optimal investment-reinsurance with dynamic risk constraint and regime switching
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Optimal investment-reinsurance withdynamic risk constraint and regimeswitchingJingzhen Liu a , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu a , Tak Kuen Siu b & Wai-KiChing ca Department of Applied Mathematics , The Hong KongPolytechnic University , Hong Kong , PR Chinab Department of Applied Finance and Actuarial Studies, Facultyof Business and Economics , Macquarie University , Sydney ,Australiac Department of Mathematics , University of Hong Kong , HongKong , PR ChinaPublished online: 10 Aug 2011.
To cite this article: Jingzhen Liu , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu , Tak Kuen Siu & Wai-Ki Ching (2013) Optimalinvestment-reinsurance with dynamic risk constraint and regime switching, Scandinavian ActuarialJournal, 2013:4, 263-285, DOI: 10.1080/03461238.2011.602477
To link to this article: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2011.602477
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Original Article
Optimal investment-reinsurance with dynamic risk constraintand regime switching
JINGZHEN LIUa, KA-FAI CEDRIC YIUa*, TAK KUEN SIUb
and WAI-KI CHINGc
aDepartment of Applied Mathematics, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University,
Hong Kong, PR ChinabDepartment of Applied Finance and Actuarial Studies, Faculty of Business and
Economics, Macquarie University, Sydney, AustraliacDepartment of Mathematics, University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, PR China
(Accepted June 2011)
We study an optimal investment�reinsurance problem for an insurer who faces dynamic risk constraint
in a Markovian regime-switching environment. The goal of the insurer is to maximize the expected
utility of terminal wealth. Here the dynamic risk constraint is described by the maximal conditional
Value at Risk over different economic states. The rationale is to provide a prudent investment�reinsurance strategy by taking into account the worst case scenario over different economic states.
Using the dynamic programming approach, we obtain an analytical solution of the problem when the
insurance business is modeled by either the classical Cramer�Lundberg model or its diffusion
approximation. We document some important qualitative behaviors of the optimal investment�reinsurance strategies and investigate the impacts of switching regimes and risk constraint on the
optimal strategies.
Keywords: optimal reinsurance and investment; regime-switching; utility maximization; dynamic
programming; maximal conditional Value at Risk (MCVaR); regime-switching Hamilton�Jacobi�Bellman (HJB) equations
1. Introduction
Reinsurance provides insurance companies a mean to manage and control their exposures
to risk. Insurance companies can use reinsurance to transfer parts of their risk exposures
to reinsurance companies so as to protect themselves from undesirable or unexpected
potential large losses. An effective use of reinsurance may reduce the volatility of the
insurers’ earnings and enhance their profitabilities. The proportional reinsurance and the
excess-of-loss reinsurance are two popular types of reinsurance policies. They have been
investigated extensively in the actuarial literature. Schmidli (2001, 2002) considered the
proportional reinsurance and determined an optimal proportional reinsurance strategy by
*Corresponding author. E-mail: [email protected]
Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, 2013
Vol. 2013, No. 4, http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/03461238.2011.602477263–285,
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minimizing the probability of ruin. Taksar & Markussen (2003) extended the analysis
using a diffusion model with investment and proportional reinsurance. Schmidt (2004)
dealt with optimal proportional reinsurance for dependent lines of business. Some other
works on optimal proportional reinsurance include Asmussen & Taksar (1997), Taksar
(2000), Højgaard & Taksar (2004), Promislow & Young (2005), and the references therein.
Traditionally insurance companies invest their assets in fixed interest securities.
Nowadays, due to the rapid convergence of insurance and financial markets, many
insurance companies are actively involving in investment activities in capital markets.
They invest their assets in shares, indices, commodities and also risky derivatives. Some of
them even become major players in trading activities of some sophisticated structured
products, such as credit derivatives. Some investment decisions of insurance companies
become more and more complicated. Some quantitative, or scientific, methods may
provide insurance companies with systematic ways to make justified investment decisions.
In particular, an optimal investment policy obtained from a quantitative asset allocation
model may be helpful for insurance companies to make their investment decisions.
Different from portfolio selection problems studied in the finance literature, an optimal
investment problem of an insurance company needs to take into account of both financial
and insurance risks. More specifically, one needs to build stochastic models for the price
dynamics of the investment assets and the insurance risk process. Optimal investment
problems of insurance companies have been studied in the actuarial literature. Compound
Poisson risk processes and diffusion-based risk processes are two major classes of
insurance risk processes considered in studying optimal investment problems. Some works
include Browne (1995, 1997, 1999), Hipp & Plum (2000), Hipp & Taksar (2000), Liu &
Yang (2004), Yang & Zhang (2005), and Bai & Guo (2008).
Maximizing profits and controlling risks are two equally important goals of insurance
companies. These two goals should be taken into account in determining optimal
investment strategies of insurance companies. To control and manage risks, the first step
is to describe and quantify risk. Various quantitative risk measures have been proposed in
the finance and insurance literature. Among these measures, Value at Risk (VaR) is widely
adopted in both finance and insurance industries. However, it is well-known that VaR is
not subadditive. In other words, allocating assets in two risky positions can increase risk.
