pjt risk management process

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  • 09:00~09:30

    (30)

    09:30~09:50

    (20)

    09:50~10:40

    (50)

    1: Risk

    PM

    10:40~10:55

    (15) Coffee Break

    10:55~11:45

    (50)

    2: Crystal Ball

    11:50~12:40

    (50)

    3: Monte Carlo

    /

    12:40~14:00

    (80) Lunch

    14:00~14:50

    (50)

    4: BIS , NIM, /

    /

    14:55~15:45

    (50)

    5: R&D

    LG

    15:45~16:05

    (20) Coffee Break

    16:05~17:55

    (50)

    6: Monte Carlo Simulation Door Regulator

    /

    17:00~17:40

    (40)

    7: Crystal Ball 11.1

    3

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    6) Monte Carlo Simulation Door Regulator

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    7

  • Door Regulator Door Regulator

    System .

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    7) Crystal Ball 11.1

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    . 2008 9 Crystal Ball 11.1 , OptQuest ,

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    8

  • 2008 Korea Crystal Ball2008 Korea Crystal Ball2008 Korea Crystal Ball 2008 Korea Crystal Ball

    User ConferenceUser Conference

    Oracles EPM Product Strategy & Roadmap

    James Franklin VPEnterprise Performance Management and General Manager

    Crystal Ball GBU

  • Agenda

    What is Uncertainty Management?

    How does it relate to Enterprise Performance

    M t?Management?

    Best Practices Best Practices

    Finer Points

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    Beware the Naked Number

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    11

  • Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    What is UncertaintyyManagement?

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    12

  • Uncertainty Management

    Is the process for management to add

    value by optimally making decisions

    b d il bl d d ibased on available data and given

    inherent uncertainties in the businessinherent uncertainties in the business

    environment.

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    Applied Throughout the Enterprise

    Industries

    Academia/Education Finance/Banking

    Aerospace Government

    Applications

    Business Intelligence Portfolio Management

    Capacity Planning Project ManagementAerospace Government

    Biotech Healthcare/medical

    Chemicals Insurance

    Construction Manufacturing

    Capacity Planning Project Management

    Consulting Real Options

    Cost Estimation Risk Analysis

    Demand Forecasting Sales ForecastingConstruction Manufacturing

    Electronics Mining

    Energy/Utilities Oil and Gas

    E i i Ph ti l

    Demand Forecasting Sales Forecasting

    Design for Six Sigma Six Sigma/Quality

    Financial Analysis Strategic Finance

    Liti ti S l Ch i /I tEngineering Pharmaceutical

    Environmental Telecommunications

    Litigation Supply Chain/Inventory

    Marketing Valuation/M&A

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    13

  • Top Enterprises are Managing Uncertainty

    Aerospace

    Manufacturing

    Oil and Gas

    Pharmaceutical

    Utilities

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    Global Usage in Business Schools and Universities

    Over 700 business schools and universities globally and dozens of textbooksdozens of textbooks

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    14

  • Success Stories

    Leading Aerospace & Defense Company

    Used Crystal Ball in the project selection process to maximize returns on project portfolio within budget and

    resource constraints.

    Achieved multi-million dollar savings (10% of budget).

    Foremost Disk Drive Manufacturer

    Developed an integrated model strategy within its DFSSDeveloped aan integrated mmodel strategy wwithin its DDFSSprocess to produce significant advantages in time- and

    resources-to-market and reliability.

    Decreases Time to Market (TTM) from 48 to 12 man-months.

    International technology, media and financial services companygy, p y

    Solved a tolerance stack problem for floating fasteners deemed unsolvable for 40 years.

    Reduces costs by opening tolerances by 3X.

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    How an Executive can Think in Ranges

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    15

  • Know What Matters

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    How much capital do I need?

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    16

  • How much Capital do I need?

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    The General Management Problem

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    17

  • Data to Decisions: Delivering on Insight to Action

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    UM and EPM

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    18

  • Oracles EPM Vision: Extend Operational Excellence to Management Excellenceg

    Competitive

    Advantage

    MANAGEMENT EXCELLENCE

    Time

    OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    Time

    ERP Has Leveled the Playing Field Creating Operational Efficienciesp

    Firm Infrastructure

    Human Resource Management

    T h l D l t

    Invest to Retire

    Technology Development

    ProcurementDevelop to Release

    Inbound Operations

    Marketing &

    SService

    Outbound

    L i ti

    Procure to Pay

    O d t C hLogisticsOperations

    SalesService

    Logistics

    Source to Procure

    Order to Cash

    Based on Michael E. Porters Value Chain

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    19

  • To Achieve Management Excellence

    Rationalize YourSMART

    Rationalize YourManagement Systems

    Leverage Best PracticesAGILE

    Leverage Best Practicesand Advanced Integration

    ALIGNEDShare Insights Across the Extended EnterpriseALIGNED Extended Enterprise

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    Connecting Management ProcessesStrategy to Success Framework

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    20

  • Integrating Key Management ProcessesOracle EPM System

    EXTERNAL REPORTING

    FINANCIAL MODELING

    PREDICTIVE MODELING

    INTEGRATED BUSINESS PLANNING

    PROFITABILITY & COST MANAGEMENT

    SCORECARDING

    MONITORING, ANALYSIS & REPORTING

    FINANCIAL REPORTING

    BI REPORTING TOOLS & APPLICATIONS

    OLAP

    DATA QUALITY, DATA INTEGRATION & MASTER DATA

    APPLICATION & METADATA MANAGEMENT

    Copyright 2008, Oracle and / or its affiliates. All rights reserved.

    Oracles Enterprise Performance Management System, Fusion Edition

    EPM Workspace

    BI A li ti

    EPM WWorkspace

    BI A li tiPerformance Management

    BI AApplicationsBI AApplicationsg

    Applications

    Business Intelligence Foundation

    Fusion Middleware

    OLTP & ODSS t

    Data WarehouseD t M t

    SAP, Oracle, Siebel,P l S ft C t