life cycle analysis (lca) of 2 fcev with the

21
Amgad Elgowainy, Jarod Kelly, Qiang Dai, Pingping Sun and Xinyu Liu Systems Assessment Center Energy Systems Division Argonne National Laboratory The GREET Introduction Workshop Argonne National Laboratory, October 15, 2019 Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of BEV and H 2 FCEV with the GREET® Model

Upload: others

Post on 15-Oct-2021

3 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

drhgfdjhngngfmhgmghmghjmghfmf

Amgad Elgowainy, Jarod Kelly, Qiang Dai, Pingping Sun and Xinyu Liu

Systems Assessment CenterEnergy Systems DivisionArgonne National Laboratory

The GREET Introduction WorkshopArgonne National Laboratory, October 15, 2019

Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of BEV and H2 FCEV with the GREET® Model

Page 2: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

GREET LCA of power sector covers fuel cycle and construction of power plants

2

Fuel

Material

Diesel,

Electricity

Steel, Iron, Al, Co, Si,Glass, Plastic,Concrete, …

ProductionMining

Fuel Cycle

Power Plant Construction

Cycle

Energy

Emissions

Page 3: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Evaluating PEVs on a WTW basis

3

FUEL CYCLE

Fuel economy Air emissionsoAutonomie oEPA MOVES

LDV and MHDVs

Well-to-Wheels (WTW) Analysis

0

10

20

30

40

50

0 200 400 600

Driving Cycles

Provide FE for various driving

cycles

Idle for MHDVs

Composite FE for

ICEV, BEV BEV/ICEV FE ratio

Page 4: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Electricity generation pathways in GREET

4

1. Coal: Steam Boiler and IGCCCoal mining & cleaningCoal transportationPower generation

2. Natural Gas: Steam Boiler, Gas Turbine, and NGCCNG recovery & processingNG transportationPower generation

4. Oil: Steam BoilerOil recovery & transportationRefiningResidual fuel oil transportationPower generation

3. Nuclear: light water reactorUranium miningYellowcake conversionEnrichmentFuel rod fabrication Power generation

5. Biomass: Steam BoilerBiomass farming & harvestingBiomass transportationPower generation

7. Wind Turbine

6. Hydro-Power

8. Solar PV and CSP

9. GeothermalRen

ewab

les

Page 5: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

GREET models electricity generation mix at national, state and utility region levels

5

Recently added:• CCS• CHP

Page 6: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Data and methodsThermal efficienciesEIA’s electric generating unit-level performance data (EIA Form 923 and 860 data)

GHG emission factorsCH4 and N2O emissions are estimated by multiplying the fuel specific heat input in mmBtu by

appropriate EFs from Table C-2 of EPA’s Final Mandatory Reporting of Greenhouse Gases Rule (EPA, 2009)

CO2 emissions calculated from fuel carbon intensity and fuel consumption

e-grid and EPA models for criteria air pollutants

EIA and USGS for water consumption

Electricity generation mixesRegional and national

EIA’s Annual Energy Outlook

6

Page 7: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Impact of electricity mix (2019): WTW GHG emissions of light-duty BEVs

7

2019 U.S. electricity generation mix 483 g_CO2e/kWhe at the plug

MRO Mix NPCC Mix U.S. MixNatural gas 10.3% 42.0% 33.5%Coal 47.7% 2.7% 29.0%Nuclear power 10.6% 32.6% 20.3%

2019 electricity generation mix:

Unit: g_CO2e/mileUnit: grams g_CO2e/kWh

Page 8: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Water consumption by electricity generation and cooling technologies

NG Combine Cycle (21%)

Other Combustion(46%)*

Nuclear (20%)

Thermoelectricity makes up 87% of U.S. total power generation (for 2015)Cooling Technology Shares for Thermoelectricity:

8

Page 9: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Low/high band: sensitivity to uncertainties associated with fuel pathway parameters

9

WTW water consumption for various fuels, including electricity for BEVs

(DOE EERE June 23 2017, Record 17005)

https://www.hydrogen.energy.gov/pdfs/17005_water_consumption_ldv_fuels.pdf

Page 10: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Battery recycling: closed-loop model is neededModeling Framework of Argonne’s EverBatt Battery Recycling Model

10

• Benchmark recycling against virgin production to provide a holistic picture of the benefits and trade-offs of battery recycling.

• EverBatt produces results for energy, emissions, water, and costs of battery recycling and remanufacturing

• EverBatt relies on GREET for energy and environmental modeling and BatPac for cost modeling

Page 11: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Comparison of 1kg virgin NMC111 powder against that from recycled materialsEverBatt quantifies cost and energy/environmental impacts of battery recycling

11

105%

89% 91%96%

13%

88%

103%

55%

91%

33%

48%

10%14% 15%

1%0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Cost Energy use Water use GHG emissions SOx emissions

Virgin Pyro Hydro Direct

EverBatt results assuming 10,000 t/yr recycling plant in the U.S. Recycling processes are generic in nature and do not reflect specific companies.