Some alternative risk measures have been proposed in the literature. Conditional Value at
Risk (CVaR) is an example. It is defined as the average loss when the loss exceeds the VaR
level. When the loss distribution is continuous, CVaR is sub-additive. When the loss
distribution is discrete, an adjustment term is required to make CVaR sub-additive.
Quantitative risk measures have been adopted to study optimal reinsurance and
investment problems. An optimal reinsurance is investigated by Cai & Tan (2007), Cai
et al. (2008), and Tan et al. (2009). While taking VaR as a risk constraint, Kostadinova
(2007) investigated an optimal investment problem for an insurer. For the VaR
approximation, the constant strategy was used by Kostadinova (2007). Over a long risk
horizon, it seems rather not practical since VaR is invariably computed under the premise
that portfolio composition remains unchanged over the risk horizon. Indeed, in practice,
portfolio composition is adjusted frequently and future portfolio adjustments are not
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anticipated. It seems more appropriate to consider a risk measure dynamically which
allows changes in portfolio composition over time.
In this paper, we study an optimal investment�reinsurance problem of an insurer who
faces a ‘dynamic’ risk constraint in a Markovian regime-switching environment. More
specially, we consider a Markovian regime-switching model for the price dynamics of a
risky investment security so as to incorporate the impact of structural changes in econo-
mic conditions on price dynamics and optimal asset choices. For example, a Markovian
regime-switching model modulated by a two-state Markov chain can distinguish the
impact of a good economy on asset prices from that of an economy experiencing crisis
on asset prices. This distinction seems important given the recent global financial crisis.
The object of the insurer is to maximize the expected utility of terminal wealth at a finite
future time horizon. Using the optimal control theory (see, for example, Teo et al. (1980)
and Ahmed & Teo (1981)), and the dynamic programming principle (Flemming & Soner
(1993)), we derive a regime-switching Hamilton�Jacobi�Bellman (HJB) equation and give
an analytical expression of the optimal strategy for the insurer. In practice, portfolio can
only be adjusted discretely over time due to the presence of transaction costs and other
operating costs. So it is not unreasonable to assume that there is no change in the portfolio
composition over a short time duration when we evaluate the risk constraint in this time
duration, see, for example, Yiu (2004). Here we use the maximal conditional Value at Risk,
(MCVaR), as the risk constraint. This constraint is allowed to changeover time. However,
for any fixed time, it is evaluated under the assumption that there is no change in the
portfolio composition in a short duration. We investigate the impact of the risk constraint
on the optimal portfolio strategy as well as the impact of the changing economic conditions
on the optimal insurance demand.
This paper is structured as follows. In Section 2, we first describe the price dynamics of
the model and formulate the optimal investment�reinsurance problem in the classical
Cramer�Lundberg model. Then we derive the regime-switching HJB equation and the
risk constraint. The similar problem under a diffusion approximation to the classical risk
model is discussed in Section 3. In Section 4, we present numerical experiments and
document the effects of the risk constraint and changing economic environment. The final
section summarizes the paper.
2. The classical case
Firstly, the surplus process of an insurer in the classical Cramer�Lundberg model is given
by
dX (t)�cdt�dC(t);X (0)�x;
8<: (2:1)
where X(0) is the initial surplus, or capital, and
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C(t)�XN(t)
i�1
Yi (2:2)
is the aggregate insurance claim process.
We assume N(t) is a Poisson process with intensity parameter l, which represents the
number of claims up to time t; for each i�1,2, . . .,Yi represents the size of the ith-claim.
As usual, we suppose that {Yi} is a sequence or independent and identically distributed
(i.i.d.) random variables with common distribution F as a random variable Y, which has a
finite mean. That is, E[Yi]�EYB�, for i�1, 2 . . ..
We assume that the premium is paid to the insurer continuously over time and that the
premium rate c is proportional to the expected payout. The premium rate c is supposed to
be evaluated using the expected value principle with risk loading. In particular,
c�(1�u)lE[Y ];
where u�0 is the relative safety loading.
We assume here that the company is allowed to invest its surplus in the capital market
and to purchase proportional reinsurance.
2.1. Price dynamics in the capital market
We consider a continuous-time capital market, where trading activities occur in a finite
time horizon [0, T], with TB�. Denote the time horizon [0, T] by T : To describe
randomness, we consider a complete probability measure space (V;F ;P); where P is a
real-world probability. This probability space is assumed to be rich enough to incorporate
random fluctuations in financial prices, insurance risk processes, and economic
conditions.
