National Employment Shares by
Industry Group, 2000
Agri/Fisv
/Forestry
37.5%
Wholesale/Retail
16.5%
Transpt/Stor/Com
7.3%
Fin/Ins/RE/Bus
2.4%
Com/Soc/Pers
20.3%
Manufacturing
10.1%
Mining/Quarrying
0.4%
Elect/Gas/Water
0.4%
Construction
5.2%
Figure 25A. Employment Shares by Industry
Group, AR, 2000
Agri/Fish/Forestry
56%
Transpt/Stor/Com
5%
Fin/Ins/RE/Bus
1%
Com/Soc/Pers
1w%
Wholesale/Retail
8%
Manufacturing
4%Mining/Quarrying
3%
Elect/Gas/Water
0%
Construction
5%
Figure 2 mpl yment f anufacturing Firms 0+ rkers
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Figure 2 . mpl yment f anufacturingFirms, 0+ rkers,
y Regi n,
0.4%1.1%0.8%3.1%2.
x
%0.8%0.y
%
8.7%
2.
%0.6%
21.1%
7.0%
0.3%0.8%0.y
%
49.3%
0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
300,000
350,000
400,000
450,000
500,000
NCR
CAR
Ilocos
C
g
yan
CLuzon
T
g
log
Bicol
WVisayas
CVisayas
EVisayas
WMind
NMind
M
ind
CMind
C
rag
ARMM
Figure 2 . Value fOutput P illi n) f anufacturingFirms,
0+ rkers, y Regi n,
0.1%0.8%2.
%2.8%2.6%0.6%
3.0%4.
%2.
%0.
%
26.
%
9.7%
0.
%0.
%2.1%
40.
%
0
50
100
150
200250
300
350
400
450
NCR
CAR
Ilocos
C
g
yan
CLuzon
T
g
log
Bicol
WVisayas
CVisayas
EVisayas
WMind
NMind
M
ind
CMind
C
rag
ARMM
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Employment Status (X1000),Selected Regions, 2002
StatusMetroManila
CAR Reg 3 Reg 4(2003)
Reg 7
HH Pop 15+ 7,241 912 5,144 6,240 3,651Labor ForceParticipation Rate
68.1% 70.2% 64.8% 64.8% 69.0%
UnemploymentRate
20.3% 10.5% 15.0% 13.7% 15.4%
UnderemploymentRate (% of Employed)
12.0% 17.1% 12.7% 11.3% 15.4%
Source: 2003 NSCB
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1997 2000Inc/Dec
%
1997 2000Inc/Dec
%
1997 2000Inc/Dec
%
Philippines 9,843 11,60 17.9 28.1 28.4 0.3 33.0 34.0 1.0
CR 13,201 15,678 18.8 4.8 5.7 0.9 6.5 7.6 1.2
Ilocos Norte 10,172 13,096 28.7 19.3 18.2 -1.1 25.1 22.8 -2.3
Ilocos Sur 11,046 13,455 21.8 28.7 30.6 1.9 35.2 35.4 0.2
La Union 11,002 13,121 19.3 37.5 33.7 -3.8 43.5 39.0 -4.5
Pangasinan 10,584 12,471 17.8 33.5 30.9 -2.5 39.5 37.2 -2.3
Batanes 11,841 12,976 9.6 8.7 7.5 -1.2 14.6 13.9 -0.7
Cagayan 8,690 10,119 16.4 25.3 20.3 -5.1 30.8 25.4 -5.5Isabela 9,235 11,626 25.9 31.8 30.2 -1.6 37.2 34.6 -2.6
N Vi caya 8,837 11,271 27.5 13.7 15.9 2.2 18.8 21.6 2.8
Quirino 9,233 10,665 15.5 33.8 31.4 -2.4 40.5 38.2 (2.3
Bataan 10,605 12,433 17.2 7.7 9.9 2.3 10.2 12.1 1.8
Bulacan 11,777 13,881 17.9 8.3 5.4 -2.9 10.7 7.5 -3.2
N Eci a 11,381 14,755 29.6 23.7 27.3 3.6 27.1 32.0 4.8
Pa panga 11,421 14,713 28.8 7.4 14.4 7.0 9.7 18.2 8.5
Tarlac 10,106 12,575 24.4 21.5 27.6 6.1 25.6 33.6 8.0
Za bales 10,266 12,716 23.9 16.6 23.5 6.9 22.3 28.0 5.7 Aurora 10,539 11,407 8.2 28.4 26.6 -1.9 34.4 33.2 -1.2
Abra 10,280 13,693 33.2 55.7 48.8 -6.9 58.9 58.6 -0.4
Benguet 11,788 14,185 20.3 18.9 14.1 -4.8 26.2 19.2 -7.0
Ifugao 11,225 11,852 5.6 57.7 55.6 -2.1 66.0 64.0 -2.1
Kalinga 10,307 11,439 11.0 38.7 38.8 0.1 44.3 45.1 0.7
Mt. Province 13,048 15,285 17.1 56.6 49.0 -7.6 64.7 57.6 -7.1
Apayao 9,563 11,278 17.9 27.5 26.1 -1.4 34.1 33.8 -0.4
Incidenceo Popula ion
(Percen
AnnualPerCapita
Po ertyThreshold
Incidenceo Fa ilies
(Percent)Pro ince
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Strategies
Improve access/linkages: With Regions 1 and 2 (ports,
airports, domestic/foreign markets) With NCR domestic/foreign market
(NLE extension to Tarlac/Rosario) Lateral/internal (strategic)
Protect and expand tourism market (e.g.
environmental integrity, New Baguio?)
