myanma alinn daily_ 14 february 2016 newpapers.pdf

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[14-2-2016]

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rD;avmifcsdefü avwkduftm;

aumif;aejcif;? 0g; "edtdrfrsm;

jzpfaejcif;wdkYaMumifhjzpfaMumif;

od&onf/

xdkYtjyif rD;avmif&modkY oGm;

&mü yvaus;&Gmtxd um;jzifh

12 rdkifom oGm;a&mufEkdifNyD;

,if;rS a&vrf;c&D;jzifh 15 rkdifrQ

uGma0;aecJh&m NrdwfbufrS

oGm;ygu a&rkdif 22 rdkif 3 zmvHkrQ

uGma0;í tqifhqifh oGm;a&muf

rD;Nid§rf;owf&onf[k od&onf/


t,feDndKt ajctae

t,feDndKjzpfpOfqdkonfrSm tDauGwmteD;

ypdzdwfork'´&mwGif yifv,fa&rsufESmjyif tylcsdef

ykHrSefxuf ydkrdkylaEG;jcif;udkac:onf/ 2015 ckESpf

'DZifbmvv,ftwGif; tDauGwmteD;&Sd tylydkif;

ypdzdwfork'´&m ta&SUtv,fydkif; (East-Central

Tropical Pacific Ocean) \ yifv,fa&rsufESmjyif

tylcsdefonf tm;aumif;aom t,feDndKjzpfay:Edkif

onfhtqifhtxd ylaEG;vsuf&Sdaeonf/ cefYrSef;csuf

rsm;t& tqdkyg ypdzdwfork'&mwGif 2015-2016

ckESpf 'DZifbm? Zefe0g&DESifh azazmf0g&D oHk;vysrf;rQ

yifv,fa&rsufESmjyiftylcsdefonf tm;taumif;qkH;

t,feDndKtqifhodkY a&muf&Sdatmif ylaEG;Edkifojzifh

1950 jynfhESpfrS 2014 ckESpftwGif; ြjzpfay:cJhaom

t,feDndKjzpfpOfrsm;teuf tm;taumif;qkH; jzpfcJh

onfh 1972-1973 ? 1982-1983 ESifh 1997-

1998 ckESpfwdkYxuf ydkrdktm;aumif;aom t,feDndK

(Very Strong El-Nino) ြjzpfvmEdkifaMumif;?

t,feDndKjzpfpOfonf 2016 ckESpf rwf? {NyDESifh

artxd qufvufjzpfay:EdkifNyD; wjznf;jznf;

tm;avsmhoGm;EdkifaMumif; urÇmhrdk;av0oXmecsKyf

(World Meteorological Organization)ESifh EdkifiH

wumrdk;av0oESifh &moDOwkcefYrSef;a&; A[dkXme

rsm;rS xkwfjyeftoday;xm;onf/

t,feDndKjzpfpOfESifh &moDOwktay:tusdK;oufa&mufrI

avxkESifh yifv,fork'&mwdkY\ tjyeftvSef

oufa&mufrI (Atmosphere-Ocean interaction

process) onf &moDOwktay:udk tusdK;jyKayonf/

odkYjzpf&m t,feDndKjzpfpOfonfvnf; yifv,fork'&m

qdkif&m jzpfpOfwpfckjzpfí avxkESifh yifv,fork'&m

wdkY\ tjyeftvSef oufa&mufrIaMumifh urÇmh&moD

Owktay: tusdK;oufa&mufaponf/ t,feDndKESpf

rsm;wGif yifv,fa&rsufESmjyiftxuf avwdkufcwf

ykHonf ykHrSefESpfrsm;wGif wdkufcwfavh&Sdaom avpD;

aMumif;rsm;ESifhrwlbJ ajymif;vJoGm;onfudk ykHwGif

awGU&SdEdkifonf/

t,feDndK\ qefYusifbufjzpfpOfjzpfonfh vmeDnm

(La Nina) t ajctaeodkY ajymif;oGm;avh&Sdonf/

odkY&mwGif tcsdKUaoma'orsm;wGif t,feDndKjzpfpOf

tm;aysmhoGm;onfh tcsdefumva&muf&SdrSomvQif

t,feDndK\tusdK;oufa&mufrIjzpfonfh tm;aumif;

onfh rkefwdkif;rsm;jzpfay:jcif;? rdk;&GmoGef;rI ykHrSef

r[kwfjcif;? rdk;&GmoGef;rI avsmhenf;jcif;(rdk;acgifjcif;)?