We model the evolution of the state of an economy over time by a continuous-time,
finite-state, Markov chain Z:�fZ(t)gt �T with state space Z:�(z1; z2; . . . ; zN ): We
suppose that the chain is observable and that the states of the chain represents proxies
for observable macro-economic factors, such as gross domestic product (GDP) and
consumer price index (CPI). Without loss of generality, as in Elliott et al. (1994), we
identify the state space of the chain as a finite set of unit vectors o:�fe1; e2; . . . ; eNg;where ei�(0; . . . ; 1; . . . ; 0)? �RN ; for each i�1; 2; . . . ;N; and ? represents the transpose
of a matrix, or in particular, a vector. Suppose Q is the rate matrix, or the generator,
[qij]i;j�1;2;...;N of the chain Z: The statistical properties of the chain Z are completely
specified by the rate matrix Q: Then, with the canonical representation o of the state space
of the chain, Elliott et al. (1994) obtained the following semi-martingale dynamics for the
chain Z:
Z(t)�Z(0)�gt
0
QZ(s)ds�M(t): (2:3)
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Here fM(t)gt �T is an RN-valued martingale with respect to the filtration generated by Z
under P:For each t � T ; let m(t) and s(t) be the expected rate of return and the volatility of a
risky asset S at time t. We suppose that both m(t) and s(t) are modulated by the chain Z
as:
m(t):�hm;Z(t)i;s(t):�hs;Z(t)i; (2:4)
where m:�(m1;m2; . . . ;mN)? �RN and s:�(s1;s2; . . . ;sN)? �RN
with mI�0 and sI�0, for each i�1,2, . . . ,N the brackets h�; �i represent the scalar
product in RN .
Suppose W :�fW (t)gt �T is a standard Brownian motion on (V;F ;P)with respect to
fF (t)gt �T ; the P-augmentation of the natural filtration generated by fW (t)gt�T : The price
process fS(t)gt �T of the risky asset S is assumed to be
dS(t)�S(t)(m(t)dt�s(t)dW (t)); S(0)�s: (2:5)
For each t � T ; let G(t):�FZ(t)�F(t), an enlarged information set generated by FZ(t) and
F(t): Write G:�fG(t)gt�T :
2.2. The reinsurance strategy
If the risk exposure of the insurance company is fixed, then the reinsurer pays q(t) of each
claim while the rest is paid by the cedent. Here we suppose that the proportional
reinsurance process q:�fq(t)gt �T is a G-predictable process with 05q(t)51; for t � T : To
this end, the cedent diverts part of the premiums to the reinsurer at the rate of (1�b)q(t)lEY with a proportional loading of b�u:
2.3. The problem formulation and the regime-switching HJB equation
Let p:�fp(t)gt �T be a portfolio process, where p(t) is the amount of wealth invested in
the risky asset S at time t, the rest put in the risk free asset with zero interest rate. Suppose
that no short-selling is allowed, (i.e. (p(t)]0; t � T ): The process P is an G-predictable,
R-valued process. Here, the investor makes his/her portfolio and reinsurance decisions
according to information about market prices and observable states of the economy. This
is different from some traditional optimal investment�reinsurance models, where only the
price information is taken into account in determining the optimal investment�reinsurance decisions.
Let fX (t)gt �T be the wealth process of the agent with initial wealth X(0)�x�0 and the
strategy (p,q):�(p(t),q(t)). Then the evolution of the wealth process over time is governed
by the following equation:
dX (t)� [m(t)p(t)�c�(1�b)lq(t)E[Y ]]dt
�s(t)p(t)dW (t)�(1�q(t))dC(t)
X (0)�x: (2:6)
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A reinsurance-investment strategy (P, q¯) is said to be admissible if
E
�g
T
0
s2(t)p2(t)dt
�B�:
05q51: (2:7)
We denote the set of admissible strategies by U:Suppose U(�):R� 0 R� is a twice continuously differentiable, strictly increasing and
concave utility function. Then we state our main problem as follows.
Problem 2.1 The optimal investment�reinsurance problem of the insurer is to select an
G-predictable control process (p, q¯) so as to maximize the expected utility of terminal
wealth. That is, to solve the following maximization problem:
V (t; x; z)�supu �U
E[U(X (T))½X (t)�x;Z(t)�z]:
Here V (t; x; z) is the value function.
Let V(t; x):� (V (t; x; e1);V (t; x; e2); . . . ;V (t; x; eN ))? �RN : We define the operators
L(p;q)V (t; x; ei)�([m(t)p(t)�c�(1�b)lq(t)E(Y )])@V
@x
�1
2s2(t)p2(t)
@2V
@x2�l(E[V (t; x�(1�q(t))Y ;Z(t))]�V (t; x;Z(t)))
�hV(t; x);QZ(t)i; for i�1; . . . ;N: (2:8)
Then by the dynamic programming principle in stochastic optimal control (see Flemming
& Soner (1993)), it can be shown that the value function V satisfies the following regime-
switching HJB equation:
@V
@t�sup
(p;q)
L(p;q)V (t; x; ei)�0: (2:9)
Then the following verification theorem is standard (see Sotomayor & Cadenillas (2009)).
