monetary policy- friday class
TRANSCRIPT
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MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY ASMONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY AS
TOOLS FORTOOLS FOR
GOOD GOVERNANCEGOOD GOVERNANCE
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OUTLINEOUTLINE
Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy
-- DefinitionDefinition
-- ChangesChanges inin thethe internationalinternational policypolicy settingsetting-- TargetsTargets andand InstrumentsInstruments ofof MonetaryMonetary PolicyPolicy
-- TheThe linklink betweenbetween thethe moneymoney supplysupply andand policypolicy targetstargets
-- CONCLUSIONCONCLUSION MonetaryMonetary PolicyPolicy
FISCALFISCAL POLICYPOLICY-- DDefinitionefinition ofof FiscalFiscal PolicyPolicy
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OUTLINEOUTLINE
--Key fiscal objectivesKey fiscal objectives
GOVERNMENT REVENUEGOVERNMENT REVENUE
-- Issues on taxationIssues on taxation
-- Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
-- Tax ComplianceTax Compliance
1.1. TaxTax ComplianceCompliance IssuesIssues
2.2. DecisionDecision toto nonnon-- complycomply
3.3. MeasuresMeasures toto improveimprove TaxTax ComplianceCompliance
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Part I: MONETARY POLICY AS A TOOLPart I: MONETARY POLICY AS A TOOL
FORFOR
GOOD GOVERNANCEGOOD GOVERNANCE
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MONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY ASMONETARY AND FISCAL POLICY AS
TOOLS FORTOOLS FOR
GOOD GOVERNANCEGOOD GOVERNANCEMONETARYMONETARY POLICYPOLICY
DefinitionDefinition
MonetaryMonetary policypolicy involvesinvolves allall thethe deliberatedeliberate decisionsdecisions andand
actionsactions byby thethe monetarymonetary authoritiesauthorities toto influenceinfluence thethe monetarymonetary aggregates,aggregates, thethe availabilityavailability ofof credit,credit,
interestinterest ratesrates andand
exchangeexchange rate,rate,
withwith aa viewview toto affectingaffecting monetarymonetary demand,demand, income,income,output,output, pricesprices andand thethe balancebalance ofof paymentspayments..
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Changes in the international policy settingChanges in the international policy setting
WorldWar 2 to 1971: DisciplineWorldWar 2 to 1971: Discipline
fixedfixed exchangeexchange ratesrates
smoothsmooth thethe businessbusiness cyclecycle
FromFrom 19711971 toto 19801980:: InstabilityInstability
LargeLarge deficitsdeficits onon thethe balancebalance ofof paymentspayments ExchangeExchange raterate depreciationdepreciation
inflationinflation acceleratedaccelerated
FromFrom 19801980 toto 19901990:: StabilityStability regainedregained
MoreMore marketmarket relatedrelated monetarymonetary policypolicy..
LowLow inflationinflation byby followingfollowing strictstrict macroeconomicmacroeconomic policiespolicies.. StabilityStability regainedregained inin spitespite ofof thethe monetarymonetary supplysupply targetstargets generallygenerally
notnot beingbeing veryvery successfulsuccessful..
FurthermoreFurthermore thethe CentralCentral BanksBanks independenceindependence inin manymany countriescountrieswaswas strengthenedstrengthened..
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19901990 -- 2005: transparency and increasing2005: transparency and increasing
global integrationglobal integration
StrictStrict monetarymonetary andand fiscalfiscal policiespolicies..
IncreasingIncreasing worldworld integrationintegration raisedraised crosscross-- borderborderfinancialfinancial flowsflows..
AA reductionreduction inin policypolicy freedomfreedom inin individualindividualcountriescountries..
VolatileVolatile capitalcapital flowsflows internationallyinternationally broughtbrought
problemsproblems ofof theirtheir ownown..
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Since 2005: More volatility in economicSince 2005: More volatility in economic
variables with more pressure on monetaryvariables with more pressure on monetary
policypolicy RisingRising foodfood pricesprices..
RisingRising fuelfuel pricesprices..
RisingRising inflationaryinflationary pressurespressures..
