lng: the bridging fuel - international gas...

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1 Classification: Internal Status: Draft LNG: The Bridging Fuel Torgrim Reitan Senior Vice President, StatoilHydro, Trading & Operations 2 The Bridge World primary natural gas demand (BCM) 3000 4000 5000 Regional gas balances in 2030 (BCM) 100 0 100 200 300 400 Natural Gas – The bridge to a clean future LNG – Bridging regional imbalances Will the bridge be built? Liquefaction status in BCM 500 600 700 800 Possible Possible Speculative Speculative 0 1000 2000 3000 1980 2000 2006 2015 2030 -700 -600 -500 -400 -300 -200 -100 North America EU OECD Pacific China India Russia Middle East Africa Latin America Source: IEA 2008 World Energy Outlook, Reference Scenario 0 100 200 300 400 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: WoodMackenzie 2009 On On-stream stream Under construction Under construction Possible Possible Probable Probable

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Page 1: LNG: The Bridging Fuel - International Gas Unionmembers.igu.org/html/wgc2009web/admin/archivosNew/Speaker...LNG: The Bridging Fuel Torgrim Reitan Senior Vice President, StatoilHydro,

1

Classification: Internal Status: Draft

LNG: The Bridging FuelTorgrim Reitan

Senior Vice President, StatoilHydro, Trading & Operations

2

The Bridge

World primary natural gas demand (BCM)

3000

4000

5000

Regional gas balances in 2030 (BCM)

1000

100200300400

Natural Gas –The bridge to a clean future

LNG –Bridging regional imbalances

Will the bridge be built?

Liquefaction status in BCM

500

600

700

800

PossiblePossible

SpeculativeSpeculative

0

1000

2000

3000

1980 2000 2006 2015 2030

-700-600-500-400-300-200-100

NorthAmerica

EU OECDPacific

China India Russia MiddleEast

Africa LatinAmerica

Source: IEA 2008 World Energy Outlook, Reference Scenario

0

100

200

300

400

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

Source: WoodMackenzie 2009

OnOn--streamstream

Under constructionUnder construction

PossiblePossibleProbableProbable

Page 2: LNG: The Bridging Fuel - International Gas Unionmembers.igu.org/html/wgc2009web/admin/archivosNew/Speaker...LNG: The Bridging Fuel Torgrim Reitan Senior Vice President, StatoilHydro,

2

3

How to build a solid bridgeT t l LNG d d fi l

•Project maturation

•Flexibility in gas contracts

Total LNG demand versus firm supply

300

400

500

600

•Regulatory measures0

100

200

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Total LNG demand Firm liquefaction capacitySource: WoodMackenzie 2009

4

Bridging a portfolio

European portfolio Global spot market US portfolio

Page 3: LNG: The Bridging Fuel - International Gas Unionmembers.igu.org/html/wgc2009web/admin/archivosNew/Speaker...LNG: The Bridging Fuel Torgrim Reitan Senior Vice President, StatoilHydro,

3

Classification: Internal Status: Draft

LNG: The Bridging FuelTorgrim Reitan

Senior Vice President, StatoilHydro, Trading & Operations