nuclear war file - michigan7 2013

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20131/58

    Nuclear War

    ***NUKE WAR BAD EXTINCTION...............................................................................................................................................EXTINCTION/OUTWEIGHS......................................................................................................................EARTH EXPLODES....................................................................................................................................FAMINE........................................................................................................................................................FALLOUT.....................................................................................................................................................GENE POOL...............................................................................................................................................O$ONE..........................................................................................................................................................TURNS AIR POLLUTION.........................................................................................................................TURNS DISA%ILIT&/AGEISM................................................................................................................TURNS ECON............................................................................................................................................TURNS EN'IRONMENT.............................................................................................................................TURNS HEG...............................................................................................................................................TURNS HEG/ECON...................................................................................................................................TURNS INFRASTRUCTURE....................................................................................................................TURNS OCEANS.......................................................................................................................................TURNS RACISM/SEXISM/ETC................................................................................................................TURNS TRADE..........................................................................................................................................TURNS WARMING.....................................................................................................................................OUTWEIGHS WARMING..........................................................................................................................OUTWEIGHS ASTEROIDS.......................................................................................................................A*+ NO EXTINCTION..............................................................................................................................A*+ SUR'I'ORS............................................................................................................................................&ES NUCLEAR WINTER.........................................................................................................................%EST METHODOLOG&...........................................................................................................................A*+ %IAS...................................................................................................................................................A*+ MODELS OLD....................................................................................................................................A*+ MODELS %AD...................................................................................................................................A*+ TOO FEW WARHEADS......................................................................................................................A*+ ONL& U.S.,RUSSIA WAR..................................................................................................................A*+ COUNTERFORCE TARGETING.......................................................................................................A*+ EXTREME ESTIMATE.......................................................................................................................A*+ -NUCLEAR AUTUMN .....................................................................................................................

    ***NUKE WAR N!" S! BAD NO EXTINCTION.......................................................................................................................................ARSENAL SI$E...........................................................................................................................................U.S.,RUSSIA WAR E&.............................................................................................................................A*+ FALLOUT............................................................................................................................................A*+ NU E WINTER...................................................................................................................................A*+ EARTH EXPLODES...........................................................................................................................A*+ O$ONE LOSS......................................................................................................................................A*+ GENETIC DAMAGE..........................................................................................................................A*+ FOOD CONTAMINATION.................................................................................................................A*+ TURNS WARMING.............................................................................................................................

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20133/58

    E$"INC"I!NNuclear %ar cau&e& 'u(a) e +,)c+,-)

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    A29 ;er :a8 e26 r92>e2 al ; 2 ;a =9ul8 ;ae8 :B c9>: 2a 92 9@ ;e 9 B e2 a28 2 r9 e2 9@ ;e a2uclear e aller 7cale ar9u28 l ; 2 2 @la7;e7. S9 a@ er ;e 7>9 e cleare8 a28 ;e 7u2 :e a2 9 7; 2e a a 2 ;ere =9ul8 :e a lar e 2crea7e 9@ U' reac; 2 :a8 @9r a er.U' 7 al79 :a8 @9r >a2B 9 ;er l 6 2 ; 2 7 29 laBer 9@ ;e =;9le >ar 2e @998 c;a 2. T;ere =9ul8 l elB :e e29u ; U' 9 cau7e :l 282e77 2 >a2B a2 > Hu>a27 ca2 al7 89 29 29= 9 89 ;a a28 :l 28a2 >al7 89 29 7ur6 6e. %l 28 27ec 7 89 29 a2 cr9a 2 u8e a7 ;e >aK9r e 2c 927 9@ 7e e 2c . T;e ;e9rB 7 ;a a lar e >e e9r >a8e a rea 97e7 a7 >uc; r9c a7 7 @ re7 :l