We state it here without giving the proof.
THEOREM 2.1 Suppose, for each i�1; 2; � � � ;N;V (t; x; ei) � C1;2(T �R) and V (t; x; z) is a
solution of the HJB equation (2.9). Then
1. V (t; x; z) is the value function of the optimization problem of the insurer;
2. Assume that the Markov control (p�; q�) satisfies the following equation:
@V
@t�L(p�;q�)V (t; x; ei)�0: (2:10)
Then (p�; q�) is optimal. I
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In this work we consider the following exponential utility:
U(x)��e�ax
a: (2:11)
We further assume that the chain has two states, (i.e. N�2) and that the rate matrix Q of
the chain is given by:
Q:��p p
p �p
� �: (2:12)
Here p � (0; 1): Note that the results derived here can be easily extended to the general case
where N�2 and a general rate matrix Q: However, the two-state chain is good enough to
distinguish a ‘Good’ economy and one experiencing crisis.
To simplify the notation, we write Vi:�V (t; x; ei) and V:�(V1;V2; � � � ;VN)? �RN : In
this case, the value functions Vi, i�1,2, over different states satisfy the following pair of
coupled HJB equations:
@Vi
@t�sup
(p;q)
[(c�mip(t)�(1�b)lq(t)E[Y ])@Vi
@x�
1
2s2
i p2(t)
@2Vi
@x2
�l(E[Vi(t; x�(1�q(t))Y )]�Vi(t; x))]
�hV;Qeii�0; i�1; 2; (2:13)
with the terminal condition:
Vi(T ; x)��e�ax
a: (2:14)
Assume that Equation (2.13) has a smooth solution with Vi;x�0 and Vi;xxB0; then we
consider the following trial function:
Vi(t; x)��e�ax
ahi(t); i�1; 2: (2:15)
Substituting it into Equation (2.13), then
sup(p;q)
[([c�mip(t)�(1�b)lq(t)E[Y ]])@Vi
@x�
1
2s2
i p2(t)
@2Vi
@x2
�l(E[Vi(t; x�(1�q(t))Y )]�Vi(t; x))]
is reduced to
sup(p;q)
�c�
la�
�mip(t)�
1
2as2
i p2(t)
��
�(1�b)q(t)lE[Y ]�
la
E[ea(1�q(t))Y ]
��e�axhi(t):
Define, for each i�1, 2,
Ci(p(t); q(t)):��mip(t)�
1
2as2
i p2(t)
��
�(1�b)q(t)lE[Y ]�
la
E[ea(1�q(t))Y ]
�; (2:16)
then we have the following result.
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LEMMA 2.1 1.Ci(p(t); q(t)) is concave in (p(t); q(t)) .
2. Let q0(t) be the solution of
(1�b)E[Y ]�E[ea(1�q(t))Y Y ]�0; (2:17)
and denote
p(i;�)(t)�mi
as2i
;
q(i;�)(t)�
q0(t); if q0(t)�0;
0; if q0(t)50;
8>><>>:
(2:18)
respectively. Then Ci(p(t); q(t)) is increasing, (decreasing), in the interval [0; p(i;�)];
([p(i;�);�)); with respect to p, and increasing, (decreasing),in the interval [0; q(i;�)];
([q(i;�); 1]) with respect to q, respectively.
Since q0(t)B1 from Equation (2.17), obviously, Equation (2.18) gives the optimal
condition. Substituting Equations (2.18) and (2.15) into Equation (2.13), the pair of coupled
HJBs is then reduced to the following pair of coupled ordinary differential equations (ODES).
h?1(t)�A1(t)h1(t)�ph2(t)�0;
h?2(t)�A2(t)h2(t)�ph1(t)�0; (2:19)
where
Ai(t)��a(c�(1�b)lq(i;�)(t)E[Y ])�(mi � ri)
2
2s2i
�l(M(1�q(i;�)(t))Y (a)�1)�p; i�1; 2 (2:20)
with terminal conditions:
h1(T)�h2(T)�1: (2:21)
Here M(1�q(i;�)(t))Y is the moment generating function of (1�q(i;�)(t))Y : The solution of the
optimal reinsurance-investment problem of the insurer in the exponential utility case is
summarized in the following theorem.
THEOREM 2.2 Let (p(i;�); q(i;�)) be given by Equation (2.18), h�i (t); i�1, 2, be the solution
of Equation (2.19). Then (p(i;�); q(i;�)) is an optimal investment�reinsurance strategy and
V �i (x; t)��
e�ax
ah�
i (t); i�1; 2:
is the value function.
Proof: The result follows from THEOREM 2.1. I
2.4. The problem with MCVaR constraint
2.4.1. MCVaR constraint. In this subsection, we consider the optimal reinsurance-
investment problem in the presence of the risk constraint given by the maximal
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conditional VaR. We adopt a modified version of the approach considered in Yiu (2004)
to solve the problem.