IncreasedIncreased interestinterest ratesrates..
MoreMore volatilityvolatility inin exchangeexchange ratesrates..
PressurePressure onon FiscalFiscal policypolicy -- moremore intervention?intervention?
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Targets and Instruments of Monetary PolicyTargets and Instruments of Monetary Policy
PolicyPolicy targetstargets PricePrice stabilitystability
EconomicEconomic growthgrowth
ExchangeExchange raterate stabilitystabilityMonetaryMonetary policypolicy instrumentsinstruments
OpenOpen marketmarket operationsoperations
TheThe settingsetting ofof thethe bank/discount/repobank/discount/repo raterate
ReserveReserve requirementsrequirements SelectiveSelective creditcredit controlscontrols
PublicPublic debtdebt managementmanagement
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The link between the money supply and policyThe link between the money supply and policy
targetstargets
Monetary policy can achieve either a price level target orMonetary policy can achieve either a price level target oran output target, but not both.an output target, but not both.
With instruments that directly only affects the moneyWith instruments that directly only affects the money
supply, the central bank can only achieve one target.supply, the central bank can only achieve one target. The flows between monetary policy instruments andThe flows between monetary policy instruments and
targets can be illustrated as follows:targets can be illustrated as follows:
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The link between the money supply and policyThe link between the money supply and policy
targetstargets
PP
Policyinstrumentsy Open market
operationsy
Accomodationpolicy - Repo
y Reserverequirements
y Public debtmanagement
Operatingtargetsy Repo ratey Borrowed
reservesy Non-
Borrowedreserves
Intermediatetargetsy Money
stocky
Interestratesy Price levely Nominal
GDP
Final Targetsy Inflation ratey Unemployment
ratey Real GDP
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CONCLUSIONCONCLUSION Monetary PolicyMonetary Policy
GoodGood governancegovernance throughthrough monetarymonetary policypolicy couldcould implyimplythatthat certaincertain targetstargets areare setset forfor variablesvariables suchsuch asasinflation,inflation, thethe growthgrowth inin thethe moneymoney supply,supply, oror thetheexchangeexchange raterate..
InIn SouthSouth AfricaAfrica todaytoday thethe policypolicy targettarget isis thethe inflationinflationraterate throughthrough thethe processprocess ofof inflationinflation targetingtargeting..
GoodGood governancegovernance inin thisthis countrycountry impliesimplies thatthat thetheinflationinflation raterate asas measuredmeasured byby CPIXCPIX (i(i..ee.. consumerconsumerpricesprices minusminus bondbond rates),rates), isis setset betweenbetween 33%% andand 66%%..
ThisThis hashas becomebecome importantimportant inin thethe globalisedglobalised worldworldandand thethe difficultydifficulty toto competecompete inin internationalinternational marketsmarkets..
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Part II: FISCAL POLICY AS A TOOLPart II: FISCAL POLICY AS A TOOL
FORFOR
GOOD GOVERNANCEGOOD GOVERNANCE
Revenue and expenditure policiesRevenue and expenditure policies
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DDefinition of Fiscal Policyefinition of Fiscal Policy
FiscalFiscal policypolicy entailsentails thethe waysways inin whichwhich governmentgovernment intervenesintervenesinin thethe economiceconomic activityactivity ofof aa countrycountry
throughthrough itsits expenditureexpenditure priorities,priorities, andand also,also, thethe wayway inin whichwhichsuchsuch expendituresexpenditures areare financedfinanced throughthrough taxestaxes andand borrowingborrowing..
FiscalFiscal policypolicy asas aa tooltool inin goodgood governancegovernance hashas bothboth anan activeactive--andand passivepassive elementelement..
TheThe activeactive elementelement impliesimplies thatthat thethe governmentgovernment takestakes aadeliberatedeliberate stepstep toto dodo somethingsomething,, forfor exampleexample toto decreasedecrease
thethe budgetbudget deficitdeficit.. TheThe passivepassive elementelement impliesimplies thatthat thethe governmentgovernment isis notnot
doingdoing somethingsomething,, forfor example,example, nono taxtax raterate changeschanges areareannouncedannounced inin aa particularparticular budgetbudget..
