MarkDeMaria–NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NationalHurricaneCenterJasonSippel–NOAA/OAR/AOMLHurricaneResearchDivision

TheJHTisfundedbytheUSWeatherResearchPrograminNOAA/OAR'sOfficeofWeatherandAirQuality

73rdInterdepartmentalHurricaneConference

•  OurMission: transfer

3

Ourprocess

•  CallforProposals–draftedanddisseminated(bi-annually)

•  CurrentcallisforthreeyearsinconjunctionwithHWT,HMT

•  PrincipalInvestigatorsapplyforfundingthroughNOAA

•  SevenmemberSteeringCommitteeratesallproposals

•  Fundedprojectsaretestedduring1to3*hurricaneseasonsinconjunctionwithNHCpointsofcontact

•  Attheproject’send,eachisevaluatedbyNHCandJHTstaff

•  ImplementationofsuccessfulprojectsisthencarriedoutbyNHC

staff/PIs

•  ForecastorAnalysisBenefit:

• Efficiency:

• Compatibility:

• Sustainability:

5

AdministrativeChanges

•  JHTDirector(ChrisLandsea)becameNHCTropicalAnalysisandForecastBranchChiefMay2018•  MarkDeMaria(NHCTechnologyandScienceBranchChief)actingJHTDirector

•  JasonSippeltakingonlargerrole•  NewNHCScienceandOperationsOffice(SOO)by2019HurricaneSeason

•  LatestJHTannouncementofopportunity•  CombinedwithHWTandHMT•  LOIsreceivedNov2018•  Fullproposalsunderevaluationbysteeringcommittee•  Projectperiodextendedto3years

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JHT:Bythenumbers

•  81projectssupportedinrounds1-7(FY01-FY15)•  54Acceptedforoperationalimplementation•  23notaccepted•  4deferred

•  8projectsinround8(FY15-17)•  1completed,accepted•  7requestedno-costextensions,evaluationinprogress

•  6projectsinround9(FY17-19)•  RFPoutforround10(FY19-21)

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Round1-7Accepted/DeferredProjects

New JHT Projects - FY17-19: 9th round

ProjectTitle PrincipalInvestigator(s)

ImprovementstoOperationalStatisticalTropicalCycloneIntensityForecastModelsUsingWindStructureandEyePredictors

GalinaChirokova(CSU/CIRA),JohnKaplan(AOML/HRD)

Ensemble-basedPre-genesisWatchesandWarningsforAtlanticandNorthPacificTropicalCyclones

RussElsberry(UC-CS)

ImprovementsandExtensionstoanExistingProbabilisticTCGenesisForecastToolUsingandEnsembleofGlobalModels

BobHart(FSU),DanHalperin(Embry-Riddle)

EstimationofTropicalCycloneIntensityUsingSatellitePassiveMicrowaveObservations

HaiyanJiang(FloridaIntlUniv.)

TransitionofMachine-LearningBasedRapidIntensificationForecaststoOperations

AndrewMercerandKimberlyWood(MSU)

EvolutionaryProgrammingforProbabilisticTropicalCycloneIntensityForecast

PaulRoebberandClarkEvans(UW-Milwaukee)

New JHT Project Highlights FV3 vs. GFS TC Genesis probability: Hart/Halperin

Estimating TC intensity with PMW obs: Zhang

Improving SHIPS

forecasts with eye

detection: Chirokova

Improving RI fcst with machine learning: Mercer

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LessonedLearnedforSuccessfulR2O

•  EarlycoordinationwithprojectPIs•  DescribeNHC’soperationalcomputerenvironment•  NHCforecastcycleandtimeconstraints

•  Real-timedemonstrationsenlightening•  Twocategoriesofsuccessfulprojects

1.  Majornewcapabilities•  Examples:2003TCRapidIntensificationIndex2007Windspeedprobabilitymodel2015Hart/HalperinTCgenesisprobabilities

2.  UsedcompatiblesoftwareortestedinparalleloperationalITenvironment

•  Examples:2007AddGOESandoceanheatcontentpredictorstostatisticalmodels2013Extended-rangebaselinetrack/intensitymodels2017NRLTCsatelliteproductwebpageenhancements

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StatusofRound1-7Projects

ByRoundTotalRounds1-7

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The Joint Hurricane Testbed

www.nhc.noaa.gov/jht

Rappaportet.al.,2012-BAMS

MarkDeMaria–NOAA/NWS/NCEP/NationalHurricaneCenterJasonSippel–NOAA/OAR/AOMLHurricaneResearchDivision

TheJHTisfundedbytheUSWeatherResearchPrograminNOAA/OAR'sOfficeofWeatherandAirQuality

73rdInterdepartmentalHurricaneConference