Before we discuss the risk constraint for the optimal reinsurance-investment problem,
we first give a brief introduction to the background and definition of the maximal
conditional VaR we adopted here. Indeed, the risk measure we used here and the
technique of its derivation follows from those for the CVaR in Rockafellar & Uryasev
(2000).
Let g(x, y) be the loss from a portfolio x with a loss probability density function p(y).
The probability of g(x, y) not exceeding a threshold level, say h, is given by
M(x;h)�gg(x;y)5h
p(y)dy: (2:22)
This quantity plays a fundamental role in defining VaR and CVaR.
For any given probability k � (0; 1); VaR and CVaR are defined by:
VaR:�minfh½M(x;h)]kg; (2:23)
and
CVaR:�1
1 � k g g(x;y)]VaR
g(x; y)p(y)dy; (2:24)
respectively.
The technique adopted in Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000) evaluates VaR and optimizes
CVaR simultaneously. The key idea of their approach is to characterize VaR and CVaR in
terms of the function defined by
F(x;h):�h�1
1 � k g [g(x; y)�h]�p(y)dy; (2:25)
where [x]��x if x]0 and 0 otherwise.
By THEOREM 1 in Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000), F(x; a)is convex and continuously
differentiable in a, and
CVaR�minh
F(x;h): (2:26)
Let
A:�arg minh
F(x;h): (2:27)
Then VaR is given by the left endpoint of A. For further details about this technique,
interested readers may refer to Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000).
We suppose that there is no change in the portfolio composition but with a worst case
scenario in that the one claim takes place in a short time duration [t; t�Dt): Then
Xi(t�Dt)�X (t)�(p(t)mi�c�(1�b)lq(t)EY )Dt
�p(t)siW (Dt)�(1�q)Y : (2:28)
Denote the loss X (t)�X (t�Dt)by L(t) and denote
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�f[pmi�c�(1�b)lqE(Y )]Dt�psix�(1�q)yg (2:29)
by gi(p; q;h; x; y): Let f(x) and g(y) denote the probability density of standard normal
distribution and the loss Y, respectively. Denote
Fi(p; q;h): �h�1
1 � k g�
0g
�
��
(gi(p; q;h; x; y)�h)�f (x)dxg(y)dy: (2:30)
DEFINITION 2.1 The maximal conditional VaR (MCVaR) is defined by:
MCVaR(p; q): �maxi�1;2
CVaRi(p; q):�maxi�1;2
infh
Fi(p; q;h): (2:31)
Indeed, MVaR gives a conservative way to evaluate risk. It takes into account the case
when the economy transits to a Bad state. Furthermore, it follows from Equation (2.29) to
Equation (2.31) that MCVaR is coherent in the sense of Artzner et al. (1999). By
exploiting the convexity property, the minimization of the MCVaR can be done by some
standard techniques, see, for example, Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000).
REMARK 2.1 The second expression in Equation (2.31) follows from Theorem 2 in
Rockafellar Uryasev (2000), which is used later for minimizing the risk.1
2.4.2. The problem with risk constraint. Suppose the risk is constrained not to exceed a
given level R, i.e.
MCVaR(p; q)5R; (2:32)
and write C for the set of (p, q) satisfying the above constraint (2.32).
Then the optimal investment-insurance problem of the insurer becomes:
Problem 2.2
V (t; x; z)�supu �U
E[U(X (T))½X (t)�x;Z(t)�z];
subject to the constraint Equation (2.32).
With MCVaR imposed as the risk constraint, we still use the trial function Equation
(2.14), then
sup(p;q) �C
[(c�mip(t)�(1�b)lq(t)E[Y ])@Vi
@x
�1
2s2
i p2(t)
@2Vi
@x2�lE[Vi(t; x�(1�q(t))Y )]] (2:33)
is reduced to:
sup(p;q)�C
�mip(t)�
1
2as2
i p2(t)�
�(1�b)lq(t)E[Y ]�
la
E[ea(1�q)Y ]
��: (2:34)
1 As pointed in Rockafellar & Uryasev (2000), to work directly with the function CVaR(pi, q), may be hard to
do because of the nature of its definition in terms of the k-VaR value and the often troublesome mathematical
properties of that value.
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Obviously, if the constraint is inactive, the optimal strategy follows that without
constraint. Suppose that the constraint set is not empty.
THEOREM 2.3 (a) There exists (p(i;�)� ; qi;�
� ) � C such as
Ci(p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� )� sup(p;q) �C
Ci(p; q): (2:35)
Proof. The existence is obvious from the concavity and the fact that Ci(p; q) goes to
infinity if p goes to negative infinity. I
THEOREM 2.4 Let p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
�
�be given by Equation (2.35), h̆
(�)i (t); i�1; 2 be the solution
of Equation (3.12) with
Ai(t)��[a�(1�b)lq(i;�)� (t)E(Y )]a�
1
2s2
i (p(i;�)� )2a2
�fi(M(Y�q(i;�)
� (Y ))(a)�1)�p; i�1; 2 (2:36)
Then (p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� ) is the optimal investment�reinsurance strategy and
V̆(�)i (x; t)��
e�ax
ah̆
(�)i (t); i�1; 2:
is the value function.