yljyif; ajcmufaoGUjcif; ponfh t,feDndK&moDOwkudk

cHpm;&avh&Sdonf/

1900 jynfhESpfrSpí avhvmxm;onfhrSwfwrf;

rsm;t& t,feDndKjzpfpOf 26 Budrf&SdcJh&m t,feDndK

jzpfpOfNyD;onfhaemuf 50 &mcdkifEIef;onf ykHrSef

t ajctaejzpfcJhNyD; 40 &mckdifEIef;onf vmeDnm

t ajctaejzpfcJhaMumif; 2016 ckESpf 'kwd,ESpf0uf

umvwGif jzpfay:Edkifonfh ykHrSefjzpfpOfESifh vmeDnm

jzpfpOf ြjzpfay:EdkifrIt ajctaeonf nDwlnDrQ

jzpfaeaMumif; MopaMw;vs rdk;av0oXme (Bureau

of Meteorology, Australia) rS cefYrSef;xm;

onf/

t,feDndKESifh jrefrmEdkifiH\ &moDOwktay:

qef;ppfcsuf

udkvHbD,mwuúodkvf&Sd tjynfjynfqdkif&m

&moDOwkESifh vlrIqdkif&mokawoetzGJU (Interna-

tional Research Institute for Climate and Society

(IRI) rS t,feDndKESpfrsm;wGif urÇmhEdkifiHtoD;oD;

\ &moDOwkt ajctae qef;ppfcsuf (ykHrSef? pGwfpdk?

ajcmuf aoGU)udk (1950-2002 ckESpf) rSwfwrf;rsm;

tay: t ajccHwGufcsufrIrsm;t& t,feDndKESpfrsm;

wGif jrefrmEdkifiH\ aEG&moDumv (azazmf0g&D?

rwfESihf {NyD)rsm;ü pGwfpdktajctaeudk jrefrmEdkifiH

ajrmufydkif;a'orsm; (ucsifjynfe,f)wGif ြjzpfay:

EdkifNyD; ြjzpfEdkifpGrf;taejzifh 0 'or 4 rS 0 'or

5 cefY &SdNyD; usefa'orsm;wGif ြjzpfEdkifpGrf; avsmhenf;

aMumif; awGU&Sd&onf/ ykHrSeftajctaeudk &Srf;jynf

e,f ajrmufydkif; ? ppfudkif;wdkif;a'oBuD; txufydkif;

ESifh &cdkifjynfe,f ajrmufydkif;wdkYwGif ြjzpfay:EdkifNyD;

60 &mcdkifEIef;rS 70 &mcdkifEIef;txd&Sdonfh a'o

rsm;rSm ucsifjynfe,f? csif;jynfe,f? &Srf;jynfe,f

ajrmufydkif;? ppfudkif;wdkif;a'oBuD;? rEÅ av;wdkif;

a'oBuD;? rauG;wdkif;a'oBuD;wdkYြjzpfNyD;? 70 &mcdkif

EIef;rS 100 &mcdkifEIef;txd aocsmonfha'orsm;

odkYjzpf&m avpD;aMumif;rsm; ြြajymif;vJwdkufcwf

onfhtwGuf urÇmwpf0ef;&Sd rdk;av0ojzpfpOfrsm;ESifh

&moDOwkrsm;onfvnf; ajymif;vJoGm;aponf/

txufavxkwdkufcwfykH ajymif;vJoGm;ojzifh ykHrSef

rdk;enf;onfhae&mrsm;wGif rdk;rsm;jcif;? rdk;rsm;onfh

ae&mrsm;wGif rdk;enf;í rdk;acgifrIjzpfapjcif;? atmuf

bufavpD;aMumif;rsm; wdkufcwfaom a'orsm;wGif

wdrfjzpfxGef;rIenf;NyD; aeYtylcsdefjrifhrm;um yljyif;