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2013#/58

    E$"INC"I!N/!U"WEIGHSNuclear %ar ,)crea&e& +'e r,& -4 -+'er e ,&+e)+,al +'rea+&

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20135/58

    EAR"H E$. !DESNuclear %ar cau&e& +'e ear+' +- e l- e

    CHA K! 2003 1Dr. T9> . MSc. P;.D. Hea8 9@ Ge9: Accelera e Gl9:al '9lca2 c Acre7earc;.c9>/2eu r92 :9>:.; >l?C927e ue2ce7 9@ u7 2 >98er2 2uclear =ea9re 7er 9u7 ;a2 a 2. T;e7e c927e ue2ce7rela e 9 ;e @ac ;a >97 9@ ;e ;ea e2era e8 2 ;e 2 e27 6e 2eu r92 ra8 a 92 =; le crea 2 rela 6elB l le l9cal >ec;a2 cal 8a>a e.M l arB are 6erB

    ee2 9 u7e 2eu r92 :9>:7 2 c9>:a :ecau7e le ;al 2eu r92 ra8 a 92 ca2

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2013/58

    9AMINEE e) a re:,-)al )uclear %ar %-ul cau&e :l-;al 4a(,)e %',c' %-ul ,ll ;,ll,-)& a) +r,::er a) e(,c&

    a) 4ur+'er %ar&I..NW 2010 1I2 er2a 92al P;B7 c a27 @9r ;e Pre6e2 92 9@ Nuclear War W92 ;e ")!5 N9:el Peace Pr e -$er9 7 ;e O2lB O< 92+ F9ur Me8 cal a28Era8 ca 2 Nuclear Wea 2 7u2l ; @r9> reac; 2 ;e Ear ; 7 7ur@acelea8 2 9 7 2 @ ca2 c99l 2 a2re8uc 927 2 9re ;a2 a 8eca8e. W ; 210 a & @9ll9= 2 ;e e >er >927992 =9ul8 ;a6e a 7 2 @ ca2 >a e c;a2 e @r9> re=9ul8 9re 7a 92 92 >a ura 92 9@ cr9: 2a 92 re7ul 7 2 >uc; l9=er B 9@ ;e

    ra 27 ;a are r9=2 2 > 8la u8e7 7uc; a7 c9r2 are ac uallB 9@ r9< cal 9r 2 a28= ll 92lB r9= 2 7u>>er,l e c928 927. F9r e a>>er e>al 7

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20137/58T;e re>e289u7 al cl >a e 6ar a: l B 9@ e2 re7ul 7 2 re8uce8 ;ar6e7 7.T; 7 98er2 @ar> 2 ;aall9= a 2B ; r9= =9ul8 :e ea e2 :B e2 . Our 8ea2 2 ;e US =e2 9u 9 ;e @ el87 9 rB 9 ra 7e cr9a2ual la:9r a28 @ ;eB 2e= 89 2 a28 @ ;eB ;a8 e29u ; @998 9 ea a28 @ ;eB =ere ;eal ;B ;eB 7 ll c9ul8 29 97 9@ ;e =9rl8 7 7 c a77u>< 927 9@ 7 = ; 2 c9! ;a eac; e7 a 6e e ar a2 a28 ea 7 ;e > 2 >u> 2ee8e8 @9r 7ur6 6al a28 ;e 9 ;er7 =a7 e 292

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20138/58

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 2013>/58T;e >e a 92 cla77 =ea98er2 7 ra e c =ar;ea8 7 = ; @e= e ce< 927 29= B< callB 2 ;e ra2 e 9@ *##,(5# .Rece2 =9r = ; 79a e >98el7 ;a7 7;9=2 ;a ; 7 re8uc 92 2 B el8 re7ul 7 2 a >uc; lar er a8e 8ur 2 ;e 7 e7 a28 7e6e2 e7.T;e re8uc 92 2 a re a e 7 ra e c ar7e2al B el8 ;a 9ccurre8 =;e2 ; ; B=ere re re8 2 @a69r 9@ >9re 2u>er9u7 l9=er B el8 =ea

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201310/58

    GENE .!!Nuclear %ar re uce& :e)e+,c , er&,+ a) (a e& +'e & ec,e& le&& a a +a;le

    NISSANI 1>>2 1M9 Pr9@e779r a WaB2e S a e L 6e7 2 ;e %ala2ce+ T;e C9l8 War a28 A>er ca2 P9l c7 ")45,"))" ; 2 77a2 /@ul >u a 927 a28 9 ;er e2e c 8e@ec 7 ;ere:B cau7 2 > ll 927 9@

    28 6 8ual ra e8 e7@9r ce2 ur e7 a@ er ;e =ar . I2 ; 7 7ec 92 I =9ul8 l e 9 8ra= a e2 92 9 ;e >a2 e2e <T=9 >98er2 8e6el9e2 7 1=; c; ;a6e 29 ; 2 9 89 = ; 2uclear =ar? 2ee8 9 :e >e2 92e8 2 ; 7 c92 e . F r7 9= 2 9 >e8 cal a86a2ce7 e2e callB u2@7ur6 6e a28 reer a e7. Sec928 ;e >98er2 e26 r92>e2 c92 a 27 >a2B >u a 92,cau7 2 7u:7 a2ce7. %9 ; 8e6el9e2 7 >aB ra8uallB ra

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    ;a7 e2 7 c9> 2.