Proof. From the optimal condition and the construction of the trial function, it is also
easily verified by THEOREM 2.1 that V̆(�)i (x; t) coincides with the value function and
(p̆(�)i ; q̆(i;�)) is the optimal strategy with constraint. I
With the objective function Equation (2.34) and the constraint Equation (2.32),
(p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� ) can be obtained by using the standard method of Lagrangian multiplier, see
(Yiu (2004)) for the details, the procedure of which is standard. Then we adopt the
fmincon function from Matlab optimization tool to solve the problem.
3. The diffusion approximation of the claim process
In this section, we use the surplus model considered in Promislow & Young (2005). The
accumulated claim process C(t) is then modeled as follows:
dC(t)�adt�bdW0(t); (3:1)
where W0(t) is another standard Brownian motion defined on (V;F ;P); which is
independent of W(t).
With u being the safely loading, the constant premium rate is supposed to be
c:�(1�u)a:
Let fXtgt �T be the surplus process of the insurer. Then without investment, the surplus
process of the insurer is governed by
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X (t)�cdt�dC(t)
�uadt�bdW0(t);X (0)�x;
8<: (3:2)
where x is the initial capital.
We now incorporate both investment and (proportional) reinsurance in our formula-
tion. With the combined reinsurance-investment strategy u(t):�(q(t); p(t)) in Equation
(3.2), the wealth process fX u(t)½t � T g of the insurer is governed by
dX u(t) �(p(t)m(t)dt�(u�bq(t))adt�b(1�q(t))dW0(t)
�p(t)s(t)dW (t)
X (0) �x;
8<: (3:3)
Set p̆(t):�(1�q(t); p(t)) . Then a strategy u(t): �(q(t); p(t)) , (or equivalently, p̆(t); t � T ;
is said to be admissible if
1. it is G-progressively measurable;
2. fT
0ks̃T(t)p̃(t)k2
dtB� P-a:s:;3. q(t) � [0; 1]; �t � T :
Write U for the space of such admissible strategies u.
3.1. HJB and optimal conditions
We still consider Problem 2.1. Again using the dynamic programming principle, the value
functions Vi, i�1, 2, over different states satisfy the following pair of coupled HJB
equations:
@Vi
@t� sup
p(t);q(t)
�(u�bq(t))a
@Vi
@x�mip(t)
@Vi
@x�
1
2[(1�q(t))2b2
�s2i p
2(t)]@2Vi
@x2�hV;Qeii
��0; i�1; 2; (3:4)
with terminal conditions:
Vi(T ; x)�U(x): (3:5)
Consequently, the optimal conditions are then given by
p(i)(t)��miVi;x
s2i Vi;xx
; (3:6)
q(i)(t)�
1�baVi;x
b2Vi;xx
; if 1�baVi;x
b2Vi;xx
]0;
0; if 1�baVi;x
b2Vi;xx
50:
8>>><>>>:
(3:7)
For the exponential utility function defined by Equation (2.11), we consider the following
trial function:
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Vi(x; t)��e�ax
ahi(t); i�1; 2: (3:8)
Substituting the trial function above into Equation (3.4), we have from Equations (3.6)
and (3.7) that
pi: �mi
as2i
; (3:9)
qi: �1�
ba
b2a; if 051�
ba
b2a51;
0; if 1�ba
b2aB0;
8>>><>>>:
�max
�1�
ba
b2a; 0
�: (3:10)
Plugging Equations (3.9) and (3.10) into Equation (3.4), the pair of coupled HJBs is then
reduced to the following pair of coupled ODEs:
h?1(t)�B1(t)h1(t)�ph2(t)�0;h?2(t)�B2(t)h2(t)�ph1(t)�0;
(3:11)
where
Bi(t)��a(u�bq)a�1
2a2
�(1�q)2b2�
m2i
2s2i
a2
��p; i�1; 2 (3:12)
with terminal conditions:
h1(T)�h2(T)�1: (3:13)
Then as the classical case, we have the following results.
THEOREM 3.1 Let p(i;�) and q(i;�) be given by Equations (3.9), (3.10), respectively, and
h�i (t); i�1, 2, be the solution of the ODEs Equation (3.11). Then (p(i;�); q(i;�)) is the optimal
investment�reinsurance strategy and
V �i (t; x)��
e�ax
ah�
i (t); i�1; 2:
are the value functions over the two states.
3.2. The CVaR constraint
For a short time interval [t; t�Dt]; we give an approximation to the loss variable.
