mail no 2 ifm
TRANSCRIPT
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Dr . Deepak TandonLBSIM
DWARKA NEW DELHI
International Forex Markets and
Forex Risk Management
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Introduction to Forex Market
The Foreign Exchange Market (FX Market)
a market for converting the currency of one country
into the currency of another country.
Functionsconverting currencies
reducing risk
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y Forex Market spans the globe , with prices and currencies
y Trade starts each morning in Sydney and Tokyo,moves west to Hongkong and singapore,
passes on to Bahrain, shifts to main European markets of Frankfurt, Zurich and
London;jumps the Atlantic to New York; goes wesyt to Chicago ; ends in SanFransisco
and Los angeles
y Round the clock basis trading 24 hr a day process
y In some countries it is in bidding on trading floor
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Introduction to Forex MarketImportant places of the FX market
Tokyo
Hong Kong
Singapore
Dubai Mumbai
Sydney
Rio de Janeiro
Vienna
Madrid
Brussels
Mexico City
Sao Paulo
Important places of the FX market
London
New York
Paris
Chicago
Frankfurt
Hamburg
Dsseldorf
Amsterdam
San Francisco
Melbourne
Zurich
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Introduction to Forex Market
Organization of the FX marketMarket levels in the FX market
1. Wholesale Level (95% of transaction volume)
Major banks (Inter-bank market)
2. Retail LevelBanks deal with business customers (large firms)
Basic Types of FX MarketsSpot Market
Immediate transaction (Cash or, Tom)
Currencies to be delivered within 2 business days.
Forward MarketCurrencies delivery at a specified future date
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Introduction to Forex MarketOrganization of the FX Market
Participants in the Inter-Bank MarketMajor commercial banks (market makers)
Sell and buy foreign currencyBrokersMatch supply and demandCommission Rs 2500 (For USD 1 million or, equivalent)Other Commercial BanksTo participate in foreign exchange market
To cover revenues received in foreign currencyCentral banksTo participate for intervention purposes.
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Functions of Market
y Transfer of Purchasing power is necessary
y Inventory in transit is to be financed
y Forex Markets provide hedging facilities for transferring
Forex Risk to someone else more willing to carry risk
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Risks in Foreign ExchangePLAYERS IN FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
1. CUSTOMERS
2. COMMERCIAL BANKS
3. CENTRAL BANK
4. BROKERS
IIBANKS+NON BANK FOREX DEALERS
(speculators+arbitragers,treasuries, brokers)
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Risks in Foreign ExchangeFEATURESOF FOREIGN EXCHANGE MARKET
OMNI-PRESENT
SLEEPLESS
EXTRA INFORMATION DRIVEN EXPONENTIAL VOLATILITY
CAPITAL FLOW SENSITIVE
TWOTIER MARKET
INTER-BANK
OTC MARKET
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Risks in Foreign Exchange
IMPORTER BANK EXPORTER
Currency Risk
TransactionTranslation
Economic
Currency
RiskPosition
carrying
Translation
Currency
RiskTransaction
Translation
Economic
Interest Risk Interest Risk Interest Risk
Country Risk Country Risk Country Risk
Credit Risk Credit Risk Credit Risk
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Risks in Foreign ExchangeImporter Bank Exporter
Transit
Risk/
MarinePeril
Mismatch
of
maturities
Transit
Risk/
MarinePeril
Inferior
quality of
goods
Operational
Risk
Goods
rejected by
buyerFalse/ fake
documents
Adverse
selection
Insolvency
of LC
issuing
bank.