oecd world forum statistics, knowledge and policy, palermo, 10-13 november 2004 1
TRANSCRIPT
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 1
OECD World Forum on Key Indicators
Statistics, Knowledge and Policy
Palermo, 10-13 November 2004
OECD World Forum on Key Indicators
Statistics, Knowledge and Policy
Palermo, 10-13 November 2004
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 2
Information Society:from Statistical Measurement
to Policy Assessment
Tony ClaytonUK Office for National Statistics
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 3
The challenge of permanent change
• Definitions of ICT products and services are still changing as applications progress
• Attention has broadened from e-commerce (simple) to e-business (complex)
• Real business models are changing, both within and between countries
• New social patterns and work structures are evolving - driving and enabled by technology
• Can National Statistics Offices measure this changing world fast enough?
Information Society
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 4
Shared economic questions
Information Society
• How does the growing importance of intellectual assets (technical, organisational,human, knowledge) change value creation; how can public policy make these assets work most effectively?
• How do structural changes (more services and intangibles) affect economic and social behaviour and policy priorities?
• How do global networks and value chains, within and between firms, affect behaviour, and governments’ ability to achieve policy objectives?
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 5
Macro-economic challenges
Information Society
• ICT impacts the measurement of outputs and inputs- hedonics- chain linking
• How to deal with new outputs and assets?- extending the list: information, knowledge,
capabilities• Changing relationships between inputs and outputs
- ‘complementary’ assets and productivity- cross-border (or inter-regional) intangibles
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 6
Information Society
Lessons from coping with change
•Definitions- critical to be precise and avoid ambiguity- comparison, cross sectional and over time, essential
•Learning- ‘not enough to learn from your own experience’
•Benchmarking outcomes and policy- where are examples of success?- which lessons from good practice are transferable?
•Where is value really added?- pay off from looking at firm level data
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 7
Achieved so far …...
Information Society
• National accounts measures; - software, databases- chain linking and hedonics
• Satellite accounts for information economy• OECD frameworks to measure enterprise and
household ICT access and use• EU structural indicators, and eEurope 2005 metrics• Range of SINE initiatives, which spurred NSOs• Academic and business initiatives on ‘impacts’• Moving towards international WSIS ‘core indicators’
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 8
UK focus to support policy
Information Society
• Benchmarking not only ‘outcomes’ for the information society and economy, but also policies to promote innovation and good practice
• Evaluating impacts of ICT adoption in the economy, to improve understanding of policy levers, and the way they can affect behaviour and performance
…… a shared agenda across government
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 9
EnvironmentEnvironment
Citizen ReadinessCitizen Readiness
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
iRcBusiness ReadinessBusiness Readiness
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
iRbGovernment ReadinessGovernment Readiness
Awareness, leadership, published strategies
Level of coordination Systems readiness, back
office integration, standardisation
Awareness, leadership, published strategies
Level of coordination Systems readiness, back
office integration, standardisation
iRg
Citizen UseCitizen UseiUc
Business UseBusiness UseiUb
Government UseGovernment UseiUg
Level of basic use Ubiquity / fairness of
adoption Sophistication of use
Level of basic use Ubiquity / fairness of
adoption Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Ubiquity / fairness of adoption
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Ubiquity / fairness of adoption
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Sophistication of use
Citizen ImpactCitizen Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on behaviour
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on behaviour
iIcBusiness ImpactBusiness Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on service offering: additional/enhanced services Impact on working practices
Impact on costs/efficiency
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on service offering: additional/enhanced services Impact on working practices
Impact on costs/efficiency
iIbGovernment ImpactGovernment Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on working practices Impact on costs/efficiency
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on working practices Impact on costs/efficiency
iIg
Educational infrastructure
Level of IT skills Supporting industries Climate for innovation Cost of access
Level of political leadership
Enabling nature of legal and regulatory environment for e-commerce
Infrastructure availability
Infrastructure quality
iEm iEp iEiMarket Political Infrastructural
The e-Economy
Environment
Uptake and use
Readiness
Impact
EnvironmentEnvironment
Citizen ReadinessCitizen Readiness
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
iRcBusiness ReadinessBusiness Readiness
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
iRbGovernment ReadinessGovernment Readiness
Awareness, leadership, published strategies
Level of coordination Systems readiness, back
office integration, standardisation
Awareness, leadership, published strategies
Level of coordination Systems readiness, back
office integration, standardisation
iRg
Citizen UseCitizen UseiUc
Business UseBusiness UseiUb
Government UseGovernment UseiUg
Level of basic use Ubiquity / fairness of
adoption Sophistication of use
Level of basic use Ubiquity / fairness of
adoption Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Ubiquity / fairness of adoption
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Ubiquity / fairness of adoption
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Sophistication of use
Citizen ImpactCitizen Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on behaviour