Page 12: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

GREET 2019 was expanded with plug-in battery electric MHDVs fuel economy on various duty cycles is key for WTW analysis

12

Class Type Weighting Factors (%) BEV FE (MPDGE) FE Ratio

ARB Cycle 55 MPH Cycle 65 MPH Cycle Composite BEV/ICEV

8 Long-haul combination 5 9 86 10.7 172%

Short-haul combination 19 17 64 11.2 193%

Refuse 90 10 0 17.6 379%

6 Medium heavy-duty vocational 92 8 0 28.9 413%

4 Light heavy-duty vocational 92 8 0 42.0 488%

2 Pick-up Trucks and Vans 54 29 17 55.1 385%

5.2

18.2

7.9

15.7

6.7

13.6

5.4

17.9

4.6

17.6

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV

ARBTransient

55 MPH 65 MPH Compositew/o idle

Composite w/idle

Ref

use

Truc

k Fu

el

Con

sum

ptio

n (D

GE/

mile

)

Non-idle ICEV

Non-idle BEV

IdleMPDGE

Page 13: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

WTW GHG emissions of battery electric MHDVs (2019 U.S. Mix)

For BEVs, the fuel consumption, and thus GHG emissions, increase with increasing weight class For vocational vehicles, shifting to BEV from ICEV can reduce WTW

GHG emissions by 49-63%13

880

410

1461

537

1796

781

2699

1280

21632017 2026 2106

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV

Class 2 Pick-upTruck and Van

Class 4 Light-HeavyDuty

Class 6 Medium-Heavy Duty

Class 8 Refuse Class 8 Short-haul Class 8 Long-haul

WTW

GH

G E

mis

sion

s(g

/mile

)

WTP Vehicle Operation

Page 14: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

WTW GHG emissions of battery electric MHDVs (2030 U.S. Mix)

For Class 8 long-haul, the WTW GHG emissions for BEV are estimated to be less compared to diesel ICEV in 2030

14

879

357

1376

426

1732

632

2696

1115

2007

16341858

1679

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

3000

ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV ICEV BEV

Class 2 Pick-upTruck and Van

Class 4 Light-Heavy Duty

Class 6 Medium-Heavy Duty

Class 8 Refuse Class 8 Short-haul Class 8 Long-haul

WTW

GH

G E

mis

sion

s (g

/mile

)

Vehicle OperationWTP

Page 15: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Gaseous hydrogen pathways

Page 16: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Centralized Gaseous H

2 Production

Fueling Station

Liquefier

High-Pressure Cryo-Pump

Cryo-Compressed

Dispenser

Liquid Terminal

Loading Bays

CryogenicStorage

Liquid Truck

Pump Pump

Compressed Gas

Dispenser

CryogenicStorage

Vaporizer

Liquid hydrogen pathways

Page 17: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

17

Updated SMR emission factors in GREET 2019

Page 18: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

Renewable sources are key for sustainable H2 production

Assuming 26 mpg for gasoline ICEV and 55 mpgge for H2 FCEV

Page 19: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3 8 13 18 23 28 33

Fuel

Eco

nom

y Ra

tio: F

CHEV

ove

r Bas

elin

e

Test Weight (metric ton): For each vehicle class/type, FCHEV and ICEV are tested on the same payload

Fuel Economy (miles/DGE) Ratio: FCHEV over Baseline Diesel ICEV

EPA/NHTSA Vocational - Urban

EPA/NHTSA Vocational - Multi-Purpose

EPA/NHTSA Vocational - RegionalCl

ass 2

Van

Clas

s 3

Pick

up &

Del

iver

y

Clas

s 4

Pick

up&

Del

iver

y

Clas

s 6 C

onst

ruct

ion

Clas

s 7

Scho

ol B

us

Clas

s 8Co

nstr

uctio

n

Clas

s 8

Refu

se

Clas

s 8

Line

-Hau

l Co

mbi

natio

n

Clas

s 8

Trac

tor-

Trai

ler

Fuel cell MHD vehicles achieve better fuel economy than diesel

19FE ratio relative to diesel is ~1.7 (1.2 – 2.3) Vary with vocations & duty cycles

Page 20: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Dies

el

SMR

G.H2

(rel

ativ

e to

Die

sel)

Sola

r G.H

2 (r

elat

ive

to S

MR

G.H2

)

Class 2bHD Pick-Up

Trucks and Vans

Class 4LHD Vocational

Vehicles

Class 6MHD Vocational

Vehicles

Class 6/7School Buses

Class 8aRefuse Trucks

Class 8bHHD Vocational

Vehicles

Class 8bCombination

Short-Haul Trucks

Wel

l-to-

Whe

el G

HG E

miss

ion

(kg

CO2e

per

tonn

e-m

ilefo

r tru

cks

10 p

asse

nger

-mile

for b

uses

) (Based on EPA/NHTSA Vocational - Urban)Well-to-Wheel GHG Emissions Reductions Benefits for Switching to Fuel Cell Vehicles

GHG emissions reductions for different MHD fuel cell vehicle types and vocations

20

Compared to diesel counterparts, medium- and heavy-duty (MHD) hydrogen fuel cell vehicles create less GHG emissions across classes

Page 21: Life Cycle Analysis (LCA) of 2 FCEV with the

21

Please visithttp://greet.es.anl.gov

for:• GREET models

• GREET documents • LCA publications

• GREET-based tools and calculators

[email protected]