modeling the land-atmosphere hydrologic cycle and its coupling through river flow

66
Modeling the Land- Modeling the Land- Atmosphere Hydrologic Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle Cycle and its and its Coupling through River Coupling through River Flow Flow William J. Gutowski, Jr. William J. Gutowski, Jr. Dept. Geological & Atmospheric Science Dept. Geological & Atmospheric Science Iowa State University Iowa State University START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

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Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle and its Coupling through River Flow. William J. Gutowski, Jr. Dept. Geological & Atmospheric Sciences Iowa State University. START Temperate East Asia Regional Center(February 2000). … with much help from:. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Modeling the Land-Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle

and its and its Coupling through River FlowCoupling through River Flow

William J. Gutowski, Jr.William J. Gutowski, Jr.Dept. Geological & Atmospheric SciencesDept. Geological & Atmospheric Sciences

Iowa State UniversityIowa State University

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 2: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

… … with much help from:with much help from:

Charles J. VörösmartyCharles J. Vörösmarty22, Mark Person, Mark Person33,,

Zekai ÖtlesZekai Ötles11, Balazs Fekete, Balazs Fekete22

and Jennifer Yorkand Jennifer York33

1 1 - ISU- ISU2 2 - Univ. New Hampshire- Univ. New Hampshire3 3 - Univ. Minnesota- Univ. Minnesota

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 3: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

OutlineOutline

CLASPCLASP

- motivation - motivation

- calibration/validation- calibration/validation

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 4: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

OutlineOutline

CLASPCLASP

- motivation - motivation

- calibration/validation- calibration/validation

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 5: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

OutlineOutline

CLASPCLASP

- motivation - motivation

- calibration/validation- calibration/validation

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

Further directionsFurther directions

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 6: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Hydrologic Cycle - Modeling IssuesHydrologic Cycle - Modeling Issues

Time scale mismatchTime scale mismatch• land: land: slow slow • atmosphere: atmosphere: fast fast

Spatial scale mismatchSpatial scale mismatch• land: land: smallsmall• atmosphere: atmosphere: largelarge

Page 7: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

PBL

ATMOS

SVAT

Export throughStreamflow

SW/GW

External Forcing

CLASP

CCoupled LLand - AAtmosphere SSimulation PProgram

Page 8: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

PBL

ATMOS

SVAT

Export throughStreamflow

SW/GW

External Forcing

CLASP

ATMOS:ATMOS:• single columnsingle column• computedcomputed

vertical processesvertical processes

• specified lateral specified lateral forcingforcing

Page 9: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

PBL

ATMOS

SVAT

Export throughStreamflow

SW/GW

External Forcing

CLASP

SVAT & SVAT & SW/GW:SW/GW:• spatially spatially resolvedresolved

• vertical couplingvertical coupling

by soil/veg by soil/veg processesprocesses

• lateral couplinglateral coupling by river networkby river network

Page 10: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

1600 Cells1600 Cells

Page 11: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

ApplicationApplication

KansasKansas

Page 12: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

ApplicationApplication

FIFE - Konza Prairie, KansasFIFE - Konza Prairie, Kansas 1987-19891987-1989

Page 13: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

ApplicationApplication

FIFE - Konza Prairie, KansasFIFE - Konza Prairie, Kansas (from Oak Ridge DAAC FIFE page)

Page 14: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

PBL

ATMOS

SVAT

Export throughStreamflow

SW/GW

External Forcing

CLASP

Boundary Boundary Conditions:Conditions:

NCEP NGM analysesNCEP NGM analyses 9 Years (1985-93)9 Years (1985-93)

Page 15: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

5

10

15

20

0 90 180 270 360

950 hPa Specific HumidityTopeka vs. NGM

Topeka

NGM

Day of 1987

Page 16: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/ValidationCalibration/Validation

Observations: Betts and Ball (1998)Observations: Betts and Ball (1998)

(from Oak Ridge DAAC FIFE page)

Page 17: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/ValidationCalibration/Validation

1987: Calibration1987: Calibration

1988 & 1989: Validation1988 & 1989: Validation

Page 18: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/ValidationCalibration/Validation

1987: Calibration1987: Calibration

1988 & 1989: Validation1988 & 1989: Validation

Surface: GrasslandSurface: Grassland

Page 19: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/ValidationCalibration/Validation

1987: Calibration1987: Calibration

1988 & 1989: Validation1988 & 1989: Validation

Surface: GrasslandSurface: Grassland

Primary Targets: Primary Targets:

– Surface EvapotranspirationSurface Evapotranspiration

– Precipitation Precipitation

Page 20: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/Validation: AdjustmentsCalibration/Validation: Adjustments

PrecipitationPrecipitation

– Effective RH Effective RH (93.5%)(93.5%)

– Convective precip.Convective precip.