ajcmufaoGUrI jzpfay:jcif;? yifv,fa&ylaEG;rIaMumifh

tm;aumif;aom tylydkif;rkefwdkif;rsm; jzpfay:jcif;

ponfwdkYonf t,feDndK&moDOwkjzpfonf/ ykHrSef

tm;jzifh t,feDndKjzpfpOfonf ESpfwpfESpf\ yxr

av;vywfESifh 'kwd,av;vywftwGif; tm;avsmh

oGm;NyD;aemuf ykHrSef(Neutral) tajctae (odkYr[kwf)

ykHrSefESpfESifh t,feDndKESpfrsm;wGif avpD;aMumif;rsm; vSnfhywfwdkufcwfrIjyykH

(Atmosphere-Ocean interaction process)

ykHrSefESpf (Neutral) t,feDndKESpf (El Nino)

jzpfEdkifpGrf;taejzifh 0 'or 4 rS 0 'or 6cefY

&SdNyD; usefa'orsm;wGif jzpfEdkifpGrf;avsmhenf;aMumif;

awGU&Sd&onf/

ajcmufaoGUtajctaeudk ြjrefrmEdkifiH ta&SU

ydkif; (&Srf;jynfe,fawmifydkif;ESifh u,m;jynfe,f)

wGifvnf;aumif;? jrefrmEdkifiHtv,fydkif; a'orsm;

(rEÅav;wdkif;a'oBuD;? rauG;wdkif;a'oBuD;)wGif

vnf;aumif;? ြjrpf0uRef;ay:a'orsm; (yJcl;wdkif;

a'oBuD;? &efukefwdkif;a'oBuD;? {&m0wDwdkif;a'o

BuD;)wGifvnf;aumif;? jrefrmEdkifiH awmifydkif;a'o

rsm; (u&ifjynfe,f? rGefjynfe,fESifh weoFm&Dwdkif;

a'oBuD;)wGifvnf;aumif; jzpfay:EdkifNyD; jzpfEdkifpGrf;

taejzifh 0 'or 7 rS 1 'or 0 txd&SdaMumif;

awGU&Sd&onf/

t,feDndKjzpfpOfaMumifh NyD;cJhonfh 2015 ckESpf

'DZifbmvwGif jrefrmEdkifiH\ wdkif;a'oBuD;ESifh

jynfe,frsm;wGif ြjzpfay:cJhaom &moDOwktajctae

(rdk;a&csdefESifh tylcsdef)rsm;tm; avhvmMunfhygu

rdk;&GmoGef;rI tajctaerSm weoFm&Dwdkif;a'oBuD;?

ucsifjynfe,fESifh u,m;jynfe,fwdkYwGif &GmoGef;

NrJxufydkcJhNyD; usefwdkif;a'oBuD;ESifh jynfe,fwdkYwGif

&GmoGef;NrJatmufavsmhenf;um &GmoGef;cJhygonf/

'DZifbmvwGif b*Fvm;yifv,fatmfü avzdtm;

enf;&yf0ef;ESifh rkefwdkif;rsm;jzpfay:rI enf;yg;cJhNyD;?

rdk;a&csdef&&Sdonfh yrmPrSmvnf; vGefpGmenf;yg;

cJhonf/ ntylcsdefrsm;tajctaerSmvnf; weoFm&D

wdkif;a'oBuD;ESifh rGefjynfe,fwdkYwGif 'DZifbmv\

ysrf;rQtylcsdefwdkYxuf tenf;i,fydkcJhNyD; usefwdkif;

a'oBuD;ESif ြ jynfe,fwdkYwGif 'DZifbmv\ ysrf;rQ

tylcsdefcefY &SdcJhojzifh ylaEG;onfhtajctae ြjzpfay:

cJhonfudk awGU&onf/

jrefrmEdkifiHtwGuf 2016 ckESpf aEG&moDumv

azazmf0g&D? rwfESihf {NyD cefYrSef;csuf

urÇmhrdk;av0otzGJUcsKyf (World Meteorolo-

gical Organization)\ &uf&Snf&moDOwkcefYrSef;

a&;XmerS tm&Sa'otwGuf Zefe0g&Dvudk tajccHNyD;