Hi-tech, environment-friendly mining?
Industry development BEPZ retention/expansion: cluster
development; IT? niche industries?
Education center (including tourism,upland agriculture research, IT-based?)
Process streamlining/removetransaction obstacles (e.g. land titling)
Enhance/ensure security (image?)
Pro-Poor Strategies
Improve access/linkages: constructionand operations employment; relocationfrom disaster prone areas/disastermitigation
Local employment: service industry,
environment management; construction
Local employment
Skills training; microlending/credit toSMEs (e.g. tourism-oriented; specialtycrafts, cash crops/agri- and foodprocessing)
Rural school dev with road/accessimprovement; clustering? Scholarships
Land/property reform/IP rights?
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Choice of Anti-poverty instruments
Delineation of responsibilities between municipal andprovincial LGUs seemingly governed by two parameters:
> Coverage of impact: province = cross-municipalE.g. inter-municipal irrigation
Source: Edillon, 2003
> Point of influence: province = upstream (municipal = downstream)E.g. Animal breeding station (vs Livestock dispersal)
Tourism promotion (vs Regulation of tourism facilities)Techl assistance to coops (vs Organization of coops)R & D on plant diseases (vs Quality control of crops)
Economies of scale: health services
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Choice of Anti-poverty instruments
(KALAHI: Policy framework to address poverty in the Philippines)
ASSET REFORM Urban housing and land distribution Capital and infrastructure provision Agrarian reform and land distribution Priority access of small fisherfolk (to 15 km zone)
Grant of ancestral domain titles to IPs
IMPROVED ACCESS TOHUMAN DEVELOPMENT SERVICES Basic education, Health, Shelter Potable water
Sanitation facilities Electrification
ENHANCED PARTICIPATION IN GOVERNANCE & INSTITUTIONBUILDING Participation of civil society and basic sectors in policy-making at national and
local levels
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INCREASED SOCIAL PROTECTIONAND SECURITY FROM VIOLENCE Provision of social welfare and assistance: maintain minimum living standard,
reduce risk from violence, illness, disability, old age, unemployment,
resettlement, harvest failure Safety nets or mechanisms that mitigate adverse impacts of economic
dislocation, disasters and calamities, structural adjustments Social security that mitigates risk from retirement, unemployment, illness, and
disability
INCREASED EMPLOYMENT AND LIVELIHOOD OPPORTUNITIES Creation of rural jobs (agriculture and fishery) Improved access to credit facilities, microfinance services Entrepreneurial training
Choice of Anti-poverty instruments
(KALAHI: Policy framework to address poverty in the Philippines)
Measures and Factors of PovertyMeasures and Factors of Poverty
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Factors affecting Poverty: GROWTH
Education (complemented by infrastructure)
Policy environment (e.g. agriculture terms of trade)
Investment in land uality productivity (e.g. irrigation)
Agrarian reform
Governance (political dynasties hurt the poor)
Transportation (high transport costs are poverty traps) Source of growth
Source: R. Edillion, Framework on Growth and Development, Asia-Pacific Policy Center, Training Manual.
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1. Poverty reduction: an inherent bias ofLDPs
2. LPRAP: need-based and resource-based
3. Planning process: involve focused-targeting in terms of geographic
areas and basic sectors.4. LPRAP: cover a strategic and program mix of direct services,
institution building, advocacy and networking.
5. Planning process: municipal-led but barangay-based
6. Interventions: involve convergence or resource sharing
7. Planning process: involve a multi-sectoral focal team.
8. LPRAP: blueprint for action, advocacy, social marketing
Guiding Principles: Local Poverty Reduction Plan
(LPRAP)
Source: Guidebook, 2002
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1. Causes of poverty in the Philippines
> Lack of economic growth> Inability to benefit from growth> Vulnerability to shocks
Summary:
2. Overall approach
> Broad-based labor-intensive and inclusive growth> Good governance and accountability> Human and social development> Social protection> Special poverty reduction policies or direct anti-poverty
interventions such as land reform, micro credit, public employmentschemes
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1. Causes of poverty in the Philippines
> Lack of economic growth> Inability to benefit from growth> Vulnerability to shocks
Summary:
2. Overall approach
> Broad-based labor-intensive and inclusive growth> Good governance and accountability> Human and social development> Social protection> Special poverty reduction policies or direct anti-poverty
interventions such as land reform, micro credit, public employmentschemes
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Local PlanningContext
Economic DevAnalysis Plan
Anti-povertyinstruments
Organization &Implementation
Poverty ProfileAnalysis
VisionObjectives
SituationerPlanning analysisStrategies
Projectsprograms
Planimplementation
Summary:
3. Basic objective: pro-poor economic growth
> Fundamental to social development and development planning> Should not be confined to a single plan (e.g. LPRAP)> Will be subject to various levels of influence (e.g. global, national, local)
4. Integrate with provincial development planning
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Summary:
5. Need to link with city, municipality, barangay
> Because poverty reduction is best addressed and evaluated at thefamily/individual level
> Thru LPRAPs, specific programs/projects, etc
6. Selection and implementation of anti-poverty instrument(project program) is key
> Poverty reduction plan is not the end product
> Various approaches based on studies/experience are available to guideselection
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