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on behaviour
iIcBusiness ImpactBusiness Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on service offering: additional/enhanced services Impact on working practices
Impact on costs/efficiency
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on service offering: additional/enhanced services Impact on working practices
Impact on costs/efficiency
iIbGovernment ImpactGovernment Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on working practices Impact on costs/efficiency
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on working practices Impact on costs/efficiency
iIg
Educational infrastructure
Level of IT skills Supporting industries Climate for innovation Cost of access
Level of political leadership
Enabling nature of legal and regulatory environment for e-commerce
Infrastructure availability
Infrastructure quality
iEm iEp iEiMarket Political Infrastructural
EnvironmentEnvironment
Citizen ReadinessCitizen Readiness
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
iRcBusiness ReadinessBusiness Readiness
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
Measures of barriers to uptake (awareness, trust, skills, cost)
Penetration of access devices
iRbGovernment ReadinessGovernment Readiness
Awareness, leadership, published strategies
Level of coordination Systems readiness, back
office integration, standardisation
Awareness, leadership, published strategies
Level of coordination Systems readiness, back
office integration, standardisation
iRg
Citizen UseCitizen UseiUc
Business UseBusiness UseiUb
Government UseGovernment UseiUg
Level of basic use Ubiquity / fairness of
adoption Sophistication of use
Level of basic use Ubiquity / fairness of
adoption Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Ubiquity / fairness of adoption
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Ubiquity / fairness of adoption
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Sophistication of use
Level of basic use (including publication)
Sophistication of use
Citizen ImpactCitizen Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on behaviour
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on behaviour
iIcBusiness ImpactBusiness Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on service offering: additional/enhanced services Impact on working practices
Impact on costs/efficiency
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on service offering: additional/enhanced services Impact on working practices
Impact on costs/efficiency
iIbGovernment ImpactGovernment Impact
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on working practices Impact on costs/efficiency
Impact on commerce/spending
Impact on working practices Impact on costs/efficiency
iIg
Educational infrastructure
Level of IT skills Supporting industries Climate for innovation Cost of access
Level of political leadership
Enabling nature of legal and regulatory environment for e-commerce
Infrastructure availability
Infrastructure quality
iEm iEp iEiMarket Political Infrastructural
The e-Economy
Environment
Uptake and use
Readiness
Impact
Information Society
Benchmarking Framework
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 10
Approach to comparison and learning
Information Society
0.59
0.83
0.49
0.56
0.56
0.76
0.51
0.63
0.39
0.42
0.49
0.56
0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0
Environment Ranking
Environment Ranking
Readiness Ranking
Readiness Ranking
Uptake and Use Ranking
Uptake and Use Ranking
Impact RankingImpact Ranking
iR
i
MarketMarket
Political/RegulatoryPolitical/
Regulatory
InfrastructureInfrastructure
Citizen ReadinessCitizen Readiness
BusinessReadinessBusiness
Readiness
GovernmentReadiness
GovernmentReadiness
CitizenUptake & Use
CitizenUptake & Use
Business Uptake & Use
Business Uptake & Use
Government Uptake & UseGovernment
Uptake & Use
CitizenImpactCitizenImpact
BusinessImpact
BusinessImpact
GovernmentImpact
GovernmentImpact
Position of world-leading countries
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 11
Benchmarking lessons
Information Society
• Relevant and comparable data still hard to come by in 2002
• Need to quality mark comparisons• Major gap area for comparable data in
government use• Gap in comparable analysis for quantifying
economic impact
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 12
Assessing Impact
Information Society
• Initial work mainly macro - but suffered from lack of comparability in national measurement
• Advantage of firm level analysis is that it deals with units that are surveyed on similar basis
• Helps to explain how competitive processes actually work
• OECD project to share and repeat comparable analysis across countries - valuable pooled experience
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 13
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
Date
Re
lati
ve
Pri
ce
e-sellers non e-sellers
Firm level data: 1) market dynamics
Information Society
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 14
Firm level data: 2) productivity effects differ
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
All firms None Any 4 plus incl.suppliers
4 plus incl.customers
4 plus incl.invoice
4 plus incl.operation
4 plus incl.logistics
4 plus incl.marketing
4 plus incl.internal
4 plus incl.external
VA
/em
p (
£00'
s)
2001
2002
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
All firms None Any 4 plusincl.suppliers
4 plusincl.customers
4 plusincl.invoice
4 plusincl.operation
4 plusincl.logistics
4 plusincl.marketing
4 plusincl.internal
4 plusincl.external
VA
/em
p (
£00
0's
)
2001
2002
Successful e-business applicationsin manufacturing usually tackle upstream supply chain issues...
…but e-business application successin service firms more often includes
electronic links to customers
Information Society
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 15
Development challenges
Information Society
• Speed of change - can Statistics Offices meet demands?
• Build and agree the contribution of information and knowledge in National Accounts
• Exploit micro-data to understand the role of knowledge at enterprise level
• Better metrics for innovation, recognising the role of multinational enterprises in invention and diffusion
• Comparability in human capital / skills measures• Assessing impact of digital access and literacy for
households and labour markets.
OECD World Forum “Statistics, Knowledge and Policy”, Palermo, 10-13 November 2004 16
Information Society