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Key fiscal objectivesKey fiscal objectives
1.1. Economic growthEconomic growth -- synchronize policiessynchronize policies2.2. Ensure fiscal stabilityEnsure fiscal stability3.3. Address the deepening of povertyAddress the deepening of poverty4.4. Progressively raise the ratio of capital formation to GDPProgressively raise the ratio of capital formation to GDP5.5. Address the saving catastropheAddress the saving catastrophe6.6. Ensure continuous productivity growthEnsure continuous productivity growth
Address high costs of power, transport, regulatoryAddress high costs of power, transport, regulatoryrequirements, security and other indirect costs that depressrequirements, security and other indirect costs that depressthe productivity of firmsthe productivity of firms
Upgrade deteriorating infrastructureUpgrade deteriorating infrastructure7.7. Promote enterprise development and deregulationPromote enterprise development and deregulation especiallyespecially
small businessessmall businesses8.8. Eliminate bottlenecks that prevent more effective delivery ofEliminate bottlenecks that prevent more effective delivery of
social servicessocial services9.9. Strengthen local and provincial government service deliveryStrengthen local and provincial government service delivery
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GOVERNMENT REVENUEGOVERNMENT REVENUE
WhyWhy dodo governmentsgovernments useuse taxestaxes toto interveneintervene inin thetheeconomy?economy?
RaiseRaise revenuerevenue
RedistributionRedistribution ofof incomeincome
Encourage/discourageEncourage/discourage certaincertain behaviourbehaviour
(sumptuary(sumptuary taxes)taxes)
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GOVERNMENT REVENUEGOVERNMENT REVENUE
RevenueRevenue derivedderived fromfrom variousvarious sourcessources:: taxation,taxation, loansloans andandincomeincome fromfrom propertyproperty..
SomeSome ofof thesethese taxestaxes areare visiblevisible (for(for exampleexample incomeincome tax)tax);;othersothers areare lessless visiblevisible toto thethe consumerconsumer becausebecause theythey areare
leviedlevied onon thethe producersproducers ofof rawraw materialsmaterials andand intermediateintermediategoodsgoods suchsuch asas VATVAT..
TaxesTaxes cancan bebe classifiedclassified asas beingbeing directdirect oror indirectindirect..
AA directdirect taxtax isis paidpaid directlydirectly byby thethe taxpayertaxpayer toto thetheRevenueRevenue ServiceService egeg.. IncomeIncome taxtax..
IndirectIndirect taxtax isis paidpaid onon goodsgoods andand services,services, andand isis paidpaid totothethe RevenueRevenue ServiceService byby aa thirdthird partyparty..
EgEg.. VATVAT andand customscustoms taxestaxes..
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Issues on taxationIssues on taxation
ProgressiveProgressive taxtax
ProgressiveProgressive taxtax indicatesindicates thatthat thethe percentagepercentage ofof thethe taxtax paidpaid ononincomeincome willwill increaseincrease asas incomeincome increasesincreases..
EgEg.. IncomeIncome taxestaxes
ProportionalProportional taxtax
TheThe taxpayertaxpayer payspays aa fixedfixed percentagepercentage ofof taxtax forfor differentdifferent levelslevels ofofincomeincome.. ThisThis impliesimplies thatthat thethe averageaverage taxtax raterate isis unchangedunchanged forfor allallthethe taxpayerstaxpayers (independent(independent ofof levelslevels ifif incomeincome earnedearned..
RegressiveRegressive taxtax
TheThe percentagepercentage taxtax decreasesdecreases asas incomeincome increasesincreases..
EgEg.. VATVAT
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Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
EquityEquity (Fairness)(Fairness)
EfficiencyEfficiency (Neutrality)(Neutrality)
AdministrativeAdministrative feasibilityfeasibility (Simplicity)(Simplicity)
FlexibilityFlexibility
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Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
EquityEquity (Fairness)(Fairness)
AnAn equitableequitable taxtax systemsystem shouldshould bebe inin lineline withwith thethe:: BenefitBenefit principleprinciple
AbilityAbility--toto--paypay principleprinciple TheThe taxtax burdenburden shouldshould bebe spreadspread fairlyfairly acrossacross thethe taxtax
basebase..