Page 21: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/Validation: AdjustmentsCalibration/Validation: Adjustments

PrecipitationPrecipitation

– Effective RH (93.5%)Effective RH (93.5%)

– Convective precip.Convective precip.

Soil MoistureSoil Moisture

– Root depth Root depth (1.42 m)(1.42 m)

– Water fractionWater fraction

Page 22: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Calibration/Validation: AdjustmentsCalibration/Validation: Adjustments

PrecipitationPrecipitation

– Effective RH (93.5%)Effective RH (93.5%)

– Convective precip.Convective precip.

Soil MoistureSoil Moisture

– Root depth (1.42 m)Root depth (1.42 m)

– Water fractionWater fraction

“ “Green-up”Green-up”

Page 23: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Ccan∝GLEAF

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

0 10 20 30 40 50

Gleaf - Original

Gleaf

T [˚C]

Page 24: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Ccan∝GLEAF

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

0 10 20 30 40 50

Gleaf - Original

Gleaf - Calibrated

Gleaf

T [˚C]

Page 25: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

50

100

150

200

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Surface Latent Heat Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = - 3 ; SDEV = 5 [W-m-2]

Page 26: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

120 150 180 210 240 270 300 330 360

Precipitation

FIFECLASP

Day of 1987

OBS = 2.5 ; BIAS = +0.04 ; SDEV = 7.7 [mm-d-1]

Page 27: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

20

40

60

80

100

150 180 210 240 270 300

Cloud Cover

FIFECLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = +0.3 % ; SDEV = 10 %

Page 28: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

20

40

60

80

100

150 180 210 240 270 300

Cloud Cover

FIFECLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = +0.3 % ; SDEV = 10 %

Page 29: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

-50

0

50

100

150

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Surface Sensible Heat Flux

FIFE+sdev

FIFE-sdev

CLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = + 1 ; SDEV = 6 [W-m-2]

Page 30: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Incident Solar Radiation

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = - 4; SDEV = 21 [W-m-2]

Page 31: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Incident Solar Radiation

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = - 4; SDEV = 21 [W-m-2]

Page 32: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

200

250

300

350

400

450

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Downward Infrared Flux

FIFE+sdev

FIFE-sdev

Day of 1987

CLASP

BIAS = + 3 ; SDEV = 9 [W-m-2]

Page 33: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

-100

-50

0

50

100

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Soil Heat Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1987

BIAS = + 6 ; SDEV = 7 [W-m-2]

Page 34: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

50

100

150

200

120 150 180 210 240

Latent Heat Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1988

(a)

2100

50

100

150

200

Day of 1989

(b)

VALIDATION

BIAS = - 48 , SDEV = 25 BIAS = + 6 , SDEV = 23 [W-m-2]

Page 35: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Precipitation

FIFE

CLASP

Day of 1988

VALIDATION

OBS = 1.4 ; BIAS = - 0.2 ; SDEV = 5.4 [mm-d-1]

Page 36: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

-80

-60

-40

-20

0

20

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Precipitation

FIFE

CLASP

Day of 1989

VALIDATION

OBS = 2.5 ; BIAS = - 1.0; SDEV = 8.0 [mm-d-1]

Page 37: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

-50

0

50

100

150

120 150 180 210 240

Sensible Heat Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1988

(a)

210-50

0

50

100

150

Day of 1989

(b)

VALIDATION

BIAS = + 33 , SDEV = 23 BIAS = - 13 , SDEV = 22 [W-m-2]

Page 38: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

150

200

250

300

350

400

120 150 180 210 240

Incident Solar Radiation

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1988

(a)

210

Day of 1989

(b)

VALIDATION

BIAS = + 22 , SDEV = 18 BIAS = - 34 , SDEV = 41 [W-m-2]

Page 39: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

200

250

300

350

400

450

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Downward Infrared Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1988

(a)

VALIDATION

BIAS = - 19; SDEV = 18 [W-m-2]

Page 40: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

200

250

300

350

400

450

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Downward Infrared Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASP

Day of 1989

(b)

