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Nexus 2.2: Overview Dr Nicholas Marchetti – Product Manager Dr Adrian Fowkes – Senior Scientist nik[email protected] [email protected]

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Page 1: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Nexus 2.2: Overview

Dr Nicholas Marchetti – Product Manager Dr Adrian Fowkes – Senior Scientist

[email protected] [email protected]

Page 2: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Derek Nexus 6.0 Update

Dr Nicholas Marchetti

Product Manager

[email protected]

Page 3: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

New Features and Enhancements: Derek Nexus 6.0

• An update to the current knowledge base, including additionof new alerts.• Endpoints of focus have been Mutagenicity in-vivo,

Mutagenicity in-vitro, Carcinogenicity, Chromosome damage,Skin sensitisation

• Negative Predictions:• Now available for Skin Sensitisation endpoint• References for nearest neighbours are now included in

this feature

• New endpoints of Glucocorticoid Receptor Agonism andAndrogen Receptor Modulation have been included.

Page 4: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

NEGATIVE PREDICTIONS

Page 5: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Why do we need negative predictions?

• Previously, a lack of alerts firing would always lead to this:

• For endpoints that are well developed, we wanted toprovide a stronger prediction and provide moreinformation for expert review:

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

Page 6: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Negative Predictions Workflow in Derek

Query Compound

Match alert or example

Compare structural features to publicly

available data

Prediction for/against toxicity

Make negativepredictions, provide

information for expert assessment

Yes

NoDerek KB 2018.1

Page 7: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Confidence in Negative Predictions

• Bacterial Mutagenicity in-vitro and Skin Sensitisation willnot provide a “Nothing to Report”

• In the absence of an alert, we compare the structure toan external dataset, to assess if there could be any othercause for concern:

• No misclassified or unclassified features• Contains misclassified features• Contains unclassified features

Highly confident negative prediction

Slightly lower confidence – some features may be a cause for concern

Page 8: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

References

• We are now providing references for nearest neighbourscontaining misclassified features – for both mutagenicityand skin sensitisation.

Page 9: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Skin sensitisation: Lhasa Skin Sensitisation Negative Prediction Dataset

• A fragment library is generated from an internal skinsensitisation dataset of > 2500 chemicals

• Dataset consists of human, mouse and guinea pig data• Overall experimental call is derived using a hierarchical

approach

Human Standard animal Non-standard animal Other animal

Non-standard LLNANon-radioactive LLNABuehler (closed patch) testFreund’s complete adjuvant testFreund’s complete adjuvant test (modified)Split adjuvant testSingle injection adjuvant testSingle injection adjuvant test (modified)Maurer optimisation testOptimisation testOpen epicutaneous testClosed epicutaneous test

LLNA (OECD Guidelines)GPMT (OECD Guidelines)

BgVVBasketter

Draize testDraize test (altered)Mouse ear swelling testpositive data only

Page 10: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Hierarchy of Skin Sensitisation Assays in dataset

Chemical of interest

Is there any human data?

Is there any standard

assay data?

Is there positive data from other assays?

Is there any non-standard assay data?

Call assigned as human result

Conservative call between standard

assay results

Conservative call between non-standard

assay results

Call assigned as positive No call assigned

Yes

Yes

Yes

No

No

No

No

Page 11: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

No misclassified or unclassified features

• This type of prediction is given for compounds where allfeatures in the molecule are found in accuratelyclassified compounds from the data set.

Query Compound Search datasets

Non-sensitiserDerek KB 2018.1

Page 12: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Contains misclassified features

• Misclassified features are those that have been derived from a non-alerting positive compound in the data set

• To get this type of prediction, your query compound has a feature in common with a non-alerting positive compound

• A non-alerting positive compound is experimentally positive in a particular assay (e.g. Ames), but is not covered by an alert in the Derek Knowledgebase. Derek does not have a mechanistic explanation as to why the data set example is positive, therefore expert assessment is required

Page 13: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Misclassified features: Skin Sensitisation Workflow

Query Compound

Search Lhasa Skin Sensitisation

Negative Prediction Dataset

Highlighted feature found in Sensitiser

No Alert Fired

Derek KB 2018.1

Expert review: Is shared feature the cause of sensitisation?

Page 14: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Non-sensitiser (contains misclassified features)

Page 15: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Contains unclassified features

• Unclassified features are those that have not been found in the data set.

• To get this type of prediction your query compound has fired no alerts, but does contain a structural fragment that is not covered in the respective data sets. Although Derek has found no mechanistic reason for this compound to be positive, the unclassified feature could be of concern, therefore expert assessment is required

Page 16: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Unclassified features: Skin Sensitisation Workflow

Query Compound

Search Lhasa Skin Sensitisation

Negative Prediction Dataset

UnclassifiedFeatures

Features not found

Derek KB 2018.1

No Alert Fired

Page 17: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Negative Predictions Performance – Skin Sensitisation – 5 fold cross validation

• Misclassified and unclassified features occur infrequently and represent

areas of increased uncertainty, which may require further scrutiny

How often are non-sensitisers correctly predicted?