IfIf notnot itit willwill createcreate incentivesincentives forfor peoplepeople toto avoidavoid oror evenevenevadeevade taxestaxes..
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Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
EquityEquity (Fairness)(Fairness)
TheThe benefitbenefit principleprinciple PeoplePeople shouldshould bebe taxedtaxed ifif theythey directlydirectly benefitbenefit fromfrom thethe
availabilityavailability ofof certaincertain goodsgoods andand servicesservices thatthat thethe governmentgovernment
providesprovides.. KnownKnown asas useruser chargescharges..
CanCan bebe implementedimplemented wherewhere exclusionexclusion isis possiblepossible..
AbilityAbility toto paypay principleprinciple PeoplePeople paypay taxtax accordingaccording toto theirtheir economiceconomic abilityability (may(may bebe eithereither
income/wealthincome/wealth oror bothboth.. horizontalhorizontal equityequity
verticalvertical equityequity
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Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
EfficiencyEfficiency (Neutrality)(Neutrality)
TaxesTaxes maymay distortdistort pricesprices andand thereforetherefore distortdistort thetheallocationallocation ofof resourcesresources andand causecause economiceconomic instabilityinstability..
CreatesCreates deadweightdeadweight--losseslosses..
EconomistsEconomists alwaysalways conductconduct incidenceincidence analysesanalyses totodeterminedetermine truetrue taxtax burdenburden..
HighHigh taxtax percentagespercentages maymay affectaffect thethe behaviourbehaviour ofoftaxpayerstaxpayers inin thethe economyeconomy..
TheThe costcost ofof taxationtaxation (i(i..tt..oo economyeconomy--widewide resourceresourceallocation)allocation) shouldshould bebe keptkept asas lowlow asas possiblepossible..
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Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
EfficiencyEfficiency (Neutrality)(Neutrality) IncidenceIncidence AnalysisAnalysis
TheThe personperson whowho payspays thethe taxtax toto thethe authoritiesauthorities maymay notnotbebe samesame thethe samesame personperson whowho carriescarries thethe eventualeventual taxtaxburdenburden..
SinceSince taxestaxes imposeimpose anan additionaladditional costcost onon people,people, theytheywillwill trytry toto shiftshift thethe burdenburden ofof taxtax ontoonto someonesomeone elseelse..
TaxTax evasionevasion isis aa deliberatedeliberate andand deceitfuldeceitful efforteffort byby thethetaxpayerstaxpayers toto avoidavoid theirtheir taxtax obligationsobligations.. ThisThis isis aa
criminalcriminal offenceoffence -- punishablepunishable byby lawlaw.. TaxTax avoidanceavoidance impliesimplies thatthat aa taxpayertaxpayer changeschanges his/herhis/her
behaviourbehaviour soso thatthat thethe personalpersonal taxtax liabilityliability isis minimisedminimised..
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Prerequisites for a Good Tax SystemPrerequisites for a Good Tax System
AdministrativeAdministrative feasibilityfeasibility (Simplicity)(Simplicity)
TheThe taxtax systemsystem hashas toto bebe simplesimple enough,enough, soso thatthat everyeverypersonperson knowsknows exactlyexactly howhow muchmuch taxtax he/shehe/she hashas toto paypay..
TaxesTaxes createcreate costscosts forfor thethe taxpayerstaxpayers.. ThisThis costcost doesdoes notnot onlyonly
includeinclude thethe taxtax payments,payments, butbut alsoalso thethe costcost ofof keepingkeeping taxtaxrecordsrecords andand thethe expendituresexpenditures onon financialfinancial advisersadvisers..
ThisThis typetype ofof costcost isis calledcalled compliancecompliance costcost..
OnOn thethe administrationadministrationss sideside therethere alsoalso existsexists enforcementenforcementcostscosts..
