leek romesf-2015
TRANSCRIPT
We are all statisticians now
Teaching Blogging Research
Teaching Blogging Research jhudatascience.org
Teaching Blogging Research simplystatistics.org
@simplystats
Teaching Blogging Research jtleek.com
N = Number of Measurements
(€ / measurement)
(€ you have) N =
“6 degrees of separation”
http://arxiv.org/pdf/0803.0939v1.pdf
“6 7 degrees of separation”
3 uncertainty graphs confounders
1 uncertainty
Population
Population
Probability
Population
Sample Inference
Best guess
Population
Sample Inference
Could be this
Population
Sample Inference
…or this
Population
Probability
Population
Probability
Population
Probability
Inference
http://www.sciencemag.org/content/343/6176/1203
2 graphs
Higher accuracy
3 confounders
Small shoes Not literate
Big shoes Somewhat literate
Shoe Size Literacy
??
Small shoes Not literate Young
Big shoes Somewhat literate Middle aged
Shoe Size Literacy
Age
Shoe Size Literacy
Age
Variable1 Variable2
Confounder
Genes Longetivity
Technology
??
3 uncertainty graphs confounders
www.jtleek.com/talks Grazie