NASAVision for Ocean Biology &

Biogeochemistry

Advance Planning Team2005-2006

NASAVision for Ocean Biology &

Biogeochemistry

Advance Planning Team2005-2006

Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems Roadmap

T

2002 2010 2012 2014 20152004

Reduced flux uncertainties; global carbon dynamics

Funded

Unfunded

Global Ocean Carbon / Particle Abundance

N. America’s carbon budget quantified

Global Atmospheric CO2 (OCO)

2006 2008

Reduced flux uncertainties; coastal carbon dynamics

NA Carbon NA Carbon Global C Cycle

T = Technology development

Regional carbon sources/sinks quantified for planet

IPCC IPCC

Effects of tropical deforestation quantified; uncertaintiesin tropical carbon source reduced

= Field Campaign

Physiology & Functional Types

Go

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Vegetation 3-D Structure, Biomass, & Disturbance T Terrestrial carbon stocks &

species habitat characterized

Models w/improved ecosystem functions

High-Resolution Atmospheric CO2 Sub-regional sources/sinks

Integrated global analyses

CH4 sources characterized and quantified

P

Vegetation (AVHRR, MODIS)

Ocean Color (SeaWiFS, MODIS)

Land Cover (Landsat) Bridge (LDCM) Land Cover (OLI)

Vegetation, Fire (AVHRR, MODIS) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPP) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPOESS)

Models & Computing Capacity

Case Studies

Process UnderstandingImprovements:

Human-Ecosystems-Climate Interactions (Model-Data Fusion, Assimilation); Air-Sea Flux

T

Partnership

N. American Carbon Program

Land Use Change in Amazonia

Global CH4; Wetlands, Flooding & Permafrost

Global C Cycle

K

no

wle

dg

e B

ase

2002: Global productivity and land cover resolution coarse; Large uncertainties in biomass, fluxes, disturbance, and coastal events

Systematic Observations

Process controls; errors in sink reduced

Coastal Carbon

Southern Ocean Carbon Program, Air-Sea CO2 Flux

Report

Carbon Cycle and Ecosystems Roadmap

T

2002 2010 2012 2014 20152004

Reduced flux uncertainties; global carbon dynamics

Funded

Unfunded

Global Ocean Carbon / Particle Abundance

N. America’s carbon budget quantified

Global Atmospheric CO2 (OCO)

2006 2008

Reduced flux uncertainties; coastal carbon dynamics

NA Carbon NA Carbon Global C Cycle

T = Technology development

Regional carbon sources/sinks quantified for planet

IPCC IPCC

Effects of tropical deforestation quantified; uncertaintiesin tropical carbon source reduced

= Field Campaign

Go

als

: G

lob

al

pro

du

cti

vit

y a

nd

la

nd

co

ve

r c

ha

ng

e a

t fi

ne

re

so

luti

on

; b

iom

as

s a

nd

ca

rbo

n f

lux

es

qu

an

tifi

ed

; u

se

ful

ec

olo

gic

al

fore

ca

sts

an

d i

mp

rov

ed

cli

ma

te c

ha

ng

e p

roje

cti

on

s

Vegetation 3-D Structure, Biomass, & Disturbance T Terrestrial carbon stocks &

species habitat characterized

Models w/improved ecosystem functions

High-Resolution Atmospheric CO2 Sub-regional sources/sinks

Integrated global analyses

CH4 sources characterized and quantified

Report

P

Vegetation (AVHRR, MODIS)

Ocean Color (SeaWiFS, MODIS)

Land Cover (Landsat) Bridge (LDCM) Land Cover (OLI)

Vegetation, Fire (AVHRR, MODIS) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPP) Ocean/Land (VIIRS/NPOESS)

Models & Computing Capacity

Case Studies

Process UnderstandingImprovements:

Human-Ecosystems-Climate Interactions (Model-Data Fusion, Assimilation); Air-Sea Flux

T

Partnership

N. American Carbon Program

Land Use Change in Amazonia

Global CH4; Wetlands, Flooding & Permafrost

Global C Cycle

K

no

wle

dg

e B

ase

2002: Global productivity and land cover resolution coarse; Large uncertainties in biomass, fluxes, disturbance, and coastal events

Systematic Observations

Process controls; errors in sink reduced

Coastal Carbon

Southern Ocean Carbon Program, Air-Sea CO2 Flux

Physiology & Functional Types

• North American Carbon Program (03-04/Partnership)

• Global Ocean Carbon/Particle Abundance

• Coastal Carbon

• Physiology and Functional Types

• Southern Ocean Carbon Program (Partnership)

• Challenges – update technology roadmaps, slide time line forward….

CC&E Roadmap - OceansCC&E Roadmap - Oceans CC&E Roadmap - OceansCC&E Roadmap - Oceans

Ocean Biology and Ocean Biology and BiogeochemistryBiogeochemistry

Where do we go from here?Where do we go from here?

Ocean Biology and Ocean Biology and BiogeochemistryBiogeochemistry

Where do we go from here?Where do we go from here?

• Agency – advance planning, reorg

• SMD reorg + Earth science advance planning

• Focus Area advance planning

• Programmatic advance planning – the next 20-30 years of ocean biology and biogeochemistry research

• Agency – advance planning, reorg

• SMD reorg + Earth science advance planning

• Focus Area advance planning

• Programmatic advance planning – the next 20-30 years of ocean biology and biogeochemistry research

99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15NPOESS OPS

TOPEX/P.JASONOSTM

AQUARIUS

Directed

Competed

QuikSCAT

GRACE

Beyond OSTM (2008) and Aquarius (2009), there are no approved NASA oceanographic satellite missions

NASA Current and Approved Oceans and Ice MissionsNASA Current and Approved Oceans and Ice Missions

TodayPrimary MissionApproved Extended MissionConditionally Approved Extended Mission

AQUA/MODIS

ICESAT

SEAWIFSComm

Advance Plan Team

Contributors:

Michael Behrenfeld – Oregon State University

Paula Bontempi – NASA HQ

Heidi Dierssen – University of Connecticut

Charles McClain – NASA GSFC

Paul DiGiacomo – NASA JPL

Steve Lohrenz – University of Southern Mississippi

Frank Muller-Karger – University of South Florida

David Siegel – University of California - Santa Barbara

James Yoder – URI/WHOI

Advance Plan Process

• Science Questions to address the next 30 years of Ocean Biology and Biogeochemistry Research – benefit to society

• Science Measurements (from space)

• Observational Strategy - In situ and remote technology options

– Technological readiness

– Science prioritization

• Introduction – P. Bontempi/NASA HQ

• Science Questions – D. Siegel/UCSB

• Observational Strategies – M. Behrenfeld/OSU & P. DiGiacomo/NASA JPL

• Systematic Observations, Partnerships, Modeling, In situ planning, Summary – P. Bontempi/NASA HQ

• Community Feedback and Discussion – P. Bontempi & P. DiGiacomo

– Science Questions

– Prioritization

Role of the CommunityRole of the Community

NASA Ocean Biology & Biogeochemistry Program

Earth’s Living Ocean:The Undiscovered World

(The Unseen World)