VALIDATION

BIAS = - 13 ; SDEV = 7 [W-m-2]

Page 41: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

OutlineOutline

CLASPCLASP

- motivation - motivation

- calibration/validation- calibration/validation

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

Further directionsFurther directions

Page 42: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

Page 43: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

Page 44: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

Page 45: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Water cycle coupling through Water cycle coupling through

river flowriver flow

Configuration 1:Configuration 1:• Pure grasslandPure grassland• No river inflowNo river inflow

Page 46: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

40

80

120

160

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993

Latent Heat Flux

ENCR (grass)

[W-m

-2]

Year

Page 47: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

40

80

120

160

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993

Latent Heat Flux

ENCR (grass)E-NoE (grass)

[W-m

-2]

Year

Page 48: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

QuickTime™ and aGIF decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 49: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995

Discharge

ph.18-GR-NoE

Year

Page 50: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995

Discharge

ph.22-GR-ENCR

ph.18-GR-NoE

Year

Page 51: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

0 90 180 270 360

Lyon Creek, Kansas - Climatology(Dec. 1953 - Sep. 1974)

DAY OF YEAR

Page 52: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Water cycle coupling through Water cycle coupling through

river flowriver flow

Configuration 2:Configuration 2:• Mixed forest/grassMixed forest/grass• No river inflowNo river inflow

Page 53: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

40

80

120

160

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993

Latent Heat Flux

ENCR (for/gr)E-NoE (for/gr)

[W-m

-2]

Year

Page 54: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow
Page 55: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995

Discharge

ph.21-FG-Enc

ph.19-FG-NoE

Year

Page 56: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995

Discharge

ph.21-FG-Enc

ph.19-FG-NoE

Year

Page 57: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

OutlineOutline

CLASPCLASP

- motivation - motivation

- calibration/validation- calibration/validation

Water cycle coupling through river flowWater cycle coupling through river flow

Further directionsFurther directions

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 58: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Further DevelopmentsFurther Developments

CLASP CLASP MODFLOW MODFLOW Jennifer York (U. Mn)Jennifer York (U. Mn)

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 59: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Further DevelopmentsFurther Developments

CLASP CLASP MODFLOW MODFLOW Jennifer York (U. Mn)Jennifer York (U. Mn)

CLASP + LSMCLASP + LSM Dave Flory (ISU)Dave Flory (ISU)

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 60: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

BIAS = - 3 ; SDEV = 17 [W-m-2]

0

50

100

150

200

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Surface Latent Heat Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASPLSM

Day of 1987

Page 61: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

BIAS = - 6 ; SDEV = 3 [W-m-2]

-50

0

50

100

150

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Surface Sensible Heat Flux

FIFE+sdevFIFE-sdevCLASPLSM

Day of 1987

Page 62: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Further DevelopmentsFurther Developments

CLASP CLASP MODFLOW MODFLOW Jennifer York (U. Mn)Jennifer York (U. Mn)

CLASP + LSMCLASP + LSM Dave Flory (ISU)Dave Flory (ISU)

Grass-Forest DistributionGrass-Forest Distribution Meredith Lips (ISU)Meredith Lips (ISU)

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 63: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

Further DevelopmentsFurther Developments

Effect of Spatial Variability inEffect of Spatial Variability in

Sea-Surface TemperatureSea-Surface Temperature

(Mon. Weather Rev., 1998)(Mon. Weather Rev., 1998)

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 64: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

0

100

200

300

0 60 120 180 240 300 360

Het.Hom.

FL

[W/m

2]

Day of Year

+ 47%

Page 65: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

ConclusionsConclusions Credible calibration/validationCredible calibration/validation

• Hindered by model/driving data: vertical Hindered by model/driving data: vertical motion and precipitationmotion and precipitation

• Hindered by observations?Hindered by observations?

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)

Page 66: Modeling the Land-Atmosphere Hydrologic Cycle  and its  Coupling through River Flow

ConclusionsConclusions Credible calibration/validationCredible calibration/validation

• Hindered by model/driving data: vertical Hindered by model/driving data: vertical motion and precipitationmotion and precipitation

• Hindered by observations?Hindered by observations?

Horizontal coupling of water cycle Horizontal coupling of water cycle by river flowby river flow

• More important during dry than wet episodesMore important during dry than wet episodes

• Can increase area-averaged ET by 50% in Can increase area-averaged ET by 50% in some summerssome summers

START Temperate East Asia Regional Center (February 2000)