73.9%77.3 %

52.1 %

65.7%

0

10

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30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Non-alerting compound Non-sensitiser Non-sensitiser withmisclassified features

Non-sensitiser withunclassified features

Neg

ativ

e pr

edic

tivity

(%)

Derek ‘no alert’ Derek with skin negative predictions

80%

8%

12%

How often does each type of negative prediction occur?

Non-sensitiser

Non-sensitiser with misclassified features

Non-sensitiser with unclassified features

prevalence = 51%

Page 18: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

SKIN SENSITISATION

Page 19: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Derek KB 2018.1 – What’s new?

• 10 new Skin Sensitisation alerts• 7 of which were built using member donated data

• 12 alerts modified• e.g. Expanding/refining the scope of alerts

Page 20: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Structural alerts – Performance

• Ongoing development of the skin sensitisation endpoint:

• Alert performance has improved over recent years, due to:• Continued analysis of the available public data• Extraction of (anonymous) knowledge from proprietary data

shared by members e.g. Bristol-Myers Squibb

Derek KB Acc Se Sp PP NP No. of alertsDerek 2014* 72 73 71 72 73 73Derek 2015* 74 78 70 72 76 80Derek 2018* 75 79 72 73 77 90

*Analysis based on an in-house dataset of 1267 sensitisers and 1282 non–sensitisers based on

conservative combination of results from the LLNA and/or guinea pig assays.

Acc = Accuracy, Se = Sensitivity, Sp = Specificity, PP = Positive Predictivity, NP = Negative Predictivity

Page 21: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Alert example

Alert 444 - Imine or alpha-beta unsaturated imine

• Alert was made more specific by:1. Narrowing the scope to exclude ketimines/tertiary imines…2. …but still include alpha, beta-unsaturated imines, which

can react through Michael addition• This reduced the number of false positives by 83% when

tested against the members’ data, and by 86% when tested against public data

1. No alert fires 2. Alert fires

Page 22: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

GENOTOXICITY

Page 23: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Derek KB 2018.1 - What’s new?

• 18 Mutagenicity in-vitro alerts modified• e.g. Expanding/refining the scope of alerts

• 12 new Mutagenicity in-vitro alerts• 10 of which were built using member donated data

• 6 Chromosome damage alerts modified• 4 of which were modified using member donated data

• Extended 12 Mutagenicity in-vitro alerts to also apply to Mutagenicity in-vivo• Using newly publicly available transgenic rodent mutation

assay data

Page 24: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Alert example

Alert 746: Arylboronic acid or derivative

• Alert was made more specific by:1. Narrowing the scope to exclude aryl boronic acids with bulky

para substituents2. Alert will also no longer fire if there is a fused non-aromatic

ring at the para position• This reduced the number of false positives by 27% when

tested against members’ data, and by 6% when tested against public data

No alert fires

Page 25: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

CARCINOGENICITY

Page 26: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Derek KB 2018.1 - What’s new?

• 2 new carcinogenicity alerts• Aniline or precursor

• This alert was validated against 3 public datasets, giving an average (mean) positive predictivity of 91%

• Uracil, thymine or precursor• This alert was validated against 3 public datasets, giving an

average (mean) positive predictivity of 100%

Page 27: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

REPRODUCTIVE TOXICITY

Page 28: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Derek KB 2018.1 - What’s new?

• 1 new Teratogenicity alert • 17-Hydroxyprogesterone derivative

• 2 new endpoints relating to Teratogenicity• Glucocorticoid receptor agonism• Androgen receptor modulation

• These molecular initiation event based endpoints were designed to provide better coverage for the Teratogenicity model

Page 29: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Meteor Nexus 3.0 Update

Dr Nicholas Marchetti

Product Manager

[email protected]

Page 30: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

What’s new in Meteor Nexus 3.1.0?

• New Biotransformation • 566 – Hydrolysis of Cyclic Peptides

• Modified Biotransformations• 563 – N-Glucuronidation of Amides and Related Compounds• 41 – Conjugation of Hydrazines, Hydrazides and Related Compounds

with Pyruvic Acid• Biotransformations 41 and 42 have been merged

• 43 – Conjugation of Hydrazines, Hydrazides and Related Compounds with alpha-Ketoglutaric Acid

• Biotransformations 43 and 44 have been merged• 245 – Oxidative N-Dealkylation• 371 – Epoxidation of 1,1-Disubstituted Haloalkanes

Page 31: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Metabolism Dataset

• Metabolic data collected from the following journals• Drug Metabolism and Disposition• Xenobiotica• Biochemical Pharmacology• Journal of Pharmacology and Experimental Therapeutics• Chemical Research in Toxicology• Journal of Medicinal Chemistry• Journal of Agriculture and Food Chemistry