2016 ckESpf aEG&moDumv azazmf0g&D? rwfESihf

{NyD\ rdk;a&csdefESifh tylcsdefudk cefYrSef;xm;onf/

rdk;&GmoGef;rIcefYrSef;csufrsm;taejzifh wpfEdkifiHvkH;wGif

&GmoGef;NrJxuf ydkEdkifonfha'orsm;r&SdbJ &GmoGef;NrJ

rdk;a&csdefatmuf avsmhenf;&GmoGef;Edkifonfh a'o

rsm;om&Sdonf/ &GmoGef;NrJatmuf avsmhenf;rI

20 &mcdkifEIef;rS 30 &mcdkifEIef;cefY aocsmrI&Sdonfh

a'orsm;rSm ucsifjynfe,f? csif;jynfe,f? &Srf;

jynfe,fajrmufydkif;? ppfudkif;wdkif;a'oBuD;?

rEÅav;wdkif;a'oBuD;ESifh rauG;wdkif;a'oBuD;wdkY

jzpfNyD; &GmoGef;NrJatmuf avsmhenf;rI 50 &mcdkifEIef;

xd aocsmrI&Sdonfh a'orsm;rSm &cdkifjynfe,f? &Srf;

jynfe,f awmifydkif;ESifh ta&SUydkif; ? u,m;jynfe,f?

yJcl;wdkif;a'oBuD;? {&m0wDwdkif;a'oBuD;? 50 &mcdkif

EIef;rS 60 &mcdkifEIef;xd aocsmrI&Sdonfh a'orsm;rSm

u&ifjynfe,f? rGefjynfe,f? &efukefwdkif;a'oBuD;

ESifh weoFm&Dwdkif;a'oBuD;wdkY jzpfMuonf/

aeYtylcsdefrsm;taejzifh wpfjynfvkH;wGif ysrf;rQ

tylcsdef(ykHrSeftylcsdef)xuf ydkEdkifNyD; aocsmrI&mcdkifEIef;

Source: International Research Institute for Climate and Society (IRI)

rSm aejynfawmf? &Srf;jynfe,f awmifydkif;? &cdkif

jynfe,f? u,m;jynfe,f? rGefjynfe,f? u&ifjynfe,f?

yJcl;wdkif;a'oBuD;? &efukefwdkif;a'oBuD;? {&m0wD

wdkif;a'oBuD;ESifh weoFm&Dwdkif;a'oBuD;wdkY ြjzpf

onf/

okH;oyfcsuf

tm;toifhtwifh&Sd t,feDndKESpfjzpfonfh 2010

jynfhESpfwGif aEG&moDumvjzpfaom rwfvrS arv

twGif; uav;0? rkH&Gm? rEÅav;? rdw¬Dvm? jrif;rl?

jrif;NcH? anmifOD;? aejynfawmf(ysOf;rem;)? aejynf

awmf(a&qif;)? &rnf;oif;? jyifOD;vGif? rdk;ukwf?

rauG;? rif;bl;? yckuúL? jynf? &efukef(urÇmat;)?