AAgoodgood taxtax systemsystem shouldshould trytry toto minimiseminimise bothboth thesethese costscosts..
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Tax Evasion Vs Tax AvoidanceTax Evasion Vs Tax Avoidance The classic distinction between avoidance and evasion is due to Oliver Wendell Holmes, whoThe classic distinction between avoidance and evasion is due to Oliver Wendell Holmes, who
wrotewrote
""When the law draws a line, a case is on one side of it or the other, and if on the safe side isWhen the law draws a line, a case is on one side of it or the other, and if on the safe side is
none the worse legally that a party has availed himself to the full of what the law permits.none the worse legally that a party has availed himself to the full of what the law permits.
When an act is condemned as evasion, what is meant is that it is on the wrong side of theWhen an act is condemned as evasion, what is meant is that it is on the wrong side of theline..." (Bullen v. Wisconsin (1916), 240. U.S. 625 at p.630).line..." (Bullen v. Wisconsin (1916), 240. U.S. 625 at p.630).
Thus, the distinguishing characteristic of evasion is illegality.Thus, the distinguishing characteristic of evasion is illegality.
Tax evasion is the illegal manipulation of ones affairs with the intention to escape taxes. TaxTax evasion is the illegal manipulation of ones affairs with the intention to escape taxes. Tax
evasion is illegalevasion is illegal Tax avoidance is the rearrangement of a taxpayers affairs, within the law, in order to reduceTax avoidance is the rearrangement of a taxpayers affairs, within the law, in order to reduce
tax liability. Tax avoidance is legaltax liability. Tax avoidance is legal
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Tax Evasion Vs Tax AvoidanceTax Evasion Vs Tax Avoidance TaxTax avoidanceavoidance hashas gotgot toto dodo withwith substitutionsubstitution effecteffect ofof taxationtaxation.. WheneverWhenever oneone
activityactivity isis taxedtaxed moremore highlyhighly thanthan others,others, peoplepeople willwill switchswitch toto thethe lightlylightly taxedtaxed ororuntaxeduntaxed activityactivity ee..gg increaseincrease inin taxtax onon labourlabour incomeincome resultsresults inin thethe followingfollowing::
PuttingPutting inin moremore hourshours toto compensatecompensate
MoreMore leisureleisure (untaxed)(untaxed)
HomeHome productionproduction increasesincreases-- youyou keepkeep onon workingworking thethe samesame hours,hours, butbut youyou dividedividethemthem betweenbetween marketmarket workwork andand untaxeduntaxed homehome--productionproduction..
However,However, IfIf twotwo neighboursneighbours bothboth decidedecide toto increaseincrease theirtheir homehome production,production, andand atat
thethe samesame timetime theythey exchangeexchange goodsgoods inin kind,kind, theythey shouldshould bebe taxedtaxed ifif not,not, theythey arearesaidsaid toto bebe operatingoperating inin thethe undergroundunderground economyeconomy..
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Reasons for honestyReasons for honesty
PeoplePeople maymay tendtend toto overestimateoverestimate bothboth thethe probabilityprobability andandmagnitudemagnitude ofof penaltiespenalties;;
TheThe fearfear ofof socialsocial stigmastigma oror damagedamage toto theirtheir reputationreputation ifif theythey areare
exposedexposed asas cheaterscheaters..
PeoplePeople paypay taxtax becausebecause itit isis linkedlinked toto governancegovernance.. InIn thethe wordswords ofofFriedmanFriedman ((20032003::11)) wewe obeyobey thethe rulesrules whenwhen thethe governmentgovernment doesdoesitsits jobjob andand ensuresensures thatthat thethe systemssystems areare inin placeplace toto forceforce usus toto
complycomply
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Reasons for NonReasons for Non--compliancecompliance NegativeNegative attitudeattitude ofof citizenscitizens towardtoward thethe governmentgovernment
InadequateInadequate servicesservices fromfrom thethe GovernmentGovernment-- taxpayerstaxpayers believebelieve thatthat theythey dodo notnot receivereceivevaluevalue forfor moneymoney whenwhen comparingcomparing thethe servicesservices
CommunityCommunity standardsstandards-- whenwhen thethe generalgeneral levellevel ofof honestyhonesty inin thethe communitycommunity isis lowlow thethecompliancecompliance levellevel isis usuallyusually veryvery lowlow
TheThe levellevel ofof corruptioncorruption-- highhigh levelslevels ofof corruptioncorruption byby officialsofficials leadlead toto dishonestdishonesttaxpayerstaxpayers;;
InadequateInadequate interest/penaltyinterest/penalty regimes,regimes, whichwhich encourageencourage taxpayerstaxpayers toto evadeevade fillingfillingreturnsreturns andand payingpaying taxtax oror borrowborrow fromfrom thethe governmentgovernment..