    Ge)e+,c 'eal+' e +- 'u(a) &ur , alMAC INNIS 200# 1Dr. %r92=B2 Ge2e c 7 a S a2@9r8 -U28er7 a28 2 Ge2e c7 ; e =;e2 269l6e7 > ll 927 9@ c; l8re2= ll a88 u< 97 2 @ ca2 e@@ec 92 ;e

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201311/58

    ! !NENe% (- el& &'-% +'a+ e e) a re:,-)al )uclear %ar %-ul cau&e (a&&, e -?-)e l-&&

    I..NW 2010 1I2 er2a 92al P;B7 c a27 @9r ;e Pre6e2 92 9@ Nuclear War W92 ;e ")!5 N9:el Peace Pr e -$er9 7 ;e O2lB O< 92+ F9ur Me8 cal a28Era8 ca 2 Nuclear Wea

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201313/58

    "URNS AIR .! U"I!NNuclear %ar %-ul e acer;a+e a,r -llu+,-)

    .ARKINS!N 2003 1S uar Sc e2 7 7 F9r Gl9:al Re7e>:er ;e Nuclear W 2 er ; a e/NuW; le ;e e>

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20131#/58

    "URNS DISABI I"6/AGEISMNuclear %ar %-ul ,& r- -r+,-)a+el 'ur+ c',l re) +'e el erl a) ,&a;le e- le

    9ME 200 1F9r M9 ;er Ear ; -T;e E@@ec 7 9@ Nuclear Wea

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20131 /58

    "URNS EN IR!NMEN"Nuclear %ar e&+r- & +'e e) ,r-)(e)+

    NISSANI 1>>2 1M9 Pr9@e779r a WaB2e S a e L 6e7 2 ;e %ala2ce+ T;e C9l8 War a28 A>er ca2 P9l c7 ")45,"))" ; 2 77a2 /el 9ra e8. %B ll 2 : ll 927 a28 8e7 r9B 2 28u7 r al 2@ra7 ruc ure7 2uclear =ar > ; @9r 27 a2c7u7 2 .!) ;ala)ce ;9=e6er ;e =ar 7 96erall e26 r92>e2 al >97 cer a 2lB : 92 ;e2e a 6e 7 8e.Ra8 9ac 6e@all9u = ll c92 a> 2a e 79 l7 a28 =a er7. We 7;all e27e ua2 e7 9@ 8u7 a28 7>9 e. T;e8u7 a28 7>9 e > ; :la2 e 8ar e2 a28 c99l ;e e2 r.Al ;9u ; ;e e e2 9@ ;e 8a>a e 7 u2clear*4 =9ul8 :e @ar >9re 7e6ere 8ur 2 ;e r9= 2 7ea792,la e 7>er 2 ;e 29r ;er2 la u8e7. O2e Ca77a28ra2 a2

    er >ee>a c c;a2 e7 1e. .6 9le2 7 9r>7 8ra>a c re8uc 927 2 ra 2@all? l9=er e@@ c

    7 a28 @ar>7 l977 9@ >a2B 7 ll 927 9@ a c c928 927 = ; 2 a @e= Bear7.* a *(

    Nuclear %ar %-ul ;e %-r&e +'a) +'e lar:e&+ (a&& e +,)c+,-)& ,) :e-l-:,cal ',&+-r.ARKINS!N 2003 1S uar Sc e2 7 7 F9r Gl9:al Re7e>:er ;e Nuclear W 2 er ; a e/Nu O2e @ur ;er e26 r92>e2 al =9ul8 :e = 8e7uc; a7 (#J , >uc; ; ;er ;a2 ;a curre2 lB cau7e :B CFC7.S9 a@ er 7e6eral >92 ;7 =;e2 ;e 7>9 e cleare8 a28 ;e 7u2 :e a2 9 7; 2e a a