DX (t)� [p(t)(m(t))�(u�bq(t))a]Dt�b(1�q(t))W 0(Dt)
�p(t)s(t)W (Dt)
X0�x:
8<: (3:14)
The loss variable is then given by:
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�f[p(t)mi�(u�bq(t))a]Dt�b(1�q(t))W 0(Dt)�p(t)siW (Dt)g: (3:15)
Now
gi(p(t); q(t);h; x; y): ��f[p(t)mi�(u�bq(t))a]Dt�b(1�q(t))x�p(t)siyg; (3:16)
where g(y) is also the density of standard normal distribution. Now the MCVaR
constraint can be written as
�f[p(t)(mi)�(u�bq(t))a]Dt�c(k)
ffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi(b(1�q(t)))2Dt�(p(t)si)
2Dt
q5R; (3:17)
for i�1, 2, where c(k)�ffiffiffiffiffiffi2p
p(exp(er f�1(2k�1))2(1�k))�1, see Rockafellar & Uryasev
(2000) for the details.
When the risk constraint is imposed, we still assume that the value function has the
form �e�gx
gh(t); and let
Ci(p; q):�(u�bq)a�mip�1
2a[(1�q)2b2�s2
i p2]: (3:18)
The following Theorems are just similar to Theorems 2.3 and 2.4, respectively.
THEOREM 3.2 There exists ((p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� )) such that
Ci((p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� ))� sup(p;I) �C
Ci(p; q): (3:19)
THEOREM 3.3 Let (p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� ) be given by Equation (3.19), h̆�i (t); i�1, 2 be the solution
of Equation (3.11) with
Bi(t)��a�
(u�bq(i;�)� )a�mip
(i;�)�
��
1
2a2
�(1�q
(i;�)� )2b2�
1
2a2(p(i;�)
� )2
��p; (3:20)
for i�1, 2.
Then (p(i;�)� ; q(i;�)
� ) is the optimal investment�reinsurance strategy and
V̆(�)i (x; t)��
e�ax
ah̆
(�)i (t); i�1; 2:
is the value function.
4. Numerical examples
In this section, we present some numerical results and we employ the f mincon function in
Matlab. In this case, the objective is given by
s:t:supCi(p; q);MVaR5R
05q51
(4:1)
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Note that we use Fi(p; q;h)5R; i�1; 2; instead of MVaR(p; q)5R for the numerical
experiments. Indeed, they coincide with each other for the problem formulation and the
former can simplify the calculation.
4.1. The classical model
In this subsection, we assume that the loss has the exponential distribution with density
function
g(y)�ge�gy; y]0: (4:2)
Consequently, without the risk constraint,
p(i;�)�mi
s2i a
;
q(i;�)�1�
g�gffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
1 � ap
g; if 1�
g�gffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
1 � ap
g]0;
0; if 1�
g�gffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
1 � ap
gB0
8>>>>>>>><>>>>>>>>:
�max
�1�
g�gffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffiffi
1 � ap
g; 0
�(4:3)
The MCVaR is given by
MCVaR(p; q)�maxi�1;2
infh
�h�
1
1 � k g�
0g
�
��
(gi(p; q;h; x; y)�h)�f (x)dxg(y)dy
�; (4:4)
With gi(p; q;h; x; y) defined by Equation (2.29).
Example 4.1 In this example, we consider the risky investment and proportional
reinsurance problem when MCVaR is imposed.
. The effect of the risk constraint.
Hypothetical parameters: m1�m2�0.2, s1�s2�0.3, l�0.1, a�0.1, b�0.69,
g�0.2, R �[3,8.2459], dt�0.1 In this example, we examine how the risky
investment and proportional reinsurance vary with the constraint level when
there are no regimes. For the set of parameters, the constraint is active when R �
[3,8.2459].
Figures 1 and 2 plot the risky investment and proportional reinsurance against the
risk constraint level, respectively. When R is small (i.e. a small risk tolerance is
allowed), the insurer would decrease the risky investment and increase the
proportional reinsurance. Furthermore, to satisfy a lower risk constraint (i.e. to
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decrease the risk), p should be reduced more, and the insurer should purchase a
higher proportional reinsurance. These results make intuitive sense.
Suppose that the current state is Z(t)�e1, say State I. To investigate the effect of the
potential regime, we shall vary m2 and s2 in the following items, respectively. Let CVaR0,1
and CVaR0,2 be the CVaR corresponding to State I and State II, respectively. With
MCVaR being imposed, we denote the CVaR associated with State I and State II by
CVaR1,1 and CVaR1,2, respectively.
. The effect of m2.
Hypothetical parameters: m1�0.2, s1�s2�0.3, l�0.1, a�0.1, b�0.69, g�0.2,
m2 �[0.1,0.3], dt�0.1, R�6. In this example, m2 is the expected return in the future
regime. R�6 is active for any m2�[0.1,0.3].
Figure 3 plots the CVaR from State I and State II in the case both with and without
the MCVaR constraint. Figure 4 plots the MCVaR. From the two figures, it can be
3 4 5 6 7 8 912
14
16
18
20
22
24
R
risky
inve
stm
ent
Figure 1. The optimal risky investment against the risk constraint level R.