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Reasons for NonReasons for Non--compliancecompliance LowLow riskrisk ofof discoverydiscovery--thethe perceptionperception thatthat thethe taxtax administrationadministration isis
weakweak andand thethe chanceschances ofof beingbeing caughtcaught areare lowlow enoughenough toto taketake thetheriskrisk
IgnoranceIgnorance andand confusionconfusion
PoorPoor serviceservice byby thethe taxtax administrationadministration
HighHigh compliancecompliance costscosts
DefectiveDefective lawlaw
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Creating Tax ComplianceCreating Tax ComplianceIntroduce selfIntroduce self--assessmentassessment
Administrative assessment is not compatible with modern taxAdministrative assessment is not compatible with modern taxadministrationadministration
SelfSelf--assessment helps improve effectiveness by focusing resourcesassessment helps improve effectiveness by focusing resourceson (1) tax services and (2) compliance enforcement (instead ofon (1) tax services and (2) compliance enforcement (instead ofpaperwork)paperwork)
SelfSelf--assessment helps reduce compliance and administrative costsassessment helps reduce compliance and administrative costs
SelfSelf--assessment helps reduce corruptionassessment helps reduce corruption
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Creating Tax ComplianceCreating Tax Compliance
AdequateAdequate servicesservices fromfrom thethe GovernmentGovernment-- taxpayerstaxpayers shouldshould receivereceive valuevalue forformoneymoney whenwhen comparingcomparing thethe servicesservices providedprovided byby GovtGovt..
KeepKeep thethe ratesrates lowlow;; fightfight taxtax basebase erosionerosion-- inin mostmost countriescountries taxtax basebase erosionerosionhashas ledled toto highhigh marginalmarginal (effective)(effective) taxtax ratesrates.. FollowingFollowing Allingham/SandmoAllingham/Sandmo--model,model, thethe lowerlower thethe marginalmarginal rate,rate, thethe lowerlower taxtax evasionevasion..
Focus on the probability of getting caught (ignoring risk seekers)Focus on the probability of getting caught (ignoring risk seekers)-- more effectivemore effectivethan increasing the penaltiesthan increasing the penalties-- increasing only the penalty without increasing theincreasing only the penalty without increasing theprobability, is inequitable.probability, is inequitable.
Make sure penalties are quickly applied (deterrent taxes should deter)Make sure penalties are quickly applied (deterrent taxes should deter)
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Creating Tax ComplianceCreating Tax Compliance Educate citizensEducate citizens-- Politicians should set the standard.Politicians should set the standard.
Identify main sources of underground activity and incorporate themIdentify main sources of underground activity and incorporate theminto the tax systeminto the tax system
Reduce compliance costReduce compliance cost-- simple and transparent proceduressimple and transparent procedures i.ei.esimplified tax regimes.simplified tax regimes.
Electronise the economy (making cash transaction limited)Electronise the economy (making cash transaction limited)
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GOVERNMENT EXPENDITUREGOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
TheThe governmentgovernment participatesparticipates inin thethe economyeconomy byby producingproducinggoodsgoods andand servicesservices..
GovernmentGovernment providesprovides thethe communitycommunity withwith collectivecollective
goods,goods, suchsuch asas education,education, defence,defence, infrastructureinfrastructure andandhealthhealth servicesservices..