c&rf;? odrfZ&yf? aumhaomif;ESifh trf;NrdKUwdkYwGif

aeYtylcsdefrsm; pHcsdefwifjrifhwufcJh&m jrif;rlNrdKUwGif

arvtwGif; tjrifhqkH; tylcsdef 47 'or 2 'D*&D

pifwD*&dwftxd pHcsdefwifjrifhrm;cJhaMumif; rSwfwrf;

rsm;wGif awGU&Sd&onf/

2016 ckESpf aEG&moDumv azazmf0g&D? rwfESihf

{NyDtwGuf cefYrSef;csufrsm;t& jrefrmEdkifiHwGif

rdk;&GmoGef;rIavsmhenf;jcif;? tylcsdefjrifhrm;jcif; ponfh

&moDOwkudkom awGUBuHKEdkifonf/odkYjzpfí t,feDndK

jzpfpOf\ tusdK;oufa&mufrIaMumifh rdk;&GmoGef;rI

avsmhenf;jcif;? aEG&moDwGif aeYtylcsdef jrifhrm;jcif;

ponfh &moDOwktajctaersm; jzpfay:vmEdkif

ojzifh yljyif; ajcmufaoGUjcif;? a&&Sm;yg;jcif;ESifh tyl

aMumifhjzpfay:Edkifonfh usef;rma&;qdkif&m jyóem

rsm; ြBuHKawGU&Edkifygonf/ aEG&moDumvrsm;wGif

jrpfacsmif;rsm;ü jrpfa&rsm; ykHrSefxufavsmhenf;

jcif;rsm; jzpfay:vmEdkifygonf/ tqdkygtajctae

rsm;onf pdkufysdK;a&;? tpm;tpmzlvkHa&;? pdkufysdK;

a&&&Sda&;? a&ay;a0a&;? aomufokH;a&zlvkHa&;?

vQyfppfrD;&&Sda&;? usef;rma&;? ig;vkyfief;? a&aMumif;

oGm;vma&;? c&D;oGm;vkyfief; ponfhu@rsm;wGif

oufa&mufrIrsm; &SdEdkifonf/

EdkifiHwumrS t,feDndKESifhywfoufí

BudKwifjyifqifaqmif&Gufcsufrsm;

tdE´d,EdkifiH\ rkwfokH&moDtwGif; rdk; &&SdrI

avsmhenf;jcif;onf t,feDndKjzpfpOfESifh tm;aumif;

pGm qufpyfaeonfhtwGuf 2015 ckESpf rkwfokH&moD

pmrsufESm 7 aumfvH 1 okdY

t,feDndKESpfrsm;wGif aEG&moDumv (azazmf0g&D? rwfESifh {NyD)rsm;ü

jrefrmEdkifiH\ rdk;&&SdrItay: qef;ppfcsuf

pGwfpdktajctae yHkrSeftajctae ajcmufaoGUtajctae

jzpfEdkifpGrf;(Probability) jzpfEdkifpGrf;(Probability) jzpfEdkifpGrf;(Probability)


pmrsufESm 6 rS

wGif &GmoGef;onfh rdk;a&csdefonf &GmoGef;NrJrdk;a&csdef

atmuf avsmhenf;cJhaMumif; tdEd,EdkifiH rdk;av0o

XmerS xkwfjyefxm;onf/ odkYtwGuf tdE´d,EdkifiH

wGif t,feDndKjzpfpOftay: wkHYjyefaqmif&Gufcsuf

rsm;taejzifh rdk;acgifa&&Sm;rItm; udkifwG,f ajz&Sif;

&ef a&avSmifwrHrsm;&Sd a&udk rSefrSefuefuef tokH;jyK

apjcif;? rsdK;BuJonfhtcsdefajymif;vJ&ef (odkYr[kwf)