    ;ere =9ul8 :e a lar e 2crea7e 9@ U' ra8 a 92 reac; 2 ;e ear ; 7 7ur@ace. T; 7 =9ul8 :e :a8 @9r ;u>a27 1e. . eBe a28 7 2 8a>a e? :u;e >aK9re@@ec =9ul8 :e @9r 9 ;er l 6 2 ; 2 7 29 a:lB 7e27 6e ar 2e @998 c;a 2. A2 >al7 =9ul8 al79 7u@@er , :l 282e77 =9ul8 :e c9>>92 , a28 :l 28 a2 >al7 =97 ar6e.Al 9 e ;er2uclear = 2 er =9ul8 :e a2 ec9l9 cal 8 7a7 er 9@ a 7 > lar >a 2 u8e 9 ;e >aK9r e7uc; a7 ;a a ;e e28 9@ ;e Cre ace9u7 ll 92 Bear7 a 9 =;e2 (5J 9@ all 7 2a 92 6 2 =9rl8=ra8 a 92 897e7 >a2B >e7 lar er ;a2 ;a7 e6er ;a

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201317/58

    "URNS HEGNuclear %ar +ur)& 'e:e(-)

    NISSANI 1>>2 1M9 Pr9@e779r a WaB2e S a e L 6e7 2 ;e %ala2ce+ T;e C9l8 War a28 A>er ca2 P9l c7 ")45,"))" ; 2 77I2 er2a 92al C927e ue2ce7.T;e c9>:a a2 c9u2 r e7 > ; 2e6er rec96er ;e r 2 er2a 92al 7 a28 2 7. T;eB;e =9rl8 @9r a =; le = ; =;a e6er re>a 2e8 9@ ;e r 2uclear ar7e2al7 :u = ; 79c al a28 ec929;e7e ar7e2al7 > ; @all 2 9 8 7re9re96era 2a 92 7 2 er2a 92al c a2ce >9ral @ :er a28 e8uca 92 all 9@ =; c; c9ul8 :e r=ea e2e8 a@ er a2 all,9u =ar . S9 92e ;u28re8 Bear7 a@ er ;e =ar e @9reca7 > ; a

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201318/58

    "URNS HEG/EC!NNuclear %ar +ur)& 'e:e(-) a) ec-)-(

    KA" AND !SD!B6 1>82 1Ar ;ur 2uclear =ar re7earc;er 7er6e8 a7 c927ul a2 9 ;e 9 2 C92 re77 92al C9>> ee 92 De@e27e Pr98uc 92;e Dee2 9@ P9l cal Sc e2ce T;e 9;27 H9< 27 U2 6er7 B -T;e S9c al a28 Ec929> c E@@ec 7 9@ Nuclear War A

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20131>/58

    "URNS IN9RAS"RUC"UREE e) a l,(,+e )uclear &+r, e %-ul e a&+a+e ,)4ra&+ruc+ure

    I..NW 2010 1I2 er2a 92al P;B7 c a27 @9r ;e Pre6e2 92 9@ Nuclear War W92 ;e ")!5 N9:el Peace Pr e -$er9 7 ;e O2lB O< 92+ F9ur Me8 cal a28

    Era8 ca 2 Nuclear Weae8 = ; ;e 2u>:er 9@

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201320/58

    "URNS !CEANSNu e %ar e&+r- & -cea) ;,- , er&,+SE6M!UR 1>83 1AllB2 >ar 2e : 9l9 7 a28 er u7 a U2 6er7 B 9@ Wa7; 2 92 Sea le @9r>er D rec 9r 9@ ;e La:9ra 9rB 9@ Ra8 aHu>a2 a28 Ec9l9 cal C927e ue2ce7 9@ Nuclear War aB re7ul @r9> a 8ra7 cre8uc 92 2 ;e 2c 8e2ce 9@ 79larl ; a ;e ear ; 7 7ur@ace 9r a 7 2 @ ca22crea7e 2 ;e @lu 9@ul ra6 9le l@9ll9= 2 a 2uclear =ar. %9 ; @ac 9r7;a6e ;e

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201321/58

    "URNS RACISM/SE$ISM/E"CNuclear %ar %-ul cau&e au+'-r,+ar,a),&( rac,&( e)- '-;,a &e ,&( a) rel,:,-u& ,)+-lera)ce

    9ME 200 1F9r M9 ;er Ear ; -T;e E@@ec 7 9@ Nuclear Wea

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201322/58A ; ; 2c 8e2ce 9@ a:29r>al :e;a6 9r ra2 2 @r9> ;e 292@u2c 92al 9 ;e a2 79c al c9S