TheThe compositioncomposition ofof governmentgovernment spendingspending reflectsreflects changeschangesinin thethe economy,economy, socialsocial conditionsconditions andand thethe prioritiespriorities ii..ee..
consumerconsumer preferencespreferences politicalpolitical andand otherother shocksshocks
redistributionredistribution ofof incomeincome
governmentgovernment failurefailure
populationpopulation growthgrowth andand urbanisationurbanisation
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GOVERNMENT EXPENDITUREGOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE
FunctionalFunctional classificationclassification ofof governmentgovernment spendingspending..
defencedefence andand onon healthhealth servicesservices..
BudgetBudget deficitdeficit
expendituresexpenditures exceedexceed revenuesrevenues..
ThisThis deficitdeficit hashas toto bebe financedfinanced toto getget thethe budgetbudget totobalancebalance..
DeficitsDeficits areare usuallyusually expressedexpressed asas aa percentagepercentage ofof thethe GDPGDP..
GoodGood governancegovernance wouldwould implyimply thatthat thethe ratioratio staysstays withinwithin limitslimitsthatthat areare acceptableacceptable forfor sustainablesustainable economiceconomic growthgrowth..
AA rulerule ofof thumbthumb isis thatthat thethe ratioratio inin anyany particularparticular fiscalfiscal yearyearshouldshould notnot exceedexceed thethe threethree perper centcent ((33%%)) levellevel..
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DEFICIT FINANCINGDEFICIT FINANCING
AffectsAffects levelslevels ofof nationalnational saving,saving, investmentinvestment andand thethecurrentcurrent accountaccount onon thethe balancebalance ofof paymentspayments..
SourcesSources ofof financefinance:: L
oansLoans
DomesticDomestic
ForeignForeign
LoanLoan levieslevies
TreasuryTreasury billsbills
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GOVERNMENT DEBTGOVERNMENT DEBT
DifferenceDifference betweenbetween thethe governmentgovernment debtdebt andand thethe deficitdeficit..
TheThe goalsgoals ofof debtdebt managementmanagement areare:: FinancialFinancial certaintycertainty
DebtDebt serviceservice minimisationminimisation
MacroeconomicMacroeconomic stabilisationstabilisation andand timetime consistencyconsistency
TheThe significancesignificance ofof publicpublic debtdebt cancan bebe expressedexpressed asas aapercentagepercentage ofofGDPGDP..
AccordingAccording toto thethe MaastrichtMaastricht TreatyTreaty thisthis ratioratio shouldshould notnot
exceedexceed thethe sixtysixty perper centcent ((6060%%)) levellevel..
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GoodGood governancegovernance inin fiscalfiscal policypolicy impliesimplies aa governmentgovernmentthatthat isis committedcommitted toto increasingincreasing thethe levellevel ofof welfarewelfare ofof allallthethe citizenscitizens ofof thethe particularparticular countrycountry..
Welfare
Welfare levelslevels couldcould bebe raisedraised byby bothboth governmentgovernmentrevenuerevenue programmes,programmes, oror directdirect oror indirectindirect expenditureexpenditure
programmesprogrammes..
CONCLUSIONCONCLUSION Fiscal PolicyFiscal Policy
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ReadingsReadings Harvey S. Rosen/ Ted Gayer: Public Finance (8Harvey S. Rosen/ Ted Gayer: Public Finance (8thth Ed)Ed)
Libanior Gilberto (2005): Good Governance in Monetary Policy andLibanior Gilberto (2005): Good Governance in Monetary Policy andthe negative effects of Inflation Targeting; available atthe negative effects of Inflation Targeting; available at
www.policyinnovations.org/ideas/policy_library/data/01191www.policyinnovations.org/ideas/policy_library/data/01191
Silvani CA (1992): improving tax Compliance in Bird R. andSilvani CA (1992): improving tax Compliance in Bird R. andCasanegra de Jantscher M (eds) Improving Tax Administration inCasanegra de Jantscher M (eds) Improving Tax Administration indeveloping Countries (IMF: Washington DC, pp 276developing Countries (IMF: Washington DC, pp 276--287, 293287, 293--297.297.