3 4 5 6 7 8 90.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
R
rein
sura
nce
Figure 2. The proportional reinsurance against the risk constraint level R.
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seen that, for the case without the risk constraint, if m2 is smaller than m1, the
MCVaR is equal to CVaR0,2, which decreases with m2, and MCVaR is equal to
CVaR0,1 if m2 is larger than m1. When the MCVaR is stabilized, CVaR1,2 is equal to
MCVaR when m2Bm1, and CVaR1,1 is equal to MCVaR if m2�m1.
With MCVaR being imposed as the risk constraint, Figures 5 and 6 plot the risky
investment and proportional reinsurance, respectively. If m2 is smaller, Figure 5
shows that the amount invested in the risky security should be less, and Figure 6
shows that the proportional reinsurance should be increased.
. The effect of s2.
Hypothetical parameters: m1�m2�0.2, s1�0.3, l�0.1, a�0.1, b�0.69, g�0.2,
s2 �[0.2, 1], dt�0.1, R�6. R�6 is active for any s2 �[0.2, 1].
From Figures 7�10, we can find that the effect of s2 is opposite to that of m2.
0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.355.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
µ2
CV
aR
CVaR0,1
CVaR0,2
CVaR1,1
CVaR1,2
Figure 3. The comparison of CVaR from different regime against m2.
0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.355.5
6
6.5
7
7.5
8
8.5
µ2
MC
VaR
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 4. The comparison of MCVaR from different regime against m2.
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0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.3521
21.2
21.4
21.6
21.8
22
22.2
22.4
µ2
π 1
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 5. The optimal risky investment against m2.
0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.350.5
0.6
0.7
0.8
0.9
µ2
q
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 6. The proportional reinsurance against m2.
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 10
5
10
15
20
25
σ2
CV
aR
CVaR0,1
CVaR0,2
CVaR1,1
CVaR1,2
Figure 7. The comparison of CVaR from different regime against s2.
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0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 15
10
15
20
25
σ2
π 1
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 9. The optimal risky investment against s2.
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 15
10
15
20
25
σ2
MC
VaR
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 8. The comparison of MCVaR from different regime against s2.
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 10.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
1.4
σ2
q without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 10. The proportional reinsurance against s2.
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4.2. The normal approximation
Example 4.2 In this example, we consider the effect of MCVaR and the regime parameters
for the diffusion approximation model in Section 3. Here we assume that only one parameter
in State II is different from the State I, which represent a ‘Good’ economy and a ‘Bad’ one,
respectively.
. The effect of m2.
Hypothetical parameters: m1�0.2, m2 �[0.1, 0.3], s1�0.3, s2�0.3, a�0.5,
a�0.2, b�0.6, k�0.95, dt�0.1, u�0.2, b�0.1, p�2.
Figures 11 and 12 show that the risky investment and proportional
reinsurance should be reduced when the risk constraint is active.
Hypothetical parameters: m1�m2�0.2, s1�0.3, s2 �[0.2, 1] a�0.5, a�0:2;
b�0.6, k�0.95, dt�0.1, u�0.2, b�0.1, p�2. The parameter effect of State
II, together with the risk constraint, is shown in Figures 13 and 14. And the
effect of risk constraint is that the risky investment and proportional
reinsurance should be reduced to meet the risk management requirement.
Also, they are similar to those in the previous cases.
5. Summary
With the risk constraints being imposed in the utility maximization, we considered the
optimal investment�reinsurance problem of an insurer when the price dynamics of
the risky asset are governed by a Markov-modulated Geometric Brownian motion. The
market parameters were assumed to switch over time according to a continuous-time,
finite-state, observed Markov chain. We derived a system of coupled HJB equations for
the optimization problem and obtained explicit solutions to the problem in different cases.
For two different types of surplus models, the results show that the investment and
0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.359.8
10
10.2
10.4
10.6
10.8
11
11.2
11.4
µ2
π 1
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 11. The optimal risky investment against m2.
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0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.350.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
0.4
µ2
without risk constriantwith constraint
q
Figure 12. The proportional reinsurance against m2.
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 15
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
σ2
π 1
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 13. The optimal risky investment against s2.
0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 10
0.05
0.1
0.15
0.2
0.25
0.3
0.35
σ2
q
without risk constriantwith constraint
Figure 14. The proportional reinsurance against s2.
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reinsurance strategies are only related to the regime state, and the investment keeps the
Merton’s structure.
With the risk measures (MCVaR) being imposed as risk constraints, we analysis the
quantitative properties of the investment and reinsurance. Moreover, the numerical
examples illustrated the risky investment and the reinsurance are also affected by the
potential state, especially when the state is worse than the current state.
Acknowledgements
The authors would like to thank the reviewer for helpful comments. The first and second
authors would like to thank the Research Committee of the Hong Kong Polytechnic
University for support. Tak Kuen Siu would like to acknowledge the Discovery Grant
from the Australian Research Council (ARC), (Project No. DP1096243).
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