livestock geo-wiki: maps for a safer and more equitable livestock sector

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Livestock GeoWiki: Maps for a safer and more equitable livestock sector Timothy Robinson, Catherine Pfeifer, William Wint, Simon Hay, Thomas van Boeckel, Giulia Conchedda, Giuseppina Cinardi, Jeroen Dijkman, Pierre Gerber, Theun Vellinger, Steffen Fritz, MarIna Duerauer, Gaëlle Nicolas and Marius Gilbert Global demand for meat, milk and eggs is driving livestock sector growth and transforma7on. Whilst this provides many economic opportuni7es, and promises to provide affordable animal source foods to many of the world’s undernourished poor, it comes with environmental, social and public health risks if not managed carefully. If policymakers are to guide sector growth along sustainable routes, par7cularly in the developing world, they will require sound analyses, based on reliable data. The livestock distribu7on maps made available through the Livestock GeoWiki are an essen7al founda7on for much important environmental, epidemiological and other work today. These maps have already been central to es7ma7ng greenhouse gas emissions from the livestock sector, for example, and have been used to asses the risk of H7N9 (a new bird flu strain) spreading in East Asia (based on a boosted regression tree model that includes chicken and duck densi7es [Gilbert et al. 2014]). Gilbert et al. (2014) Predic7ng the risk of avian influenza A H7N9 infec7on in live poultry markets across Asia. Nature CommunicaIons DOI: 10.1038/ncomms5116. Timothy Robinson [email protected] ● P.O. Box 3070900100 Nairobi Kenya ● + 254 20 422 3020 ● www.ilri.org Acknowledgements: This work is being funded by the CGIAR research programmes on the Humidtropics, Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS) and Livestock and Fish This document is licensed for use under a Crea7ve Commons Agribu7on – Non commercialShare Alike 3.0 Unported License November 2014 Introduc7on Materials and methods Results Research into use H7N9 infec7on risk Global, 1 km resolu7on maps of livestock densi7es are available for all of the major livestock species, and are already being downloaded and used The global pig map, shown to the lel, was recently reported by Vox to be among the 38 maps that explain the world economy. hgp://www.vox.com/2014/8/26/6063749/ 38mapsthatexplaintheglobaleconomy In a recent effort to bring together and disseminate spa7al data rela7ng to the global livestock sector the Livestock GeoWiki (hgp://www.livestock.geowiki.org) is being developed by a group of interna7onal organiza7ons and universi7es. The mainstay of the wiki is a set of recently produced global livestock maps (Robinson et al. 2014). With livestock produc7on at the centre, other modules under development relate to global public goods: welfare, environment and pubic health. Robinson et al. (2014) Mapping the global distribu7on of livestock. PLoS ONE 9(5): e96084. doi:10.1371/ journal.pone.0096084. Modules photo credit: ILRI/Chris Jost

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Poster prepared by Timothy Robinson, Catherine Pfeifer, William Wint, Simon Hay, Thomas van Boeckel, Giulia Conchedda, Giuseppina Cinardi, Jeroen Dijkman, Pierre Gerber, Theun Vellinger, Steffen Fritz, MarIna Duerauer, Gaëlle Nicolas and Marius Gilbert for the ILRI-CTA African Dairy Value Chain Seminar, Nairobi, Kenya, 21-24 September 2014 Global demand for meat, milk and eggs is driving livestock sector growth and transformation. Whilst this provides many economic opportunities, and promises to provide affordable animal source foods to many of the world’s undernourished poor, it comes with environmental, social and public health risks if not managed carefully. If policymakers are to guide sector growth along sustainable routes, particularly in the developing world, they will require sound analyses, based on reliable data.

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Page 1: Livestock Geo-Wiki: Maps for a safer and more equitable livestock sector

Livestock  Geo-­‐Wiki:  Maps  for  a  safer  and  more  equitable  livestock  sector  Timothy  Robinson,  Catherine  Pfeifer,  William  Wint,  Simon  Hay,  Thomas  van  Boeckel,  Giulia  Conchedda,  Giuseppina  Cinardi,  Jeroen  Dijkman,  Pierre  Gerber,  Theun  Vellinger,  Steffen  Fritz,  MarIna  Duerauer,  Gaëlle  Nicolas  and  Marius  Gilbert  

Global  demand  for  meat,  milk  and  eggs  is  driving  livestock  sector  growth  and  transforma7on.  Whilst  this  provides  many  economic  opportuni7es,  and  promises  to  provide  affordable  animal  source  foods  to  many  of  the  world’s  undernourished  poor,  it  comes  with  environmental,  social  and  public  health  risks  if  not  managed  carefully.  If  policymakers  are  to  guide  sector  growth  along  sustainable  routes,  par7cularly  in  the  developing  world,  they  will  require  sound  analyses,  based  on  reliable  data.    

The  livestock  distribu7on  maps  made  available  through  the  Livestock  Geo-­‐Wiki  are  an  essen7al  founda7on  for  much  important  environmental,  epidemiological  and  other  work  today.  These  maps  have  already  been  central  to  es7ma7ng  greenhouse  gas  emissions  from  the  livestock  sector,  for  example,  and  have  been  used  to  asses  the  risk  of  H7N9  (a  new  bird  flu  strain)  spreading  in  East  Asia  (based  on  a  boosted  regression  tree  model  that  includes  chicken  and  duck  densi7es  [Gilbert  et  al.  2014]).  Gilbert  et  al.  (2014)  Predic7ng  the  risk  of  avian  influenza  A  H7N9  infec7on  in  live-­‐poultry  markets  across  Asia.  Nature  CommunicaIons  DOI:  10.1038/ncomms5116.  

Timothy  Robinson  [email protected]  ●  P.O.  Box  30709-­‐00100  Nairobi    Kenya    ●    +  254  20  422  3020  ●  www.ilri.org          Acknowledgements:  This  work  is  being  funded  by  the  CGIAR  research  programmes  on  the  Humidtropics,  Climate  Change,  Agriculture  and  Food  Security  (CCAFS)  and  Livestock  and  Fish  

This  document  is  licensed  for  use  under  a  Crea7ve  Commons  Agribu7on  –  Non  commercial-­‐Share  Alike  3.0  Unported  License                                                                                                                            November  2014  

Introduc7on  

Materials  and  methods  

Results  

Research  into  use  

H7N9  infec7on  risk    

Global,  1  km  resolu7on  maps  of  livestock  densi7es  are  available  for  all  of  the  major  livestock  species,  and  are  already  being  downloaded  and  used  The  global  pig  map,  shown  to  the  lel,  was  recently  reported  by  Vox  to  be  among  the  38  maps  that  explain  the  world  economy.  hgp://www.vox.com/2014/8/26/6063749/  38-­‐maps-­‐that-­‐explain-­‐the-­‐global-­‐economy  

In  a  recent  effort  to  bring  together  and  disseminate  spa7al  data  rela7ng  to  the  global  livestock  sector  the  Livestock  Geo-­‐Wiki  (hgp://www.livestock.geo-­‐wiki.org)  is  being  developed  by  a  group  of  interna7onal  organiza7ons  and  universi7es.  The  mainstay  of  the  wiki  is  a  set  of  recently  produced  global  livestock  maps  (Robinson  et  al.  2014).  With  livestock  produc7on  at  the  centre,  other  modules  under  development  relate  to  global  public  goods:  welfare,  environment  and  pubic  health.  Robinson  et  al.  (2014)  Mapping  the  global  distribu7on  of  livestock.    PLoS  ONE  9(5):  e96084.  doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0096084.  

Modules  

photo  credit:  ILRI/Chris  Jost