oifhavsmfonfh tjcm;aumufyJoD;ESHrsm; ajymif;vJ

pdkufysdK;apjcif;ESifh oD;ESHrsm;tm; raocsmonfh

aps;uGufrsm;udk wifydkYa&mif;csjcif; rjyK&ef v,f

orm;rsm;tm; tBuHay;jcif;ponfh êBudKwifjyifqif

rIrsm;udk tdE´d,EdkifiH A[dktpdk;&ESifh jynfe,ftpdk;&

rsm;taejzifh jyifqifxm;&Sdonf/

zdvpfydkifEdkifiHwGif t,feDndKjzpfpOftay: wkHYjyef

aqmif&Gufcsufrsm;taejzifh tpdk;&at*sifpD

tm;vkH;udk êBudKwifjyifqifxm;&ef? vlOD;a&txl

xyfqkH;a'ojzpfaom Northern Luzon a'o&Sd

jynfolrsm;tm; aemufvmrnfh aEG&moDumv

av;vtwGuf jyifqifrIrsm; jyKvkyfxm;&ef EId;aqmf

xm;onf/ zdvpfydkifor®wuvnf; t,feDndKjzpfpOf

oufa&mufrIaMumifh wdkif;jynfwGif xdcdkufrI

trsm;qkH;jzpfEdkifonfh pm;eyf&du©mxkwfvkyfonfh

pdkufysdK;a&;u@tay: tav;xm;apmifhMunfh&ef

nTefMum;xm;onf/ tpdk;&\ BudKwifjyifqifrI

wpfpdwfwpfydkif;taejzifh odyÜHESifhenf;ynmOD;pD;Xme

rS pDrHcsufrsm;a&;qGJxm;NyD;jzpfonf/ pDrHcsufrsm;

wGif rdk;&GmoGef;onfh wdrfrsm;jzpfay:vmapaom

enf;ynm (cloud seeding) ESifh qnf ajrmif;rsm;

twGuf a&xdef;odrf;rItpDtrHrsm; tp&Sdonfh

tjcm;aomtpdk;&Xmersm;u taumiftxnfazmf

rnfh vkyfief;rsm;twGuf jyifqifrIrsm; jyKvkyf&ef

oifhavsmfaom nTefMum;rIrsm; ay;rnfjzpfonf/

xdkYtjyif tjcm;aom tzGJUtpnf;rsm;taejzifhvnf;

NyD;cJhaom aEG&moDumvu EdkifiHtwGif;&Sd a'otcsdKU

wGif rdk;a&csdefenf;yg;jcif; (odkYr[kwf) rdk;&GmoGef;rI

r&SdonfhtcsdefwGif atmifjrifpGm ausmfjzwfvkyfaqmif

EdkifcJhonfhenf;vrf;rsm; &SdNyD;jzpfaomfvnf;

t,feDndK oufa&mufrIESifhpyfvsOf;í aemufvmrnfh

tqifhrsm;wGif tpDtrHrsm; aqmif&Gufxm;jcif;?

ajcmufaoGUonfh &moDOwkESifh vdkufavsmnDaxG

onfh pdkufysdK;rIenf;pepfrsm; &SmazGpl;prf;jcif;?

a&ay; a0a&;vkyfief;rsm; csJUxGifjcif;wdkYudkvnf;

aqmif&Gufxm;aMumif; od&Sd&onf/

xdkif;EdkifiHwGif t,feDndKjzpfpOftay: wkHYjyef

aqmif&Gufcsufrsm;taejzifh a&udk tcsdK;uscGJa0

okH;pGJ&ef nTefMum;xm;jcif;? tpdk;&u qef0,f,la&;

tpDtpOf taumiftxnfazmfuwnf;u qef

odkavSmifxm;&Sdjcif;wdkYudk aqmif&Gufxm;aMumif;

od&Sd&onf/

odkYjzpfí jrefrmEdkifiHtaejzifhvnf; aEG&moD

umvrsm;wGif t,feDndK&moDOwkjzpfonfh rdk;&Gm

oGef;rIavsmhenf;jcif;? aeYtylcsdefykHrSefxuf jrifhwuf

jcif; ponfwdkYudk êBuHKawGU&Edkifygojzifh u@

toD;oD;wGif êBudKwifjyifqifrIrsm; aqmif&Gufxm;

&Sd&ef vdktyfygaMumif; tBuHjyKwifjyvdkuf&ygonf/

jrpfBuD;em; azazmf0g&D 13

jrpfBuD;em;NrdKUwGif vDql½dk;&m ]uGmcsJ}uuGif;udk ,ckESpf Zefe0g&D 1

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UNDP (tNidrf;pm;)

Managing Director(Natural Grace Travels & Tours Co.,Ltd)

Director (King & Queen International Co.,Ltd)Director (Knowledge & Qualification International

Services Co.,Ltd)touf(82)ESpf

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