• 2,608 papers• 18,379 reactions

Page 32: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Sarah Nexus 3.0 Update

Senior Scientist

[email protected]

Dr Adrian Fowkes

Page 33: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Sarah Nexus 3.0

1. Improvements to predictions

a) Structure standardisation

b) Sarah Nexus training set

2. Improvements to interpretability

a) Additional information for example compounds

b) Strain profile information

c) Additional compounds for analysis

3. Improvements to model building

a) Additional curation options

Page 34: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Structure Standardisation

Additional structure standardisation rules have been implemented into Sarah Nexus

Page 35: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Structure Standardisation

• Structure standardisation is beneficial for two main reasons

1. Appropriate curation of structures to ensure the activity of compounds is accurately reflected during model building • 21% compounds with CAS numbers in the training set have at

least 2 structure representations before any standardisation

2. To ensure that whatever way a query structure is drawn by the user the same prediction is produced

Page 36: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Sarah Nexus Training Set

• Larger training set due to amount of data donated by member organisations to improve performance and curation of the public literature

Data Source Conflicted Negative Positive Equivocal UnreliableAcid Halide Mutagenicity Dataset 5 31 3Bursi Mutagenicity Dataset 1925 2389CGX Mutagenicity Dataset 1 329 354 15Derek Nexus Example Compounds 11 317FDA CFSAN Mutagenicity Dataset 7 4052 4238 6Feng Mutagenicity Dataset 2 956 892Hansen Mutagenicity Dataset 2 2976 3477Helma Mutagenicity Dataset 343 341ISSSTY Mutagenicity Dataset 5 3216 3316 161Marketed Pharmaceuticals Dataset 483 39 20Member Data 1 47 24Vitic Nexus NTP Table 3 1220 697 69Vitic Nexus Summary Call Table 875 3185 2905 19 57

Sarah Model 2.0 Training Set 864 5166 4716 65 40

Previous Training Set 4879 4628

https://www.lhasalimited.org/publications/improving-chemical-space-coverage-of-an-in-silico-prediction-system-by-targeted-inclusion-of-fragments-absent-from-the-training-set/4465

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Sarah Nexus - Validation

0

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BA Sens Spec Cov

%

Performance Metric

Sarah Nexus vs proprietary data

Sarah Model1.0.1

SarahModel

2.0

Page 38: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Sarah Nexus 3.0

1. Improvements to predictions

2. Improvements to interpretability

a) Additional information for example compounds

b) Strain profile information

c) Additional compounds for analysis

Page 39: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Additional Information for Compounds

Hypotheses

Training set examples

Page 40: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Additional Information for CompoundsToggle between published and standardised structure

Examine data source and follow up references

Page 41: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Strain Profile Information

• There is lots of detailed strain data available for compounds in the Sarah Nexus training set

• Sarah Nexus allows users to explore supporting Ames strain profiles for both hypotheses and individual structures

• Reduce uncertainty• Better decision making

Page 42: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Additional Information for Compounds

Page 43: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Addition Of Detailed Strain DataOverall strain data for the

hypothesis

Strain data for the individual example

Page 44: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Additional Information for Compounds

Page 45: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Additional Compounds For Review

Compounds whose activity was not resolved for inclusion into the training set are now available for review in the Nexus interface.

Compounds in this panel have access to the new features in Nexus. For example, viewing strain profiles and references.

Page 46: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Sarah Nexus 3.0

1. Improvements to predictions

2. Improvements to interpretability

3. Improvements to model building

a) Additional curation options

Page 47: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Model Building

• Sarah Nexus allows for the creation of new models using its SOHN methodology• Supplement the Sarah Nexus training set with additional data• Build models from new data sets

• New options have been implemented into the model building workflow to support the model building process

Page 48: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Model Building

Add meta data for new compounds which can be viewed in the compound information panel during the review of predictions

Page 49: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Model Building

Structure standardisation rules developed by Lhasa Limited can be applied to imported datasets

Page 50: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Model Building

Dataset curation is further supported by options to handle the experimental activities present in the model dataset and the imported dataset

Page 51: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Conclusions

• The new features implemented in Sarah Nexus 3.0 further support its use as a statistical system for ICH M7

• Expansion of the training set to support Sarah Model 2.0

• Improved structure standardisation rules to improve consistent representation of structures and their experimental activity

• Increased interpretability to support expert review• Strain information• Additional compounds for review• Compound meta data

Page 52: Nexus 2.2: Overview - Welcome to Lhasa Limited 2... · Sarah Nexus 3.0. 1. Improvements to predictions a) Structure standardisation. b) Sarah Nexus training set. 2. Improvements to

Lhasa Limited

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Leeds, LS11 5PS

Registered Charity (290866)

Company Registration Number 01765239

+44(0)113 394 6020

[email protected]

www.lhasalimited.org

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