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201323/58

    "URNS "RADENuclear %ar %-ul ,((e ,a+el e&+r- :l-;al +ra e

    R!B!CK 2010 1Ala2 R9:9c Dee2 9@ E26 r92>e2 al Sc e2ce7 Ru er7 U2 6er7 B -Ne= START EBKa@KallaK[ ull a28 Nuclear W 2 erGe9 ;e @ re7 2 e8 :B 2uclear =eaall :lac uc; >9re e@@ c e2 lB ;a2 l ; er,c9l9re8 69lca2 c a7;.I@ 2Kec e8 2 9 ;e u

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20132#/58

    "URNS WARMINGNu e %ar cau&e& ra , %ar(,): ; e&+r- ,): 4-re&+&W!!DWE 1>83 1Ge9r e D rec 9r 9@ ;e Ec97B7 e>7 Ce2 er 9@ ;e Mar 2e % 9l9 B La:9ra 9rB a W9987 H9le MA. P;D 2 Ec9l9 B a2 a28 Ec9l9 cal C927e ue2ce7 9@ Nuclear War < "3!?I ;a6e e> 2a e ;e 2a ural 6e e a 92 2 >97 9@ ;e ;a: a:le 7ec 927 9@ ;e l9:e.F9re7 7 >9re96er;a6e a2 e ra9r8 2arlar e 2@lue2ce 92 ;e re7 9@ ;e : 97

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201325/58

    !U"WEIGHS WARMINGNu e %ar -u+%e,:'& %ar(,): a) all -+'er e) ,r-)(e)+al ,( ac+&AMBI! AD IS!R6 GR!U. 1>83 1'ar 9u7 B 9@ Sc e2cHu>a2 a28 Ec9l9 cal C927e ue2ce7 9@ Nuclear War a ; 7 e2 9@ ;e a2 a28 ec9l9 cal c927e ue2ce7 9@ a 2uclear =ar >aB ;el< 9 8e er 7uc; a cI 7 :a7e8 92 a 7e2 al >a2a e>e2 ec;29l9 B a28 ;e 2a ural 7c e2ce7.T;r9u ;9u ;e Bear7 Ambio ;a7 8eal = ; ;e e2 7uc; a7 r 7 2 CO* le6el7 2 ;e a >97

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 20132 /58

    !U"WEIGHS AS"ER!IDSNuclear %ar -u+%e,:'& a&+er-, c-ll,&,-)

    BENNE"" 2010 1 a>e7 Pr9@ 9@ Ec929> c7 a Ge9r e Ma792The Doomsday Lobby: Hype and Panic fromSputniks, Martians, and Maraudin Meteors 9re Na 92al La:9ra 9rB 2 Re6 e=7 9@ Ge9ea7ur 2 :e =ee2 "# Me a 927 a28 "# 9 ;e 4 ; e 7 a28 a7 er9 87 = ; 8 a>e er7 9@ le77 ;a2 4## >e er7 a28 5# >e er7 re7a2B 2a ural 8 7a7 er7 9@ rece2 ; 7 9rB. I2 9 ;er =9r87 8ea ;,8eal 2 :u>a2a ea:le 2 a l9:al 7e27e. T;97= ; a2 e2er B ra2 e 2 ;e "# 9 ;e 5 ; ; 7 =9ul8 u2lea7; 8e6a7 a 92 ;9u ;;e au ;9r7 89 29 :el e6e a - l9:al ca a7 r9 2 =9ul8 29 :e a = 8e7aB =ell :e ac 8 @ e8 8ue 9 ;e 2 r c 9 8e re

    28uce8 7;9c =a6e7.

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    Nuclear War MICHIGAN 7WS 201327/58

    A2 N! E$"INC"I!NE e) ,4 +'e a)&%er all -4 -ur ,) , , ual ar:u(e)+& )uclear %ar ,& &+,ll ;a & )er: ;e+%ee) ,44ere)+

    e44ec+& %-ul ;e ca+a&+r- ',cUS ACDA 1>75 1U.S. Ar>7 C92 r9l a28 D 7ar>a>e2 A e2cB -W9rl8= 8e E@@ec 7 9@ Nuclear War ; carc; 6e.c9>/D9c7/E@@ec 7/=e2=S > larlB ;e 8 7ru< 92 9@ 2 er2a 92al c9>>u2 ca 927,,7a ell e7 ca:le7 a28 e6e2 ; ; @re ue2cB ra8 9 l 2 7,,c9ul8 :e a >aK9r 9:7 ac

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